[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks January 2003
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks January 2003 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2003
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph> OR http://64.235.42.210>
http://mpittweather.com>
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National
Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau
of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A very
special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so
reliably provide.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm YANYAN (01W / 0301) 13 - 21 Jan
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: YANYAN Cyclone Number: 01W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0301
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 13 0600 2.4 N 173.8 E 1000 30 JMA Bulletins
03 JAN 13 1200 2.7 N 173.1 E 1002 30
03 JAN 13 1800 5.1 N 173.2 E 1002 30
03 JAN 14 0000 5.1 N 171.3 E 1002 30
03 JAN 14 0600 6.1 N 169.5 E 1002 30
03 JAN 14 1200 6.3 N 168.1 E 1002 30
03 JAN 14 1800 6.3 N 166.8 E 1002 30
03 JAN 15 0000 6.1 N 166.6 E 1002 30
03 JAN 15 0600 6.2 N 164.7 E 1002 30
03 JAN 15 1200 7.3 N 162.2 E 1002 30
03 JAN 15 1800 7.2 N 160.9 E 1000 30 30 JTWC Warnings
03 JAN 16 0000 7.7 N 159.6 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 8.2 N, 158.8 E
03 JAN 16 0600 8.4 N 157.8 E 1004 30 30
03 JAN 16 1200 9.2 N 156.5 E 1006 30 30
03 JAN 16 1800 9.0 N 155.1 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 9.4 N, 154.5 E
03 JAN 17 0000 10.0 N 152.9 E 1004 35 30 JMA: 11.9 N, 151.0 E
03 JAN 17 0600 11.2 N 151.4 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 13.3 N, 149.4 E
03 JAN 17 1200 11.7 N 150.2 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 12.9 N, 148.6 E
03 JAN 17 1800 12.4 N 148.4 E 1006 35 30 JMA: 13.2 N, 147.4 E
03 JAN 18 0000 13.3 N 147.1 E 1006 40 30
03 JAN 18 0600 13.9 N 146.6 E 1000 45 35
03 JAN 18 1200 14.0 N 146.6 E 1000 45 35 JMA: 14.9 N, 146.8 E
03 JAN 18 1800 14.4 N 147.5 E 1000 45 35 JMA: 15.0 N, 147.2 E
03 JAN 19 0000 14.4 N 148.1 E 1000 50 35 JMA: 15.2 N, 147.7 E
03 JAN 19 0600 14.7 N 148.8 E 1000 45 35
03 JAN 19 1200 15.4 N 150.0 E 1000 40 35
03 JAN 19 1800 16.1 N 150.9 E 1000 40 35
03 JAN 20 0000 16.7 N 152.0 E 1000 40 35
03 JAN 20 0600 17.0 N 153.4 E 1000 35 35 NMCC: 17.8 N, 154.6 E
03 JAN 20 1200 17.6 N 154.3 E 1004 30 30
03 JAN 20 1800 17.9 N 156.2 E 1004 30 25
03 JAN 21 0000 18.3 N 156.5 E 1004 25 25
03 JAN 21 0600 19.0 N 158.0 E 1006 25 JMA Bulletins
03 JAN 21 1200 20.0 N 159.0 E 1010 25
03 JAN 21 1800 19.0 N 158.0 E 1008 25 Relocated
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC are given in the following
table.
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 18 0600 35
03 JAN 18 1200 35
03 JAN 18 1800 45
03 JAN 19 0000 45
03 JAN 19 0600 45
03 JAN 19 1200 45
03 JAN 19 1800 45
03 JAN 20 0000 45
03 JAN 20 0600 35
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Disturbance (MFR-07) 06 - 12 Jan
Tropical Storm EBULA (MFR-08 / 09S) 07 - 13 Jan
Tropical Storm FARI (MFR-09 / 11S) 23 Jan - 01 Feb
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 07
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 06 0000 16.5 S 41.4 E 1000 25 30 kts E semicircle
03 JAN 06 0600 17.0 S 39.8 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 06 1200 17.2 S 38.3 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 06 1800 17.9 S 38.3 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 07 0000 18.8 S 38.1 E 1000 25 30 kts E & S quadrants
03 JAN 07 0600 19.5 S 37.4 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 07 1200 20.5 S 37.0 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 07 1800 21.5 S 37.7 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 08 0000 21.7 S 39.0 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 08 0600 22.9 S 38.3 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 08 1200 23.7 S 37.9 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 08 1800 24.0 S 38.0 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 09 0000 25.6 S 38.6 E 1000 25 Convection-free LLCC
03 JAN 09 0600 26.9 S 38.7 E 1000 25 30 kts SE semicircle
03 JAN 09 1200 27.4 S 39.4 E 1000 25 Some weak convection
03 JAN 09 1800 27.5 S 40.4 E 1000 25 Becoming extratropical
03 JAN 10 0000 27.5 S 40.9 E 1000 25 30 kts SE semicircle
03 JAN 10 0600 28.0 S 41.3 E 1002 25 "
03 JAN 10 1800 27.3 S 43.2 E 1000 25 XT/50 kts S semicircle
03 JAN 11 0000 26.3 S 43.2 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 11 0600 26.2 S 42.7 E 1004 20 35 kts S semicircle
03 JAN 11 1200 26.0 S 42.4 E 1004 20 "
03 JAN 11 1800 25.6 S 42.9 E 1005 20 "
03 JAN 12 0000 26.0 S 43.3 E 1006 20 "
03 JAN 12 0600 27.0 S 45.0 E 1006 20 30 kts S semicircle
Note: This system more than likely was a redevelopment of the remnants of
December's Tropical Storm Delfina, based upon comments in MFR's bulletins
and in JTWC's STWOs. Since the system was given a new number by MFR, I
have treated it as a separate system. Warnings were dropped after
10/0600 UTC since the system had become extratropical, but were resumed
12 hours later when storm-force winds were reported well south of the
center. No warnings were issued by JTWC.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: EBULA Cyclone Number: 09S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 07 1200 10.7 S 70.2 E 1004 20 25 kts in S semicircle
03 JAN 08 0000 11.0 S 70.1 E 35 JTWC warning
03 JAN 08 0600 11.0 S 70.5 E 1000 25 30 kts in NE semicircle
03 JAN 08 1200 13.3 S 70.6 E 1001 35 25 "
03 JAN 08 1800 14.1 S 70.5 E 998 30
03 JAN 09 0000 14.4 S 70.8 E 996 50 30
03 JAN 09 0600 14.9 S 71.0 E 986 45
03 JAN 09 1200 15.2 S 71.1 E 984 50 50 JTWC: 15.8 S, 71.4 E
03 JAN 09 1800 16.7 S 71.0 E 980 55
03 JAN 10 0000 17.5 S 70.7 E 980 65 55
03 JAN 10 0600 19.0 S 70.4 E 975 60
03 JAN 10 1200 20.2 S 69.7 E 975 65 60
03 JAN 10 1800 21.6 S 69.6 E 975 60
03 JAN 11 0000 23.6 S 69.3 E 978 60 55 JTWC: 23.3 S, 70.0 E
03 JAN 11 0600 24.1 S 69.2 E 980 50
03 JAN 11 1200 25.8 S 69.8 E 984 50 50
03 JAN 11 1800 26.3 S 70.5 E 986 50
03 JAN 12 0000 27.5 S 70.6 E 988 40 45
03 JAN 12 0600 28.1 S 71.8 E 993 40
03 JAN 12 1200 28.3 S 73.0 E 995 40 Extratropical
03 JAN 12 1800 28.3 S 73.8 E 998 40
03 JAN 13 0000 28.3 S 74.1 E 1000 35
03 JAN 13 0600 28.9 S 74.3 E 1000 35
03 JAN 13 1200 29.7 S 74.7 E 1000 30 Locally 35 kts
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: FARI Cyclone Number: 11S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 23 0600 13.0 S 76.0 E 1006 20 35 kts S semicircle
03 JAN 23 1200 14.7 S 74.9 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 23 1800 15.0 S 74.3 E 998 35 30 "
03 JAN 24 0000 15.2 S 73.7 E 997 30 "
03 JAN 24 0600 16.0 S 72.2 E 999 20 25 30 kts S semicircle
03 JAN 25 0000 11.5 S 67.0 E 1004 20 See Note
03 JAN 25 0600 11.6 S 64.6 E 1004 20 30 kts S semicircle
03 JAN 25 1200 11.8 S 64.0 E 1004 20 "
03 JAN 25 1800 12.4 S 62.5 E 1001 20 "
03 JAN 26 0000 12.9 S 61.9 E 1001 20 "
03 JAN 26 0600 13.8 S 60.3 E 1000 20 "
03 JAN 26 1200 13.8 S 58.7 E 1000 20 "
03 JAN 26 1800 14.3 S 57.6 E 1000 20 "
03 JAN 27 0000 15.0 S 55.3 E 1002 20 "
03 JAN 27 0600 16.8 S 54.8 E 1000 25 "
03 JAN 27 1200 17.6 S 53.7 E 999 25 "
03 JAN 27 1800 18.5 S 52.0 E 998 30
03 JAN 28 0000 19.0 S 51.8 E 996 35 30
03 JAN 28 0600 19.1 S 51.4 E 995 30
03 JAN 28 1200 19.9 S 50.0 E 992 40 35
03 JAN 28 1800 20.1 S 49.4 E 990 40
03 JAN 29 0000 20.3 S 48.4 E 984 55 50 Inland in Madagascar
03 JAN 29 0600 20.4 S 47.5 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts to east
03 JAN 29 1200 22.2 S 44.8 E 1000 35 25 JTWC: 21.6 S, 45.7 E
03 JAN 29 1800 22.6 S 43.3 E 1000 25 Nearing west coast
03 JAN 30 0000 21.9 S 41.8 E 999 30 25 JTWC: 22.2 S, 42.8 E
03 JAN 30 0600 23.5 S 41.4 E 999 25 Over water at 0000 UTC
03 JAN 30 1200 23.6 S 41.5 E 999 30 25 JTWC: 24.0 S, 42.2 E
03 JAN 30 1800 24.7 S 42.3 E 999 25 30 kts in S semicircle
03 JAN 31 0000 26.1 S 42.5 E 999 25 25 Becoming extratropical
03 JAN 31 0600 27.4 S 43.5 E 999 25 30 kts in S semicircle
03 JAN 31 1200 28.1 S 43.8 E 999 25 30 kts SE & W quadrants
03 JAN 31 1800 29.2 S 44.5 E 1000 30 XT/35 kts S semicircle
03 FEB 01 0000 32.5 S 44.5 E 1000 30 "
03 FEB 01 0600 33.0 S 45.5 E 1000 30 "
03 FEB 01 1200 34.2 S 47.0 E 1002 30 "
Note: After its initial development on the 23rd, the system weakened
significantly on the 24th and regular warnings were dropped. The MFR
warning issued at 24/1200 UTC did not contain any center coordinates,
but stated that squally weather existed between 12S and 18S, from 66E to
79E, with winds 15-20 kts, reaching locally 25-30 kts between 16S and 18S
due to the gradient effect with the subtropical high pressure ridge.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates
from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical LOW 19 - 24 Jan
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 19 0330 15.5 S 130.5 E 1005
03 JAN 21 0430 13.0 S 126.0 E
03 JAN 23 0400 16.1 S 119.1 E 1000 30
03 JAN 23 1000 17.4 S 117.5 E 998 30
03 JAN 23 1600 18.0 S 116.8 E 998 30
03 JAN 23 2200 18.3 S 116.6 E 998 30
03 JAN 24 0400 17.5 S 117.5 E 998 30
03 JAN 24 1000 17.9 S 117.8 E 995 30
03 JAN 24 1600 18.7 S 118.1 E 995 30
03 JAN 24 1900 20.0 S 118.8 E 995 30
Note: There is some question as to whether this system was a continuation
of the monsoon depression of a few days earlier over the Northern
Territory and the Gulf of Carpentaria. According to Mark Kersemakers of
the Darwin TCWC, as of right now the general consensus is that this LOW
off the coast of Western Australia was not the same system.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center
position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Monsoon Depression 04 - 16 Jan
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 04 0430 10.0 S 136.0 E 1004 Darwin Trop Wx Outlook
03 JAN 08 0430 14.0 S 134.0 E 997 Inland - See Note #1
03 JAN 09 0430 14.2 S 134.5 E 997
03 JAN 10 0430 14.7 S 134.5 E 997
03 JAN 10 1730 15.5 S 136.0 E 995
03 JAN 11 0130 15.8 S 136.5 E 998 30 See Note #2
03 JAN 11 0730 16.0 S 136.5 E 998 30
03 JAN 11 1330 15.5 S 137.0 E 1000 30
03 JAN 11 1930 15.0 S 137.0 E 999 30
03 JAN 12 0130 15.0 S 137.0 E 1001 30
03 JAN 12 0730 15.0 S 136.8 E 999 30
03 JAN 12 1330 15.0 S 136.8 E 1000 30
03 JAN 12 1930 15.0 S 137.0 E 999 30
03 JAN 13 0130 15.5 S 136.0 E 1001
03 JAN 14 0130 14.0 S 132.0 E 1000
03 JAN 15 0130 13.0 S 132.5 E 1000
03 JAN 16 0230 16.3 S 136.6 E 998
Note #1: The LOW was mentioned in the Tropical Weather Outlooks between
4 January and 8 January, but no coordinates were given. Also, no
estimate of the MSW was given.
Note #2: The MSW estimates were obtained from the forecast peak gusts
contained in the Tropical Cyclone Advices issued by Darwin. Converting
gusts of 90 km/hr to kts and reducing to a 10-min avg MSW yielded about
35 kts, but since the LOW was not upgraded to tropical cyclone status,
I have held the MSW values in the above track to 30 kts. That being
said, I have learned from Mark Kersemakers of the Darwin TCWC that
this system may be classified posthumously as an unnamed tropical
cyclone based on a damage assessment and AWS data from Elcho Island
which indicated that a small eye with a core of 50-kt winds passed over
the island with the MSLP dropping to 989 mb. Hopefully, I'll know more
about this by the time the January summary is released.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone AMI (05F / 10P) 09 - 15 Jan
Tropical Cyclone BENI (06F / 12P) 19 Jan - 05 Feb
Tropical Cyclone CILLA (07F / 13P) 25 - 30 Jan
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: AMI Cyclone Number: 10P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 05F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 09 2100 8.0 S 176.0 W 1002
03 JAN 10 0600 8.5 S 176.3 W 1000
03 JAN 10 2100 9.7 S 177.8 W 1000
03 JAN 11 0600 9.8 S 179.1 W 1000
03 JAN 11 1800 11.2 S 179.2 W 35 JTWC warning
03 JAN 11 2100 11.0 S 179.0 W 1000
03 JAN 12 0000 10.8 S 179.4 W 995 40
03 JAN 12 0600 11.4 S 179.8 W 990 45 40
03 JAN 12 1200 11.9 S 180.0 W 985 50
03 JAN 12 1800 12.4 S 179.8 E 975 65 60
03 JAN 13 0000 13.0 S 179.7 E 975 60
03 JAN 13 0600 14.0 S 179.8 E 970 80 65 JTWC: 14.4 S, 179.7 E
03 JAN 13 1200 15.3 S 179.8 E 960 75
03 JAN 13 1800 17.2 S 179.9 W 960 90 75 JTWC: 16.7 S, 179.9 E
03 JAN 14 0000 19.1 S 179.2 W 960 105 80 JTWC: 19.2 S, 178.9 W
03 JAN 14 0600 20.9 S 178.2 W 950 110 80 JTWC: 21.0 S, 177.9 W
03 JAN 14 1200 23.0 S 176.2 W 950 80
03 JAN 14 1800 25.1 S 173.4 W 100 JTWC warning
03 JAN 15 0000 26.5 S 170.0 W 970 70 Wellington warnings
03 JAN 15 0600 28.9 S 167.1 W 976 70 60 JTWC: 28.8 S, 165.7 W
03 JAN 15 1100 29.0 S 163.0 W 980 35 Extratropical
03 JAN 15 1700 28.5 S 160.0 W 985 35
03 JAN 15 2300 31.0 S 157.0 W 993 35
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: BENI Cyclone Number: 12P Basin: SPA/AUE
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 19 2100 8.0 S 170.0 E 1005
03 JAN 20 2100 10.0 S 163.0 E 1006
03 JAN 21 0600 11.0 S 162.0 E 1004
03 JAN 21 2100 11.0 S 161.0 E 1006
03 JAN 22 2100 12.0 S 161.0 E 1005
03 JAN 23 2100 12.0 S 162.0 E 1002
03 JAN 24 2100 13.0 S 161.2 E 998 30
03 JAN 25 0000 13.1 S 161.3 E 992 35 40
03 JAN 25 0600 13.3 S 161.0 E 990 40
03 JAN 25 1200 12.9 S 160.8 E 990 35 40
03 JAN 25 1800 12.6 S 161.1 E 990 40
03 JAN 26 0000 12.5 S 161.2 E 987 40 45
03 JAN 26 0600 12.4 S 161.2 E 985 50
03 JAN 26 1200 12.4 S 160.8 E 985 50 50
03 JAN 26 1800 12.9 S 160.9 E 980 55
03 JAN 27 0000 13.1 S 160.5 E 980 60 55
03 JAN 27 0600 13.4 S 160.7 E 980 55
03 JAN 27 1200 13.7 S 160.7 E 980 60 55 JTWC: 13.9 S, 161.0 E
03 JAN 27 1800 14.1 S 160.5 E 980 55
03 JAN 28 0000 14.7 S 160.5 E 975 75 60
03 JAN 28 0600 15.3 S 160.8 E 975 60
03 JAN 28 1200 15.5 S 161.5 E 975 85 60 JTWC: 15.6 S, 161.0 E
03 JAN 28 1800 16.0 S 161.8 E 940 90
03 JAN 29 0000 16.4 S 162.6 E 925 125 100
03 JAN 29 0600 17.0 S 163.7 E 920 110
03 JAN 29 1200 17.7 S 164.8 E 925 125 100
03 JAN 29 1800 18.4 S 166.1 E 935 90
03 JAN 30 0000 19.0 S 167.7 E 945 115 85
03 JAN 30 0600 20.0 S 168.6 E 950 80
03 JAN 30 1200 20.8 S 169.0 E 960 75 75
03 JAN 30 1800 21.6 S 169.0 E 980 55
03 JAN 31 0000 22.4 S 167.8 E 990 40 40
03 JAN 31 0600 23.1 S 166.9 E 990 40
03 JAN 31 1200 24.1 S 165.5 E 995 25 35
03 JAN 31 1800 24.3 S 163.2 E 998 30 Some peripheral gales
03 FEB 01 0000 24.4 S 162.0 E 998 30 "
03 FEB 01 0600 24.0 S 161.4 E 998 30 "
03 FEB 01 1800 22.9 S 159.6 E 999 30 Brisbane warnings
03 FEB 02 0000 22.7 S 158.3 E 999 30 Some peripheral gales
03 FEB 02 0600 22.3 S 157.5 E 1000 30 "
03 FEB 02 1200 21.5 S 156.5 E 1002 30 "
03 FEB 02 1800 21.0 S 155.4 E 1000 30 "
03 FEB 02 2300 21.1 S 154.7 E 1000 30 Gale wrng cancelled
03 FEB 03 0430 21.0 S 153.7 E 1001 30 Gale wrng resumed
03 FEB 03 1130 20.3 S 153.3 E 1000 30 Peripheral gales
03 FEB 03 1800 20.5 S 153.0 E 998 30 "
03 FEB 04 0100 20.9 S 151.6 E 995 45 Reclassified as TC
03 FEB 04 0700 20.5 S 151.1 E 995 45 See Note
03 FEB 04 1300 20.5 S 150.6 E 999 30 Downgraded/Perip. gales
03 FEB 04 1800 20.6 S 149.9 E 1002 30 Peripheral gales
03 FEB 05 0000 21.0 S 149.6 E 1004 30 "
Note: The jump in MSW on 4 February requires an explanation. Brisbane
had been issuing gale warnings on the ex-tropical cyclone for several
days due to a band of gales 40 to 45 kts south of and decoupled from
the center. The system was re-upgraded to tropical cyclone status
early on the 4th due to fears that Beni could turn into a very intense
hybrid rapidly becoming vertically-stacked with the upper LOW. This
appeared to be happening on the 3rd and winds were possibly reaching
50 kts in the band of gales to the south. However, the vertical shear
was too much and the low-level center got decoupled from the gales.
(This information from Jeff Callaghan.) I indicated the MSW as 45 kts
during the period in which Brisbane was classifying Beni as a tropical
cyclone; however, there was no abrupt change in the overall strength
of the system.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: CILLA Cyclone Number: 13P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 JAN 25 2100 15.0 S 176.2 E 1000 30
03 JAN 26 0300 15.5 S 176.4 E 998 30
03 JAN 26 0600 15.5 S 177.9 E 997 30
03 JAN 26 1200 15.8 S 177.1 E 997 30
03 JAN 26 1800 17.4 S 179.7 W 997 30
03 JAN 27 0000 18.5 S 177.1 W 995 35
03 JAN 27 0600 19.2 S 176.6 W 995 35 35
03 JAN 27 1200 19.6 S 175.1 W 995 35
03 JAN 27 1800 20.0 S 174.0 W 995 35 35 JTWC: 20.0 S, 173.1 W
03 JAN 28 0000 20.4 S 171.7 W 995 35
03 JAN 28 0600 20.8 S 170.0 W 995 40
03 JAN 28 1200 21.2 S 169.5 W 995 40
03 JAN 28 1800 21.6 S 168.1 W 995 40
03 JAN 29 0000 22.3 S 167.5 W 990 40
03 JAN 29 0600 22.4 S 167.0 W 995 35
03 JAN 29 1200 22.5 S 166.0 W 997 30 35 kts in S semicircle
03 JAN 29 1800 22.9 S 165.5 W 998 30 "
03 JAN 30 0000 23.9 S 165.3 W 998 30 "
03 JAN 30 1100 25.0 S 165.0 W 1002 35 Extratropical
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!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the
cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's
Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone
tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/
advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Huang Chunliang [email protected]
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|
Document: trak0301.htm
Updated: 27th December 2006 |
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