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Tropical Cyclone CARLOS
[Southern Hemisphere Summary][Summaries and Track Data]

Tropical Cyclone Carlos
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0707UTC 15 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude thirteen decimal zero south (13.0S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal four east (130.4E)
Recent movement : northwest at 4 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 1000 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24
hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 0600 UTC 16
February.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 15 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 12.4 south 130.5 east
                        Central pressure 1002 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 16 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 11.9 south 130.4 east
                        Central pressure 999 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 1330 UTC 15 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1307UTC 15 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal eight south (12.8S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal six east (130.6E)
Recent movement : north at 3 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 999 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24
hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 1200 UTC 16
February.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 16 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 12.2 south 130.7 east
                        Central pressure 1001 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 16 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 11.9 south 130.5 east
                        Central pressure 998 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 1930 UTC 15 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1936UTC 15 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 25 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal four south (12.4S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal six east (130.6E)
Recent movement : north at 4 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 997 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 18
hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1800 UTC 16
February with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 16 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 11.9 south 130.5 east
                        Central pressure 998 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 16 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 11.7 south 130.3 east
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0130 UTC 16 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 2232UTC 15 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 2100 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 15 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal four south (12.4S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal seven east (130.7E)
Recent movement : north northeast at 3 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 997 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 3 to 6 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 2100 UTC 16
February with very rough seas to high seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0900 UTC 16 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 12.0 south 130.8 east
                        Central pressure 991 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 2100 UTC 16 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 12.1 south 130.5 east
                        Central pressure 988 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0130 UTC 16 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0137UTC 16 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred within 15 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal four south (12.4S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal nine east (130.9E)
Recent movement : northeast at 2 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 50 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 0000 UTC 17
February with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

Winds above 48 knots developing within 20 nautical miles of centre in 18 to 24
hours with very rough to high seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 16 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 12.1 south 131.0 east
                        Central pressure 994 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 17 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 12.3 south 130.6 east
                        Central pressure 988 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0730 UTC 16 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0722UTC 16 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred within 15 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal five south (12.5S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty one decimal zero east (131.0E)
Recent movement : east southeast at 2 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 993 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 50 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 16 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 12.7 south 130.9 east
                        Central pressure 993 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 17 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 12.8 south 130.6 east
                        Central pressure 993 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 1330 UTC 16 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1311UTC 16 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred within 15 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal five south (12.5S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty one decimal zero east (131.0E)
Recent movement : slow moving
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 993 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 50 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 17 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 12.7 south 130.9 east
                        Central pressure 993 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 17 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 12.8 south 130.6 east
                        Central pressure 993 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 1930 UTC 16 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1943UTC 16 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred over land within 15 nautical
miles of
 latitude twelve decimal nine south (12.9S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty one decimal three east (131.3E)
Recent movement : southeast at 5 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 50 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre with rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 17 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 13.2 south 131.2 east
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 17 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 13.4 south 130.7 east
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0130 UTC 17 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 2237UTC 16 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

CANCELLATION OF GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 2100 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred over land within 10 nautical
miles of
 latitude thirteen decimal one south (13.1S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty one decimal four east (131.4E)
Recent movement : south southeast at 6 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
##

FORECAST
Gales are no longer expected within 24 hours.

No further warnings will be issued unless the system intensifies.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1947UTC 18 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC a Tropical Low was centred over land within 25 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal two south (15.2S)
 longitude one hundred and thirty decimal one east (130.1E)
Recent movement : south southwest at 4 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 999 hPa
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 1800 UTC 19
February.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 19 February: Within 55 nautical miles of 15.3 south 129.3 east over
land
                        Central pressure 999 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots over water.
At 1800 UTC 19 February: Within 85 nautical miles of 15.1 south 128.1 east
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +6189203829
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 212.

Next warning will be issued by 0130 UTC 19 February 2011.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0136UTC 19 FEBRUARY 2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages
given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

CANCELLATION OF GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC a Tropical Low was centred over land within 25 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal six south (15.6S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty nine decimal one east (129.1E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 998 hPa
The low is expected to remain over land and not expected to redevelop into a
tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 19 February: Within 55 nautical miles of 15.4 south 128.1 east over
land.
                        Central pressure 997 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 20 February: Within 85 nautical miles of 15.5 south 126.5 east over
land.
                        Central pressure 997 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.

No further warnings will be issued unless the system intensifies.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0140UTC 20 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred within 20 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal eight south (15.8S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty six decimal seven east (126.7E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 25 knots
Central pressure: 997 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 20 February.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre by 0600 UTC 20 February
with rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 20 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.2 south 124.8 east over
land
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 25 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 21 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.0 south 122.8 east over
water
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 20 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0632UTC 20 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred within 20 nautical miles of
 latitude sixteen decimal one south (16.1S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty five decimal five east (125.5E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 25 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 21 February.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre by 0600 UTC 21 February
with rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 20 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.6 south 123.4 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 21 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.3 south 121.1 east over
water
                        Central pressure 992 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 20 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1300UTC 20 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was centred over land within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude sixteen decimal four south (16.4S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal five east (124.5E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 25 knots
Central pressure: 994 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre over marine areas.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 45 knots by 1200 UTC 21 February.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre by 0600 UTC 21 February
with rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 21 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.9 south 122.3 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 21 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.8 south 120.0 east over
water
                        Central pressure 990 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 20 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1607UTC 20 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1500 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was relocated and estimated to be over
land within 20 nautical miles of
 latitude seventeen decimal three south (17.3S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal nine east (122.9E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 16 knots
Maximum winds   : 25 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 1500 UTC 21 February.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre from 0300 UTC 21
February with rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0300 UTC 21 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.1 south 120.7 east over
water
                        Central pressure 991 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 1500 UTC 21 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 19.1 south 118.5 east over
water
                        Central pressure 983 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 20 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1822UTC 20 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude seventeen decimal five south (17.5S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal zero east (122.0E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 16 knots
Maximum winds   : 25 knots
Central pressure: 995 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 1800 UTC 21 February.

Maximum winds to 25 knots near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 21
February with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 21 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.3 south 119.8 east over
water
                        Central pressure 987 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 21 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 19.4 south 117.6 east over
water
                        Central pressure 983 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 21 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0106UTC 21 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude seventeen decimal seven south (17.7S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal six east (121.6E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 992 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 1800 UTC 21 February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre developing by 1800 UTC
21 February with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 21 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 18.8 south 119.6 east over
water
                        Central pressure 986 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 22 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 19.9 south 117.2 east over
water
                        Central pressure 983 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 21 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0716UTC 21 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude eighteen decimal zero south (18.0S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty decimal four east (120.4E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 40 knots
Central pressure: 990 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 0000 UTC 22 February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre developing by 0000 UTC
22 February with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles with very rough seas and moderate
swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 21 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 19.1 south 118.5 east over
water
                        Central pressure 984 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 22 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 20.3 south 116.5 east over
water
                        Central pressure 978 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 21 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1258UTC 21 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude eighteen decimal seven south (18.7S)
 longitude one hundred and nineteen decimal three east (119.3E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 12 knots
Maximum winds   : 45 knots
Central pressure: 988 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 45 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 1200 UTC 22
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre developing by 1800 UTC
21 February with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 40 nautical miles in eastern quadrants extending to
within 90 nautical miles in western quadrants, with very rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 22 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 19.9 south 117.3 east over
water
                        Central pressure 976 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 22 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 21.0 south 115.4 east over
water
                        Central pressure 972 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 21 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1904UTC 21 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude nineteen decimal five south (19.5S)
 longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal three east (118.3E)
Recent movement : southwest at 12 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 980 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 0600 UTC 22
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 35 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 22 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 20.7 south 116.2 east over
water
                        Central pressure 972 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 22 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 21.9 south 114.4 east over
water
                        Central pressure 972 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 22 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0100UTC 22 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 15 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty decimal two south (20.2S)
 longitude one hundred and seventeen decimal three east (117.3E)
Recent movement : southwest at 12 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 980 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130 nautical miles in the
NE quadrant

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots 80 nautical miles extending to 130 nautical miles in the
NE quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 22 February: Within 40 nautical miles of 21.2 south 115.7 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 980 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 23 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 22.3 south 114.3 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 980 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 22 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0705UTC 22 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 15 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty decimal nine south (20.9S)
 longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal four east (116.4E)
Recent movement : southwest at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 45 knots
Central pressure: 982 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to 90 nautical miles in the NE
quadrant

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 45 knots near the centre.

Winds above 34 knots 70 nautical miles extending to 90 nautical miles in the NE
quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 22 February: Within 40 nautical miles of 21.9 south 114.9 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 982 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 23 February: Within 70 nautical miles of 22.9 south 113.5 east near
the west coast
                        Central pressure 979 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 22 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1313UTC 22 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty one decimal two south (21.2S)
 longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal five east (115.5E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 980 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant.
Becoming within 80 nautical miles in all quadrants by 1200 UTC 23 February

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 1200 UTC 23
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 10 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 10 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles in all quadrants by 0600 UTC 23
February 

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant.
Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles in all quadrants by 1200 UTC 23
February with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 23 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 22.3 south 113.6 east near
the coast
                        Central pressure 980 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 23 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 23.1 south 112.1 east near
the west coast
                        Central pressure 970 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 22 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1908UTC 22 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty one decimal seven south (21.7S)
 longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal eight east (114.8E)
Recent movement : southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 978 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 1200 UTC 23
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of the centre, increasing to
within 40 nautical miles of the centre in the northeast quadrant until 0600 UTC
23 February with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 100 nautical miles of the centre with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 23 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 22.6 south 113.1 east
                        Central pressure 976 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 23 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 23.4 south 111.4 east
                        Central pressure 970 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 23 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0101UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 15 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty two decimal one south (22.1S)
 longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one east (114.1E)
Recent movement : southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 974 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots increasing to 75 knots by 1800 UTC 23 February.

Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of the centre, extending to
within 50 nautical miles of the centre in the northeast quadrant until 1200 UTC
23 February, and then within 40 nautical miles in all quadrants with very rough
to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to
within 120 nautical miles in the northeast quadrant until 1200 UTC 23 February
and then within 100 nautical miles in all quadrants with very rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 23 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 23.1 south 112.5 east
                        Central pressure 960 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 24 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 23.9 south 110.7 east
                        Central pressure 956 hPa.
                        Winds to 75 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 23 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0657UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 15 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty two decimal five south (22.5S)
 longitude one hundred and thirteen decimal four east (113.4E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 978 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots increasing to 70 knots by 1800 UTC 23 February.

Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre from 1200 UTC 23
February with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre with very rough to
high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 23 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 23.4 south 111.7 east
                        Central pressure 966 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 24 February: Within 75 nautical miles of 24.4 south 109.8 east
                        Central pressure 966 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 23 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1249UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty two decimal eight south (22.8S)
 longitude one hundred and twelve decimal eight east (112.8E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 975 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots increasing to 70 knots by 1800 UTC 23 February.

Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre from 1800 UTC 23
February with high to very high seas.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre with very rough to
high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 24 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 23.6 south 111.1 east
                        Central pressure 962 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 24 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 24.8 south 109.1 east
                        Central pressure 962 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 23 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1857UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 25 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty three decimal three south (23.3S)
 longitude one hundred and eleven decimal nine east (111.9E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 973 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots increasing to 70 knots by 0000 UTC 24 February.

Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre from 0000 UTC 24
February with high to very high seas.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre with very rough to
high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 24 February: Within 55 nautical miles of 24.3 south 110.1 east
                        Central pressure 962 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 24 February: Within 85 nautical miles of 25.6 south 108.0 east
                        Central pressure 963 hPa.
                        Winds to 65 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 24 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0055UTC 24 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 25 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty three decimal eight south (23.8S)
 longitude one hundred and ten decimal six east (110.6E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 980 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre easing to 45 knots from 1800 UTC 24
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre until 1800 UTC 24
February with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 24 February: Within 55 nautical miles of 25.0 south 108.6 east
                        Central pressure 980 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 25 February: Within 85 nautical miles of 26.4 south 106.5 east
                        Central pressure 983 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 24 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0758UTC 24 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty four decimal three south (24.3S)
 longitude one hundred and nine decimal four east (109.4E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 12 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 978 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre easing to 50 knots from 0000 UTC 25
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 24 February: Within 55 nautical miles of 25.6 south 107.3 east
                        Central pressure 978 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 25 February: Within 85 nautical miles of 27.1 south 105.3 east
                        Central pressure 981 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 24 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1249UTC 24 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 30 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty four decimal seven south (24.7S)
 longitude one hundred and eight decimal five east (108.5E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 975 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre increasing to 65 knots by 1800 UTC 24
February then easing to 55 knots by 1200 UTC 25 February.

Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre with high to very high
seas between 1800 UTC 24 February and 0000 UTC 25 February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 25 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 26.1 south 106.6 east
                        Central pressure 968 hPa.
                        Winds to 65 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 25 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 27.9 south 105.3 east
                        Central pressure 974 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 24 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1816UTC 24 FEBRUARY 2011

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 30
nautical miles of
 latitude twenty five decimal three south (25.3S)
 longitude one hundred and seven decimal six east (107.6E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 65 knots
Central pressure: 968 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 65 knots near the centre increasing to 65 knots by 1800 UTC 24
February then easing to 50 knots by 1800 UTC 25 February.

Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre with high to very high
seas between 1800 UTC 24 February and 0000 UTC 25 February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 25 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 26.9 south 106.2 east
                        Central pressure 971 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 25 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 28.6 south 105.0 east
                        Central pressure 978 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 25 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0047UTC 25 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 20 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty six decimal one south (26.1S)
 longitude one hundred and six decimal nine east (106.9E)
Recent movement : southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 971 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre easing to 45 knots by 0000 UTC 26
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre until 0000 UTC 26
February, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 25 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 27.8 south 105.5 east
                        Central pressure 978 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 29.3 south 104.5 east
                        Central pressure 981 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 25 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0619UTC 25 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 30 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty six decimal nine south (26.9S)
 longitude one hundred and six decimal one east (106.1E)
Recent movement : southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 977 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre easing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 26
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre until 0000 UTC 26
February, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 25 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 28.5 south 104.9 east
                        Central pressure 978 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of 30.3 south 104.1 east
                        Central pressure 984 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 25 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1228UTC 25 FEBRUARY 2011

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 30 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty seven decimal eight south (27.8S)
 longitude one hundred and five decimal three east (105.3E)
Recent movement : southwest at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 978 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre easing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 26
February.

Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre until 1800 UTC 25
February, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell.

Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre with rough to very
rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 26 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 29.6 south 104.1 east
                        Central pressure 981 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 26 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 31.4 south 103.6 east
                        Central pressure 983 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 25 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1843UTC 25 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 30 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty eight decimal six south (28.6S)
 longitude one hundred and five decimal two east (105.2E)
Recent movement : south southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 45 knots
Central pressure: 983 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Winds 34/45 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre, easing below 34 knots by
1200UTC 26 February. Rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 26 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 30.5 south 104.6 east
                        Central pressure 990 hPa.
                        Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 26 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 32.0 south 104.3 east
                        Central pressure 991 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 26 February 2011.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0045UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2011

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Carlos was estimated to be within 50 nautical
miles of
 latitude twenty nine decimal six south (29.6S)
 longitude one hundred and four decimal five east (104.5E)
Recent movement : south southwest at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 995 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Winds 30/40 knots within 60 nautical miles of centre in the southeast quadrant,
easing below 34 knots by 0000UTC 27 February. Rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 26 February: Within 60 nautical miles of 31.4 south 103.9 east
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 27 February: Within 90 nautical miles of 32.6 south 103.7 east
                        Central pressure 995 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

No further warnings will be issued for this system refer to IDW21100.

WEATHER PERTH


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Document: tropical_cyclone_carlos.htm Updated: 16 June 2011