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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 29th January 1999 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] 25/01/99 Thunderstorm Chase Report & more 002 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] IRC 003 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Orange Weather. 004 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Melbourne sorta bust 005 Greg CURTIS [curtisg at ecn.net.au] Rainfall obs. 006 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] [Fwd: hi there] 007 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather 008 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Circular cloud formation 009 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Wycheproof chase... 010 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] Victorian state coverage 011 "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com] Last night Melbourne Storm 012 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] SE wind in Illawarra ( already ! ) 013 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] More chasers! 014 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather 015 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday 016 vortex at wwdg.com Storms in Western Victoria 017 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] More on Kalumburu 018 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Low temperature at Kalumburu (WA) 019 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Slamming the press... 020 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Re: Newby and Upper Blue Mountains Weather 021 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. satpics??? 022 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Thunder! 023 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Thunder! 024 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Low temperature at Kalumburu (WA) 025 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Lightning! 026 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Interesting La-Nina circulation trends... 027 "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com] Thunder Day 5 028 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Re: Interesting La-Nina circulation trends...Correction 029 "Manda . M" [manda at tpgi.com.au] My Article in the Aussie Post 030 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Re: Newby and Upper Blue Mountains Weather 031 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] A roundup of the more impressive numbers from 032 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Radar 033 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Radar 034 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Severe Storm Advice and I'm off again :-) 035 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Location of big cell 036 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] SE Qld storms 037 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather 038 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday 039 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Only scattered action in NSW 040 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] SE Qld storms 041 David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com] NSW chase tomorrow 042 "Mark Hardy" [mhardy at nsw.bigpond.net.au] A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday 043 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Storms western Sydney and Blue Mtns 044 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Re: Storms western Sydney 045 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Local Heavy Falls in SE QLD Last Night 046 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Re: Storms western Sydney 047 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] NSW chase tomorrow 048 "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] Canberra storm 29/1/99 049 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] NSW chase tomorrow 050 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] NSW chase tomorrow 051 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] Local Heavy Falls in SE QLD Last Night 052 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] Re: Storms western Sydney 053 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] Taree Storms / Mid North Coast Storms 054 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] Chase Tomorrow. 055 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] Heavy Rain Mid North Coast 056 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] Good luck chasing 057 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] NSW chase tomorrow 058 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Good luck chasing 059 "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] NSW chase tomorrow 060 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] Probability Forecasts 061 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Lightning to the South 062 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: 25/01/99 Thunderstorm Chase Report & more Date: Thu, 28 Jan 99 07:52:41 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA15895 Hello Anthony - Nandina from Mulgrave. Just want to thank you for a most fascinating and informative storm chase report. I found myself hanging on every word -' what happened next' the question in my mind. I guess there may be a few envius chasers out there! I have read mails from the list frequently that mention 'rotation' and wondered whether this was something visible to the watcher on the ground, or whether it reflected the structure of the cloud due to certain influences. I have followed discussion re business cards, logo, colour and brochures. My thought, for what it's worth, is that there is a place for both brochures and business cards. If I had to choose 1 over the other, then bus. cards, definitely. But - with excerpts from chases such as this, with photos selected from those available, and with explanations of the aims and purpose of the ASWA then brochures would be great. Costly? yes, but would it not be possible to find sponsors to back the prodution. I don't mean 'sell your soul' type sponsoring, but a collection of firms dealing in technical weather recording equipment, photographic/videoing equipment etc., even auto accessories relevant may lead to adequate compatible sponsorship. If this could be achieved, then the bus cards could be left simple and 'uncluttered' with the eye-catching and colouful images included in brochures. I noticed in Jane's (I think) agenda for the Vic ASWA meeting a topic suggesting exhibits, demos etc. Brochures on a table would be great to support this type of PR (and recruitment) endeavour. Now, 1 more thing. A concern I have. Is there any likeihood that as the development of ASWA branches grows, and the branches become stronger, this list will degenerate, with most of the interaction occurring through other channels? I certainly hope not, but got a niggling worry about it. Better stop - once I get going ------ Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > Hi all - here's the report, it's certainly very informal, but I find > that sometimes with weather, there's just some things you can't be > formal and 'proper' about. > > The model prognosis for the border ranges of SE QLD and NE NSW indicated > a good chance of isolated thunderstorms around the vicinity. With LI's > between -1 and -4, and a 40-60kt jetstream, we were expecting something > nice, but nothing like what we experienced! > > I awoke at 7am to see the sky 5/8 overcast, with a mixture of medium > cumulus, cirrocumulus, stratocumulus, and a tiny patch of altocumulus > castellatus. It was already quite warm and humid, at 8am it was 27C > with a DP of 21C. The sky was looking fairly promising, and I was > hoping for something good. Unfortunately, what I was afraid would > happen came true. The cloud began to thicken up, by 9:30am the sky was > filled with medium cumulus and stratocumulus, certainly not what we > wanted for storms! > > Ben and Ross picked me up at 10am, we had decided to head towards > Warwick, the satellite pictures and models suggested this would be where > most of the development would occur (within a reasonable chasing > distance.) We had to quickly stop by at Ross's work, and also purchase > some film before we traveled down to Warwick. Fortunately, the general > trend was clearing as we headed SW, and about 30km from Warwick we > observed some rather promising Cb to the WSW. The AM radio had some > very slight static interference, about twice a minute. We arrived in > Warwick just before 1pm; we decided a quick stop in the local library > would be an idea to access the Internet for information. With a very > quick stop for lunch, we decided to head further west, out to near > Inglewood to reach the promising development. During this period, some > congestus started to form to the S, SE and also to the N, and the cells > to the west that had already started precipitating appeared to be > weakening out, with any new developing dying as quick as it shot up. > > We were about 20km's out of Warwick when we decided to turn around and > head back to Warwick. Unfortunately, we also had to move back under the > low cloud, which made observations difficult. Wondering whether we > should try our luck heading south, or head north in the hope that the > congestus/TCU would form something nice, we again decided that another > visit to the library was necessary. It was now 3:00pm and we decided > that we'd head north, and then cut in west to observe the congestus/TCU > development. By this time, it had formed a small cell, and had begun > precipitating, no visible lightning or audible thunder could be heard, > however now the AM radio was recording almost continuous static! Very > soon, it began to have an inflow band to the SE, which certainly aroused > my curiosity, but I discounted this as anything major as the model > prognosis certainly did not indicate any rotational storms. We drove > further west to try and get closer to the storm, where a ragged shelf > cloud could be seen. The rain shafts of this cell began to look very > thick and dark, and at this stage it probably contained hail. Ideally, > we wanted to move further north, but there were no sealed roads that > went north, unfortunately to follow the road we were on would lead us > into core punching, and the unsealed road to the south would be muddy > from rain. We decided to head back east, and travel south back to > Warwick and see if we could observe any interesting features behind it, > and follow it north on another road. The storm was moving very slowly > at this stage, so we thought that it shouldn't move very far. > > Unfortunately we ran into rain, and when we arrived in Warwick, it had > appeared that they had received some very heavy rain from the fast > flowing water in the gutters along side the road, and massive puddles. > We decided one last trip to the library would be necessary, as there was > too much cloud to observe anything. The cell that we had seen > previously appeared to have moved very quickly north, which was strange > as it originally was moving northeast, like the rest of the storms in > the area. I thought that we should try and head north, towards > Toowoomba in the hope that the storm would last, as it certainly > appeared to still be strengthening. Ross and Ben agreed, and we made a > dash north in a last effort to try and observe a decent thunderstorm > (although the visible features on this storm were already quite good!) > >From behind, the thunderstorm still had very thick and solid rain and > hail shafts, but structurally, there was nothing extraordinary about > it. Although the small section of the anvil that could be seen was very > thick, and fairly crisp. Unfortunately, we could not tell how high the > storm was, but I estimated it to be near 12,000m. We couldn't see the > base very clearly, because of trees and hills. However, I observed a > cloud lowering at the rear of the cell, which kept me wondering. But I > only saw it for five seconds before it went out of sight again for at > least ten minutes; which by then had completely disappeared. At about > 5:15pm, it appeared that the storm had weakened a little, as the anvil > appeared to have lost some of its formation, and the general storm > looked a little less organised. We could clearly see the cells about > 100km SW of us, which were looking very nice, and even had an overshoot > on them. It was then that I thought maybe we had made the wrong > decision, but we continued to chase this other cell, as by now we were > well over an hour from any other storm activity. Not to mention, the > old 'gut' was saying that something was 'special' about this > thunderstorm. > > We had thought that Toowoomba would give a very nice view of the cell, > but it had appeared that the storm had moved NNW - with a WNW 40-60kt > jet!!! Although it did appear that the storm had weakened, with no lack > of static on radio, we decided to head further WNW out past Oakey. As > we finally neared the storm cell, it became apparent that the cell had a > very strong guster, with the rain shafts at a 45-degree angle at times! > As we continued to move WNW, we saw what appeared to be a rain free > base, then as more and more of it was revealed, it began to look > circular, it was rather low, and it had inflow bands from the SW and the > NE! Suddenly we realised it was fully rotating, we could not believe > our luck! In a desperate effort to avoid the rain, we drove towards it > for 1km, before driving parallel with it heading NNW on a small road. > At this stage, we weren't too sure where we were actually heading, we > had only one intention, to follow this storm cell for as long as > possible! It was difficult to try and keep out of the rain, while also > staying well clear of the rain free, rotating base. We certainly did > not want to core punch this beast, and we only wanted to observe a > tornado, not be in one! I had never seen a storm rotate like this > before, the inflow bands were so long! Not to mention it was visibly > rotating (slowly, but none-the-less, rotating!) There was lightning > every few seconds on average, the rain shaft hid most and you could only > see a flash, but there were a few CG's that were observed. Although we > did not see many of them, the ones that we did see were huge, the bolt > was tremendously thick! > > Watching the base continue to rotate, I was praying for a funnel cloud > to appear, at about 6:45pm what appeared to be some lower scud began to > form very quickly, within one minute there was a full wall cloud! (I > believe that my heart was beating over 400 times a minute at this time, > it was astonishing at how quickly it formed!) Soon, a small inflow band > on the wall cloud formed, I was dying in suspense, I wanted a funnel to > form, unfortunately, it wasn't to be. But it was so close, that if some > one under the base would have sneezed, one would have formed! > (Metaphorically of course, but it was extremely close!) > > By 7pm it began to get dark, and we were running out of sealed roads to > the north, we pondered staying put and waiting for the storm to pass, > but decided to make a dash east to avoid getting caught up in the core > of the storm. The storm continued to move NNW, but because of the lack > of daylight, and also because the rain curtain had now obscured most of > the lightning, we decided to head back home. While heading back to > Brisbane, we noticed the occasional flash of lightning to the south, we > didn't see much, but then again one cannot be greedy! > > I myself originally thought that some people went over the top with > storm chasing for so long, and also for hundreds of kilometres. I ate > my own words (along with Ben) as we traveled 650km and we were on the > road for just over eleven hours! But worth every second of it with a > wonderful reward! > > I personally believe that this particular thunderstorm was indeed a > supercell, here are the notes that certainly support and are partly > indicative of a supercellular thunderstorm: > � The storm lasted for well over four hours, in fact, at 10pm there was > still lightning in the area. Although it may have been a different > storm, this would be unlikely as there was no other promising > development. If this was the same storm, it would mean this cell lasted > over seven hours! > � It had a sustained rotating updraft - the rotating updraft was visible > for approximately forty-five minutes. Earlier in the afternoon, there > were also inflow bands (which suggest rotation) which would mean over > four hours of rotation! > � The cell was originally moving NE, then N, then it headed NNW! All of > the other storms were moving NE or ENE. > � My SDS (Supercell Deficiency Syndrome) has been cured! :-) > > The only data on this storm that I have is that 50mm of rain was > recorded at Oakey from this storm. I'll be contacting the BoM soon to > talk to them about this storm, and see if any of the AWS's recorded > anything interesting. > > Anthony Cornelius -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: IRC Date: Thu, 28 Jan 99 07:56:28 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA15872 Pay that one - but I hope those IRC people were not overheard by the frog fairy. Not good to mess with the little people! :-) Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > A funny moment on the IRC meeting tonight: > >I ran over a million frogs tonight while on the road - after it > had rained all these frogs were on the road (i thought it was hail at first). > it rained frogs? > so THAT's why it goes green befor hail! > > Matt Smith :) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Orange Weather. Date: Thu, 28 Jan 99 08:05:33 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA15926 I've missed you. Could always rely on a mail: Orange Weather. Have a folder called Orange just for your mails. Now for the record - is chasing nurses as good as chasing storms? Criteria for assessment include hazards, outcome, equipment required - well, you can guess the rest. Anyway - glad you're back. Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > Hi All, > > I'm back after chasing a few nurses around the local hospital. Nothing > serious. > Thanks for the list Susan P. It will be a great help keeping track of who is > who. Pity you're the only female in NSW. We will have to do something about > that. > > We missed all the rain today that Dubbo received. (As usual). A small > amount of cu at the moment with no action. > > At 19.15 ESDT 24C, 1015, 35%, No breeze. > > Terry. > > mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne sorta bust Date: Thu, 28 Jan 99 08:18:11 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id JAA16173 Jane - I think your idea for emergency contact numbers is good - very sensible. Now to the more serious stuff - I saw those clouds building up yesterday afternoon. Picturesque stuff - clouds with attitude is how I labeled them. Wasn't at home to mail anyone, and anyway, had another priority - sharing the last day of freedom with my 5yr old grand-daughter. She starts school today. But even as I thought I should tell someone about the weather building back of Ringwood and Lilydale, I remembered what had happened every other time I told people about things like that - they fizzed! So I thought I could do you all a favor and stay quiet. Hope your equilibruium is restored and that the effort was really rewarding. Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > I've just got in making it a 174km, 3 hour bust of sorts. And it looked > like it would go on forever. There was one cell in the centre of it which > was rotating - and I mean the WHOLE cell !!!!! > > Beautiful photos of the system - backbuilding around Yea, but it all fell to > pieces once we got within cooee of it. I approached from the S & got some > great shots from Lilydale Cemetary (a 5 shot panorama at 28mm!!!!!) but all > electrical activity died shortly after that. Andrew approached from the W & > encountered rain, frogs and lightning & we met in the main street of Yea, > compared experiences and came back in convoy. Clive took photos of it from > 140km to the SW. > > This raises the thought, brought home to me tonight whilst driving around > the hills behind Melbourne in the dark with Andrew on my tail, of whether we > should (if we are likely to go and chase) have an emergency contact number > also against our names on the list so that if anything happens......... > > Jane > Bayswater > (fast depleting adrenaline stores ) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 18:56:41 +0000 From: Greg CURTIS [curtisg at ecn.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Macintosh; I; 68K) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Rainfall obs. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Paul, You were not far off YMNI is Montague Island. Regards Greg Curtis Bardon Brisbane -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 06:30:46 +1100 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: [Fwd: hi there] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi my names glen.im anovice at weather but very interested in thunderstorms and weather systems alike.Ita a shame that the radar service is no longer free.Ive only been on the net a few months now and was looking forward to seeing that.I live in sydneys north west and like to do some storm chasing but im not too sure where they start at and if theve got any meeting place.Id like to ask a few questions about weather.Firstly we tend not to get warm fronts like the northern hemisphere whys that,but when bbc show the weather for australia on pay tv they tend to show them. Secondly if australia was a lot closer to the antartcic (which would mean we would get westerly winds a lot,would that necessarly mean we would get hotter weather.And the third one is that when theres high pressure south in the tasman we get showers (except when there a ridge)My understanding is that you get showers from low pressure, anyway please reply gda_ at yahoo.com gda at netaus.net.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 07:48:59 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Mornin' All Weather Watchers, Since the storm started at 15.00 hrs yesterday Orange has received 30mm in my guage. We had a couple of claps of thunder locally, but nothing to rave about. All the storm seemed to be situated more to the North. I'm glad there's plenty of action elsewhere. If things don't improve storm wise I might have to move to Victoria!!!! The highest unofficial rainfall in the area I have heard is 75mm at Hargraves which is a small town South of Mudgee on the Hill End track. The main storm yesterday seemed to be over that way. At 07.45 ESDT 22C, 1008, 50%, No wind, Yucky blue sky with full sun. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Circular cloud formation Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 08:16:58 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, Just noticed an interesting circular cloud formation on the hi res. map on the New Guinea Irian- Jaya border. Has anybody got access to charts showing this region? I'm wondering if it could be a possible typhoon/hurricane/cyclone/F1 willy willy??? Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 X-Originating-Ip: [203.55.196.240] From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Wycheproof chase... Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 13:44:44 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com After umming and ahhing for half an hour it got the better of me... into the car and off towards Boort through THE BEAST! Core-punched got hail (pea-sized) multiple cg's very HP etc all on VHS!!...full story later. Kevin from Wycheproof. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Victorian state coverage Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:25:22 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.2106.4 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Great night last night - there were 9!! Victorians & a few other friends out spotting, photographing, videoing and genreally getting to know each other on an absolutely amazing night. Up Mt Dandenong we had Blair Trewin, Dane Newman, Andrew McDonald, Chris Gribben and me enjoying tea, coffee and, hand delivered from Yea by Andrew - cold pizza, in amongst a crowd of about 40 people up there to watch the light show. In fact we all got thrown off the top of the mountain at 10.15 when they locked the gates - should have seen everyone driving down the exit road and then back up the entry road and walking - the whole crowd had reassembled in about 10 minutes!! The Geelong area was covered by Clyve Herbert & Lindsay Smail. The west of the state had Kevin Phyland in one area, Greg Browning and friend in another. We on Mt Dandenong were getting reports on the latest loops courtesy of Jimmy Deguara & Michael Bath - thanks heaps guys - that was a great help!!, reports on the movement of the lines, squalls and gust front from the guys to the west and the south (thanks all!!) The network that became established last night was absolutely brilliant for the up to date information it provided to people out on the road & we relayed what Jimmy was telling us to Clyve and Greg when they rang in regularly - so everyone got to share it and it helped hugely. Telstra, Optus & Vodaphone must love us. I've flattened a 5 day battery twice in 2 days!! Fantastic night - we now have organised who brings the pizza, aeroguard, maps on chase nights etc etc Tremendous light show, damage reports are starting to come in from the west of the state and the metropolitan area. There'll be more on this one later. Happy chasing to all those on the road today - lotsa luck (we could do with a day or so off anyway ). In fact, we've called off the get together up the Mtn tonight due to a lack of weather (unless something pops up this afternoon). Jane Bayswater PS: leaflets rather than cards would have been good to have last night to hand out - maybe we should design something informative and colourful for the future, as well as printing cards. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 From: "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Last night Melbourne Storm Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:26:29 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1157 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Have to make this very quick will write more later. Storm died as it crossed melbourne between 10.00pm and Midnight. Very good lightning display between 9.00pm and 10.15pm from mt Dandenong freq every second or so cc's and plenty of cg's. Flash looding and blackouts especially in the Werribee area. By the time it reached the outer esatern suburbs it had almost died only a few cc flashes and the occasional (not very loud) rumble of Thunder. Rain in Kilsyth lasted about 20 mins and 6mm fell in that time. Other Melbourne area falls were 31mm at Werribee 26mm at Sandringham and 19mm at Laverton. Dane -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: SE wind in Illawarra ( already ! ) Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:30:37 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Not my favourite wind, I have declared the SE wind as ( SE = Storm Eradicator ) in the past. This one is very light and may not affect the chances for storms later. There is congestus to the SE, probably offshore Jervis Bay, these are very high and are being sheared off to E/SE. Therefore there is still encouraging signs, but I would prefer a NE wind. Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: More chasers! Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:37:25 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.2106.4 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Paul Yole makes it !! 10 !! people Victoria had out last night for the spectacular!!!!! Any more out there in the woodwork?? Go Vic Jane Bayswater -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:48:48 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I've lost that blue sky. Heavy Cu, SCu building up. Again mainly in the N/NE but here's hoping. Barometer steady at the moment. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: aussie-weather: A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather) Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 09:57:24 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Quite apart from the light show we got treated to in Melbourne last night (although the storms themselves, having made it across the state more or less intact, got waylaid in the vicinity of the casino), yesterday was a big day for notable numbers in various bits of the country: 1. NSW south coast rainfall - Narooma 242mm, Batemans Bay 221, Moruya Heads 206, Montague Island 196. No flood warnings which surprises me a little as the rain was clearly fairly widespread. 2. WA temperatures - Mardie scored 48 to 1500 yesterday, the highest in Australia so far this summer. Numerous other 45+ readings in the Pilbara area. 3. Finnish temperatures - there was a report of -57 (unofficial site, but it sounds like reasonably standard exposure). The north has warmed up a little - Sodankyla, which was hovering around -49 yesterday, is up to -44 now - but the cold air is spreading southward (-26 at Helsinki). Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 From: vortex at wwdg.com Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 16:10:14 -0700 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Cc: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au Subject: aussie-weather: Storms in Western Victoria Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey All. Well, I did get action yesterday. Although I ddin't sit behind the storm (I chased to Stawell, known for the January 27, 1996 Supercell and tornado) in which I think it was the right idea. I let everything run over me, but on a maturing cell aproximately 20 kilometers East of Stawell, I noticed and photographed a possible funnel cloud, although it was to far away to see any visible rotation, but I'm quite convinced of it. I should hope to get the photos developed today and send them into you Jimmy. Apart from a bit of rain, numerous reports of fires started by lightning, debris over the roads and a beautiful red sun, the day could not have been any better. Paul. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 017 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: More on Kalumburu To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 10:15:02 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > On a second look at the last couple of weeks at Kalumburu, all does > not seem to be well - the mean for the last couple of weeks is around > 17, which doesn't seem credible. > > Blair Trewin It transpires that there was a new observer who was reading the wrong end of the index on the minimum thermometer! Blair -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 018 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Low temperature at Kalumburu (WA) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 10:29:13 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > More on the overnight heat in Perth, in decimals the minimum was 25.9C at > 6:25am, which makes it Perth's hottest January night for 10 years. > > 10 years ago back in 1989, Perth City had a string of hot night when the > temperatures failed to go below 27C on four consecutive nights. > > 20/1/1989 Min Temp: 27.6C > 21/1/1989 Min Temp: 27.8C (highest minimum record for January) > 22/1/1989 Min Temp: 27.0C > 23/1/1989 Min Temp: 27.6C > > Be interesting to know what the maximum was during those few days as I dont > have that data. > > Jacob 20th 39.4 21st 34.9 22nd 40.7 23rd 38.3 Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 019 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 11:11:33 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Slamming the press... Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com John Graham wrote: > > Hey Grant, > > Slaming the press is favorite passtime for some people...[snip] > The hardest thing to decide before getting the shotguns out is whether the press (media), for each misdemeanour instance, are truely uneducated or just plain ignorant but nevertheless really genuine or just trying to beat up a story by making it more sensational. Now if I was to comment about the press and politics or sport, then I'd say that the press know exactly what they are about but when it comes to such a wierdo subject as severe weather events, I'm inclined to accept they are basically uneducated but inclined towards the more sensational story. Therefore, we should address the issue of dust-devils v/s mini-tornados for example, with encouraging quidance and education. Given time, those very people in the press will realise that there is more value in spreading ones weather wings, so to speak and publish some decent articals about Australian Severe Weather. I think they'll find, like us, enough severe weather in Oz to keep their interest up. Now one couldn't expect a better outcome than that! The alternative is to shoot the buggars down with all guns blazing only to have them driven further underground and properly alienated. That's not a desirable outome IMHO. Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 020 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 11:52:32 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Re: Newby and Upper Blue Mountains Weather Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Lindsay wrote: > > Hi all, my name is Lindsay Pearce. i am new to aussie-weather. I live in > the Upper Blue Mountains... Welcome Lindsay! You'll find a few stable-mates both in the Blue Mountains and with an interest in severe cold weather. >From what snow you describe last year, I'd put your upper Blue Mountains location up around Blackheath and Mount Victoria. Whereabouts are you? Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 021 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 12:05:19 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: satpics??? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I've got the hourly water vapour satpics of GMS-5's entire view. Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 022 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.30.181] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Thunder! Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 18:26:01 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Just heard a few rumbles to the north and am going to check it out. The sky looks very ominous, a orange colour (probably due to the fires to the west). Great meeting some of you last night and well chased by the Victorian members of ASWA. Looking forward to the stopry about that funnel in Ballarat and hoipe someone on the list knows someone in Hamilton. If Jimmy's excited then we all should be :-)) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 023 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Thunder! To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 13:31:42 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > > Just heard a few rumbles to the north and am going to check it out. The > sky looks very ominous, a orange colour (probably due to the fires to > the west). Radar suggests two decent cells, one currently in the Eltham/ Hurstbridge area, the other west of Werribee. Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 024 X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 11:28:59 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Low temperature at Kalumburu (WA) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com >20th 39.4 >21st 34.9 >22nd 40.7 >23rd 38.3 > >Blair Trewin > Thanks for that Blair, it didnt get as hot as I would have expected with those minimums, I guess some cloud managed to come over each evening, and with strong north-easterlies it kept the temp up at night. Jacob -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 025 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.30.38] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Lightning! Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 19:52:52 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Just got back from a short trip. Got (hopefully) some CG shots on my camera. Most of the lightning were CGs which was nice as CCs are obviously hard to see during the day unless you are right under it. There were some very loud claps of thunder which was nice after last night lightning died down once it got past Jeff's casino.The edge of the cell that was near Werribee just came past with little electrical activity but good sized raindrops though not that heavy. Could be the end of any action for a few days but I'm not complaining, I need some sleep. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 026 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 15:18:38 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Interesting La-Nina circulation trends... Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I've be archiving visual and more recently water-vapour satpics since July or so 1998. I've noticed a trend develop that could have interesting implications for La Nina. In July, 1998 I watched these animations with amazement as a definite east-west airflow began to push moist tropical air over drought-parched Indonesia and Papua. This pattern was driving surface water from the Eastern Pacific allowing the upwelling of colder water in that region. La Nina was born. This pattern continued to strengthen resulting in such a build up of tropical air that one could observe masses of this air "break away" and head in a SE direction all the way to NZ obliterating their ski season. Oz was spared from the brunt of this air until September, 1998 when what meagre snow that existed was also obliterated. When I began to convert my archive from visual to water-vapour satpics in December, 1998, the east-west flow of tropical air was still well established. In fact, the complete absence of water vapour in the western regions of the strong La Nina was clearly evident. TC-Thelma came along, then this was followed by 20 January with the almost simultaneous development of 3 cyclones in the Coral Sea/Pacific. This began a major change in water vapour flow patterns. In my latest animation from 27 January, water-vapour flow patterns have changed markedly. It was as if the 3 cyclones started it all. Now there is a water vapour doldrums area in the tropics to the north of NZ, with flow heading east to west toward SE-Asia and flow heading west to east toward South America also accelerated by a cyclonic depression developing way off to the NE of NZ. My conclusion is that the west to east flow that has now started seems opposite to what has persisted in the last 6 months or so. This seems to have reduced the western extent of the La Nina that was evident by an absense of water vapour during the second half of 1998. Looking at it seems to imply that cold surface water has moved west directly north of NZ. Could this imply the beginning of a La Nina weakening? Now this would need to be confirmed with more recent SSTA's (which I havn't). Anyhow, this is just an interesting observation to share with you all, with implications that people more expert than I could share on the list. Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 027 From: "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Thunder Day 5 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 15:26:36 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1157 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com More storms for Melbourne 5 thunder days this month my count. This makes 30 thunder days in the last 6 Januarys. Todays activity started around 1.20pm with high based storms coming through this area not much rain but plenty of vivid cg's about 1 per minute over the next hour Thunder very loud with gap times down to around 2 seconds for about 15 mins. Still the occasional rumble around now 3.20pm. fairly active in eastern Victoria as well. most of Sale has been blacked out in the last 20 mins, looks more settled for the next few days but thats ok i need a rest. Dane. Ps great meeting fellow chasers Jane O'neill, Blair Trewin, Chris Gribben and Andrew Mcdonald at Mt Dandenong last night. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 028 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 15:27:54 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Re: Interesting La-Nina circulation trends...Correction Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Michael Scollay wrote: > > [snip] In fact, the complete absence of water vapour in the > western regions of the strong La Nina was clearly evident. In hindsight, this is an ambiguous statement which should read "the reduction of water vapour made evident by the satpics in the western regions indicated a strong La Nina". Please take my ambiguous meaning of "absence" in prior mail to mean "a reduction made evident by the satpics". Michael Scollay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 029 From: "Manda . M" [manda at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: My Article in the Aussie Post Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 14:30:46 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.71.1712.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey great going Michael, just picked up my copy of the post ,great photo's .Congrats Excellent stuff!!!!!!!!!!!!!! p.s loved Thor! Manda. >Hi all, > >I forgot to mention that I am in the Aussie Post magazine >this week. Just look at page 2 and 3 and there I am. A few >of my lightning pics and a bit of the history about me. >I hope you like the photo of me :) its about 2 years old >but I look like I just walked out of the jungle. >Happy reading >-- >Michael Fewings >Strike One Lightning Photos >http://strikeone.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 030 Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 20:52:33 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Re: Newby and Upper Blue Mountains Weather Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, my name is Lindsay Pearce. i am new to aussie-weather. I live in the Upper Blue Mountains and enjoy the weather with character we have up here. I'm particularly interested in good aussie snow stories outside the ski fields, if any one has any? Last year we had a snow-blizzard and about 6 or 7 other days of light snow and snow pellets/sleet. During the snow blizzard last year wind chill was around -20. I walked down the street at midnight with a couple of inches of snow on the street and drifts of snow next to fences that were quite deep. Next morning on the way to the train station, as I put my jacket on, it became a sail and I blew backwards 30 feet down an icy road! As I look out the window of my observatory today (my home-office), cumulus congestus is rolling and my Jack Russell terrier is acting as a good Barometer with his hyperactivity. I reckon he'd give Tim Bailey a good run for his money and he's almost as tall! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 031 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 15:57:03 +1100 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Blair... I have a reliable recroder at Tuross Head - on the coast between moruya Heads and Narooma with a standard rain gauge. They had 372 mm in the 24 huors to 9 am - exact double their previous best 24 hour total in 16 years of recordings. Breakdown included 115 mm 9-3 yesterday and 160 mm 3pm to 9 pm and most of the rest before 1-2 am. Don White Blair Trewin wrote: > > Quite apart from the light show we got treated to in Melbourne last > night (although the storms themselves, having made it across the > state more or less intact, got waylaid in the vicinity of the casino), > yesterday was a big day for notable numbers in various bits of the > country: > > 1. NSW south coast rainfall - Narooma 242mm, Batemans Bay 221, Moruya > Heads 206, Montague Island 196. No flood warnings which surprises me > a little as the rain was clearly fairly widespread. > > 2. WA temperatures - Mardie scored 48 to 1500 yesterday, the highest > in Australia so far this summer. Numerous other 45+ readings in the > Pilbara area. > > 3. Finnish temperatures - there was a report of -57 (unofficial site, > but it sounds like reasonably standard exposure). The north has warmed > up a little - Sodankyla, which was hovering around -49 yesterday, is > up to -44 now - but the cold air is spreading southward (-26 at > Helsinki). > > Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 032 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.30.38] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Radar Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 20:57:23 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi everyone. Just wondering if one of the people with access to radar could tell me where the cells are at the moment as well as how quick they are moving. I ask this because there is a huge amount of static on the radio at the moment and some of it is quite loud so obviously fairly close. Thanks in advance Chris PS I'm considering going to Ballarat and Hamilton Sunday or early next week to see if there were any tracks left by these funnels (assuming they existed). Any update on them before then would be most handy, particularly Ballarat (closer :-)) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 033 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Radar To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 15:59:48 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > > Hi everyone. Just wondering if one of the people with access to radar > could tell me where the cells are at the moment as well as how quick > they are moving. I ask this because there is a huge amount of static on > the radio at the moment and some of it is quite loud so obviously fairly > close. > > Thanks in advance > > Chris A solid band running E-W through Frankston and a more isolated cell near Kilmore, moving east at 30-40 km/h. Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 034 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.30.38] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Severe Storm Advice and I'm off again :-) Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 21:12:17 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com A severe storm advice has been issued 40 mins ago for the Mallee, Northern Country, North-East and Gippsland valid at this stage until 9pm. Thanks for the radar update Blair, you're a legend. Looks like it's time to fill up the car with petrol and head off again. Got to the make the most of it while it lasts, as I can almost see what next summer going to be like, and like last Friday's early prediction from moi (just rain), again I hope I'm wrong, so wrong, about this statement as well Chris -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 035 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.181.205] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Location of big cell Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 21:44:38 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com There's a giant cell north of the one around Seymour, could someone please check what towns it's near as I might even venture that far north as the visibility is shocking here at the moment. Is it intensifying at the moment or has it reached its peak. It looks rather impressive. There are also good cells over the far eastern ranges and there's one of the coast near Sydney by the look of it. This is going on the Foxtel satellite so may not be totally accurate. Thanks Chris -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 036 From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: SE Qld storms Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 16:16:26 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, James from Brisbane here Well we finally have a promising situation here. There's an active thunderstorm in the Gatton area to our west with plenty of lightning on the tracker. Also activity across the Border Ranges and extending towards the Gold Coast and a nice little storm over Maryborough. Although nothing big should come out of these apart from a hopeful lightshow tonight, it points to good stuff tomorrow. So, be watching this: http://bastion.energex.com.au/strike/ By the way, its warm and humid here but the seabreeze is cooling us down. Happy storm hunting/watching to all! ------------------------------------------------------ James Chambers http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 037 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 18:13:57 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, All the good cloud has disappeared. No action was or is to be seen. A thin layer of Alto Stratus at present. At 18.10 25C, 1005, 42%, W at 5 Knots Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 038 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 18:37:05 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com That is scary rainfall, I suppose flooding would depend on whether the rain penetrated inland. Visually from here ( Shellharbour ) it appeared as tall congestus just clipping the coast. Michael >Blair... >I have a reliable recroder at Tuross Head - on the coast between moruya >Heads and Narooma with a standard rain gauge. >They had 372 mm in the 24 huors to 9 am - exact double their previous >best 24 hour total in 16 years of recordings. Breakdown included 115 mm >9-3 yesterday and 160 mm 3pm to 9 pm and most of the rest before 1-2 am. >Don White -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 039 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Only scattered action in NSW Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 18:42:48 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Frustrating day here in the Illawarra, followed a promising Cb around 2pm up the F6 expressway, but just as it looked like doing it, it all fell to pieces. Wasted the next 2 hours on poor excuses for thunderstorms in the Liverpool area. ( embarrassing really ) Returned to Wollongong to witness a lovely backsheared anvil in Nowra area, unfortunately this coincided with having to pick my wife up from work. I watched this storm persist for a hour, but again like to cell earlier today in the space of 15 mins it fell to pieces. Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 040 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 18:03:12 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: SE Qld storms Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, I've been hoping for some development since I was out on my driving lesson...I observed lots of hazy congestus/TCU but kept getting told to keep my eyes on the road :( There's currently a nice looking storm to the SW/SSW of me, it's got a small overshoot, and the back of the storm has a strong new updraft with a crisp anvil - but quite fibrous on the leading edge. I'm hoping it will move up north so we'll get a little something! Tommorrow should be a good day (but my ISP was down today so I haven't checked today's models) Anthony from Brisbane James Chambers wrote: > > Hi all, James from Brisbane here > > Well we finally have a promising situation here. There's an active > thunderstorm in the Gatton area to our west with plenty of lightning on the > tracker. Also activity across the Border Ranges and extending towards the > Gold Coast and a nice little storm over Maryborough. Although nothing big > should come out of these apart from a hopeful lightshow tonight, it points > to good stuff tomorrow. > So, be watching this: http://bastion.energex.com.au/strike/ > > By the way, its warm and humid here but the seabreeze is cooling us down. > > Happy storm hunting/watching to all! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 041 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 00:25:47 -0800 (PST) From: David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com] Subject: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow To: aussie- weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi everyone Tomorrow still looks promising for central west slopes up to northwest slopes of NSW - in my limited experience following the Li output from the AVN model, it has proven very reliable (-8ish out that way tomorrow). More promising is that the jet stream (around 100knots) is something that has been missing for much of this season as well. Anyway, I just spoke to Michael B, and both he and Jimmy are interested in chasing that area - so we would need an early start (and probably an overnight stay). Anyone else interested in chasing??. Also Michael (T) what are your thoughts on the likely movement of the trough and general situation tomorrow?. Also I noticed severe thunderstorm advices out for areas beginning 100km south and about 250km north of Sydney - It pretty well sums up our season here. David -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 042 From: "Mark Hardy" [mhardy at nsw.bigpond.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: A roundup of the more impressive numbers from yesterday Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 19:29:32 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com |Blair Trewin wrote: |> |> Quite apart from the light show we got treated to in Melbourne last |> night (although the storms themselves, having made it across the |> state more or less intact, got waylaid in the vicinity of the casino), |> yesterday was a big day for notable numbers in various bits of the |> country: |> |> 1. NSW south coast rainfall - Narooma 242mm, Batemans Bay 221, Moruya |> Heads 206, Montague Island 196. No flood warnings which surprises me |> a little as the rain was clearly fairly widespread. |> |> 2. WA temperatures - Mardie scored 48 to 1500 yesterday, the highest |> in Australia so far this summer. Numerous other 45+ readings in the |> Pilbara area. |> |> 3. Finnish temperatures - there was a report of -57 (unofficial site, |> but it sounds like reasonably standard exposure). The north has warmed |> up a little - Sodankyla, which was hovering around -49 yesterday, is |> up to -44 now - but the cold air is spreading southward (-26 at |> Helsinki). |> |> Blair Trewin Don, I've done some approximate calculations for the return periods for Tuross Head, around 36:04 S and 150:08 E. I can tell you the following: Time period 1 in 10 yrs 20 yrs 50 yrs 100 yrs 30 mins 43.5 51.2 61.6 69.8 1 hour 61.3 72.6 88.1 100.3 2 hours 79.9 94.4 114.2 129.8 3 hours 92.7 109.4 132.1 150.0 6 hours 119.3 140.5 169.2 191.8 12 hours 153.9 180.8 217.2 245.8 18 hours 182.0 214.7 259.2 294.4 24 hours 204.4 242.0 293.3 333.8 So from the info. that you have given, the event is inexcess of a 1 in 100yr event for somewhere between 6 and 12 hours right through to 24+ hours. The 160mm/6hrs being a less than 50 year event. If you are to give me more detailed info. I can do some extra sums for you later. Dave. Williams (The Weather Co.) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 043 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 19:55:24 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: Storms western Sydney and Blue Mtns Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com There has just been some quick development to the W and SW in the past hour or so. The anvil is moving quite quick that it has remained with a cumuliform structure. The upper level high cloud is moving quite rapidly. I am videoing it. Jimmy ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara Vice President ASWA from Schofields, Sydney e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 044 X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 20:16:27 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aussie-weather: Re: Storms western Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com It was surprising how quickly this developed. Heard thunder from 7.20pm to the SW with a brief shower overhead. A more intense cell developed to our west spreading quite moderate falls our way with 'very large drops' but no hail. Frenquent CG with staccato (visible branching in the stroke) every few seconds from 7.30 to 8pm. Now dry (at 8.15pm) with a constant rumble to the NW and N. Michael At 19:55 29/01/99 +1100, you wrote: >There has just been some quick development to the W and SW in the past hour >or so. The anvil is moving quite quick that it has remained with a >cumuliform structure. The upper level high cloud is moving quite rapidly. I >am videoing it. > >Jimmy *==========================================================* Michael Bath Oakhurst, Sydney mbath at ozemail.com.au Australian Severe Weather http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ *==========================================================* -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 045 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 19:20:32 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Local Heavy Falls in SE QLD Last Night Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, I was wondering if any other Brisbanites of people in SE QLD received much rainfall last night? We received 74mm, not bad! Here's what the BoM recorded: IDA41Q24 RAINFALL WIDE BAY AND BURNETT: (14) ABERCORN 8 BIGGENDEN 10 BRIAN PASTURES 6 BUILYAN 34 BUNDABERG 0.4 CANIA DAM 10 COLODAN 3 EIDSVOLD 5 GAYNDAH 0.2 GOOMERI 8 GYMPIE 36 JIMNA 24 KANDANGA 15 KILKIVAN 11 KINGAROY 4 MIVA 43 MONTO 3 MT BINGA 3 MT MOWBULLAN 0.8 MT PERRY 9 MUNDUBBERA 3 NANANGO 0.4 PROSTON 2 RAINBOW BEACH 11 ROSEDALE 2 TOWN OF 1770 2 WALLAVILLE 1 YARRAMAN 14 IDA41Q25 RAINFALL SOUTHEAST COAST: (15) AMBERLEY 0.8 BEAUDESERT 23 BEECHMONT 91/2 BOONAH 12 CANUNGRA 28 COOLANGATTA 165 COOROY 16 CROWS NEST 8 DAYBORO 23 FOXLEY 26 GOLD CST SEAWAY 23 HARRISVILLE 71 HINZE DAM 47 KENILWORTH 25 KILCOY 10 LAKE COOROIBAH 28 LANDSBOROUGH 8 LINDFIELD 2 LOWOOD 8 MACLEANS BRIDGE 20 MALENY 38 MAROOCHYDORE 6 MAROON DAM 26 MARY CAIRNCROSS 23 MIAMI 85 MOOGERAH DAM 106 MORAYFIELD 9 MT MEE 48 MT NEBO 14 MT TAMBORINE 41 NAMBOUR 18 PALMWOODS 13 PEACHESTER 11 PECHEY 3 PT ARKWRIGHT 11 POINT LOOKOUT 52 ROMANI 9 SOMERSET DAM 42 TAROME 103 TOOGOOLAWAH 13 WIVENHOE DAM 15 YANDINA 23 IDA41Q26 RAINFALL METROPOLITAN: ARCHERFIELD 8 ASHGROVE 64 BANYO 63 BOONDALL 13 BRISBANE AP 112 BROWNS PLAINS 10 CAPALABA 49 ENOGGERA 79 KALINGA 83 LYTTON 82 MANLY 56 OXLEY 8 PA HOSPITAL 46/5 REDCLIFFE 17 SANDGATE 12 STRATHPINE 21 SUNNYBANK 15 TOOMBUL 70 TOOWONG 43 Anthony from Brisbane BTW - the storm to my SW appears to be weakening out now...it was certainly looking impressive structually, but as the Sun set, it gradually weakened. Not much static at all on radio now :-( -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 046 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 20:45:22 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Re: Storms western Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com We had similar but the main section was towards Richmond and the mountains. Lightning put a surge through the electricity which diconnected me. I got some video footage but missed most lightning bolts. Got a very good multiple one, hopefully it came out good. Jimmy At 08:16 PM 1/29/99 +1100, you wrote: >It was surprising how quickly this developed. Heard thunder from 7.20pm to >the SW with a brief shower overhead. A more intense cell developed to our >west spreading quite moderate falls our way with 'very large drops' but no >hail. Frenquent CG with staccato (visible branching in the stroke) every >few seconds from 7.30 to 8pm. Now dry (at 8.15pm) with a constant rumble to >the NW and N. > >Michael -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 047 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:04:39 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I must admit the storms southwards are a surprise, there is currently a severe storm advice for the south coast which was issued at 8.30pm. I would have thought that most action southwards had cleared. The trough seems to be moving more west to east, rather than being picked up by a SE change, the later takes the action in a general NE direction, clearing from the S. The situation we seem to have may mean storms hanging around longer than first thought. We have had a light SE ( Storm Eradicator ) wind blowing all day on the south coast yet storms are now active, so the rules are a bit shakey at present. I cannot chase tomorrow, fool Thompson told the wife this morning that the hopes for a Saturday chase where gone, so she has already reorganised her day to include the car dissapearing for the major part of the afternoon and evening. This should be great news to all other NSW chasers, it virtually guarantees action !!! Michael > >Anyway, I just spoke to Michael B, and both he and Jimmy are >interested in chasing that area - so we would need an early start >(and probably an overnight stay). Anyone else interested in chasing??. >Also Michael (T) what are your thoughts on the likely movement of the >trough and general situation tomorrow?. > > >Also I noticed severe thunderstorm advices out for areas beginning >100km south and about 250km north of Sydney - It pretty well sums up >our season here. > > >David -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 048 X-Originating-Ip: [203.2.193.71] From: "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Canberra storm 29/1/99 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 02:28:07 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, Well its now 9.20pm and its taken all day - with me virtually writing the situation off around lunch time (the upper atmosphere seemed to have stabilised considerably) - but the sky has suddenly lit up to the WSW with thunder starting to become quite loud. This has all happened while I have been going through todays emails (around 45 min worth!!). The cells out in western NSW have looked good on the satpics for most of the afternoon but have seemed a long way away. On the 0930z GMS there appears to be a large cell to the NW of Canberra. Without real time access to the images or radar, I can't tell whether Canberra is on the edge of that or is being treated to newly developing cells. As the storms are coming from the WSW, my guess is the latter. Also noticed the smoke from the Vic/SA fires which came through at middle levels from about 2pm to give a quite milky look to the sky. It also cut visibility of the tops of the congestus as they pushed through the cap. So this evenings action is a pleasant surprise. Patrick -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 049 X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32) Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:29:05 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hello dave and everyone I can chase tomorrow, and stay overnight, but if you are planning on NOT being back in sydney by 5.30-6pm Sunday i cannot make it.Please say you will be back by then, im desperate for a storm... and to test out my new camera :) Matt Smith >Hi everyone > >Tomorrow still looks promising for central west slopes up to northwest >slopes of NSW - in my limited experience following the Li output from >the AVN model, it has proven very reliable (-8ish out that way >tomorrow). More promising is that the jet stream (around 100knots) is >something that has been missing for much of this season as well. > >Anyway, I just spoke to Michael B, and both he and Jimmy are >interested in chasing that area - so we would need an early start >(and probably an overnight stay). Anyone else interested in chasing??. >Also Michael (T) what are your thoughts on the likely movement of the >trough and general situation tomorrow?. > > >Also I noticed severe thunderstorm advices out for areas beginning >100km south and about 250km north of Sydney - It pretty well sums up >our season here. > > >David -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 050 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:30:34 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi David, Jimmy and Michael I am also interested in chasing tomorrow. Matthew Piper >Hi everyone > >Tomorrow still looks promising for central west slopes up to northwest >slopes of NSW - in my limited experience following the Li output from >the AVN model, it has proven very reliable (-8ish out that way >tomorrow). More promising is that the jet stream (around 100knots) is >something that has been missing for much of this season as well. > >Anyway, I just spoke to Michael B, and both he and Jimmy are >interested in chasing that area - so we would need an early start >(and probably an overnight stay). Anyone else interested in chasing??. >Also Michael (T) what are your thoughts on the likely movement of the >trough and general situation tomorrow?. > > >Also I noticed severe thunderstorm advices out for areas beginning >100km south and about 250km north of Sydney - It pretty well sums up >our season here. > > >David -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 051 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:30:48 +1100 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Local Heavy Falls in SE QLD Last Night Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com And at Tweed Heights - just to west of Tweed Heads, 279 mm in 24 hours to 9 am ! Don White Anthony Cornelius wrote: > > Hi all, > > I was wondering if any other Brisbanites of people in SE QLD received > much rainfall last night? We received 74mm, not bad! Here's what the > BoM recorded: > > IDA41Q24 RAINFALL WIDE BAY AND BURNETT: (14) > > ABERCORN 8 BIGGENDEN 10 BRIAN PASTURES 6 BUILYAN 34 BUNDABERG 0.4 > CANIA DAM 10 COLODAN 3 EIDSVOLD 5 GAYNDAH 0.2 GOOMERI 8 GYMPIE 36 > JIMNA 24 KANDANGA 15 KILKIVAN 11 KINGAROY 4 MIVA 43 MONTO 3 > MT BINGA 3 MT MOWBULLAN 0.8 MT PERRY 9 MUNDUBBERA 3 NANANGO 0.4 > PROSTON 2 RAINBOW BEACH 11 ROSEDALE 2 TOWN OF 1770 2 WALLAVILLE 1 > YARRAMAN 14 > > IDA41Q25 RAINFALL SOUTHEAST COAST: (15) > > AMBERLEY 0.8 BEAUDESERT 23 BEECHMONT 91/2 BOONAH 12 CANUNGRA 28 > COOLANGATTA 165 COOROY 16 CROWS NEST 8 DAYBORO 23 FOXLEY 26 > GOLD CST SEAWAY 23 HARRISVILLE 71 HINZE DAM 47 KENILWORTH 25 > KILCOY 10 LAKE COOROIBAH 28 LANDSBOROUGH 8 LINDFIELD 2 LOWOOD 8 > MACLEANS BRIDGE 20 MALENY 38 MAROOCHYDORE 6 MAROON DAM 26 > MARY CAIRNCROSS 23 MIAMI 85 MOOGERAH DAM 106 MORAYFIELD 9 MT MEE 48 > MT NEBO 14 MT TAMBORINE 41 NAMBOUR 18 PALMWOODS 13 PEACHESTER 11 > PECHEY 3 PT ARKWRIGHT 11 POINT LOOKOUT 52 ROMANI 9 SOMERSET DAM 42 > TAROME 103 TOOGOOLAWAH 13 WIVENHOE DAM 15 YANDINA 23 > > IDA41Q26 RAINFALL METROPOLITAN: > > ARCHERFIELD 8 ASHGROVE 64 BANYO 63 BOONDALL 13 BRISBANE AP 112 > BROWNS PLAINS 10 CAPALABA 49 ENOGGERA 79 KALINGA 83 LYTTON 82 > MANLY 56 OXLEY 8 PA HOSPITAL 46/5 REDCLIFFE 17 SANDGATE 12 > STRATHPINE 21 SUNNYBANK 15 TOOMBUL 70 TOOWONG 43 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 052 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:31:32 +1100 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Re: Storms western Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Saw that Richmond had 16 mm to 9 pm including 6 mm in 10 mints to 8.50 Don W Jimmy Deguara wrote: > > We had similar but the main section was towards Richmond and the mountains. > Lightning put a surge through the electricity which diconnected me. I got > some video footage but missed most lightning bolts. Got a very good > multiple one, hopefully it came out good. > > Jimmy -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 053 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Taree Storms / Mid North Coast Storms Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:35:28 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey all. We have just had 2 storms! Yep thats right 2~~ Not real strong, but enough thunder & lightning to make them interesting. Got some great pictures, especially of mammatus of the leading side of the anvil! The 1st storm re-intensified when it joined another cell near Port Macquarie, and looked severe for some period. It also has now died. More lightning to the sw, so more tonight! Not much rain so far, only 0.4mm with it starting to pick up now. Paul from a storm visited Mitchells Island. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 054 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Chase Tomorrow. Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:50:04 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey guys. Where do you plan on going? I would suggest the Muswellbrook / Singleton areas. Our Lifted Index for tomorrow is between -4.5 to -5.5 and theres is the same even lower. It is only a suggestion But that is where I reckon you will definitely get some action. If u do plan on going there, I will meet you at Singleton? What do you think? Paul. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 055 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Heavy Rain Mid North Coast Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 21:52:45 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Don & Laurier: Coolongolook reported a massive 120m yesterday supposedly between 6pm & 9am. Unconfirmed. Does the BOM have a gauge there? Paul. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 056 X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.30.122] From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Good luck chasing Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 03:16:36 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Just a quick note to wish those in NSW the best for tommorrow. May the hail be large and the lightning frequent :-) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 057 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 22:20:17 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Matt and all those interested in chasing Be on the net in the morning and we will chat our decisions. And yes we will possibly head north in the Hunter. With a southerly surge expected here in Sydney, I think that area is a good chance... Jimmy Deguara At 09:29 PM 1/29/99 +1100, you wrote: >Hello dave and everyone > >I can chase tomorrow, and stay overnight, but if you are planning on NOT >being back in sydney by 5.30-6pm Sunday i cannot make it.Please say you >will be back by then, im desperate for a storm... and to test out my new >camera :) > >Matt Smith -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 058 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 22:22:31 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Good luck chasing Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Chris, I have a new chase mobile and hope it doesn't get hail dented... Nothing compared to the tank I was driving before. Jimmy Deguara At 03:16 AM 1/29/99 -0800, you wrote: > >Just a quick note to wish those in NSW the best for tommorrow. May the >hail be large and the lightning frequent :-) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 059 From: "paulmoss" [paulmoss at tpgi.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW chase tomorrow Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 22:25:24 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3155.0 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Jimmy. As I said, the hunter (west of Maitland towards Singleton / Muswellbrook ) tomorrow has -6 LI values, as does Taree. I think these areas will be the most likely, as will most of the New England ranges. Paul -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 060 Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 05:43:45 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] Organization: The Storm Shop http://www.thestormshop.com/ X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; U) To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Probability Forecasts Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Take a look at a current development in severe weather forecasting: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~brooks/threatanim.html Sam Barricklow -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 061 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Lightning to the South Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 22:55:54 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, Just got back from a game of cricket so a bit late. There's heavy lightning over to the S/SW. I would estimate they are copping it around Cowra/Grenfell way. I can see the streaks of lightning but cannot hear the thunder. Looks like a fairly hot storm. Nothing locally. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 062 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Orange Weather Date: Fri, 29 Jan 1999 23:08:43 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, Not long after I sent the last mail it has started to pour down with localised thunder and lightning. very heavy large drops of rain with a fantastic light show attached. Unfortunately most of the lightning is above the cloud. I had better disconnect now. That thunder just rattled the window so it's getting a bit close. GOOD LUCK to all chasers on Saturday. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au
Document: 990129.htm
Updated: 5th February, 1999 |
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