[Index]
Monthly Tropical Cyclone Tracks February 2010
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
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Monthly Tropical Cyclone Tracks February 2010 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - FEBRUARY 2010
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
********** SPECIAL NOTE **********
I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly
tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing-
ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be
preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones
during the most active part of the NWP season from July through
December. Kevin has already typed up some of the tracks from the
latter part of 2009.
Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now
preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific
cyclones during the active months of the Southern Hemisphere season.
Also, Steve Young has now for a year or more been sending me tracks
with data for the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical
cyclones in all basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data.
A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their
assistance.
*************************************************************************
ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
Canary Islands LOW
------------------
I do not have a track for this system, but I wanted to include a
few brief comments by way of documenting an interesting eastern
Atlantic low-pressure system in early February. A 1045 UTC visible
image made on the morning of 1 February depicts a LOW to the west-
southwest of the Canary Islands. The system was characterized by
convection which had wrapped around the low-level center, and some of
the models had analyzed the system as symmetric warm core on the
preceding day. According to Sheldon Kusselson of the Satellite
Analysis Branch, precipitable water values near the center were running
about 150 to 175% of normal--very unusual for that location at that
time of year. NHC considered opening an invest on the system, but the
convection soon became sheared so no invest was opened.
After the weakening LOW had become sheared and moved to the north of
the Canary Islands, Julian Heming of the UK Met. Office noted that its
appearance was similar to Hurricane Vince of 2005 after it had become
sheared and weakened. Julian reported on 2 February that on the
previous day he had noted a couple of 35-kt wind barbs in ASCAT data.
On 4 February, as the LOW was approaching the Straits of Gibraltar
area, convection made a comeback and an image at 04/1945 UTC depicts
a sort of "eye-like feature". A weather station at Gibraltar reported
64 mm of rain from 04/0000 to 04/0600 UTC.
According to Jack Beven of NHC, there are no formal plans to add
this system as an unnamed subtropical storm. Jack indicated that there
appeared to be a frontal structure connected with the system when it
looked at its convective best on 1 February.
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010
Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009-10_South-West_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm FAMI (MFR-11 / 13S) 01 - 03 Feb
Intense Tropical Cyclone GELANE (MFR-12 / 16S) 15 - 21 Feb
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: FAMI Cyclone Number: 13S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 01 1800 19.3 S 42.8 E 1001 25 Locally 30 kts NE quad.
10 FEB 02 0000 19.7 S 43.3 E 999 30
10 FEB 02 0600 20.6 S 43.7 E 994 40 40 JTWC: 21.0S/43.5E
10 FEB 02 1200 20.9 S 44.6 E 995 35
10 FEB 02 1800 20.7 S 45.9 E 999 30 25 Inland/Locally 30 kts
10 FEB 03 0000 20.7 S 47.2 E 1004 25 NRL re-analysis data
10 FEB 03 0600 20.4 S 49.3 E 1004 25
10 FEB 03 1200 22.3 S 50.8 E 1004 25
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: GELANE Cyclone Number: 16S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 12
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 15 0600 10.0 S 58.5 E 1002 25 Locally 30 kts S semi.
10 FEB 15 1200 9.3 S 58.7 E 1001 25 "
10 FEB 15 1800 10.0 S 59.3 E 1001 25 "
10 FEB 16 0000 11.1 S 59.4 E 999 35 25 Locally 30 kts E semi.
10 FEB 16 0600 12.0 S 60.2 E 996 30 Locally 35 kts E semi.
10 FEB 16 1200 12.6 S 60.2 E 990 45 40
10 FEB 16 1800 12.9 S 60.5 E 987 45
10 FEB 17 0000 13.2 S 60.7 E 980 65 50
10 FEB 17 0600 13.5 S 61.3 E 960 75
10 FEB 17 1200 14.1 S 61.9 E 965 80 70
10 FEB 17 1800 14.5 S 62.0 E 971 60
10 FEB 18 0000 14.6 S 62.1 E 975 70 60
10 FEB 18 0600 14.9 S 62.1 E 975 60
10 FEB 18 1200 15.4 S 62.2 E 975 95 70
10 FEB 18 1800 15.8 S 62.3 E 975 100 70
10 FEB 19 0000 16.3 S 62.3 E 968 100 75
10 FEB 19 0600 16.7 S 62.2 E 950 115 90
10 FEB 19 1200 17.4 S 62.1 E 930 125 110
10 FEB 19 1800 18.0 S 62.0 E 945 115 100
10 FEB 20 0000 18.4 S 61.7 E 955 105 90
10 FEB 20 0600 18.6 S 61.5 E 970 95 75 JTWC: 18.9S/61.9E
10 FEB 20 1200 19.1 S 61.4 E 980 80 60 JTWC: 19.4S/61.7E
10 FEB 20 1800 19.5 S 61.4 E 980 60 60 JTWC: 20.0S/61.4E
10 FEB 21 0000 20.8 S 61.5 E 983 65 60
10 FEB 21 0600 21.3 S 62.0 E 984 40 55 JTWC: 20.9S/61.5E
10 FEB 21 1200 20.7 S 61.3 E 998 35
10 FEB 21 1800 20.2 S 60.5 E 1002 30 25
10 FEB 21 2330 19.4 S 59.9 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010
South Pacific Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009-10_South_Pacific_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (08F) 02 - 04 Feb
Severe Tropical Cyclone PAT (09F / 14P) 06 - 11 Feb
Severe Tropical Cyclone RENE (10F / 15P) 09 - 19 Feb
Tropical Cyclone SARAH (11F / 17P) 20 Feb - 04 Mar
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 08F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 02 0600 15.0 S 145.0 W 998 25
10 FEB 02 1200 15.4 S 145.7 W 997 30
10 FEB 02 1800 16.0 S 146.0 W 997 25
10 FEB 03 0000 17.7 S 145.2 W 997 25
10 FEB 03 0600 18.1 S 145.6 W 997 35
10 FEB 03 1200 19.1 S 145.1 W 997 30
10 FEB 03 1800 21.6 S 145.0 W 997 30
10 FEB 04 0000 23.7 S 145.4 W 997 30
10 FEB 04 0500 24.8 S 145.2 W 30 PHFO sat bulletin
10 FEB 04 1200 27.0 S 145.0 W 998 35 Wellington warning
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: PAT Cyclone Number: 14P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 09F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 06 2100 8.6 S 165.3 W 1004 25
10 FEB 07 0600 9.0 S 164.5 W 1003 25
10 FEB 07 1200 9.7 S 164.2 W 30 PHFO sat bulletin
10 FEB 07 1800 10.8 S 162.6 W 1003 35 25 First JTWC Warning
10 FEB 08 0000 11.7 S 161.4 W 995 40 Named TC Pat
10 FEB 08 0600 12.5 S 161.1 W 990 50 40
10 FEB 08 1200 13.2 S 160.5 W 990 40
10 FEB 08 1800 14.0 S 159.6 W 985 55 50
10 FEB 09 0000 14.5 S 159.4 W 985 50
10 FEB 09 0600 15.1 S 159.1 W 975 65 60
10 FEB 09 1200 15.5 S 158.8 W 975 60
10 FEB 09 1800 16.5 S 158.9 W 975 75 60
10 FEB 10 0000 17.4 S 159.1 W 975 60
10 FEB 10 0600 18.1 S 159.3 W 960 90 75
10 FEB 10 1200 18.7 S 159.6 W 960 75
10 FEB 10 1800 19.2 S 160.0 W 965 80 70
10 FEB 11 0000 20.0 S 161.5 W 970 60
10 FEB 11 0600 20.8 S 162.9 W 995 55 35
10 FEB 11 1200 21.5 S 163.6 W 40 PHFO sat bulletin
10 FEB 11 1800 21.5 S 165.8 W 35 Final JTWC warning
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: RENE Cyclone Number: 15P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 10F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 09 1200 13.0 S 172.0 W 1004 25
10 FEB 09 1800 13.0 S 172.0 W 1003 25
10 FEB 10 0000 12.0 S 172.0 W 1003 25
10 FEB 10 0600 13.0 S 170.9 W 1000 30
10 FEB 10 1200 13.0 S 170.0 W 1000 30
10 FEB 10 1800 12.5 S 167.9 W 998 30
10 FEB 11 0000 12.7 S 167.4 W 997 40 30 First JTWC warning
10 FEB 11 0600 12.1 S 166.6 W 997 25 Named TC Rene 0900Z
10 FEB 11 1200 12.2 S 165.9 W 987 55 45 JTWC: 12.6S/166.7W
10 FEB 11 1800 12.5 S 166.1 W 985 55 50
10 FEB 12 0000 13.3 S 166.3 W 985 55 50 JTWC: 12.8S/166.5W
10 FEB 12 0600 13.5 S 166.7 W 980 55 55
10 FEB 12 1200 13.8 S 167.4 W 980 60 55
10 FEB 12 1800 14.2 S 168.6 W 980 60 55
10 FEB 13 0000 14.1 S 169.4 W 975 70 60
10 FEB 13 0600 14.2 S 169.8 W 970 75 65
10 FEB 13 1200 14.7 S 169.7 W 970 90 65
10 FEB 13 1800 15.9 S 170.2 W 950 100 80
10 FEB 14 0000 16.8 S 171.1 W 950 80
10 FEB 14 0600 17.6 S 172.5 W 940 95 90
10 FEB 14 1200 17.8 S 173.1 W 940 90
10 FEB 14 1800 18.7 S 174.1 W 940 90 90
10 FEB 15 0000 19.5 S 174.3 W 940 85
10 FEB 15 0600 20.9 S 175.0 W 945 80 85
10 FEB 15 1200 22.0 S 176.2 W 955 80
10 FEB 15 1800 22.7 S 176.4 W 975 65 60 JTWC: 22.7S/177.1W
10 FEB 16 0000 24.0 S 178.1 W 980 55
10 FEB 16 0600 24.3 S 179.4 W 995 45 35
10 FEB 16 1200 24.6 S 179.9 W 995 35 Final Fiji warning 09z
10 FEB 16 1800 25.9 S 178.2 E 992 35 35 Final JTWC warning
10 FEB 17 0600 26.5 S 175.5 E 996 NRL re-analysis data
10 FEB 17 1200 27.3 S 174.9 E 999
10 FEB 17 1800 28.2 S 174.6 E 998
10 FEB 18 0000 29.7 S 175.0 E 999
10 FEB 18 0600 30.2 S 176.7 E 997
10 FEB 18 1200 32.2 S 176.7 E 998
10 FEB 18 1800 35.0 S 179.3 E 998
10 FEB 19 0000 35.3 S 177.5 W 998
10 FEB 19 0600 38.6 S 172.5 W 995
10 FEB 19 1200 40.8 S 167.6 W 999
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: SARAH Cyclone Number: 17P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 11F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 20 1200 6.2 S 164.0 W 1005 25
10 FEB 20 1800 6.0 S 162.5 W 1005 30 Peripheral gales N & E
10 FEB 21 0000 7.2 S 160.7 W 1000 30 " " N quad
10 FEB 21 0600 8.3 S 159.4 W 1000 30
10 FEB 21 1200 8.9 S 158.4 W 1000 30
10 FEB 21 1800 9.7 S 158.2 W 998 35 30 First JTWC Warning
10 FEB 22 0000 9.2 S 159.0 W 997 30
10 FEB 22 0600 9.9 S 159.7 W 997 35 30 JTWC: 9.6S/159.0W
10 FEB 22 1200 11.8 S 160.1 W 1000 30
10 FEB 22 1800 11.7 S 160.5 W 1000 30 Final JTWC warning
10 FEB 23 0000 12.6 S 161.1 W 25 JTWC sat bulletin
10 FEB 23 0600 13.5 S 161.5 W 1002 25
10 FEB 23 1200 13.9 S 162.0 W 20 1422Z SAB sat bulletin
10 FEB 23 2100 15.0 S 161.4 W 1006 20
10 FEB 24 0600 15.5 S 161.2 W 1004 20
10 FEB 24 1800 15.4 S 164.0 W 1004 20
10 FEB 25 2100 15.3 S 164.1 W 1004 20
10 FEB 25 0600 16.0 S 164.5 W 1003 20
10 FEB 25 1800 16.4 S 164.2 W 1000 30 Some peripheral gales
10 FEB 26 0000 16.6 S 163.6 W 1000 30 "
10 FEB 26 0600 16.8 S 163.3 W 1000 30
10 FEB 26 1200 16.6 S 163.2 W 995 35 Named TC Sarah
10 FEB 26 1800 16.9 S 163.8 W 995 35
10 FEB 27 0000 17.0 S 163.2 W 995 35
10 FEB 27 0600 17.1 S 162.9 W 995 35
10 FEB 27 1200 17.3 S 162.6 W 995 35 35 Single JTWC warning
10 FEB 27 1800 17.8 S 162.2 W 995 35
10 FEB 28 0000 17.2 S 162.9 W 995 35
10 FEB 28 0600 17.0 S 163.1 W 1000 30 Ex-TC
10 FEB 28 1800 16.3 S 161.6 W 1003 25
10 FEB 28 2100 16.4 S 161.3 W 1003 25
10 MAR 01 0600 16.3 S 161.2 W 1003 25
10 MAR 01 1800 17.0 S 162.0 W 1003 25
10 MAR 01 2100 17.2 S 161.3 W 1003 25
10 MAR 02 0600 17.3 S 161.8 W 1003 25
10 MAR 02 1800 17.3 S 162.7 W 1004 25
10 MAR 02 2100 17.0 S 163.2 W 1004 25
10 MAR 03 0600 17.3 S 163.0 W 1004 25
10 MAR 03 1800 17.6 S 164.8 W 1004 20
10 MAR 04 0600 17.0 S 166.0 W 1003 20
Note: TC Sarah was rather "messy" to track as there was an inter-warning
period of several days when the system was quite weak. The above track
is based on operational warnings from Nadi and JTWC, with a few holes
plugged in from satellite bulletins. Still, there are missing data for
some synoptic hours. Following is the entire track sent to me by Steve
Young and based upon NRL re-analysis data.
Alternate Track for Tropicl Cyclone Sarah (from NRL re-analysis data):
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 FEB 19 0600 7.5 S 167.9 W 1009 15 NRL re-analysis data
10 FEB 19 1200 7.5 S 167.7 W 1010 15
10 FEB 19 1800 7.3 S 167.3 W 1010 15
10 FEB 20 0000 6.9 S 166.6 W 1010 15
10 FEB 20 0600 6.0 S 163.1 W 1010 15
10 FEB 20 1200 6.4 S 162.2 W 1007 20
10 FEB 20 1800 6.8 S 161.3 W 1007 20
10 FEB 21 0000 7.3 S 160.5 W 1004 25
10 FEB 21 0600 7.9 S 159.7 W 1000 30
10 FEB 21 1200 8.7 S 158.9 W 1000 30
10 FEB 21 1800 9.0 S 158.7 W 996 35
10 FEB 22 0000 9.3 S 158.9 W 996 35
10 FEB 22 0600 9.9 S 159.6 W 996 35
10 FEB 22 1200 10.6 S 160.1 W 1000 30
10 FEB 22 1800 11.7 S 160.5 W 1000 30
10 FEB 23 0000 12.7 S 161.2 W 1004 25
10 FEB 23 0600 13.1 S 161.4 W 1004 25
10 FEB 23 1200 13.5 S 161.7 W 1004 25
10 FEB 23 1800 13.9 S 161.7 W 1004 25
10 FEB 24 0000 14.5 S 161.6 W 1004 25
10 FEB 24 0600 15.1 S 161.9 W 1004 25
10 FEB 24 1200 15.4 S 162.8 W 1004 25
10 FEB 24 1800 15.5 S 163.3 W 1004 25
10 FEB 25 0000 15.8 S 163.6 W 1004 25
10 FEB 25 0600 16.0 S 164.0 W 1004 25
10 FEB 25 1200 15.7 S 164.1 W 1000 30
10 FEB 25 1800 15.7 S 163.5 W 1000 30
10 FEB 26 0000 16.0 S 163.4 W 1000 30
10 FEB 26 0600 16.4 S 163.6 W 1000 30
10 FEB 26 1200 16.7 S 163.7 W 1000 30
10 FEB 26 1800 16.9 S 163.5 W 1000 30
10 FEB 27 0000 17.0 S 163.2 W 1000 30
10 FEB 27 0600 17.2 S 162.8 W 1002 30
10 FEB 27 1200 17.4 S 162.5 W 996 35
10 FEB 27 1800 17.8 S 162.2 W 996 35
10 FEB 27 1800 17.8 S 162.2 W 996 35
10 FEB 28 0000 17.3 S 162.7 W 1003 30
10 FEB 28 0600 17.0 S 162.9 W 1000 30
10 FEB 28 1200 16.5 S 162.3 W 1000 30
10 FEB 28 1800 16.4 S 161.7 W 1000 30
10 MAR 01 0000 16.2 S 161.3 W 1004 25
10 MAR 01 0600 16.3 S 161.0 W 1004 25
10 MAR 01 1200 16.6 S 161.4 W 1004 25
10 MAR 01 1800 17.0 S 161.3 W 1004 25
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
Kevin Boyle [email protected]
Michael Bath [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Steve Young [email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
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Document: trak1002.htm
Updated: 3 May 2010 |
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