Tropical Cyclones [Index]

Tropical Cyclone CHIKITA [Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere][Summaries and Track Data]

WTXS22 PGTW 990130 10:30z
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
301021Z JAN 99//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/300912Z JAN 99//
AMPN/REF A IS HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNING FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
(WWIO30
PGFW 310000.//
RMKS/
1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.7S2 94.5E8 TO 15.9S5 86.1E5
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 300530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 15.0S6 93.0E2.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.
3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA HAS
PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE
ANIMATION INDICATE AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION.
300600Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A 1002 MB CENTER LOW PRESSURE AREA
EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTION AND THE AREA IS IN BETWEEN TC 15S
(DAMIEN-BIRENDA) TO THE WEST AND THE NEAR EQUATORIAL CONVERGENCE
ZONE TO THE EAST. NOGAPS ANALYSIS, WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATE FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM UWISC-CIMSS
SHOWS THE AREA TO BE IN WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR INCREASES TO THE WEST, HOWEVER, AND MAY HAMPER DEVELOPMENT IF
THE AREA FOLLOWS TC 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA). AS CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO
BE FAVORABLE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301030Z7 IS 12 FT.  SEE REF A FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 311030Z8.//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990131 03:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNING NR 001
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   310000Z4 --- NEAR 16.7S4 88.4E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 88.4E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   311200Z7 --- 17.1S9 86.6E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 17.6S4 84.7E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 18.0S9 82.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 18.4S3 81.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 19.3S3 78.7E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.8S5 87.9E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF
TC 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA) IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS GENERATED SOUTHWEST
OF THE MAIN LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTHEAST, GOOD ELSEWHERE. THE
WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 INFRARED
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AUGMENTED BY A PARTIAL
301707Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS, BUT IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE AS SYSTEM ORGANIZES. THE WIND FIELD IS ASYMMETRICAL, WITH
STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL
SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND LOCATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL
CYCLONE 17S IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH.
BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS AN
APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH CREATES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. WIND
RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM 301707Z8 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES
AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 301021Z JAN 99 TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 301030). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
WARNED UPON AT 06-HOURLY INTERVALS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4),
312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990131 09:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   310600Z0 --- NEAR 16.3S0 85.4E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 85.4E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   311800Z3 --- 16.8S5 82.2E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 17.3S1 79.6E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 17.6S4 76.6E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 17.4S2 73.6E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 17.3S1 68.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
310900Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.4S1 84.6E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF
TC 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA) IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING
POSITION AND INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE AND
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY
 ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AUGMENTED BY 35 KNOT SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS.
 POSITION RELOCATION IS DUE TO THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE OF VISIBLE
 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED ORGANIZATION, WITH
MULTIPLE BANDS SPIRALING INTO THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
 IS FAIR TO THE NORTHEAST, AND GOOD SOUTHWARD. THE WIND FIELD
 IS ASYMMETRICAL, WITH STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN
 SEMICIRCLE DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF THE SYSTEM, AND
 LOCATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S
IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS
 INTO A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS
SOUTH. BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS, THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A MORE WESTWARD COURSE AS
IT MOVES OUT OF THE WEAKNESS. TC 17S IS
 EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN A WEAK TO
 MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM
 SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER
 TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0),
010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4). REFER TO
 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW)
 FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990131 15:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 003
   02AROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311200Z7 --- NEAR 17.0S8 83.3E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 83.3E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 17.6S4 79.6E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 18.4S3 76.6E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 18.7S6 73.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 18.7S6 70.7E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 18.5S4 65.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            125 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
311500Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 82.4E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS IN THE
WAKE OF TC 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA) IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE
WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON 311130Z9
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED
ORGANIZATION AND STRONG RAINBANDS ARE WRAPPING AROUND A DEVELOPING
CENTRALIZED WARM SPOT. INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. THE WIND FIELD IS ASYMMETRICAL, WITH
STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL
SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND LOCATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL
CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN ONTO A MORE WESTERWARD COURSE AS IT MOVES OUT
OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 17S (CHIKITA) IS EXPECTED
TO SLOW DOWN AS THE AFOREMENTIONED TC 15S (DAMIEN-BIRENDA)
DISSIPATES AND FILLS. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
ITS SLOW DEVELOPMENT IN A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 16 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8),
010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (DAMIEN) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990131 21:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311800Z3 --- NEAR 17.5S3 81.8E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 81.8E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 18.3S2 78.6E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 19.0S0 75.5E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 19.3S3 72.3E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 19.3S3 69.4E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.7S5 81.0E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY
ARE BASED ON 311730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER HAVE COOLED DURING THE PAST 06
HOURS BUT OVERALL INTENSITY REMAINS THE SAME. THERE IS NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING AT THIS TIME. TC 17S
(CHIKITA) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AS IT IS STEERED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
311800Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. FUTURE WARNINGS WILL BE SENT EVERY 12 HOURS UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND
012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7).//
=========================================================================
WARNING 005 NOT AVAILABLE
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990201 21:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011800Z0 --- NEAR 19.4S4 75.9E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 75.9E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 19.6S6 73.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 20.0S2 70.6E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 20.1S3 67.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 20.1S3 65.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.5S5 75.3E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. THE WARNING INTENSITY (40
KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35
KNOTS AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM SHIP REPORTS TO THE SOUTH. OVER THE
PAST FEW HOURS, SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TC 17S HAS BEGUN TO
SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS WINDSHEAR REMAINS MODERATE OVER THE AREA.
EARLIER VISIBLE IMAGERY AND RECENT SHIP REPORTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
A FAIRLY LARGE AND ASYMMETRICAL WINDFIELD ON THE SOUTHERN HALF. TC
17S IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINATE STEERING FLOW OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AS TC 17S CONTINUES TO GET SHEARED,
IT WILL COME UNDER THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. TC 17S IS THUS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO
TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ACROSS
THE SYSTEM WILL INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE
SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST 35 KNOT WIND
RADII IS OMITTED AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION SINCE MAX WINDS ARE ONLY
FORECAST TO BE 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0
IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 022100Z5
(DTG 021951Z8).//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990102 09:00z
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 007
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020600Z8 --- NEAR 19.4S4 72.9E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 72.9E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 19.5S5 70.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 19.7S7 67.7E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 20.0S2 65.2E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z0 --- 20.6S8 62.5E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4   72.3E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 13
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
020530Z0 INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS). TC 17S
(CHIKITA) CONTINUES TO TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS
FURTHER DECREASED, BUT THE NOTABLE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN AT NEAR MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST WITH A SLIGHT WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. COOLER SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MIXING OF COLD AIR STRATUS, AND SLOWLY
INCREASING SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THE SYSTEM. SHORT PERIODS OF INCREASED CONVECTION ARE POSSIBLE,
HOWEVER. TC 17S (CHIKITA) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DECREASE INTENSITY
AND BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8)AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6).
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990202 21:00z    
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 008    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   021800Z1 --- NEAR 20.1S3 69.6E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE      
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S3 69.6E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 20.6S8 66.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 21.2S5 63.3E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z0 --- 21.5S8 60.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 21.4S7 57.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.2S4 68.7E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS 
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. THE WARNING INTENSITY (40 
KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 
KNOTS AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM SHIP REPORTS TO THE SOUTH. SATELLITE 
ANIMATION INDICATES TC 17S HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION 
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS WINDSHEAR REMAINS MODERATE OVER THE AREA. 
SHIP REPORTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A FAIRLY LARGE AND ASYMMETRICAL
WINDFIELD ON THE SOUTHERN HALF. PRIMARIILY DUE TO THE INCREASE IN
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE SOUTH. TC 17S IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER 
THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AS 
TC 17S CONTINUES TO GET SHEARED, IT WILL COME UNDER THE PRIMARY 
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. TC 17S IS 
THUS FORECAST TO TRACK SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 
THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. MODERATE
VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM WILL INHIBIT FURTHER 
DEVELOPMENT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST 
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH WE ARE FORECASTING TC 17S TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE 
BELOW WARNING CRITERIA, A LARGE LOW-LEVEL WINDFIELD (20-30 KNOTS) 
SHOULD REMAIN INTACT AS IT APPROACHES THE MASCARENE ISLANDS. THE 
FORECAST 35 KNOT WIND RADII IS OMITTED AFTER THE INITIAL POSITION 
SINCE MAX WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 35 KNOTS OR LESS. TC 17S IS 
FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 
HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 14 
FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. 
NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 
031951Z9).//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990203 09:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 009A RELOCATED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030600Z9 --- NEAR 19.7S7 63.5E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 24 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 63.5E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 19.7S7 58.4E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 22 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z0 --- 20.1S3 53.8E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 19 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 21.9S2 50.2E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7   62.2E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT
24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
030830Z4 SATELLITE IMAGERY (KGWC AND FJDG). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING INTENSITY. THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 17S (CHIKITA) HAS BECOME
EXPOSED AND RELOCATED THREE DEGREES WEST OF THE ORIGINAL 030600Z9
WARNING POSITION. THE SYSTEMS REMAINS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY
REMAINS THE SAME AS THE ORIGINAL 030600Z9 WARNING. TC 17S (CHIKITA)
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST, WITH A WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES TOWARDS THE RIDGE AXIS. TC 17S (CHIKITA) IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN A 35 KNOT WINDFIELD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION EXTENT OF THE WINDFIELD WILL DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER. TC 17S (CHIKITA)IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6
(DTG 031951Z9) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990203 21:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 010
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   031800Z2 --- NEAR 18.7S6 59.7E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 59.7E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z0 --- 19.0S0 55.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 19 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 20.5S7 52.0E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.8S7 58.7E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT
19 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED EAST OF
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THIS
SYSTEM ARE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF
MOVEMENT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
031730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TO THE SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY WEAKEN DUE TO
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).//
=========================================================================
WTXS32 PGTW 990204 09:00z
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 011
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   040600Z0 --- NEAR 18.9S8 55.6E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 55.6E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 19.4S4 52.5E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 19.9S9 49.5E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z4 --- 20.7S9 47.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.0S0 54.8E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED WITH DEEP CONVECTION ELONGATING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL SPEED
OF MOVEMENT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
031730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TO THE SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY WEAKEN DUE TO
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON MADAGASCAR IN
APPROXIMATELY 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z
IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
 THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
 CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI).  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
 MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//