[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks October 2007
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks October 2007 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2007
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
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ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (15) 11 - 13 Oct
Hurricane NOEL (16) 28 Oct - 05 Nov
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 15 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 11 1800 30.0 N 51.0 W 1011 30
07 OCT 12 0000 30.0 N 49.9 W 1011 30
07 OCT 12 0600 30.1 N 49.6 W 1011 30
07 OCT 12 1200 30.1 N 49.2 W 1011 25
07 OCT 12 1800 30.5 N 49.5 W 1012 25 Final NHC advisory
07 OCT 13 0000 31.0 N 50.0 W 1014 25 From High Seas Forecast
07 OCT 13 0600 31.0 N 50.0 W 1014 25 Remnant LOW
07 OCT 13 1200 32.0 N 50.0 W 1013 25
07 OCT 13 1800 33.0 N 50.0 W 1012 25
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Storm Name: NOEL Cyclone Number: 16 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 28 0000 15.8 N 71.3 W 1003 30
07 OCT 28 0600 16.1 N 71.8 W 1003 30
07 OCT 28 1200 16.3 N 72.3 W 1003 30
07 OCT 28 1800 16.6 N 71.8 W 996 45
07 OCT 29 0000 16.9 N 72.0 W 996 50
07 OCT 29 0600 17.7 N 72.2 W 1004 50
07 OCT 29 1200 18.9 N 72.6 W 1003 40 Along W coast of Haiti
07 OCT 29 1800 20.5 N 73.8 W 1003 40 Over Windward Passage
07 OCT 30 0000 20.9 N 74.5 W 1001 45
07 OCT 30 0600 21.2 N 75.6 W 999 45
07 OCT 30 1200 21.1 N 77.1 W 1000 45 Inland over Cuba
07 OCT 30 1800 21.0 N 77.7 W 1002 35
07 OCT 31 0000 21.2 N 77.9 W 1001 35
07 OCT 31 0600 21.8 N 78.1 W 1001 35
07 OCT 31 1200 22.6 N 78.3 W 1000 35 Over water
07 OCT 31 1800 22.6 N 78.8 W 996 45
07 NOV 01 0000 22.9 N 78.5 W 996 50
07 NOV 01 0600 23.5 N 78.5 W 993 50
07 NOV 01 1200 23.8 N 78.1 W 992 50
07 NOV 01 1800 25.0 N 77.4 W 993 55 Very near Nassau
07 NOV 02 0000 26.6 N 76.5 W 981 65
07 NOV 02 0600 27.7 N 75.7 W 981 70
07 NOV 02 1200 28.7 N 74.4 W 981 70
07 NOV 02 1800 30.3 N 73.3 W 980 70 Final NHC adv/ET trans.
07 NOV 03 0000 32.6 N 72.0 W 978 75 CHC warnings
07 NOV 03 0600 34.6 N 71.0 W 976 75
07 NOV 03 1200 36.5 N 70.3 W 974 75
07 NOV 03 1800 39.0 N 69.7 W 970 75
07 NOV 04 0000 40.7 N 68.5 W 968 75
07 NOV 04 0600 43.6 N 66.2 W 967 75 Just off SW Nova Scotia
07 NOV 04 1200 47.5 N 64.3 W 968 65 In Gulf of St. Lawrence
07 NOV 04 1800 51.2 N 62.2 W 966 60 Over extreme SE Quebec
07 NOV 05 0000 55.0 N 59.0 W 968 60 OPC wrngs/fully XTROP
07 NOV 05 0600 58.0 N 58.0 W 965 60
07 NOV 05 1200 60.0 N 56.0 W 965 65
07 NOV 05 1800 62.0 N 54.0 W 968 65 See Note
Note: The 06/0000 UTC High Seas Forecast from OPC contained the
following warning regarding ex-Noel:
...STORM WARNING...
.FROM 59N TO 62N E OF 50W...SW WINDS 40 TO 55 KT SEAS 19 TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE N OF 57N AND E OF 59W...WINDS 25 TO 40 KT SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
So apparently by this time the center of the former TC had moved inland
in Greenland, and therefore the marine warning reported the expected
conditions over waters surrounding the island.
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NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm KIKO (15E) 15 - 25 Oct
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Storm Name: KIKO Cyclone Number: 15E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 15 0000 14.9 N 108.5 W 1003 30
07 OCT 15 0600 15.2 N 108.9 W 1003 30
07 OCT 15 1200 15.1 N 108.9 W 1003 30
07 OCT 15 1800 15.1 N 108.7 W 1003 30
07 OCT 16 0000 14.7 N 109.0 W 1002 30
07 OCT 16 0600 14.4 N 108.9 W 1001 30
07 OCT 16 1200 14.2 N 108.5 W 1001 35
07 OCT 16 1800 14.1 N 108.1 W 1002 30
07 OCT 17 0000 14.0 N 107.6 W 1001 30
07 OCT 17 0600 14.1 N 107.4 W 1000 35
07 OCT 17 1200 14.6 N 107.1 W 1000 35
07 OCT 17 1800 14.5 N 105.6 W 1000 35 Relocation
07 OCT 18 0000 14.7 N 104.9 W 1000 35
07 OCT 18 0600 15.1 N 104.3 W 1000 35
07 OCT 18 1200 16.2 N 103.5 W 1000 35
07 OCT 18 1800 16.6 N 103.7 W 1000 35
07 OCT 19 0000 16.6 N 104.4 W 1000 35 Center re-formed
07 OCT 19 0600 16.6 N 104.8 W 1000 35
07 OCT 19 1200 16.9 N 105.0 W 1000 35
07 OCT 19 1800 17.3 N 105.3 W 999 40
07 OCT 20 0000 17.6 N 105.7 W 998 45
07 OCT 20 0600 17.6 N 106.0 W 998 45
07 OCT 20 1200 17.9 N 106.4 W 996 50
07 OCT 20 1800 18.3 N 106.8 W 994 55
07 OCT 21 0000 18.7 N 107.1 W 991 60
07 OCT 21 0600 19.1 N 107.2 W 991 60
07 OCT 21 1200 19.1 N 107.3 W 997 50
07 OCT 21 1800 19.4 N 107.6 W 997 45
07 OCT 22 0000 19.5 N 107.8 W 1002 40
07 OCT 22 0600 19.6 N 108.0 W 1002 40
07 OCT 22 1200 19.7 N 108.6 W 1002 35
07 OCT 22 1800 19.5 N 109.4 W 1009 30
07 OCT 23 0000 19.4 N 110.4 W 1006 30
07 OCT 23 0600 19.1 N 111.7 W 1007 30
07 OCT 23 1200 18.7 N 112.5 W 1007 25
07 OCT 23 1800 18.3 N 113.8 W 1009 25 Final NHC advisory
07 OCT 24 0000 18.0 N 115.0 W 1007 20 Remnant LOW
07 OCT 24 0600 18.0 N 116.0 W 1008 20
07 OCT 24 1200 18.0 N 117.0 W 1008 20
07 OCT 24 1800 19.0 N 118.0 W 1010 20
07 OCT 25 0000 18.0 N 119.0 W 1010 20
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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). A special thanks to Michael for his efforts.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Super Typhoon KROSA (17W / 0715 / INENG) 01 - 09 Oct
Tropical Storm HAIYAN (0716 / Invest 93W) 30 Sep - 07 Oct
Tropical Storm PODUL (0717 / Invest 92W) 03 - 09 Oct
Tropical Storm LINGLING (18W / 0718) 09 - 19 Oct
Typhoon KAJIKI (19W / 0719) 18 - 25 Oct
Tropical Storm FAXAI (20W / 0720 / JUANING) 24 - 31 Oct
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Storm Name: KROSA Cyclone Number: 17W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: INENG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0715
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 01 0000 17.2 N 130.2 E 1000 30 PAGASA warnings
07 OCT 01 0600 17.3 N 130.4 E 997 35 JMA: 30 kts
07 OCT 01 1200 17.7 N 130.9 E 998 25 35 JMA: 30 kts
07 OCT 01 1800 16.6 N 130.5 E 998 35 35 JMA: 17.1N/131.0E-30 kt
07 OCT 02 0000 16.4 N 131.1 E 996 45 40 JMA: 17.1N/130.9E-35 kt
07 OCT 02 0600 16.7 N 131.4 E 990 60 45
07 OCT 02 1200 17.0 N 131.1 E 990 65 45
07 OCT 02 1800 16.9 N 130.8 E 985 75 50
07 OCT 03 0000 17.0 N 130.2 E 980 75 55
07 OCT 03 0600 17.2 N 129.7 E 965 75 70
07 OCT 03 1200 17.7 N 129.3 E 955 95 80
07 OCT 03 1800 18.3 N 128.8 E 945 120 85
07 OCT 04 0000 18.6 N 128.0 E 940 120 90
07 OCT 04 0600 19.2 N 127.3 E 940 115 90
07 OCT 04 1200 19.9 N 126.6 E 940 120 90
07 OCT 04 1800 20.2 N 125.7 E 935 125 95
07 OCT 05 0000 20.4 N 125.2 E 930 130 100
07 OCT 05 0600 21.0 N 125.0 E 925 130 105
07 OCT 05 1200 21.8 N 124.8 E 925 130 105
07 OCT 05 1800 22.8 N 124.0 E 925 130 105
07 OCT 06 0000 23.7 N 123.5 E 920 125 105
07 OCT 06 0600 24.5 N 122.3 E 925 125 100 Nearing NE Taiwan
07 OCT 06 1200 24.4 N 121.4 E 960 115 75 JMA: 24.0N/122.0E
07 OCT 06 1800 25.6 N 121.2 E 965 90 65 Just off N tip Taiwan
07 OCT 07 0000 25.9 N 120.6 E 970 75 60
07 OCT 07 0600 26.7 N 120.4 E 970 50 60 On Chinese coast
07 OCT 07 1200 27.6 N 120.3 E 980 45 55 JMA: 27.2N/120.5E
07 OCT 07 1800 27.6 N 120.0 E 985 45 50 Inland in China
07 OCT 08 0000 27.7 N 120.0 E 992 40 40
07 OCT 08 0600 27.8 N 120.2 E 1000 35 35
07 OCT 08 1200 28.0 N 120.0 E 1006 35 40 JMA: 29.0N/122.0E-XTROP
07 OCT 08 1800 29.7 N 123.0 E 1008 25 35 JMA: 29.0N/123.0E-XTROP
07 OCT 09 0000 30.0 N 126.0 E 1008 35 JMA warnings
07 OCT 09 0600 32.0 N 128.0 E 1008 35 over East China Sea
07 OCT 09 1200 32.0 N 130.0 E 1008 30 Near W Kyushu
07 OCT 09 1800 32.0 N 134.0 E 1008 30 South of Honshu
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates are taken from PAGASA's warnings
from 01/0000 through 02/0000 UTC.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HAIYAN Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0716
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 SEP 30 1800 28.0 N 173.0 E 1008 25 Honolulu WFO High Seas
07 OCT 01 0000 28.0 N 172.0 E 1008 25 SAB: ST2.5
07 OCT 01 0600 28.0 N 171.0 E 1006 25
07 OCT 01 1200 29.0 N 170.0 E 1007 25
07 OCT 01 1800 29.0 N 169.0 E 1005 25
07 OCT 02 0000 29.0 N 168.0 E 1006 25
07 OCT 02 0600 29.0 N 168.0 E 1006 25
07 OCT 02 1200 29.0 N 168.0 E 1006 30
07 OCT 02 1800 28.0 N 168.0 E 1004 30
07 OCT 03 0000 28.0 N 168.0 E 1004 30
07 OCT 03 0600 28.0 N 169.0 E 1005 25
07 OCT 03 1200 27.6 N 170.6 E 1006 25 Track from K. Hoarau
07 OCT 03 1800 27.7 N 171.0 E 1006 25 CP from Honolulu
07 OCT 04 0000 27.7 N 171.5 E 1006 30
07 OCT 04 0600 27.6 N 171.6 E 1004 30
07 OCT 04 1200 27.5 N 171.7 E 1005 35
07 OCT 04 1800 27.6 N 171.8 E 1004 50
07 OCT 05 0000 27.7 N 171.9 E 1002 55 30 CP from JMA
07 OCT 05 0600 28.0 N 172.0 E 1004 65 30
07 OCT 05 1200 28.1 N 171.7 E 1002 60 30
07 OCT 05 1800 28.1 N 171.3 E 1000 55 30
07 OCT 06 0000 28.4 N 170.9 E 998 50 35
07 OCT 06 0600 29.0 N 170.5 E 998 45 35
07 OCT 06 1200 30.2 N 170.3 E 998 40 35
07 OCT 06 1800 32.0 N 170.1 E 1002 35 30
07 OCT 07 0000 33.9 N 170.6 E 1006 30 25
07 OCT 07 0600 36.0 N 172.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletin
Note: A special thanks to Dr. Karl Hoarau for sending tracks for both
TS Haiyan and TS Podul. The positions and 1-min avg MSW from 03/1200
through 07/0000 UTC were taken from Karl's track. The CP estimates prior
to 05/0000 UTC were obtained from the High Seas Forecasts issued by the
NWS Honolulu office.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: PODUL Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0717
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 03 1200 22.0 N 146.0 E 1010 20 JMA bulletins
07 OCT 03 1800 23.0 N 148.0 E 1008 20
07 OCT 04 0000 23.0 N 148.0 E 1008 20
07 OCT 04 0600 24.0 N 148.0 E 1006 20
07 OCT 04 1200 24.4 N 148.5 E 1002 30 25 Track from K. Hoarau
07 OCT 04 1800 24.8 N 149.1 E 1002 30 25
07 OCT 05 0000 25.3 N 149.6 E 1000 35 30
07 OCT 05 0600 26.0 N 150.1 E 1002 35 30
07 OCT 05 1200 26.8 N 151.0 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 27.2N/150.6E
07 OCT 05 1800 28.0 N 152.0 E 1000 45 30 JMA: 27.8N/151.5E
07 OCT 06 0000 30.2 N 153.5 E 998 55 30
07 OCT 06 0600 32.4 N 155.5 E 990 50 35
07 OCT 06 1200 34.2 N 158.2 E 990 45 35
07 OCT 06 1800 36.0 N 160.9 E 990 35 35
07 OCT 07 0000 39.0 N 163.0 E 992 30 40 Extratropical
07 OCT 07 0600 43.0 N 166.0 E 990 45 JMA warnings
07 OCT 07 1200 44.0 N 168.0 E 990 45
07 OCT 07 1800 45.0 N 170.0 E 992 45
07 OCT 08 0000 46.0 N 171.0 E 996 40
07 OCT 08 0600 47.0 N 170.0 E 996 40
07 OCT 08 1200 48.0 N 170.0 E 994 40
07 OCT 08 1800 49.0 N 173.0 E 994 35
07 OCT 09 0000 51.0 N 179.0 E 990 35
07 OCT 09 0600 52.0 N 178.0 W 988 35
Note: The positions and 1-min avg MSW from 04/1200 through 07/0000 UTC
were obtained from Karl Hoarau's track.
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Storm Name: LINGLING Cyclone Number: 18W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0718
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 08 0600 17.4 N 177.3 W 25 From Karl Hoarau
07 OCT 08 1200 17.7 N 177.8 W 30
07 OCT 08 1800 18.1 N 178.4 W 35
07 OCT 09 0000 18.7 N 179.4 W 45
07 OCT 09 0600 19.1 N 179.4 E 35
07 OCT 09 1200 19.5 N 178.3 E 30
07 OCT 09 1800 19.7 N 177.3 E 25
07 OCT 10 0000 19.8 N 176.3 E 25
07 OCT 10 0600 20.6 N 175.9 E 1006 25 See Note #1
07 OCT 10 1200 21.1 N 174.9 E 1008 25
07 OCT 10 1800 21.2 N 174.2 E 1008 25
07 OCT 11 0000 21.5 N 175.2 E 1008 25 See Note #2
07 OCT 11 0600 23.3 N 173.8 E 1008 25
07 OCT 11 1200 24.0 N 173.6 E 1006 30 JMA: 23.6N/175.2E
07 OCT 11 1800 24.0 N 173.2 E 1004 30 JMA: 23.8N/174.1E
07 OCT 12 0000 24.7 N 173.3 E 1004 30
07 OCT 12 0600 25.4 N 172.7 E 1000 25 35
07 OCT 12 1200 25.7 N 172.4 E 994 35 45
07 OCT 12 1800 26.4 N 172.0 E 994 35 45
07 OCT 13 0000 27.5 N 171.3 E 996 35 45
07 OCT 13 0600 28.8 N 170.5 E 996 40 45 JTWC: 28.6N/170.8E
07 OCT 13 1200 29.0 N 170.6 E 998 35 40
07 OCT 13 1800 30.1 N 170.4 E 1000 30 35 Final JTWC warning
07 OCT 14 0000 31.3 N 169.8 E 1000 35
07 OCT 14 0600 32.5 N 170.5 E 1000 35
07 OCT 14 1200 33.5 N 171.0 E 1004 35
07 OCT 14 1800 34.5 N 171.4 E 1006 35
07 OCT 15 0000 34.8 N 175.2 E 1006 35 Relocation
07 OCT 15 0600 36.0 N 178.0 E 1006 35 Extratropical
07 OCT 15 1200 37.0 N 179.0 W 1008 35
07 OCT 15 1800 37.0 N 177.0 W 1010 35 OPC warnings
07 OCT 16 0000 38.0 N 174.0 W 1009 40
07 OCT 16 0600 37.0 N 171.0 W 1010 40
07 OCT 16 1200 38.0 N 167.0 W 1008 40
07 OCT 16 1800 39.0 N 165.0 W 1004 35
07 OCT 17 0000 40.0 N 160.0 W 1002 40
07 OCT 17 0600 40.0 N 155.0 W 1000 40
07 OCT 17 1200 41.0 N 150.0 W 997 40
07 OCT 17 1800 42.0 N 145.0 W 995 40
07 OCT 18 0000 43.0 N 141.0 W 991 40
07 OCT 18 0600 44.0 N 134.0 W 986 40
07 OCT 18 1200 46.0 N 129.0 W 984 50
07 OCT 18 1800 47.0 N 127.0 W 986 45
07 OCT 19 0000 49.0 N 123.0 W 993 25 Inland nr Vancouver, BC
Note #1: The center positions and MSW estimates from 08/0600 through
10/0000 UTC were taken from a track sent to the author by Dr. Karl
Hoarau. The coordinates from 10/0600 through 12/0000 UTC were obtained
from satellite fix bulletins issued by JTWC, but the CP and 10-min avg
MSW estimates came from JMA's High Seas bulletins. During this period
the 1-min avg MSW can be assumed to be near 25 kts. During the second
(and official) tropical storm phase of Lingling's life, the coordinates
were taken from JMA's tropical storm warnings.
Note #2: The longitude for this data point could possibly be erroneous,
although JMA's bulletin gave 22N/175E.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: KAJIKI Cyclone Number: 19W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0719
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 18 1200 18.0 N 146.0 E 1008 25 JMA warnings
07 OCT 18 1800 18.6 N 144.7 E 1004 30
07 OCT 19 0000 19.7 N 144.0 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 19.0N/144.2E
07 OCT 19 0600 19.9 N 142.8 E 998 55 35
07 OCT 19 1200 21.0 N 141.9 E 990 55 50 JMA: 20.5N/142.0E
07 OCT 19 1800 21.3 N 141.0 E 980 75 60
07 OCT 20 0000 22.0 N 140.7 E 965 90 75
07 OCT 20 0600 23.3 N 140.7 E 950 105 85
07 OCT 20 1200 24.5 N 141.1 E 950 105 85 See Note #2
07 OCT 20 1800 26.0 N 142.0 E 945 110 90
07 OCT 21 0000 27.9 N 143.9 E 955 100 80
07 OCT 21 0600 30.0 N 146.4 E 960 95 75
07 OCT 21 1200 32.1 N 149.6 E 965 75 65 JMA: 32.0N/149.2E
07 OCT 21 1800 34.2 N 153.2 E 975 60 JMA warnings
07 OCT 22 0000 35.4 N 157.5 E 985 55
07 OCT 22 0600 36.0 N 162.0 E 994 45 Extratropical
07 OCT 22 1200 38.0 N 165.0 E 998 45
07 OCT 22 1800 38.0 N 169.0 E 1000 45
07 OCT 23 0000 38.0 N 175.0 E 1004 40 OPC: 40-50 kts
07 OCT 23 0600 38.0 N 179.0 E 1010 35 OPC: 1004 mb/40-50 kts
07 OCT 23 1200 39.0 N 175.0 w 1008 40 OPC wrngs/See Note #1
07 OCT 23 1800 40.0 N 174.0 W 1006 35
07 OCT 24 0000 37.0 N 174.0 W 1008 35 Relocation???
07 OCT 24 0600 42.0 N 171.0 W 1009 35
07 OCT 24 1200 45.0 N 169.0 W 1005 35
07 OCT 24 1800 47.0 N 167.0 W 1000 40
07 OCT 25 0000 50.0 N 164.0 W 998 50
07 OCT 25 0600 50.0 N 167.0 W 998 50 Relocation???
Note #1: JMA's final reference to the ex-Kajiki LOW was at 23/1200 UTC,
and placed a 1012-mb LOW near 37N/179W, moving ESE at 15 kts with peak
winds of 35 kts. It's entirely possible that the old Kajiki center
weakened and that the system tracked above beginning at 23/1200 UTC is a
different cyclone. The two possible relocations noted above are rather
unusual for an extratropical LOW racing northeastward. I was tempted to
terminate the track after 23/1800 UTC, but have left it as I gleaned it
from the OPC warnings. The 25/1200 UTC High Seas bulletin did not have
any LOW which could be construed as a continuation of the system tracked
at 25/0600 UTC, so I assumed it was likely absorbed by another system.
Note #2: Dr. Karl Hoarau sent me an analysis of Kajiki's 1-min avg MSW
which he had performed. Following is Karl's intensity history of Kajiki:
Oct 18 1200Z 25 kts
Oct 18 1800Z 30 kts
Oct 19 0000Z 40 kts
Oct 19 0600Z 50 kts
Oct 19 1200Z 60 kts
Oct 19 1800Z 75 kts
Oct 20 0000Z 90 kts
Oct 20 0600Z 110 kts
Oct 20 1200Z 125 kts
Oct 20 1800Z 120 kts
Oct 21 0000Z 110 kts
Oct 21 0600Z 100 kts
Oct 21 1200Z 90 kts
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: FAXAI Cyclone Number: 20W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: JUANING JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0720
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 24 1800 16.0 N 136.0 E 1004 25
07 OCT 25 0000 16.0 N 136.0 E 1006 25
07 OCT 25 0600 17.4 N 134.7 E 1004 30
07 OCT 25 1200 19.4 N 133.7 E 1004 30
07 OCT 25 1800 21.4 N 132.3 E 1000 30
07 OCT 26 0000 23.0 N 131.7 E 1000 25 35 JTWC: 23.0N/131.3E
07 OCT 26 0600 23.9 N 131.2 E 998 25 35 JTWC: 23.6N/130.7E
07 OCT 26 1200 25.0 N 131.7 E 992 30 45 1st final JTWC warning
07 OCT 26 1800 26.7 N 133.3 E 992 35 45 JTWC: 26.1N/133.0E
07 OCT 27 0000 28.6 N 135.6 E 990 40 50 JTWC: 27.5N/134.7E
07 OCT 27 0600 33.4 N 139.6 E 980 55 Moving NE at 50 kts
07 OCT 27 1200 35.8 N 141.9 E 985 55
07 OCT 27 1800 39.0 N 146.0 E 984 55 Extratropical
07 OCT 28 0000 41.0 N 149.0 E 984 55
07 OCT 28 0600 41.0 N 153.0 E 980 55
07 OCT 28 1200 41.0 N 157.0 E 980 55
07 OCT 28 1800 43.0 N 163.0 E 980 55
07 OCT 29 0000 46.0 N 172.0 E 988 50
07 OCT 29 0600 48.0 N 179.0 E 986 50
07 OCT 29 1200 49.0 N 172.0 W 978 55 OPC warnings
07 OCT 29 1800 50.0 N 164.0 W 976 50
07 OCT 30 0000 54.0 N 158.0 W 969 50
07 OCT 30 0600 56.0 N 154.0 W 964 50
07 OCT 30 1200 57.0 N 153.0 W 958 50
07 OCT 30 1800 58.0 N 151.0 W 957 50
07 OCT 31 0000 60.0 N 151.0 W 968 40
07 OCT 31 0600 60.0 N 150.0 W 977 40
07 OCT 31 1200 60.0 N 148.0 W 983 40
07 OCT 31 1800 60.0 N 148.0 W 988 40
Note: JTWC issued its second final warning on Faxai at 27/0000 UTC.
*************************************************************************
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may
have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin.
The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic
observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone (05A) 27 Oct - 04 Nov
Tropical Depression (Invest 99B) 26 - 28 Oct
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 05A Basin: NIO
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 27 0230 9.7 N 68.2 E 25 SAB bulletins
07 OCT 27 0830 9.8 N 67.2 E 25
07 OCT 27 1800 10.5 N 66.5 E 30 IMD position/SAB: T2.0
07 OCT 28 0000 10.6 N 66.3 E 35 JTWC warnings
07 OCT 28 0600 11.0 N 66.1 E 35
07 OCT 28 1200 11.4 N 65.9 E 35
07 OCT 28 1800 11.4 N 66.2 E 35
07 OCT 29 0000 11.3 N 66.4 E 40
07 OCT 29 0600 10.9 N 66.6 E 40 Based on SAB bulletins
07 OCT 29 1200 11.0 N 67.0 E 40 JTWC warnings
07 OCT 29 1800 11.0 N 66.5 E 45
07 OCT 30 0000 11.1 N 66.3 E 45
07 OCT 30 0600 11.0 N 65.8 E 40
07 OCT 30 1200 11.2 N 65.2 E 40
07 OCT 30 1800 11.3 N 64.8 E 35
07 OCT 31 0000 11.7 N 64.3 E 35
07 OCT 31 0600 12.1 N 63.7 E 35
07 OCT 31 1200 12.5 N 62.9 E 35
07 OCT 31 1800 13.3 N 62.0 E 35
07 NOV 01 0000 14.2 N 60.6 E 30
07 NOV 01 0600 14.2 N 59.4 E 30
07 NOV 01 1200 14.5 N 58.5 E 25
07 NOV 01 1800 14.2 N 58.0 E 25
07 NOV 02 0000 14.3 N 57.2 E 25
07 NOV 02 0600 14.4 N 56.5 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin
07 NOV 02 1200 14.3 N 55.7 E 20 Remnant LOW
07 NOV 02 1800 13.6 N 55.5 E 20
07 NOV 03 0000 13.2 N 55.1 E 20
07 NOV 03 0600 13.0 N 54.4 E 20
07 NOV 03 1200 13.2 N 53.9 E 20
07 NOV 03 1800 12.9 N 52.9 E 20
07 NOV 04 0000 12.8 N 52.6 E 20
07 NOV 04 0600 11.6 N 52.2 E 20
07 NOV 04 1200 11.0 N 51.9 E 20
07 NOV 04 1800 10.9 N 51.6 E 20
07 NOV 04 2100 10.7 N 51.2 E 20
07 NOV 04 0300 8.9 N 51.4 E 20
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NIO
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 26 1200 10.7 N 89.8 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin
07 OCT 26 1800 11.3 N 87.9 E 30 Relocation // T2.5/2.5
07 OCT 27 0000 11.3 N 87.1 E 30
07 OCT 27 0600 10.8 N 86.2 E 25
07 OCT 27 1200 10.7 N 85.5 E 25
07 OCT 27 1800 10.4 N 84.6 E 30
07 OCT 28 0000 11.3 N 84.1 E 30
07 OCT 28 0600 11.6 N 83.0 E 30
07 OCT 28 1200 12.5 N 82.0 E 30 IMD bulletin
07 OCT 28 1800 13.4 N 81.5 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin
Note: Based on the 28/2030 UTC bulletin from SAB, the depression had
moved inland over southern India. However, JTWC issued a satellite fix
bulletin at 29/0530 UTC which reported the position essentially the same
as at 28/1730 UTC. The Tropical Weather Outlook from IMD, issued at
0300 UTC on 29 October, stated that the depression over the southwest
Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwestwards and weakened into a well-
marked low-pressure area and was situated over the west-central and
southwestern portions of the Bay of Bengal and over north coastal Tamil
Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh.
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Disturbance (MFR-01) 11 - 14 Oct
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
07 OCT 11 0600 8.9 S 61.5 E 25 JTWC sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 11 1800 8.5 S 60.8 E 25 "
07 OCT 12 0000 9.9 S 60.4 E 30 "
07 OCT 12 0600 9.7 S 60.2 E 1005 30 25 Initial MFR warning
07 OCT 12 1200 10.6 S 60.2 E 1005 30 25
07 OCT 13 0000 10.8 S 58.4 E 1005 30 25
07 OCT 13 0600 10.9 S 57.5 E 1005 30 25
07 OCT 13 1200 11.2 S 56.4 E 1005 30 25 Final MFR warnings
07 OCT 13 2030 11.2 S 55.5 E 25 SAB sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 14 0000 11.4 S 54.7 E 20 JTWC sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 14 0600 11.1 S 53.9 E 20 "
Note: Dvorak estimates from both JTWC and SAB reached T2.5/2.5 late on
12 October and early on 13 October, implying that the system could have
briefly reached tropical storm intensity in terms of a 1-min avg MSW.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
|
Document: trak0710.htm
Updated: 11th November 2007 |
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