Tropical
Cyclones
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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks June 2004 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JUNE 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* !!!!! CORRECTIONS TO APRIL AND MAY TRACKS FILES !!!!! Huang Chunliang sent me a couple of corrections to the MSW tables he'd compiled for earlier tropical cyclones Sudal and Omais. They are as follows: (1) The JMA Storm ID for "Super Typhoon 03W/SUDAL/0401/COSME" should have been "Very Severe Typhoon 0401 (SUDAL)" rather than "Severe Typhoon 0401 (SUDAL)". (2) The JMA Storm ID for "Typhoon 06W/OMAIS/0403/ENTENG" should have been "Typhoon 0403 (OMAIS)" rather than "Severe Tropical Storm 0403 (OMAIS)". ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon CONSON (07W / 0404 / FRANK) 04 - 11 Jun Typhoon CHANTHU (08W /0405 / GENER) 07 - 15 Jun Super Typhoon DIANMU (09W / 0406 / HELEN) 12 - 23 Jun Typhoon MINDULLE (10W / 0407 / IGME) 23 Jun - 05 Jul Typhoon TINGTING (11W / 0408) 25 Jun - 06 Jul ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CONSON Cyclone Number: 07W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: FRANK JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0404 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUN 04 1800 14.5 N 116.5 E 25 04 JUN 05 0000 15.1 N 116.3 E 30 04 JUN 05 0600 15.3 N 116.3 E 30 04 JUN 05 1200 14.7 N 116.8 E 1000 35 30 04 JUN 05 1800 14.8 N 117.2 E 1000 35 30 04 JUN 06 0000 15.2 N 117.9 E 1000 45 30 04 JUN 06 0600 15.7 N 118.2 E 1000 50 30 04 JUN 06 1200 16.0 N 118.6 E 1000 50 30 04 JUN 06 1800 16.3 N 118.8 E 1000 50 30 04 JUN 07 0000 16.5 N 118.8 E 992 55 40 04 JUN 07 0600 16.7 N 119.0 E 985 55 50 04 JUN 07 1200 17.3 N 119.2 E 985 55 50 04 JUN 07 1800 17.9 N 119.1 E 985 65 50 04 JUN 08 0000 18.6 N 119.4 E 980 65 60 04 JUN 08 0600 19.3 N 119.7 E 975 75 65 04 JUN 08 1200 19.9 N 120.0 E 960 85 65 04 JUN 08 1800 20.5 N 120.4 E 960 90 65 04 JUN 09 0000 21.1 N 121.4 E 960 90 65 04 JUN 09 0600 22.2 N 122.5 E 960 90 65 04 JUN 09 1200 23.3 N 123.6 E 960 95 75 04 JUN 09 1800 24.8 N 124.8 E 960 95 75 04 JUN 10 0000 25.9 N 126.1 E 960 90 75 04 JUN 10 0600 27.1 N 127.5 E 970 80 65 04 JUN 10 1200 28.5 N 129.0 E 975 65 60 04 JUN 10 1800 29.8 N 130.5 E 980 60 55 04 JUN 11 0000 31.0 N 131.8 E 990 55 45 04 JUN 11 0600 32.9 N 133.9 E 992 40 45 Extratropical 04 JUN 11 1200 35.0 N 137.0 E 1008 35 JMA warnings 04 JUN 11 1800 36.0 N 138.0 E 1008 30 Over Central Honshu Note: The following table contains the peak MSW comparisons compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang. Please read Chunliang's explanatory notes following the table. Follwing this is a table listing the MSW estimates from all the warning agencies for the entire lifetime of Conson. ========================================================= == Typhoon 07W/CONSON/0404/FRANK/TD02 (Jun 4-11, 2004) == ========================================================= TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 07W (CONSON) 95 JMA Severe Typhoon 0404 (CONSON) 75 PAGASA Typhoon FRANK 65* NMCC Typhoon 0404 (CONSON)/TD02# 80 HKO Typhoon CONSON (0404) 70 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0404 (CONSON) 65 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was last classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, NMCC was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 07W to TD status on the 4th, while JTWC, JMA, NMCC and CWB all ceased their TC warnings at 11/0600 UTC.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): The system was numbered "TD02" at 04/0000 UTC, when NMCC initiated their TC warnings. COMPARISON AMONG TCWCs (MSW in kts) ================================================== DD/HH (UTC) JTWC JMA PAGASA NMC HKO CWB ---------------------------------------------------------------- 04/00 -- -- -- 25 -- -- 04/06 -- -- -- 30 -- -- 04/12 -- -- -- 30 -- -- 04/18 25 -- -- 30 -- -- 05/00 30 25 -- 30 -- 25 05/06 30 25 -- 30 25 25 05/12 35 25 30 30 25 25 05/18 35 30 30 30 25 25 06/00 45 30 30 30 30 25 06/06 50 30+ 35 35 30 30 06/12 50 30+ 45 45 35 30 06/18 50 30+ 45 45 35 30 07/00 55 40 50 45 40 40 07/06 55 50 55 45 40 45 07/12 55 50 55 50 45 50 07/18 65 50 55 50 55 50 08/00 65 55 55 60 55 50 08/06 75 60 55 60 65 55 08/12 85 65 65 70 70 65 08/18 90 65 65 75 70 65 09/00 90 65 65 75 65 65 09/06 90 65 65 75 65 65 09/12 95 75 65 80 65 65 09/18 95 75 -- 80 65 65 10/00 90 75 -- 80 -- 65 10/06 80 65 -- 70 -- 60 10/12 65 60 -- 60 -- 55 10/18 60 55 -- 60 -- 55 11/00 55 45 -- 45 -- 45 11/06 40 45 -- 40 -- 45 11/12----------XT-------XT----------------XT----------------XT-- ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHANTHU Cyclone Number: 08W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: GENER JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0405 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUN 07 1200 8.0 N 134.7 E 1004 25 PAGASA warnings 04 JUN 07 1800 8.3 N 133.0 E 1004 25 " 04 JUN 08 0000 8.8 N 131.6 E 1004 25 " 04 JUN 08 0600 9.3 N 129.5 E 1000 30 JMA: 9.3N/128.6E 04 JUN 08 1200 9.6 N 127.7 E 1000 30 PAGASA warnings 04 JUN 08 1800 10.3 N 126.5 E 1000 30 " 04 JUN 09 0000 10.2 N 125.2 E 1006 40 30 In Central Philippines 04 JUN 09 0600 10.5 N 123.8 E 1006 40 30 04 JUN 09 1200 10.8 N 122.6 E 1006 40 25 JMA: 12.0N/122.0E 04 JUN 09 1800 11.0 N 121.7 E 1006 45 25 JMA: 12.0N/121.0E 04 JUN 10 0000 11.1 N 120.3 E 1006 45 30 JMA: 11.6N/119.4E 04 JUN 10 0600 11.5 N 119.1 E 1004 40 30 04 JUN 10 1200 12.1 N 118.2 E 1004 45 30 In South China Sea 04 JUN 10 1800 12.3 N 117.7 E 998 45 35 04 JUN 11 0000 12.7 N 115.8 E 996 45 35 JMA: 12.3N/116.4E 04 JUN 11 0600 13.0 N 115.3 E 996 50 35 04 JUN 11 1200 13.4 N 114.3 E 996 55 35 04 JUN 11 1800 13.7 N 113.0 E 990 60 45 04 JUN 12 0000 13.9 N 111.7 E 985 65 55 04 JUN 12 0600 14.1 N 110.2 E 970 75 65 04 JUN 12 1200 14.0 N 108.8 E 980 70 55 Inland in Vietnam 04 JUN 12 1800 13.8 N 107.7 E 990 55 45 04 JUN 13 0000 14.0 N 106.1 E 992 35 40 Cambodia/Laos border 04 JUN 13 0600 14.7 N 105.0 E 1000 25 30 Over Thailand 04 JUN 13 1200 15.4 N 105.4 E 1002 30 Thailand bulletins 04 JUN 13 1800 15.4 N 104.4 E 1002 25 04 JUN 14 0000 16.0 N 104.0 E 1000 25 04 JUN 14 0600 16.6 N 103.4 E 1002 25 04 JUN 14 1200 17.0 N 103.2 E 1000 25 04 JUN 14 1800 17.4 N 103.2 E 1002 25 04 JUN 15 0000 17.8 N 102.8 E 1002 25 04 JUN 15 0600 18.5 N 102.8 E 1002 25 Over Laos 04 JUN 15 1200 19.0 N 102.0 E 1002 25 Note 1: Huang Chunliang sent me a track based upon warnings from the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD). The TMD continued to issue bulletins on the decaying Chanthu for two days after the other agencies had dropped the system. I have appended the Thai track above beginning with 1200 UTC on 13 June. Note 2: Following is the table of MSW comparisons compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang. Please read Chunliang's following explanatory notes. ===================================================== == Typhoon 08W/CHANTHU/0405/GENER (Jun 5-15, 2004) == ===================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 08W (CHANTHU) 75 JMA Severe Typhoon 0405 (CHANTHU) 65 PAGASA Tropical Storm GENER 35* NMCC Typhoon 0405 (CHANTHU) --# HKO Severe Tropical Storm CHANTHU (0405) 55 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0405 (CHANTHU) 65 TMD Typhoon CHANTHU 65 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was last ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 08W to TD status on the 5th, while TMD classified it as a TD for the last time on the 15th.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): Since 08W never entered the area surrounded by the lines 34N/132E, 22N/132E, 15N/125E,and 15N/110E, NMCC issued real-time warnings at intervals of 6 hours rather than 3 hours. Both the 12/0600 UTC and 12/1200 UTC warnings classified the storm as a 60-kt STS. The 1200 UTC warning, however, declared that the system had been downgraded from 0900 UTC's typhoon status; thus, the peak MSW value remains unknown to me. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DIANMU Cyclone Number: 09W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: HELEN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0406 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUN 12 0000 6.8 N 138.5 E 1008 30 JMA warnings 04 JUN 12 0600 6.7 N 137.6 E 1006 30 " 04 JUN 12 1200 7.7 N 137.5 E 1008 30 " 04 JUN 12 1800 8.6 N 137.0 E 1004 30 " 04 JUN 13 0000 7.8 N 137.4 E 1004 30 30 04 JUN 13 0600 8.2 N 136.5 E 998 30 30 JMA: 9.1N/136.6E 04 JUN 13 1200 9.2 N 136.1 E 992 30 40 04 JUN 13 1800 9.8 N 135.8 E 992 35 40 04 JUN 14 0000 9.3 N 136.4 E 990 45 45 04 JUN 14 0600 9.6 N 136.5 E 985 55 50 04 JUN 14 1200 9.8 N 137.0 E 980 55 55 04 JUN 14 1800 10.7 N 137.4 E 970 65 70 04 JUN 15 0000 11.2 N 137.5 E 965 70 70 04 JUN 15 0600 11.9 N 137.2 E 965 85 80 04 JUN 15 1200 12.7 N 136.9 E 950 120 85 04 JUN 15 1800 13.4 N 136.8 E 935 145 90 04 JUN 16 0000 14.3 N 136.6 E 915 150 100 04 JUN 16 0600 15.1 N 136.0 E 915 155 100 04 JUN 16 1200 15.7 N 135.6 E 915 155 100 04 JUN 16 1800 16.5 N 135.2 E 915 155 100 04 JUN 17 0000 17.1 N 134.8 E 915 155 100 04 JUN 17 0600 17.6 N 133.8 E 915 140 100 04 JUN 17 1200 17.9 N 132.8 E 925 130 95 04 JUN 17 1800 18.0 N 132.1 E 930 125 95 04 JUN 18 0000 18.4 N 131.8 E 930 115 95 04 JUN 18 0600 19.3 N 131.3 E 925 120 100 04 JUN 18 1200 20.3 N 130.4 E 925 125 100 04 JUN 18 1800 21.2 N 129.7 E 925 125 100 04 JUN 19 0000 22.2 N 129.3 E 930 125 95 04 JUN 19 0600 23.3 N 129.1 E 935 120 90 04 JUN 19 1200 24.4 N 129.2 E 940 105 85 04 JUN 19 1800 25.6 N 129.3 E 945 90 85 04 JUN 20 0000 26.9 N 129.7 E 945 80 85 04 JUN 20 0600 28.0 N 130.4 E 955 70 75 04 JUN 20 1200 29.5 N 131.3 E 955 70 75 04 JUN 20 1800 31.0 N 132.1 E 965 60 65 04 JUN 21 0000 32.7 N 133.8 E 965 55 65 04 JUN 21 0600 34.8 N 135.7 E 975 55 55 Over Honshu 04 JUN 21 1200 38.6 N 138.4 E 985 40 45 Over Sea of Japan 04 JUN 21 1800 41.5 N 139.7 E 986 35 45 JMA: 41.0N/139.0E 04 JUN 22 0000 42.0 N 139.0 E 988 45 JMA warnings 04 JUN 22 0600 44.0 N 141.0 E 990 45 Over Hokkaido 04 JUN 22 1200 46.0 N 141.0 E 990 40 04 JUN 22 1800 47.0 N 143.0 E 990 35 04 JUN 23 0000 48.0 N 145.0 E 990 35 04 JUN 23 0600 49.0 N 146.0 E 990 35 04 JUN 23 1200 50.0 N 148.0 E 992 35 Note: The following table of MSW comparisons was compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang. Please read Chunliang's following explanatory notes. =========================================================== == Super Typhoon 09W/DIANMU/0406/HELEN (Jun 11-21, 2004) == =========================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Super Typhoon 09W (DIANMU) 155 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0406 (DIANMU) 100 PAGASA Typhoon HELEN 105* NMCC Typhoon 0406 (DIANMU) 130 HKO Typhoon DIANMU (0406) ---# CWB Severe Typhoon 0406 (DIANMU) 100 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was last classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 09W to TD status on the 11th, while JTWC issued their final TC warning on the 21st.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside of that agency's AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MINDULLE Cyclone Number: 10W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: IGME JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0407 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUN 23 0300 16.6 N 142.6 E 1000 30 JMA warning 04 JUN 23 0600 15.9 N 143.7 E 996 30 35 JMA: 16.7N/142.6E 04 JUN 23 1200 16.7 N 142.6 E 996 35 35 04 JUN 23 1800 17.0 N 141.3 E 990 35 45 JMA: 16.9N/142.8E 04 JUN 24 0000 17.0 N 140.2 E 985 45 50 JMA: 16.4N/139.9E 04 JUN 24 0600 16.6 N 138.9 E 985 45 55 JMA: 16.1N/138.0E 04 JUN 24 1200 15.7 N 137.0 E 985 50 55 JMA: 15.4N/137.5E 04 JUN 24 1800 15.2 N 135.1 E 985 55 55 JMA: 15.1N/135.9E 04 JUN 25 0000 15.2 N 135.0 E 985 45 55 04 JUN 25 0600 14.8 N 133.7 E 985 45 55 04 JUN 25 1200 15.0 N 133.1 E 985 50 55 04 JUN 25 1800 15.0 N 132.3 E 985 50 55 JMA: 15.0N/132.8E 04 JUN 26 0000 15.2 N 131.3 E 985 50 55 04 JUN 26 0600 14.9 N 130.2 E 985 50 55 04 JUN 26 1200 15.2 N 129.5 E 985 50 55 04 JUN 26 1800 16.0 N 129.2 E 985 55 55 04 JUN 27 0000 16.2 N 128.7 E 985 60 55 04 JUN 27 0600 16.7 N 128.1 E 975 65 60 04 JUN 27 1200 17.4 N 127.0 E 965 75 70 04 JUN 27 1800 17.7 N 126.4 E 955 80 75 04 JUN 28 0000 18.1 N 125.8 E 950 95 80 04 JUN 28 0600 18.4 N 125.6 E 950 115 80 04 JUN 28 1200 18.6 N 124.9 E 950 115 80 04 JUN 28 1800 18.8 N 124.5 E 940 125 90 04 JUN 29 0000 18.8 N 124.1 E 940 125 90 04 JUN 29 0600 18.8 N 123.6 E 940 125 90 04 JUN 29 1200 18.9 N 122.9 E 940 125 90 04 JUN 29 1800 19.0 N 122.7 E 945 125 80 04 JUN 30 0000 19.1 N 122.3 E 950 115 75 04 JUN 30 0600 19.3 N 121.9 E 960 105 65 In Babuyan Islands 04 JUN 30 1200 19.4 N 121.9 E 965 90 65 " 04 JUN 30 1800 20.7 N 121.9 E 970 80 60 In Batan Islands 04 JUL 01 0000 21.6 N 121.9 E 970 75 60 04 JUL 01 0600 22.2 N 121.6 E 975 65 55 04 JUL 01 1200 23.2 N 121.8 E 980 65 55 04 JUL 01 1800 23.9 N 121.5 E 985 55 50 JMA: 24.5N/121.4E 04 JUL 02 0000 24.5 N 121.6 E 985 50 50 Over NE Taiwan 04 JUL 02 0600 25.0 N 121.8 E 985 45 50 JMA: 25.5N/120.7E 04 JUL 02 1200 25.7 N 121.9 E 985 40 50 JMA: 26.1N/120.4E 04 JUL 02 1800 26.7 N 122.3 E 985 40 50 JMA: 27.0N/120.8E 04 JUL 03 0000 27.3 N 122.7 E 990 35 45 JMA: 27.7N/121.0E 04 JUL 03 0600 28.4 N 121.7 E 985 35 45 Brushing Chinese coast 04 JUL 03 1200 30.6 N 122.6 E 985 35 45 04 JUL 03 1800 31.5 N 123.3 E 985 30 45 04 JUL 04 0000 33.4 N 124.8 E 984 30 45 Extratropical per JMA 04 JUL 04 0600 34.7 N 125.4 E 984 25 35 04 JUL 04 1200 36.0 N 126.0 E 986 35 JMA warnings 04 JUL 04 1800 38.0 N 128.0 E 988 40 04 JUL 05 0000 39.0 N 130.0 E 992 35 04 JUL 05 0600 40.0 N 131.0 E 994 35 04 JUL 05 1200 41.0 N 133.0 E 998 30 Note: Huang Chunliang is away in Shanghai during July and August for a job-related training course, and is unable to provide the MSW comparisons which he has been compiling. If he should send these to me at a later date, I'll include them as an addendum to a future summary. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: TINGTING Cyclone Number: 11W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0408 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUN 25 0600 11.6 N 152.9 E 1000 30 JMA warning 04 JUN 25 1200 11.6 N 152.3 E 1000 30 30 04 JUN 25 1800 11.6 N 151.7 E 1000 30 30 04 JUN 26 0000 11.8 N 151.2 E 996 30 35 04 JUN 26 0600 11.9 N 150.7 E 990 35 45 04 JUN 26 1200 12.1 N 150.4 E 985 40 50 04 JUN 26 1800 13.0 N 150.0 E 985 45 50 04 JUN 27 0000 13.8 N 149.3 E 985 50 50 04 JUN 27 0600 14.2 N 148.5 E 985 55 50 04 JUN 27 1200 14.7 N 147.8 E 985 55 50 04 JUN 27 1800 15.6 N 147.0 E 980 60 55 04 JUN 28 0000 16.2 N 146.4 E 980 65 55 04 JUN 28 0600 16.8 N 145.7 E 975 75 60 In central Marianas 04 JUN 28 1200 17.6 N 144.9 E 975 75 60 04 JUN 28 1800 18.6 N 144.3 E 970 80 65 04 JUN 29 0000 18.9 N 143.6 E 970 80 65 04 JUN 29 0600 19.9 N 143.1 E 965 80 70 04 JUN 29 1200 21.0 N 142.9 E 965 75 70 04 JUN 29 1800 22.3 N 142.6 E 965 75 70 04 JUN 30 0000 23.8 N 142.4 E 965 75 70 04 JUN 30 0600 24.5 N 142.4 E 950 75 80 JMA: 24.9N/142.3E 04 JUN 30 1200 26.2 N 142.5 E 945 70 85 (JMA: 26.2N/142.5E) 04 JUN 30 1800 27.4 N 142.7 E 950 65 80 04 JUL 01 0000 28.4 N 143.3 E 960 65 70 04 JUL 01 0600 29.1 N 143.7 E 965 65 65 04 JUL 01 1200 29.9 N 144.3 E 970 55 65 04 JUL 01 1800 30.4 N 145.5 E 970 55 65 04 JUL 02 0000 30.9 N 146.0 E 970 55 65 04 JUL 02 0600 31.7 N 146.4 E 970 55 65 04 JUL 02 1200 32.1 N 146.9 E 975 55 60 JMA: 32.2N/147.4E 04 JUL 02 1800 32.7 N 147.7 E 980 50 55 JMA: 32.4N/148.8E 04 JUL 03 0000 33.3 N 149.9 E 980 45 55 04 JUL 03 0600 34.1 N 151.5 E 985 45 50 JMA: 34.1N/153.0E 04 JUL 03 1200 34.9 N 153.3 E 985 40 50 04 JUL 03 1800 35.9 N 155.3 E 985 40 50 04 JUL 04 0000 37.3 N 158.0 E 990 45 JMA warnings 04 JUL 04 0600 40.0 N 160.0 E 990 45 Extratropical 04 JUL 04 1200 43.0 N 162.0 E 990 45 04 JUL 04 1800 46.0 N 163.0 E 990 45 04 JUL 05 0000 48.0 N 162.0 E 986 45 04 JUL 05 0600 49.0 N 162.0 E 984 45 04 JUL 05 1200 49.0 N 161.0 E 984 45 04 JUL 05 1800 48.0 N 162.0 E 986 40 04 JUL 06 0000 49.0 N 164.0 E 988 40 04 JUL 06 0600 49.0 N 164.0 E 992 35 04 JUL 06 1200 48.0 N 164.0 E 994 35 04 JUL 06 1800 48.0 N 165.0 E 996 35 Note: Huang Chunliang is away in Shanghai during July and August for a job-related training course, and is unable to provide the MSW comparisons which he has been providing. If he should send these to me at a later date, I'll include them as an addendum to a future summary. For the 1200 UTC entry on 30 June, the coordinates from JTWC and JMA were identical. JMA's 10-min avg MSW estimate was 85 kts-- roughly equivalent to a 1-min avg MSW of 95 kts--whereas JTWC was reporting only 70 kts. It is extremely unusual for JMA to be significantly higher than JTWC for systems above typhoon intensity. I included the JMA coordinates, identical to JTWC's, just to highlight the fact that the disparate intensity estimates could not have been due to different estimates of the center position--something which is often a major factor in divergent intensity estimates for weaker systems. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov> The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html> SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: ftp:// ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/> http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/> http://www.typhoon2000.ph> http://mpittweather.com> PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett [email protected] SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua [email protected] [email protected] Huang Chunliang [email protected] ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* *************************************************************************
Document: trak0406.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006 |
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