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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Friday, 19 March 1999 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] testing 002 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Thunderstorms approaching Perth 003 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Blackouts 004 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] ICQ Users read this. 005 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] The dangers of lightning. 006 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Orange Weather 007 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au Current Obs. 008 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] We are not alone. 009 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] Current Obs. 010 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] Current Obs. 011 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au Blackouts 012 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Earth Tremor - Syd 013 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] Tropical Cyclones Elaine and Vance 014 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] north sydney storms 015 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Re: How high? 016 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Earth Tremor - Syd 017 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au Re: How high? 018 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] Storm News 019 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Re Earthquakes/Climate change 020 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Call for photos for 2000 Bureau weather calendar 021 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Storm News 022 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Blackouts 023 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Broad scale patterns 024 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Telstra 025 "Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au] TC Cyclone Watch for my area!! 026 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au TC Cyclone Watch for my area!! 027 "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] Rain in Canberra 028 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au] Wet stuff? 029 steve baynham [bayns at nor.com.au] some pics for yas 030 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Blackouts 031 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Re: How high? 032 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Broad scale patterns 033 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Earth Tremor - Syd 034 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Tornado report?? 035 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Tornado report?? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: testing Date: Fri, 19 Mar 99 05:10:18 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id FAA04818 Tough luck Matt Hope your luck changes. Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > my email file was damaged after my computer crashed and ive just lost all > my email, so im just making sure i can still send.. hope i get this back > > Matthew Smith > > ASWA Committee Member > > Storm Chase Reports and Photos: > http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 03:50:10 +0800 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Thunderstorms approaching Perth Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com We've got a few moisture sources on the moment, 1st we have a mid level low just to the west of WA, the easterly winds are more moist than usual with all the thunderstorms to the east of Perth during the week, we have an active surface trough, and also we've got cloud and moisture coming from the cyclone which is feeding into the surface trough. It started raining at about midday, its 3:45am right now, and its still raining, its only been light right, but its been pretty constant, current obs at 3:45am, the temp is 19.6C, dp is 18.8C, we've got NE winds at 11km/h, 95%RH and 1012.6 hPa. Jacob At 08:21 PM 18-03-99 +1100, you wrote: >Let alone with an easterly regime..no doubt the moisture shearing from cyclone >Elaine is combining with an upper /surface trough?.... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Blackouts Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 08:56:15 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, Next time you get that 10 minute localised black out consider these people. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________Brazil blames lightning for severe blackout March 12, 1999 Web posted at: 9:25 PM EST (0225 GMT) SAO PAULO, Brazil (Reuters) -- A lightning bolt that struck a Sao Paulo power substation was responsible for plunging some 60 million people into darkness in Brazil's worst blackout in 15 years, officials said on Friday. The flash of energy knocked out the Bauru substation in the interior of Sao Paulo state late on Thursday, triggering a chain reaction that shut down the enormous power grid of energy company Cesp in the country's industrial centre, Mining and Energy Minister Rodolfo Tourinho told reporters. The Sao Paulo grid failure overloaded power transmission lines and quickly took out the nerve centre of Brazil's integrated electrical energy system, causing the massive turbines at the Itaipu hydroelectric plant to automatically shut off. The resulting blackout hit nine Brazilian states plus the Federal District of Brasilia, an area about the size of India or one-third of U.S. territory. Electrical energy was fully restored by 2:30 a.m local time (0530 GMT), following power outages of up to four hours. "This was an exceptional occurrence; there's no reason to doubt the reliance of the Brazilian electrical system," Tourinho said. The blackout paralyzed Brazil's two principal cities, Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, as well as the capital city of Brasilia and a number of southern states including Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Santa Catarina, Minas Gerais, Espirito Santo and Goias. "It was clearly the worst blackout in the last 15 years," said Edson Alfonso, spokesman for Brazil's Operador Nacional do Sistema Eletrico (ONS), an independent body that oversees power generation in Latin America's biggest nation. Hundreds of Brazilians were stuck in chaotic traffic in the middle of the night and others were trapped in the subway, but police in the financial centre of Sao Paulo said there were no fatalities. Late last month, neighbouring Argentina suffered an epic blackout that lasted for 10 days in what became the longest outage in Argentine history and one of the worst in the world. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: ICQ Users read this. Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:01:44 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, Apparently they have found a way to spam ICQ sites now. Those interested go to: http://www.news.com/News/Item/0%2C4%2C33970%2C00.html?dd.ne.txt.0318.03 Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: The dangers of lightning. Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:11:01 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, Yea I know your all waiting for Orange Weather. BE Patient. :-} :-} For those people worried about being it by lightning when photographing or chasing storms. I was three-quarters asleep about 3.30 this morning so I can't remember the location. On the ABC news they reported that somewhere overseas a person was hit by lightning while doing a rain dance. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Orange Weather Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:18:10 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, 100% Cu cover with drizzle most of the night (about 3mm). Still look threatening. Plenty of our cloud heading towards Sydney so I will keep my fingers and toes crossed for the Mountains and Sydney. At 09.15, 18C, 80%, 1018, E 5-10 Knots. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:22:27 +1000 Subject: Re: aus-wx: Current Obs. Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Howdy all. Layers of stratocu here at the moment (boring). Whats the forecast for Sydney tomorrow? Is there any chance of a chase? How are those twins cyc's going? We need a couple over here dont we guys! One screaming down the east coast would do just lovely. Seriously I agree with the "thought" regarding the more southerly dip of the tropical ridge. Possibly caused by warmer sea temps or whatever, it has had a marked effect on our summer storms. I dont know about you "Southerners" but we have had a definite more wet season up this way with marked periods of rain rather then storm falls. I know that places west such as Gloucester are far wetter already. Also places like Cairns must be close to bvreaking some records for a 12 month period after having TC Rona and then the heavy rain of the last week.? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: We are not alone. Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:55:05 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all those interested in climate change ect, Australia is not the only one suffers from climate change and excess water use. 1000 tonnes of water for 1 tonne of wheat!!!! Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au ____________________________________________________________________________ ____________________ A report to be published in the United Kingdom will say there is evidence that water tables are falling on every continent across the world. The disclosure comes in the 1999 State of the World report, published by the Washington-based Worldwatch Institute. Between 1991 and 1996, the report says, the water table under the north China plain dropped by an average of 1.5m (5ft) a year. The area produces nearly 40% of China's grain harvest. Reserves threatened According to the report, the International Irrigation Management Institute (IIMI) in Sri Lanka says the water tables almost everywhere in India are falling at between one and three metres (from three to 10ft) each year. The IIMI estimates that India is using its underground water reserves at least twice as fast as they are being replenished. When the reserves run out, it says, India's grain harvest could fall by as much as a quarter. India's population, now almost 1bn people, is expected, on present trends, to grow by a further 500m in the next half century. Dr Lester brown: Effects of climate change becoming more pronounced The contents of the report were announced by the director of the Worldwatch Institute, Dr Lester Brown, at a workshop in Hungary for environment journalists from central and eastern Europe. He said that China and India were two countries with high population growth which also faced the prospect of severe constraints on development. If the Chinese wanted to match per capita consumption of beef in the USA, said Dr Brown, they would have to import an extra 340m tonnes of grain annually. That amount equals the entire US grain harvest in any given year. And in a water-scarce world, it would be very difficult to increase grain yields. Heat record "It takes 1,000 tonnes of water to produce one tonne of wheat", said Dr Brown. "In a few years, water scarcity will have been translated into food scarcity." He said the effects of climate change had become more marked in 1998, in areas other than shortages of water. That had been the hottest year on record, and it had also registered a record increase in temperature over the previous warmest year. The cost of the damage caused by extreme weather linked to climate change in 1998 had been $89bn. That was a 46% increase on 1996, the next most expensive year. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Current Obs. Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:00:04 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Paul, The forecast for Sydney tomorrow is the following Chance of shower. NE winds. City Max: 26 Looks like most of the action will be west of the ranges going by the Bureaus weather notes. Hopefully something might happen on this side. It is looking like Monday is our best chance for storms at the moment. With regards to the cyclones here are the latest warnings TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION UPDATE PERTH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE Issued at 0650 hours on Friday , 19/03/99 Tropical Cyclone ELAINE (Category 2) was located at 6 am near 21.5S 110.8E, that is 345 km west of Exmouth and moving south at 11 km/hr. The next advice will be issued at 1pm this afternoon. TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION UPDATE BUREAU METEOROLOGY PERTH Issued at 0110 hours on Friday , 19/03/99 Tropical Cyclone Vance (CAT 2) was located at midnight near 12.5S 123.5E, that is 435km north of Cape Leveque, and moving west at 22 km/hr. The cyclone is not expected to cause gales in coastal communities in the next 48 hours, though it will move closer to the Pilbara coast during the weekend. The next advice will be issued at 7am. Matthew Piper ----- Original Message ----- > Howdy all. Layers of stratocu here at the moment (boring). Whats the > forecast for Sydney tomorrow? Is there any chance of a chase? How are > those twins cyc's going? > > We need a couple over here dont we guys! One screaming down the east coast > would do just lovely. > > Seriously I agree with the "thought" regarding the more southerly dip of > the tropical ridge. Possibly caused by warmer sea temps or whatever, it has > had a marked effect on our summer storms. I dont know about you > "Southerners" but we have had a definite more wet season up this way with > marked periods of rain rather then storm falls. I know that places west > such as Gloucester are far wetter already. Also places like Cairns must be > close to bvreaking some records for a 12 month period after having TC Rona > and then the heavy rain of the last week.? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Current Obs. Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:04:01 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Latest Update on TC Vance just came through TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION UPDATE BUREAU METEOROLOGY PERTH Issued at 0700 hours on Friday , 19/03/99 Tropical Cyclone Vance (Category 2) was located at 6am near 13.2S 122.4E, that is 530km north of Broome, and moving west south west at 22 km/hr. The cyclone is not expected to cause gales in coastal communities in the next 36 hours, though it will move closer to the Pilbara coast during the weekend. The next advice will be issued at 1pm this afternoon. Matthew Piper ----- Original Message ----- > Howdy all. Layers of stratocu here at the moment (boring). Whats the > forecast for Sydney tomorrow? Is there any chance of a chase? How are > those twins cyc's going? > > We need a couple over here dont we guys! One screaming down the east coast > would do just lovely. > > Seriously I agree with the "thought" regarding the more southerly dip of > the tropical ridge. Possibly caused by warmer sea temps or whatever, it has > had a marked effect on our summer storms. I dont know about you > "Southerners" but we have had a definite more wet season up this way with > marked periods of rain rather then storm falls. I know that places west > such as Gloucester are far wetter already. Also places like Cairns must be > close to bvreaking some records for a 12 month period after having TC Rona > and then the heavy rain of the last week.? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:30:52 +1000 Subject: Re: aus-wx: Blackouts Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Terry I wish it was a 10min job - last time we had that severe storm I had no power for 11 hours, and having a luke warm shower that morning wasnt real interesting either. Paul. "Terry Bishop"on 19/03/99 08:56:15 Hi All, Next time you get that 10 minute localised black out consider these people. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 Date: Thu, 18 Mar 1999 08:11:53 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Earth Tremor - Syd Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Actually, in a very round about way it does. I was reading recently about a theory on the earth's plates and their movement and how that could be one of the impacts on climate change over millions of years...:-) Lindsay James Harris (819) wrote: > > Hi All , > > I know this has nothing to do with weather but our building seriously shook > for three seconds about ten minutes ago. Any one else feel it??? > Has there been an Earth Tremor or something??? > > James Harris -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: "Aussie Weather Mailing List" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Tropical Cyclones Elaine and Vance Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:11:41 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com TC Elaine SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Elaine with central pressure 970 hPa located at 2200 UTC within 30 nautical miles of Latitude twenty one decimal five south (21.5S) Longitude one hundred and ten decimal eight east (110.8E) moving south at 06 knots. AREA AFFECTED Cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, moderate swell and 30/45 knot winds within 80 nm of centre, increasing to 55/65 knots phenomenal seas heavy swell within 30 nm of centre. Winds slowly moderating over the next 24 hours. FORECAST At 1000 UTC 19 March 22.8 south 111.2 east 980 hPa At 2200 UTC 19 March 24.1 south 111.6 east 995 hPa TC Vance SITUATION Tropical cyclone VANCE with central pressure 975 hPa located at 2200 UTC within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal two south (13.2S) Longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal four east (122.4E) moving west south west at 12 knots. AREA AFFECTED Cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, moderate swell and 30/45 knot winds within 90nm of centre, increasing to 45/55 knots within 30 nm of centre. Winds reaching 55/65 knots after 0400 UTC 19 March FORECAST At 1000 UTC 19 March 14.2 south 120.1 east 955hPa At 2200 UTC 19 March 16.0 south 118.7 east 940hPa -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 Date: Thu, 18 Mar 1999 08:19:16 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: north sydney storms Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Thanks Michael, Great stuff Lindsay Michael Thompson wrote: > > It is different every day, I do not like the congestus to shoot up straight > and tall and form a storm too early. This is very much opposite to how I > thought a few years back. Nowdays I prefer to see congestus that gets > sheared early so the towers are 45' degrees, I also like to see the first > few congestus towers spread out into strato-cumulus, this means there is > capping ( slight inversion ), this acts as a dam, letting the bottom > atmosphere build up more and more energy. If the capping is not too strong > eventually after many failed towers one will explode through the cap and > grow into a supercell. Well that is the how iit supposed to work, but > everyday is different. > > Michael -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 Date: Thu, 18 Mar 1999 08:21:34 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Re: How high? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Out of curiosity,how high is the Illawarra Escarpment (highest point/s) Lindsay Michael Thompson wrote: > > Matt is right, Lake Conjola is just north of Milton, Milton used to feature > in many ' highest in last 24 hours ' reports, but in recent years has lost > some of former glory ( same with Robertson and Mt Keira ). The ranges come > close to the sea in that area, but nothing like the Illawarra escarpment. > > Regards > Michael -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Earth Tremor - Syd Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:48:05 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Lindsay, One of the things I am researching for my book is the effect of man made dams on the plates. There seems to be many more minor movements/tremors in areas of large dams than there was before the dam. Whether this is due to the weight in one area or water running through the plates lubricating them or both is still open to speculation. I read an article that the increase in the temperature of Earths plate due to global climate change is causing the plates to expand causing more movement than normal. I will see if I can dig it up. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au > -----Original Message----- > From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com > [mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Lindsay > Sent: Friday, 19 March 1999 2:12 > To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > Subject: > > > Actually, in a very round about way it does. I was reading recently > about a theory on the earth's plates and their movement and how that > could be one of the impacts on climate change over millions of > years...:-) > > Lindsay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 017 From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:52:07 +1000 Subject: Re: aus-wx: Re: How high? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Lindsay, the escpartment around the Ilawarra region goes between 700m - 800m around the Lake basion, and higher North around the STanwell tops area. Further inland around Moss vale it goes to levels in the Mid 900's. Robertson and the surrounding areas are 750m if I remember. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 018 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 09:52:22 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Storm News Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, I've had many requests about Storm News being printed in colour, I personally believe this is a great idea, but I am having trouble finding places that will do it cheaply enough for us to use their services. So I'm asking everyone, if anyone has a friend/relative or if they work in a printing company, if they have any good prices on colour printing. The actual entire issue of Storm News, wouldn't be printed in colour, what would happen, would be that a few pages would be designated 'photo pages' and only these would be printed in colour. If anyone has any information, comments or suggestions, please email me personally on cyclone at stealth.com.au Thanks in advance, Anthony Cornelius Storm News Editor -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 019 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Re Earthquakes/Climate change Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 11:15:54 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Lindsey, ����������� One of the articles re temp. increase. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au Global Temperature Jumps Off Chart Global Temperature Jumps Off Chart The average temperature of the earth's atmosphere hit the highest level ever recorded in the first two-thirds of 1998, literally jumping off the charts. Six of the first eight months of the year were the warmest since records began in 1866. The accelerating pace of climate change is out of step with the glacial pace of climate negotiations, which have been frozen since the Kyoto Protocol was crafted a year ago. "Unless the government officials who gather in Buenos Aires November 2 for a new round of climate negotiations can plug the loopholes in the Protocol and pave the way for its ratification," say Worldwatch researchers Christopher Flavin and Seth Dunn, "they face serious risk that it will never be adopted, nullifying a decade of efforts to protect the climate. If nothing of consequence happens in Buenos Aires, that in itself will be big news." Even before this year, the 14 hottest years on record have occurred since 1980. And researchers from the University of Massachusetts say that based on the analysis of tree rings, the recent temperatures are the warmest in 600 years. Scientists believe that we are in effect creating a more feverish planet by adding billions of tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. The symptoms-higher temperatures and more hot and dry spells-are likely to be seen in the form of more severe weather. One factor in the extreme weather of 1998 was the periodic El Ni�o warming of the eastern Pacific. But the severity of the recent El Ni�o-the most extreme so far-may itself be a manifestation of human-induced climate change. Some 56 countries have been hit by severe floods this year, and at least 45 were stricken by drought. China was particularly hard hit, suffering an estimated $36 billion in losses due to the flooding of the Yangtze river basin-equal to near 5 percent of the country's annual economic output. An estimated 2,500 Chinese were killed and another 56 million displaced by the floods, the country's worst in 44 years. Bangladesh was hit by an unusually long and severe monsoon season, which left two-thirds of the country, including much of the capital, Dhaka, underwater for over a month, leaving 21 million people homeless. Nor was the host country for the Buenos Aires climate meetings spared. Floods in Argentina and Paraguay in 1998 cost $2.5 billion, and threatened the region's wheat and soybean crops. Worldwide economic losses from storms, floods, droughts and other weather-related natural disasters totaled an estimated $72 billion during the first 7 months of 1997-which already exceeded the record of $60 billion for the full 12 months of 1996. A more unstable climate is also causing record-breaking heat waves. One hundred Texans died in a prolonged summer heat spell during which temperatures in Dallas rose above 35 degrees Celsius for weeks on end. An estimated 3,000 people died in India's most intense heat wave in 50 years. Climate disruption is leading to the spread of infectious diseases, according to Paul Epstein of the Harvard Medical School. Rising temperatures and more persistent rainfall allow tropical and subtropical diseases to move into new areas. In the past year, tens of thousands of Africans were hit by Rift Valley Fever, and 200 were killed, after the heaviest rains since 1961. The World Health Organization has documented "quantitative leaps" in the incidence of malaria in the past several years. Outbreaks of hantavirus and cholera have occurred in the region immediately surrounding Buenos Aires. One of the planet's most prominent "hotspots" is just a few thousand miles from the southern tip of Argentina: Antarctica. The peninsula has warmed up by 2.5 degrees Celsius since the mid-1940s. According to a research team led by G.D. Clow of the U.S. Geological Survey, Antarctica is warmer now than at any time in the last 4,000 years. This past March, a 200-square-kilometer block of ice fell from the Larsen B ice shelf, pushing its size to an historical minimum. In October, an iceberg 7,125 square kilometers in area-larger than the U.S. state of Delaware-separated from the Ronne Ice Shelf. Scientists with the British Antarctic Survey believe that the Larsen B shelf may be on the verge of entering an "irreversible retreat phase." They are also concerned about the collapse of the larger West Antarctic ice sheet, which could raise sea levels by as much as 5 meters and inundate coastal regions. Glaciers outside Antarctica are shrinking, too. Half the glacier ice in the European Alps has disappeared in the last century. The famous ice field in America's Glacier National Park is shrinking fast, as are the glaciers in the Patagonian Andes along the Argentine border. Accelerated temperature change is giving an ironic twist to our notion of "glacial pace." As climate change picks up speed, it is the international political process that is now moving at the pace we used to associate with large chunks of ice. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 020 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: aus-wx: Call for photos for 2000 Bureau weather calendar To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather) Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 11:25:55 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Something which may be of interest to some of you - the Bureau is now calling for submissions of potential photos (of a meteorological nature, of course) for the 2000 Weather Calendar. Submissions need to be in by 30 April. Further details are available on the Bureau's web page: http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/call.shtml Blair Trewin -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 021 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Storm News Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 11:34:05 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Anthony, I am just after a few details like size of magazine, how many issues a year, average pages and size of pictures? Do you want them reproduced in normal photo size? Thanks, Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au > -----Original Message----- > From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com > [mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Anthony > Cornelius > Sent: Friday, 19 March 1999 9:52 > To: Australian Weather Mailing List > Subject: > > > Hi all, > > I've had many requests about Storm News being printed in colour, I > personally believe this is a great idea, but I am having trouble finding > places that will do it cheaply enough for us to use their services. So > I'm asking everyone, if anyone has a friend/relative or if they work in > a printing company, if they have any good prices on colour printing. > The actual entire issue of Storm News, wouldn't be printed in colour, > what would happen, would be that a few pages would be designated 'photo > pages' and only these would be printed in colour. > > If anyone has any information, comments or suggestions, please email me > personally on cyclone at stealth.com.au > > Thanks in advance, > Anthony Cornelius > Storm News Editor -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 022 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Blackouts Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:36:36 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Almost as bad as Aukland... -----Original Message----- Hi All, Next time you get that 10 minute localised black out consider these people. Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 023 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Broad scale patterns Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:59:29 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Rodney, Must say that I agree with your observation. Presumably the influence of the so called La Nina phenomenon cannot be disregarded, and maybe this has something to do with creation of the blocking pattern (i.e, warmer oceans -> lower sea level pressure). Although you would think that a blocking pattern would result in a nice bunched up High in the Bight and consequent heat wave for Perth... Certainly the absence of significant westward moving troughs have acted to keep the summertime QLD inland trough well inland since December and the storms with it. We also seem to have had a lot more S/SE winds this summer whereas normally we would expect more E/NE in Brisbane. This is consistent with the High pressure ridge being further South. How do other Brisbanites feel about this? Regards, -----Original Message----- Hi Jane, Doesn't look like anyone has answered your query re broard scale patterns for this summer. OK, so I will stick my neck here and give my perceptions of the season's broardscale patterns. I believe that the sub-tropical ridge has generally and fairly cosistently been situated further south than usual this summer. The high pressure ridges have tended to be just that, long ridges of high pressure stretched out along the width of the continent, but rather well south, opposed to more distinct anticyclones with significant 'V' frontal troughs between them. I haven't plotted any paths on to a map, this is just an perception from observing daily MSL synoptic charts. Blocking in the Tasman Sea seems to have been more prevelent this summer also, particularly during January and early February. This tends to consistently direct warm to hot and rather humid east to northeasterly air flows over southeastern Australia. Strong cold fronts have been rather elusive for the above mentioned reasons. This explanation may be somewhat amateurish. Perhaps someone like Blair could elaborate further. Rod Aikman Bendigo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 024 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Telstra Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:33:05 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com G'day John, Nothin' wrong with Telstra that a complete change of senior management couldn't fix, but then again... thinking about it... hmmm... maybe not. Regards, -----Original Message----- Oh dear.....I've stepped on a few toes about telstra.....looks like some people DON'T have a sense of humour at all.....they're the ones WITHOUT a life..................... :-) See Ya's John (with a bit of sarcasm THIS time)................ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 025 From: "Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: TC Cyclone Watch for my area!! Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 10:51:12 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All just woke up to great news! :) Got a TC watch for my area as follows........ PRIORITYTROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE ADVICE NUMBER 8 BUREAU OFMETEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH ISSUED AT 10.00 AM ON FRIDAY 19/03/1999. A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for coastal areas between Wallal andExmouth, which includes the communities at Port Hedland, Roebourne,Wickham, Karratha, Dampier and Onslow. At 9'oclock this morning cyclone VANCE was estimated to be500 kilometres north of Broome and 830 kilometres northnortheast of Port Hedland and moving westsouthwest at 22 kilometres per hour. It is not expected to cause gales in coastal areas within the next24 hours, however gales could develop within 48 hours. DETAILS OF CYCLONE VANCE AT 9 AM. LOCATION OF CENTRE Within 50 kilometres of Latitude 13.5 South Longitude 121.8 East RECENT MOVEMENT Westsouthwest at 22 kilometres per hour CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 Hectopascals MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS 150 kilometres per hour near the centre SEVERITY CATEGORY 2 Communities between Wallal and Exmouth should listen for the nextadvice which will be issued at 4PM. A Very Excited Jason Aka JuNgLeJiM Karratha http://www.kisser.net.au/kevans/Weather.html -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 026 From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 14:12:54 +1000 Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Cyclone Watch for my area!! Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com U Go Jason! I know exactly how you feel. Anticipation. I remeber when we were put on Watch for Thelma in Darwin. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 027 X-Originating-Ip: [203.37.41.20] From: "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Rain in Canberra Date: Thu, 18 Mar 1999 19:56:46 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, At last Huey has returned to this part of the Southern Tablelands. After a considerable absence, light to moderate rain has been falling from around 11.00 am EDT today (Friday). Nothing too spectacular cloud-wise - a solid blanket of alto-stratus with a few bits of scud at hill-top level floaing by. Temp of 17 and DP of 14. In short the sort of day that makes me homesick for the time I lived in Melbourne!! Actually its not really a dig - we DO need the rain. I was a bit disappointed that we missed out on any of the action last night from the impressive line of storms stretching from southern Qld to northern Vic. Whilst I didn't expect the storms to necessarily drift across, I thought some lightning (or horizon flickering) might have been visible - but nothing seen despite my best attempts. I note that Wangaratta got 53mm up to 9.00 this morning whilst nearby Albury got none and Shepparton got just under 3mm Patrick Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 028 X-Sender: cmaunder at mail.dynamite.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.0 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 15:11:09 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: Wet stuff? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey guys - getting all this strange wet stuff falling down from the sky. Patrick - you getting it too? Chris -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 029 X-Sender: bayns at nornet.nor.com.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 15:01:44 +1000 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: steve baynham [bayns at nor.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: some pics for yas Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com hi all, a couple of shots i took of a shelf cloud on the 3rd of march, and some other large cb's i snapped in the meantime. just go to the bottom of my weather page and check out the last four photos http://www.angelfire.com/ok/gany/weather.html cheers steve from gold coast -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 030 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Blackouts Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 17:13:43 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At least this blackout was caused by mother nature!!!! Terry. mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au > -----Original Message----- > From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com > [mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of John > Woodbridge > Sent: Friday, 19 March 1999 10:37 > To: 'aussie-weather at world.std.com' > Subject: > > > Almost as bad as Aukland... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 031 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Re: How high? Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 17:46:17 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com It starts at Stanwell Park in the north with absolutely no coastal plain, in fact the mountain at Coalcliff is slowly sliding into the sea. It is about 300m at this stage, it gradually rises and a small coastal plain appears, widening slowly down to Wollongong. At Wollongong the escarpment is 500m at higher points and the plain approx 3-5 kms wide. It then swings more SW at a steady altitude of approx 500m, with the coastal plain widening at Lake Illawarra to perhaps 10km. At Macquarie Pass the furthermost west the escarpment reaches there is a geological change, the Hawkesbury Sandstone is capped by Basalt ( like Mt Tomah ) here the higher points go 800m, but average is 700m. It can snow here, and at 10kms in a direct line from the ocean is probably the closest snow occasional falls to the ocean in NSW ( Mt Dromedary could be the only other contender ). Rainfall at Robertson is 1600mm. The escarpment then swings abruptly SE, heading for the sea with 500-600m height. At Barren Grounds behind Jamberoo the rainfall is 1900mm, this is because the escarpment faces NE , but it is a narrow ridge with Kangaroo Valley behind, thus S winds are lifted as well. Hope I did not go overboard. Michael -----Original Message----- >Out of curiosity,how high is the Illawarra Escarpment (highest point/s) > > >Lindsay -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 032 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 19:08:37 +1100 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Broad scale patterns Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I wonder if it's also to do with southern cold fronts not getting through due to the polar jet stream being 'out of whack' also...? RODNEY AIKMAN wrote: > Hi Jane, > Doesn't look like anyone has answered your query re broard scale > patterns for this summer. OK, so I will stick my neck here and give my > perceptions of the season's broardscale patterns. > I believe that the sub-tropical ridge has generally and fairly > cosistently been situated further south than usual this summer. The high > pressure ridges have tended to be just that, long ridges of high > pressure stretched out along the width of the continent, but rather well > south, opposed to more distinct anticyclones with significant 'V' > frontal troughs between them. I haven't plotted any paths on to a map, > this is just an perception from observing daily MSL synoptic charts. > Blocking in the Tasman Sea seems to have been more prevelent this > summer also, particularly during January and early February. This tends > to consistently direct warm to hot and rather humid east to > northeasterly air flows over southeastern Australia. Strong cold fronts > have been rather elusive for the above mentioned reasons. > This explanation may be somewhat amateurish. Perhaps someone like > Blair could elaborate further. > > Rod Aikman > > Bendigo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 033 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 19:14:08 +1100 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Earth Tremor - Syd Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I seem to recall reading something in the Royal Met Society's monthly 'Weather' magazine about geomorphology or geology affecting climate as well..we do live in an amazing and complex world... Lindsay wrote: > Actually, in a very round about way it does. I was reading recently > about a theory on the earth's plates and their movement and how that > could be one of the impacts on climate change over millions of > years...:-) > > Lindsay > > James Harris (819) wrote: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 034 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 20:17:12 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: Tornado report?? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Jimmy here, I finished a conversation with Geoff Thurtell (a non-list member of ASWA) and he mentioned that a friend of his thought at may be of interest that a tornado was reported in early February near Mudgee and that it flattened the top story of a house that was in the process of being built. The family that was working there saw it coming make a touch down and then take a direct route towrds them. They took shelter somehow details still sektchy... The tornado also destroyed flattened trees to a width of 300 metres and the track went for 1.8 km I think. More information tomorrow or so. Geoff will be at the meeting. Jimmy Deguara ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara Vice President ASWA from Schofields, Sydney e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 035 X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1 Date: Fri, 19 Mar 1999 22:48:59 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Tornado report?? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Jimmy Deguara here, In reply to my own e-mail, this seems to be more likely the day we chased to Moree 30th January rather than early February. I think that day and system seems to have been consistent of tornado development from our observed tornado?? and the Grafton one. Jimmy Deguara At 20:17 19/03/99 +1100, you wrote: >Hi Jimmy here, > >I finished a conversation with Geoff Thurtell (a non-list member of ASWA) >and he mentioned that a friend of his thought at may be of interest that a >tornado was reported in early February near Mudgee and that it flattened >the top story of a house that was in the process of being built. > >The family that was working there saw it coming make a touch down and then >take a direct route towrds them. They took shelter somehow details still >sektchy... The tornado also destroyed flattened trees to a width of 300 >metres and the track went for 1.8 km I think. More information tomorrow or >so. Geoff will be at the meeting. > >Jimmy Deguara
Document: 990319.htm
Updated: 29 March 1999 |
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