[Index]
Monthly Tropical Cyclone Tracks May 2010
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Tropical Cyclone Tracks May 2010 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MAY 2010
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE INFORMATION AT END OF FILE !!!!
NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging
period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 Eastern
Pacific Hurricane Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pacific_hurricane_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm AGATHA (01E) 29 - 30 May
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: AGATHA Cyclone Number: 01E Basin: NEP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 29 0600 12.8 N 93.8 W 1005 30
10 MAY 29 1200 13.0 N 93.4 W 1005 30
10 MAY 29 1800 13.7 N 92.6 W 1000 40 Upgraded at 1500Z
10 MAY 30 0000 14.7 N 92.1 W 1003 35 Inland
10 MAY 30 0600 15.2 N 91.8 W 1003 30
10 MAY 30 0900 15.6 N 91.7 W 1007 25 Final advisory
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may
have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin.
The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic
observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 North
Indian Ocean Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Severe Cyclonic Storm LAILA (BOB 01 / 01B) 17 - 21 May
Cyclonic Storm BANDU (ARB 01 / 02A) 19 - 22 May
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm PHET (ARB 02 / 03A) 31 May - 06 Jun
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: LAILA Cyclone Number: 01B Basin: NIO
IMD Depression Identifier: BOB 01
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 3-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 17 0600 10.5 N 88.5 E 1006 25 IMD bulletin
10 MAY 17 1200 11.0 N 88.0 E 1000 30
10 MAY 17 1800 11.6 N 87.0 E 35
10 MAY 18 0000 11.8 N 86.1 E 35 35
10 MAY 18 0600 12.3 N 84.9 E 992 40 45
10 MAY 18 1200 13.2 N 83.3 E 990 50 45 See Note
10 MAY 18 1800 13.4 N 82.2 E 990 55 45
10 MAY 19 0000 13.4 N 81.9 E 990 65 45
10 MAY 19 0600 13.7 N 81.4 E 986 65 55
10 MAY 19 1200 14.1 N 81.2 E 986 65 55
10 MAY 19 1800 14.3 N 81.4 E 986 60 55
10 MAY 20 0000 14.9 N 81.0 E 986 60 55
10 MAY 20 0600 15.8 N 80.1 E 986 50 55
10 MAY 20 1200 15.8 N 80.5 E 992 50 45 Inland
10 MAY 20 1800 15.6 N 80.5 E 60 40
10 MAY 21 0000 16.4 N 80.7 E 50 40
10 MAY 21 0600 16.8 N 81.3 E 40 25
10 MAY 21 1200 17.1 N 81.4 E 35 20
10 MAY 21 1800 17.2 N 81.7 E 35
Note: Roger Edson expressed a very firm feeling that Laila was
considerably more intense than any of the agencies were estimating.
Based on an integrated MI and Dvorak technique, Roger estimates that
Laila's intensity around 18/1200 UTC was around 90 to 105 kts (1-min
avg).
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: BANDU Cyclone Number: 02A Basin: NIO
IMD Depression Identifier: ARB 01
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 3-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 19 1200 11.3 N 53.5 E 35 25
10 MAY 19 1800 11.5 N 52.9 E 35 30
10 MAY 20 0000 11.8 N 52.6 E 40 30
10 MAY 20 0600 12.4 N 52.1 E 40 30 IMD: 11.5N/53.0E
10 MAY 20 1200 12.6 N 51.5 E 45 25 IMD: 12.5N/52.5E
10 MAY 20 1800 12.4 N 52.E E 45 25 Reloc.-IMD: 12.5N/51.5E
10 MAY 21 0000 12.5 N 51.5 E 25 IMD bulletin - JTWC n/a
10 MAY 21 0600 12.8 N 51.7 E 55 30
10 MAY 21 1200 12.6 N 51.5 E 994 55 40 Named 'Bandu'
10 MAY 21 1800 12.5 N 51.2 E 50
10 MAY 22 0000 12.5 N 50.5 E 994 40 IMD bulletin - JTWC n/a
10 MAY 22 0600 12.6 N 51.1 E 994 45 40 IMD: 12.3N/50.3E
10 MAY 22 1200 12.6 N 51.1 E 998 40 30 IMD: 12.3N/50.0E
10 MAY 22 1800 12.7 N 50.9 E 1000 35 25 IMD: 12.5N/50.0E
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: PHET Cyclone Number: 03A Basin: NIO
IMD Depression Identifier: ARB 02
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 3-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 31 0600 15.0 N 64.0 E 1001 30 25 IMD bulletins
10 MAY 31 1200 15.5 N 63.5 E 1001 30 25
10 MAY 31 1800 15.3 N 63.9 E 999 35 25 Initial JTWC warning
10 JUN 01 0000 15.7 N 63.8 E 998 35 30
10 JUN 01 0600 16.4 N 62.8 E 995 50 35
10 JUN 01 1200 16.8 N 62.2 E 994 55 35 IMD: 16.3N/62.3E
10 JUN 01 1800 17.1 N 61.5 E 990 65 45 IMD: 17.0N/62.0E
10 JUN 02 0000 17.5 N 61.0 E 986 90 55 IMD: 17.5N/61.5E
10 JUN 02 0600 17.7 N 60.6 E 980 110 65 IMD: 17.3N/61.0E
10 JUN 02 1200 18.2 N 60.0 E 970 125 80
10 JUN 02 1800 18.4 N 59.8 E 970 120 80
10 JUN 03 0000 18.6 N 59.6 E 976 115 70 IMD: 18.3N/59.3E
10 JUN 03 0600 19.0 N 59.4 E 976 115 65
10 JUN 03 1200 20.0 N 59.5 E 978 105 65
10 JUN 03 1800 20.8 N 59.2 E 978 105 65 IMD: 20.3N/59.3E
10 JUN 04 0000 21.5 N 59.2 E 978 90 65 Crossing coast of Oman
10 JUN 04 0600 22.3 N 59.3 E 984 75 60 Inland
10 JUN 04 1200 22.9 N 59.5 E 986 65 55 Over water
10 JUN 04 1800 23.5 N 59.8 E 986 60 55 IMD: 23.0N/59.3E
10 JUN 05 0000 23.9 N 60.3 E 992 45 40
10 JUN 05 0600 23.8 N 61.0 E 996 35 40
10 JUN 05 1200 23.7 N 61.6 E 996 35 40 IMD: 24.3N/61.3E
10 JUN 05 1800 23.4 N 62.3 E 998 40 30 IMD: 24.3N/62.3E
10 JUN 06 0000 22.9 N 64.1 E 998 40 25 IMD: 24.5N/64.0E
10 JUN 06 0600 23.4 N 65.6 E 998 35 25 IMD: 24.5N/66.0E
10 JUN 06 1200 24.6 N 67.3 E 993 30 25 Inland
10 JUN 06 1500 25.0 N 68.0 E 20 IMD bulletin
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010
Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009-10_South-West_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season>
A seasonal track graphic as well as much additional operational
information on Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclones may be found
at Meteo France La Reunion's website:
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/TGPR/saison/saison_trajGP.html>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Subtropical Depression JOEL (MFR-16) 25 - 29 May
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: JOEL Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 16
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 25 1430 23.4 S 42.5 E 30 SAB satellite bulletin
10 MAY 25 2030 24.4 S 42.7 E 30 "
10 MAY 26 0230 24.8 S 43.3 E 30 "
10 MAY 26 0600 25.2 S 43.5 E 1008 30 30
10 MAY 26 1200 25.5 S 43.6 E 996 35 50
10 MAY 26 1800 25.7 S 43.9 E 996 55 60
10 MAY 27 0000 25.9 S 44.8 E 997 55 55
10 MAY 27 0600 26.0 S 44.8 E 1000 55 50
10 MAY 27 1200 26.1 S 45.2 E 1000 55 50
10 MAY 27 1800 26.4 S 45.9 E 1000 55 50
10 MAY 28 0000 26.7 S 46.3 E 1002 50 45
10 MAY 28 0600 26.5 S 46.7 E 1002 50 45
10 MAY 28 1200 26.8 S 46.9 E 1000 50 45
10 MAY 28 1800 27.0 S 46.8 E 1003 45 40
10 MAY 29 0000 28.0 S 46.6 E 1008 25 Locally 30 kts
10 MAY 29 0530 29.0 S 46.9 E 30 JTWC satellite bulletin
10 MAY 29 1130 30.5 S 47.5 E 25 Final JTWC sat bul
Note: The 1-min avg MSW values for the most part are based upon SAB's
satellite bulletins. That agency assigned tropical Dvorak ratings of
T3.5 for two days from 26/1430 through 28/1430 UTC.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010
South Pacific Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009-10_South_Pacific_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Possible Subtropical Storm (Invest 94P) 06 - 13 May
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA
(Subtropical storm - NRL Invest 94P)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 06 0000 25.0 S 160.0 E 1007 30
10 MAY 06 0600 25.0 S 160.0 E 1007 35
10 MAY 06 1200 27.0 S 163.0 E 1005 35
10 MAY 06 1800 28.0 S 164.0 E 1002 40
10 MAY 07 0000 29.0 S 165.0 E 1000 40
10 MAY 07 0600 30.0 S 165.0 E 994 40
10 MAY 07 1200 32.0 S 166.0 E 994 50
10 MAY 07 1800 32.0 S 166.0 E 986 50
10 MAY 08 0000 32.0 S 167.0 E 988 50
10 MAY 08 0600 33.0 S 167.0 E 988 50
10 MAY 08 1200 32.0 S 168.0 E 989 40
10 MAY 08 1800 32.0 S 169.0 E 990 40
10 MAY 09 0000 32.0 S 170.0 E 993 40
10 MAY 09 0600 31.0 S 170.0 E 992 40
10 MAY 09 1200 32.0 S 170.0 E 993 40
10 MAY 09 1800 31.0 S 171.0 E 993 40
10 MAY 10 0000 31.0 S 170.0 E 996 40
10 MAY 10 0600 31.0 S 170.0 E 992 40
10 MAY 10 1200 31.0 S 170.0 E 997 40
10 MAY 10 1800 31.0 S 170.0 E 995 40
10 MAY 11 0000 31.0 S 170.0 E 996 40
10 MAY 11 0600 31.0 S 170.0 E 996 40
10 MAY 11 1200 32.0 S 171.0 E 994 40
10 MAY 11 1800 33.0 S 170.0 E 991 40
10 MAY 12 0000 34.0 S 170.0 E 990 40
10 MAY 12 0600 37.0 S 170.0 E 989 40
10 MAY 12 1200 39.0 S 170.0 E 985 50
10 MAY 12 1800 43.0 S 170.0 E 983 40
10 MAY 13 0000 44.0 S 165.0 E 991 50
10 MAY 13 0600 45.0 S 164.0 E 989 50
Note: The above track is based on oceanic warnings issued by the
Meteorological Service of New Zealand. The LOW was treated as a
non-tropical LOW by Wellington throughout its existense. Following
is a track gleaned from satellite bulletins from SAB:
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 MAY 09 0230 31.7 S 170.2 E ST 3.0
10 MAY 09 0830 31.0 S 170.0 E ST 3.0
10 MAY 09 1430 30.9 S 170.3 E ST 2.5
10 MAY 09 2030 30.8 S 170.7 E ST 1.5
10 MAY 10 0230 30.5 S 170.5 E ST 2.5
10 MAY 10 0830 30.0 S 170.9 E T2.5/2.5
10 MAY 10 1430 30.1 S 171.1 E T2.5/2.5
10 MAY 10 2030 30.6 S 171.4 E T2.5/2.5
10 MAY 11 0230 31.2 S 170.9 E T2.5/2.5
10 MAY 11 0830 32.1 S 170.8 E T2.0/2.5
10 MAY 11 1430 32.9 S 170.7 E T1.5/2.5
10 MAY 11 2030 34.1 S 170.3 E T1.0/2.0
10 MAY 12 0230 35.8 S 170.0 E T1.0/1.5
10 MAY 12 0830 38.0 S 170.2 E T1.0/1.0
10 MAY 12 1430 41.3 S 170.5 E Extratropical
Note: JTWC also issued satellite bulletins on the system from 10 May
through 12 May, peaking at ST 3.0 at 0530 UTC on 11 May.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
********** SPECIAL NOTE **********
I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly
tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing-
ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be
preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones
during the most active part of the NWP season from July through
December.
Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now
preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific
tropical cyclones. Also, Steve Young sends me tracks with data for
the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical cyclones in all
basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data or else taken
from NRL files.
A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their
assistance.
*************************************************************************
SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION
The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and
varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers
will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,
I wanted to include them.
(1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information
---------------------------------------
Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be
retrieved from the following FTP site:
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/>
Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance
messages may be found at the following URL:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml>
Links are also included to websites with further information about the
U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-
craft Operations Center.
(2) Archived Advisories
-----------------------
All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,
strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC
are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an
example), the archived products can be found at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml>
Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at
the following URL:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml>
JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>
On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
corner of the screen.
I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all
its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but
if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.
(3) Satellite Imagery
---------------------
Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are
available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,
courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The
links are:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html>
On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is
located in the lower left portion of the screen.
Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for
composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the
equator, can be found at:
(1) For the Eastern North Pacific:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html>
(2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html>
(4) Cyclone Tracking Information
--------------------------------
There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly
intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The
link to the site is:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/doc_archives/>
Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage
which is very user-friendly:
http://home.earthlink.net/~shy9/tc1.htm>
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
Kevin Boyle [email protected]
Michael Bath [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Steve Young [email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
|
Document: trak1005.htm
Updated: 9 June 2010 |
[Australian Severe Weather index] [Copyright Notice] [Email Contacts] [Search This Site] |