[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks September 2002
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks September 2002 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - SEPTEMBER 2002
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
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ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm EDOUARD (05) 01 - 06 Sep
Tropical Storm FAY (06) 04 - 11 Sep
Tropical Depression (07) 07 - 08 Sep
Hurricane GUSTAV (08) 07 - 14 Sep
Tropical Storm HANNA (09) 12 - 16 Sep
Hurricane ISIDORE (10) 14 - 27 Sep
Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE (11) 17 - 19 Sep
Hurricane KYLE (12) 20 Sep - 17 Oct
Hurricane LILI (13) 21 Sep - 04 Oct
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Storm Name: EDOUARD Cyclone Number: 05 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 01 0000 28.3 N 76.4 W 25 From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 01 0600 28.5 N 77.3 W 25
02 SEP 01 1200 28.7 N 78.1 W 25
02 SEP 01 1800 28.9 N 78.9 W 1013 30 First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 02 0000 29.6 N 79.2 W 1010 30
02 SEP 02 0600 30.1 N 79.7 W 1007 35
02 SEP 02 1200 30.4 N 79.6 W 1007 35
02 SEP 02 1800 30.5 N 79.2 W 1005 35
02 SEP 03 0000 30.5 N 78.7 W 1003 35
02 SEP 03 0600 30.4 N 78.6 W 1003 35
02 SEP 03 1200 30.4 N 78.4 W 1003 55
02 SEP 03 1800 30.0 N 79.1 W 1004 45
02 SEP 04 0000 29.7 N 79.1 W 1005 35
02 SEP 04 0600 29.8 N 79.5 W 1002 35
02 SEP 04 1200 29.9 N 79.7 W 1008 35
02 SEP 04 1800 29.7 N 80.5 W 1009 35
02 SEP 05 0000 29.4 N 81.0 W 1009 35 On NE Florida coast
02 SEP 05 0600 29.1 N 81.6 W 1010 25 Inland/See Note
02 SEP 05 1200 28.8 N 82.6 W 1011 20
02 SEP 05 1800 28.7 N 83.4 W 1011 20 Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 06 0000 28.4 N 83.9 W 1009 20
02 SEP 06 0600 28.3 N 84.7 W 1009 20
02 SEP 06 1200 28.5 N 86.0 W 1008 20
Note: Edouard was downgraded to a 30-kt tropical depression at 0300 UTC
on 5 September.
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Storm Name: FAY Cyclone Number: 06 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 04 0600 28.0 N 93.5 W 25 From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 04 1200 28.0 N 93.5 W 25
02 SEP 04 1800 28.1 N 93.5 W 25
02 SEP 05 0000 28.1 N 93.5 W 25
02 SEP 05 0600 28.1 N 93.5 W 25
02 SEP 05 1200 28.1 N 93.5 W 30
02 SEP 05 1800 28.0 N 93.8 W 1009 30 First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 06 0000 28.0 N 93.3 W 1006 30
02 SEP 06 0600 27.6 N 94.1 W 1005 35 Upgraded at 06/0300Z
02 SEP 06 1200 27.9 N 94.8 W 1001 50
02 SEP 06 1800 27.8 N 94.7 W 999 50
02 SEP 07 0000 27.8 N 95.0 W 998 50
02 SEP 07 0600 28.0 N 95.5 W 999 50
02 SEP 07 1200 29.1 N 96.9 W 1002 45 Inland in Texas
02 SEP 07 1500 29.2 N 97.3 W 1002 30 Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 07 2100 28.7 N 98.2 W 1005 17 HPC Summary
02 SEP 08 0300 28.9 N 99.2 W 1003 17 Winds 30 kts on coast
02 SEP 08 0900 28.9 N 99.5 W 1005 17 Winds 25 kts on coast
02 SEP 08 1500 28.8 N 99.4 W 1006 17
02 SEP 08 2100 28.8 N 99.2 W 1008 17
02 SEP 09 0300 28.7 N 99.1 W 1007 17
02 SEP 09 0900 28.7 N 99.1 W 1009 17
02 SEP 09 1500 28.1 N 99.6 W 1010 13
02 SEP 09 2100 27.6 N 99.6 W 1007 9
02 SEP 10 0300 27.4 N 99.4 W 1007 17 Over northern Mexico
02 SEP 10 0900 27.0 N 99.9 W 1008 13
02 SEP 10 1500 26.6 N 100.3 W 1008 13
02 SEP 10 2100 25.6 N 99.8 W 1008 17
02 SEP 11 0300 26.1 N 100.1 W 1008 13
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 07 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 07 1200 24.4 N 47.7 W 1009 30
02 SEP 07 1800 24.5 N 48.2 W 1015 30
02 SEP 08 0000 24.4 N 49.1 W 1016 30
02 SEP 08 0600 24.6 N 50.0 W 1016 25
02 SEP 08 1200 24.4 N 51.3 W 1016 25
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Storm Name: GUSTAV Cyclone Number: 08 Basin: ATL
(Initially named as Subtropical Storm Gustav)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 07 1800 25.7 N 72.4 W 30 From Navy JMV File
02 SEP 08 0000 26.7 N 71.8 W 30
02 SEP 08 0600 27.8 N 71.3 W 30
02 SEP 08 1200 28.1 N 70.3 W 1010 30 First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 08 1800 30.2 N 71.0 W 1008 35
02 SEP 09 0000 30.9 N 72.1 W 1004 35
02 SEP 09 0600 31.4 N 73.0 W 1004 40
02 SEP 09 1200 31.7 N 73.6 W 1002 40
02 SEP 09 1800 32.0 N 74.4 W 999 40
02 SEP 10 0000 32.2 N 75.5 W 996 45
02 SEP 10 0600 33.0 N 75.8 W 989 50
02 SEP 10 1200 33.7 N 75.4 W 987 50 Reclassified as TS
02 SEP 10 1800 35.0 N 75.4 W 985 50 SE of Cape Hatteras
02 SEP 11 0000 35.7 N 74.7 W 984 50
02 SEP 11 0600 37.0 N 72.7 W 975 60
02 SEP 11 1200 38.1 N 70.8 W 975 65
02 SEP 11 1800 40.1 N 67.4 W 964 80
02 SEP 12 0000 43.3 N 62.7 W 964 70 See Note
02 SEP 12 0600 46.5 N 60.0 W 960 65 Becoming extratropical
02 SEP 12 1200 48.0 N 58.0 W 967 55 Extratropical
02 SEP 12 1800 50.0 N 56.0 W 967 55
02 SEP 13 0000 51.0 N 54.0 W 968 55
02 SEP 13 0600 53.0 N 52.0 W 968 50
02 SEP 13 1200 55.0 N 52.0 W 972 50
02 SEP 13 1800 56.0 N 49.0 W 976 50
02 SEP 14 0000 57.0 N 52.0 W 982 50
02 SEP 14 0600 58.0 N 53.0 W 984 50
02 SEP 14 1200 60.0 N 54.0 W 988 40 Pressure interpolated
02 SEP 14 1800 61.0 N 54.0 W 992 40
Note: Hurricane Gustav crossed over Nova Scotia's Cape Breton Island
between 12/0300 and 0600 UTC. The 12/0600 UTC position is just off the
island's northeastern shore. At 1200 UTC the center of Post-tropical
Gustav was over southeastern Newfoundland and by 1800 UTC was moving
off the island's northern coastline. The track information following
NHC's final advisory at 12/0900 UTC was taken from MPC's High Seas
Forecasts.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HANNA Cyclone Number: 09 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 12 0000 26.3 N 86.6 W 1001 30
02 SEP 12 0600 26.7 N 86.4 W 1001 30
02 SEP 12 1200 27.0 N 86.7 W 1003 30
02 SEP 12 1800 27.2 N 87.5 W 1001 30
02 SEP 13 0000 26.6 N 87.9 W 1001 30
02 SEP 13 0600 26.7 N 88.0 W 1002 40
02 SEP 13 1200 27.3 N 89.3 W 1003 40
02 SEP 13 1800 27.7 N 89.4 W 1003 40
02 SEP 14 0000 27.9 N 89.1 W 1001 45
02 SEP 14 0600 28.7 N 89.1 W 1003 45
02 SEP 14 1200 30.1 N 88.8 W 1002 45
02 SEP 14 1800 30.8 N 88.0 W 1005 30
02 SEP 14 2100 31.1 N 87.9 W 1005 25 Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 15 0300 31.8 N 86.5 W 1010 17 HPC Summary
02 SEP 15 0900 32.2 N 85.2 W 1012 5 See Note #1
02 SEP 15 1500 33.8 N 85.0 W 1016 5
02 SEP 15 2100 34.4 N 82.4 W 1015 5
02 SEP 16 0300 33.7 N 81.2 W 1015 5
02 SEP 16 0900 35.6 N 81.3 W 1014 5 See Note #2
Note #1: From 15/0900 UTC onward the HPC summaries did not give any value
for the maximum winds associated with Hanna's remnants, only saying that
winds were light near the center. Since summaries for previous storms
have given winds as low as 10 mph (9 kts), I elected to represent the
"light winds" with 5 kts. The 15/0900 UTC summary did indicate that
gusts to 20 mph (17 kts) had been observed in thunderstorms well east of
the center.
Note #2: The MPC High Seas Forecast for 16/1800 UTC mentioned an inland
1014-mb LOW near 36N, 77W, moving east-northeastward at 20 kts. Winds
to 25 kts and seas to 8 ft were forecast within 240 nm in the south and
southeastern quadrants. Whether this was the same center which had
been Hanna or a new baroclinic development, I do not know--the 1800 UTC
position suggests it could have been Hanna. However, the 17/0000 UTC
warning did not refer to this LOW, although it did mention a 24-hour
forecast LOW to be near 37N, 69W. Because of this uncertainty, I chose
to end Hanna's track with the final HPC summary.
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Storm Name: ISIDORE Cyclone Number: 10 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 14 1800 10.0 N 60.5 W 1009 25
02 SEP 15 0000 10.2 N 62.4 W 1009 25 Over Venezuela
02 SEP 15 0600 10.5 N 64.2 W 1009 25
02 SEP 15 1200 11.1 N 66.2 W 1009 25 Final advisory
02 SEP 17 1200 15.9 N 76.8 W 1009 30 Center redeveloped
02 SEP 17 1800 16.1 N 77.4 W 1006 30
02 SEP 18 0000 16.7 N 77.7 W 1006 30
02 SEP 18 0600 17.0 N 78.1 W 1006 35
02 SEP 18 1200 17.6 N 78.5 W 1003 40
02 SEP 18 1800 18.7 N 78.6 W 999 45
02 SEP 19 0000 19.4 N 79.2 W 998 50
02 SEP 19 0600 19.7 N 80.4 W 990 55
02 SEP 19 1200 19.9 N 80.9 W 990 60
02 SEP 19 1800 20.4 N 81.7 W 984 65
02 SEP 20 0000 20.7 N 82.3 W 979 70
02 SEP 20 0600 21.1 N 83.0 W 967 75
02 SEP 20 1200 21.5 N 83.5 W 966 90
02 SEP 20 1800 21.8 N 84.1 W 965 85 Near coast of W Cuba
02 SEP 21 0000 22.2 N 84.3 W 964 85 Over western Cuba
02 SEP 21 0600 22.3 N 85.1 W 964 85 Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 21 1200 22.0 N 85.8 W 955 90
02 SEP 21 1800 21.9 N 86.1 W 946 105
02 SEP 22 0000 22.2 N 86.4 W 946 110
02 SEP 22 0600 22.0 N 87.4 W 936 110
02 SEP 22 1200 21.9 N 88.2 W 934 110
02 SEP 22 1800 21.7 N 89.0 W 934 110
02 SEP 23 0000 21.0 N 89.4 W 950 105 Inland over Yucatan
02 SEP 23 0600 20.6 N 89.6 W 952 70
02 SEP 23 1200 20.1 N 89.6 W 960 60
02 SEP 23 1800 20.3 N 89.4 W 968 50
02 SEP 24 0000 20.5 N 89.3 W 980 40
02 SEP 24 0600 21.0 N 89.5 W 985 35
02 SEP 24 1200 21.8 N 89.8 W 987 50 Over Gulf of Mexico
02 SEP 24 1800 22.1 N 89.8 W 988 50
02 SEP 25 0000 23.0 N 89.7 W 987 50
02 SEP 25 0600 24.2 N 89.7 W 990 50
02 SEP 25 1200 25.7 N 90.2 W 990 50
02 SEP 25 1800 26.3 N 90.5 W 989 50
02 SEP 26 0000 27.5 N 90.3 W 989 55
02 SEP 26 0600 29.2 N 90.3 W 986 55 Near Louisiana coast
02 SEP 26 1200 30.0 N 89.9 W 985 55 Inland
02 SEP 26 1800 32.2 N 89.8 W 988 45
02 SEP 26 2100 33.0 N 89.7 W 988 30 Final NHC Advisory
02 SEP 27 0300 34.8 N 88.8 W 992 17 HPC Summary
02 SEP 27 0900 36.2 N 86.3 W 995 15
02 SEP 27 1500 39.3 N 82.7 W 998 17
02 SEP 27 2100 41.0 N 79.5 W 999 17 Extratropical
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: JOSEPHINE Cyclone Number: 11 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 17 1800 33.2 N 52.8 W 1015 30
02 SEP 18 0000 33.7 N 52.5 W 1014 30
02 SEP 18 0600 34.7 N 52.5 W 1009 35
02 SEP 18 1200 35.5 N 52.0 W 1009 35
02 SEP 18 1800 36.6 N 50.5 W 1009 35
02 SEP 19 0000 38.1 N 48.8 W 1009 35
02 SEP 19 0600 39.8 N 47.1 W 1009 35
02 SEP 19 1200 41.5 N 43.5 W 1004 50 Extratropical/Final Adv
02 SEP 19 1800 45.0 N 41.0 W 1002 30 MPC High Seas Forecast
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Storm Name: KYLE Cyclone Number: 12 Basin: ATL
(Initially named as Subtropical Storm Kyle)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 20 1200 28.0 N 52.0 W 1010 25 From High Seas Forecast
02 SEP 20 1800 28.1 N 51.9 W 1007 25 First NHC Advisory
02 SEP 21 0000 29.6 N 51.2 W 1007 30
02 SEP 21 0600 30.4 N 51.6 W 1007 35
02 SEP 21 1200 31.0 N 51.6 W 1007 40
02 SEP 21 1800 31.7 N 51.3 W 1006 40
02 SEP 22 0000 31.9 N 51.4 W 1006 40
02 SEP 22 0600 32.1 N 51.5 W 1006 40
02 SEP 22 1200 33.2 N 49.9 W 1006 40
02 SEP 22 1800 33.2 N 49.4 W 1006 40 Reclassified as TS
02 SEP 23 0000 33.2 N 49.1 W 1007 35
02 SEP 23 0600 33.0 N 49.6 W 1007 35
02 SEP 23 1200 32.3 N 49.5 W 1005 35
02 SEP 23 1800 31.9 N 49.6 W 1003 40
02 SEP 24 0000 31.5 N 50.1 W 1003 40
02 SEP 24 0600 31.0 N 50.4 W 1000 45
02 SEP 24 1200 30.5 N 50.7 W 1000 45
02 SEP 24 1800 30.3 N 51.1 W 994 55
02 SEP 25 0000 30.0 N 52.1 W 994 55
02 SEP 25 0600 29.7 N 53.7 W 994 55
02 SEP 25 1200 29.3 N 54.4 W 990 60
02 SEP 25 1800 29.0 N 55.3 W 987 65
02 SEP 26 0000 28.7 N 56.6 W 987 65
02 SEP 26 0600 28.2 N 57.5 W 980 75
02 SEP 26 1200 27.9 N 58.3 W 980 75
02 SEP 26 1800 27.8 N 59.0 W 980 75
02 SEP 27 0000 27.5 N 59.5 W 980 75
02 SEP 27 0600 27.1 N 60.0 W 980 75
02 SEP 27 1200 27.1 N 60.4 W 980 75
02 SEP 27 1800 26.9 N 60.6 W 984 70
02 SEP 28 0000 26.7 N 61.1 W 984 70
02 SEP 28 0600 26.2 N 62.1 W 987 65
02 SEP 28 1200 26.3 N 63.1 W 990 60
02 SEP 28 1800 26.7 N 63.2 W 997 50
02 SEP 29 0000 27.1 N 63.7 W 1000 45
02 SEP 29 0600 27.2 N 64.4 W 1002 40
02 SEP 29 1200 27.7 N 64.7 W 1002 40
02 SEP 29 1800 28.4 N 64.6 W 1002 40
02 SEP 30 0000 28.7 N 64.6 W 1002 40
02 SEP 30 0600 29.2 N 64.5 W 1002 40
02 SEP 30 1200 29.8 N 64.8 W 1002 40
02 SEP 30 1800 27.5 N 67.0 W 1005 40
02 OCT 01 0000 27.4 N 67.1 W 1005 30
02 OCT 01 0600 28.5 N 66.8 W 1008 30
02 OCT 01 1200 28.1 N 67.2 W 1005 35
02 OCT 01 1800 28.5 N 67.5 W 1002 40
02 OCT 02 0000 28.4 N 67.7 W 1000 45
02 OCT 02 0600 28.5 N 67.8 W 1000 45
02 OCT 02 1200 28.8 N 67.7 W 997 50
02 OCT 02 1800 29.0 N 66.9 W 991 60
02 OCT 03 0000 29.1 N 66.7 W 994 55
02 OCT 03 0600 29.0 N 66.6 W 994 55
02 OCT 03 1200 29.0 N 67.2 W 1000 45
02 OCT 03 1800 29.3 N 67.7 W 1000 45
02 OCT 04 0000 29.4 N 68.0 W 1000 45
02 OCT 04 0600 29.6 N 68.4 W 1005 35
02 OCT 04 1200 30.1 N 69.5 W 1004 35
02 OCT 04 1800 30.6 N 70.2 W 1004 35
02 OCT 05 0000 31.1 N 70.9 W 1004 35
02 OCT 05 0600 31.6 N 71.6 W 1006 30
02 OCT 05 1200 32.1 N 71.3 W 1005 30
02 OCT 05 1800 33.0 N 70.8 W 1005 30
02 OCT 06 0000 33.2 N 70.1 W 1006 30
02 OCT 06 0600 33.4 N 69.4 W 1008 30
02 OCT 06 1200 33.7 N 69.7 W 1007 35
02 OCT 06 1800 32.7 N 69.7 W 1006 35
02 OCT 07 0000 32.6 N 69.7 W 1006 35
02 OCT 07 0600 33.0 N 70.6 W 1006 35
02 OCT 07 1200 32.6 N 70.8 W 1006 35
02 OCT 07 1800 32.7 N 70.9 W 1006 35
02 OCT 08 0000 32.6 N 71.0 W 1006 35
02 OCT 08 0600 32.1 N 71.2 W 1006 35
02 OCT 08 1200 31.4 N 71.3 W 1006 35
02 OCT 08 1800 30.7 N 71.9 W 1009 30
02 OCT 09 0000 29.8 N 72.4 W 1010 30
02 OCT 09 0600 29.0 N 73.3 W 1009 30
02 OCT 09 1200 28.7 N 74.0 W 1009 30
02 OCT 09 1800 28.5 N 74.8 W 1011 25
02 OCT 10 0000 28.4 N 75.8 W 1010 25
02 OCT 10 0600 28.3 N 77.0 W 1010 25
02 OCT 10 1200 28.4 N 78.1 W 1010 25
02 OCT 10 1800 28.9 N 79.5 W 1010 30
02 OCT 11 0000 29.8 N 80.2 W 1009 30
02 OCT 11 0600 30.7 N 80.8 W 1008 35
02 OCT 11 1200 31.8 N 80.7 W 1008 40
02 OCT 11 1800 33.4 N 79.1 W 1008 40
02 OCT 12 0000 34.2 N 78.0 W 1012 30
02 OCT 12 0600 35.4 N 75.9 W 1009 40
02 OCT 12 1200 36.7 N 74.1 W 1009 40 Becoming XT/Final Adv
02 OCT 12 1800 36.0 N 72.0 W 1009 40 MPC High Seas Forecast
02 OCT 13 0000 38.5 N 66.5 W 1004 40 Canadian Hurr Ctr Stmt
02 OCT 13 0600 39.0 N 66.0 W 1009 40 CHC: 37.5 N, 69.0 W
02 OCT 13 1200 38.0 N 66.0 W 1006 40 MPC High Seas Forecast
02 OCT 13 1800 38.0 N 63.0 W 1006 40
02 OCT 14 0000 38.0 N 62.0 W 1006 45
02 OCT 14 0600 37.0 N 61.0 W 1006 40
02 OCT 14 1200 36.0 N 59.0 W 1006 40
02 OCT 14 1800 37.0 N 57.0 W 1006 35
02 OCT 15 0000 38.0 N 59.0 W 1006 35
02 OCT 15 0600 38.0 N 57.0 W 1006 30 Relocation
02 OCT 15 1200 38.0 N 56.0 W 1006 40
02 OCT 15 1800 38.0 N 53.0 W 1004 40
02 OCT 16 0000 37.0 N 53.0 W 1004 40
02 OCT 16 0600 37.0 N 49.0 W 998 50
02 OCT 16 1200 37.0 N 46.0 W 1002 50
02 OCT 16 1800 36.0 N 44.0 W 1002 40
02 OCT 17 0000 35.0 N 43.0 W 1008 35
02 OCT 17 0600 37.0 N 40.0 W 1006 35
02 OCT 17 1200 37.0 N 36.0 W 1005 30
02 OCT 17 1800 39.0 N 33.0 W 996 30
Note: Below is an alternate track for the extratropical stage of
Kyle, beginning at 13/0000 UTC, prepared by Chris Fogarty of the
Canadian Maritimes Weather Center. The track is based upon manual
surface analyses prepared at the Halifax office. Chris writes that
he performed a bit of interpolation in an attempt to come up with a
"best extratropical track". A special thanks to Chris for compiling
the track and sending it to me.
Date Time Lat Lon Cent
(GMT) Press
(mb) Remarks
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 OCT 13 0000 37.5 N 68.5 W 1007
02 OCT 13 0600 38.0 N 66.0 W 1009
02 OCT 13 1200 37.8 N 64.6 W 1006
02 OCT 13 1800 37.6 N 63.5 W 1005
02 OCT 14 0000 37.8 N 62.0 W 1005
02 OCT 14 0600 37.2 N 62.6 W 1004
02 OCT 14 1200 38.3 N 63.4 W 1004
02 OCT 14 1800 39.5 N 62.5 W 1003
02 OCT 15 0000 39.6 N 60.4 W 1002
02 OCT 15 0600 39.6 N 58.2 W 998
02 OCT 15 1200 39.0 N 56.5 W 996
02 OCT 15 1800 38.6 N 55.0 W 998
02 OCT 16 0000 38.0 N 52.0 W 998
02 OCT 16 0600 37.4 N 49.4 W 998
02 OCT 16 1200 36.3 N 46.9 W 998
02 OCT 16 1800 35.7 N 44.5 W 999
02 OCT 17 0000 34.9 N 41.7 W 1002
02 OCT 17 0600 36.0 N 39.0 W 1000
02 OCT 17 1200 37.0 N 35.0 W 998
02 OCT 17 1800 38.5 N 31.0 W 995 Last point for post-Kyle center
02 OCT 18 0000 42.5 N 35.0 W Absorbed by large XT LOW
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: LILI Cyclone Number: 13 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 21 1800 10.4 N 44.9 W 1009 30
02 SEP 22 0000 10.2 N 46.0 W 1006 30
02 SEP 22 0600 10.6 N 47.8 W 1006 30
02 SEP 22 1200 12.0 N 51.0 W 1007 30
02 SEP 22 1800 12.0 N 53.0 W 1005 30
02 SEP 23 0000 12.1 N 55.0 W 1005 30
02 SEP 23 0600 12.5 N 57.4 W 1005 30
02 SEP 23 1200 12.4 N 58.7 W 1004 30 Near Barbados
02 SEP 23 1800 12.5 N 60.4 W 1004 50 Upgraded at 1530Z
02 SEP 24 0000 12.7 N 62.0 W 1006 50 Near Grenadine Islands
02 SEP 24 0600 12.8 N 63.8 W 1006 50
02 SEP 24 1200 13.0 N 64.9 W 1004 60
02 SEP 24 1800 13.2 N 66.0 W 1006 60
02 SEP 25 0000 13.4 N 66.9 W 1008 35
02 SEP 25 0600 13.9 N 67.9 W 1008 35
02 SEP 25 1200 13.9 N 68.8 W 1008 40
02 SEP 25 1800 14.2 N 69.3 W 1007 40
02 SEP 26 0000 14.0 N 70.0 W 1007 40
02 SEP 26 0600 14.3 N 70.5 W 1007 35
02 SEP 26 1200 15.0 N 72.1 W 1006 30 Broad LLCC/Last Adv
02 SEP 26 1800 16.0 N 73.0 W 1006 25 From High Seas Forecast
02 SEP 27 0000 15.5 N 73.2 W 1006 30 Advisories Re-initiated
02 SEP 27 0600 15.9 N 74.7 W 1006 30
02 SEP 27 1200 16.1 N 74.6 W 1005 30
02 SEP 27 1800 16.7 N 75.0 W 1004 40 Upgraded at 27/1500Z
02 SEP 28 0000 17.4 N 75.1 W 999 45
02 SEP 28 0600 17.5 N 75.5 W 999 45
02 SEP 28 1200 18.0 N 75.5 W 1000 45
02 SEP 28 1800 18.4 N 75.6 W 1003 45
02 SEP 29 0000 18.8 N 76.0 W 1000 40
02 SEP 29 0600 18.9 N 76.8 W 1000 40
02 SEP 29 1200 18.7 N 77.3 W 994 45
02 SEP 29 1800 18.7 N 77.6 W 994 50
02 SEP 30 0000 19.0 N 78.1 W 989 55
02 SEP 30 0600 19.1 N 78.7 W 991 60
02 SEP 30 1200 19.6 N 79.6 W 986 65
02 SEP 30 1800 20.0 N 80.2 W 984 65
02 OCT 01 0000 20.5 N 81.1 W 978 70
02 OCT 01 0600 21.0 N 82.2 W 975 75
02 OCT 01 1200 21.6 N 83.2 W 971 75 Over Isle of Youth
02 OCT 01 1800 22.4 N 84.4 W 970 85 Over western Cuba
02 OCT 02 0000 23.0 N 85.7 W 966 90
02 OCT 02 0600 23.6 N 87.2 W 955 95
02 OCT 02 1200 24.4 N 88.3 W 953 105
02 OCT 02 1800 25.4 N 89.5 W 938 115
02 OCT 03 0000 26.6 N 90.3 W 942 125
02 OCT 03 0600 28.1 N 91.4 W 957 115
02 OCT 03 1200 29.2 N 92.1 W 965 85
02 OCT 03 1800 30.5 N 92.3 W 982 60 Inland in Louisiana
02 OCT 04 0000 31.9 N 92.1 W 989 40
02 OCT 04 0600 33.4 N 91.4 W 994 35
02 OCT 04 0900 34.3 N 90.9 W 994 30 Final NHC Advisory
02 OCT 04 1500 37.4 N 88.7 W 999 25 HPC Summary
Note: The final HPC Summary at 04/2100 UTC stated that no closed
circulation had been evident since 1800 UTC and that the remnants of
Lili were being absorbed by a low-pressure system in the northern
Great Lakes area.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (11E) 05 - 08 Sep
Tropical Storm ISELLE (12E) 15 - 20 Sep
Tropical Storm JULIO (13E) 25 - 26 Sep
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 11E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 05 1800 18.9 N 107.5 W 1007 25
02 SEP 06 0000 19.5 N 107.8 W 1007 30
02 SEP 06 0600 20.2 N 108.7 W 1007 30
02 SEP 06 1200 20.6 N 109.7 W 1007 30
02 SEP 06 1800 21.2 N 110.6 W 1007 30
02 SEP 07 0000 21.4 N 111.3 W 1007 30
02 SEP 07 0600 21.5 N 111.5 W 1006 30
02 SEP 07 1200 21.5 N 112.0 W 1009 30
02 SEP 07 1800 20.8 N 112.8 W 1007 25
02 SEP 08 0000 21.1 N 113.3 W 1006 25
02 SEP 08 0600 21.5 N 113.6 W 1006 25
02 SEP 08 1200 21.9 N 113.9 W 1008 20
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: ISELLE Cyclone Number: 12E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 15 0600 15.2 N 104.0 W 1005 25
02 SEP 15 1200 15.3 N 104.5 W 1005 25
02 SEP 15 1800 15.6 N 105.9 W 1006 25
02 SEP 15 1800 16.2 N 105.5 W 1002 40
02 SEP 16 0000 16.9 N 106.8 W 1001 40
02 SEP 16 0600 17.4 N 108.0 W 1000 40
02 SEP 16 1200 18.0 N 109.0 W 998 45
02 SEP 16 1800 19.2 N 110.4 W 998 45
02 SEP 17 0000 20.0 N 111.6 W 996 50
02 SEP 17 0600 20.7 N 112.9 W 994 55
02 SEP 17 1200 21.5 N 113.8 W 994 55
02 SEP 17 1800 21.7 N 114.0 W 990 60
02 SEP 18 0000 21.9 N 114.6 W 990 55
02 SEP 18 0600 22.1 N 114.8 W 998 45
02 SEP 18 1200 22.3 N 114.7 W 1002 40
02 SEP 18 1800 22.5 N 114.0 W 1005 35
02 SEP 19 0000 22.7 N 113.7 W 1005 35
02 SEP 19 0600 23.0 N 113.3 W 1005 35
02 SEP 19 1200 23.6 N 113.0 W 1004 35
02 SEP 19 1800 23.8 N 112.5 W 1004 30
02 SEP 20 0000 24.1 N 112.6 W 1003 25
02 SEP 20 0600 24.5 N 112.8 W 1005 25
02 SEP 20 1200 24.9 N 113.0 W 1006 20
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: JULIO Cyclone Number: 13E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 25 1200 16.0 N 101.8 W 1003 30
02 SEP 25 1800 17.0 N 101.9 W 1000 30
02 SEP 26 0000 17.9 N 102.4 W 1000 40 Upgraded at 25/2100Z
02 SEP 26 0600 18.7 N 103.6 W 1002 35 Inland in Mexico
02 SEP 26 1200 19.4 N 104.4 W 1004 25 Downgraded at 26/0900Z
02 SEP 26 1800 20.0 N 104.0 W 1005 20
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National
Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau
of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A very
special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so
reliably provide.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (23W / 0218) 09 - 17 Sep
Tropical Storm CHANGMI (0219) 18 - 25 Sep
Tropical Depression 21 - 22 Sep
Tropical Storm MEKKHALA (24W / 0220) 23 - 28 Sep
Super Typhoon HIGOS (25W / 0221) 26 Sep - 05 Oct
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HAGUPIT Cyclone Number: 23W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0218
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 09 1800 19.5 N 119.3 E 1002 15 25 JTWC TCFA
02 SEP 10 0000 19.5 N 119.0 E 1002 25 25 JMA: 19.0 N, 118.0 E
02 SEP 10 0600 19.7 N 118.5 E 998 30 30 JMA: 19.6 N, 117.8 E
02 SEP 10 1200 20.6 N 116.9 E 994 35 30 NMCC: 20.5 N, 116.1 E
02 SEP 10 1800 20.6 N 115.8 E 994 35 30
02 SEP 11 0000 20.7 N 114.8 E 992 40 35 JMA: 20.4 N, 114.1 E
02 SEP 11 0600 21.1 N 113.5 E 990 45 40 HKO Pressure: 975 mb
02 SEP 11 1200 21.3 N 112.7 E 985 45 50
02 SEP 11 1800 21.6 N 112.3 E 990 30 45 Near coast
02 SEP 12 0000 22.0 N 110.8 E 998 25 30 Inland in China
02 SEP 12 0600 22.0 N 109.9 E 1000 25 25
02 SEP 12 1200 22.1 N 109.6 E 1001 25 NMCC Bulletins
02 SEP 12 1800 22.2 N 109.1 E 1002 25
02 SEP 13 0000 22.2 N 108.7 E 1003 25
02 SEP 13 0600 22.1 N 108.5 E 1001 25
02 SEP 13 1200 21.0 N 108.0 E 1004 25 JMA Bulletins
02 SEP 13 1800 21.0 N 108.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 14 0000 22.0 N 109.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 14 0600 21.0 N 110.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 14 1200 21.0 N 109.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 14 1800 21.0 N 111.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 15 0000 22.0 N 112.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 15 0600 21.0 N 113.0 E 1002 25
02 SEP 15 1200 22.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 15 1800 22.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 16 0000 21.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 16 0600 21.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 16 1200 21.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 16 1800 20.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25
02 SEP 17 0000 18.0 N 112.0 E 1006 20
02 SEP 17 0600 17.0 N 111.0 E 1006 20
02 SEP 17 1200 16.0 N 111.0 E 1006 20
02 SEP 17 1800 16.0 N 112.0 E 1006 20
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NHCC and HKO are tabulated
below.
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC HKO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 10 0600 30 25
02 SEP 10 1200 35 30
02 SEP 10 1800 35 35
02 SEP 11 0000 45 45
02 SEP 11 0600 50 60
02 SEP 11 1200 60 55
02 SEP 11 1800 60 50
02 SEP 12 0000 40 50
02 SEP 12 0600 35 40
02 SEP 12 1200 30 30
02 SEP 12 1800 25
02 SEP 13 0000 25
02 SEP 13 0600 20
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: CHANGMI Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0219
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 18 1200 18.7 N 145.0 E 1004 30
02 SEP 18 1800 18.8 N 144.5 E 1002 30
02 SEP 19 0000 18.8 N 144.2 E 1002 30
02 SEP 19 0600 18.8 N 145.0 E 1000 30
02 SEP 19 1200 20.0 N 143.0 E 1004 20
02 SEP 19 1800 20.0 N 142.0 E 1002 20
02 SEP 20 0000 22.0 N 140.0 E 1002 20
02 SEP 20 0600 22.0 N 140.0 E 1000 25
02 SEP 20 1200 23.0 N 139.0 E 1000 25
02 SEP 20 1800 24.0 N 138.0 E 1000 25
02 SEP 21 0000 25.0 N 138.0 E 1000 25
02 SEP 21 0600 27.0 N 137.0 E 1000 25
02 SEP 21 1200 28.0 N 136.0 E 998 25
02 SEP 21 1800 29.0 N 136.0 E 996 25
02 SEP 22 0000 29.7 N 138.2 E 990 40
02 SEP 22 0600 30.9 N 138.8 E 985 45
02 SEP 22 1200 31.6 N 140.0 E 985 45
02 SEP 22 1800 32.6 N 142.0 E 985 45
02 SEP 23 0000 36.0 N 146.0 E 986 50 Extratropical
02 SEP 23 0600 37.0 N 149.0 E 984 50
02 SEP 23 1200 39.0 N 154.0 E 976 50
02 SEP 23 1800 41.0 N 158.0 E 980 50
02 SEP 24 0000 44.0 N 164.0 E 984 50
02 SEP 24 0600 45.0 N 168.0 E 980 50
02 SEP 24 1200 46.0 N 171.0 E 980 50
02 SEP 24 1800 48.0 N 175.0 E 976 50
02 SEP 25 0000 51.0 N 176.0 E 972 50
02 SEP 25 0600 53.0 N 179.0 E 968 50
02 SEP 25 1200 54.0 N 178.0 W 960 60
02 SEP 25 1800 55.0 N 176.0 W 958 65
Note: This system was not classified as a tropical cyclone by JTWC.
NMCC, however, did regard Changmi as a tropical storm. Five warnings
were issued, from 22/0000 through 23/0000 UTC, with the 10-min avg MSW
reported at 40 kts during the entire warning period. Center coordinates
agreed well with JMA's except for the final one at 23/0000 UTC--NMCC's
center position was 34.6N, 147.2E.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 21 1800 25.0 N 155.0 E 1008 25 See Note
02 SEP 22 0000 26.0 N 154.0 E 1008 25
02 SEP 22 0600 27.0 N 154.0 E 1008 25
02 SEP 22 1200 28.0 N 153.0 E 1008 25
02 SEP 22 1800 29.0 N 154.0 E 1004 25
Note: JMA was the only warning agency to classify this system as a
tropical depression, including it in the Summary section of their High
Seas Warning and Summary bulletins. No maximum winds were specified,
but inclusion in the Summary portion of the bulletin normally implies
25-kt winds.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: MEKKHALA Cyclone Number: 24W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0220
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 23 1200 15.1 N 112.1 E 1002 25 25 HKO 10-min avg MSW
02 SEP 23 1800 15.3 N 111.7 E 1002 25 25
02 SEP 24 0000 15.6 N 110.6 E 1002 30 25
02 SEP 24 0600 16.0 N 110.2 E 1002 30 25 NMCC: 16.6 N, 110.8 E
02 SEP 24 1200 16.2 N 109.9 E 1002 30 25 NMCC: 16.8 N, 110.3 E
02 SEP 24 1800 17.1 N 110.0 E 1000 40 30 JMA: 17.7 N, 109.2 E
02 SEP 25 0000 17.7 N 109.8 E 996 50 30
02 SEP 25 0600 18.1 N 109.3 E 990 50 45 JMA upgraded at 0300Z
02 SEP 25 1200 18.5 N 108.8 E 990 55 45 Over Hainan Dao
02 SEP 25 1800 18.7 N 109.1 E 992 55 40
02 SEP 26 0000 19.1 N 109.0 E 996 45 40
02 SEP 26 0600 19.7 N 108.7 E 994 45 40 Over Gulf of Tonkin
02 SEP 26 1200 20.2 N 108.4 E 996 40 40
02 SEP 26 1800 20.8 N 108.2 E 998 35 35
02 SEP 27 0000 21.4 N 108.4 E 1000 30 35
02 SEP 27 0600 21.8 N 108.5 E 1000 25 35 Almost on coast
02 SEP 27 1200 21.3 N 108.8 E 1000 35 NMCC Positions
02 SEP 27 1800 21.2 N 109.4 E 1000 35 Over Gulf of Tonkin
02 SEP 28 0000 21.5 N 109.9 E 1004 30
02 SEP 28 0600 21.4 N 110.1 E 1004 30 Final NMCC Warning
02 SEP 28 1200 21.0 N 110.0 E 1008 25 JMA Bulletin
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC and HKO are tabulated
below.
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC HKO
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 23 1200 25
02 SEP 23 1800 25
02 SEP 24 0000 25
02 SEP 24 0600 25 25
02 SEP 24 1200 30 25
02 SEP 24 1800 30 30
02 SEP 25 0000 40 35
02 SEP 25 0600 45 35
02 SEP 25 1200 45 40
02 SEP 25 1800 40 40
02 SEP 26 0000 40 40
02 SEP 26 0600 40 40
02 SEP 26 1200 40 40
02 SEP 26 1800 40 35
02 SEP 27 0000 45 35
02 SEP 27 0600 45 35
02 SEP 27 1200 45 35
02 SEP 27 1800 45 35
02 SEP 28 0000 30 35 See Note
02 SEP 28 0600 30
Note: The final bulletin from HKO was issued at 28/0300 UTC with the
MSW estimated at 30 kts.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HIGOS Cyclone Number: 25W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0221
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 26 0600 15.9 N 155.6 E 25
02 SEP 26 1200 15.5 N 154.7 E 30
02 SEP 26 1800 15.4 N 153.7 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 15.6 N, 154.5 E
02 SEP 27 0000 16.0 N 152.0 E 1000 40 30 JMA: 16.5 N, 152.2 E
02 SEP 27 0600 16.4 N 150.6 E 992 45 40
02 SEP 27 1200 16.9 N 149.1 E 985 55 50
02 SEP 27 1800 17.5 N 147.2 E 980 65 55
02 SEP 28 0000 18.0 N 145.8 E 975 65 60
02 SEP 28 0600 18.6 N 144.0 E 975 75 60
02 SEP 28 1200 19.0 N 142.1 E 970 85 65
02 SEP 28 1800 19.5 N 140.5 E 955 105 75
02 SEP 29 0000 19.8 N 138.8 E 945 120 85
02 SEP 29 0600 20.2 N 137.6 E 945 130 85
02 SEP 29 1200 20.9 N 136.7 E 935 135 90
02 SEP 29 1800 21.5 N 136.0 E 935 130 90
02 SEP 30 0000 22.5 N 135.8 E 935 130 90
02 SEP 30 0600 23.7 N 135.8 E 935 120 90
02 SEP 30 1200 25.2 N 136.1 E 940 110 85
02 SEP 30 1800 27.1 N 136.6 E 945 110 80
02 OCT 01 0000 29.6 N 137.5 E 945 110 80
02 OCT 01 0600 32.7 N 138.3 E 950 95 80
02 OCT 01 1200 35.7 N 139.8 E 965 80 65 Very near Tokyo
02 OCT 01 1800 40.6 N 141.5 E 975 65 60 Over NE Honshu
02 OCT 02 0000 43.9 N 141.5 E 980 55 50 Over western Hokkaido
02 OCT 02 0600 46.2 N 142.0 E 980 50 50 NMCC: 46.6 N, 140.4 E
02 OCT 02 1200 48.0 N 142.0 E 980 50 Extratropical
02 OCT 02 1800 50.0 N 143.0 E 984 40 Over Sakhalin Island
02 OCT 03 0000 51.0 N 144.0 E 984 45
02 OCT 03 0600 52.0 N 147.0 E 986 45
02 OCT 03 1200 52.0 N 151.0 E 992 40
02 OCT 03 1800 52.0 N 155.0 E 996 40
02 OCT 04 0000 52.0 N 157.0 E 998 35
02 OCT 04 0600 51.0 N 160.0 E 1000 35
02 OCT 04 1200 51.0 N 165.0 E 1000 35
02 OCT 04 1800 51.0 N 170.0 E 998 35
02 OCT 05 0000 51.0 N 171.0 E 998 35
02 OCT 05 0600 52.0 N 173.0 E 996 35
02 OCT 05 1200 52.0 N 174.0 E 994 35
02 OCT 05 1800 51.0 N 177.0 E 992 35 See Note
Note: I was unable to locate the JMA High Seas Warning and Summary for
October 06/0000 UTC. By 0600 UTC the system was a weak 1000-mb LOW
near 50N, 178E, moving eastward at 20 kts. The 10-min avg MSW estimates
from NMCC are tabulated below.
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 27 0600 40
02 SEP 27 1200 40
02 SEP 27 1800 45
02 SEP 28 0000 60
02 SEP 28 0600 60
02 SEP 28 1200 65
02 SEP 28 1800 80
02 SEP 29 0000 90
02 SEP 29 0600 90
02 SEP 29 1200 100
02 SEP 29 1800 100
02 SEP 30 0000 100
02 SEP 30 0600 100
02 SEP 30 1200 100
02 SEP 30 1800 90
02 OCT 01 0000 90
02 OCT 01 0600 75
02 OCT 01 1200 65
02 OCT 01 1800 55
02 OCT 02 0000 55
02 OCT 02 0600 55
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (MFR 01 / 01S) 05 - 08 Sep
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
02 SEP 05 1200 3.1 S 63.5 E 1005 25 Locally 30 kts to south
02 SEP 05 1800 2.9 S 62.0 E 1005 25 "
02 SEP 06 0000 3.2 S 61.2 E 1003 25 "
02 SEP 06 0600 3.5 S 59.8 E 1003 25 "
02 SEP 06 1200 3.7 S 59.0 E 1000 30 Locally 35 kts to south
02 SEP 06 1800 4.0 S 57.8 E 1000 35 30 "
02 SEP 07 0000 4.2 S 57.3 E 1000 30 "
02 SEP 07 0600 4.2 S 56.3 E 1002 35 30 "
02 SEP 07 1200 4.3 S 55.3 E 1003 25 Locally 30 kts to south
02 SEP 07 1800 4.1 S 54.7 E 1004 30 25 "
02 SEP 08 0600 4.1 S 54.0 E 30 Final JTWC Warning
Note: The final bulletin on this system from MFR at 08/0600 UTC did not
specify any center coordinates. Residual squalls were forecast to be
occurring between 4S and 7S and from 51E to 55E.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the
cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's
Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone
tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/
advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning
centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best
tracks" might be archived.
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Huang Chunliang [email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
|
Document: trak0209.htm
Updated: 27th December 2006 |
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