Tropical
Cyclones
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Tropical Cyclone EMMA [Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean] |
WTXS32 PGTW 20060227 21:00z MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMMA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z --- NEAR 18.7S 115.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S 115.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 20.9S 116.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 23.8S 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z POSITION NEAR 19.2S 115.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15S (EMMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DEEP CON- VECTION HAS RECENTLY MOVED FROM THE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION TO THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 15S IS BEING STEERED IN A GENERAL POLEWARD DIRECTION BY STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER AUSTRALIA. LANDFALL SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN 18 HOURS AND SHOULD BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND BY TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (CARINA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// ========================================================================= WTXS32 PGTW 20060228 09:00z MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EMMA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z --- NEAR 21.4S 116.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 116.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 25.0S 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280900Z POSITION NEAR 22.3S 116.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15S (EMMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 15S HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND. TC 15S WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH VERTI- CAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND THE EFFECTS OF LAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPAC- METOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENER- ATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (CARINA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
Document: emma.htm
Updated: 1st March 2006 |
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