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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks March 2004
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

               GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2004


          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!


*************************************************************************

SOUTH ATLANTIC (SAT) - Atlantic Ocean South of the Equator


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone CATARINA (01T)                     19 - 28 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: CATARINA              Cyclone Number: 01T     Basin: SAT
(Name assigned by Brazilian news media / Number from UK Met. Office)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 19 1800  27.0 S   49.0 W         25        Extratropical
04 MAR 20 0000  26.5 S   48.5 W         25
04 MAR 20 0600  25.3 S   48.0 W         30
04 MAR 20 1200  25.5 S   46.0 W         30
04 MAR 20 1800  26.5 S   44.5 W         30
04 MAR 21 0000  26.8 S   43.0 W         30
04 MAR 21 0600  27.5 S   42.0 W         30
04 MAR 21 1200  28.7 S   40.5 W         30
04 MAR 21 1800  29.5 S   39.5 W         30
04 MAR 22 0000  30.9 S   38.5 W         30
04 MAR 22 0600  31.9 S   37.0 W         30
04 MAR 22 1200  32.3 S   36.7 W         30
04 MAR 22 1800  31.5 S   36.5 W         30
04 MAR 23 0000  30.7 S   36.7 W         30
04 MAR 23 0600  29.8 S   37.0 W         30
04 MAR 23 1200  29.5 S   37.5 W         30
04 MAR 23 1800  29.4 S   38.1 W         35
04 MAR 24 0000  29.3 S   38.5 W         35        Subtropical/hybrid
04 MAR 24 0600  29.2 S   38.8 W         35
04 MAR 24 1200  29.1 S   39.0 W         35
04 MAR 24 1800  29.1 S   39.4 W         40
04 MAR 25 0000  29.0 S   39.9 W         40
04 MAR 25 0600  28.9 S   40.4 W         45        Tropical storm
04 MAR 25 1200  28.7 S   41.2 W         50
04 MAR 25 1800  28.7 S   41.9 W         55
04 MAR 26 0000  28.7 S   42.6 W         60
04 MAR 26 0600  28.7 S   43.1 W         65
04 MAR 26 1200  28.8 S   43.7 W         70
04 MAR 26 1800  28.9 S   44.2 W         70
04 MAR 27 0000  29.1 S   44.9 W         70
04 MAR 27 0600  29.2 S   45.6 W         75
04 MAR 27 1200  29.5 S   46.4 W         75
04 MAR 27 1800  29.5 S   47.5 W         80
04 MAR 28 0000  29.3 S   48.3 W         80
04 MAR 28 0600  29.0 S   49.7 W         85
04 MAR 28 1200  28.5 S   50.1 W         60        Inland
04 MAR 28 1800  28.5 S   51.0 W         45

Note: The above track was prepared in its entirety by Roger Edson of
the University of Guam.  A special thanks to Roger for sending it.
This system was also numbered as 01L on NRL's website, and in some
e-mail discussion groups was referred to by the name Aldonca--a name
suggested by Roger Edson.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  A very special thanks to Michael for the assistance he
  so reliably provides.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm (02W / BUTCHOY)                      16 - 23 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 02W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: BUTCHOY     JMA Tropical Storm Number: None

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 16 1200   6.3 N  136.9 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 5.5N/137.5E
04 MAR 16 1800   7.4 N  134.9 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 6.5N/136.0E
04 MAR 17 0000   5.3 N  136.0 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 5.9N/134.8E
04 MAR 17 0600   5.6 N  135.0 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 6.8N/134.2E
04 MAR 17 1200   6.2 N  134.0 E  1002   30    30  JMA: 6.8N/133.7E
04 MAR 17 1800   6.5 N  133.2 E  1000   25    30  JMA: 7.4N/131.7E
04 MAR 18 0000   7.6 N  131.5 E  1000   25    30
04 MAR 18 0600   8.7 N  130.5 E   998   25    30  JMA: 10.8N/128.9E
04 MAR 18 1200   9.8 N  129.3 E  1000   30    30  JMA: 9.8N/129.3E
04 MAR 18 1800  10.9 N  128.3 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 10.5N/129.1E
04 MAR 19 0000  11.5 N  127.5 E  1002   35    30  JMA: 11.2N/128.2E
04 MAR 19 0600  11.9 N  127.1 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 11.2N/127.7E
04 MAR 19 1200  12.1 N  126.9 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 11.6N/127.5E
04 MAR 19 1800  12.1 N  126.8 E  1000   35    30
04 MAR 20 0000  13.2 N  125.9 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 12.7N/126.8E
04 MAR 20 0600  13.7 N  125.5 E  1000   35    30
04 MAR 20 1200  14.2 N  125.1 E  1000   35    30
04 MAR 20 1800  14.8 N  124.6 E  1000   45    30
04 MAR 21 0000  15.0 N  123.8 E  1000   45    30  JMA: 15.0N/124.7E
04 MAR 21 0600  15.4 N  124.0 E  1000   40    30  JMA: 15.6N/125.1E
04 MAR 21 1200  16.2 N  124.7 E  1000   35    30
04 MAR 21 1800  16.6 N  125.7 E  1000   30    30  
04 MAR 22 0000  16.7 N  124.4 E  1004   25    30  PAGASA: 16.9N/125.9E
04 MAR 22 0600  16.7 N  124.2 E  1000   25    30  PAGASA: 17.0N/125.9E
04 MAR 22 1200  17.3 N  126.4 E  1000         30  PAGASA warnings
04 MAR 22 1800  17.5 N  126.5 E  1000         30
04 MAR 23 0000  17.7 N  126.6 E               15

Note: PAGASA was the only one of the Asian TCWCs to upgrade 02W/Butchoy
to tropical storm status.  Their highest estimated 10-min avg MSW was
45 kts.   NMCC and HKO, along with JMA, rated the system as no more
than a 30-kt (10-min avg) tropical depression.  The CWB of Taiwan also
classified the system as a tropical depression, but did not assign any
explicit wind estimations.  (A special thanks to Huang Chunliang for
informing me of the peak MSW assignations of the Chinese warning
centres.)  The PAGASA and JMA tracks, as well as the JTWC track, may
be found in their entirety at the following link (courtesy of Michael
Padua):

   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/stormarchives/2004/stormlogs/
           02butchoy04_log.htm>

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone GAFILO (MFR-09 / 16S)              02 - 15 Mar
   Tropical Disturbance (MFR-11 / 21S)                 13 - 28 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: GAFILO                Cyclone Number: 16S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 02 0600  12.9 S   70.8 E  1002         25
04 MAR 02 1200  13.9 S   69.9 E  1002         25
04 MAR 02 1800  14.1 S   68.5 E  1002   30    25  
04 MAR 03 0000  14.3 S   66.0 E   998         30
04 MAR 03 0600  13.4 S   63.7 E   992   45    40  Relocated
04 MAR 03 1200  13.1 S   62.3 E   985   60    50
04 MAR 03 1800  12.6 S   61.3 E   985   65    50  JTWC: 12.3S/60.5E
04 MAR 04 0000  12.2 S   60.7 E   980         55
04 MAR 04 0600  12.2 S   59.8 E   980   65    55
04 MAR 04 1200  12.4 S   58.8 E   970         65
04 MAR 04 1800  13.1 S   58.0 E   970   85    65
04 MAR 05 0000  13.1 S   57.6 E   965         70
04 MAR 05 0600  13.4 S   56.7 E   965   90    75
04 MAR 05 1200  14.0 S   55.9 E   952         85
04 MAR 05 1800  14.4 S   55.1 E   930  125    95
04 MAR 06 0000  14.4 S   54.0 E   925        105
04 MAR 06 0600  14.6 S   53.4 E   900  140   125
04 MAR 06 1200  14.8 S   52.5 E   900        125
04 MAR 06 1800  15.0 S   51.5 E   895  140   125
04 MAR 07 0000  15.0 S   50.5 E   895        125
04 MAR 07 0600  15.1 S   49.4 E         95    65  Inland
04 MAR 07 1200  15.9 S   47.8 E               45
04 MAR 07 1800  16.6 S   46.2 E         75    45  JTWC: 16.2S/46.7E
04 MAR 08 0000  17.0 S   45.0 E               45
04 MAR 08 0600  18.2 S   44.2 E         55    50
04 MAR 08 1200  18.4 S   43.1 E   988         45  Over water
04 MAR 08 1800  18.6 S   42.8 E   987   65    45
04 MAR 09 0000  19.1 S   42.4 E   987         45
04 MAR 09 0600  19.2 S   42.0 E   987   65    45  JTWC: 19.7S/42.0E
04 MAR 09 1200  20.0 S   42.4 E   985         50
04 MAR 09 1800  20.6 S   43.3 E   975   60    60
04 MAR 10 0000  21.7 S   43.9 E               50  Inland
04 MAR 10 0600  22.5 S   45.0 E   987   45    40
04 MAR 10 1200  23.2 S   45.4 E               40
04 MAR 10 1800  23.3 S   45.7 E   988   45    40
04 MAR 11 0000  24.0 S   46.6 E   988         40
04 MAR 11 0600  24.4 S   46.3 E   990   35    40
04 MAR 11 1200  24.0 S   45.5 E   992         35
04 MAR 11 1800  23.9 S   45.6 E   992   25    30  JTWC: 24.5S/46.8E
04 MAR 12 0000  23.6 S   45.4 E   992         25
04 MAR 12 1200  21.9 S   46.3 E               25  No wrng issued at 0600Z
04 MAR 12 1800  23.0 S   47.0 E   996         25
04 MAR 13 0000  23.3 S   47.5 E   997         25
04 MAR 13 0600  23.5 S   48.6 E   999         20  Over water
04 MAR 13 1200  23.6 S   49.2 E   999         20  Final warning
04 MAR 14 1200  26.3 S   56.4 E  1000         30  Subtropical depression
04 MAR 14 1800  26.9 S   58.0 E  1000         25
04 MAR 15 0000  28.0 S   60.0 E  1000         25
04 MAR 15 0600  28.5 S   63.3 E  1002         25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 21S     Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 13 0400  13.0 S   96.5 E  1006         25  Perth Trop. WX Outlooks
04 MAR 14 0400  14.5 S   94.5 E  1002         25
04 MAR 15 0400  15.0 S   89.0 E  1002         25
04 MAR 15 1200  15.5 S   87.1 E  1002         25  La Reunion bulletins
04 MAR 18 0600  16.2 S   75.4 E  1004         25
04 MAR 19 0600  15.2 S   69.2 E  1004         25
04 MAR 20 0600  13.5 S   62.9 E  1004         25
04 MAR 21 1200  10.2 S   57.8 E  1004         20
04 MAR 23 1800   8.5 S   56.0 E         30        JTWC warnings
04 MAR 24 0600   8.6 S   56.1 E         30
04 MAR 24 1200   8.7 S   56.1 E         20
04 MAR 25 0600   9.3 S   53.9 E  1004         20  La Reunion bulletins
04 MAR 26 0600   9.6 S   53.2 S  1005         20  Locally 30 kts to S
04 MAR 28 0600   9.2 S   51.5 E  1006         20

Note: The discontinuous track of this long-lived, tenuous disturbance
bespeaks its weak intensity and the disorganization of its central cloud
features.  According to Huang Chunliang, this system was the Indian
Ocean continuation of former Tropical Cyclone Evan which formed in
the Gulf of Carpentaria on 1 March and quickly moved inland and
weakened.  The Perth TCWC issued gale warnings on the remnants of
Evan beginning on 3 March in the anticipation that it would regain
tropical cyclone status, but were dropped on the 6th after it had
shown no signs of redevelopment.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
  Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory.    The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
  the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates
  from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
  annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
  amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone NICKY-HELMA (17S / MFR-10)         08 - 13 Mar
   Severe Tropical Cyclone FAY (18S)                   14 - 28 Mar
   Severe Tropical Cyclone OSCAR-ITSENG (20S / MFR-12) 20 - 28 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: NICKY-HELMA           Cyclone Number: 17S     Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10   (First named by Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 08 0400  13.6 S   90.6 E  1002         30
04 MAR 08 1000  13.4 S   91.0 E  1002   30    30
04 MAR 08 1600  13.0 S   91.3 E  1002         30
04 MAR 08 2200  13.1 S   91.0 E  1000   25    30
04 MAR 09 0400  13.2 S   90.7 E   995         40  Named TC Nicky by Perth
04 MAR 09 1000  13.4 S   90.5 E   985   50    45
04 MAR 09 1600  14.0 S   90.7 E   985         45
04 MAR 09 2200  14.5 S   90.4 E   985   50    45
04 MAR 10 0400  14.4 S   90.2 E   975         60
04 MAR 10 1000  15.3 S   90.1 E   975   65    55
04 MAR 10 1800  16.5 S   89.6 E   975         60  1st MFR wrng on Helma
04 MAR 11 0000  17.2 S   88.9 E   975   65    60
04 MAR 11 0600  17.8 S   88.1 E   972         60
04 MAR 11 1200  18.6 S   87.5 E   972   65    60
04 MAR 11 1800  19.2 S   87.4 E   974         60
04 MAR 12 0000  19.6 S   87.1 E   976   70    60
04 MAR 12 0600  19.4 S   85.8 E   980         55
04 MAR 12 1200  19.7 S   85.5 E   985   55    45
04 MAR 12 1800  20.1 S   85.6 E   990         40
04 MAR 13 0000  21.0 S   84.3 E   994   45    35  JTWC: 21.1S/83.8E
04 MAR 13 0600  22.7 S   84.2 E   998         25
04 MAR 13 1200  22.2 S   85.1 E   998   25    20  JTWC: 23.1S/84.2E

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FAY                   Cyclone Number: 18S     Basin: AUW
(Storm named by the Darwin, Northern Territory, TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 14 0530  10.5 S  135.5 E  1002         25
04 MAR 14 1330  10.6 S  135.0 E  1002         25
04 MAR 14 1830  10.0 S  135.2 E  1001         25  Relocated
04 MAR 15 0030  10.5 S  134.5 E  1000         25
04 MAR 15 0630  10.5 S  133.0 E   998         25
04 MAR 15 1230  10.5 S  131.7 E   998         30
04 MAR 15 1800  10.7 S  130.6 E   997         30
04 MAR 16 0000  11.3 S  129.4 E   997         30
04 MAR 16 0600  11.6 S  128.5 E   996   30    30  
04 MAR 16 1200  11.7 S  127.9 E   995         35  Named TC Fay
04 MAR 16 1800  11.8 S  127.6 E   992   35    40  JTWC: 12.3S/126.9E
04 MAR 17 0000  12.1 S  127.9 E   992         40  Relocated
04 MAR 17 0600  12.4 S  127.4 E   990   35    40  
04 MAR 17 1200  12.7 S  127.1 E   985         45
04 MAR 17 1800  12.8 S  126.8 E   980   45    50
04 MAR 18 0000  13.0 S  126.8 E   978         55
04 MAR 18 0600  13.1 S  126.7 E   976   65    60
04 MAR 18 1200  13.2 S  126.6 E   972         65
04 MAR 18 1800  13.2 S  125.9 E   970   75    70
04 MAR 19 0000  12.6 S  125.6 E   964         70
04 MAR 19 0400  12.7 S  125.5 E   964   75    70  Perth warnings
04 MAR 19 1000  12.9 S  125.2 E   955         80
04 MAR 19 1600  13.1 S  124.9 E   955   90    80
04 MAR 19 2200  13.2 S  124.5 E   950         80
04 MAR 20 0400  13.0 S  124.7 E   950   90    80
04 MAR 20 1000  13.2 S  124.5 E   945         85
04 MAR 20 1600  13.4 S  124.0 E   945  100    85
04 MAR 20 2200  13.5 S  123.3 E   935         90
04 MAR 21 0400  13.5 S  122.9 E   935  115    90
04 MAR 21 1000  14.1 S  122.4 E   910        110
04 MAR 21 1600  14.1 S  121.5 E   910  120   115
04 MAR 21 2200  14.2 S  121.1 E   920        105
04 MAR 22 0400  14.0 S  120.7 E   925  115   100
04 MAR 22 1000  14.2 S  120.7 E   925        100
04 MAR 22 1600  14.3 S  120.2 E   920        105
04 MAR 22 2200  14.4 S  120.2 E   930        100
04 MAR 23 0400  14.2 S  120.3 E   935  105    95
04 MAR 23 1000  14.5 S  120.9 E   950         80
04 MAR 23 1600  15.0 S  120.9 E   950   90    80
04 MAR 23 2200  15.3 S  121.2 E   970         60
04 MAR 24 0400  15.6 S  121.5 E   970   80    60
04 MAR 24 1000  16.2 S  121.7 E   970         60
04 MAR 24 1600  16.7 S  121.7 E   960   80    75
04 MAR 24 2200  17.1 S  121.7 E   955         80
04 MAR 25 0400  17.6 S  121.4 E   955   75    75
04 MAR 25 1000  18.0 S  120.9 E   960         70
04 MAR 25 1600  18.0 S  120.4 E   960   75    70
04 MAR 25 2200  18.1 S  120.2 E   960         70
04 MAR 26 0400  18.4 S  120.0 E   960   90    70
04 MAR 26 1000  18.9 S  119.9 E   945         85
04 MAR 26 1600  19.2 S  120.0 E   940  115    90
04 MAR 26 2200  19.6 S  120.1 E   940         90
04 MAR 27 0400  20.3 S  120.1 E   950   95    80  Inland
04 MAR 27 1000  20.9 S  120.1 E   970         65
04 MAR 27 1600  21.1 S  120.6 E   980   65    50
04 MAR 27 2200  21.4 S  120.5 E   980         50
04 MAR 28 0400  21.5 S  120.8 E   988         45
04 MAR 28 1000  21.6 S  121.1 E   998         30

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: OSCAR-ITSENG          Cyclone Number: 20S     Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 12   (First named by Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 20 2200  12.0 S  102.0 E   998         30
04 MAR 21 0600  13.3 S  103.8 E  1000         25
04 MAR 22 0400  15.3 S  102.0 E  1002         25  Perth Trop Wx. Outlook
04 MAR 23 0400  15.1 S   99.1 E   998         30
04 MAR 23 1000  15.3 S   98.5 E   996   35    30
04 MAR 23 1600  15.0 S   98.0 E   996         30
04 MAR 23 2200  14.8 S   97.4 E   985   45    50  Named TC Oscar by Perth
04 MAR 24 0400  14.5 S   96.6 E   985         50
04 MAR 24 1000  14.8 S   95.7 E   980   55    55
04 MAR 24 1600  14.8 S   95.1 E   975         60
04 MAR 24 2200  15.1 S   93.7 E   975   60    60
04 MAR 25 0400  15.6 S   93.3 E   960         70
04 MAR 25 1000  16.4 S   92.5 E   960   70    70
04 MAR 25 1600  16.4 S   92.7 E   950         75
04 MAR 25 2200  17.0 S   92.1 E   935  110    95
04 MAR 26 0400  17.3 S   92.2 E   935         95
04 MAR 26 1000  17.7 S   92.0 E   935  105    95
04 MAR 26 1600  17.8 S   91.7 E   935         95
04 MAR 26 2200  17.9 S   91.3 E   940   90    90
04 MAR 27 0400  17.9 S   90.7 E   965         70
04 MAR 27 1000  19.1 S   90.5 E   970   50    55
04 MAR 27 1600  19.8 S   90.2 E   975         50
04 MAR 27 1800  19.4 S   89.9 E   978         55  1st MFR wrng on Itseng
04 MAR 28 0000  19.5 S   89.3 E   986   35    50
04 MAR 28 0600  19.5 S   89.0 E   995         30
04 MAR 28 1200  19.7 S   89.2 E   998         30
04 MAR 28 1800  20.0 S   89.0 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts S quads

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
  Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
  warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
  Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.    The center
  position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
  Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
  differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone EVAN (15P)                         29 Feb - 06 Mar
   Coral Sea Hybrid Cyclone                            02 - 05 Mar
   Tropical Cyclone GRACE (19P / 07F)                  18 - 24 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: EVAN                  Cyclone Number: 15P     Basin: AUE/AUW
(Storm named by the Darwin, Northern Territory, TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 FEB 29 0030  14.0 S  140.0 E  1003         25
04 FEB 29 0630  14.0 S  140.0 E  1002         25
04 FEB 29 1230  14.0 S  139.7 E  1002         25
04 FEB 29 1830  13.3 S  139.3 E  1000         30
04 MAR 01 0000  13.3 S  138.7 E  1000         30
04 MAR 01 0600  13.9 S  137.5 E   994         35  Named TC Evan
04 MAR 01 1200  13.9 S  136.5 E   994         40  Over Groote Eylandt
04 MAR 01 1800  14.0 S  135.5 E         35    30  Inland
04 MAR 02 0000  14.1 S  134.8 E         30        JTWC warning
04 MAR 02 0600  14.3 S  134.6 E         25             "
04 MAR 03 0400  14.5 S  129.0 E  1000         30  Perth warnings
04 MAR 03 1000  14.1 S  128.4 E  1000         30
04 MAR 03 1600  14.3 S  126.6 E  1000         30
04 MAR 03 2200  14.4 S  126.0 E  1000         30
04 MAR 04 0400  14.7 S  125.0 E  1000         30
04 MAR 04 1000  15.4 S  124.0 E   999         30
04 MAR 04 1600  15.8 S  122.9 E   999         30
04 MAR 04 2200  16.2 S  122.0 E   999         30
04 MAR 05 0100  16.3 S  121.5 E   999         30
04 MAR 05 0400  16.5 S  121.0 E  1000         30
04 MAR 05 1000  16.5 S  120.0 E  1000         25
04 MAR 05 1600  16.6 S  119.0 E  1000         25
04 MAR 05 2200  17.0 S  118.2 E  1000         25
04 MAR 06 0400  17.6 S  117.5 E  1000         25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: AUE
(Storm was a subtropical or hybrid cyclone)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 02 0000  14.0 S  154.0 E  1003         25
04 MAR 02 0600  14.0 S  154.0 E  1002         25
04 MAR 02 1200  14.0 S  153.0 E  1002         25
04 MAR 02 1800  14.0 S  152.0 E  1001         25
04 MAR 03 0000  14.0 S  151.0 E  1000         40  Secondary cntr 18S/159E
04 MAR 03 0600  14.5 S  149.6 E  1000         40  Secondary cntr 18S/157E
04 MAR 03 1200  13.5 S  150.0 E  1000         40  Trough to 20S/160E
04 MAR 03 1800  14.5 S  151.5 E  1000         40          "
04 MAR 04 0000  14.5 S  152.5 E  1002         45
04 MAR 04 0600  15.0 S  153.0 E   998         40  New LOW fcst to form
04 MAR 04 1200  20.5 S  157.0 E   999         40  Begin trk of new LOW
04 MAR 04 1800  22.0 S  156.5 E   994         50
04 MAR 05 0000  23.3 S  154.2 E   994         55
04 MAR 05 0600  25.0 S  152.5 E   994         55
04 MAR 05 1200  26.0 S  152.5 E   994         45  Inland
04 MAR 05 1800  27.5 S  152.5 E   994         45  Moved out of BNE's AOR

Note: The situation in the Coral Sea and along the Queensland coast was
rather complex during the early days of March.  The track above follows
the initial LOW through 04/0600 UTC with a secondary center's location
given in the remarks.  The warnings from Brisbane shifted to a new LOW
at 04/1200 UTC and dropped the earlier one.  This was the storm which
adversely affected southeastern Queensland and northeastern New South
Wales.  The storm moved out of Brisbane's AOR after 05/1800 UTC and I
do not have any information on the system thereafter.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: GRACE                 Cyclone Number: 19P     Basin: AUE/SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F  (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 18 0600  14.5 S  145.5 E   998         30
04 MAR 18 1200  15.0 S  145.5 E   998         40  LOW not tropical yet
04 MAR 18 1800  14.5 S  145.5 E   996         40
04 MAR 19 0000  15.5 S  145.3 E   997         40
04 MAR 19 0600  15.5 S  145.3 E   995         40  2nd LOW 16.5S/146.5E
04 MAR 19 1200  16.5 S  146.5 E               30  Track of new LOW
04 MAR 19 1800  15.6 S  146.3 E   994         30
04 MAR 20 0000  16.0 S  146.5 E   994         40
04 MAR 20 0600  16.5 S  147.1 E   993         40
04 MAR 20 1200  16.5 S  148.4 E   993         40
04 MAR 20 1800  16.3 S  149.4 E   992         40
04 MAR 21 0000  16.3 S  150.5 E   994         40
04 MAR 21 0600  17.3 S  152.0 E   990         40
04 MAR 21 1200  18.5 S  153.5 E   990         40
04 MAR 21 1800  20.0 S  155.0 E   988   35    45  Named TC Grace
04 MAR 22 0000  20.3 S  155.9 E   985         50
04 MAR 22 0600  20.9 S  156.9 E   985   30    50  JTWC: 20.3S/155.9E
04 MAR 22 1200  22.3 S  158.2 E   985         50
04 MAR 22 1800  22.5 S  159.0 E   985   25    50  JTWC: 21.6S/158.1E
04 MAR 23 0000  22.6 S  160.0 E   985         50
04 MAR 23 0600  23.0 S  160.6 E   985         45  Fiji warnings
04 MAR 23 1200  23.4 S  161.4 E   988         40
04 MAR 23 1800  23.6 S  162.3 E   988         45  Extratropical
04 MAR 24 0000  22.9 S  162.6 E   988         45
04 MAR 24 0600  23.0 S  163.0 E   988         45
04 MAR 24 1200  23.0 S  164.0 E   986         55
04 MAR 24 1800  23.0 S  164.5 E   986         55

Note: Prior to Grace being named, gales were forecast well to the north
and south of the center.  The definition of a tropical cyclone in WMO
Region V requires that gales be present near the center; hence, the storm
remained unnamed until there was evidence of gale-force winds near the
LOW's center.  Following Fiji's last warning at 24/1800 UTC, general
gale warnings were issued for a few more days for the extratropical
remnants of Grace; however, no center coordinates were specified.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
  Wellington, New Zealand.  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
  Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
  those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Depression (06F)                           20 - 22 Mar
   Tropical Depression (08F)                           30 Mar - 01 Apr

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 20 2100  18.5 S  164.5 E   998         25  Some peripheral gales
04 MAR 21 0600  19.0 S  166.5 E   997         20            "
04 MAR 21 2100  21.2 S  169.4 E   994         25            "
04 MAR 22 0600  22.1 S  170.1 E   994         25            "
04 MAR 22 1800  24.5 S  172.3 E  1000         25  Leaving Fiji's AOR

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 08F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 MAR 30 0600  23.0 S  173.0 W  1002         40  Gales well S of cntr
04 MAR 30 1800  23.0 S  167.0 W  1002         35  Relocated/Gales to SW
04 MAR 31 0600  22.5 S  167.5 W  1002         35  Gales well SW of cntr
04 MAR 31 2100  21.9 S  162.7 W  1006             Relocated again
04 APR 01 0600  22.0 S  163.0 W  1006             Becoming extratropical

Note: The track for this system is highly dubious.  There are two very
large jumps due to relocations, or else transferring the center of
interest to another weak LLCC.  Also, in the Fiji bulletins, this system
at one point was referred to as 09F due to a typographical error--that
was corrected in the 31/2100 UTC Tropical Disturbance Summary.  No
value was given for the MSW in the final two summaries, but a separate
gale warning was issued as late as 31/1900 UTC.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

             !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp:// ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              garyp@alaweb.com


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          michaelpadua@hotmail.com 
                            webmaster@typhoon2000.ph

  Huang Chunliang           huangchunliang@hotmail.com

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0403.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006

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