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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 20th January 1999 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] Coral Sea Low 002 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) mail archives 003 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Unauthorised Copying of Pictures - PLEASE READ 004 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) High diurnal ranges - update 005 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] High diurnal ranges - update 006 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Coral Sea Low 007 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Unauthorised Copying of Pictures - PLEASE READ 008 "Manda . M" [manda at tpgi.com.au] Coral Sea Low 009 steve baynham [bayns at nor.com.au] gold coast weather 010 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Fwd: Who sets off a warning siren in extreme weather? 011 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) Sydney rain 012 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Sydney ASWA Meeting 13th Feb 1999 013 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Sydney rain 014 "McDonald" [mcdonald at one.net.au] Melbourne Forcast 015 Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] Broome Soundings 016 Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] Sydney rain 017 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au Taree Storm. 018 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Broome Soundings 019 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] Taree Storm. 020 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Severe thunderstorm advice north of Perth 021 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] IRC Weekly meeting 022 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange STORMS?????? (HOPE) 023 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Broome Soundings 024 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] I'm back 025 Ben Quinn [Bodie19 at eisa.net.au] Weather Program 026 "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com] Storms Update... 027 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather 028 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] When do school holidays finish - Jimmy 029 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] Weather Program 030 "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au] Ballina Weather -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Coral Sea Low Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 02:35:07 +1000 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-UIDL: 676824c71cd5b9c1414fc532e7453ed3 Hi all Probably like many of you, I've been watching that 995hpa tropical low in the Coral Sea NE of Mackay try to develop into a TC. I'm not saying it will happen very soon, but tonight the monsoon has intensified nicely and vast t'storm clusters are evident stretching from the base of Cape York and out past TC Dani and out to Fiji. *Maybe* today could be the day Qld's first TC of the season develops. Some links to follow: Sat pic: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/gmsd/gmsd.jpg BoM Coastal wind warning with details of low: http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW00Q00.txt BoM Tropical Cyclone outlook for the Coral Sea: http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDF20Q01.txt ------------------------------------------------------ James Chambers http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: mail archives Date: Tue, 19 Jan 1999 13:58:44 GMT Message-Id: <36b08f5a.60830080 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> References: <4.1.19990118194017.00939cd0 at penman.es.mq.edu.au> In-Reply-To: <4.1.19990118194017.00939cd0 at penman.es.mq.edu.au> X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA01060 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: d22f249c00a822ca3d3f94bd63feb976 On Mon, 18 Jan 1999 19:43:38 +1100, Michael Bathwrote: >For those who that think they may have missed some messages to >aussie-weather, have a look at the archives here: >http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/storm_news/aussiewx.htm >Mail from January 1 onwards has been fully indexed. Please let me know if >any messages you have sent are not there. > Just had a look at these, Michael. Great job. Congratulations, now we can do easy searches! My, aren't we a talkative lot! -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 Date: Tue, 19 Jan 1999 23:42:34 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en Mime-Version: 1.0 To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Unauthorised Copying of Pictures - PLEASE READ Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: be9bf25511f71eee88f678721a37b896 Hi all, I've just found out that some sites have been copying my Nov 24 shelf clouds pictures...if any of you have these pictures in your site, please take it off immediately and inform me, I'll then give you a new pic with my name/date etc on it. Anthony Cornelius -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: High diurnal ranges - update Date: Tue, 19 Jan 1999 13:51:42 GMT Message-Id: <36ac8a60.59556125 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> References: <19990118223544.22060.qmail at hotmail.com> In-Reply-To: <19990118223544.22060.qmail at hotmail.com> X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA01070 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: aaffc22fc3d54c99c23d376ac7b08505 On Mon, 18 Jan 1999 14:35:40 PST, "Patrick Tobin" wrote: >Thanks Blair, > >That was very interesting... the Glendale site is also on a gently NNW >facing slope so I guess there would be lower maxima experienced in >nearby locations with more southerly aspects. > >I am now intrigued by the June 1946 event and may have to spend some >time in the National Library looking through newspaper archives of the >time. > Let us know what you find, Patrick. I'm interested in that event, too, and I haven't seen anything written about it. -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Message-Id: <199901192213.JAA07522 at mullara.met.unimelb.EDU.AU> Subject: Re: aussie-weather: High diurnal ranges - update To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 09:13:06 +1100 (EST) In-Reply-To: <36ac8a60.59556125 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> from "Laurier Williams" at Jan 19, 99 01:51:42 pm X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII X-UIDL: e12b176203d89984bd37cf6206dfc3b7 > > On Mon, 18 Jan 1999 14:35:40 PST, "Patrick Tobin" > wrote: > > >Thanks Blair, > > > >That was very interesting... the Glendale site is also on a gently NNW > >facing slope so I guess there would be lower maxima experienced in > >nearby locations with more southerly aspects. > > > >I am now intrigued by the June 1946 event and may have to spend some > >time in the National Library looking through newspaper archives of the > >time. > > > Let us know what you find, Patrick. I'm interested in that event, too, > and I haven't seen anything written about it. > > -- > Laurier Williams I wrote it up (briefly) in the 'Charts From The Past' column in the AMOS Bulletin last year (June, if I remember rightly). Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 08:58:33 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Coral Sea Low References: <00aa01be43c9$ad0dc1c0$9feb6ccb at jcstorm.ecn.net.au> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: dad3ecdb3f1fa12b915a9bfbfb78449e Hi all, The models have certainly been devided, but generally they keep it as a tropical low, but AVN had it developing into a TC. Certainly I think that it's been developing nicely, and JTWC has issued a TC formation alert, which is below: WTXS22 PGTW 191830 191821Z JAN 99// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 16.7S4 154.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 191251Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 153.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A 191251Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A BROAD CIRCULATION IN THE CORAL SEA ASSOCIATED WITH A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION APPEARS AS A DEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION WITH MAXIMUM WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUSTAINED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. SEA LEVEL PRESSURES ARE NEAR 997MB WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 201830Z4. // Things are looking good so far, I might finally be able to get something to plot! Excited QLD'er from Brisbane, Anthony Cornelius James Chambers wrote: > > Hi all > > Probably like many of you, I've been watching that 995hpa tropical low in > the Coral Sea NE of Mackay try to develop into a TC. I'm not saying it will > happen very soon, but tonight the monsoon has intensified nicely and vast > t'storm clusters are evident stretching from the base of Cape York and out > past TC Dani and out to Fiji. *Maybe* today could be the day Qld's first TC > of the season develops. > Some links to follow: > Sat pic: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/gmsd/gmsd.jpg > BoM Coastal wind warning with details of low: > http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW00Q00.txt > BoM Tropical Cyclone outlook for the Coral Sea: > http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDF20Q01.txt > ------------------------------------------------------ > James Chambers -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 10:39:19 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Unauthorised Copying of Pictures - PLEASE READ References: <36A48BCA.B54FF60 at stealth.com.au> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: b53420d0420f2125c543f8b378e4515a Anthony Cornelius wrote: > > Hi all, > > I've just found out that some sites have been copying my Nov 24 shelf > clouds pictures...if any of you have these pictures in your site, please > take it off immediately and inform me, I'll then give you a new pic with > my name/date etc on it. Good point. Rather than copying, it is easier to create a link to the real thing then acknowledge the author / originator. If you want to entice, then create a mini-jpg or mini-gif acknowledging the source, then expand that to the real link when it is selected. Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 From: "Manda . M" [manda at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Coral Sea Low Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 11:13:58 +1000 Message-Id: <01be4412$28270ae0$a5e625cb at manda> Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.71.1712.3 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.71.1712.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-UIDL: 80cfce0ef931fe7178099101846979d8 Hi every-one, just thought i would let you know what the weather was like up in my neck of the woods.Wind gusts of about 30 knots constant now for a few days which is a relief from the hot and humid weather we have been experiencing lately..Not much rain though an occasional shower. I also have been watching the low out east of us (Bowen)and wonder if its going to get its act together or not.I will be watching it like a hawk today. Well heres hoping my TC kit is ready to go this year .And i have plenty of tape ready. Manda -----Original Message----- >From: Anthony Cornelius >To: aussie-weather at world.std.com >Date: Wednesday, January 20, 1999 9:05 AM >Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Coral Sea Low > > >Hi all, > >The models have certainly been devided, but generally they keep it as a >tropical low, but AVN had it developing into a TC. Certainly I think >that it's been developing nicely, and JTWC has issued a TC formation >alert, which is below: > >WTXS22 PGTW 191830 >191821Z JAN 99// >RMKS/ >1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA >2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY >HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS >3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN >A 300 NM RADIUS OF 16.7S4 154.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. >AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL >CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO >BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 191251Z INDICATES THAT A >CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 153.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS >QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. >4. REMARKS: >A 191251Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A BROAD CIRCULATION IN >THE CORAL SEA ASSOCIATED WITH A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION. >THE CIRCULATION APPEARS AS A DEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION WITH >MAXIMUM WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. >ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUSTAINED INTENSE >CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. SEA LEVEL PRESSURES ARE NEAR >997MB WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES >GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A >SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. >5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 201830Z4. >// > >Things are looking good so far, I might finally be able to get something >to plot! > >Excited QLD'er from Brisbane, >Anthony Cornelius -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 X-Sender: bayns at nornet.nor.com.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 12:06:26 +1000 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: steve baynham [bayns at nor.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: gold coast weather Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: cf00a0ef43c51723b5ee6d0399a23320 hey all, looks like we could get a bit of rain today, as there is a fair bit of 'darkus cloudus' around:) temp 29.5 and a bit of a breeze conmin from the SE. steve -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 13:08:20 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: Fwd: Who sets off a warning siren in extreme weather? Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: 7885b38e533e48ce0ec41ffa0df0c127 If anyone has information on this topic could they please respond to the list or to Anna directly. regards, Michael >Date: Tue, 19 Jan 1999 08:56:02 +1100 >From: Shew >Reply-To: animal at alphalink.com.au >X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.01 (Macintosh; I; PPC) >To: mbath at ozemail.com.au >Subject: Who sets off a warning siren in extreme weather? > >Dear Michael, > >Thank you for the severe weather site, it was most interesting. The >reason I ended up here is because I am trying to locate some information >about the warning protocols in place for communities experiencing >extremes in conditions. > >My personal interest is the bushfire risk and people in my community >are wanting to know who activates community warning sirens when >conditions turn extreme if they are no longer the responsibility of the >fire brigade. Is there any chance that you might know or who could >advise me? > >Many thanks for your interest. > >Anna Hughes *==========================================================* Michael Bath Oakhurst, Sydney mbath at ozemail.com.au Australian Severe Weather http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ *==========================================================* -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney rain Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 02:19:41 GMT Message-Id: <36a63b6c.104887056 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id NAA06966 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: 6ae0ae1eb8d6a5a878f3eb417c24ef57 Could be some good falls around Sydney and Illawarra to Hunter coasts over the next couple of days. The latest LAPS and meso-LAPS both have a band of very tight gradient winds freshening on the Illawarra coast this afternoon/tonight and moving very slowly north over the next couple of days, bringing 20mm+/24 hours. They also maintain high dewpoints and good instability over inland NSW, so storms are on the cards. The 12z GASP goes for even more rain (30/40mm in the 24 hrs to 9am Thurs), with the Coral Sea low moving SSE then SE to tighten gradients Thurs Fri before a ridge moves over Sat. Latest AVN isn't so pessimistic (optimistic?), with lighter rain, but it doesn't appear to have picked up the small-scale gradient tightening too well. None of the models deepen the Coral Sea low significantly, but I don't know that that's much of an indicator. -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 13:20:56 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney ASWA Meeting 13th Feb 1999 Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: 0ba944b8a7b94b69d675727e81330089 Accommodation information for those that require it for our next meeting. Many thanks to Grant Boyden for this great deal. ******************************************************************* Any member that has to stay over night in Sydney as part of the ASWA meetings can stay at the Parramatta Park Royal for $41 per night which is a saving of $60 dollars per night. All they need to do is phone and book in advace and say that they want the 2KY staff rate. If there are any problems they can contact Mike Niu at 2KY on 02 9633-9333 or Grant Boyden on the same number. ******************************************************************* regards, Michael ASWA President *==========================================================* Michael Bath Oakhurst, Sydney mbath at ozemail.com.au Australian Severe Weather http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ *==========================================================* -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Message-Id: <199901200241.NAA08928 at mullara.met.unimelb.EDU.AU> Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Sydney rain To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 13:41:58 +1100 (EST) In-Reply-To: <36a63b6c.104887056 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> from "Laurier Williams" at Jan 20, 99 02:19:41 am X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII X-UIDL: d1a6c8c4dc0fb307ec651d99514ed4b2 > > None of the models deepen the Coral Sea low significantly, but I don't > know that that's much of an indicator. > > > -- > Laurier Williams One thing just about all the models seem to agree on is some serious action in the North Island of New Zealand early next week. This region isn't a complete stranger to the tail end of TCs/pseudo TCs (there were two in ten days when I was in NZ at New Year 1997), but this event looks like it has a lot of potential. I won't be at all surprised to see 500+ mm in favoured locations on the east side of the North Island. Today's the first deep southerly (as opposed to sea-breeze) we've had in Melbourne since late December. Temperature 19.7, dew-point 8.1 last time I looked. (I think this is the first time the dew-point has been below 10 this year, which is probably a record of some kind, but I haven't had a chance to check this yet). On other matters, Canberra's mean max for January is currently sitting on 32.1, and Wagga's on 36.2 (the Wagga figure is particularly notable as it's only had one day below 33 (average for January is 31.2), although that may change). The January records are 31.7 (1979) and 36.0 (1981) respectively. (The former Kooringal site at Wagga has had a 39.2 (1908) and 37.7 (1939); both were hot months, but the site seems hotter than the present one and the 1908 figure looks pretty dubious - the 1939 one seems believeable). I suspect both may end up falling just short of record territory. Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 From: "McDonald" [mcdonald at one.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne Forcast Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 16:25:33 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Priority: 3 X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1161 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 X-UIDL: 841e866f625747f5577993ab6e3f5f9a Hi All, I'm back from my week long (and storm starved) holiday and it seems as though the weather heard or saw me coming. Our forcast for melbourne so far is......... FRIDAY - Late shower or storm max.32 SATURDAY - Showers and possible storms max. 29 SUNDAY - Isolated showers and Thunderstorms. YEAH BABY - BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Andrew McDonald PS Welcome to those who have joined the list while i was away. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 14:39:41 +1100 From: Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Broome Soundings Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Ben from Brisbane here .. I was just looking over the soundings for Northern Western Australia today, when i came across the Soundings for Broome .. check it out at 0z this morning Cap Strength:�������������������� 2.08 C Lifted Index:��������������������� -6.90 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms probable Lifted Index at 300 mb:����� -7.79 C Lifted Index at 700 mb:����� -3.14 C Showalter Index:��������������� -3.62 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms possible Total Totals Index:������������ 50.20 C Risk: Scattered heavy thunderstorms � Vertical Totals Index:������ 28.10 C � Cross Totals Index:���������� 22.10 C K Index:����������������������������� 38.90�� Risk: > 80 % chance of thunderstorms Sweat Index:���������������������� 261.60�� Risk: None Energy Index:��������������������� -3.18�� Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable More so these!! Parcel Indices Parcel: using 100 mb layer CAPE (B+):�������������� 3248.16 J/kg Max Up Vert Vel:��������� 80.60 m/s Conv Inhibition (B-):���� 62.97 J/kg Cap Strength:������������������ 2.08 C I've never seen the Max Up Vertical Velocity that high before! look for some Monsters on the WA sat pics today! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 15:09:05 +1100 From: Ben Quinn [Bodie at corplink.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I) Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Sydney rain References: <36a63b6c.104887056 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: fe7fd0c4a76b2b8c304574d12d68b3d2 Hey Ben from Brisbane here .. I am adding a "Severe Weather Stories" section to my education section at NEMAS (www.nemas.net/edu/index.htm) and i'm wondering if anyone on the list has any Severe Weather Stories that they would like to add to it? Storms, Floods, Fires .. anything Severe Weather related, no matter how long, small or uninteresting you think it is, i want it! :) You can post them to the list, or email them to me at Bodie19 at eisa.net.au BTW My ICQ # is 24033071 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 017 From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Message-Id: <4A2566FF.00248B3B.00 at mail.agd.nsw.gov.au> Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 16:39:49 +1000 Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Taree Storm. Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Disposition: inline Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: 067c28e9eac1fc4119aa50c7a73e8825 Hey all. Looks like a great frontal storm (1st in at least 3 years) is about to hit...very moist warm NE blowing into large CB mass....so heres hoping...can see very defined squall line now with shelf cloud down to about 500m!! Looks interesting...so see how we go! Will advise more later. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 018 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 17:17:27 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Broome Soundings References: <36a63b6c.104887056 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> <36A54FFC.42D8085C at corplink.com.au> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: 28a3ea79eb629eb63ecf4cd318345f70 Ben Quinn wrote: > > Hey Ben from Brisbane here .. > > I was just looking over the soundings for Northern Western Australia > today, when i came across the Soundings for Broome... [snip] > ...look for some Monsters on the WA sat pics today! Since my last posting on Monday evening (18 Jan 1999 18:17 +1100) when I identified a nice almost-circular anvil in the vicinity of Pt. Hedland, I've be downloading every global visual satpic each hour and keep assembling them into an animated gif using "whirlgif" software. Needless to say, it makes a spectacular movie of the days since in the life of world weather from GMS5. Those storms that Ben has identified have been growing larger and stronger each day. Anybody up there for some great storm pics? P.S. I hope the locals are safe... Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 019 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Taree Storm. Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 17:28:03 +1100 X-Priority: 3 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text X-UIDL: be1e9af746184754c7611d8652aab95f Howdy all...still waiting here... got a question for laurier.....and one for the whole group. Has anybody noticed how maximums and minimums seem to occur around the same time? For example...the last 3 days here the minimum temp has occurred exactly at 6.27am every morning...and it has been 18.1 - 20.0 c 19.1 - 20.3 c 20.1 - 20.5 c And I noticed that the maximum seems to also follow suit...? I have a weatherlink prog set for archive every 1 min...so it cant be that.... Just seems interesting! What do you esp think Laurier? Paul -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 020 X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 14:33:45 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Subject: aussie-weather: Severe thunderstorm advice north of Perth Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: b61cbbb10998a61763f55fc6a385cd8e PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY PERTH ISSUED AT 11.00 AM WEDNESDAY 20/1/1999. PEOPLE IN THE: INLAND WEST GASCOYNE, INLAND CENTRAL WEST DISTRICT, FAR NORTH OF THE LOWER WEST DISTRICT, FAR NORTHWEST OF THE CENTRAL WHEATBELT ARE ADVISED THAT THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG WINDS THAT COULD RESULT IN DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. PEOPLE ARE ADVISED TO KEEP A LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND IF STORMS APPROACH, SECURE LOOSE ITEMS, MOVE VEHICLES UNDER COVER, THEN SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED. DRIVING CONDITIONS IN STORMS WILL BE HAZARDOUS. THIS THUNDERSTORM ADVICE WILL BE UPDATED AT 3.30 PM. Current Perth temps: Met Observations for PerthBureau of Meteorology, Perth Issued at 1410 on 20/01/1999. ---------------------------------------------------------------- CODE STATION CURRENT OBS (within last hour) Temp Dew Pt Wind Press deg C deg C dir spd hPa Kn ---------------------------------------------------------------- PERT PERTH CITY 38.6 14.7 220 009 1006 YPPH PERTH AIRPORT 39.8 11.5 240 009 1005 YRTI ROTTNEST ISLAND 27.0 19.0 190 017 1005 YPJT JANDAKOT AIRPORT 38.3 14.1 260 010 1006 MDU MANDURAH 36.1 14.7 230 010 1006 Jacob -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 021 X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 14:37:14 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Subject: aussie-weather: IRC Weekly meeting Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: 7b437848bf7fc6be198e78625e7c4e01 Dont forget the IRC weekly meeting is on tonight on austnet's #weather. You can access it by using the server au.austnet.org Meeting starts at 9pm in NSW, VIC, ACT, TAS, 8:30pm in SA, 8pm in QLD, 7:30pm in NT and 6pm in WA. You have to download an irc client such as mirc at http://www.mirc.co.uk/ to use it, as the irc via the web wont work on austnet. Jacob -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 022 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange STORMS?????? (HOPE) Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 14:04:44 +1100 Message-Id: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 (Normal) X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-UIDL: 81c77d45d24276a89a6c77c7c6119f48 Hi All, Nice sound in the NE at the moment. I THINK they call it thunder. Some lightning static on the radio. Heavy cumulonimbus approaching. Some anvils appearing. Here's to turning blue once again. At 2.00pm ESDT 26.5C, 1014 and dropping, 25%, NE 5-10 Knots. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 023 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 17:01:54 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Broome Soundings References: <36a63b6c.104887056 at smtp.ozemail.com.au> <36A54FFC.42D8085C at corplink.com.au> <36A574F7.EE1235B3 at telstra.com.au> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: 16a3c46379cc4d1537ac314c1c23921b Unfortunately, Broome suffers from the "tropical storm syndrome" that is, it doesn't have a good jetstream. Therefore the storms will grow very quickly, and momentarily possibly be severe, but then they'll collapse on top of themselves with the lack of the jet. This is one reason why Brisbane has most of it's severe t'storms in Nov/Dec - as it's the time when heat and moisture exchanges are at it's maximum, and also the time when we can get a good jetstream. Anthony Michael Scollay wrote: > > Since my last posting on Monday evening (18 Jan 1999 18:17 +1100) when > I identified a nice almost-circular anvil in the vicinity of Pt. > Hedland, I've be downloading every global visual satpic each hour and > keep assembling them into an animated gif using "whirlgif" software. > Needless to say, it makes a spectacular movie of the days since in the > life of world weather from GMS5. Those storms that Ben has identified > have been growing larger and stronger each day. Anybody up there for > some great storm pics? > > P.S. I hope the locals are safe... > > Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 024 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 18:24:19 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: I'm back Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: c4e7f6d2cfb3962c02eeb20fb7ed5aa7 Hi there, Jimmy here. It is unusual for me not to answer e-mails immediately but when there is a totally dead line, you have no imternet. I am going to answer the appropriate e-mails now. Jimmy -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 025 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 17:27:21 +1100 From: Ben Quinn [Bodie19 at eisa.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I) Mime-Version: 1.0 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather Program References: <01b801be443e$0cd1f4e0$a91a1acb at rihqdcee> Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-UIDL: f90fb11de61269789377f7e2ed2a06be paulmoss wrote: > >>SNIP<< > > And I noticed that the maximum seems to also follow suit...? I have a > weatherlink prog set for archive every 1 min...so it cant be that.... > Just seems interesting! What do you esp think Laurier? Hey What is this weatherlink program paul? I have been searching for a program like that for a while now! do you have a URL where i can grab it? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 026 X-Originating-Ip: [203.2.193.71] From: "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Storms Update... Date: Tue, 19 Jan 1999 23:51:06 PST Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain X-UIDL: bf608d544ace7e7b2262d1dd543f3a12 Hi everyone, The latest sat. pic. shows some interesting cells in the Central West of NSW as well as some more cells popping up in Western Victoria. There is currently a Severe Storm Advice for WA - some cells NE of Perth... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 027 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 14:32:58 +1100 Message-Id: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 (Normal) X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-UIDL: cf308de84d406b3623ca52ebe2fa2786 Hi All, Yet another let down. We did get 3 Mil. rain and a bit of thunder but nothing substantial. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 028 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 19:24:01 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: When do school holidays finish - Jimmy In-Reply-To: <000901be439b$bf3d2580$3be76ccb at michaelt.ozemail> Mime-Version: 1.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-UIDL: 47ace4b18797e32570b047b21f1f73f0 Michael, you really should become a meteorology psychologist. Fancy suggesting that I scare storms away - he he. You should work for farmers, as they would really appreciate it. Yes I was telling Michael Bath that this has been another s... season. But as soon as I go back to school, supercells will move LEFT. Straight over us. Jimmy At 10:06 PM 1/19/99 +1100, you wrote: >Hi Jimmy, can you tell me when the school holidays finish so I can prepare >the storm chasing gear for the storms that will no doubt arrive after you go >back. > >Seriously, and I am sure Jimmy would agree this is one dud storm season, >this evenings effort to be honest was pathetic, after a few token rumbles >the situation has rapidly developed into a light rain episode. I did not >even bother switching the PC off. > >Next weekend now looks like the earliest for storm activity around Sydney - >Illawarra again. > > >Michael Thompson -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 029 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather Program Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 19:48:08 +1100 X-Priority: 3 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text X-UIDL: 7cd9ee0dcddf0bc6dab6cebf0615b95e Hello Ben. The weatherlink program is one bought through Australian geographic. It hooks up to either the Weather Wizard monitors made by Davis or the Weather Monitors (made also by Davis) These retail through Australian Geographic. It is an excellent program, because u are able to adapt the amount of data you want stored...anywhere from 1 minute to 1 day. I have mine set at one day with 1 hourly downloads (automatic)...and the prog logs all data to produce min, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly & yearly climate bulletins, as well as rainfall, daily weather "monitors" and strip & bar charts with any data u wish to select Its an excellent prog! Paul -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 030 From: "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Ballina Weather Date: Wed, 20 Jan 1999 18:13:41 +1100 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Priority: 3 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.2106.4 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.2106.4 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Precedence: list Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-UIDL: 81f4daa7ba7eebfc9d8cd0f97fc71a65 Hiya All, Another humid one up here today,temp at the moment(18:06) is27c,high today of 32.8c, low of 21.2 wind from the S/E at 6 k's. Had 1.8mm rain since 12Mdnight. Also welcome to Manda & Jo to the list....I hope you'll enjoy it. See Ya's John
Document: 990120.htm
Updated: 22nd January, 1999 |
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