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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks October 1998
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

           GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 1998

ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico

NOTE:  The tracking and intensity information for Atlantic Basin
       tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from
       the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center,
       located in Miami, Florida, USA.  The MSW are based on a
       1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian
       and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: LISA                  Cyclone Number: 12      Basin: ATL

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 05 1800  16.0 N   48.9 W  1008   40
98 OCT 06 0000  16.3 N   49.2 W  1006   40
98 OCT 06 0600  16.9 N   49.3 W  1006   40
98 OCT 06 1200  17.6 N   48.6 W  1005   40
98 OCT 06 1800  18.5 N   48.7 W  1005   45
98 OCT 07 0000  19.2 N   48.3 W  1004   45
98 OCT 07 0600  19.5 N   47.8 W  1000   45
98 OCT 07 1200  20.5 N   46.5 W  1000   50
98 OCT 07 1800  21.5 N   45.5 W  1000   50
98 OCT 08 0000  22.8 N   44.0 W  1000   50
98 OCT 08 0600  24.6 N   42.0 W   997   50
98 OCT 08 1200  26.6 N   40.0 W   997   50
98 OCT 08 1800  29.4 N   38.2 W   994   60
98 OCT 09 0000  32.8 N   37.2 W   994   60
98 OCT 09 0600  36.6 N   37.8 W   994   60
98 OCT 09 1200  41.4 N   39.1 W   987   65
98 OCT 09 1800  47.1 N   39.3 W   987   65
98 OCT 09 2100  49.0 N   39.0 W   987   65        Extratropical

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: MITCH                 Cyclone Number: 13      Basin: ATL

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 22 0000  12.7 N   77.5 W  1001   30
98 OCT 22 0600  12.7 N   78.2 W  1001   30
98 OCT 22 1200  12.0 N   78.0 W  1001   30
98 OCT 22 1800  11.6 N   77.9 W  1000   40
98 OCT 23 0000  12.1 N   77.6 W   999   45
98 OCT 23 0600  12.7 N   77.5 W   997   50
98 OCT 23 1200  12.6 N   77.9 W   999   50
98 OCT 23 1800  12.9 N   78.0 W   997   50
98 OCT 24 0000  13.3 N   78.1 W   997   50
98 OCT 24 0600  14.0 N   77.8 W   988   80
98 OCT 24 1200  14.7 N   77.9 W   987   85
98 OCT 24 1800  15.0 N   78.1 W   976   90
98 OCT 25 0000  15.5 N   78.3 W   965  105
98 OCT 25 0600  15.9 N   78.9 W   949  110
98 OCT 25 1200  16.2 N   79.4 W   942  115
98 OCT 25 1800  16.4 N   80.3 W   924  130
98 OCT 26 0000  16.4 N   81.3 W   924  130
98 OCT 26 0600  16.3 N   82.0 W   923  130
98 OCT 26 1200  16.7 N   82.6 W   923  135
98 OCT 26 1800  17.0 N   83.3 W   905  155
98 OCT 27 0000  17.3 N   83.8 W   906  155
98 OCT 27 0600  17.4 N   84.5 W   917  155
98 OCT 27 1200  17.3 N   84.7 W   917  145
98 OCT 27 1800  16.9 N   85.4 W   929  135
98 OCT 28 0000  16.6 N   85.6 W   933  120
98 OCT 28 0600  16.3 N   85.6 W   942  115
98 OCT 28 1200  16.4 N   85.6 W   948  105
98 OCT 28 1800  16.4 N   85.8 W   960  100
98 OCT 29 0000  16.3 N   86.0 W   970   85
98 OCT 29 0600  16.0 N   85.9 W   979   75
98 OCT 29 1200  16.0 N   85.6 W   987   65
98 OCT 29 1800  15.9 N   85.8 W   994   50        Inland
98 OCT 30 0000  15.5 N   85.5 W   995   45          " 
98 OCT 30 0600  15.4 N   85.8 W   996   35          "
98 OCT 30 1200  15.5 N   86.0 W   997   35          "
98 OCT 30 1800  15.1 N   86.6 W   998   50          "
98 OCT 31 0000  14.5 N   87.0 W  1000   45          "
98 OCT 31 0600  14.3 N   87.6 W  1000   35          "
98 OCT 31 1200  14.5 N   88.4 W  1001   30          "
98 OCT 31 1800  14.5 N   89.5 W  1001   30          "
98 NOV 01 0000  14.6 N   90.1 W  1002   30          "
98 NOV 01 0600  14.8 N   91.0 W  1002   30          "
98 NOV 01 1200  14.8 N   91.3 W  1005   25          "
98 NOV 01 1800  15.0 N   92.0 W  1005   25          " - See Note
98 NOV 03 1800  19.4 N   91.5 W   997   40        Over water 
98 NOV 04 0000  20.0 N   90.6 W   997   35        Inland
98 NOV 04 0600  20.5 N   90.0 W   998   30          "
98 NOV 04 1200  21.5 N   88.7 W   998   40        On coast
98 NOV 04 1800  23.0 N   86.8 W   993   40        Over water
98 NOV 05 0000  24.8 N   84.8 W   993   45
98 NOV 05 0600  25.3 N   83.3 W   993   45
98 NOV 05 1200  26.5 N   81.4 W   990   55        Inland 
98 NOV 05 1800  27.5 N   78.3 W   992   50        Extratropical
98 NOV 06 0000  30.0 N   75.0 W   993   50        See Note
98 NOV 06 0600  33.0 N   70.0 W   992   50
98 NOV 06 1800  32.0 N   62.0 W   989   50
98 NOV 07 0000  38.0 N   58.0 W   990   50
98 NOV 07 0600  39.0 N   53.0 W   992   50
98 NOV 07 1200  44.0 N   44.0 W   990   50
98 NOV 07 1800  43.0 N   40.0 W   972   60
98 NOV 08 0000  46.0 N   34.0 W   974   60

Note:  No advisories were issued between 01/2100 UTC and 03/2100 UTC.
The information for the extratropical track of Mitch after 05/1800 UTC
was obtained from the High Seas Forecasts issued by the Marine Prediction
Center.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180

NOTE:  The tracking and intensity information for Northeast Pacific
       Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories
       from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center
       in Miami, Florida, for systems east of Longitude 140W; and
       from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, Honolulu, Hawaii,
       for systems west of Longitude 140W.  The MSW are based on a
       1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian
       and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: 12E     Basin: NEP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 01 1800  20.5 N  108.8 W  1007   30
98 OCT 02 0000  20.8 N  108.9 W  1007   30
98 OCT 02 0600  21.8 N  109.5 W  1008   30
98 OCT 02 1200  20.0 N  109.5 W  1007   30
98 OCT 02 1800  20.6 N  109.4 W  1006   30
98 OCT 03 0000  21.3 N  109.5 W  1006   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KAY                   Cyclone Number: 13E     Basin: NEP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 13 0000  16.0 N  117.8 W  1008   30
98 OCT 13 0600  15.8 N  118.1 W  1006   30
98 OCT 13 1200  16.0 N  118.5 W   990   60
98 OCT 13 1800  16.1 N  118.8 W   987   65
98 OCT 14 0000  16.0 N  119.2 W   987   65
98 OCT 14 0600  15.8 N  119.9 W   990   60
98 OCT 14 1200  15.5 N  120.5 W  1002   40
98 OCT 14 1800  14.8 N  120.8 W  1004   35
98 OCT 15 0000  14.3 N  121.0 W  1004   30
98 OCT 15 0600  13.8 N  121.3 W  1004   30
98 OCT 15 1200  13.6 N  121.6 W  1003   30
98 OCT 15 1800  13.4 N  121.7 W  1003   30
98 OCT 16 0000  13.0 N  121.4 W  1003   30
98 OCT 16 0600  12.6 N  121.0 W  1003   30
98 OCT 16 1200  12.3 N  120.9 W  1003   30
98 OCT 16 1800  11.9 N  120.8 W  1003   25
98 OCT 17 0000  11.7 N  120.6 W  1004   30

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: LESTER                Cyclone Number: 14E     Basin: NEP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 15 0000  11.3 N   91.5 W  1006   30
98 OCT 15 0600  11.6 N   92.0 W  1005   30
98 OCT 15 1200  12.4 N   92.0 W  1004   30
98 OCT 15 1800  12.8 N   92.3 W  1003   30
98 OCT 16 0000  13.0 N   93.1 W  1000   45
98 OCT 16 0600  13.8 N   93.6 W  1000   50
98 OCT 16 1200  14.0 N   94.1 W  1000   50
98 OCT 16 1800  14.3 N   94.4 W   992   70
98 OCT 17 0000  14.4 N   94.7 W   980   75
98 OCT 17 0600  14.5 N   95.3 W   979   80
98 OCT 17 1200  14.5 N   95.3 W   973   85
98 OCT 17 1800  14.7 N   95.8 W   973   85
98 OCT 18 0000  14.6 N   96.3 W   973   85
98 OCT 18 0600  14.5 N   97.1 W   973   85
98 OCT 18 1200  14.5 N   97.8 W   973   85
98 OCT 18 1800  14.3 N   98.5 W   973   90
98 OCT 19 0000  14.3 N   99.3 W   973   90
98 OCT 19 0600  14.2 N  100.4 W   975   85
98 OCT 19 1200  14.3 N  101.3 W   975   85
98 OCT 19 1800  14.6 N  102.4 W   975   80
98 OCT 20 0000  14.8 N  103.0 W   973   85
98 OCT 20 0600  15.1 N  103.9 W   970   90
98 OCT 20 1200  15.3 N  105.1 W   970   90
98 OCT 20 1800  15.6 N  106.1 W   970   90
98 OCT 21 0000  15.9 N  107.0 W   970   90
98 OCT 21 0600  16.3 N  107.5 W   970   90
98 OCT 21 1200  16.5 N  108.1 W   970   90
98 OCT 21 1800  16.7 N  108.8 W   970   90
98 OCT 22 0000  16.7 N  109.0 W   970   90
98 OCT 22 0600  16.8 N  108.7 W   960  100
98 OCT 22 1200  16.9 N  108.9 W   960  100
98 OCT 22 1800  16.8 N  109.0 W   960  100
98 OCT 23 0000  16.8 N  109.0 W   979   85
98 OCT 23 0600  16.5 N  109.0 W   983   65
98 OCT 23 1200  15.7 N  109.4 W   987   60
98 OCT 23 1800  15.5 N  109.5 W   989   60
98 OCT 24 0000  15.0 N  110.0 W   990   55
98 OCT 24 0600  15.0 N  110.5 W  1000   45
98 OCT 24 1200  15.3 N  111.0 W  1000   45
98 OCT 24 1800  15.3 N  111.7 W  1000   45
98 OCT 25 0000  16.1 N  113.0 W  1000   40
98 OCT 25 0600  16.7 N  113.8 W  1002   40
98 OCT 25 1200  17.1 N  114.1 W  1002   40
98 OCT 25 1800  17.3 N  114.8 W  1003   35
98 OCT 26 0000  17.5 N  115.3 W  1004   30
98 OCT 26 0600  17.4 N  115.5 W  1003   30
98 OCT 26 1200  17.6 N  115.3 W  1003   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: MADELINE              Cyclone Number: 15E     Basin: NEP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 16 0600  18.7 N  108.0 W  1004   30
98 OCT 16 1200  19.2 N  108.3 W   998   45
98 OCT 16 1800  19.5 N  108.4 W   994   55
98 OCT 17 0000  19.6 N  108.0 W   994   55
98 OCT 17 0600  19.8 N  108.0 W   994   55
98 OCT 17 1200  19.7 N  107.5 W   990   60
98 OCT 17 1800  20.0 N  107.1 W   987   65
98 OCT 18 0000  20.1 N  107.0 W   985   70
98 OCT 18 0600  20.5 N  106.6 W   985   70
98 OCT 18 1200  20.6 N  106.6 W   985   70
98 OCT 18 1800  20.9 N  106.5 W   982   75
98 OCT 19 0000  21.2 N  106.5 W   979   75
98 OCT 19 0600  21.7 N  106.5 W   980   75
98 OCT 19 1200  22.1 N  106.7 W   987   65
98 OCT 19 1800  22.7 N  107.4 W  1000   35
98 OCT 20 0000  23.7 N  108.5 W  1005   20

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180

NOTE:  The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical
       cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the
       Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy on
       the island of Guam.  Comparisons were made with track coordinates
       given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan
       (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA).  In general, whenever the
       center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an
       entry was made in the Remarks column.

       The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the
       10-min avg MSW were obtained from PAGASA's advisories if the
       storm was in PAGASA's area of responsibility; otherwise, they
       were gleaned from JMA's advisories or high seas forecasts.  In
       a few cases the 10-min MSW given by PAGASA and JMA did not agree;
       in those cases I reported the higher value.    The estimates of
       central pressure were obtained from JMA's advisories.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: 15W     Basin: NWP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 02 0000  11.6 N  112.0 E  1000         30  JMA Advisory
98 OCT 02 0600  12.8 N  112.8 E  1000         30   "     "
98 OCT 02 1200  12.8 N  113.2 E  1000         30   "     "
98 OCT 02 1800  13.1 N  114.2 E  1000         30   "     "
98 OCT 03 0000  14.0 N  113.5 E  1000         30   "     "
98 OCT 03 0600  14.9 N  114.1 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 15.7 N, 112.8 E
98 OCT 03 1200  14.9 N  112.9 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 16.1 N, 112.4 E
98 OCT 03 1800  15.4 N  112.4 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 16.7 N, 112.0 E
98 OCT 04 0000  15.9 N  111.8 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 17.0 N, 111.4 E
98 OCT 04 0600  16.8 N  111.3 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 18.4 N, 109.4 E
98 OCT 04 1200  17.3 N  110.2 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 18.6 N, 107.8 E
98 OCT 04 1800  18.6 N  107.2 E  1002         30  JMA Advisory
98 OCT 05 0000  18.3 N  107.7 E  1004   30    30
98 OCT 05 0600  18.5 N  106.8 E  1004   30    30
98 OCT 05 1200  18.8 N  106.3 E  1006   30    30
98 OCT 06 1200  19.3 N  104.8 E         30        Inland

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: 16W     Basin: NWP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 05 0000  24.5 N  122.5 E  1010         30  JMA Advisory
98 OCT 05 0600  24.2 N  122.5 E  1008   25    30
98 OCT 05 1200  24.6 N  122.5 E         25
98 OCT 05 1800  24.4 N  122.9 E         25
98 OCT 06 0000  24.1 N  123.0 E         25
98 OCT 06 0600  24.2 N  123.0 E         25
98 OCT 06 1200  24.5 N  122.9 E         30
98 OCT 06 1800  24.8 N  122.7 E         30
98 OCT 07 0000  25.2 N  123.3 E         30
98 OCT 07 0600  25.5 N  123.6 E         30
98 OCT 07 1200  25.7 N  124.4 E         30
98 OCT 07 1800  25.9 N  125.0 E         25

Note: JMA apparently issued only two bulletins on this system--at least
that is all I was able to locate in the high seas Warning and Summary
bulletins.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: 17W     Basin: NWP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 06 0000  29.5 N  126.0 E         30
98 OCT 06 0600  29.7 N  126.2 E         25
98 OCT 06 1200  29.9 N  126.3 E         25
98 OCT 06 1800  30.0 N  126.3 E         25
98 OCT 07 0000  30.1 N  126.4 E         20

Note:  JMA did not issue any bulletins on this depression.  It was
mentioned in their high seas Warning and Summary bulletins as simply a
low-pressure area.   Considering the latitude, it may have been more of
a hybrid-type LOW.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ZEB (9810/ILIANG)     Cyclone Number: 18W     Basin: NWP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 09 1800  10.0 N  141.3 E         25      
98 OCT 10 0000  10.8 N  141.5 E  1004   30    30
98 OCT 10 0600  10.8 N  140.9 E  1000   30    30
98 OCT 10 1200  10.8 N  138.7 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 10.2 N, 140.4 E
98 OCT 10 1800  10.3 N  138.2 E   996   40    35
98 OCT 11 0000  10.3 N  137.3 E   990   50    45
98 OCT 11 0600  10.7 N  136.0 E   985   50    50
98 OCT 11 1200  10.7 N  134.8 E   980   55    55
98 OCT 11 1800  10.8 N  133.5 E   980   60    60
98 OCT 12 0000  11.0 N  132.6 E   975   75    65
98 OCT 12 0600  12.1 N  131.4 E         75    70
98 OCT 12 1200  12.8 N  129.9 E   965   90    75
98 OCT 12 1800  13.7 N  129.0 E   955  100    85
98 OCT 13 0000  14.5 N  128.0 E   930  150   100
98 OCT 13 0600  15.6 N  126.0 E   920  150   115  JMA: 10-min MSW 100 kts
98 OCT 13 1200  16.0 N  124.6 E   910  155   130  JMA: 10-min MSW 105 kts
98 OCT 13 1800  16.3 N  123.6 E   900  155   130  JMA: 10-min MSW 110 kts
98 OCT 14 0000  17.1 N  122.5 E   900  155   130  JMA: 10-min MSW 110 kts
98 OCT 14 0600  17.7 N  121.6 E   930  115   100  Inland 
98 OCT 14 1200  17.6 N  121.5 E   940  100    90    "
98 OCT 14 1800  18.8 N  121.0 E   940  100    90  PAGASA: 18.0 N, 120.9 E
98 OCT 15 0000  19.1 N  120.5 E   940   85    90  JMA: 19.5 N, 121.1 E
98 OCT 15 0600  20.5 N  120.6 E   940   90    90
98 OCT 15 1200  21.5 N  121.2 E   940   80    90
98 OCT 15 1800  22.7 N  121.9 E   960   80    75
98 OCT 16 0000  23.8 N  121.9 E   970   80    60  JMA: 23.9 N, 122.8 E
98 OCT 16 0600  25.3 N  122.8 E   975   85    60  PAGASA: MSW 75 kts
98 OCT 16 1200  26.5 N  124.6 E   975   80    60
98 OCT 16 1800  27.5 N  126.5 E   975   70    60
98 OCT 17 0000  28.8 N  128.1 E   975   65    60
98 OCT 17 0600  30.4 N  129.9 E   975   60    50
98 OCT 17 1200  32.5 N  132.3 E   980   60    50
98 OCT 17 1800  36.9 N  135.8 E   980         50  JMA Advisory
98 OCT 18 0000  39.9 N  138.2 E   980   50    50  JMA: 41.0 N, 139.0 E
98 OCT 18 0600  44.0 N  141.0 E   986         50  Extratropical-See Note
98 OCT 18 1200  46.0 N  145.0 E   990         50       "
98 OCT 18 1800  48.0 N  148.0 E   992         50       "
98 OCT 19 0000  49.0 N  151.0 E   994         50       "
98 OCT 19 0600  51.0 N  154.0 E   994         50       "
98 OCT 19 1200  51.0 N  160.0 E   996         50       "
98 OCT 19 1800  50.0 N  169.0 E  1000         45       "

Note:  The extratropical portion of Zeb's life is based upon information
obtained from JMA's high seas Warning and Summary bulletins.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ALEX                  Cyclone Number: 19W     Basin: NWP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 11 0000  14.3 N  145.0 E         40
98 OCT 11 0600  15.0 N  141.9 E         40
98 OCT 11 1200  15.4 N  140.2 E         40
98 OCT 11 1800  16.2 N  138.5 E         35
98 OCT 12 0000  17.9 N  133.9 E         30
98 OCT 12 0600  18.4 N  131.0 E         30
98 OCT 12 1200  17.3 N  128.4 E         30
98 OCT 12 1800  14.5 N  125.5 E         25

Note:  JTWC was the only agency classifying this system as a tropical
storm.  JMA briefly mentioned it as a tropical depression in the Summary
portion of their high seas Warning and Summary bulletins.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: BABS (9811/LOLENG)    Cyclone Number: 20W     Basin: NWP

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 14 0600  12.1 N  138.2 E         25
98 OCT 14 1200  12.0 N  137.1 E         25
98 OCT 14 1800  12.2 N  136.6 E  1004   30    30  JMA: 11.0 N, 137.0 E
98 OCT 15 0000  11.7 N  136.0 E   998   30    35
98 OCT 15 0600  11.9 N  135.2 E   998   35    35  PAGASA: 10.0 N, 134.9 E
98 OCT 15 1200  11.9 N  134.1 E   998   55    35  PAGASA: 11.0 N, 134.3 E
98 OCT 15 1800  11.9 N  133.0 E   998   55    35
98 OCT 16 0000  11.9 N  132.0 E   998   55    35
98 OCT 16 0600  11.9 N  131.2 E   998   50    35
98 OCT 16 1200  11.9 N  131.5 E   998   50    35
98 OCT 16 1800  11.9 N  131.8 E   998   60    35
98 OCT 17 0000  12.4 N  131.6 E   998   45    35
98 OCT 17 0600  12.3 N  130.9 E   994   45    40
98 OCT 17 1200  12.2 N  130.6 E   994   45    40
98 OCT 17 1800  12.2 N  129.9 E   994   50    40
98 OCT 18 0000  12.2 N  129.5 E   994   40    40
98 OCT 18 0600  11.8 N  129.4 E   994   40    40
98 OCT 18 1200  11.4 N  129.6 E   994   40    40  PAGASA: 11.9 N, 128.7 E
98 OCT 18 1800  11.5 N  129.8 E   992   50    45  PAGASA: 11.5 N, 129.0 E
98 OCT 19 0000  10.5 N  129.4 E   985   65    55
98 OCT 19 0600  10.6 N  129.3 E   985   65    65  See Note
98 OCT 19 1200  10.6 N  129.4 E   980   65    65
98 OCT 19 1800  10.9 N  129.0 E   975   75    75
98 OCT 20 0000  11.3 N  128.4 E   965  115    80
98 OCT 20 0600  11.8 N  127.6 E   950  125    85
98 OCT 20 1200  12.2 N  127.2 E   940  135    95
98 OCT 20 1800  12.7 N  126.4 E   940  135   105
98 OCT 21 0000  13.0 N  125.6 E   940  135   105
98 OCT 21 0600  13.5 N  124.9 E   940  130   105
98 OCT 21 1200  13.7 N  124.3 E   940  130    95  Over Catanduanes Island
98 OCT 21 1800  14.0 N  123.5 E   950  120    90  On Luzon coast
98 OCT 22 0000  14.1 N  122.9 E   955  105    90  Inland
98 OCT 22 0600  14.6 N  122.5 E   960   90    80  Over Lamon Bay
98 OCT 22 1200  15.0 N  122.0 E   965  115    80  Near Polillo Island
98 OCT 22 1800  15.3 N  121.3 E   970   95    65  Inland
98 OCT 23 0000  16.0 N  120.6 E   975   85    65    "
98 OCT 23 0600  16.6 N  119.3 E   975   75    65  Over water
98 OCT 23 1200  16.7 N  118.9 E   975   80    65
98 OCT 23 1800  17.3 N  118.8 E   975   80    65  See Note
98 OCT 24 0000  18.0 N  118.2 E   970   80    70  PAGASA: 17.9 N, 118.1 E
98 OCT 24 0600  17.5 N  117.2 E   970   80    70
98 OCT 24 1200  18.2 N  116.9 E   965   80    75
98 OCT 24 1800  18.5 N  116.5 E   965   80    75
98 OCT 25 0000  18.7 N  116.4 E   970   75    70
98 OCT 25 0600  19.4 N  115.9 E   965   75    70
98 OCT 25 1200  20.3 N  115.7 E   965   75    70  JMA: 20.5 N, 116.6 E
98 OCT 25 1800  20.8 N  116.0 E   965   75    70
98 OCT 26 0000  21.1 N  116.4 E   970   65    65
98 OCT 26 0600  21.8 N  116.8 E   975   65    60
98 OCT 26 1200  22.8 N  117.4 E   975   75    60
98 OCT 26 1800  23.3 N  118.1 E   980   65    55
98 OCT 27 0000  23.7 N  118.3 E   990   55    45
98 OCT 27 0600  24.1 N  118.5 E   994   45    45  JMA: 23.6 N, 117.8 E
98 OCT 27 1200  24.3 N  118.6 E         30
98 OCT 27 1800  24.7 N  119.0 E         25

Note:  The 10-min MSW reported from 0600 UTC on 19 Oct through 1800 UTC
on 23 Oct were taken from PAGASA's advisories and in general ran from
10-20 kts higher than JMA's values.  The highest MSW assigned by JMA
was 85 kts from 20/1200 UTC until 21/1200 UTC.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

NOTE:  The tracking and intensity information for North Indian Ocean
       Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational
       warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. 
       Air Force and Navy (JTWC) on the island of Guam.  For weaker
       systems not in warning status by JTWC, information gleaned from
       the twice-daily issuances of the Indian Meteorological Depart-
       ment (IMD) was used to complete the tracks.  These bulletins
       usually give analyzed center positions at either 0300 or 0600
       UTC and 1200 or 1500 UTC.
       
       The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by
       all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical
       cyclone warnings.  For synoptic observations in the North Indian
       region, both 10-min and 3-min average winds are employed, but
       IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating
       tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-min avg MSW is implied.
       In the North Indian basin JTWC usually does not initiate warnings
       until a system is well-organized and it is likely to attain
       tropical storm status within 48 hours.

       Windspeeds are usually not reported in the IMD bulletins. Systems
       are usually classified as depressions, deep depressions, or
       cyclonic storms.   For depressions I assigned a MSW of 25 kts and
       for deep depressions 30 kts.  For the early stages of TC-05A,
       which was described as just a low-pressure area, I listed 20 kts
       as the MSW.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: NONE    Basin: NIO

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 08 0300  14.0 N   67.0 E         30
98 OCT 08 1200  14.5 N   66.0 E         30
98 OCT 09 0600  15.5 N   63.5 E         25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Cyclone      Cyclone Number: 05A     Basin: NIO

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 10 0600  12.0 N   69.0 E         20        Based on IMD Bulletin
98 OCT 10 1200  13.0 N   68.5 E         20          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 11 1200  14.5 N   67.5 E         20          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 12 1200  15.0 N   65.0 E         25          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 13 0300  15.5 N   64.0 E         25          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 13 1200  16.0 N   65.0 E         25          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 14 0300  16.0 N   63.0 E         25          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 14 1200  17.0 N   62.0 E         25          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 15 0600  17.5 N   61.5 E         30          "    "  "     "
98 OCT 16 0000  17.0 N   65.8 E         35        JTWC Warning
98 OCT 16 1200  18.3 N   68.6 E         35          "     "
98 OCT 17 0000  20.3 N   69.5 E         35          "     "
98 OCT 17 1200  21.1 N   69.7 E         30          "     "

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: NONE    Basin: NIO

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 13 1200  15.5 N   82.5 E         25
98 OCT 14 0300  15.5 N   82.0 E         25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: Tropical Depression   Cyclone Number: NONE    Basin: NIO

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 28 0600  13.0 N   85.0 E         30
98 OCT 28 1500  13.0 N   84.0 E         30
98 OCT 29 0300  13.5 N   83.0 E         30
98 OCT 29 0900  14.0 N   82.5 E         25

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

AUSTRALIAN REGION (AUS) - From Longitude 90E Eastward to Longitude 160E

NOTE:  The tracking information presented below was obtained from
       operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
       at Perth, Western Australia.   JTWC warnings were utilized for
       making comparisons and supplying information for times when the
       Perth warning was unavailable.     The 10-min MSW values were
       obtained from the Perth warnings while the 1-min MSW values were
       assigned by JTWC.

       The tropical cyclone warnings from Perth report the analyzed
       cyclone positions at 0400, 1000, 1600, and 2200 UTC instead of
       the more familiar 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UTC utilized by most
       TC warning agencies.   I have made no attempt to interpolate the
       coordinates to standard synoptic hours as I did last season.

*************************************************************************
 
Storm Name: ZELIA                 Cyclone Number: 03S     Basin: AUS

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

98 OCT 07 0000  11.1 S   91.6 E         35        JTWC Warning
98 OCT 07 0400  10.5 S   91.8 E  1000         30
98 OCT 07 1000  11.9 S   92.2 E  1000   35    30  JTWC: 12.0S,93.9E(12Z)
98 OCT 07 1600  12.5 S   94.0 E   998         30  See Note
98 OCT 07 2200  12.8 S   94.5 E   997   35    30  JTWC: 14.0S,95.4E(00Z)
98 OCT 08 0400  14.0 S   95.0 E   997         30
98 OCT 08 1000  15.0 S   94.5 E   990   45    40  JTWC: 15.1S,95.3E(12Z)
98 OCT 08 1600  16.0 S   94.9 E   985         55
98 OCT 08 2200  17.5 S   96.2 E   985   45    50
98 OCT 09 0400  15.0 S   95.5 E   998         35  Re-location 
98 OCT 09 1200  14.5 S   96.5 E         35        JTWC Warning
98 OCT 10 0000  14.3 S   97.1 E         35          "     "
98 OCT 10 1200  13.6 S   95.4 E         35          "     "

Note: The 07/1600 UTC bulletin from Perth TCWC indicated that gales to
35 kts might already exist in the southern quadrant.  Both Perth and
JTWC tracked Zelia to 17.5 S (based upon nighttime infrared imagery)
and then re-located the low-level center to near 15.0 S after visible
pictures became available on the 9th.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak9810.htm
Updated: 18th March 2008

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