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Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 10th January 1999 |
From Subject
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001 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Phone Location
002 David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com] Re:location + Phone numbers
003 Andrew Puddifer [andypudd at backmeup.net.au] hone numbers
004 Susan Puddifer [susanpud at sydney.healey.com.au Location
005 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] ASWA meeting 9/1/99
006 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Boring blue sky
007 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Rain And Frogs
008 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Phone Number
009 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Location
010 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Rain And Frogs
011 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Location and phone numbers
012 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Sydney situation
013 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.com.au] Aussie weather list
014 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au] Phone Location
015 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Brisbane Situation
016 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au] Sydney OBS
017 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Brisbane Situation
018 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Sydney OBS
019 "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au] Phone #
020 Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] Brisbane Situation
021 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather
022 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Sydney OBS
023 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Yesterdays Central Tablelands storms
024 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Brisbane vs Moree Soundings
025 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] contact details
026 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Sydney OBS
027 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au] SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
028 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Sydney situation
029 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange weather
030 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Wollongong Obs - 6.30pm
031 Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] Holy Snappers!!
032 "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com] Phone-Location
033 Ira [jra at upnaway.com] Links
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001
X-Originating-Ip: [203.25.186.101]
From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Phone Location
Date: Sat, 09 Jan 1999 05:37:44 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Michael,
(03) 54 937 207
Kevin from Wycheproof.
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002
Date: Sat, 9 Jan 1999 06:12:09 -0800 (PST)
From: David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Re:location + Phone numbers
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Jane and everyone
David Croan from Beacon Hill in Sydney. My mobile phone no. is 0412
655 134 and I can be contacted most of the time on that although the
way it has been in Sydney this storm season, about the only thing
you'll be getting off me is a beach report.
Also, my work suburb is Pymble and this unfortunately begins again on
the 18th (which by then would be four weeks and, i expect, no storms
later!.
David
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003
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 02:15:16 +1100
From: Andrew Puddifer [andypudd at backmeup.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 (Macintosh; I; PPC)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather:Phone numbers
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi there,
Well, I'm usually around the north shore, inner west, but I do travel
north a bit, so maybe you could use my phone number.
0411 26 26 70
Andrew Puddifer.
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004
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 07:53:39 +1100 (EST)
From: Susan Puddifer [susanpud at sydney.healey.com.au]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Location
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Susan from Balmain
Good idea although at the moment I don't know what I'm looking at except
for big fluffy white things or big black lumpy things or thin wispy stuff
I work in the Marrickville area (south eastern Sydney) work number is 9557
5760 (9-5) or at home at Balmain (inner Sydney) 9810 1915
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005
X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 09:21:44 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: ASWA meeting 9/1/99
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
The second meeting of ASWA was held at the 2KY building (thanks to Grant
Boyden) at Parramatta from 10am to 2pm 9/1/99.
Attendees: Michael Bath, Jimmy Deguara, Michael Scollay, Paul Mossman, Paul
Graham, Grant Boyden, Darren Heys, David Croan, Jeff Thurtell, Michael
Thompson, Paul Wickham, Matt Smith and Matthew Piper.
The first two hours was spent discussing some issues relating to the set up
of the association:
- registration of association name
- banking
- web domain name
- storm news
- state meeting representation
- fees
- radar access
- T-shirt and logos
while other discussions revolved around the issues of communications, media
and BoM involvement, and the use of Grads software as a forecasting tool.
After a break, discussion was concentrated on the 18/12/98 storms, the
chaser Darwin trip and photos that members had brought in. As others have
already posted to the list, the day continued with most heading west to see
some action, which was unfortunately too far away.
The date of the next meeting has not been decided yet but will be held in
the same location.
Our Association name is being processed at the moment. When this is
finalised, we will make the call for membership.
Paul Mossman (secretary) may add some detail to these notes when he returns
home from Sydney.
regards, Michael
ASWA President
*==========================================================*
Michael Bath Oakhurst, Sydney mbath at ozemail.com.au
Australian Severe Weather
http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*
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006
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Boring blue sky
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 09:22:18 +1100
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Morning Folks,
As of 9.20am 10/1 I have woken up to a boring blue sky. Not a cloud to be
seen.
At present readings are 24C, 1016, 35%, E/ENE 2-3 knots.
Terry.
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007
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Rain And Frogs
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 99 08:39:59 PST
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X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id JAA22970
Hello Dan - I have just read an article in an old National Geographic about
frogs. (Yep - I know - Get a Life:-)) Anyway, this article said that frogs
sing or don't sing according to temperaturem among other things. Could it be
that the humidity pre storm weather was warmer than those other misty rain
storm days?
Just a thought, and felt like passing it on to you.
Cheers,
Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au
----------
>
> In the the last half an hour it has poured here. (Werrington Downs)20mm from
> 2:30 to 3:10. The sky is a dark green but no visable cloud formations, just
> rain.
> In reply to Paul re: animals and Severe weather, there have a frog which lives
> in in a huge satghorn fern just near my window, and on a humid afternoon about
> 30 minutes just before a storm hits, the frog begind to sing. However, some
> afternoons when there is heaps of storm activity and we recive nothing, the
> frog doesn't sing.
>
> Finally just a question to the buffs out there? Which are the more dangerous
> storm, the scattered cell storm, or the broad frontal storm (eg Brisbane Storm
> 2 months ago). A broader frontal storm is logically more dangerous because
> usually they are associated with dramatic atmospheric change, an can effect a
> wide path, but a small isolated storm although -small, and, devolped only
> becasue of small pockets of rising moisture-can be as dangerous becasue they
> affect a concentrated area thus maing forecasting (and chasing)much more
> difficult.
>
> Just a thought. These is probably a really logical answer, which escapes me,
> but anyway.
>
> Happy hunting
>
> Dann
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008
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Phone Number
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 09:36:27 +1100
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Hi Michael and anybody else interested,
I live at Orange. My phone no. is 02 6362 3523. I am hard to catch but leave
a message on the message bank. Most of the time I am not far away. I will
have to get a mobile one of these days.
The cloud you saw to the NW must have been the altocumulus
castellanus that I reported over Dubbo way. The weather around Orange
tormented me all day but nothing developed.
Terry.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
009
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aussie-weather: Location
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 09:48:50 +1100
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Hi Andrew,
Yea. I still waiting to receive one of my messages from yesterday. I re-sent
the message and have received that copy.
Yesterday morning and this morning I have received messages from 20.00 -
21.00 from the night before some time after downloading the morning mail. As
It's on auto sort by time received it's a bit disconcerting when you are
told you have new mail and there is none on the bottom of the list. I have
to scroll back through the list to read the new/old mail.
Terry.
mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au
-----Original Message-----
>From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
>[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Andrew
>Puddifer
>Sent: Saturday, 9 January 1999 18:10
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject:
>
>
>
> Andrew Puddifer
> Location: Balmain, Sydney.
>
>Has anyone else had problems with messages on this list not coming
>through for 2 days? I had to resubscribe. Bizarre!
>
> Andrew.
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010
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aussie-weather: Rain And Frogs
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 09:59:36 +1100
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Hi Nandina,
I do frog watching for a couple of the herpetological society's. If the
truth be known they get excited over a good storm (not hail though) similar
to storm chasers.
Depending on the breed and location, but generally the warmer and more humid
the better they like it.
Terry.
mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au
-----Original Message-----
>From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
>[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Nandina
>Morris
>Sent: Monday, 11 January 1999 2:40
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject:
>
>
>Hello Dan - I have just read an article in an old National Geographic about
>frogs. (Yep - I know - Get a Life:-)) Anyway, this article said that frogs
>sing or don't sing according to temperaturem among other things. Could it
>be that the humidity pre storm weather was warmer than those other misty
>rain storm days?
>
>Just a thought, and felt like passing it on to you.
>
>Cheers,
>
>Nandina
>nandina at alphalink.com.au
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011
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 10:49:49 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Location and phone numbers
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
It's ok for this one to go across the list for me.
I must admit Michael and everyone that Laurier offered his willingness to
be contacted but at that time I had forgotten. I had the phone number in my
bag. I just did not think that 45 minutes was worth the effort in light
there were cumulus hiding the storms which were getting weak. Later I did
see the storms which persisted throughout the evening.
I will be carrying my book of phone numbers from now on and will have a
record of all phonenumbers as well. You give it and it gets recorded. We
will eventually get a record of everyone once the membership drive begins
but those numbers will remain anonymous unless you wish to release it. As
Michael said, this is for those who wish to be contacted whilst chasers are
out there doing the hard yards and get some 'accurate' feedback on the
weather situation.
My number is (02) 96271943 when I am at home but I am one of the chasers so
that may affect if I am at home or not. My internet connection is a
separate line so I can talk and indicate what is going on whilst the
internet is live.
At 11:36 PM 1/9/99 +1100, you wrote:
>Todays tentative chase has led me to think that a list of phone numbers of
>willing visual observers would be nice.
>
>But only phone numbers for those who do not mind being called for a visual
>check. For instance this afternoon we knew that there was something hiding
>behind the Cu rubbish along the Blue Mountains, but did not want to risk a
>drive. With a phone number of a willing weather list person we could have
>rung someone in Orange or Bathurst and asked what the conditions were like.
>
>But again I stress that it must only be people who will not mind having to
>answer the phone to storm hungry chasers.
>
>Anyway mine is 02 42 971693 Shellharbour, ( Illawarra, NSW ).
>
>Jane: would it be Ok to add the numbers to your list, or perhaps a separate
>list is better ?
>
>Michael
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012
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:02:07 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney situation
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
This morning, I noticed and quite welcomed the site of altocumulus
castellanus to the N of Schofields but more or less in the lower to mide
levels. This to me indicated that the Lithgow area will fire up again today
as there is some residual instability. It is starting to fire at the moment
with a very large cumulus developing there. I will keep you in touch as to
what will happen. This is why I was most interested that the thundery
activity was maintained last night.
We will see how it goes today.
Jimmy Deguara
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------
Jimmy Deguara
Vice President ASWA
from Schofields, Sydney
e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au
homepage with Michael Bath
http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
013
From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.com.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Aussie weather list
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:07:21 +1100
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So far I have 49!!! members on my list, most home suburbs, some work
suburbs, some phone numbers, some mobile numbers, some ICQ numbers.
If you haven't added your details and you'd like to ......
Melbourne this morning - fine after thin St burnt off about 8.30, currently
26.0C, 1010 and falling, 69% humidity.
Jane
Bayswater, Melbourne
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
014
From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Phone Location
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:06:14 +1100
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Np Good Idea.
0412 661 937 or work 02 96339333
******************************************
Grant Boyden
http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden/storm
http://www.2ky.com.au
IRC = au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667
ICQ = 23511159
******************************************
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015
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 10:24:43 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Brisbane Situation
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
Well - at 6am I woke up to a very welcome site, with a fair bit of
Altocumulus Castellatus! Not to mention, storms were forming out west
near Gatton and up through to Esk - but these moved further north. At
around 9am we had a light shower, but now it's completely OVC with Cu,
26.1C, DP of 21C, 1009hPa falling - certainly, this cloud is going to
have to clear before we can get some decent storms!
Will keep you posted,
Anthony from Brisbane
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
016
From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney OBS
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:28:35 +1100
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Hmmm, interesting the east coast low that was over Bega has slowly started
to move up the coast a little and Paul M, our guess that the onther low
from queensland may come down has happened.
As Jimmy just mentioned, a great deal of cloud about at the moment but, not
much rain.
Current: 26%
1008
60% rel.
What happens now????
******************************************
Grant Boyden
http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden/storm
http://www.2ky.com.au
IRC = au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667
ICQ = 23511159
******************************************
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017
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:30:10 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Brisbane Situation
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
The satpic indicates an area to the W-SW of Brisbane which will fire up
later. The storms to the NW should be watched as they look quite intersting.
Jimmy
At 10:24 AM 1/10/99 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi all,
>
>Well - at 6am I woke up to a very welcome site, with a fair bit of
>Altocumulus Castellatus! Not to mention, storms were forming out west
>near Gatton and up through to Esk - but these moved further north. At
>around 9am we had a light shower, but now it's completely OVC with Cu,
>26.1C, DP of 21C, 1009hPa falling - certainly, this cloud is going to
>have to clear before we can get some decent storms!
>
>Will keep you posted,
>
>Anthony from Brisbane
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
018
X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:32:29 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Sydney OBS
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I think the situation in Sydney is typically a spring situation when we
have a slightly unstable SW-S airstream. We should get showers developing
from this lot but I am watching the mtns although they are just cumulus at
this stage.
Jimmy
At 11:28 AM 1/10/99 +1100, you wrote:
>Hmmm, interesting the east coast low that was over Bega has slowly started
>to move up the coast a little and Paul M, our guess that the onther low
>from queensland may come down has happened.
>
>As Jimmy just mentioned, a great deal of cloud about at the moment but, not
>much rain.
>
>Current: 26%
>1008
>60% rel.
>
>What happens now????
>
>
>******************************************
>Grant Boyden
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
019
From: "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Phone #
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 11:55:37 +1100
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02 66867192
John from Ballina
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
020
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 10:54:48 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Brisbane Situation
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Ben from Brisbane here ..
The storms to the NW and NNW are too far away to chase unfortunately, they do
look interesting .. some pink on the radar apparently. This mornings 12z AVN
Lifted index forecasts shifted the main area of -7 LI's from the border
ranges/gold coast area to WNWt of brisbane, and the 18z forecasts increased the
LI's from -7 to -8 at 6z thisafternoon WNW of brisbane. At the moment it's
cloudy to the south, north and east but there is a clearing from the SSW to the
NW that i can see. Already filling with Cu, and some starting to tower nicely.
At the moment i'm thnking the Sunshine Coast (north of Brisbane) will most
probably be the best spot to be today, as the storms should move NE from the -8
LI area, although it's starting to clear nicely to my SW and S at the moment, so
who knows. Looking very nice though, could be some monsters around today ..
although we dont have soundings available for brisbane from last night,
hopefully we will get todays.
Jimmy Deguara wrote:
> The satpic indicates an area to the W-SW of Brisbane which will fire up
> later. The storms to the NW should be watched as they look quite intersting.
>
> Jimmy
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
021
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 12:20:55 +1100
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Hi All,
Good amount of cu building up in a full 360 degree view of the sky at the
moment. Not much activity within the clouds and a very slow moving band.
FINGERS CROSSED
At 12.15pm 25C, 1014, 25%, E at 2 knots.
Terry.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
022
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Sydney OBS
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 12:49:01 +1100
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A mixture here in Wollongong, eastwards is fairly typical of a moist SE
onshore flow, a line of showers sitting about 20kms off the coast with the
occasional light one making it to shore. A heavier shower just to the SW
near Barren Grounds ( 600m ).
However, some of the Cu over Wollongong itself is looking more terrestrial,
almost congestus, but I am not going to call it that yet. It upholds what
Jimmy is suggesting that there is some instability in the SW flow up above
say 1000m -`1500m. Unfortunately it is definitely going nowhere here, and I
even doubt west of the ranges will fire. I hope I am wrong.
Michael
>I think the situation in Sydney is typically a spring situation when we
>have a slightly unstable SW-S airstream. We should get showers developing
>from this lot but I am watching the mtns although they are just cumulus at
>this stage.
>
>Jimmy
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
023
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Yesterdays Central Tablelands storms
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 12:37:54 +1100
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The radar did indicate a storm cell north of Lithgow heading to Merriwa
region. It developed N/NW of Lithgow, perhaps Hill End / Sofala / Rylstone,
Perhaps Cu rubbish also prevented you from viewing it as well.
Regardless it is pretty horrible chasing area, only one main sealed road and
lots of forest land.
Michael
-----Original Message-----
>From: Terry Bishop
>To: Aussie-weather
>Date: Sunday, 10 January 1999 9:36
>Subject: aussie-weather: Phone Number
>
>
>Hi Michael and anybody else interested,
>
>I live at Orange. My phone no. is 02 6362 3523. I am hard to catch but
leave
>a message on the message bank. Most of the time I am not far away. I will
>have to get a mobile one of these days.
>
>The cloud you saw to the NW must have been the altocumulus
>castellanus that I reported over Dubbo way. The weather around Orange
>tormented me all day but nothing developed.
>
> Terry.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
024
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 12:31:59 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Brisbane vs Moree Soundings
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
Initially the soundings page was down, so I contacted the BoM and they
relayed back some data to me - appauling soundings really. I questioned
the forecaster about it, considering LI's were never forecasted to go
above about -4 today, as he said our LI was '0'. He said that their
software programme wasn't working too well, so it may be incorrect.
Anyway - the atmospheric soundings page updated finally, and the two
comparisions are interesting. First is the Brisbane soundings, second
is the Moree soundings:
Brisbane:
1000-500 mb thick: 5712.00 m
Freezing level: 620.78 mb = 4102.01 m = 13457.89 ft
Wetbulb zero: 636.50 mb = 3878.20 m = 12723.59 ft
Precipitable water: 1.73 inches
Sfc-500 mean rel hum: 78.46 %
Est. max temperature: 31.26 C = 88.27 F
Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 937.16 mb = 641.96 m = 2106.13 ft T: 20.87
C
700-500 lapse rate: 5.48 C/km
ThetaE index: 5.64 C Layer 932.0- 850.0 mb
Conv cond level (CCL): 805.62 mb = 1935.05 m = 6348.50 ft
Mean mixing ratio: 12.44 g/kg
Conv temperature: 32.84 C = 91.11 F
Cap Strength: 3.73 C
Lifted Index: 0.16 C Risk: Showers probable
Lifted Index at 300 mb: 1.20 C
Lifted Index at 700 mb: -0.14 C
Showalter Index: 1.22 C Risk: Showers probable
Total Totals Index: 45.60 C Risk: Scattered moderate thunderstorms
Vertical Totals Index: 26.30 C
Cross Totals Index: 19.30 C
K Index: 32.40 Risk: 60-80 % chance of thunderstorms
Sweat Index: 168.80 Risk: None
Energy Index: 0.09 Risk: None
Parcel Indices
Parcel: using 100 mb layer
CAPE (B+): 62.22 J/kg
Max Up Vert Vel: 11.16 m/s
Conv Inhibition (B-): 160.56 J/kg
Cap Strength: 3.62 C
Lift Cond Lev (LCL): 887.92 mb = 1107.86 m = 3634.66 ft
Lev Free Conv (LFC): 702.92 mb = 3074.66 m = 10087.35 ft
Equ Level (EL): 532.92 mb = 5291.26 m = 17359.58 ft
B at Equ Level: 62.16 J/kg
Max Parcel Lev (MPL): 322.92 mb = 9027.25 m = 29616.61 ft
Wind Parameters
Mean winds (0-6000m): 247.7 at 14.3 knts
Storm direction: 277.7 at 10.8 knts
Shear (0-3000m) pos: 2.1 neg: 1.2 tot: 3.2 10-3/s
Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m): 75.1 deg
Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos: 35.6 neg: -0.0 tot: 35.5 m^2/s^2
ave: 11.8 10^-3 m/s^2 rel: 0.49
Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz: 4.5 stream: 2.2 10^-3/s
Energy-Hel index: 0.01
Bulk Rich Number: 4.26
Bulk Shear: 14.60 m/s
Moree:
Sounding variables and indices
1000-500 mb thick: 5720.00 m
Freezing level: 613.24 mb = 4185.30 m = 13731.13 ft
Wetbulb zero: 651.72 mb = 3691.04 m = 12109.57 ft
Precipitable water: 1.33 inches
Sfc-500 mean rel hum: 49.97 %
Est. max temperature: 32.19 C = 89.94 F
Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 900.99 mb = 972.78 m = 3191.51 ft T: 21.21
C
700-500 lapse rate: 7.16 C/km
ThetaE index: 18.77 C Layer 700.0- 551.0 mb
Conv cond level (CCL): 798.14 mb = 2006.08 m = 6581.54 ft
Mean mixing ratio: 13.78 g/kg
Conv temperature: 32.96 C = 91.32 F
Cap Strength: 3.67 C
Lifted Index: -6.66 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms probable
Lifted Index at 300 mb: -0.40 C
Lifted Index at 700 mb: -1.80 C
Showalter Index: -3.44 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms possible
Total Totals Index: 54.80 C Risk: Scattered heavy thunderstorms
Vertical Totals Index: 31.90 C
Cross Totals Index: 22.90 C
K Index: 38.00 Risk: > 80 % chance of thunderstorms
Sweat Index: 266.98 Risk: None
Energy Index: -2.83 Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable
Parcel Indices
Parcel: using 100 mb layer
CAPE (B+): 880.71 J/kg
Max Up Vert Vel: 41.97 m/s
Conv Inhibition (B-): 116.94 J/kg
Cap Strength: 3.68 C
Lift Cond Lev (LCL): 868.21 mb = 1293.08 m = 4242.35 ft
Lev Free Conv (LFC): 743.21 mb = 2606.62 m = 8551.81 ft
Equ Level (EL): 293.21 mb = 9700.07 m = 31824.00 ft
B at Equ Level: 875.72 J/kg
Max Parcel Lev (MPL): 173.21 mb = 13231.35 m = 43409.42 ft
Wind Parameters
Mean winds (0-6000m): 234.0 at 10.2 knts
Storm direction: 264.0 at 7.6 knts
Shear (0-3000m) pos: 2.8 neg: 0.5 tot: 3.3 10-3/s
Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m): 110.1 deg
Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos: 49.5 neg: -10.6 tot: 39.0 m^2/s^2
ave: 13.0 10^-3 m/s^2 rel: 0.60
Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz: 4.6 stream: 2.7 10^-3/s
Energy-Hel index: 0.25
Bulk Rich Number: 23.19
Bulk Shear: 37.98 m/s
I'm certainly hoping that the Brisbane soundings are incorrect! At
least there is some good potential to our SW and WSW!
28.5C, DP of 21C, 1008hPa here - well developed mid cu, that appears
capped - Alto. Castallatus and Ci also observed. Some stuff appears to
be poking up to the SW too. I still think we'll get something good from
this!
Anthony from Brisbane
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
025
X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.6 (32)
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 13:58:44 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: contact details
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Home: Oakhurst (Blacktown shire western Sydney)
02 9625 9700
Work: Parramatta (8.30 to 4.30 Mon to Fri)
02 9768 3263
Mobile: 0412 145 755 (this is my wife Alison's phone but I nearly always have
it while on chase)
Michael
*==========================================================*
Michael Bath Oakhurst, Sydney mbath at ozemail.com.au
Australian Severe Weather
http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
026
X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 14:10:36 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Sydney OBS
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I also agree with Michael Thompson, the cumulus has either become capped or
are hidden and are well within the Hunter region. They are very crisp
nevertheless. Showers have cleared although cumulus has persisted in Sydney.
Jimmy Deguara
At 12:49 PM 1/10/99 +1100, you wrote:
>A mixture here in Wollongong, eastwards is fairly typical of a moist SE
>onshore flow, a line of showers sitting about 20kms off the coast with the
>occasional light one making it to shore. A heavier shower just to the SW
>near Barren Grounds ( 600m ).
>
>However, some of the Cu over Wollongong itself is looking more terrestrial,
>almost congestus, but I am not going to call it that yet. It upholds what
>Jimmy is suggesting that there is some instability in the SW flow up above
>say 1000m -`1500m. Unfortunately it is definitely going nowhere here, and I
>even doubt west of the ranges will fire. I hope I am wrong.
>
>Michael
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
027
From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 15:45:56 +1100
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TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 1453 on Sunday the 10th of January 1999
This advice affects people in the following weather districts:
Northern Tablelands,
Northwest Slopes, north of Tamworth
Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area this afternoon and early
evening.
Some of these are expected to be severe, bringing large hailstones,
destructive winds and very heavy rainfall.
******************************************
Grant Boyden
http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden/storm
http://www.2ky.com.au
IRC = au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667
ICQ = 23511159
******************************************
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
028
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Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 15:41:09 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney situation
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi there,
Jimmy here. It is wierd. Drizzle from a dissipating cloud area and 31C here
at Schofields 3:38pm.
Jimmy Deguara
Storm Chaser-Chase the storm away with Michael Thompson
We have just been hired by the inquisitive farmer to keep the storms away
from his farm.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
029
From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Orange weather
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 18:16:48 +1100
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Hi All,
All the cu. that look promising has now blown away. Nothing promising within
sight at the moment.
Readings as of 6.10pm 30C, 1013, 20%, breeze nil.
Terry.
mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
030
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Wollongong Obs - 6.30pm
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 18:55:45 +1100
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Shower activity had a short peak from noon - 3pm, hit or miss stuff, but
enough to form roadside puddles in the Jamberoo area. Since then the cloud
has cleared away very quickly. Still some along escarpment, but no precip'.
The wind peaked mid morning at 20-30knots from SE, has since abated to
around 15-20 knots, too lazy to swing NE which it wants to do.
Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
031
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 19:32:03 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Holy Snappers!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Ben from Brisbane here ..
Just got back from chasing NW of brisbane, got some pics of a nice crisp guster
.. a more detailed report a bit later. Check out Brisbane's Lifted Index's for
tuesday, -11 at 9z!! still -10 at 12z!! and -9 at 15z!! It's a fair way out
yet, but hopefully this wont change too much :)
Check it out using the custom map, with Long. 150 Long. Width 10 Lat. -30 Lat.
Height 10
Also the Lifted Index's are interesting west of brisbane tomorrow, down to -7
at one stage west of brisbane .. BOM has tomorrow as fine, we'll see what
happens ..
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
032
From: "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Phone-Location
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 12:19:11 +1100
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Hi Dane from Kilsyth ( Melbourne) Ph no is 03 97288676 or Mobile 0417
526284.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
033
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 1999 07:42:40 +0800
From: Ira [jra at upnaway.com]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win95; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Links
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Ira Fehlberg and I live in South Perth, Perth WA
My site is at http://www.upnaway.com/~jra/weather.html
| Document: 990110.htm
Updated: 15th January, 1999 |
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