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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks January 2008
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

              GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2008

          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!

*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  A special thanks to Michael for his efforts.


                              Systems Tracked
                              ---------------

   Tropical Storm (01W)                                13 - 18 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 01W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: None

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 13 0600  13.0 N  118.1 E  1006   25    25
08 JAN 13 1200  13.4 N  117.2 E  1006   30    30
08 JAN 13 1800  13.3 N  116.0 E  1006   30    30
08 JAN 14 0000  12.8 N  114.9 E  1008   35    30
08 JAN 14 0600  12.4 N  113.7 E  1004   35    30
08 JAN 14 1200  11.8 N  112.8 E  1006   35    30  SAB: T3.0/3.0 - 0830Z
08 JAN 14 1800  11.0 N  112.1 E  1006   30    30
08 JAN 15 0000   9.5 N  111.7 E  1006   25    30
08 JAN 15 0600   9.0 N  111.3 E  1006   20    30
08 JAN 15 1200   8.2 N  111.0 E  1008         30  JMA bulletin
08 JAN 15 1800   7.7 N  110.3 E  1008   25    25
08 JAN 16 0000   7.4 N  109.7 E  1008   25    25
08 JAN 16 0600   7.1 N  109.0 E  1008   20    25
08 JAN 16 1200   6.4 N  108.3 E  1008   15    25
08 JAN 16 1800   6.0 N  107.0 E  1010         20  JMA bulletins
08 JAN 17 0000   6.0 N  107.0 E  1010         20
08 JAN 17 0600   5.0 N  105.0 E  1008         20
08 JAN 17 1200   4.0 N  105.0 E  1008         20
08 JAN 17 1800   4.0 N  105.0 E  1008         15
08 JAN 18 0000   4.0 N  104.0 E  1010         15

Note: JTWC was the only agency to upgrade this system to tropical storm
status.  The depression exited PAGASA's AOR after 13/1800 UTC and that
agency never assigned a name.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Tropical Storm ELNUS (MFR-06 / 09S)                 30 Dec - 05 Jan
   Tropical Cyclone FAME (MFR-08 / 13S)                24 Jan - 01 Feb
   Tropical Cyclone GULA (MFR-09 / 14S)                26 Jan - 03 Feb

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ELNUS                 Cyclone Number: 09S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 06

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

07 DEC 30 1200  18.4 S   41.4 E  1002         25  No bulletin at 1800Z
07 DEC 31 0000  18.3 S   42.0 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts S semi
07 DEC 31 0600  18.2 S   41.1 E   999         30
07 DEC 31 1200  18.1 S   41.1 E   997   35    30
07 DEC 31 1800  18.8 S   41.3 E   997         30
08 JAN 01 0000  19.1 S   41.0 E   995   35    35
08 JAN 01 0600  18.9 S   40.9 E   994         35
08 JAN 01 1200  19.9 S   40.3 E   994   40    35
08 JAN 01 1800  19.9 S   39.9 E   994         35  SAB: T3.5/3.5 - 2030Z
08 JAN 02 0000  19.9 S   39.9 E   994   35    35
08 JAN 02 0600  19.9 S   39.9 E   997         30  Locally 35 kts S quads
08 JAN 02 1200  20.2 S   40.3 E   997   40    30              "
08 JAN 02 1800  21.0 S   40.4 E   998         30              "
08 JAN 03 0000  21.5 S   40.4 E   998   30    30              "
08 JAN 03 0600  22.5 S   40.8 E   998         30              "
08 JAN 03 1200  23.2 S   41.6 E   999   35    25  Locally 30-35 kts to SE
08 JAN 03 1800  25.0 S   42.4 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts SE quads
08 JAN 04 0000  25.8 S   43.0 E  1000   25    25  JTWC: 25.5S/42.4E
08 JAN 04 0600  26.0 S   42.1 E  1000         20  Locally 25-30 kts/XTRP
08 JAN 04 1200  26.3 S   42.6 E  1000         20             "
08 JAN 04 1800  26.8 S   42.8 E  1000         20             "
08 JAN 05 0000  26.7 S   42.7 E  1000         25
08 JAN 05 0600  26.7 S   43.0 E   999         25
08 JAN 05 1200  26.7 S   43.5 E   999         25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FAME                  Cyclone Number: 13S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 24 0600  13.5 S   45.6 E  1004         25
08 JAN 24 1200  13.8 S   45.1 E  1002         25
08 JAN 24 1800  13.9 S   44.9 E  1002         25
08 JAN 25 0000  13.9 S   44.3 E  1002         25
08 JAN 25 0600  14.1 S   44.8 E  1002         25
08 JAN 25 1200  14.1 S   44.7 E   999         30
08 JAN 25 1800  14.1 S   44.7 E   993   40    35
08 JAN 26 0000  14.1 S   44.7 E   990         40
08 JAN 26 0600  13.8 S   44.8 E   987   55    45
08 JAN 26 1200  14.1 S   44.7 E   982         55
08 JAN 26 1800  14.3 S   44.8 E   982   65    55
08 JAN 27 0000  15.1 S   44.4 E   982         55
08 JAN 27 0600  15.4 S   44.4 E   976   80    60  SAB: T5.0/5.0 - 0830Z
08 JAN 27 1200  16.2 S   44.3 E   972         60
08 JAN 27 1800  17.1 S   44.4 E         75    50  Inland
08 JAN 28 0000  17.5 S   45.0 E               40
08 JAN 28 0600  18.1 S   46.5 E         40    25
08 JAN 28 1200  19.0 S   47.0 E               20
08 JAN 29 0000  19.9 S   49.0 E               20  JTWC sat fix bulletin
08 JAN 29 0600  19.6 S   51.2 E  1000         25  Over water
08 JAN 29 1200  20.3 S   52.0 E   997   35    30  JTWC: 20.8S/52.8E
08 JAN 29 1800  21.3 S   52.8 E   997         30
08 JAN 30 0000  21.1 S   52.4 E   997   35    30
08 JAN 30 0600  21.3 S   52.4 E   997         30
08 JAN 30 1200  21.4 S   53.1 E   997   35    30  JTWC: 21.8S/52.8E
08 JAN 30 1800  21.5 S   53.3 E   997         30  SAB: T3.5/3.5 - 2030Z
08 JAN 31 0000  21.6 S   53.7 E   997   45    30  JTWC: 22.3S/53.7E
08 JAN 31 0600  22.3 S   53.4 E   997         30
08 JAN 31 1200  22.7 S   52.0 E   999   35    30
08 JAN 31 1800  21.5 S   52.5 E   999   35    30
08 FEB 01 0000  21.6 S   54.8 E   990         30  Loc 35 kts NW & SW quad
08 FEB 01 0600  23.4 S   56.0 E   996   35    30  Loc 35 kts NW & SE quad
08 FEB 01 1200  24.8 S   57.8 E   998         30

Note: The final JTWC position (01/0600 UTC) was at 22.8S/54.5E.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: GULA                  Cyclone Number: 14S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 26 1200  11.6 S   62.4 E  1002         25
08 JAN 26 1800  12.0 S   62.5 E  1002         25
08 JAN 27 0000  12.6 S   62.5 E  1000   35    25
08 JAN 27 0600  12.9 S   62.5 E   997         30
08 JAN 27 1200  13.7 S   62.5 E   995   40    35
08 JAN 27 1800  14.1 S   62.4 E   995         35
08 JAN 28 0000  14.9 S   61.7 E   995   50    35  JTWC: 15.2S/62.9E
08 JAN 28 0600  15.0 S   62.6 E   987         45
08 JAN 28 1200  14.9 S   62.2 E   985   65    50
08 JAN 28 1800  14.7 S   62.0 E   978         55
08 JAN 29 0000  14.5 S   61.9 E   972   75    60
08 JAN 29 0600  14.7 S   61.4 E   960         75  SAB: T5.0/5.0 - 0830Z
08 JAN 29 1200  14.8 S   61.0 E   950   80    85         "      - 1430Z
08 JAN 29 1800  14.9 S   60.6 E   955         80         "      - 2030Z
08 JAN 30 0000  15.0 S   60.5 E   960   85    75
08 JAN 30 0600  15.3 S   60.3 E   980         50
08 JAN 30 1200  16.9 S   60.4 E   990   70    45
08 JAN 30 1800  17.8 S   60.1 E   990         40
08 JAN 31 0000  18.6 S   59.7 E   988   55    45
08 JAN 31 0600  19.8 S   59.3 E   988         45
08 JAN 31 1200  22.3 S   58.4 E   990   45    35
08 JAN 31 1800  24.3 S   57.4 E   985         50
08 FEB 01 0000  25.2 S   56.1 E   986   45    50
08 FEB 01 0600  26.0 S   54.0 E   986         50
08 FEB 01 1200  26.4 S   55.3 E   992   40    45
08 FEB 01 1800  28.0 S   55.6 E   990         45  XTRP/Loc 60 kts S semi
08 FEB 02 0000  29.5 S   56.4 E   982   30    45  Locally 60 kts S semi
08 FEB 02 1200  32.0 S   59.0 E                   From High Seas Fcst
08 FEB 03 0000  38.0 S   64.0 E                             "

Note: Karl Hoarau has pointed out to me that in the JMV file prepared by
JTWC (a working "best track"), Gula's intensity at 29/0600 UTC has been
set at 100 kts with the MSW at 29/0000 UTC revised upward to 85 kts
and the MSW at 29/1200 UTC revised to 90 kts.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
  Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory.    The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
  the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates
  from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
  annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
  amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone HELEN (10S)                        03 - 06 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HELEN                 Cyclone Number: 10S     Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by Darwin TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 03 0000  14.1 S  128.6 E   995         25
08 JAN 03 0600  14.1 S  128.0 E   993         25
08 JAN 03 1200  14.2 S  127.8 E   990         30
08 JAN 03 1800  14.1 S  127.5 E   990   35    30
08 JAN 04 0000  13.4 S  128.1 E   985         35
08 JAN 04 0600  13.3 S  129.0 E   980   45    40
08 JAN 04 1200  13.1 S  129.9 E   975         50
08 JAN 04 1800  13.2 S  130.9 E   985   45    35  Inland over NT
08 JAN 05 0000  13.3 S  132.1 E   992         30
08 JAN 05 0600  13.2 S  133.5 E   992   30    25
08 JAN 05 1200  13.1 S  135.5 E   995         25
08 JAN 05 1800  13.2 S  136.7 E   993   30    25
08 JAN 06 0000  13.0 S  139.0 E   993         25  In Gulf of Carpentaria
08 JAN 06 0600  14.4 S  140.5 E   995   30    25  JTWC: 13.6S/140.1E
08 JAN 06 1200  13.9 S  140.9 E   995         30
08 JAN 06 1500  13.9 S  141.3 E   998         30  Inland-Cape York Pen.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
  Wellington, New Zealand.  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
  Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
  those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone ELISA (07F / 11P)                  07 - 12 Jan
   Tropical Depression (08F)                           09 - 14 Jan
   Tropical Depression (09F)                           12 - 13 Jan
   Severe Tropical Cyclone FUNA (10F / 12P)            15 - 20 Jan
   Tropical Depression (11F)                           19 - 24 Jan
   Severe Tropical Cyclone GENE (12F / 15P)            26 Jan - 09 Feb

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ELISA                 Cyclone Number: 11P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 07 1800  18.9 S  175.5 W  1006         25
08 JAN 08 0600  19.1 S  176.5 W  1003         25
08 JAN 08 2100  19.3 S  175.6 W  1000         25
08 JAN 09 0600  19.7 S  175.6 W  1000         25
08 JAN 09 2100  21.2 S  175.6 W   996         30
08 JAN 10 0000  21.4 S  175.5 W   994   35    30
08 JAN 10 0300  21.5 S  175.8 W   992         35
08 JAN 10 0600  22.1 S  175.7 W   992   45    35
08 JAN 10 1200  22.9 S  175.5 W   987         45
08 JAN 10 1800  23.5 S  174.1 W   980   45    50
08 JAN 11 0000  24.1 S  173.1 W   980         50
08 JAN 11 0600  24.6 S  172.2 W   990   35    40
08 JAN 11 1200  24.7 S  170.2 W   997         30
08 JAN 11 2100  24.8 S  168.7 W   996         25  Peripheral gales
08 JAN 12 0000  25.0 S  168.0 W  1002         25         "
08 JAN 12 0600  24.0 S  167.0 W  1003         25         "
08 JAN 12 1800  24.0 S  166.0 W  1004         25         "

Note: Dvorak ratings from CPHC, JTWC, Brisbane, and SAB all reached 
T3.5/3.5 (55 kts over 1-min), supporting Nadi's peak 10-min avg MSW
of 50 kts.  JTWC's only T3.5/3.5 came at 10/1130 UTC when no warning
was issued, and were coming down by 10/1730--perhaps that is why that
agency did not go above 45 kts.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 08F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 09 2100  15.0 S  169.0 E  1003         25
08 JAN 10 0600  15.0 S  169.0 E  1001         25
08 JAN 10 2100  13.0 S  172.2 E   998         25
08 JAN 11 0600  14.0 S  175.4 E  1001         25
08 JAN 11 2100  14.4 S  179.2 E  1001         25  Relocated
08 JAN 12 0600  15.3 S  179.1 W   999         25
08 JAN 12 2100  14.1 S  179.0 W  1001         25
08 JAN 13 0600  14.5 S  179.0 W  1001         25
08 JAN 13 1800  15.5 S  179.3 W  1002         25
08 JAN 14 0600  16.0 S  178.9 W  1004         20

Note: This system and the following one (09F) actually did not meet my
personal criterion (1-min avg winds >= 30 kts) for inclusion in the
tracks file.  But since I anticipated each to strengthen, I began the
files, and so did not want to discard them.  I located no agency which
assigned a Dvorak rating of T2.0/2.0 for either of these depressions.  

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 09F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 12 2100  19.8 S  174.5 W   999         25
08 JAN 13 0600  20.4 S  174.5 W   999         25
08 JAN 13 2100  20.5 S  174.2 W  1001         25

Note: See note for TD-08F above.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FUNA                  Cyclone Number: 12P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 10F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 15 2100  15.4 S  163.0 E   998         30
08 JAN 16 0000  15.4 S  163.4 E   998         30
08 JAN 16 0600  14.4 S  164.8 E   990   35    40  JTWC: 15.1S/164.6E
08 JAN 16 1200  14.8 S  165.7 E   987         45
08 JAN 16 1800  15.1 S  166.5 E   978   55    50  JTWC: 14.8S/166.2E
08 JAN 17 0000  15.0 S  167.9 E   970         55   
08 JAN 17 0600  15.3 S  169.5 E   970   65    55  JTWC: 15.5S/169.0E
08 JAN 17 1200  15.7 S  170.3 E   970         60
08 JAN 17 1800  16.6 S  170.9 E   968   70    60
08 JAN 18 0000  17.4 S  172.2 E   960         70
08 JAN 18 0600  18.4 S  172.9 E   960   80    75
08 JAN 18 1200  18.9 S  173.4 E   955         80
08 JAN 18 1800  20.0 S  174.2 E   945  105    85
08 JAN 19 0000  20.9 S  174.8 E   930         95
08 JAN 19 0600  22.1 S  175.1 E   930  105    95
08 JAN 19 1200  23.9 S  175.4 E   930         95
08 JAN 19 1800  25.8 S  175.2 E   945   75    85  Wellington warnings
08 JAN 20 0000  27.4 S  173.6 E   950         80
08 JAN 20 0600  29.0 S  171.5 E   965   55    70
08 JAN 20 1200  30.0 S  170.0 E   970         65
08 JAN 20 1800  30.0 S  169.0 E   975         60  Extratropical

Note: All the satellite analysts (JTWC, Nadi, Brisbane, SAB, CPHC) 
rendered a Dvorak rating of T5.5/5.5 at some point on the 18th or
19th, thus well supporting Nadi's and JTWC's respective peak MSW
estimates.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 11F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 19 0600  14.0 S  167.0 W  1002         20
08 JAN 19 2100  16.0 S  167.0 W  1004         20
08 JAN 20 0600  15.3 S  166.4 W  1004         20
08 JAN 20 2100  16.0 S  168.2 W  1000         25  Classed as Trop. Dep.
08 JAN 21 0600  15.5 S  168.7 W   998         25
08 JAN 21 1800  15.0 S  166.2 W   996         30  Peripheral gales
08 JAN 22 0000  14.6 S  167.5 W   996         30         "
08 JAN 22 0600  15.2 S  166.2 W   996         30         "
08 JAN 22 1200  17.4 S  165.6 W   996         30         "
08 JAN 22 1800  18.0 S  167.0 W   994         30         "
08 JAN 23 0000  19.6 S  167.1 W   992         30  50 kts eastern quads
08 JAN 23 0600  20.5 S  166.8 W   992         30           "
08 JAN 23 1200  21.9 S  167.2 W   992         30           "
08 JAN 23 1800  23.4 S  167.5 W   992         30           "
08 JAN 24 0000  25.0 S  170.0 W   988         30           "
08 JAN 24 0600  26.0 S  170.0 W   984         50  Wellington/See Note
08 JAN 24 1200  27.0 S  173.0 W   989         50
08 JAN 24 1800  27.0 S  174.0 W   990         50

See Note: TD-11F was not a "classic" tropical depression.  Remarks in
the satellite fix bulletins from Brisbane on the 21st indicated that the
system was a large, monsoon gyre-type circulation with an extensive area
of peripheral gales.  There were extensive areas of banding but not 
really focused around the poorly-defined centre.  A Brisbane bulletin
on the 22nd noted that the system was similar to a major June, 1994,
LOW which almost destroyed a cruising fleet and was the subject of a 
book:  "Rescue in the Pacific".   Beginning on 22 January, SAB classified
the system as subtropical using the Hebert/Poteat technique.  And,
beginning with the 22/1800 UTC warning, Nadi changed the classification
from 'tropical depression' to simply 'depression', ostensibly signifying
the less tropical and more hybrid nature of the system.

A comment about the apparent jump in the MSW at 24/0600 UTC.  While the
system was still in Fiji's AOR, I reported the MSW at 30 kts in keeping
with the classification of 'depression', and indicated in the Remarks
column that initially gales and later storm-force winds were present
at a distance from the center.  But when the system crossed 25S and 
entered Wellington's AOR, that agency treated it as an extratropical LOW
and, as is normal for extratropical systems, simply reported the maximum
winds occurring within the circulation.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: GENE                  Cyclone Number: 15P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 12F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 JAN 26 1800  12.0 S  179.0 E  1004         20
08 JAN 27 0600  14.5 S  178.9 W  1001         25
08 JAN 27 1800  15.3 S  179.4 W         35        Initial JTWC warning
08 JAN 27 2100  16.8 S  179.3 E   992         30  Near S Vanua Levu
08 JAN 28 0000  17.0 S  178.7 E   990         40
08 JAN 28 0600  17.4 S  178.2 E   990   45    40  Over Viti Levu
08 JAN 28 1200  18.1 S  177.3 E   985         50
08 JAN 28 1800  17.6 S  176.5 E   985   45    50  JTWC: 17.8S/176.0E
08 JAN 29 0000  17.9 S  176.1 E   980         55
08 JAN 29 0600  18.5 S  175.5 E   985   45    50
08 JAN 29 1200  18.7 S  175.0 E   990         45
08 JAN 29 1800  18.5 S  173.8 E   990   50    45
08 JAN 30 0000  18.5 S  173.3 E   980         55
08 JAN 30 0600  18.6 S  173.2 E   970   60    65  JTWC: 18.7S/172.8E
08 JAN 30 1200  18.6 S  172.4 E   970         65
08 JAN 30 1800  18.8 S  172.0 E   970   85    65
08 JAN 31 0000  19.1 S  171.3 E   965         70
08 JAN 31 0600  19.4 S  171.2 E   955   80    80
08 JAN 31 1200  19.5 S  170.9 E   955         80
08 JAN 31 1800  19.8 S  170.5 E   945  100    85
08 FEB 01 0000  19.9 S  170.8 E   945         85
08 FEB 01 0600  20.4 S  170.8 E   945   90    85
08 FEB 01 1200  20.5 S  170.9 E   950         85
08 FEB 01 1900  20.9 S  170.9 E   950   80    80
08 FEB 02 0000  21.5 S  170.8 E   960         70
08 FEB 02 0600  22.0 S  170.9 E   970   70    65
08 FEB 02 1200  22.1 S  172.2 E   975         55
08 FEB 02 1800  22.8 S  171.5 E   975   60    55
08 FEB 03 0000  23.0 S  171.3 E   975         55
08 FEB 03 0600  23.8 S  171.7 E   985   55    50
08 FEB 03 1200  24.5 S  172.0 E   985         50
08 FEB 03 1800  25.2 S  172.7 E   970   55    65  JTWC: 25.4S/172.3E
08 FEB 04 0000  26.1 S  173.0 E   970         65  Wellington warnings
08 FEB 04 0600  27.1 S  173.7 E   975   55    60
08 FEB 04 1200  27.5 S  174.1 E   975         60
08 FEB 04 1800  28.0 S  175.0 E   975   45    60
08 FEB 05 0000  28.4 S  175.8 E   976         60
08 FEB 05 0600  28.7 S  176.7 E   978   45    60
08 FEB 05 1200  28.2 S  177.4 E   975         60  JTWC: 28.1S/178.3E
08 FEB 05 1800  28.0 S  179.0 E   976   45    60  JTWC: 28.3S/179.9E
08 FEB 06 0000  28.9 S  177.8 W   972         65
08 FEB 06 0600  30.0 S  175.0 W   972   45    65  XTRP-JTWC: 30.2S/175.7W
08 FEB 06 1200  31.0 S  174.0 W   972         65
08 FEB 06 1800  33.0 S  171.0 W   976         65
08 FEB 07 0600  36.0 S  168.0 W   962         65  No data for 0000Z
08 FEB 07 1200  38.0 S  167.0 W   960         65
08 FEB 07 1800  40.0 S  169.0 W   966         60
08 FEB 08 0000  40.0 S  170.0 W   969         50
08 FEB 08 0600  40.0 S  170.0 W   972         50
08 FEB 08 1200  41.0 S  169.0 W   976         50
08 FEB 08 1800  42.0 S  168.0 W   976         50
08 FEB 09 0000  44.0 S  167.0 W   983         35
08 FEB 09 0600  44.0 S  167.0 W   986         35
08 FEB 09 1800  43.0 S  164.0 W   988         35

Note:  The peak Dvorak classification I noted was a rating of T6.0/6.0
from SAB at 0830 UTC on 31 January.  The peak Dvorak rating from JTWC
and Nadi--the warning agencies--was T5.5/5.5.  The highest noted from
CPHC and Brisbane was T5.0/5.0.

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              !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>
    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              garyp@alaweb.com


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          michaelpadua@hotmail.com 
                            webmaster@typhoon2000.ph

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0801.htm
Updated: 14th February 2008

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