Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 26th October 1998

From: "James Chambers" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: lightning
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:38:37 +1000
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Hi all

If anyone's up, check the energex lightning detection in SE Qld.
http://bastion.energex.com.au/strike/
There's activity over the northern Darling Downs - it'll probably be like
that periodically through the next 24 hours or so...maybe good falls here.

Currently in Brisbane the conditions remain pretty much unchanged since
11am.  About 22C...90% humidity and only light 'spitty' rain falling.  A
northerly at about 15kn has sprung up though.

It would be good if that cloud cleared early for some nice a'noon
storms...but we're not that lucky.

James
-----------------------------------------------------------------
James Chambers
jamestorm at ozemail.com.au
The Brisbane and SE Qld Storm Site
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html

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From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Heavy storms in western and northern NSW
Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:43:03 GMT
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9pm observations suggest some *very* heavy rainfalls across western
NSW, with moderate rain continuing on the north coast. Cobar
registered 60mm 3 to 9pm of which 5 was in the gauge at 6pm, 27.8 at
7pm, and 56.4 at 7.43pm. The Met Office at Cobar, which curiously is
in the town, not at the airport, had 41, all falling 6 to 9. Glen
Innes had 16mm 3 to 9, and on the Mid North Coast, Evans Head had 30mm
3 to 6pm. 

In Qld, Longreach had a big dump just after 6, with 22.2 in the gauge
by 6.45pm, 11.0 falling in 10 minutes to 6.43pm. Lots of other
heavy/storm falls in Qld during Sunday -- can you Qlders tell us any
more about it?

On the forecast front, the MRF for 00z Sunday still holds with very
cold air moving over Tas/Vic/southern NSW Tuesday morning (528
thickness line crosses the Gippsland coast), heavy rain in eastern Qld
not clearing until Tuesday, and a return to storms/rain through inland
Qld on Friday. Tots is >60 over southwestern Qld for 00z Monday.



-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:00:02 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: aussie weather 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather photos
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On Thu, 22 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:
> We would like to obtain some exciting weather photos to be made into some
> introduction slides on the channel. Radical shots of storms, floods, fire or
> wind would be prefect. If any of you have any photos which you would be
> happy to donate, then please drop me a line.
 
- You'll have more luck here than dealing with the newsmedia.  I just
inquired about having a storm photo which appeared in a Sydney newspaper
put online (either Michael and Jimmy's page or one of my own) and was
quoted $75 for 6 months or $120 for a year!!!  Just for one lousy storm
photo (funnel cloud) and he said there were 4 rolls of film for this
storm... Imagine paying for the whole lot - you'd be into the $1000's
- Paul G.


----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------                                                   

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X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:33:58 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath 
Subject: aussie-weather: CSIRO NOAA satpics
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Just to let you all know that the 1.1km resolution NOAA AVHRR images are
back online after 48 hours out of action:
http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/

regards, Michael

*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

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From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:47:34 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: sydney forcast today 
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IDF00N00
METROPOLITAN FORECAST
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 11:25am on Monday the 26th of October 1998
For remainder of today and Tuesday  

Sydney Metropolitan:
High to very high fire danger. Warm to very warm today with the
chance of a few showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and
evening. Moderate to fresh northerly wind turning southerly
overnight.
Cloudy periods tomorrow with a few showers and milder moderate to
fresh southerly wind.
Headline :    Chance of storms this afternoon. Milder with few
showers tomorrow.
City maximum for Tuesday    about:    20

Sydney Outlook:
Wednesday
Shower or two clearing. SE wind.     City Max:     21
Thursday 
Fine. E/NE wind.    City Max:     23

Matt (heres hoping for a storm) from sydney.

no time for a chase out west(work at 6pm),  will be observing from
bicentenial park tower with bag/camera if anyone wants to meet methere.

also if someone can update me on the situation to the west (i can barely
see a small amount of the blue mountains from here,just a bit of
altocumulous over the city..)
thanks...

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:46:36 +0800
From: Michael Fewings 
Organization: Edith Cowan Uni
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: It looks good
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Hi all
Mike from Perth. Looking at the amount of moisture to the West in the mid
levels. It does look good for just inland from the hills around 6.30 to 10.00
on Tuesday evening. The long term forcast is also for unsetteled weather for
Friday and/or Saturday so things are looking really exciting here in the West.
Mike

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X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:50:29 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath 
Subject: aussie-weather: Re: sydney now 
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Congesting cumulus is now occurring to the west on the Blue Mountains and
to the north. Cumulus is developing all around. Distant altocumulus to the
west. Looks like some action at last for Sydney area.

Dewpoints are low teens throughout, the temps rapidly approaching 30. Winds
are light to moderate N-NW

I will be on the net or at Rooty Hill during the afternoon until Jimmy is
available after work (3pm) - then hopefully chasing. If anyone wants to
contact me the number is 0412 145 755

Michael

*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

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From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:03:54 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: woah!
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i can see cumulus/towering  from a small view west i have, im going to get
a better view, looks like something is happening over the ryde area as
well.. very nice build up.. and im outta here!
ill report whenever i get back...
bye!
Matt from sydney 

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X-Sender: bayns at nornet.nor.com.au
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 10:57:08 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: steve baynham 
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hi all,
as you may have noticed from satellite photos, the gold coast is and has
been overcast and raining for the last day or two. got a fair bit of rain
yesterday, don't have a gauge, so i'll guess 10 - 15ml. wish i could say
more!! :)
steve

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From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: aussie-weather: High Queensland rainfalls
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:57:24 +1100 (EST)
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A few three-figure reports in Queensland for the 24 hours to 0900
this morning: 120 at Goondiwindi, 113 at Surat, plus a couple of 
others.

Current radar suggests little activity at present in eastern 
Queensland, but heavy rain in the Longreach/Winton area.

Blair Trewin

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From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:21:43 +1000
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Well its happening everywhere but here!! Damn!! Good luck to all!! Taree is
warm, humid, overcast (yukk!!!) and gentle breeze. Thats it!!

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From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:54:31 +1000
Subject: aussie-weather: Current obs.
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Ok all! Whats happening around the places?
Sydney siders??
Melbourne??
Perth?
Brisbane??

Any action / chances??

Paul from Taree.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:14:18 +1100
From: Matthew Piper 
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Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Current obs.
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Hi Paul,

Currently in the Blue Mountains there is a lot of cumulus congestus and
cumulonimbus around. I can observe anvils streaming off from storms to the
west of the mountains. It looks very promising indeed that storms will affect
Sydney this afternoon.

Matthew

Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au wrote:

> Ok all! Whats happening around the places?
> Sydney siders??
> Melbourne??
> Perth?
> Brisbane??
>
> Any action / chances??
>
> Paul from Taree.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:16:11 +1100
From: david.croan at agal.gov.au (David Croan)
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney storms?
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
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     While at lunch I noticed some beautifil cumulus congestus across the 
     met area of Sydney. A larger cell appears to have broken through 
     east/NE of my location (Gordon) probably coastal.
     
     Basically good indications for storm development this afternoon (very 
     much reminds me of the cloud development I observed here prior to a 
     severe storm moving across Nthern Sydney last year) so I am going to 
     take a pm flex and try and get onto something.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:46:11 +1100
From: Matthew Piper 
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Blue Mountains Storm Cells
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Hi All,

Currently I can observe some storm cells to the west in the general area
of Lithgow and Oberon that look like they may be severe.

Matthew

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From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:46:49 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: sydney
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rain falling north sydney, around lane cove/north shore
and some rain falling west of sydney, looks like way out near blacktown or
somewhere..
no lightning yet...but very large cumulus..
matt from syd
shit its rainin gin burwood now!!!
WOOHOO
bye!Matt

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From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:00:56 +1000
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Blue Mountains Storm Cells
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Just went for a walk at lunch. Taree - well hard to say BUT I did see the
crisp white tops of storms heading Sydney's way. Lucky u!! Keep all
informed!
Paul.

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From: "Dr Martin Davey" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Very little action in Adelaide
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:35:39 +0930
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Disappointing day here, no rain or sign of rain although a cool strong south
westerly blowing. Outlook for the rest of the week is fine as well with the
storms over central and eastern WA only expected to produce isolated
thundery showers across the interiors of SA.

Martin

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From: "Jane ONeill" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Current Melbourne weather
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:09:32 +1100
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Melbourne
3Cu/5Sc 
16.4 deg 
Pressure: 1006.2   
Light shower to the SW at Laverton.

Boring, boring......

Jane   

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X-Originating-Ip: [203.37.41.20]
From: "Patrick Tobin" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Current obs.- Canberra
Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:14:03 PST
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Patrick from Canberra here.

Some impressive cells with extensive anvil development to the NW through 
to NNE of Canberra (at least 100 km away - so won't be affecting 
Canberra itself). Some more isolated developing cells to the SSE to E 
with signs of glaciation.

A few showers on the ranges to west but tops don't seem to be very high 
so not expecting too much in Canberra itself.

Next Saturday's NOGAPS (12z) looks pretty interesting ... but is a long 
way off at the moment.

______________________________________________________
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

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From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Current Melbourne weather
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:14:04 +1100 (EST)
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> 
> Melbourne
> 3Cu/5Sc 
> 16.4 deg 
> Pressure: 1006.2   
> Light shower to the SW at Laverton.
> 
> Boring, boring......
> 
> Jane   
Might be boring now, but most progs have thicknesses below 532 
reaching Melbourne in the next 12-18 hours. It's got quite cold
in SW Victoria/SE SA (9-11 at Mt. Gambier, Hamilton, Portland, Cape
Otway last time I checked). Also quite a bit of shower activity on
the radar. I expect things will get quite interesting overnight,
maybe even a little small hail tomorrow morning.

Blair Trewin

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:28:16 +1100
From: Matthew Piper 
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Blue Mountains Thunderstorms
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Hi All,

There is now a line of thunderstorms stretching all along the western
horizon. I can observe new cells popping up where ever I look to the
west. During the last hour this line of storms has rapidly developed and
it appears to be moving towards Sydney.

Matthew

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From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:38:13 +1000
Subject: aussie-weather: Thunderstorms
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Ok, th8ings are starting to hot up. Are there any warnings issued by the
BOM yet? Has anyone had the chance to study satpic (visual & infrared) or
JCU pics to determine likely hotspots? I have a limited view out my window,
I can see some cumulus congestus now forming all over, and was wonderin
whether there may be more then the eye can see?

paul.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:47:59 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Storms in Sydney...
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Sky looking quite dark to the SW now - 
Early reports of some strong wind squalls to come...
Announcement on radio in just a minute...

- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:49:26 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Storm Report...
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Storm has just hit western suburbs - v. strong winds and heavy rain 
- just hit weatherill Park (not sure of spelling...)
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:54:24 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Latest Report...
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Very calm here in N. Ryde.  Sky very dark.  80-90km/hour winds reported
out in western suburbs..  - just started pouring with rain here.  Steve
Symmonds from the Bureau just aboutto come on the radio - no warnings
yet... 

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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From: "Jane ONeill" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney skyline
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:58:33 +1100
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If you haven't already found this site - have a look at the Sydney skyline
at the moment- it looks just wonderful!
http://2gb.com/cam3hist.shtml

Blair, thank you for the advance warning re Melbourne tomorrow - camera will
be in the car!!

Jane
Melbourne

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:59:35 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Latest Storm Info.
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People from around Sydney calling into radio 2BL - continuous updates
provided here - even interrupting music to give latest reports.
Latest report:
Live from the Bureau:
nothing significant - but Steve Symmonds mentioned all the forms of severe
weather that you can get when asked about the current storm situation: 
he also said the reports of strong winds were the first he had heard:
stand by for severe  thunderstorm warning...
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:03:21 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
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Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he would
be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given the
reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:06:52 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: More Reports Later...
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Got to disconnect computer now - can see lighting to west.  Will keep
everyone informed later on.  Very spectacular sky...
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:33:20 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney WX...
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The storms through here were a bit of a disappointment.  No strong winds
here in N. Ryde - not much lightning, not much rain and now it looks like
it's clearing.  There may be more later on...
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:34:27 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
shutting the gate after the horses have fled???

----------
>From: Paul Graham 
>To: Aussie Weather 
>Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
>Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
>

>Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he would
>be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given the
>reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
>- Paul G.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:42:21 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
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Hi Mike and everyone,
Perhaps the reports were exaggerated but people did phone in to 2BL
reporting winds of 80 to 90 km/hour.  Maybe they require reports from a
"Storm Spotter" before a warning can be issued or perhaps they decided
that by the time they were to issue a warning, it would all be over.  Or
perhaps it didn't match up with radar and other data they get.  Remember
the Good Friday storms here in Sydney - they issued a severe thunderstorm
warning when it was almost over. 
 - Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

On Mon, 26 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:

> Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
> shutting the gate after the horses have fled???
> 
> ----------
> >From: Paul Graham 
> >To: Aussie Weather 
> >Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
> >Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
> >
> 
> >Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he would
> >be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given the
> >reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
> >- Paul G.

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Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:51:51 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: NSW Weather Forecast...
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Thought I'd paste in the NSW forecast:

NEW SOUTH WALES:  A few showers and thunderstorms, in the north and
southeast tonight, contracting to the northeast tomorrow. 

>>Chance of squalls, hail and heavy rain over the northeast with
thunderstorms.<<

Generally fine over the far southwest. Warm to very warm with moderate to
fresh north to northwest wind ahead of a cooler southwest to southerly
change extending through the southwest tonight and reaching the central
coast overnight and the northeast during Tuesday. A few showers about the
coast and ranges tomorrow but fine over the southern inland. Southwest to
southerly wind strengthening along the coast tomorrow. 


----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:08:47 +1000
Subject: aussie-weather: Keep it up!!
Content-Disposition: inline
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Good job everyone!! Keep it up.....theres heaps of people hanging on every
email, with baited breath!! Nothing here of course!! as bloody
usual..............grrrrr

Paul.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 17:14:34 +1100
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Storms are high based, therefore dry microbursts could have been a feature.

Off to look at a cell towards Bowral, no car, just pushbike to Lake.

Michael
-----Original Message-----
From: Paul Graham 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, 26 October 1998 16:43
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...


>Hi Mike and everyone,
>Perhaps the reports were exaggerated but people did phone in to 2BL
>reporting winds of 80 to 90 km/hour.  Maybe they require reports from a
>"Storm Spotter" before a warning can be issued or perhaps they decided
>that by the time they were to issue a warning, it would all be over.  Or
>perhaps it didn't match up with radar and other data they get.  Remember
>the Good Friday storms here in Sydney - they issued a severe thunderstorm
>warning when it was almost over.
> - Paul G.
>
>----------------------------
>Paul Graham
>m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
>----------------------------
>
>On Mon, 26 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:
>
>> Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
>> shutting the gate after the horses have fled???
>>
>> ----------
>> >From: Paul Graham 
>> >To: Aussie Weather 
>> >Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
>> >Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
>> >
>>
>> >Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he
would
>> >be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given
the
>> >reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
>> >- Paul G.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Hail, squalls in Melbourne
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 17:26:42 +1100
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Just had a squall and some hail in Melbourne, wind shifted south west and
gusty, BOM reckons a good cold blast in the next 12 or so hours, even could
get some snow on the Dandenongs (hills near Melbourne).
Local hail and thunder forecasted.

Nick

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 17:33:20 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: syd storms
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

well i was constantly up and down the tower at bicentenial park.. some very
nice cloud formations.. cells everywhere you looked, rain hit hard at the
park, with strong winds, that lasted around 10 minuites or so.. 
a bit surprised there was no hail..
still dark to the west, only a few bolts of lightning, the closest i heard
was 2 seconds away, which would make it 600 meters.
got some nice photo's to, but i still got like 20 pics left on the roll, so
i wont be getting developed anytime soon... 
anyway id love to hear what it was like closer to the mountains...
saw alot of rain north and west, but really only the one cell passing right
over sydney..
heres hoping for more action tonight!
Matt

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 17:39:43 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: wollongong weather
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

who was it who lived down there ?
whoever it was i hope the drought of the storm season is fanally broken!!
Matt from sydney :)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Originating-Ip: [203.37.41.20]
From: "Patrick Tobin" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Canberra quiet
Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 22:43:13 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

A couple of drops of rain in Canberra (north) around 3pm was the total 
of activity here. No storms in area. Interestingly, there appeared to be 
no activity over the Snowy Mtns area either - so the moisture and 
instability seems to have stayed well north of here.

Tonight's arrival of cold air could prove interesting tomorrow morning.

Patrick from Canberra

______________________________________________________
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 17:51:30 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney Storms...
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
Reply-Read: pgraham1 at mail.usyd.edu.au
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Hi everyone,
	I have just been outside and noticed the tops of some of the
thunderstorm cells that have passed over region.  Quite spectacular in the
late afternoon sun but the anvils appear fibrous and indicate the cells
are probably not severe.  But you never know with thunderstorms....It'll
be interesting to see if anything develops in the north of the state...  
- Paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney storms
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 98 17:17:56 +1000
X-Sender: mildad at mail.one.net.au
From: mildad 
To: 
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Due to a combination of me being storm starved and the spectacular 
appearance of the congestus over Sydney earlier today (which reminded me 
of those preceding the 19/12/97 severe storm) I was probably expecting a 
little too much from this afternoon storms. Promising cells were punching 
upwards left, right and centre as I viewed them from the top level of a 
parking area in Gordon. The storm that eventually moved closest to me (it 
appeared to be a single cell) drifted to the south and was rather high 
based although it did put out some nice CGs - not sure if it was the 
decaying stage of the same cell which you had reports on Paul (BTW Paul 
is Steve Symonds on ABCnews radio?). Anyway made for a few ok photographs 
(i hope).

Cheers

David Croan 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 18:58:46 +1100
From: Anthony Cornelius 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I must say, while reading this, I was very surprised that the BoM did
not even issue a "severe t'storm advise" indicating the possibility of
severe t'storms!  Especially if there were those reports.

Anthony

Paul Graham wrote:
> 
> Hi Mike and everyone,
> Perhaps the reports were exaggerated but people did phone in to 2BL
> reporting winds of 80 to 90 km/hour.  Maybe they require reports from a
> "Storm Spotter" before a warning can be issued or perhaps they decided
> that by the time they were to issue a warning, it would all be over.  Or
> perhaps it didn't match up with radar and other data they get.  Remember
> the Good Friday storms here in Sydney - they issued a severe thunderstorm
> warning when it was almost over.
>  - Paul G.
> 
> ----------------------------
> Paul Graham
> m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
> ----------------------------
> 
> On Mon, 26 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:
> 
> > Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
> > shutting the gate after the horses have fled???
> >
> > ----------
> > >From: Paul Graham 
> > >To: Aussie Weather 
> > >Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
> > >Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
> > >
> >
> > >Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he would
> > >be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given the
> > >reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
> > >- Paul G.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Storm at last ( a little one )
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 18:58:54 +1100
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Small storm around 6pm with heavy rain and winds gusting to 30-40knots from
west ( not really stronger than a typical westerly ), some very small hail.
Storm developed near Bowral and drifted east, affecting Shellharbour area,
north edge keep developing, but finally ran out to sea near Windang, No rain
in Wollongong itself.

Newcastle radar looks a treat, some heavy business up there !!!!


Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 18:59:17 +1100
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Michael Bath and I went for a storm chase. The storm looked quite impressive
but pulsed in activity. It briefly may have had hail, very heavy rain in
some areas and strong wind gusts associated with downbursts. I have to
remind people we stayed there just down from Rooty Hill to get some hail and
whatever. Just heavy rain and severe runoff. Some flashflooding reported in
low lying areas. It looked impressive with reasonable footage of the squall
hitting us and then the rain but Iw ish there was more. I'd say the peak was
just to the west. The storm died or at least weakened towards the coast....

I can see the sea breeze must not be operating today......

Jimmy Deguara

-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Thompson 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, October 26, 1998 6:48 PM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...


>Storms are high based, therefore dry microbursts could have been a feature.
>
>Off to look at a cell towards Bowral, no car, just pushbike to Lake.
>
>Michael
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Paul Graham 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>Date: Monday, 26 October 1998 16:43
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
>
>
>>Hi Mike and everyone,
>>Perhaps the reports were exaggerated but people did phone in to 2BL
>>reporting winds of 80 to 90 km/hour.  Maybe they require reports from a
>>"Storm Spotter" before a warning can be issued or perhaps they decided
>>that by the time they were to issue a warning, it would all be over.  Or
>>perhaps it didn't match up with radar and other data they get.  Remember
>>the Good Friday storms here in Sydney - they issued a severe thunderstorm
>>warning when it was almost over.
>> - Paul G.
>>
>>----------------------------
>>Paul Graham
>>m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
>>----------------------------
>>
>>On Mon, 26 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:
>>
>>> Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
>>> shutting the gate after the horses have fled???
>>>
>>> ----------
>>> >From: Paul Graham 
>>> >To: Aussie Weather 
>>> >Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
>>> >Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
>>> >
>>>
>>> >Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he
>would
>>> >be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given
>the
>>> >reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
>>> >- Paul G.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:12:45 +1100
From: Anthony Cornelius 
To: Australian Weather Mailing List 
Subject: aussie-weather: Brisbane Wx
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Currently in Brisbane it has been rather interesting, yet frustrating. 
Yesterday there was some light rain around, we received 8.1mm overall,
no heavy or significant falls were reported nearby.  But in other places
(as some one already pointed out) they received copious amounts of
rainfall.  Today it started off overcast, but was 23C by 7:15am with a
DP of 21C.  The DP stayed in the low 20's today, and by midday it was
28C.  It was much warmer then expected only because there were a few
breaks in the cloud that caused a "greenhouse effect."  That is - the
sun's heat and radiation came in, only to be kept in by the other
clouds.  The sky consisted of predominantly mid and high level cloud. 
But with the Sun out periodically, I began to get very optomistic about
the possibility of t'storms.  This however was crushed by around midday
when there were clearly very little signs of convection.  This surprised
me a great deal, as the models indicated good thunderstorm conditions -
except from the high levels of moisture in the mid to high levels.  But
then again, I don't feel that the models have got a good "grip" on the
current wx system affecting us, because both MRF and NGP supported falls
of over 4 inches in about 36hrs, yet we've only had 8.1!  Also, the
models have had all the timings wrong.  At the moment, lightning tracker
has a scattering of lightning strikes between just south of Toowoomba,
through to Dalby and up to near another town that I'm not sure what the
abbreviation stands for!  Currently, the strikes have been fluctuating
for the past 2hrs, from 1 strike to over 20 strikes in 5 minutes.  BoM
is  not expecting much, 18UTC obs (6pm here) (just one note, I suggest
that perhaps we should use UTC now to avoid confusion in daylight saving
times...it's just a suggestion) was 24C, 83%, DP of 21C, 1009hPa, NNE  at 
20km/h - with towering cu observed.  I'm not too sure about towering,
from what I can see, there is much more cu around now, but it would
bearly make "congestus" in my opinion.  I'm still remaining slightly
more optomistic, it will remain 24C for a little while, it's far to
humid for the temperature to drop much.  I'm hoping for a t'storm late
tonight - but it's more likely that we'll just get thundery rain.  Which
I guess is technically a t'storm!

Just thought I'd inform you on what was happening up here! :-)

Anthony

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:15:34 +1100
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Howdy all!! I think the best place to be was in Newcastle! They had a severe
storm through there (and continuing now), with and advice issued up til 8pm
tonight. I had the chance to see the tops (cause Im north of them) and there
were a few cells embedded in the whole mass. However, the 2nd last cell had
an overshooting top, and must have to be severe. If I here anything on the
TV (such as damage reports etc..) i will post them and keep everyone
informed.

Paul ( who missed out again!!!)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:31:21 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

A severe thunderstorm advice is the correct procedure if severe storms are
likely. Waiting until reports are received is waiting too long. So many
times we see advices issued just after the storms have passed through. The
BoM does not wait for storm spotters reports before issuing an advice -
these reports are used for verification and nowcasting. Generally the
forecasters will have a fair idea of the likelihood of TS activity once the
soundings and upper winds are available. Having said that we all know that
these advices are often issued after the storms have already caused damage.
This severely limits the effectiveness of the warning but does wonders for
the BoM verification statistics. Am I being too cynical...
----------
>From: Anthony Cornelius 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Latest...
>Date: 26 Oct 1998 18:58
>

>I must say, while reading this, I was very surprised that the BoM did
>not even issue a "severe t'storm advise" indicating the possibility of
>severe t'storms!  Especially if there were those reports.
>
>Anthony
>
>Paul Graham wrote:
>> 
>> Hi Mike and everyone,
>> Perhaps the reports were exaggerated but people did phone in to 2BL
>> reporting winds of 80 to 90 km/hour.  Maybe they require reports from a
>> "Storm Spotter" before a warning can be issued or perhaps they decided
>> that by the time they were to issue a warning, it would all be over.  Or
>> perhaps it didn't match up with radar and other data they get.  Remember
>> the Good Friday storms here in Sydney - they issued a severe thunderstorm
>> warning when it was almost over.
>>  - Paul G.
>> 
>> ----------------------------
>> Paul Graham
>> m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
>> ----------------------------
>> 
>> On Mon, 26 Oct 1998, Mark Hardy wrote:
>> 
>> > Is not issuing a warning AFTER near 100km/h gusts have occurred akin to
>> > shutting the gate after the horses have fled???
>> >
>> > ----------
>> > >From: Paul Graham 
>> > >To: Aussie Weather 
>> > >Subject: aussie-weather: Latest...
>> > >Date: 26 Oct 1998 16:03
>> > >
>> >
>> > >Sky very dark and looking quite spectacular: Steve Symmonds said he would
>> > >be talking to people in severe weather about a possible warning given the
>> > >reports of winds close to 100km/hour in areas..
>> > >- Paul G.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:05:19 +1100
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Nice line to the NW of Tamworth that has developed within the last 2 hours.
Newcastle stuff is out to sea.

Also some lighter activity around Wagga , Cootamundra and Canberra. This
seems to have picked up in the last 2 hours, nothing severe looking like the
Tamworth stuff, but gives some hope that we may pick up a thundery later
tonight again. It may be associated with the cold front.


Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:06:33 +1100
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Michael, which satpic are u looking at?? NW of tamworth, may just get here!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:21:21 +1100
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I am looking at Radar, I got radar for 1 month for the big chase. There is
another smaller line near Scone, perhaps with Barrington Tops influence this
may be for you !!!

Michael

-----Original Message-----
From: paulmoss 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, 26 October 1998 21:06
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth


>Michael, which satpic are u looking at?? NW of tamworth, may just get here!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:41:37 +1100
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ohhh.......music to my ears!!! Thankyou!!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:42:37 +1100
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What do you mean??? Do you have action????

I have observed lightning to the far SW about 150km or so and also some to
the S.

Jimmy Deguara from Schofields Western Sydney

-----Original Message-----
From: paulmoss 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, October 26, 1998 9:40 PM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Action now NW of Tamworth


>ohhh.......music to my ears!!! Thankyou!!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:45:48 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath 
Subject: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


I had a couple of observation sessions at the infamous Rooty Hill today and
then a rushed chased with Jimmy later on.

Cumulus developed quickly over the western parts of Greater Sydney from
late morning with two areas of congestus forming at this time also: to the
far west probably around Lithgow and just to my north. The area to the west
became obscured by closer cumulus so my attention was mainly on the cell
now developing to the north. At first it was not promising as the updraft
was weak and started to spread out as altocumulus towards the SE. But
slowly it developed with the NW flank of this weak multicell gradually
punching higher and higher. Pilleus formed at various stages. It began to
preciptate around 12.30pm as it moved and spread towards the ENE. The
clouds tops reached probably to about 8km before some slight backshearing
occurred. Unfortunately it became obscured as it moved over the Gosford
area. Later the cell intensified offshore and can be seen as the large cell
on the latest CSIRO pic at 34 degrees S:
http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/199810260450.html

Not much was happening around western Sydney at this stage (1pm) and it was
rather hot in the sun I headed back home to check the latest data. I
discovered that showers were moving into the metro area near Camden so I
headed back out to Rooty Hill. Just as I arrived it bucketed down with rain
from a single large cumulus overhead. This quickly cleared as the
approaching 'cell' from the west edged closer. It devloped a nice rain free
base on its northern side (close to me) while to its south very heavy
precipitation occurred. I watched this cell for nearly an hour as it made
its way eastwards and into the inner western suburbs (I guess). At the same
time (from 2pm) a bank of large cells gathered on the western parts of the
Blue Mountains. Congestus was visible ahead of the line and seemed that
Sydney would not miss this one! I left the Hill at 2.30pm as I had to
intercept with Jimmy (after he finishes work at 3), then get my car to my
wifes work then we could go! It was a mad dash when Jimmy arrived at my
place as the storm system to the west was quickly approaching. After many
annoying trucks on the way &^! at % at  we made it to Rooty Hill (once again) at
3.30pm. Just in time. The storm was now in the Sydney basin and developing
a nice structure on its forward edge. A shelf cloud and scuds heralded the
ominous looking precipiation core. It sure looked like we would get hail.
We could see the intense rain spread through the valley towards us. The
wind struck with gusts to around 70km/h I guess then very heavy rain with a
little thunder for about 10 minutes. No hail - it was surprising. Flash
flooding of streets was common as probably 25-30 mm fell in 10 minutes
through Rooty Hill and then Doonside. A few flashes of lightning were
visible after the cell passed, but there was surprisingly little.

After that it was virtually all over. Light rain persisted throughout the
afternoon. Some weak cells became visiable to the far west towards sunset.

regards, Michael  
*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:53:09 +1100
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Still got my tennis game in too.

Lightning to the far SW.

Jimmy
-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Bath 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, October 26, 1998 9:47 PM
Subject: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today


>
>I had a couple of observation sessions at the infamous Rooty Hill today and
>then a rushed chased with Jimmy later on.
>
>Cumulus developed quickly over the western parts of Greater Sydney from
>late morning with two areas of congestus forming at this time also: to the
>far west probably around Lithgow and just to my north. The area to the west
>became obscured by closer cumulus so my attention was mainly on the cell
>now developing to the north. At first it was not promising as the updraft
>was weak and started to spread out as altocumulus towards the SE. But
>slowly it developed with the NW flank of this weak multicell gradually
>punching higher and higher. Pilleus formed at various stages. It began to
>preciptate around 12.30pm as it moved and spread towards the ENE. The
>clouds tops reached probably to about 8km before some slight backshearing
>occurred. Unfortunately it became obscured as it moved over the Gosford
>area. Later the cell intensified offshore and can be seen as the large cell
>on the latest CSIRO pic at 34 degrees S:
>http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/199810260450.html
>
>Not much was happening around western Sydney at this stage (1pm) and it was
>rather hot in the sun I headed back home to check the latest data. I
>discovered that showers were moving into the metro area near Camden so I
>headed back out to Rooty Hill. Just as I arrived it bucketed down with rain
>from a single large cumulus overhead. This quickly cleared as the
>approaching 'cell' from the west edged closer. It devloped a nice rain free
>base on its northern side (close to me) while to its south very heavy
>precipitation occurred. I watched this cell for nearly an hour as it made
>its way eastwards and into the inner western suburbs (I guess). At the same
>time (from 2pm) a bank of large cells gathered on the western parts of the
>Blue Mountains. Congestus was visible ahead of the line and seemed that
>Sydney would not miss this one! I left the Hill at 2.30pm as I had to
>intercept with Jimmy (after he finishes work at 3), then get my car to my
>wifes work then we could go! It was a mad dash when Jimmy arrived at my
>place as the storm system to the west was quickly approaching. After many
>annoying trucks on the way &^! at % at  we made it to Rooty Hill (once again) at
>3.30pm. Just in time. The storm was now in the Sydney basin and developing
>a nice structure on its forward edge. A shelf cloud and scuds heralded the
>ominous looking precipiation core. It sure looked like we would get hail.
>We could see the intense rain spread through the valley towards us. The
>wind struck with gusts to around 70km/h I guess then very heavy rain with a
>little thunder for about 10 minutes. No hail - it was surprising. Flash
>flooding of streets was common as probably 25-30 mm fell in 10 minutes
>through Rooty Hill and then Doonside. A few flashes of lightning were
>visible after the cell passed, but there was surprisingly little.
>
>After that it was virtually all over. Light rain persisted throughout the
>afternoon. Some weak cells became visiable to the far west towards sunset.
>
>regards, Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:01:57 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Michael

Have you ever been struck by lightning - or even had a close call?

----------
>From: Michael Bath 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
>Date: 26 Oct 1998 21:45
>

>
>I had a couple of observation sessions at the infamous Rooty Hill today and
>then a rushed chased with Jimmy later on.
>
>Cumulus developed quickly over the western parts of Greater Sydney from
>late morning with two areas of congestus forming at this time also: to the
>far west probably around Lithgow and just to my north. The area to the west
>became obscured by closer cumulus so my attention was mainly on the cell
>now developing to the north. At first it was not promising as the updraft
>was weak and started to spread out as altocumulus towards the SE. But
>slowly it developed with the NW flank of this weak multicell gradually
>punching higher and higher. Pilleus formed at various stages. It began to
>preciptate around 12.30pm as it moved and spread towards the ENE. The
>clouds tops reached probably to about 8km before some slight backshearing
>occurred. Unfortunately it became obscured as it moved over the Gosford
>area. Later the cell intensified offshore and can be seen as the large cell
>on the latest CSIRO pic at 34 degrees S:
>http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/199810260450.html
>
>Not much was happening around western Sydney at this stage (1pm) and it was
>rather hot in the sun I headed back home to check the latest data. I
>discovered that showers were moving into the metro area near Camden so I
>headed back out to Rooty Hill. Just as I arrived it bucketed down with rain
>from a single large cumulus overhead. This quickly cleared as the
>approaching 'cell' from the west edged closer. It devloped a nice rain free
>base on its northern side (close to me) while to its south very heavy
>precipitation occurred. I watched this cell for nearly an hour as it made
>its way eastwards and into the inner western suburbs (I guess). At the same
>time (from 2pm) a bank of large cells gathered on the western parts of the
>Blue Mountains. Congestus was visible ahead of the line and seemed that
>Sydney would not miss this one! I left the Hill at 2.30pm as I had to
>intercept with Jimmy (after he finishes work at 3), then get my car to my
>wifes work then we could go! It was a mad dash when Jimmy arrived at my
>place as the storm system to the west was quickly approaching. After many
>annoying trucks on the way &^! at % at  we made it to Rooty Hill (once again) at
>3.30pm. Just in time. The storm was now in the Sydney basin and developing
>a nice structure on its forward edge. A shelf cloud and scuds heralded the
>ominous looking precipiation core. It sure looked like we would get hail.
>We could see the intense rain spread through the valley towards us. The
>wind struck with gusts to around 70km/h I guess then very heavy rain with a
>little thunder for about 10 minutes. No hail - it was surprising. Flash
>flooding of streets was common as probably 25-30 mm fell in 10 minutes
>through Rooty Hill and then Doonside. A few flashes of lightning were
>visible after the cell passed, but there was surprisingly little.
>
>After that it was virtually all over. Light rain persisted throughout the
>afternoon. Some weak cells became visiable to the far west towards sunset.
>
>regards, Michael  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:05:00 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Michael Bath and I have been close. There was a storm near Branxton near
Singleton which had some severe bolts. We took cover and we must admit we
feared some of the bolts.


Jimmy Deguara
-----Original Message-----
From: Mark Hardy 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, October 26, 1998 10:03 PM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today


>Michael
>
>Have you ever been struck by lightning - or even had a close call?
>
>----------
>>From: Michael Bath 
>>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>>Subject: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
>>Date: 26 Oct 1998 21:45
>>
>
>>
>>I had a couple of observation sessions at the infamous Rooty Hill today
and
>>then a rushed chased with Jimmy later on.
>>
>>Cumulus developed quickly over the western parts of Greater Sydney from
>>late morning with two areas of congestus forming at this time also: to the
>>far west probably around Lithgow and just to my north. The area to the
west
>>became obscured by closer cumulus so my attention was mainly on the cell
>>now developing to the north. At first it was not promising as the updraft
>>was weak and started to spread out as altocumulus towards the SE. But
>>slowly it developed with the NW flank of this weak multicell gradually
>>punching higher and higher. Pilleus formed at various stages. It began to
>>preciptate around 12.30pm as it moved and spread towards the ENE. The
>>clouds tops reached probably to about 8km before some slight backshearing
>>occurred. Unfortunately it became obscured as it moved over the Gosford
>>area. Later the cell intensified offshore and can be seen as the large
cell
>>on the latest CSIRO pic at 34 degrees S:
>>http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/199810260450.html
>>
>>Not much was happening around western Sydney at this stage (1pm) and it
was
>>rather hot in the sun I headed back home to check the latest data. I
>>discovered that showers were moving into the metro area near Camden so I
>>headed back out to Rooty Hill. Just as I arrived it bucketed down with
rain
>>from a single large cumulus overhead. This quickly cleared as the
>>approaching 'cell' from the west edged closer. It devloped a nice rain
free
>>base on its northern side (close to me) while to its south very heavy
>>precipitation occurred. I watched this cell for nearly an hour as it made
>>its way eastwards and into the inner western suburbs (I guess). At the
same
>>time (from 2pm) a bank of large cells gathered on the western parts of the
>>Blue Mountains. Congestus was visible ahead of the line and seemed that
>>Sydney would not miss this one! I left the Hill at 2.30pm as I had to
>>intercept with Jimmy (after he finishes work at 3), then get my car to my
>>wifes work then we could go! It was a mad dash when Jimmy arrived at my
>>place as the storm system to the west was quickly approaching. After many
>>annoying trucks on the way &^! at % at  we made it to Rooty Hill (once again) at
>>3.30pm. Just in time. The storm was now in the Sydney basin and developing
>>a nice structure on its forward edge. A shelf cloud and scuds heralded the
>>ominous looking precipiation core. It sure looked like we would get hail.
>>We could see the intense rain spread through the valley towards us. The
>>wind struck with gusts to around 70km/h I guess then very heavy rain with
a
>>little thunder for about 10 minutes. No hail - it was surprising. Flash
>>flooding of streets was common as probably 25-30 mm fell in 10 minutes
>>through Rooty Hill and then Doonside. A few flashes of lightning were
>>visible after the cell passed, but there was surprisingly little.
>>
>>After that it was virtually all over. Light rain persisted throughout the
>>afternoon. Some weak cells became visiable to the far west towards sunset.
>>
>>regards, Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:17:26 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath 
Subject: aussie-weather: close lightning
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

As Jimmy has answered, the lightning on that day at Branxton was some of
the closest. Earlier that day while on the Central Coast, there was a bolt
about 500m away that was totally unexpected as storms seemed to be way off
from us.

On 23rd March 1997 (at Rooty Hill again!) there were numerous close flashes
which were particularly scary as I filmed a shelf cloud with the sun
setting behind it. The lightning was the reason I left!

There have been many very close strikes while at home - lightning and
thunder vitually together, but for some reason I don't feel as worried
about those even though I'm usually outside filming at the time. I guess
standing in a totally open area like Rooty Hill you feel much more vulnerable.

Michael

*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: close lightning
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:22:43 +1100
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This actually reminds me of a small storm that occurred last year. Small as
it may seem, it had some of the most severe bolts of lightning. And because
all were close in a small storm, they echoed into the valley with a large
bang. The storm squall line early this year had similar severe bolts of
lightning. Each time it struck, you knew something blew up.

Jimmy Deguara

-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Bath 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, October 26, 1998 10:18 PM
Subject: aussie-weather: close lightning


>As Jimmy has answered, the lightning on that day at Branxton was some of
>the closest. Earlier that day while on the Central Coast, there was a bolt
>about 500m away that was totally unexpected as storms seemed to be way off
>from us.
>
>On 23rd March 1997 (at Rooty Hill again!) there were numerous close flashes
>which were particularly scary as I filmed a shelf cloud with the sun
>setting behind it. The lightning was the reason I left!
>
>There have been many very close strikes while at home - lightning and
>thunder vitually together, but for some reason I don't feel as worried
>about those even though I'm usually outside filming at the time. I guess
>standing in a totally open area like Rooty Hill you feel much more
vulnerable.
>
>Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:23:19 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Severe Thunderstorm Advice...
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
Reply-Read: pgraham1 at mail.usyd.edu.au
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thought I'd post this to the list in case some people haven't already seen
it (and for the archive Michael is creating):

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 2137 on Monday the 26th of October 1998

This advice affects people in the following weather districts:

Northwest Slopes and Plains.

Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area this evening.
Some of these are expected to be severe, bringing large hailstones, heavy
rain and destructive winds.

A line of thunderstorms currently extends from near Coolarenebri/Lightning
Ridge  to Gunnedah and is moving E/ESE at about 60 km/h.  

The STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people should:
 * put vehicles under cover or cover them with blankets
 * move indoors away from windows

During and after storms people should:
 * take extreme care when driving 
 * beware of fallen trees and power lines
 * keep away from creeks and drains as you may be swept away 

If your house is damaged contact your local State Emergency Service unit,
listed under "S" in the White Pages, for emergency assistance. Don't use
the
telephone during storms.

TV CRAWL: Severe Thunderstorm Advice current in the Northwest Slopes and
Plains  districts.

NOT FOR BROADCAST: This advice message is valid until 12.30pm. The Bureau
and SES would appreciate it being broadcast regularly until this time.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:23:39 +1100
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Current obs in Taree. Lightning to the SE (the leftovers of the ccell that
went through Newcastle), active lightning to the NW (the Tamworth line) and
some intermittent lightning to the SW & W. Im crossing my fingers. But its
getting late!

Paul

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: close lightning
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:32:21 +1100
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The best lightning I have had was when I was 16, and staying at Leura during
the Jan school hols. This great storm swept through, hail, wind, heavy rain
& lightning. It struck the house we were in 4 times, blowing the power off,
and leaving 10 teenagers in the dark! hehehe........that was a
storm.........

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:40:05 +1100
From: Anthony Cornelius 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: close lightning
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I've had a few "close" experiences with lightning - the first was when I
was younger, when I was about 12.  I remember waking up and watching a
late night t'storm while sitting in bed, when one of the neighbour's TV
antenna's got hit by lightning!  It was about 20m away (diagonally) it
was deafening!  The other two experiences where in Malaysia, one was
"cool" the other was almost scary.  We were driving along and we hit a
rain curtain of one of the storms, visibility was almost nill, very soon
however we exited this, and there was only very light rain.  But there
was a series of construction sights along the highway with a few cranes
- 3 CG's hit the cranes while we were passing only about 50m away!

The other one was at my grandfathers house - we were in the lounge when
the house got struck by lightning - but it somehow hit the phone wiring,
it went through the phone wiring about 2m until nearby was a metal
curtain frame - a spark escaped the plastic covering of the wiring, hit
the metal curtain rod - and then hit one of the concrete walls actually
chipping out a small piece of concrete!  Perhaps what was the scariest
thing was that not 2 minutes ago, I was standing right next to that
curtain rod.  Nonetheless, it was extremely interesting and exciting :-)

Anthony

Michael Bath wrote:
> 
> As Jimmy has answered, the lightning on that day at Branxton was some of
> the closest. Earlier that day while on the Central Coast, there was a bolt
> about 500m away that was totally unexpected as storms seemed to be way off
> from us.
> 
> On 23rd March 1997 (at Rooty Hill again!) there were numerous close flashes
> which were particularly scary as I filmed a shelf cloud with the sun
> setting behind it. The lightning was the reason I left!
> 
> There have been many very close strikes while at home - lightning and
> thunder vitually together, but for some reason I don't feel as worried
> about those even though I'm usually outside filming at the time. I guess
> standing in a totally open area like Rooty Hill you feel much more vulnerable.
> 
> Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:59:39 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Ball Lightning...
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
Reply-Read: pgraham1 at mail.usyd.edu.au
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Dear Friends,
Has anyone had an experience with ball lightning?  This is the rarest form
of lightning and is believed to form in certain situations when magnetic
two magnetic fields are approximately perpendicular (recent New Scientist
Mag).  I have a few stories of the phenomena: one is from an uncle who
used to be in the Air Force.  Apparently, one of his colleagues, while
flying a RAAF plane over Malaysia, witnessed a fireball drift through the
cockpittowards his seat belt.  It came very close and shrank in size an he
received a large electric shock which caused permanent nerve damage. 
Apparently it detatched and drifted down the isle of the aircraft
(witnessed by all those on board) before floating up to the top of the
tailplane and blowing its top off!  Another is a vague story I recall a
friend telling me of his aunt living in east Roseville here in Sydney. 
Apparently one summer during an intense electrical storm she witnessed an
orange fireball float around her kitchen before harmlessly exploding.  A
few years ago while I was in Canberra in January staying with family, we
experienced a thunderstorm with intense lightning - it also brought some
small hail and very heavy rain.  I think that the Woden valley may have
been flooded because there was a report about the storms the following day
in the Canberra Times (and I believe that suburb is prone to flash
floods).  But what I remember (besides the report on the flooding)  was a
report of a lady in the southern suburbs who witnessed a fireball in her
bathroom!  Yet another case of this fascinating phenomena.  

My biggest fear is that one day I may have the rare opportunity of
witnessing this phenomena (not likely) but my camera will be on the wrong
settings.  In my struggle to correct the apeture and shutter speed I'll
miss the opportunity for a rare photograph.  Worse still, I won't have my
camera ready!!

- Paul G. 

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:05:32 +0800
From: Michael Fewings 
Organization: Edith Cowan Uni
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Close Lightning
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi,

Mike from Perth. My favourite subject. Lightning. I have had quite a few
close strikes. The most dangerous was when I was standing in a paddock
about 30 metres from an 25 meter tower (you think that would be
relatively safe). Lightning struck the ground  about the same distance
away on the other side of the tower. This was when I was about 12.
Shocked the hell out of me. Since then I have been a  more careful about
standing out in the open when there are storms around.
The closest strike was when I was photographing lightning from a place
just out of Esperance called Blue Haven Beach. I was in my car trying to
get a photo of lightning striking the tower on Wireless hill about 2 km
away when out of the blue lightning struck about 3  metres away. All I
saw were little filaments of lightning between me and the waters edge
and a very bright arc that struck a bush next to me.
The sound (if you could call it thunder) was a squeal similar to a very
loud squeaky door closing and lasted for a fraction of a second. Then
there was absolute silence. That was too close for me!! Unfortunately it
didn't scare me enough to press the shutter release on my camera that I
had resting on the window seal finger ready.
Many times I have had lightning strike between 100 metres and 500
metres.  I am reasonably safe though in my car and very rarely get out
of it if a storm is less than 7-10 km away.

Mike

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "dpn" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Close lightning
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:06:53 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I have had two scarey close Lightning encounters. about 8 or so years ago
we got caught out in a storm at Warburton( about 80km east of Melbourne)
while playing golf. The storm had been rumbling around the hills for about
an hour before it hit the course. We scurried off the course we had to run
about 500 meters in heavy rain there were at least 5 cg falshes with no
discernable break between the the lightning and the Thunder. I saw one
flash hit the ground only about 100 meters away. It was very scarey. also
about 3 years ago on a bush walk from Mt Baw Baw to mt St Gwinear car park
got caught in a heavy storm which broke when we were at the very top of Mt
St Gwineer( Elevation 1500m) very open rocky area with hardly any trees.
Frequent cg flashes with little or no time lag between lightning and
thunder,very scarey and very cold with heavy rain hail and temp down to
about 8 celsius. Dane Newman. Ps thanks for keeping us Melbournians
informed of the storms in NSW. Cold with occasional showers here. current
Kilsyth temp 7.2c. 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: NEWS NEWS NEWS
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:13:58 +1100
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Gustfront just hit here......winds now at 42km/h, rain falling, no sign of
lightning yet.......probably just a dying cell.......

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: UPDATE UPDATE UPDATE
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:15:41 +1100
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Heavy rain now falling, wind gusting up to 50 km/h........no lightning
yet.........

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "James Chambers" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: direct lightning strike at footy
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:28:32 +1000
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Hi all

I just saw sensational footage of a direct lightning stirke at a soccer
match in Johannesburg in South Africa.  Well actually I didn't see the bolt,
but there was a bright flash and then 6-9 players collapsed onto the ground
holding their heads.  The thunder of course was BOOMING -- so #$# loud!
Scarey really.
Those players went to hospital but no serious injuries occurred.

I saw it on Fox Sports News

James from bris
-----------------------------------------------------------------
James Chambers
jamestorm at ozemail.com.au
The Brisbane and SE Qld Storm Site
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:39:09 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Close Lightning...
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
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Hello everyone,
	Somethhing a little bit different:  where I used to live I had a
much larger garden.  Across this garden was strung a longwire antenna for
HF (high frequency) radio communications (eg. Short Wave listening).  The
antenna system consisted of the longwire (about 35 meters) to the back
fence and a ground wire which was draped down the side of the house.  Both
wires entered the house through my window side by side (so they were in
close proximity).  During intense electrical storms (when the lightning
was clost by) I often witnessed a spark jump from the antenna wire to the
ground lead due to the electromagnetic field associated with the lightning
bolt.  This is one reason why you should avoid using electrical equipment
during storms.  A friend of mine had a similar experience last summer: he
left a 240volt extension cord plugged in and switched on but with no
devices connected while he was out.  During this time an electrical storm
came through his area.  When he returned home he found there was no
electricity available but his neighbours still seemed OK - so he checked
the fuse box (should say "circuit breaker box"  these days) and found the
circuit breaker had tripped.  Then he found the power cord: the end was
blackened and had melted slightly!  He asked me what I thought (he's the
physiscist...) and my theory was that strong EMF's associated with the
lightning had caused the air to breakdown (ionise) near the end of the
cord causing a short circuit to be established: once this had happened,
current was free to flow from the mains (since he had forgotten to turn it
off) and this caused the end of the plug to melt and the circuit breaker
(or fuse)  to respond.  The moral of the story is: don't leave electrical
cords plugged in and switched on during thunderstorms: don't use
telephones (except perhaps cordless or mobile) either...Possibly avoid
using any electrical devices when the lightning is close...

- Paul G.
----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:47:43 +1100
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Jimmy has, and only just recently at Storm King Dam !!!

Only the second time in my life I have heard the thunder boom echo off
nearby objects ( not rolling, but BOOOM... BOOM...... BOOM type echo ).

Michael ( the other one )


-----Original Message-----
From: Mark Hardy 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Monday, 26 October 1998 22:03
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today


>Michael
>
>Have you ever been struck by lightning - or even had a close call?
>
>----------
>>From: Michael Bath 
>>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>>Subject: aussie-weather: events in Sydney today
>>Date: 26 Oct 1998 21:45
>>
>
>>
>>I had a couple of observation sessions at the infamous Rooty Hill today
and
>>then a rushed chased with Jimmy later on.
>>
>>Cumulus developed quickly over the western parts of Greater Sydney from
>>late morning with two areas of congestus forming at this time also: to the
>>far west probably around Lithgow and just to my north. The area to the
west
>>became obscured by closer cumulus so my attention was mainly on the cell
>>now developing to the north. At first it was not promising as the updraft
>>was weak and started to spread out as altocumulus towards the SE. But
>>slowly it developed with the NW flank of this weak multicell gradually
>>punching higher and higher. Pilleus formed at various stages. It began to
>>preciptate around 12.30pm as it moved and spread towards the ENE. The
>>clouds tops reached probably to about 8km before some slight backshearing
>>occurred. Unfortunately it became obscured as it moved over the Gosford
>>area. Later the cell intensified offshore and can be seen as the large
cell
>>on the latest CSIRO pic at 34 degrees S:
>>http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/storm/199810260450.html
>>
>>Not much was happening around western Sydney at this stage (1pm) and it
was
>>rather hot in the sun I headed back home to check the latest data. I
>>discovered that showers were moving into the metro area near Camden so I
>>headed back out to Rooty Hill. Just as I arrived it bucketed down with
rain
>>from a single large cumulus overhead. This quickly cleared as the
>>approaching 'cell' from the west edged closer. It devloped a nice rain
free
>>base on its northern side (close to me) while to its south very heavy
>>precipitation occurred. I watched this cell for nearly an hour as it made
>>its way eastwards and into the inner western suburbs (I guess). At the
same
>>time (from 2pm) a bank of large cells gathered on the western parts of the
>>Blue Mountains. Congestus was visible ahead of the line and seemed that
>>Sydney would not miss this one! I left the Hill at 2.30pm as I had to
>>intercept with Jimmy (after he finishes work at 3), then get my car to my
>>wifes work then we could go! It was a mad dash when Jimmy arrived at my
>>place as the storm system to the west was quickly approaching. After many
>>annoying trucks on the way &^! at % at  we made it to Rooty Hill (once again) at
>>3.30pm. Just in time. The storm was now in the Sydney basin and developing
>>a nice structure on its forward edge. A shelf cloud and scuds heralded the
>>ominous looking precipiation core. It sure looked like we would get hail.
>>We could see the intense rain spread through the valley towards us. The
>>wind struck with gusts to around 70km/h I guess then very heavy rain with
a
>>little thunder for about 10 minutes. No hail - it was surprising. Flash
>>flooding of streets was common as probably 25-30 mm fell in 10 minutes
>>through Rooty Hill and then Doonside. A few flashes of lightning were
>>visible after the cell passed, but there was surprisingly little.
>>
>>After that it was virtually all over. Light rain persisted throughout the
>>afternoon. Some weak cells became visiable to the far west towards sunset.
>>
>>regards, Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Weak Storms ( 11.50pm )
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:55:42 +1100
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Radar indicates a very weak, but what I would call a rough line of storms
from just south of Parkes to off Moruya Heads. My bet that this is the front
as there is virtually nothing behind it. May produce a rumble in the
Illawarra - Sydney in 3-4 hours time.

But then again I have been know to be wrong.

Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:56:41 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: Deep Coastal Low...
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Hi everyone,
	The Bureau's prognosis shows a deep low forming off the NSW coast. 
I suppose to be classified as an "east coast low" it has to track south
and parallel to the coast for part of its life..The chart shows it to be
well off the coast but it'll be interesting to look out to sea.  
- Paul G. 

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "James Chambers" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: ball lightning
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:58:22 +1000
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Paul...I believe ball lightning occurred just after the passage of the 1973
Brisbane Tornado - that'll all I can tell you!  The technical report on the
storm written by the Bureau reports the event but does not elaborate.

James from bris
-----------------------------------------------------------------
James Chambers
jamestorm at ozemail.com.au
The Brisbane and SE Qld Storm Site
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html

Document: 981026.htm
Updated: 29th October, 1998

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