[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks August 2003
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks August 2003 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - AUGUST 2003
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
*************************************************************************
ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm ERIKA (08) 12 - 17 Aug
Tropical Depression (09) 21 - 22 Aug
Hurricane FABIAN (10) 27 Aug - 09 Sep
Tropical Storm GRACE (11) 30 Aug - 02 Sep
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: ERIKA Cyclone Number: 08 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 12 1200 23.0 N 71.0 W 1013 20 High Seas Forecasts
03 AUG 12 1800 23.0 N 73.0 W 1013 20
03 AUG 13 0000 23.0 N 73.0 W 1012 20
03 AUG 13 0600 23.0 N 74.0 W 1012 20
03 AUG 13 1200 24.0 N 76.0 W 1015 20
03 AUG 13 1800 24.0 N 77.0 W 1015 25
03 AUG 14 0000 24.0 N 77.0 W 1014 25
03 AUG 14 0600 25.0 N 80.0 W 1014 25 Relocated
03 AUG 14 1200 24.0 N 81.0 W 1014 25
03 AUG 14 1800 26.2 N 83.4 W 1011 35 First NHC advisory
03 AUG 15 0000 26.6 N 85.5 W 1008 40
03 AUG 15 0600 26.4 N 88.3 W 1008 40
03 AUG 15 1200 26.1 N 90.3 W 1008 40
03 AUG 15 1800 26.0 N 92.5 W 1000 45
03 AUG 16 0000 26.0 N 94.5 W 992 50
03 AUG 16 0600 25.6 N 96.2 W 991 60
03 AUG 16 1200 25.4 N 97.5 W 1001 60 Inland in Mexico
03 AUG 16 1800 24.8 N 99.0 W 1005 35
03 AUG 17 0000 24.8 N 100.1 W 1008 25
03 AUG 17 0300 24.8 N 100.8 W 1008 25 Final NHC advisory
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 09 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 21 1800 14.5 N 65.5 W 1009 30
03 AUG 22 0000 15.2 N 66.5 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 0600 15.7 N 67.5 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 1200 16.2 N 68.2 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 1800 16.5 N 69.4 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 2100 17.0 N 70.0 W 1008 25 Last Adv - trop. wave
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Storm Name: FABIAN Cyclone Number: 10 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 27 1800 14.6 N 30.7 W 1009 25
03 AUG 28 0000 14.7 N 32.3 W 1008 30
03 AUG 28 0600 14.7 N 34.2 W 1008 30
03 AUG 28 1200 15.0 N 36.2 W 1007 30
03 AUG 28 1800 15.1 N 38.2 W 1004 40
03 AUG 29 0000 15.2 N 40.0 W 1000 45
03 AUG 29 0600 15.4 N 41.9 W 997 50
03 AUG 29 1200 15.5 N 43.0 W 997 50
03 AUG 29 1800 15.6 N 44.5 W 987 65
03 AUG 30 0000 16.3 N 45.6 W 987 65
03 AUG 30 0600 16.7 N 46.9 W 984 70
03 AUG 30 1200 17.0 N 48.0 W 973 85
03 AUG 30 1800 17.3 N 49.2 W 960 100
03 AUG 31 0000 17.5 N 50.3 W 952 110
03 AUG 31 0600 17.8 N 51.4 W 952 110
03 AUG 31 1200 18.0 N 52.5 W 952 110
03 AUG 31 1800 18.1 N 53.5 W 948 115
03 SEP 01 0000 18.4 N 54.3 W 940 120
03 SEP 01 0600 18.5 N 55.3 W 949 120
03 SEP 01 1200 18.8 N 56.3 W 949 120
03 SEP 01 1800 19.0 N 57.3 W 942 125
03 SEP 02 0000 19.3 N 58.3 W 942 125
03 SEP 02 0600 19.6 N 59.2 W 945 120
03 SEP 02 1200 20.1 N 59.9 W 945 120
03 SEP 02 1800 20.5 N 60.7 W 945 120
03 SEP 03 0000 20.9 N 61.3 W 946 115
03 SEP 03 0600 21.3 N 61.8 W 945 115
03 SEP 03 1200 22.1 N 62.4 W 945 115
03 SEP 03 1800 22.5 N 62.9 W 944 105
03 SEP 04 0000 23.2 N 62.9 W 939 110
03 SEP 04 0600 23.8 N 63.3 W 944 105
03 SEP 04 1200 24.8 N 63.7 W 944 105
03 SEP 04 1800 25.7 N 64.3 W 941 105
03 SEP 05 0000 27.2 N 64.6 W 940 110
03 SEP 05 0600 28.6 N 65.1 W 948 110
03 SEP 05 1200 30.1 N 65.3 W 951 105
03 SEP 05 1800 31.8 N 65.4 W 950 105 Very near Bermuda
03 SEP 06 0000 33.4 N 64.7 W 953 105
03 SEP 06 0600 34.9 N 64.0 W 956 100
03 SEP 06 1200 36.0 N 62.3 W 965 95
03 SEP 06 1800 37.0 N 60.3 W 960 95
03 SEP 07 0000 37.9 N 58.3 W 962 90
03 SEP 07 0600 39.2 N 55.7 W 965 85
03 SEP 07 1200 40.5 N 53.5 W 967 80
03 SEP 07 1800 42.3 N 50.8 W 972 75
03 SEP 08 0000 44.3 N 47.9 W 977 70
03 SEP 08 0600 46.5 N 44.6 W 985 65
03 SEP 08 1200 48.4 N 40.6 W 980 65 Final NHC advisory
03 SEP 08 1800 52.0 N 36.0 W 980 65 XT - OPC warnings
03 SEP 09 0000 54.0 N 32.0 W 980 60
03 SEP 09 0600 56.0 N 29.0 W 45 See Note
03 SEP 09 1200 58.0 N 27.0 W
Note: No minimum pressure was given in the 09/0600 UTC marine warning,
and neither CP nor MSW was given in the 09/1200 UTC warning. The post-
Fabian LOW at 09/1200 UTC was moving northward at 20 kts, forecast to
turn west within 12 hours. The 09/1800 UTC warning mentioned a LOW
near 60N, 37W, moving west at 10 kts. This position is 330 nm from the
1200 UTC position of post-Fabian, so I concluded that this was a
different LOW center; hence, I stopped the track.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: GRACE Cyclone Number: 11 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 30 1200 25.0 N 92.4 W 1008 30
03 AUG 30 1800 25.4 N 93.3 W 1007 30
03 AUG 31 0000 25.2 N 94.0 W 1009 35
03 AUG 31 0600 26.6 N 95.6 W 1009 35
03 AUG 31 1200 28.0 N 96.0 W 1008 35 Nearing Texas coast
03 AUG 31 1500 28.4 N 96.4 W 1008 30 Final NHC advisory
03 AUG 31 2100 30.3 N 96.1 W 1008 17 HPC advisories
03 SEP 01 0300 31.3 N 97.2 W 1010 9 See Note
03 SEP 01 0900 32.1 N 96.4 W 1009 13
03 SEP 01 1500 33.1 N 96.4 W 1010 17
03 SEP 01 2100 33.9 N 95.8 W 1010 17
03 SEP 02 0300 34.4 N 94.5 W 1011 13
03 SEP 02 0900 34.9 N 94.2 W 1012 13 Final HPC advisory
Note: In view of the fact that Grace was moving northwestward at 13 kts,
and given that the MSW increased later, it seems likely that the
estimated MSW of 9 kts at 01/0300 UTC is too low.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm GUILLERMO (07E) 07 - 13 Aug
Tropical Storm HILDA (08E) 09 - 13 Aug
Tropical Depression (01C) 15 - 17 Aug
Hurricane IGNACIO (09E) 22 - 27 Aug
Hurricane JIMENA (10E) 28 Aug - 05 Sep
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: GUILLERMO Cyclone Number: 07E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 07 1200 16.3 N 116.1 W 1009 25
03 AUG 07 1800 16.8 N 116.8 W 1008 30
03 AUG 08 0000 16.6 N 117.2 W 1003 40
03 AUG 08 0600 16.6 N 117.8 W 1003 40
03 AUG 08 1200 16.6 N 118.4 W 1000 45
03 AUG 08 1800 16.1 N 119.2 W 997 50
03 AUG 09 0000 16.1 N 119.9 W 997 50
03 AUG 09 0600 16.0 N 121.0 W 997 50
03 AUG 09 1200 15.7 N 122.2 W 997 50
03 AUG 09 1800 15.5 N 123.4 W 1000 45
03 AUG 10 0000 15.4 N 124.6 W 1000 45
03 AUG 10 0600 15.5 N 125.8 W 1000 45
03 AUG 10 1200 15.3 N 127.0 W 1002 40
03 AUG 10 1800 15.4 N 127.9 W 1005 35
03 AUG 11 0000 15.5 N 129.3 W 1006 30
03 AUG 11 0600 15.7 N 130.6 W 1006 30
03 AUG 11 1200 15.9 N 132.0 W 1006 30
03 AUG 11 1800 16.2 N 133.5 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 0000 16.3 N 134.9 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 0600 16.3 N 136.5 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 1200 16.4 N 138.3 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 1800 16.3 N 139.8 W 1008 25
03 AUG 13 0000 16.1 N 141.4 W 1009 25
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HILDA Cyclone Number: 08E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 09 0600 13.0 N 111.0 W 1007 25
03 AUG 09 1200 13.6 N 112.6 W 1008 30
03 AUG 09 1800 13.9 N 113.9 W 1005 30
03 AUG 10 0000 14.7 N 114.9 W 1005 35
03 AUG 10 0600 14.7 N 115.9 W 1005 35
03 AUG 10 1200 15.0 N 117.0 W 1005 35
03 AUG 10 1800 15.7 N 117.6 W 1005 35
03 AUG 11 0000 16.8 N 119.1 W 1005 35
03 AUG 11 0600 17.4 N 120.3 W 1005 35
03 AUG 11 1200 17.9 N 121.4 W 1005 35
03 AUG 11 1800 18.7 N 123.2 W 1006 30
03 AUG 12 0000 18.4 N 124.9 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 0600 18.3 N 126.2 W 1007 30
03 AUG 12 1200 18.4 N 127.4 W 1009 30
03 AUG 12 1800 19.0 N 128.6 W 1009 25
03 AUG 13 0000 18.4 N 129.3 W 1009 25
03 AUG 13 0600 18.4 N 129.9 W 1009 25
03 AUG 13 1200 18.4 N 130.5 W 1009 25
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01C Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 15 1800 13.3 N 150.3 W 1009 30
03 AUG 16 0000 13.9 N 152.9 W 1009 30
03 AUG 16 0600 14.2 N 154.6 W 1009 30
03 AUG 16 1200 14.4 N 155.8 W 1009 30
03 AUG 16 1800 14.6 N 156.8 W 1010 25
03 AUG 17 0000 14.7 N 158.1 W 1010 25
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: IGNACIO Cyclone Number: 09E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 22 0600 20.5 N 107.1 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 1200 20.8 N 107.2 W 1008 30
03 AUG 22 1800 20.7 N 107.2 W 1007 30
03 AUG 23 0000 20.8 N 107.3 W 1007 30
03 AUG 23 0600 21.0 N 107.5 W 1006 30
03 AUG 23 1200 21.5 N 108.2 W 1002 35
03 AUG 23 1800 21.8 N 108.6 W 994 55
03 AUG 24 0000 22.2 N 108.7 W 989 60
03 AUG 24 0600 22.5 N 108.7 W 984 65
03 AUG 24 1200 23.1 N 108.9 W 970 80
03 AUG 24 1800 23.5 N 109.0 W 970 90
03 AUG 25 0000 23.8 N 109.2 W 976 90
03 AUG 25 0600 23.9 N 109.5 W 976 80
03 AUG 25 1200 24.2 N 109.8 W 980 80 Just east of La Paz
03 AUG 25 1800 24.2 N 110.1 W 987 70 Very near La Paz
03 AUG 26 0000 24.4 N 110.5 W 989 65
03 AUG 26 0600 24.5 N 110.6 W 991 65
03 AUG 26 1200 24.8 N 110.9 W 998 50 Inland
03 AUG 26 1800 25.4 N 111.5 W 1004 35
03 AUG 27 0000 25.8 N 111.8 W 1001 30
03 AUG 27 0600 26.0 N 111.8 W 1007 25
03 AUG 27 1200 26.2 N 112.3 W 1007 25
03 AUG 27 1800 26.6 N 112.7 W 1008 20
03 AUG 27 2100 27.0 N 113.0 W 1008 20
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: JIMENA Cyclone Number: 10E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 28 0600 13.7 N 129.5 W 1008 30
03 AUG 28 1200 14.4 N 131.0 W 1007 30
03 AUG 28 1800 14.4 N 131.8 W 1005 35
03 AUG 29 0000 15.3 N 133.0 W 996 50
03 AUG 29 0600 16.1 N 134.1 W 994 55
03 AUG 29 1200 16.6 N 135.7 W 987 65
03 AUG 29 1800 16.9 N 136.9 W 981 75
03 AUG 30 0000 17.2 N 138.3 W 973 85
03 AUG 30 0600 17.3 N 139.9 W 973 85
03 AUG 30 1200 17.3 N 141.4 W 973 85
03 AUG 30 1800 17.3 N 142.9 W 973 90
03 AUG 31 0000 17.6 N 144.5 W 970 90
03 AUG 31 0600 17.8 N 146.2 W 971 90
03 AUG 31 1200 18.0 N 147.7 W 971 90
03 AUG 31 1800 18.1 N 150.0 W 970 85
03 SEP 01 0000 18.2 N 151.6 W 981 85
03 SEP 01 0600 18.1 N 153.2 W 987 75
03 SEP 01 1200 17.4 N 154.7 W 1000 65
03 SEP 01 1800 17.0 N 156.0 W 1002 50
03 SEP 02 0000 16.5 N 157.5 W 1005 45
03 SEP 02 0600 16.1 N 159.2 W 1006 40
03 SEP 02 1200 15.5 N 160.3 W 1005 35
03 SEP 02 1800 15.2 N 162.1 W 1005 35
03 SEP 03 0000 15.1 N 163.4 W 1005 35
03 SEP 03 0600 15.1 N 164.5 W 1009 30
03 SEP 03 1200 14.7 N 166.3 W 1009 25
03 SEP 03 1800 14.7 N 168.3 W 1009 25
03 SEP 04 0000 14.7 N 170.1 W 1009 25
03 SEP 04 0600 15.0 N 171.9 W 1009 25
03 SEP 04 1200 15.2 N 173.5 W 1008 30
03 SEP 04 1800 14.4 N 175.7 W 1005 35
03 SEP 05 0000 13.5 N 177.4 W 1006 35
03 SEP 05 0600 13.5 N 179.1 W 1009 30
03 SEP 05 1200 13.4 N 179.2 E 25 JTWC warnings
03 SEP 05 1800 13.2 N 177.4 E 25
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National
Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau
of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A very
special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so
reliably provide. A special thanks also to Kevin Boyle for
performing a lot of the track compilation work.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Typhoon MORAKOT (10W / 0309 / JUANING) 01 - 05 Aug
Typhoon ETAU (11W / 0310 / KABAYAN) 03 - 11 Aug
Typhoon KROVANH (12W / 0312 / NINA) 14 - 26 Aug
Tropical Storm VAMCO (13W / 0311 / MANANG) 19 - 20 Aug
Tropical Storm (LAKAY) 18 - 21 Aug
Typhoon DUJUAN (14W / 0313 / ONYOK) 28 Aug - 03 Sep
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: MORAKOT Cyclone Number: 10W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: JUANING JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0309
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 01 0600 16.0 N 129.5 E 1002 30 PAGASA bulletin
03 AUG 01 1200 16.6 N 125.5 E 1002 30 30 PAGASA: 16.5 N, 127.5 E
03 AUG 01 1800 16.9 N 125.9 E 1002 30 30 PAGASA: 16.8 N, 126.7 E
03 AUG 02 0000 18.2 N 125.7 E 1000 35 30
03 AUG 02 0600 18.7 N 124.9 E 996 45 35
03 AUG 02 1200 19.2 N 124.3 E 994 45 40
03 AUG 02 1800 20.3 N 123.1 E 990 45 45
03 AUG 03 0000 20.8 N 122.0 E 990 45 45
03 AUG 03 0600 21.3 N 121.2 E 990 65 45
03 AUG 03 1200 21.9 N 121.1 E 990 65 45 Over southern Taiwan
03 AUG 03 1800 23.1 N 120.7 E 994 65 40 JMA: 23.2 N, 119.9 E
03 AUG 04 0000 23.0 N 120.0 E 996 65 40 JMA: 23.4 N, 118.6 E
03 AUG 04 0600 24.3 N 118.8 E 996 65 40
03 AUG 04 1200 24.8 N 118.6 E 996 55 35 Inland in China
03 AUG 04 1800 25.4 N 118.0 E 997 30 30 HKO: 24.4 N, 117.5 E
03 AUG 05 0000 25.8 N 117.6 E 25
Note 1: JMA issued their last warning at 04/0900 UTC, downgrading the
system to a 30-kt (10-min avg) depression.
Note 2: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from the Asian TCWCs are given in
the following table:
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWB
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 01 0600 30
03 AUG 01 1200 30
03 AUG 01 1800 30 30
03 AUG 02 0000 30 30
03 AUG 02 0600 30 35 35
03 AUG 02 1200 35 40 40 35
03 AUG 02 1800 35 40 40 40
03 AUG 03 0000 40 45 45 45
03 AUG 03 0600 50 45 45 45
03 AUG 03 1200 50 45 45 45
03 AUG 03 1800 50 40 45 45
03 AUG 04 0000 50 35 45 45
03 AUG 04 0600 50 40 40
03 AUG 04 1200 35 35 35
03 AUG 04 1800 30
Note 1: NMCC numbered this system "TD-03", when the agency initiated
the TC bulletins. Final bulletin was released at 04/1500 UTC, at which
time NMCC downgraded it to a 30-kt depression.
Note 2: HKO upgraded the depression to storm status and issued the
first bulletin at 02/0600 UTC, when the system entered their AOR. Their
final bulletin was released at 04/1800 UTC, at which time HKO downgraded
the system to a 30-kt depression.
Mote 3: CWB upgraded the disturbance to depression status at 01/0600 UTC,
then further to a tropical storm 24 hours later. Their final bulletin
was issued at 04/1500 UTC with a MSW of 30 kts (10-min avg).
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: ETAU Cyclone Number: 11W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: KABAYAN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0310
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 03 0000 12.4 N 139.9 E 1004 25 30
03 AUG 03 0600 13.2 N 139.1 E 1000 35 35 JMA: 14.1 N, 139.9 E
03 AUG 03 1200 14.0 N 138.7 E 996 45 40
03 AUG 03 1800 14.8 N 138.1 E 996 45 40
03 AUG 04 0000 15.8 N 136.8 E 980 55 55
03 AUG 04 0600 16.6 N 135.5 E 980 55 55 JMA: 15.6 N, 134.8 E
03 AUG 04 1200 17.1 N 134.0 E 975 55 60 JMA: 16.5 N, 134.4 E
03 AUG 04 1800 17.6 N 133.4 E 965 70 70 JMA: 18.1 N, 134.1 E
03 AUG 05 0000 18.3 N 132.3 E 960 85 75
03 AUG 05 0600 18.8 N 131.5 E 960 85 75
03 AUG 05 1200 19.3 N 130.9 E 960 85 75
03 AUG 05 1800 20.6 N 129.9 E 960 90 75
03 AUG 06 0000 21.7 N 129.3 E 955 95 75
03 AUG 06 0600 22.9 N 128.8 E 955 95 75
03 AUG 06 1200 24.0 N 128.7 E 955 95 75
03 AUG 06 1800 25.3 N 128.4 E 950 100 80
03 AUG 07 0000 26.5 N 128.2 E 950 110 80 Eye over Okinawa
03 AUG 07 0600 27.4 N 128.6 E 945 110 80
03 AUG 07 1200 28.3 N 129.4 E 945 110 80
03 AUG 07 1800 29.3 N 130.8 E 950 105 80
03 AUG 08 0000 30.7 N 132.0 E 955 100 75 Near Japan
03 AUG 08 0600 32.0 N 133.1 E 955 90 75
03 AUG 08 1200 33.3 N 134.0 E 950 90 75 Landfall on Shikoku
03 AUG 08 1800 34.4 N 134.8 E 965 80 65 Inland over Honshu
03 AUG 09 0000 35.5 N 136.2 E 975 65 60 "
03 AUG 09 0600 36.6 N 138.3 E 980 45 50 JMA: 37.6 N, 139.1 E
03 AUG 09 1200 39.0 N 140.7 E 985 45 40 JMA: 39.4 N, 141.4 E
03 AUG 09 1800 41.1 N 143.4 E 985 30 40 JMA: 42.8 N, 143.6 E
03 AUG 10 0000 45.0 N 147.0 E 984 40 JMA bulletins / X-Trop
03 AUG 10 0600 48.0 N 151.0 E 984 40
03 AUG 10 1200 50.0 N 154.0 E 984 40
03 AUG 10 1800 51.0 N 159.0 E 988 40
03 AUG 11 0000 52.0 N 161.0 E 988 35
03 AUG 11 0600 53.0 N 162.0 E 992 35
03 AUG 11 1200 53.0 N 162.0 E 992 35 Stationary
Note 1: JMA issued their first bulletin on this system as a 30-kt
tropical depression at 03/0300 UTC.
Note 2: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from the Asian TC warning agencies
are given in the following table:
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWB
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 03 0600 35
03 AUG 03 1200 35
03 AUG 03 1800 40
03 AUG 04 0000 45
03 AUG 04 0600 60 60
03 AUG 04 1200 60 60
03 AUG 04 1800 65 65
03 AUG 05 0000 70 70
03 AUG 05 0600 75 70
03 AUG 05 1200 80 75
03 AUG 05 1800 80 75
03 AUG 06 0000 80 80
03 AUG 06 0600 90 80
03 AUG 06 1200 100 80
03 AUG 06 1800 100
03 AUG 07 0000 100
03 AUG 07 0600 100
03 AUG 07 1200 100
03 AUG 07 1800 90
03 AUG 08 0000 90
03 AUG 08 0600 80
03 AUG 08 1200 80
03 AUG 08 1800 65
03 AUG 09 0000 60
03 AUG 09 0600 50
03 AUG 09 1200 45
03 AUG 09 1800 45
Note: HKO and CWB did not issue any warnings on this system.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: KROVANH Cyclone Number: 12W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: NINA JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0312
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 14 0600 7.7 N 154.5 E 1004 30 JMA bulletins
03 AUG 14 1200 8.9 N 154.5 E 1006 30
03 AUG 14 1800 9.8 N 152.7 E 1006 30
03 AUG 15 0000 9.1 N 151.2 E 1008 30
03 AUG 15 0600 9.8 N 150.0 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 9.1 N, 151.3 E
03 AUG 15 1200 9.9 N 149.7 E 1006 25 30
03 AUG 15 1800 10.4 N 149.5 E 1006 25 30
03 AUG 16 0000 10.7 N 149.1 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 11.5 N, 148.7 E
03 AUG 16 0600 11.6 N 148.0 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 13.0 N, 147.5 E
03 AUG 16 1200 12.4 N 147.4 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 13.2 N, 146.8 E
03 AUG 16 1800 13.0 N 146.4 E 1008 25 30
03 AUG 17 0000 13.9 N 144.6 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 12.4 N, 144.8 E
03 AUG 17 0600 13.9 N 144.0 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 13.0 N, 144.0 E
03 AUG 17 1200 14.7 N 142.6 E 1008 25 30
03 AUG 17 1800 15.4 N 142.2 E 1008 25 30
03 AUG 18 0000 17.0 N 140.7 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 16.1 N, 141.5 E
03 AUG 18 0600 16.9 N 140.8 E 1008 30 JMA bulletins
03 AUG 18 1200 17.3 N 139.4 E 1008 30
03 AUG 18 1800 17.0 N 138.9 E 1008 30 JMA final bulletin
03 AUG 19 0600 20.9 N 135.5 E 30 JTWC wrngs/regenerated
03 AUG 19 1200 20.3 N 133.9 E 30
03 AUG 19 1800 20.3 N 133.4 E 1008 30 30 JMA: 19.5 N, 133.5 E
03 AUG 20 0000 20.5 N 132.8 E 1008 30 30 JMA: 19.5 N, 133.1 E
03 AUG 20 0600 19.9 N 131.8 E 1004 35 30
03 AUG 20 1200 18.9 N 131.4 E 998 40 35
03 AUG 20 1800 18.7 N 130.5 E 990 45 45
03 AUG 21 0000 18.7 N 129.5 E 990 60 45
03 AUG 21 0600 18.6 N 128.3 E 985 65 50
03 AUG 21 1200 18.2 N 127.1 E 980 65 55
03 AUG 21 1800 17.9 N 126.0 E 975 75 60
03 AUG 22 0000 17.6 N 124.5 E 970 90 65
03 AUG 22 0600 17.7 N 122.9 E 970 90 65
03 AUG 22 1200 17.6 N 122.1 E 970 80 65 Inland near Palanan
03 AUG 22 1800 17.2 N 120.4 E 975 70 65 Near Vigan
03 AUG 23 0000 17.7 N 119.3 E 985 70 60 Back over water
03 AUG 23 0600 17.6 N 117.9 E 975 70 65
03 AUG 23 1200 17.7 N 116.8 E 980 70 55 HKO: 17.7 N, 117.3 E
03 AUG 23 1800 18.1 N 115.9 E 980 70 55
03 AUG 24 0000 18.7 N 114.9 E 980 75 55 JMA: 19.2 N, 114.8 E
03 AUG 24 0600 19.2 N 113.4 E 975 80 60
03 AUG 24 1200 19.5 N 112.1 E 975 85 60
03 AUG 24 1800 19.9 N 111.1 E 975 85 60 On NE coast of Hainan
03 AUG 25 0000 20.5 N 110.2 E 970 80 65 Inland - Luichow Pen.
03 AUG 25 0600 20.8 N 108.9 E 975 90 60 Over Gulf of Tonkin
03 AUG 25 1200 21.2 N 107.7 E 975 90 60 Near Vietnamese coast
03 AUG 25 1800 21.5 N 106.9 E 985 65 50 Inland
03 AUG 26 0000 22.1 N 105.4 E 985 50 50
03 AUG 26 0600 22.9 N 104.8 E 996 35 JMA bulletins
03 AUG 26 0900 23.0 N 104.0 E 998 30 Dissipating
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from the Asian TC warning agencies
are given in the following table:
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWB
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 20 0000 30
03 AUG 20 0600 30
03 AUG 20 1200 35 35
03 AUG 20 1800 40 35
03 AUG 21 0000 45 45
03 AUG 21 0600 45 50
03 AUG 21 1200 50 55
03 AUG 21 1800 55 60
03 AUG 22 0000 60 65 60 60
03 AUG 22 0600 70 65 65 65
03 AUG 22 1200 70 65 65 65
03 AUG 22 1800 70 50 65 60
03 AUG 23 0000 70 50 65 60
03 AUG 23 0600 70 65 65 60
03 AUG 23 1200 70 65 65
03 AUG 23 1800 70 70
03 AUG 24 0000 75 70
03 AUG 24 0600 75 75
03 AUG 24 1200 75 75
03 AUG 24 1800 75 75
03 AUG 25 0000 70 75
03 AUG 25 0600 70 75
03 AUG 25 1200 80 70
03 AUG 25 1800 70 60
03 AUG 26 0000 50
Note 1: NMCC released their final bulletin at 26/0300 UTC as the storm
moved out of their AOR (east of 105 E). Final intensity was 40 kts
(10-min avg).
Note 2: HKO initiated bulletins at 22/0000 UTC as the severe tropical
storm entered their AOR. The agency issued their final warning at
25/2100 UTC with the MSW estimated at 55 kts (10-min avg).
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: VAMCO Cyclone Number: 13W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: MANANG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0311
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 19 0000 20.0 N 125.1 E 1000 25 30
03 AUG 19 0600 22.8 N 124.8 E 996 30 35
03 AUG 19 1200 24.4 N 123.4 E 994 30 35 HKO: 23.5 N, 123.8 E
03 AUG 19 1800 25.5 N 122.2 E 996 35 35
03 AUG 20 0000 27.0 N 120.7 E 996 35 35
03 AUG 20 0600 28.3 N 119.5 E 1000 25 35 Inland in China
03 AUG 20 1200 29.8 N 118.3 E 20 25
03 AUG 20 1800 30.5 N 117.5 E 25 CWB bulletin
Note 1: JMA issued their final warning at 20/0300 UTC, downgrading the
system to a 30-kt (10-min avg) depression.
Note 2: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from the Asian TCWCs are given in
the following table:
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWB
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 19 0000 30 30
03 AUG 19 0600 35 15 30 35
03 AUG 19 1200 45 15 30 35
03 AUG 19 1800 45 35 30 35
03 AUG 20 0000 45 30 35
03 AUG 20 0600 35 25 25
03 AUG 20 1200 25
03 AUG 20 1800 25
Note 1: NMCC numbered this system "TD-04" at 19/0000 UTC, when the agency
initiated TC bulletins. Final bulletin was released at 20/0900 UTC,
placing the center near the city of Quzhou, Zhejiang Province, with
the MSW downgraded to 30 kts (10-min avg).
Note 2: HKO initiated their TC warnings at 19/0600 UTC as the depression
entered their AOR. Final warning was issued for the weakening system at
20/0600 UTC.
Mote 3: CWB upgraded the disturbance to depression status at 19/0000 UTC,
then dissipated it at 21/0000 UTC. CWB does not make any wind
estimations for tropical depressions. However, if there is any CWB
bulletin which indicates that a depression "has a tendency to intensify
into a tropical storm", the corresponding MSW entry in the table is
30 kts; otherwise, the MSW is set to 25 kts.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: LAKAY JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 18 0000 20.4 N 121.0 E 1002 25 See Note 1
03 AUG 18 0600 19.8 N 123.0 E 1002 25 JMA: 20.4 N, 121.2 E
03 AUG 18 1200 20.0 N 122.0 E 1002 25
03 AUG 18 1800 20.4 N 121.5 E 1002 25
03 AUG 19 0000 20.8 N 120.7 E 1002 25
03 AUG 19 0600 19.5 N 118.2 E 1000 30
03 AUG 19 1200 19.7 N 118.0 E 1000 30
03 AUG 19 1800 19.9 N 118.1 E 998 35
03 AUG 20 0000 20.3 N 118.2 E 998 35 NMCC: 20.0 N, 117.1 E
03 AUG 20 0600 20.5 N 118.2 E 998 35 NMCC: 20.1 N, 117.0 E
03 AUG 20 1200 22.3 N 117.5 E 998 35 NMCC: 20.7 N, 116.6 E
03 AUG 20 1800 21.3 N 116.3 E 999 30 NMCC warning
03 AUG 21 0000 22.0 N 116.0 E 1002 20 GRMC warning (Note 3)
Note 1: The center position coordinates given in the table above
through 20/1200 UTC, as well as the MSW estimates, were taken from
PAGASA's warnings on this system. PAGASA was the only warning agency
to upgrade Lakay to tropical storm status; no warnings were issued on
the system by JTWC.
Note 2: JMA's center position coordinates were reasonably close to
PAGASA's with the following two exceptions:
03 AUG 20 0600 UTC 20.0 N 116.1 E
03 AUG 20 1200 UTC 20.6 N 115.7 E
Note 3: GRMC = Guangzhou Regional Meteorological Centre
Note 4: CWB also issued some bulletins on this depression. Their
center coordinates were reasonably close to the other TCWC's positions
except for the final two at 20/1800 and 21/0000 UTC. The position given
for both those times was 22.0N, 114.0E.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: DUJUAN Cyclone Number: 14W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: ONYOK JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0313
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 28 0600 17.6 N 137.5 E 30
03 AUG 28 1200 16.7 N 136.7 E 1008 35 30 JMA: 16.7 N, 138.5 E
03 AUG 28 1800 16.3 N 136.0 E 1006 35 30 JMA: 15.5 N, 137.7 E
03 AUG 29 0000 16.1 N 135.3 E 1006 35 30 JMA: 15.5 N, 136.7 E
03 AUG 29 0600 16.2 N 134.9 E 1002 35 30
03 AUG 29 1200 15.8 N 134.1 E 1000 45 30 JMA: 16.0 N, 134.9 E
03 AUG 29 1800 16.0 N 133.8 E 998 60 35 JMA: 16.2 N, 134.6 E
03 AUG 30 0000 16.1 N 134.3 E 990 65 45
03 AUG 30 0600 16.7 N 133.6 E 985 75 50 JMA: 16.5 N, 134.1 E
03 AUG 30 1200 17.7 N 133.2 E 980 75 55 PAGASA: 17.0 N, 133.0 E
03 AUG 30 1800 18.4 N 132.2 E 970 80 65
03 AUG 31 0000 19.2 N 131.1 E 970 80 65
03 AUG 31 0600 19.8 N 129.6 E 960 90 70
03 AUG 31 1200 20.2 N 128.1 E 960 90 70
03 AUG 31 1800 20.4 N 126.7 E 960 100 70
03 SEP 01 0000 20.7 N 125.4 E 950 120 80
03 SEP 01 0600 20.8 N 123.8 E 950 120 80
03 SEP 01 1200 21.2 N 121.8 E 950 125 80
03 SEP 01 1800 21.6 N 120.0 E 950 120 80
03 SEP 02 0000 22.0 N 118.2 E 950 120 80
03 SEP 02 0600 22.2 N 116.7 E 960 105 70
03 SEP 02 1200 22.6 N 114.7 E 975 100 60 Just off Chinese coast
03 SEP 02 1800 22.6 N 112.6 E 990 65 45 Inland in China
03 SEP 03 0000 22.6 N 110.5 E 996 40 30 JMA: 23.0 N, 111.0 E
03 SEP 03 0300 22.8 N 110.8 E 998 25 Final NMCC warning
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from the Asian TC warning agencies
are given in the following table:
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWB
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 AUG 29 1200 30
03 AUG 29 1800 35 35
03 AUG 30 0000 50 40
03 AUG 30 0600 60 45
03 AUG 30 1200 60 45
03 AUG 30 1800 60 60
03 AUG 31 0000 65 65
03 AUG 31 0600 70 70 70
03 AUG 31 1200 70 70 70
03 AUG 31 1800 70 75 70
03 SEP 01 0000 80 80 75
03 SEP 01 0600 90 80 90 85
03 SEP 01 1200 90 80 95 85
03 SEP 01 1800 90 80 95 85
03 SEP 02 0000 90 95 85
03 SEP 02 0600 90 85 80
03 SEP 02 1200 80 85
03 SEP 02 1800 45 65
03 SEP 03 0000 30 40
Note 1: The final NMCC warning was issued at 03/0300 UTC with the
MSW estimated at 25 kts (10-min avg).
Note 2: HKO initiated their bulletins at 01/0300 UTC as the typhoon
entered their AOR with an estimated intensity of 85 kts, and the final
warning at 03/0300 UTC downgraded Dujuan to a 30-kt depression. HKO's
estimated peak intensity of 100 kts occurred at 01/1500 UTC. (All
HKO estimates represent a 10-min avg.)
Note 3: CWB issued their first warning on Dujuan as the typhoon
entered their AOR at 0300 UTC on 31 August with the MSW (10-min avg)
estimated at 65 kts. The final warning was issued as the storm
exited CWB's AOR at 0900 UTC on 2 September; the MSW was estimated
at 80 kts.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp:// ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph> OR http://64.235.42.210>
http://mpittweather.com>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Huang Chunliang [email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
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Document: trak0308.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006 |
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