Tropical Cyclones [Index]

Tropical Cyclone KATE [Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean]

WTPS31 PGTW 20060222 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KATE) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221800Z --- NEAR 10.8S 144.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.8S 144.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230600Z --- 11.1S 145.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z --- 11.9S 145.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 12.7S 145.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 13.4S 145.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 10.9S 145.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (KATE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED EAST
NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM WHICH
HAD BEEN A WEAK DISTURBANCE LOCATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS
RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF
DIFFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NORTHWEST CORAL SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY TRACK TO THE EAST UNTIL A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN
CORAL SEA AND CAUSES THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO A SOUTHERLY TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 10 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z AND 232100Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060223 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KATE) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230600Z --- NEAR 11.4S 146.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S 146.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z --- 11.8S 147.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 12.2S 148.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 12.8S 149.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 13.6S 149.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---

REMARKS:

230900Z POSITION NEAR 11.5S 146.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (KATE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 13P IS
BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH. AFTER
THE DEPARTURE OF A MERIDIONAL TROUGH TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM,
RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE CORAL SEA AND BEGIN TO STEER THE
STORM ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK. A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
WILL KEEP TC 13P AS A MODERATE STRENGTH STORM OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z AND 240900Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060223 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KATE) WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z --- NEAR 11.7S 147.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S 147.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 12.4S 148.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 13.0S 149.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 13.8S 150.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z --- 15.2S 151.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 11.9S 147.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (KATE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 13P IS
BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH. AFTER
THE DEPARTURE OF A MERIDIONAL TROUGH TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM,
A RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE CORAL SEA AND BEGIN TO STEER THE
STORM ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK. A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
WILL KEEP TC 13P AS A MODERATE STRENGTH STORM OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z AND 242100Z.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20060224 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KATE) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240600Z --- NEAR 11.3S 146.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S 146.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 11.0S 145.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 11.2S 145.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (KATE) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED AND DISSIPATED
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS IN AN UNFAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND HIGHER
THAN EXPECTED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
240600Z IS 10 FEET.//