Chatter all day here from others re that low. It's a 1005 low and the JTWC had been eying it. BoM have made comment on it . It has some NW circulation and LLC but difluence (an area where winds on the same plane are flowing at angles away from each other) aloft was its problem. They gave it a 'poor' rating over the 24 hour period - but they said that about Billy too and that became a Cat2. Go figure! It must have a dominant W/SW track somewhere in there because it's realistically heading for land by what BoM have to say below. Not too much flooding for Darwin per se, the other inland regions will def get some large falls from it.
BoM's flood threat advice had this to say about it:
'A second tropical low is developing in the western Gulf of Carpentaria and is
expected to move west, over the Top End, over the next few days. It is not
expected to reach Tropical Cyclone intensity. It will generate heavy showers,
storms and rain areas over the Arnhem and Roper-McArthur districts during Monday
before extending further west and affecting the Darwin-Daly District from
Tuesday.'
ED: JTWC latest give it some strengthening but still a poor rating. BoM also have posted something in their TC reports and give it a poor rating lso. Might get some decent storms out of this if it persists inland, but will have to keep an eye on pressure levels as it moves to us.
So looks like the camera stays in the bag for another week or I go out and take waterfall piccies. yawn!