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Tropical Cyclone 199902
[Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere][Summaries and Track Data]
Unnamed Tropical Cyclone 199902 
WTXS31 PGTW 980929 09:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
290900Z0 POSITION  9.2S1   78.0E5.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT
8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY
ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7
MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS
GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST
OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER-
TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK
FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12
FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z
SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7),
300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 980929 15:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300000Z3 --- 8.8S6 77.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301200Z6 --- 8.9S7 76.2E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 9.0S9 75.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
291500Z7 POSITION  8.7S5   77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S CONTINUED
TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.  THE
WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY.  291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION
APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.  THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN.  AFTERWARDS, TC 02S IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9),
300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG
301353Z5).//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 980929 21:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
292100Z4 POSITION  8.8S6  76.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON
291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE
STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON
TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL
WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG
300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND
302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 980930 02:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
300300Z6 POSITION  9.4S3   76.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST
6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3
INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING
FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO
THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 980930 09:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   300600Z9 --- 9.6S5 76.5E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 76.5E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 10.2S3 75.5E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
300900Z2 POSITION  9.7S6   76.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS
TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6
HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300600Z9
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED. THE SYSTEM HAS
BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 981001 15:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011200Z4 --- 13.4S8 71.2E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE
                            020 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 71.2E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.1E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
    4 H
, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 67.1E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATNGAS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 17.8S6 65.4E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
011500Z7 POSITION 14.0S5   70.7E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS RE-GENERATED IN THE SOUTHERN
INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
THE PAST 06  HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON
ANALYSIS OF 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A
COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30
KNOTS, A PRVHSU
;SA SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING
AT LEAST 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE QPHEF THA
CI?,TION9A SHIP REPORT FROM 010000Z1
INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (10 MDDE AVERPTXM
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 981002 03:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020000Z2 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 70.3E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 16.1S8 69.9E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 17.5S3 69.4E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 19.1S1 67.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
020300Z5 POSITION 15.3S9   70.2E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
020033Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS
BASED ON 020033Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND
CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS
MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE
LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD
TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL
CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR
FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS
12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG
030153Z2).//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 981002 15:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   021200Z5 --- 16.4S1 69.8E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 69.8E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 68.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
021500Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 69.6E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION SINCE THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER
TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//
Document: 199902.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006
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