[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 2010
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 2010 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - NOVEMBER 2010
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE INFORMATION AT END OF FILE !!!!
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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). A special thanks to Michael for his efforts.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 Pacific
Typhoon Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Pacific_typhoon_season>
Following is a link to Michael Padua's storm log for TD-18W:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/stormarchives/2010/stormlogs/outsidePAR/18W10_log.htm>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression 03 - 05 Nov
Tropical Depression (18W) 12 - 14 Nov
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 NOV 03 0600 12.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletins
10 NOV 03 1200 12.0 N 111.0 E 1008 25
10 NOV 03 1800 12.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25
10 NOV 04 0000 12.3 N 110.4 E 1006 30
10 NOV 04 0600 12.6 N 110.7 E 1006 30
10 NOV 04 1200 12.8 N 110.5 E 1006 30
10 NOV 04 1800 13.1 N 110.8 E 1006 30
10 NOV 05 0600 13.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25 No data for 0600Z
10 NOV 05 1200 13.0 N 112.0 E 1008 20
Note: To the author's knowledge, JMA was the only agency which classified
this system as a tropical depression. JTWC did issue a TCFA for the
system.
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 18W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 NOV 12 1800 13.1 N 111.4 E 1006 25 25
10 NOV 13 0000 13.4 N 111.2 E 1006 25 25 JMA: 13.0N/112.0E
10 NOV 13 0600 13.7 N 111.1 E 1004 25 30
10 NOV 13 1200 14.1 N 110.4 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 13.9N/111.3E
10 NOV 13 1800 14.4 N 109.7 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 14.1N/111.1E
10 NOV 14 0000 14.8 N 109.0 E 1008 25 30 JMA: 14.2N/110.4E
10 NOV 14 0600 15.0 N 108.0 E 1010 25 Inland/JMA bulletin
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NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may
have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin.
The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic
observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 North
Indian Ocean Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Severe Cyclonic Storm JAL (BOB 05 / 05B) 31 Oct - 08 Nov
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Storm Name: JAL Cyclone Number: 05B Basin: NIO
IMD Depression Identifier: BOB 05
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 3-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 OCT 31 0000 6.5 N 106.0 E 20 Thai Met. Dept. track
10 OCT 31 0600 6.5 N 105.5 E 27
10 OCT 31 1200 6.5 N 105.0 E 27
10 OCT 31 1800 6.5 N 104.0 E 27
10 NOV 01 0000 6.5 N 103.5 E 27
10 NOV 01 0600 6.8 N 102.5 E 30
10 NOV 01 1200 7.1 N 101.3 E 30
10 NOV 01 1800 7.8 N 100.0 E 27
10 NOV 02 0000 7.7 N 99.2 E 27
10 NOV 02 0600 8.1 N 98.8 E 25
10 NOV 02 1200 8.5 N 97.2 E 25
10 NOV 02 1800 8.4 N 95.9 E 25
10 NOV 03 0000 8.4 N 94.5 E 30
10 NOV 03 0600 8.5 N 94.0 E 30
10 NOV 03 1200 8.0 N 93.0 E 30
10 NOV 03 1800 8.5 N 92.5 E 30
10 NOV 04 0000 8.0 N 92.0 E 1002 25 IMD bulletin
10 NOV 04 0300 8.5 N 91.0 E 1002 25 "
10 NOV 04 1200 8.5 N 90.0 E 1002 25 "
10 NOV 04 1800 9.0 N 88.9 E 1002 35 25 IMD: 8.5N/89.5E
10 NOV 05 0000 9.3 N 88.6 E 1000 45 30
10 NOV 05 0600 9.4 N 87.9 E 998 45 35
10 NOV 05 1200 9.6 N 87.1 E 45
10 NOV 05 1800 9.8 N 86.4 E 55
10 NOV 06 0000 10.5 N 85.9 E 65
10 NOV 06 0600 10.6 N 85.7 E 65
10 NOV 06 1200 11.0 N 84.9 E 65
10 NOV 06 1800 11.4 N 84.3 E 70
10 NOV 07 0000 12.1 N 83.0 E 70
10 NOV 07 0600 12.8 N 81.8 E 65 IMD: 12.5N/82.5E
10 NOV 07 1200 12.8 N 81.1 E 50
10 NOV 07 1800 13.4 N 80.4 E 35 Inland
10 NOV 08 0000 14.0 N 79.0 E 25 IMD bulletin
Note: The portion of the track from the Thai Meteorological Department
was sent to the author by Jason Rees of London. A special thanks to
Jason for sending me that information. I do not have available the IMD's
warnings for the most intense portion of Jal's history which include the
estimated MSW and CP; however, the Wikipedia report states that the
highest 3-min avg MSW assigned was 60 kts--in close agreement with JTWC's
peak 1-min avg MSW.
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SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011
Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010%E2%80%9311_South-West_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone ABELE (MFR-02 / 03S) 28 Nov - 04 Dec
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Storm Name: ABELE Cyclone Number: 03S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 02 Australian Low: 02U
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 NOV 28 2330 11.7 S 85.9 E 30 JTWC satellite bulletin
10 NOV 29 0530 11.4 S 85.3 E 30 "
10 NOV 29 1200 12.0 S 85.7 E 1000 35 25 JTWC: 11.9S/85.0E
10 NOV 29 1800 12.1 S 85.9 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts SW quad
10 NOV 30 0000 12.7 S 86.1 E 998 35 25 JTWC: 12.6S/84.3E
10 NOV 30 0600 12.6 S 85.3 E 997 30
10 NOV 30 1200 13.3 S 85.7 E 998 35 30
10 NOV 30 1800 13.5 S 85.7 E 998 30
10 DEC 01 0000 14.2 S 85.8 E 997 35 30
10 DEC 01 0600 14.8 S 85.4 E 997 30 Locally 35 kts
10 DEC 01 1200 15.3 S 85.9 E 988 40 45
10 DEC 01 1800 16.2 S 86.2 E 982 50
10 DEC 02 0000 16.3 S 86.4 E 984 45 50
10 DEC 02 0600 16.6 S 87.4 E 980 60 55
10 DEC 02 1200 17.2 S 88.6 E 973 70
10 DEC 02 1800 17.6 S 89.5 E 975 75 65
10 DEC 03 0000 18.4 S 90.2 E 987 60
10 DEC 03 0600 19.1 S 91.5 E 990 50 45 BoM Perth warnings
10 DEC 03 1200 19.9 S 92.9 E 992 40
10 DEC 03 1800 20.9 S 93.6 E 997 30 40
10 DEC 04 0000 22.0 S 93.9 E 1000 30 Some gales S quadrants
10 DEC 04 0530 22.4 S 93.9 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin
10 DEC 04 1130 23.0 S 94.6 E 25 Final JTWC sat fix
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SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011
South Pacific Cyclone Season:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010%E2%80%9311_South_Pacific_cyclone_season>
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (01F) 24 - 30 Nov
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 01F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 NOV 24 1800 15.4 S 170.2 E 1005
10 NOV 24 2100 14.3 S 164.2 E 1005
10 NOV 25 0600 15.4 S 166.1 E 1005 Depression
10 NOV 25 1800 14.6 S 166.0 E 1005
10 NOV 26 0000 15.2 S 167.0 E 1005
10 NOV 26 0600 16.0 S 170.8 E 1003
10 NOV 26 1800 16.1 S 171.4 E 1003 30
10 NOV 27 0000 16.6 S 172.5 E 1003
10 NOV 27 0600 16.7 S 172.7 E 1002 35
10 NOV 27 1200 16.9 S 174.2 E 1003
10 NOV 27 1800 17.5 S 172.5 E 1000 35
10 NOV 28 0000 17.7 S 173.6 E 1000
10 NOV 28 0600 18.6 S 173.6 E 1000 35
10 NOV 28 1800 19.5 S 175.5 E 999 35
10 NOV 29 0000 22.1 S 177.8 E 1000
10 NOV 29 0600 22.0 S 178.1 E 1000 35
10 NOV 29 0600 22.6 S 178.2 E 1000
10 NOV 29 1800 24.8 S 179.3 W 1000 35
10 NOV 30 0000 22.6 S 179.3 E 1000
10 NOV 30 0600 24.0 S 180.0 E 1000
Note: Even though gales were forecast for this system, it was not
classified as a tropical cyclone. The definition of a TC employed by
Fiji requires that gales be present in at least one quadrant but close
to the center. The warnings for TD-01F indicated that gales were at
some distance from the center.
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********** SPECIAL NOTE **********
I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly
tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing-
ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be
preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones
during the most active part of the NWP season from June through
December.
Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now
preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific
tropical cyclones. Also, Steve Young sends me tracks with data for
the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical cyclones in all
basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data or else taken
from NRL files.
A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their
assistance.
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SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION
The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and
varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers
will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,
I wanted to include them.
(1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information
---------------------------------------
Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be
retrieved from the following FTP site:
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/>
Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance
messages may be found at the following URL:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml>
Links are also included to websites with further information about the
U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-
craft Operations Center.
(2) Archived Advisories
-----------------------
All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,
strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC
are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an
example), the archived products can be found at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml>
Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at
the following URL:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml>
JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>
On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
corner of the screen.
I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all
its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but
if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.
(3) Satellite Imagery
---------------------
Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are
available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,
courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The
links are:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html>
On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is
located in the lower left portion of the screen.
Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for
composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the
equator, can be found at:
(1) For the Eastern North Pacific:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html>
(2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html>
(4) Cyclone Tracking Information
--------------------------------
There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly
intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The
link to the site is:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/doc_archives/>
Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage
which is very user-friendly:
http://home.earthlink.net/~shy9/tc1.htm>
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!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
Kevin Boyle [email protected]
Michael Bath [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Steve Young [email protected]
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Document: trak1011.htm
Updated: 20 January 2011 |
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