Tropical Cyclones [Index]

Tropical Cyclone MAY [Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere][Summaries and Track Data]

WTPS31 PGTW 980226 03:00z
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI
250630Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW
250700)
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260000Z8 --- 15.7S3 138.7E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 138.7E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261200Z1 --- 16.2S9 138.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270000Z9 --- 16.7S4 138.0E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   271200Z2 --- 17.2S0 137.4E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   280000Z0 --- 17.8S6 136.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
260300Z1 POSITION 15.8S4  138.6E8
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260300Z IS 12 FEET.
INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA
OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SAT ANALYSIS AND
RADAR ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO
THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE ARAFURA SEA MOVING SOUTH OVER MAINLAND AUSTRALIA.
DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING THE SYSTEM TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND MAKING LANDFALL IN 24 HRS. RADAR FIX ON
MORNINGTON ISLAND (WMO #94256) INDICATES SYSTEM ON A SOUTH-
WESTERLY TRACK.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0)
AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND
CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 250700)
AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 980226 15:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   261200Z1 --- 17.4S2 139.1E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 139.1E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   270000Z9 --- 18.2S1 139.5E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   271200Z2 --- 19.1S1 140.1E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
261500Z4 POSITION 17.6S4 139.2E5
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR REPORTS INDICATE TROPICAL
CYCLONE 25P (MAY) HAS MOVED INLAND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
CARPENTARIA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN
SENDS.
FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL//