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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks October 2007
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

              GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2007

          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!

*************************************************************************

ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
  forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
  Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida.   A 1-minute averaging
  period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
  warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Depression (15)                            11 - 13 Oct
   Hurricane NOEL (16)                                 28 Oct - 05 Nov

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 15      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 11 1800  30.0 N   51.0 W  1011   30
07 OCT 12 0000  30.0 N   49.9 W  1011   30
07 OCT 12 0600  30.1 N   49.6 W  1011   30
07 OCT 12 1200  30.1 N   49.2 W  1011   25
07 OCT 12 1800  30.5 N   49.5 W  1012   25        Final NHC advisory
07 OCT 13 0000  31.0 N   50.0 W  1014   25        From High Seas Forecast
07 OCT 13 0600  31.0 N   50.0 W  1014   25        Remnant LOW
07 OCT 13 1200  32.0 N   50.0 W  1013   25
07 OCT 13 1800  33.0 N   50.0 W  1012   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: NOEL                  Cyclone Number: 16      Basin: ATL


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 28 0000  15.8 N   71.3 W  1003   30
07 OCT 28 0600  16.1 N   71.8 W  1003   30
07 OCT 28 1200  16.3 N   72.3 W  1003   30
07 OCT 28 1800  16.6 N   71.8 W   996   45
07 OCT 29 0000  16.9 N   72.0 W   996   50
07 OCT 29 0600  17.7 N   72.2 W  1004   50
07 OCT 29 1200  18.9 N   72.6 W  1003   40        Along W coast of Haiti
07 OCT 29 1800  20.5 N   73.8 W  1003   40        Over Windward Passage
07 OCT 30 0000  20.9 N   74.5 W  1001   45
07 OCT 30 0600  21.2 N   75.6 W   999   45
07 OCT 30 1200  21.1 N   77.1 W  1000   45        Inland over Cuba
07 OCT 30 1800  21.0 N   77.7 W  1002   35
07 OCT 31 0000  21.2 N   77.9 W  1001   35
07 OCT 31 0600  21.8 N   78.1 W  1001   35
07 OCT 31 1200  22.6 N   78.3 W  1000   35        Over water
07 OCT 31 1800  22.6 N   78.8 W   996   45
07 NOV 01 0000  22.9 N   78.5 W   996   50
07 NOV 01 0600  23.5 N   78.5 W   993   50
07 NOV 01 1200  23.8 N   78.1 W   992   50  
07 NOV 01 1800  25.0 N   77.4 W   993   55        Very near Nassau
07 NOV 02 0000  26.6 N   76.5 W   981   65
07 NOV 02 0600  27.7 N   75.7 W   981   70
07 NOV 02 1200  28.7 N   74.4 W   981   70
07 NOV 02 1800  30.3 N   73.3 W   980   70        Final NHC adv/ET trans.
07 NOV 03 0000  32.6 N   72.0 W   978   75        CHC warnings
07 NOV 03 0600  34.6 N   71.0 W   976   75
07 NOV 03 1200  36.5 N   70.3 W   974   75
07 NOV 03 1800  39.0 N   69.7 W   970   75
07 NOV 04 0000  40.7 N   68.5 W   968   75
07 NOV 04 0600  43.6 N   66.2 W   967   75        Just off SW Nova Scotia
07 NOV 04 1200  47.5 N   64.3 W   968   65        In Gulf of St. Lawrence
07 NOV 04 1800  51.2 N   62.2 W   966   60        Over extreme SE Quebec
07 NOV 05 0000  55.0 N   59.0 W   968   60        OPC wrngs/fully XTROP
07 NOV 05 0600  58.0 N   58.0 W   965   60
07 NOV 05 1200  60.0 N   56.0 W   965   65
07 NOV 05 1800  62.0 N   54.0 W   968   65        See Note

Note:  The 06/0000 UTC High Seas Forecast from OPC contained the 
following warning regarding ex-Noel:

...STORM WARNING... 
.FROM 59N TO 62N E OF 50W...SW WINDS 40 TO 55 KT SEAS 19 TO 30 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 57N AND E OF 59W...WINDS 25 TO 40 KT SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.

So apparently by this time the center of the former TC had moved inland
in Greenland, and therefore the marine warning reported the expected
conditions over waters surrounding the island.

*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
  forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
  Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
  140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
  Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W.  A 1-minute averaging
  period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
  warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm KIKO (15E)                           15 - 25 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KIKO                  Cyclone Number: 15E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 15 0000  14.9 N  108.5 W  1003   30
07 OCT 15 0600  15.2 N  108.9 W  1003   30
07 OCT 15 1200  15.1 N  108.9 W  1003   30
07 OCT 15 1800  15.1 N  108.7 W  1003   30
07 OCT 16 0000  14.7 N  109.0 W  1002   30
07 OCT 16 0600  14.4 N  108.9 W  1001   30
07 OCT 16 1200  14.2 N  108.5 W  1001   35
07 OCT 16 1800  14.1 N  108.1 W  1002   30
07 OCT 17 0000  14.0 N  107.6 W  1001   30
07 OCT 17 0600  14.1 N  107.4 W  1000   35
07 OCT 17 1200  14.6 N  107.1 W  1000   35
07 OCT 17 1800  14.5 N  105.6 W  1000   35        Relocation
07 OCT 18 0000  14.7 N  104.9 W  1000   35
07 OCT 18 0600  15.1 N  104.3 W  1000   35
07 OCT 18 1200  16.2 N  103.5 W  1000   35
07 OCT 18 1800  16.6 N  103.7 W  1000   35  
07 OCT 19 0000  16.6 N  104.4 W  1000   35        Center re-formed
07 OCT 19 0600  16.6 N  104.8 W  1000   35
07 OCT 19 1200  16.9 N  105.0 W  1000   35 
07 OCT 19 1800  17.3 N  105.3 W   999   40
07 OCT 20 0000  17.6 N  105.7 W   998   45
07 OCT 20 0600  17.6 N  106.0 W   998   45
07 OCT 20 1200  17.9 N  106.4 W   996   50
07 OCT 20 1800  18.3 N  106.8 W   994   55
07 OCT 21 0000  18.7 N  107.1 W   991   60
07 OCT 21 0600  19.1 N  107.2 W   991   60
07 OCT 21 1200  19.1 N  107.3 W   997   50
07 OCT 21 1800  19.4 N  107.6 W   997   45
07 OCT 22 0000  19.5 N  107.8 W  1002   40
07 OCT 22 0600  19.6 N  108.0 W  1002   40
07 OCT 22 1200  19.7 N  108.6 W  1002   35
07 OCT 22 1800  19.5 N  109.4 W  1009   30
07 OCT 23 0000  19.4 N  110.4 W  1006   30
07 OCT 23 0600  19.1 N  111.7 W  1007   30
07 OCT 23 1200  18.7 N  112.5 W  1007   25
07 OCT 23 1800  18.3 N  113.8 W  1009   25        Final NHC advisory
07 OCT 24 0000  18.0 N  115.0 W  1007   20        Remnant LOW
07 OCT 24 0600  18.0 N  116.0 W  1008   20
07 OCT 24 1200  18.0 N  117.0 W  1008   20
07 OCT 24 1800  19.0 N  118.0 W  1010   20
07 OCT 25 0000  18.0 N  119.0 W  1010   20

*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  A special thanks to Michael for his efforts.


                              Systems Tracked
                              ---------------

   Super Typhoon KROSA (17W / 0715 / INENG)            01 - 09 Oct
   Tropical Storm HAIYAN (0716 / Invest 93W)           30 Sep - 07 Oct
   Tropical Storm PODUL (0717 / Invest 92W)            03 - 09 Oct
   Tropical Storm LINGLING (18W / 0718)                09 - 19 Oct
   Typhoon KAJIKI (19W / 0719)                         18 - 25 Oct
   Tropical Storm FAXAI (20W / 0720 / JUANING)         24 - 31 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KROSA                 Cyclone Number: 17W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: INENG       JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0715

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 01 0000  17.2 N  130.2 E  1000         30  PAGASA warnings
07 OCT 01 0600  17.3 N  130.4 E   997         35  JMA: 30 kts
07 OCT 01 1200  17.7 N  130.9 E   998   25    35  JMA: 30 kts
07 OCT 01 1800  16.6 N  130.5 E   998   35    35  JMA: 17.1N/131.0E-30 kt
07 OCT 02 0000  16.4 N  131.1 E   996   45    40  JMA: 17.1N/130.9E-35 kt
07 OCT 02 0600  16.7 N  131.4 E   990   60    45
07 OCT 02 1200  17.0 N  131.1 E   990   65    45
07 OCT 02 1800  16.9 N  130.8 E   985   75    50
07 OCT 03 0000  17.0 N  130.2 E   980   75    55
07 OCT 03 0600  17.2 N  129.7 E   965   75    70
07 OCT 03 1200  17.7 N  129.3 E   955   95    80
07 OCT 03 1800  18.3 N  128.8 E   945  120    85
07 OCT 04 0000  18.6 N  128.0 E   940  120    90
07 OCT 04 0600  19.2 N  127.3 E   940  115    90
07 OCT 04 1200  19.9 N  126.6 E   940  120    90
07 OCT 04 1800  20.2 N  125.7 E   935  125    95
07 OCT 05 0000  20.4 N  125.2 E   930  130   100
07 OCT 05 0600  21.0 N  125.0 E   925  130   105
07 OCT 05 1200  21.8 N  124.8 E   925  130   105
07 OCT 05 1800  22.8 N  124.0 E   925  130   105
07 OCT 06 0000  23.7 N  123.5 E   920  125   105
07 OCT 06 0600  24.5 N  122.3 E   925  125   100  Nearing NE Taiwan
07 OCT 06 1200  24.4 N  121.4 E   960  115    75  JMA: 24.0N/122.0E
07 OCT 06 1800  25.6 N  121.2 E   965   90    65  Just off N tip Taiwan
07 OCT 07 0000  25.9 N  120.6 E   970   75    60
07 OCT 07 0600  26.7 N  120.4 E   970   50    60  On Chinese coast
07 OCT 07 1200  27.6 N  120.3 E   980   45    55  JMA: 27.2N/120.5E
07 OCT 07 1800  27.6 N  120.0 E   985   45    50  Inland in China
07 OCT 08 0000  27.7 N  120.0 E   992   40    40
07 OCT 08 0600  27.8 N  120.2 E  1000   35    35
07 OCT 08 1200  28.0 N  120.0 E  1006   35    40  JMA: 29.0N/122.0E-XTROP
07 OCT 08 1800  29.7 N  123.0 E  1008   25    35  JMA: 29.0N/123.0E-XTROP
07 OCT 09 0000  30.0 N  126.0 E  1008         35  JMA warnings
07 OCT 09 0600  32.0 N  128.0 E  1008         35  over East China Sea
07 OCT 09 1200  32.0 N  130.0 E  1008         30  Near W Kyushu
07 OCT 09 1800  32.0 N  134.0 E  1008         30  South of Honshu

Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates are taken from PAGASA's warnings 
from 01/0000 through 02/0000 UTC.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HAIYAN                Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0716

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 SEP 30 1800  28.0 N  173.0 E  1008   25        Honolulu WFO High Seas
07 OCT 01 0000  28.0 N  172.0 E  1008   25        SAB: ST2.5
07 OCT 01 0600  28.0 N  171.0 E  1006   25
07 OCT 01 1200  29.0 N  170.0 E  1007   25
07 OCT 01 1800  29.0 N  169.0 E  1005   25
07 OCT 02 0000  29.0 N  168.0 E  1006   25
07 OCT 02 0600  29.0 N  168.0 E  1006   25
07 OCT 02 1200  29.0 N  168.0 E  1006   30
07 OCT 02 1800  28.0 N  168.0 E  1004   30
07 OCT 03 0000  28.0 N  168.0 E  1004   30
07 OCT 03 0600  28.0 N  169.0 E  1005   25
07 OCT 03 1200  27.6 N  170.6 E  1006   25        Track from K. Hoarau
07 OCT 03 1800  27.7 N  171.0 E  1006   25        CP from Honolulu
07 OCT 04 0000  27.7 N  171.5 E  1006   30
07 OCT 04 0600  27.6 N  171.6 E  1004   30
07 OCT 04 1200  27.5 N  171.7 E  1005   35
07 OCT 04 1800  27.6 N  171.8 E  1004   50
07 OCT 05 0000  27.7 N  171.9 E  1002   55    30  CP from JMA
07 OCT 05 0600  28.0 N  172.0 E  1004   65    30
07 OCT 05 1200  28.1 N  171.7 E  1002   60    30
07 OCT 05 1800  28.1 N  171.3 E  1000   55    30
07 OCT 06 0000  28.4 N  170.9 E   998   50    35
07 OCT 06 0600  29.0 N  170.5 E   998   45    35
07 OCT 06 1200  30.2 N  170.3 E   998   40    35
07 OCT 06 1800  32.0 N  170.1 E  1002   35    30
07 OCT 07 0000  33.9 N  170.6 E  1006   30    25
07 OCT 07 0600  36.0 N  172.0 E  1006         25  JMA bulletin

Note: A special thanks to Dr. Karl Hoarau for sending tracks for both
TS Haiyan and TS Podul.  The positions and 1-min avg MSW from 03/1200
through 07/0000 UTC were taken from Karl's track.  The CP estimates prior
to 05/0000 UTC were obtained from the High Seas Forecasts issued by the
NWS Honolulu office.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: PODUL                 Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0717

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 03 1200  22.0 N  146.0 E  1010         20  JMA bulletins
07 OCT 03 1800  23.0 N  148.0 E  1008         20
07 OCT 04 0000  23.0 N  148.0 E  1008         20
07 OCT 04 0600  24.0 N  148.0 E  1006         20
07 OCT 04 1200  24.4 N  148.5 E  1002   30    25  Track from K. Hoarau
07 OCT 04 1800  24.8 N  149.1 E  1002   30    25
07 OCT 05 0000  25.3 N  149.6 E  1000   35    30
07 OCT 05 0600  26.0 N  150.1 E  1002   35    30
07 OCT 05 1200  26.8 N  151.0 E  1000   35    30  JMA: 27.2N/150.6E
07 OCT 05 1800  28.0 N  152.0 E  1000   45    30  JMA: 27.8N/151.5E
07 OCT 06 0000  30.2 N  153.5 E   998   55    30
07 OCT 06 0600  32.4 N  155.5 E   990   50    35
07 OCT 06 1200  34.2 N  158.2 E   990   45    35
07 OCT 06 1800  36.0 N  160.9 E   990   35    35
07 OCT 07 0000  39.0 N  163.0 E   992   30    40  Extratropical
07 OCT 07 0600  43.0 N  166.0 E   990         45  JMA warnings
07 OCT 07 1200  44.0 N  168.0 E   990         45
07 OCT 07 1800  45.0 N  170.0 E   992         45
07 OCT 08 0000  46.0 N  171.0 E   996         40
07 OCT 08 0600  47.0 N  170.0 E   996         40
07 OCT 08 1200  48.0 N  170.0 E   994         40
07 OCT 08 1800  49.0 N  173.0 E   994         35
07 OCT 09 0000  51.0 N  179.0 E   990         35
07 OCT 09 0600  52.0 N  178.0 W   988         35

Note: The positions and 1-min avg MSW from 04/1200 through 07/0000 UTC
were obtained from Karl Hoarau's track.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: LINGLING              Cyclone Number: 18W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0718

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 08 0600  17.4 N  177.3 W         25        From Karl Hoarau
07 OCT 08 1200  17.7 N  177.8 W         30
07 OCT 08 1800  18.1 N  178.4 W         35
07 OCT 09 0000  18.7 N  179.4 W         45
07 OCT 09 0600  19.1 N  179.4 E         35
07 OCT 09 1200  19.5 N  178.3 E         30
07 OCT 09 1800  19.7 N  177.3 E         25
07 OCT 10 0000  19.8 N  176.3 E         25                 
07 OCT 10 0600  20.6 N  175.9 E  1006         25  See Note #1
07 OCT 10 1200  21.1 N  174.9 E  1008         25  
07 OCT 10 1800  21.2 N  174.2 E  1008         25
07 OCT 11 0000  21.5 N  175.2 E  1008         25  See Note #2
07 OCT 11 0600  23.3 N  173.8 E  1008         25  
07 OCT 11 1200  24.0 N  173.6 E  1006         30  JMA: 23.6N/175.2E 
07 OCT 11 1800  24.0 N  173.2 E  1004         30  JMA: 23.8N/174.1E
07 OCT 12 0000  24.7 N  173.3 E  1004         30
07 OCT 12 0600  25.4 N  172.7 E  1000   25    35
07 OCT 12 1200  25.7 N  172.4 E   994   35    45
07 OCT 12 1800  26.4 N  172.0 E   994   35    45
07 OCT 13 0000  27.5 N  171.3 E   996   35    45
07 OCT 13 0600  28.8 N  170.5 E   996   40    45  JTWC: 28.6N/170.8E
07 OCT 13 1200  29.0 N  170.6 E   998   35    40
07 OCT 13 1800  30.1 N  170.4 E  1000   30    35  Final JTWC warning
07 OCT 14 0000  31.3 N  169.8 E  1000         35
07 OCT 14 0600  32.5 N  170.5 E  1000         35
07 OCT 14 1200  33.5 N  171.0 E  1004         35
07 OCT 14 1800  34.5 N  171.4 E  1006         35
07 OCT 15 0000  34.8 N  175.2 E  1006         35  Relocation
07 OCT 15 0600  36.0 N  178.0 E  1006         35  Extratropical
07 OCT 15 1200  37.0 N  179.0 W  1008         35
07 OCT 15 1800  37.0 N  177.0 W  1010         35  OPC warnings
07 OCT 16 0000  38.0 N  174.0 W  1009         40
07 OCT 16 0600  37.0 N  171.0 W  1010         40
07 OCT 16 1200  38.0 N  167.0 W  1008         40
07 OCT 16 1800  39.0 N  165.0 W  1004         35
07 OCT 17 0000  40.0 N  160.0 W  1002         40
07 OCT 17 0600  40.0 N  155.0 W  1000         40
07 OCT 17 1200  41.0 N  150.0 W   997         40
07 OCT 17 1800  42.0 N  145.0 W   995         40
07 OCT 18 0000  43.0 N  141.0 W   991         40
07 OCT 18 0600  44.0 N  134.0 W   986         40
07 OCT 18 1200  46.0 N  129.0 W   984         50
07 OCT 18 1800  47.0 N  127.0 W   986         45
07 OCT 19 0000  49.0 N  123.0 W   993         25  Inland nr Vancouver, BC

Note #1: The center positions and MSW estimates from 08/0600 through 
10/0000 UTC were taken from a track sent to the author by Dr. Karl 
Hoarau.  The coordinates from 10/0600 through 12/0000 UTC were obtained 
from satellite fix bulletins issued by JTWC, but the CP and 10-min avg 
MSW estimates came from JMA's High Seas bulletins.  During this period 
the 1-min avg MSW can be assumed to be near 25 kts.   During the second 
(and official) tropical storm phase of Lingling's life, the coordinates 
were taken from JMA's tropical storm warnings.

Note #2: The longitude for this data point could possibly be erroneous,
although JMA's bulletin gave 22N/175E.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KAJIKI                Cyclone Number: 19W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0719

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 18 1200  18.0 N  146.0 E  1008         25  JMA warnings
07 OCT 18 1800  18.6 N  144.7 E  1004         30
07 OCT 19 0000  19.7 N  144.0 E  1002   30    30  JMA: 19.0N/144.2E
07 OCT 19 0600  19.9 N  142.8 E   998   55    35
07 OCT 19 1200  21.0 N  141.9 E   990   55    50  JMA: 20.5N/142.0E
07 OCT 19 1800  21.3 N  141.0 E   980   75    60
07 OCT 20 0000  22.0 N  140.7 E   965   90    75
07 OCT 20 0600  23.3 N  140.7 E   950  105    85
07 OCT 20 1200  24.5 N  141.1 E   950  105    85  See Note #2
07 OCT 20 1800  26.0 N  142.0 E   945  110    90
07 OCT 21 0000  27.9 N  143.9 E   955  100    80
07 OCT 21 0600  30.0 N  146.4 E   960   95    75
07 OCT 21 1200  32.1 N  149.6 E   965   75    65  JMA: 32.0N/149.2E
07 OCT 21 1800  34.2 N  153.2 E   975         60  JMA warnings
07 OCT 22 0000  35.4 N  157.5 E   985         55
07 OCT 22 0600  36.0 N  162.0 E   994         45  Extratropical
07 OCT 22 1200  38.0 N  165.0 E   998         45
07 OCT 22 1800  38.0 N  169.0 E  1000         45
07 OCT 23 0000  38.0 N  175.0 E  1004         40  OPC: 40-50 kts
07 OCT 23 0600  38.0 N  179.0 E  1010         35  OPC: 1004 mb/40-50 kts
07 OCT 23 1200  39.0 N  175.0 w  1008         40  OPC wrngs/See Note #1
07 OCT 23 1800  40.0 N  174.0 W  1006         35
07 OCT 24 0000  37.0 N  174.0 W  1008         35  Relocation???
07 OCT 24 0600  42.0 N  171.0 W  1009         35
07 OCT 24 1200  45.0 N  169.0 W  1005         35
07 OCT 24 1800  47.0 N  167.0 W  1000         40
07 OCT 25 0000  50.0 N  164.0 W   998         50
07 OCT 25 0600  50.0 N  167.0 W   998         50  Relocation???

Note #1: JMA's final reference to the ex-Kajiki LOW was at 23/1200 UTC, 
and placed a 1012-mb LOW near 37N/179W, moving ESE at 15 kts with peak 
winds of 35 kts.    It's entirely possible that the old Kajiki center 
weakened and that the system tracked above beginning at 23/1200 UTC is a
different cyclone.  The two possible relocations noted above are rather 
unusual for an extratropical LOW racing northeastward.  I was tempted to
terminate the track after 23/1800 UTC, but have left it as I gleaned it
from the OPC warnings.  The 25/1200 UTC High Seas bulletin did not have
any LOW which could be construed as a continuation of the system tracked
at 25/0600 UTC, so I assumed it was likely absorbed by another system.

Note #2: Dr. Karl Hoarau sent me an analysis of Kajiki's 1-min avg MSW
which he had performed.  Following is Karl's intensity history of Kajiki:

Oct 18  1200Z   25 kts
Oct 18  1800Z   30 kts
Oct 19  0000Z   40 kts
Oct 19  0600Z   50 kts
Oct 19  1200Z   60 kts
Oct 19  1800Z   75 kts
Oct 20  0000Z   90 kts
Oct 20  0600Z  110 kts
Oct 20  1200Z  125 kts
Oct 20  1800Z  120 kts
Oct 21  0000Z  110 kts
Oct 21  0600Z  100 kts
Oct 21  1200Z   90 kts

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FAXAI                 Cyclone Number: 20W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: JUANING     JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0720

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 24 1800  16.0 N  136.0 E  1004         25
07 OCT 25 0000  16.0 N  136.0 E  1006         25
07 OCT 25 0600  17.4 N  134.7 E  1004         30
07 OCT 25 1200  19.4 N  133.7 E  1004         30
07 OCT 25 1800  21.4 N  132.3 E  1000         30
07 OCT 26 0000  23.0 N  131.7 E  1000   25    35  JTWC: 23.0N/131.3E
07 OCT 26 0600  23.9 N  131.2 E   998   25    35  JTWC: 23.6N/130.7E
07 OCT 26 1200  25.0 N  131.7 E   992   30    45  1st final JTWC warning
07 OCT 26 1800  26.7 N  133.3 E   992   35    45  JTWC: 26.1N/133.0E
07 OCT 27 0000  28.6 N  135.6 E   990   40    50  JTWC: 27.5N/134.7E
07 OCT 27 0600  33.4 N  139.6 E   980         55  Moving NE at 50 kts
07 OCT 27 1200  35.8 N  141.9 E   985         55
07 OCT 27 1800  39.0 N  146.0 E   984         55  Extratropical
07 OCT 28 0000  41.0 N  149.0 E   984         55
07 OCT 28 0600  41.0 N  153.0 E   980         55
07 OCT 28 1200  41.0 N  157.0 E   980         55
07 OCT 28 1800  43.0 N  163.0 E   980         55
07 OCT 29 0000  46.0 N  172.0 E   988         50
07 OCT 29 0600  48.0 N  179.0 E   986         50
07 OCT 29 1200  49.0 N  172.0 W   978         55  OPC warnings
07 OCT 29 1800  50.0 N  164.0 W   976         50
07 OCT 30 0000  54.0 N  158.0 W   969         50
07 OCT 30 0600  56.0 N  154.0 W   964         50
07 OCT 30 1200  57.0 N  153.0 W   958         50
07 OCT 30 1800  58.0 N  151.0 W   957         50
07 OCT 31 0000  60.0 N  151.0 W   968         40
07 OCT 31 0600  60.0 N  150.0 W   977         40
07 OCT 31 1200  60.0 N  148.0 W   983         40
07 OCT 31 1800  60.0 N  148.0 W   988         40

Note: JTWC issued its second final warning on Faxai at 27/0000 UTC.

*************************************************************************

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.   Occasionally some information may
  have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
  bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.
 
     The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.     For synoptic
  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone (05A)                              27 Oct - 04 Nov
   Tropical Depression (Invest 99B)                    26 - 28 Oct                              
                                                     
*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 05A     Basin: NIO
 

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 27 0230   9.7 N   68.2 E         25        SAB bulletins
07 OCT 27 0830   9.8 N   67.2 E         25              
07 OCT 27 1800  10.5 N   66.5 E         30        IMD position/SAB: T2.0
07 OCT 28 0000  10.6 N   66.3 E         35        JTWC warnings
07 OCT 28 0600  11.0 N   66.1 E         35
07 OCT 28 1200  11.4 N   65.9 E         35
07 OCT 28 1800  11.4 N   66.2 E         35
07 OCT 29 0000  11.3 N   66.4 E         40
07 OCT 29 0600  10.9 N   66.6 E         40        Based on SAB bulletins
07 OCT 29 1200  11.0 N   67.0 E         40        JTWC warnings
07 OCT 29 1800  11.0 N   66.5 E         45
07 OCT 30 0000  11.1 N   66.3 E         45
07 OCT 30 0600  11.0 N   65.8 E         40
07 OCT 30 1200  11.2 N   65.2 E         40
07 OCT 30 1800  11.3 N   64.8 E         35
07 OCT 31 0000  11.7 N   64.3 E         35
07 OCT 31 0600  12.1 N   63.7 E         35
07 OCT 31 1200  12.5 N   62.9 E         35
07 OCT 31 1800  13.3 N   62.0 E         35
07 NOV 01 0000  14.2 N   60.6 E         30
07 NOV 01 0600  14.2 N   59.4 E         30
07 NOV 01 1200  14.5 N   58.5 E         25
07 NOV 01 1800  14.2 N   58.0 E         25
07 NOV 02 0000  14.3 N   57.2 E         25
07 NOV 02 0600  14.4 N   56.5 E         25        JTWC satellite bulletin
07 NOV 02 1200  14.3 N   55.7 E         20        Remnant LOW
07 NOV 02 1800  13.6 N   55.5 E         20
07 NOV 03 0000  13.2 N   55.1 E         20
07 NOV 03 0600  13.0 N   54.4 E         20
07 NOV 03 1200  13.2 N   53.9 E         20
07 NOV 03 1800  12.9 N   52.9 E         20
07 NOV 04 0000  12.8 N   52.6 E         20
07 NOV 04 0600  11.6 N   52.2 E         20
07 NOV 04 1200  11.0 N   51.9 E         20
07 NOV 04 1800  10.9 N   51.6 E         20
07 NOV 04 2100  10.7 N   51.2 E         20
07 NOV 04 0300   8.9 N   51.4 E         20

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NIO


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 26 1200  10.7 N   89.8 E         25        JTWC satellite bulletin
07 OCT 26 1800  11.3 N   87.9 E         30        Relocation // T2.5/2.5
07 OCT 27 0000  11.3 N   87.1 E         30 
07 OCT 27 0600  10.8 N   86.2 E         25
07 OCT 27 1200  10.7 N   85.5 E         25
07 OCT 27 1800  10.4 N   84.6 E         30
07 OCT 28 0000  11.3 N   84.1 E         30
07 OCT 28 0600  11.6 N   83.0 E         30
07 OCT 28 1200  12.5 N   82.0 E         30        IMD bulletin
07 OCT 28 1800  13.4 N   81.5 E         25        JTWC satellite bulletin

Note: Based on the 28/2030 UTC bulletin from SAB, the depression had
moved inland over southern India.  However, JTWC issued a satellite fix
bulletin at 29/0530 UTC which reported the position essentially the same
as at 28/1730 UTC.   The Tropical Weather Outlook from IMD, issued at
0300 UTC on 29 October, stated that the depression over the southwest
Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwestwards and weakened into a well-
marked low-pressure area and was situated over the west-central and
southwestern portions of the Bay of Bengal and over north coastal Tamil
Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh.

*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Tropical Disturbance (MFR-01)                       11 - 14 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 OCT 11 0600   8.9 S   61.5 E         25        JTWC sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 11 1800   8.5 S   60.8 E         25                  "
07 OCT 12 0000   9.9 S   60.4 E         30                  "
07 OCT 12 0600   9.7 S   60.2 E  1005   30    25  Initial MFR warning
07 OCT 12 1200  10.6 S   60.2 E  1005   30    25
07 OCT 13 0000  10.8 S   58.4 E  1005   30    25
07 OCT 13 0600  10.9 S   57.5 E  1005   30    25
07 OCT 13 1200  11.2 S   56.4 E  1005   30    25  Final MFR warnings
07 OCT 13 2030  11.2 S   55.5 E         25        SAB sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 14 0000  11.4 S   54.7 E         20        JTWC sat fix bulletin
07 OCT 14 0600  11.1 S   53.9 E         20                  "

Note: Dvorak estimates from both JTWC and SAB reached T2.5/2.5 late on
12 October and early on 13 October, implying that the system could have
briefly reached tropical storm intensity in terms of a 1-min avg MSW.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

              !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>
    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              [email protected]


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          [email protected] 
                            [email protected]

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0710.htm
Updated: 11th November 2007

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