Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Monday, 22 March 1999

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]      Glossodia obs Sunday
002 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    ready set go
003 "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co  ready set go
004 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    ready set go
005 "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co  ready set go
006 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Re: aussie-weather: Change
007 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Re: Blackheath Weather
008 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        BoM road warning for Canberra
009 "Craig Williams" [tincra at ecn.net.au]           ready set go
010 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]            Re: aussie-weather: Change
011 "McDonald" [mcdonald at one.net.au]               Early birds
012 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    ready set go
013 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    Early birds
014 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]            Orange Weather
015 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
016 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]     Pt Hedland soundings
017 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]            Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
018 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
019 "Marty" [martyp at dynamite.com.au]               Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
020 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Latest Vance obs
021 "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co  ready set go
022 "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co  ready set go
023 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          TC Vance latest obs
024 vortex at wwdg.com                                Tornado Report.
025 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          TC Vance latest obs
026 "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com]          an administrivia request
027 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             TC Vance
028 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au                    TC Vance latest obs & ASWA stuff
029 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au                    Heavy Rain for Mid North Coastal areas + TC Vance's situatio
030 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]       Heavy Rain for Mid North Coastal areas + TC Vance's situatio
031 "Ira Fehlberg" [jra at upnaway.com]               (no subject)
032 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Tornado Report.
033 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]             an administrivia request
034 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]    Storms approaching Brisbane
035 "Craig Williams" [tincra at ecn.net.au]           an administrivia request
036 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Storms approaching Brisbane
037 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]       Sydney meeting 20/3/99 (correction)
038 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]     Cat 5 Cyclones
039 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Overnight minima--Seven Hills North
040 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         ready set go
041 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Storms approaching Brisbane
042 "bernette hudson" [bernette at primus.com.au]     Storms approaching Brisbane
043 "Debbie Parker" [debp at rie.net.au]              TC Vance latest obs
044 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Cyclone Vance - Future track
045 DavidC at thevortex.com                           Hunter Valley Chase pics
046 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Cyclone Vance - Future track
047 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Brisbane Skies Lit Up To The South!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001

From: "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Glossodia obs Sunday
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 01:21:53 +-1000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

..this is all just too much for fruit veg n nongreasy luvin rals who promptly runs to the bathroom n throws up........ EVERYWHERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

BLEUUUUCHK!!!!!


----------

You could always try Chucky Chicken...

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
002

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 99 05:14:09 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id FAA06799

OK everybody - I'm up.  What's happening in the world?  Short sharp showers has been the order of the morning thus far, with rain predicted to ease this a.m. in Melbourne.  Baro still falling slowly - currently 1006

About to catch up on Vance

Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
003

From: "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co.uk]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 20:54:31 -0000
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2407.0)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Mornin' Nandina,
I'm hard at work - reading all the messages from the weekend.
How is Vance??
I heard it's 250km away( the eye from land I assume ) & travelling at 16km/h
- that should take it 15hrs to get there.

Regards,
Debbie
Boronia, Melbourne

> -----Original Message-----
> From:	Nandina Morris [SMTP:nandina at alphalink.com.au]
> Sent:	Tuesday, March 23, 1999 12:14 AM
> To:	aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:	aus-wx: ready set go
> 
> OK everybody - I'm up.  What's happening in the world?  Short sharp
> showers has been the order of the morning thus far, with rain predicted to
> ease this a.m. in Melbourne.  Baro still falling slowly - currently 1006
> 
> About to catch up on Vance
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> Nandina
> nandina at alphalink.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
004

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 99 06:56:04 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id HAA07309

Hi Debbie - another early bird!  The worms are great this morning, aren't they?

Vance looks very much alive and kicking - raring to go, in fact.  Check out

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW55W00.gif


Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Mornin' Nandina,
> I'm hard at work - reading all the messages from the weekend.
> How is Vance??
> I heard it's 250km away( the eye from land I assume ) & travelling at 16km/h
> - that should take it 15hrs to get there.
>

> Regards,
> Debbie
> Boronia, Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
005

From: "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co.uk]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 21:54:32 -0000
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2407.0)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Worms are a bit chewy - but not too bad!!
Thanks Nandina,
Unfortunately I don't have access to the web at work - only at home so I
can't check it out.
I'll have to wait - for ages ............!!

Bummer!

Regards,
Debbie
Boronia , Melbourne

> -----Original Message-----
> From:	Nandina Morris [SMTP:nandina at alphalink.com.au]
> Sent:	Tuesday, March 23, 1999 1:56 AM
> To:	aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:	Re: aus-wx: ready set go
> 
> Hi Debbie - another early bird!  The worms are great this morning, aren't
> they?
> 
> Vance looks very much alive and kicking - raring to go, in fact.  Check
> out
> 
> http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW55W00.gif
> 
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> Nandina
> nandina at alphalink.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
006

Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 04:07:20 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Re: aussie-weather: Change
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

The Change has just come through Blackheath at 8:30 am. Fresh winds,
stronger at times, moderate rain.

Lindsay

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
007

Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 09:08:23 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Re: Blackheath Weather
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Nice Poem. :-)

Lindsay

Karen Gorrie wrote:
> 
> Kids talk in the front yard
> neighbours whipper snip their lawns in the back...
> the sun shines, the birds are singing
> no rain but slightly overcast
> it's 11:00am and 25 deg in Glossodia

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
008

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: BoM road warning for Canberra
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 09:42:00 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

> 
> Hi Terry,
> 
> I think you'll find that most states are independent, that is, they
> choose how they write their warnings, what they warn for, how they
> forecast, how they broadcast their forecasts etc.  Of course, they're
> all given basic rules and guidelines, but other things are optional (for
> example the road warning, the Canberra BoM have decided that they'll do
> that extra little part)
> 
> Anthony
Anthony is basically right, although road weather alerts also get 
issued in Adelaide and Perth for rain/fog. (Tasmania also issues them,
but there they are usually for snow or high winds).

One distinctly Canberran warning is the Small Boat Alert.

Blair Trewin

(who has an ambition of seeing a Fire Weather Warning and a Sheep
Weather Alert valid simultaneously for the same area...)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
009

From: "Craig Williams" [tincra at ecn.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 08:58:39 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hiya Debbie,
Here is the pic from the link Nandina sent you so you don't have to wait so
long.
Cheers.......Craig
-----Original Message-----
>Worms are a bit chewy - but not too bad!!
>Thanks Nandina,
>Unfortunately I don't have access to the web at work - only at home so I
>can't check it out.
>I'll have to wait - for ages ............!!
>
>Bummer!
>
>Regards,
>Debbie
>Boronia , Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
010

From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Re: aussie-weather: Change
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 10:03:29 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Lindsay,

		I see the official fall for blackheath till 9.00am is 12mm


 Terry.

mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au


> -----Original Message-----
> From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
> [mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Lindsay
> Sent: Monday, 22 March 1999 22:07
> To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:
>
>
> The Change has just come through Blackheath at 8:30 am. Fresh winds,
> stronger at times, moderate rain.
>
> Lindsay

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
011

From: "McDonald" [mcdonald at one.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Early birds
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 09:09:56 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1161
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Morning all,

I think you are eating fake worms because i ate them all when I got up this
morning at 3:45am.  Yep - I'm stupid.  I think JJ will be OK - they still
have power and phone.  Melbourne is a bit blowy this morning with cold-air
instability causing rain showers (cells).  Mt Dandenong had 65mm yesterday
i think.

That's all for now.


Andrew McDonald.  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
012

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 99 08:09:23 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id KAA09009

No, Debbie - I've a great analogy for you.  Picture the map of Oz.  You see how the left side (West!) bulges out?  well right above the bulge is Vance - just like a baby, sitting on its mother's hip.  A BIG red (severe wind speed) centre looks like baby's colic growling most uncomfortably!

Well, I tried.  Now moving at 18 kph and still Cat 5

Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Worms are a bit chewy - but not too bad!!
> Thanks Nandina,
> Unfortunately I don't have access to the web at work - only at home so I
> can't check it out.
> I'll have to wait - for ages ............!!
>
> Bummer!
>
> Regards,
> Debbie
> Boronia , Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
013

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Early birds
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 99 09:57:06 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id KAA09436

yep -tis a tad chilly - got the trusty old trackie dacks out today  I reckon your worms were yesterday's left-overs.  They don't start baking till 4-30!

.Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Morning all,
>
> I think you are eating fake worms because i ate them all when I got up this
> morning at 3:45am.  Yep - I'm stupid.  I think JJ will be OK - they still
> have power and phone.  Melbourne is a bit blowy this morning with cold-air
> instability causing rain showers (cells).  Mt Dandenong had 65mm yesterday
> i think.
>
> That's all for now.
>
>
> Andrew McDonald.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
014

From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Orange Weather
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 10:47:30 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Hi All,

	This letter sent at 09.35 but still have not received it at 10.45. Sorry if
you receive it twice.

	 Mid level CU. Still raining lightly at present. 38mm in the guage since
20.55 last night. Many unsealed roads closed out in the West. Many rainfall
reports on the ABC radio ranging from 45mm to 12mm. No action cloud or wind
wise.

	At Orange at 09.30, 18C, 95%, 1010, WNW 5 Knots



 Terry.

mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
015

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 10:58:42 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Onslow is now reporting 67 knot winds gusting to 77. The latest
advice suggests a coast crossing sometime near midday (WA time). I'd
imagine the possibility still exists that the system could miss the
coast and penetrate further south - which could be a nasty situation
indeed if it happens because I don't expect Carnarvon, Geraldton et
al are as well-built to withstand cyclones as Onslow or Exmouth (and
they're bigger towns to start with).

The cyclone watch has been extended south to Southern Cross and
Kalgoorlie (I'm trying to remember the last time I saw Kalgoorlie
named in a cyclone advice - Bobby, maybe?). This area picked up a
fair bit of rain over the weekend, so there are the makings of a 
fairly significant flood situation. (I noticed on the WA Main Roads
site that all gravel roads in the Kalgoorlie area were closed, but
don't know enough about the area to know whether this happens      
routinely after rain or if it's a rare event).

Given the approach of Vance, the Moora flood doesn't seem to have got
anywhere near the attention it deserves - I can't remember a whole
town being flooded since Nyngan 1990. The highest rainfall figures 
were in the 80s, which seems too low, but Moora itself didn't report
(not surprisingly) and some other figures for the 3 days will probably
come in today. Have any 'unofficial' obs been reported in the WA media?
Some comments from the SES people on the ABC site regarding the WA
flood warning set-up (or lack thereof) - not easy to develop expected
flood levels for rivers that don't have water most of the time (was
this the case at Moora?)

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
016

X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.70.161]
From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Pt Hedland soundings
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 16:03:03 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Hi all, here's the soundings for Pt Hedland at 11pm last night;

1000-500 mb thick:      5817.00 m
Freezing level:          547.24 mb =  5137.91 m = 16856.46 ft
Wetbulb zero:            555.37 mb =  5000.16 m = 16404.53 ft
Precipitable water:        2.80 inches
Sfc-500 mean rel hum:     91.15 %
Est. max temperature:     33.60 C =   92.49 F
Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 961.31 mb =   373.20 m =  1224.41 ft T:   26.06 
C
700-500 lapse rate:        5.31 C/km
ThetaE index:             21.14 C Layer  782.0- 700.0 mb
Conv cond level (CCL):   928.66 mb =   679.93 m =  2230.71 ft
  Mean mixing ratio:      19.96 g/kg
  Conv temperature:       30.02 C =   86.03 F
Cap Strength:              0.13 C
Lifted Index:             -5.32 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms probable
Lifted Index  at 300 mb:     -4.85 C
Lifted Index  at 700 mb:     -3.47 C
Showalter Index:          -4.09 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms possible
Total Totals Index:       47.80 C Risk: Scattered moderate thunderstorms
  Vertical Totals Index:  23.90 C
  Cross Totals Index:     23.90 C
K Index:                  40.70   Risk: > 80 % chance of thunderstorms
Sweat Index:             345.20   Risk: Showers and thunderstorms 
possible
Energy Index:             -2.53   Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable

Parcel Indices
Parcel: using 100 mb layer
CAPE (B+):              2164.34 J/kg
Max Up Vert Vel:          65.79 m/s
Conv Inhibition (B-):      0.00 J/kg
Cap Strength:              0.13 C
Lift Cond Lev (LCL):     931.40 mb =   653.77 m =  2144.90 ft
Lev Free Conv (LFC):     926.40 mb =   701.55 m =  2301.64 ft
Equ Level (EL):          106.40 mb = 16312.67 m = 53518.60 ft
B at Equ Level:         2152.97 J/kg
Max Parcel Lev (MPL):     66.40 mb = 18944.64 m = 62153.58 ft

Wind Parameters
Mean winds (0-6000m):             22.2 at   37.8 knts
Storm direction:                  52.2 at   28.3 knts
Shear (0-3000m)              pos:    0.0 neg:    2.7 tot:    2.7 10-3/s
Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m):      43.1 deg
Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos:   44.5 neg:  -32.6 tot:   11.9 m^2/s^2
                             ave:    4.0 10^-3 m/s^2 rel:   0.22
Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz:    4.5 stream:    1.0 10^-3/s
Energy-Hel index:          0.44
Bulk Rich Number:        125.57
Bulk Shear:               17.24 m/s

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
017

From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 11:24:26 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Blair,

	ABC radio did have interviews with people flooded out on their night
program about 01.30 this morning. A good time for ratings!! One lady had
lost her home, her mom's home and both cars.
Thanks for the info. Keep up the good work.

 Terry.

mailto:dymprog at mpx.com.au


> -----Original Message-----
> From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
> [mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Blair Trewin
> Sent: Monday, 22 March 1999 9:59
> To: Aussie Weather
> Subject:
>
>
> Onslow is now reporting 67 knot winds gusting to 77. The latest
> advice suggests a coast crossing sometime near midday (WA time). I'd
> imagine the possibility still exists that the system could miss the
> coast and penetrate further south - which could be a nasty situation
> indeed if it happens because I don't expect Carnarvon, Geraldton et
> al are as well-built to withstand cyclones as Onslow or Exmouth (and
> they're bigger towns to start with).
>
>                                     ----Snip----

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
018

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 02:01:17 GMT
X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452
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X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id MAA11263

Here's the full run of reports from Onslow so far today. **Note** The
times are EDST. I'll post updates as the day goes on.

Yes -- I'm back! The past month or so has been a combination of
furious work to prepare for a few weeks holiday, then furious work to
catch up, so I haven't had much time to check out aus-wx. I'm now
wading through >1000 messages.....

Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links & News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0000 06024G32KT  26.1/24.5     Q1000.5 RF00.4/002.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0019 09021G27KT  26.3/24.7     Q1000.1 RF00.0/002.8
>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0100 10021G28KT  26.8/24.5     Q0999.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0104 10022G33KT  27.0/24.3     Q0999.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0400 10030G37KT  26.8/23.5     Q0995.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0432 10033G44KT  26.3/23.8     Q0994.7 RF00.0/003.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0445 10034G47KT  26.4/24.1     Q0994.1 RF00.0/003.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0519 09035G47KT  25.5/24.8     Q0992.9 RF02.0/006.4
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0540 07037G47KT  25.4/24.9     Q0994.4 RF03.2/010.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0606 06034G47KT  25.5/25.0     Q0993.0 RF00.4/012.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0624 08034G44KT  25.4/24.9     Q0992.5 RF01.2/013.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0644 08037G49KT  25.4/24.9     Q0991.7 RF00.8/015.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0654 08035G46KT  25.5/24.9     Q0991.2 RF00.2/016.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0713 08037G47KT  25.7/25.0     Q0990.6 RF01.0/017.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0722 07047G57KT  25.3/24.8     Q0990.3 RF02.8/019.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0733 06044G59KT  25.2/24.7     Q0990.3 RF02.0/022.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0746 07044G54KT  25.3/24.8     Q0989.2 RF01.4/024.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0800 07046G59KT  25.2/24.7     Q0988.5 RF01.4/026.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0841 07052G64KT  24.7/24.2     Q0986.5 RF00.8/033.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0900 07056G70KT  24.3/23.8     Q0985.4 RF01.2/035.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0931 07063G74KT  23.6/23.1     Q0983.4 RF04.6/044.4
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1000 06058G73KT  23.5/23.0     Q0981.8 RF08.2/063.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1023 05057G74KT  25.0/24.5     Q0979.6 RF04.2/073.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1027 05067G77KT  25.0/24.5     Q0979.7 RF04.2/075.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1100 04069G80KT  24.9/24.4     Q0978.3 RF03.4/091.0

On Mon, 22 Mar 1999 10:58:42 +1100 (EST), Blair Trewin
 wrote:

>Onslow is now reporting 67 knot winds gusting to 77. The latest
>advice suggests a coast crossing sometime near midday (WA time). I'd
>imagine the possibility still exists that the system could miss the
>coast and penetrate further south - which could be a nasty situation
>indeed if it happens because I don't expect Carnarvon, Geraldton et
>al are as well-built to withstand cyclones as Onslow or Exmouth (and
>they're bigger towns to start with).
>
>The cyclone watch has been extended south to Southern Cross and
>Kalgoorlie (I'm trying to remember the last time I saw Kalgoorlie
>named in a cyclone advice - Bobby, maybe?). This area picked up a
>fair bit of rain over the weekend, so there are the makings of a 
>fairly significant flood situation. (I noticed on the WA Main Roads
>site that all gravel roads in the Kalgoorlie area were closed, but
>don't know enough about the area to know whether this happens      
>routinely after rain or if it's a rare event).
>
>Given the approach of Vance, the Moora flood doesn't seem to have got
>anywhere near the attention it deserves - I can't remember a whole
>town being flooded since Nyngan 1990. The highest rainfall figures 
>were in the 80s, which seems too low, but Moora itself didn't report
>(not surprisingly) and some other figures for the 3 days will probably
>come in today. Have any 'unofficial' obs been reported in the WA media?
>Some comments from the SES people on the ABC site regarding the WA
>flood warning set-up (or lack thereof) - not easy to develop expected
>flood levels for rivers that don't have water most of the time (was
>this the case at Moora?)
>
>Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
019

From: "Marty" [martyp at dynamite.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Onslow now gusting to 77 knots
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 11:07:34 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I'm not sure if this sounds sadistic, and the last thing I want to do is
undermine the threat and importance of TC Vance and the safety of anyone
having to endure it's onslaught, but does anyone know of  web cam set up
anywhere near the area to have a look at?

Marty.
Brisbane, Australia
martyp at dynamite.com.au
Images of Canberra: http://www2.dynamite.com.au/martyp
Lightning Photos: http://www2.dynamite.com.au/martyp/lightning
ICQ: 11790565

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
020

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: Latest Vance obs
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 12:27:12 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

0100 UTC (1200 EST):

Learmonth (near Exmouth): 57 knots gusting to 76
Onslow: 69 knots gusting to 87.

Both stations still on the air - I'm impressed.

One of the Bureau Research Centre people has a set of instruments
a long way up one of the NW Cape radio masts for just such a situation
- he's been spotted looking very pleased with life this morning :-)

For those with radar access, the Learmonth display - especially the
128km plot - is terrific.

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
021

From: "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co.uk]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 02:34:13 -0000
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2407.0)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Wow!
Thanks Craig!!!

Regards,
Debbie


> -----Original Message-----
> From:	Craig Williams [SMTP:tincra at ecn.net.au]
> Sent:	Monday, March 22, 1999 9:59 AM
> To:	aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:	Re: aus-wx: ready set go
> 
> Hiya Debbie,
> Here is the pic from the link Nandina sent you so you don't have to wait
> so
> long.
> Cheers.......Craig

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
022

From: "Parker, Debbie L" [dlp64129 at GlaxoWellcome.co.uk]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: ready set go
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 02:36:27 -0000
X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2407.0)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thanks Nandina,
Nice analogy!

Regards,
Debbie


> -----Original Message-----
> From:	Nandina Morris [SMTP:nandina at alphalink.com.au]
> Sent:	Tuesday, March 23, 1999 3:09 AM
> To:	aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:	Re: aus-wx: ready set go
> 
> No, Debbie - I've a great analogy for you.  Picture the map of Oz.  You
> see how the left side (West!) bulges out?  well right above the bulge is
> Vance - just like a baby, sitting on its mother's hip.  A BIG red (severe
> wind speed) centre looks like baby's colic growling most uncomfortably!
> 
> Well, I tried.  Now moving at 18 kph and still Cat 5
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> Nandina
> nandina at alphalink.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
023

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: TC Vance latest obs
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 03:25:33 GMT
X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452
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X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id NAA14502

Obs (*NOTE* in EDST) for Learmonth and Onslow. Learmonth is now the
one to watch. 

>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0316 18020G27KT  27.4/24.1     Q0999.4 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0318 15019G25KT  27.5/24.4     Q0999.5 RF00.0////./
>05 METAR YPLM Learmonth  0322 0630 13027G36KT  26.7/23.8     Q0995.2 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0637 13028G39KT  26.7/23.7     Q0995.1 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0652 12030G41KT  26.3/23.4     Q0994.9 RF00.4////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0714 13029G42KT  26.5/23.5     Q0994.5 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0730 12034G45KT  26.5/22.7     Q0994.4 RF00.2////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0733 12034G46KT  26.3/23.1     Q0994.4 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0749 12034G45KT  25.7/23.4     Q0994.3 RF00.2////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0800 13033G43KT  25.8/23.3     Q0993.8 RF00.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0827 13035G45KT  25.5/23.4     Q0992.9 RF00.4////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0838 13037G48KT  25.2/23.7     Q0992.6 RF01.4////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0856 13037G49KT  25.3/23.1     Q0992.1 RF00.4////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0924 14039G50KT  24.9/23.3     Q0990.5 RF00.4////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 0951 13037G49KT  25.1/23.5     Q0989.9 RF01.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1000 13050G71KT  24.4/23.1     Q0988.9 RF01.6////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1022 13042G54KT  24.4/23.4     Q0988.3 RF01.2////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1046 14049G62KT  24.2/23.2     Q0986.1 RF01.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1100 15048G63KT  23.9/22.9     Q0984.9 RF00.6////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1125 14052G68KT  23.6/23.1     Q0982.9 RF00.8////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1141 14062G75KT  23.3/22.9     Q0980.9 RF01.0////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1200 14057G76KT  22.8/22.8     Q0979.3 RF01.2////./
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1206 14067G78KT  23.0/22.2     Q0977.9 RF01.0/000.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1223 14061G73KT  22.7/22.4     Q0975.7 RF00.6/001.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1239 15063G79KT  22.5/22.5     Q0973.7 RF02.6/005.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1249 14066G80KT  22.8/22.8     Q0971.7 RF02.4/008.0
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1257 15062G76KT  22.7/22.7     Q0969.6 RF02.0/009.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1300 15073G90KT  22.8/22.8     Q0968.6 RF02.8/011.0
>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0000 06024G32KT  26.1/24.5     Q1000.5 RF00.4/002.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0019 09021G27KT  26.3/24.7     Q1000.1 RF00.0/002.8
>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0100 10021G28KT  26.8/24.5     Q0999.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0104 10022G33KT  27.0/24.3     Q0999.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 METAR YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0400 10030G37KT  26.8/23.5     Q0995.8 RF00.0/002.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0432 10033G44KT  26.3/23.8     Q0994.7 RF00.0/003.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0445 10034G47KT  26.4/24.1     Q0994.1 RF00.0/003.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0519 09035G47KT  25.5/24.8     Q0992.9 RF02.0/006.4
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0540 07037G47KT  25.4/24.9     Q0994.4 RF03.2/010.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0606 06034G47KT  25.5/25.0     Q0993.0 RF00.4/012.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0624 08034G44KT  25.4/24.9     Q0992.5 RF01.2/013.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0644 08037G49KT  25.4/24.9     Q0991.7 RF00.8/015.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0654 08035G46KT  25.5/24.9     Q0991.2 RF00.2/016.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0713 08037G47KT  25.7/25.0     Q0990.6 RF01.0/017.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0722 07047G57KT  25.3/24.8     Q0990.3 RF02.8/019.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0733 06044G59KT  25.2/24.7     Q0990.3 RF02.0/022.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0746 07044G54KT  25.3/24.8     Q0989.2 RF01.4/024.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0800 07046G59KT  25.2/24.7     Q0988.5 RF01.4/026.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0841 07052G64KT  24.7/24.2     Q0986.5 RF00.8/033.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0900 07056G70KT  24.3/23.8     Q0985.4 RF01.2/035.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 0931 07063G74KT  23.6/23.1     Q0983.4 RF04.6/044.4
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1000 06058G73KT  23.5/23.0     Q0981.8 RF08.2/063.8
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1023 05057G74KT  25.0/24.5     Q0979.6 RF04.2/073.6
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1027 05067G77KT  25.0/24.5     Q0979.7 RF04.2/075.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1100 04069G80KT  24.9/24.4     Q0978.3 RF03.4/091.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1138 36060G78KT  24.9/24.4     Q0979.3 RF01.8/106.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1143 01073G89KT  25.7/25.2     Q0978.7 RF00.4/106.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1151 36058G81KT  26.0/25.5     Q0978.6 RF00.0/106.0
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1155 02069G87KT  25.6/25.1     Q0977.8 RF00.2/106.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1207 35064G81KT  25.7/25.2     Q0978.2 RF00.2/000.2
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1230 32062G81KT  25.3/24.8     Q0978.7 RF02.8/010.4
>05 SPECI YOLW Onslow AP  0322 1259 22059G74KT  25.7/25.2     Q0979.9 RF00.4/012.2

-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
024

From: vortex at wwdg.com
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 21:27:40 -0700
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Tornado Report.
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hey all.

Niticed someone mentioned the tornado near Horsham a few weeks ago. I've been looking into it, but it appears no-one knows anything. None of the local papers reported it and the only trace I seen was in the Herald Sun saying there was one between Horsham and the Grampians.

Is this another unsolved mystery.

Paul.

Paul Yole
2 McDonald Street
Murtoa.  Vic. 3390
Australia
Phone: (035) 385 2699
Mobile: 0419 367 920
Email: vortex at wwdg.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
025

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Vance latest obs
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 04:41:51 GMT
X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id OAA17307

No obs from Learmonth since 13.23 EDST (10.23 WST) -- these are the
last received. Also no updated obs from Onslow since the last ones I
posted. I've added an explanation of what each line means, as I just
realised a lot of ppl wouldn't know what all the nubmers mean!

>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1300 15073G90KT  22.8/22.8     Q0968.6 RF02.8/011.0
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1309 15071G84KT  22.9/22.9     Q0966.6 RF03.6/014.0
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1315 15073G90KT  23.1/23.1     Q0964.5 RF02.6/015.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1323 16077G94KT  23.0/23.0     Q0962.1 RF03.0/018.0

05 = weather district
SPECI = special observation
YPLM Learmonth = location
0322 = month and date
1300 = time (EDST)
15073G90KT = Mean (10 min average) wind speed of 73 knots from 150
degrees, with peak 3 second gust over past 10 minutes of 90 knots
22.8/22.8 = temperature and dew point
Q0968.6 = Barometer (QNH) 968.6 hPa
RF02.8/011.0 = 2.8mm in past 10 minutes, 11.00 since 9am local time
(12.00 EDST)


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
026

X-Originating-Ip: [203.37.41.20]
From: "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: an administrivia request
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 1999 19:45:17 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

Just a quick request for members of the list not to post 
graphics in the body of or attachments to emails that 
are sent to the whole list.

They use up a lot of bandwidth and there are some of us 
whose browsers are not capable of decoding the graphic.

I have included an example of some of what comes
through on some browsers below.

It is much preferred if:

1)  graphics can be uploaded to a web
server with the address URL included in the email that is 
sent to the list; or 

2) if included as an attachment to an email (for example if the 
recipient does not have web access), then please forward the
email to the specific intended recipient rather than the whole
list.

Thanks Patrick

Below is a (heavily abbreviated) example of a graphic received 
by a text based email reader:

[Message here]

..snip...

snip

snip

Many more pages of similar alphabet soup followed.......
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
027

X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32)
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 15:03:34 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Vance
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi

Here is a link to the cyclone track and threat map, currently
Exmouth/Onslow and the whole Exmouth Gulf are in red (very destructive winds)

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW55W00.gif


Matthew Smith

ASWA Committee Member

Storm Chase Reports and Photos:
http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
028

From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 14:57:06 +1000
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Vance latest obs & ASWA stuff
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com



Great work Laurier! Its like sitting in Karrathra myself reading those obs.

Another thing, I must put in an apology for my non-attendance at the ASWA
meeting - having been away for 1 week and being away for the next 5 weeks
as well as it being my birthday on wednesday, I was really pushing it to
get to Sydney (some 4 hour drive for me). I think they call it domestic
bliss...............................................

Anyways good to hear reports of a very productive meeting.

Paul.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
029

From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
X-Lotus-Fromdomain: NSW_AG
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 16:12:25 +1000
Subject: aus-wx: Heavy Rain for Mid North Coastal areas + TC Vance's situation?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com



Heavy rain falling here presently. rain has been falling since 11am on a
soft basis but has picked up in the last hour to heavy now.

Any more info re: TC Vance yet?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
030

From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Heavy Rain for Mid North Coastal areas + TC Vance's situation?
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 16:34:06 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Paul and others,

TC Vance has now been downgraded to a category 4. It has just crossed the
coast at the southern end of Exmouth Gulf. Reports coming in are that
Exmouth has experienced substantial damage.

Matthew Piper

TOP PRIORITY
FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Radio stations please sound the emergency warning signal before
broadcasting the following message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE ADVICE NUMBER 35
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
ISSUED AT 1 PM ON MONDAY 22/03/1999.
=====
A warning for a SEVERE CATEGORY 4 CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Mardie and Denham, which includes the communities of
Onslow, Exmouth, Coral Bay, Carnarvon and Denham as well as
communities south to a line from Yalgoo to Southern Cross
to Kalgoorlie to Laverton.


At 1 pm SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE was located 85 kilometres
southsoutheast of Exmouth, 70 kilometres northeast of Coral Bay, 145
kilometres southwest of Onslow and 250 kilometres northnortheast of
Carnarvon moving south at 30 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is currently crossing the coast at the southern end of
Exmouth Gulf.

Very destructive winds with gusts to 240 kilometres per hour are
occurring in the southern parts of Exmouth Gulf, and are expected to
extend south to Nanutarra, Coral Bay and Nyang this afternoon.

In Exmouth the very destructive winds are now slowly easing.

Destructive winds with gusts to 150 kilometres per hour are occurring
east to Mardie and Pannawonica and will extend south to Carnarvon and
Gascoyne Junction this evening.

A very dangerous storm tide is expected on the eastern and southern
side of Exmouth Gulf.  Tides are likely to be up to 8 metres above
normal at the base of Exmouth Gulf with damaging waves and very
dangerous flooding.


Widespread heavy rain and further flooding are likely in the west of
the Pilbara, the Gascoyne and southern regions of the State over the
next few days.


Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE at 1 pm.

     LOCATION OF CENTRE    Within 30 kilometres of
                           Latitude 22.7 south longitude 114.3 east
     RECENT MOVEMENT       south at 30 kilometres per hour.
     CENTRAL PRESSURE      930 hectopascals
     MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS    250 Kilometres per hour near the centre.
     SEVERITY CATEGORY     4

=====
The next warning will be issued at 4 pm today.

----- Original Message -----
>
> Heavy rain falling here presently. rain has been falling since 11am on a
> soft basis but has picked up in the last hour to heavy now.
>
> Any more info re: TC Vance yet?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
031

From: "Ira Fehlberg" [jra at upnaway.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 14:20:49 +0800
X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1161
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all, Ira Fehlberg here,
                                     Just returned from from the NW where i
got as close as humanly possible to TC Elaine on Friday. It came over us
but was crapping out and it wasnt really that good. It was a cat 3 at one
stage so i was very dissapointed. I got out onto Dirk Hartog Island the
western most tip of Australia and we got winds around 40-50kph i spose. A
surge that came up the beach onto land abit, thats all and it just rained &
rained & rained, alot. I did get some piccys of the back of it as it passed
in the morning and some pic of the huge bands of cloud just streaming out
from it. The TC still had a definate structure to it as weak as it was. It
was wierd seeing the wind from one way then the other. I tried to get a
flight into Karratha as they were blocking the road north of Carnarvan but
couldnt. They were'nt letting anyone in at all and evacuating most
residents anyway. The channel 7 guys got in but!! Maybe their s--t does'nt
stink! I was spewing. Anyway it was a cat 5 so maybe a good thing. Still i
would have liked to have been in Karratha and then gone down to look at the
damage after. On the way back to Perth there is water everywhere from
Elaine and most floodways are boarder line already. The rain from Vance
will cut it all off for sure. The floods at Morra have gone down 1m today
but will flood the Brand hwy at Regans Ford this aftenoon, thus cutting off
the NW. Still saw my first TC so cant complain really. Stay Tuned ill post
the pic as soon as i can.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
032

X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 17:37:26 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Tornado Report.
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Paul, go to some of the towns in between and ask the locals after buyin
gsomething from their shop. Bit by bit you should receive some info. Be
careful to filter the rubbish from the imprtant information.

Jimmy Deguara

At 21:27 21/03/99 -0700, you wrote:
>Hey all.
>
>Niticed someone mentioned the tornado near Horsham a few weeks ago. I've 
>been looking into it, but it appears no-one knows anything. None of the 
>local papers reported it and the only trace I seen was in the Herald Sun 
>saying there was one between Horsham and the Grampians.
>
>Is this another unsolved mystery.
>
>Paul.
>
>Paul Yole

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
033

From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: an administrivia request
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 15:54:09 +1000
Organization: Pixel Components
X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Patrick,

>From my experience you can handle a graphic received like this by saving 
the email as a .uue file and then using Winzip (which surprisingly handles 
uue format) to extract the graphic properly.  (Assuming you are using 
standard PC technology of course and not someting funny like Unix/Mac).

Regards,
-----Original Message-----
Hi all,

Just a quick request for members of the list not to post
graphics in the body of or attachments to emails that
are sent to the whole list.

They use up a lot of bandwidth and there are some of us
whose browsers are not capable of decoding the graphic.

I have included an example of some of what comes
through on some browsers below.

It is much preferred if:

1)  graphics can be uploaded to a web
server with the address URL included in the email that is
sent to the list; or

2) if included as an attachment to an email (for example if the
recipient does not have web access), then please forward the
email to the specific intended recipient rather than the whole
list.

Thanks Patrick

Below is a (heavily abbreviated) example of a graphic received
by a text based email reader:

[Message here]

..snip...
snip

snip

Many more pages of similar alphabet soup followed.......
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
034

From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]
To: "aus-wx" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Storms approaching Brisbane
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 17:35:08 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all

Firstly, I would like to spare a thought for those who are going through one
of the strongest TCs ever to hit the Australian Coast.  Lets hope its not as
bad as it looks.

Secondly, there is a line of showers and thunderstorms approaching Brisbane.
Looking at the sat pics, the tops aren't that high and no severe weather
should occur with them.  But hopefully there'll be a good electrical display
if they make it into town.  I'm also hoping it'll hold out until after 10.30
when I'll be back from work!

Regards

James Chambers
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
035

From: "Craig Williams" [tincra at ecn.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: an administrivia request
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 17:52:13 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

My apologies Patrick,

Remorsefully....Craig

-----Original Message-----
>Hi all,
>
>Just a quick request for members of the list not to post 
>graphics in the body of or attachments to emails that 
>are sent to the whole list.
>
>They use up a lot of bandwidth and there are some of us 
>whose browsers are not capable of decoding the graphic.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
036

X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 18:55:40 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storms approaching Brisbane
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

It seems like that the cyclone although very severe did not directly hit
Esmouth?? I am considering that footage from the media so far. I had
anticipated much worse and much stronger winds. Although, I think nobody
was game to go out in the cyclone for footage. We will see the devastation
tomorrow.

Jimmy Deguara

At 17:35 22/03/99 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi all
>
>Firstly, I would like to spare a thought for those who are going through one
>of the strongest TCs ever to hit the Australian Coast.  Lets hope its not as
>bad as it looks.
>
>Secondly, there is a line of showers and thunderstorms approaching Brisbane.
>Looking at the sat pics, the tops aren't that high and no severe weather
>should occur with them.  But hopefully there'll be a good electrical display
>if they make it into town.  I'm also hoping it'll hold out until after 10.30
>when I'll be back from work!
>
>Regards
>
>James Chambers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
037

X-Sender: mbath at ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 19:39:39 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Sydney meeting 20/3/99 (correction)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Attendees:
Susan Puddifer, Matt Smith, Michael Thompson, James Harris, David Croan,
Daniel Heys, Grant Boyden, Daniel Weatherhead, Paul Graham, Matthew Piper,
Geoff Thurtell, Jimmy Deguara, Michael Bath
Apologies:
Cliff Newman

Topics discussed:
1. my move to Wollongbar (near Lismore) in northern NSW
2. ASWA logo winner - only 22 people voted - but the winner was no.3 on
Matthews entry form - it can be viewed here:
http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/temp/aswa5.gif
3. membership fees
4. printing of Storm News
5. database of chase vantage points - to be followed up by Daniel
Weatherhead with input from regional centres
6. discussion of amateur radio options by Paul Graham
7. article in Australian Geographic
8. ASWA application form
9. recent chase videos
10. Westfield for a late lunch.

I will be outlining further detail to the state reps for discussion at
their next meetings.

regards, Michael
ASWA President 

*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
038

X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.202.241]
From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Cat 5 Cyclones
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 01:09:07 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi everyone. They've downgraded Vance to Cat 3, but I was wondering how 
often we get two Cat 5 cyclones in a season (Thelma & Vance (Louise)). I 
was in Darwin for Thelma and was glad it missed although part of me 
wanted it to come right over just so I could experience one.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
039

Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 20:13:56 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Overnight minima--Seven Hills North
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Might seem fairly trivial but I recorded a minimum temp of 23.6 degrees
this morning the highest in 22 years of record (maybe more but that's as
long as I have lived here). The grass min was 19 which was not a record
breaker.
I calculate a return period of 27 years for the minimum....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
040

Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 20:15:57 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: ready set go
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

'Nobody knows how much I thrive
On worms three times a day...'

"Parker, Debbie L" wrote:

> Worms are a bit chewy - but not too bad!!
> Thanks Nandina,
> Unfortunately I don't have access to the web at work - only at home so I
> can't check it out.
> I'll have to wait - for ages ............!!
>
> Bummer!
>
> Regards,
> Debbie
> Boronia , Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
041

Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 20:15:05 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storms approaching Brisbane
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

I can see CC's to my S, I can't see very well because of a large tree,
and double storey house to my S (anyone got any C4??...) some of it is
fairly bright, some possible crawlers/CG's there I'd suspect.  It's warm
and very humid outside, 26C and a DP of around 22-23C...possibly higher
now, it's like walking into a steamy bathroom!  Just the kind of wx I
like...

I'm hoping there'll be some other stuff later tonight...it seems that
the best action is S of us...I'd love a line of t'storms to form (which
might just happen if we're lucky...especially if the showers develop on
the northern end of the line...we'll see!

Anthony from Brisbane (8:11pm)

Last minute obs (8:14pm) lightning is much more frequent (1-2 flashes a
second!!) and closer, and a brighter! :-)

James Chambers wrote:
> 
> Hi all
> 
> Firstly, I would like to spare a thought for those who are going through one
> of the strongest TCs ever to hit the Australian Coast.  Lets hope its not as
> bad as it looks.
> 
> Secondly, there is a line of showers and thunderstorms approaching Brisbane.
> Looking at the sat pics, the tops aren't that high and no severe weather
> should occur with them.  But hopefully there'll be a good electrical display
> if they make it into town.  I'm also hoping it'll hold out until after 10.30
> when I'll be back from work!
> 
> Regards
> 
> James Chambers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
042

From: "bernette hudson" [bernette at primus.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storms approaching Brisbane
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 21:39:21 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

This is Kelly you are lucky to be having storms right now.  Right now it is
very cold in Melbourne and today has been partly cloudy.
Anyway gotta go
>From Kelly
-----Original Message-----

>Hi all,
>
>I can see CC's to my S, I can't see very well because of a large tree,
>and double storey house to my S (anyone got any C4??...) some of it is
>fairly bright, some possible crawlers/CG's there I'd suspect.  It's warm
>and very humid outside, 26C and a DP of around 22-23C...possibly higher
>now, it's like walking into a steamy bathroom!  Just the kind of wx I
>like...
>
>I'm hoping there'll be some other stuff later tonight...it seems that
>the best action is S of us...I'd love a line of t'storms to form (which
>might just happen if we're lucky...especially if the showers develop on
>the northern end of the line...we'll see!
>
>Anthony from Brisbane (8:11pm)
>
>Last minute obs (8:14pm) lightning is much more frequent (1-2 flashes a
>second!!) and closer, and a brighter! :-)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
043

From: "Debbie Parker" [debp at rie.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Vance latest obs
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 22:33:29 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1157
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thanx for the explanation Laurier.
I've been scratching my head over a few of them for a while now.

Debbie
Boronia, Melb.

----------
No obs from Learmonth since 13.23 EDST (10.23 WST) -- these are the
last received. Also no updated obs from Onslow since the last ones I
posted. I've added an explanation of what each line means, as I just
realised a lot of ppl wouldn't know what all the nubmers mean!

>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1300 15073G90KT  22.8/22.8     Q0968.6
RF02.8/011.0
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1309 15071G84KT  22.9/22.9     Q0966.6
RF03.6/014.0
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1315 15073G90KT  23.1/23.1     Q0964.5
RF02.6/015.6
>05 SPECI YPLM Learmonth  0322 1323 16077G94KT  23.0/23.0     Q0962.1
RF03.0/018.0

05 = weather district
SPECI = special observation
YPLM Learmonth = location
0322 = month and date
1300 = time (EDST)
15073G90KT = Mean (10 min average) wind speed of 73 knots from 150
degrees, with peak 3 second gust over past 10 minutes of 90 knots
22.8/22.8 = temperature and dew point
Q0968.6 = Barometer (QNH) 968.6 hPa
RF02.8/011.0 = 2.8mm in past 10 minutes, 11.00 since 9am local time
(12.00 EDST)


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
044

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Cyclone Vance - Future track
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 22:16:15 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I do think tomorrow may be a different story, any footage taken at Exmouth
during today would not have made it out. I would not be surprised if the
damage is far in excess of that presumed at present time.

The next speculation is of course the future track of the rain depression,
flooding is certain, but I am also interested in what happens in 2-3 days,
will as the models indicate, the cloud mass pass into the southern ocean, or
will it stay at lower latitude and cross the continent.

My grandfather used to always maintain that we ( Wollongong ) have had more
rain over the years from former Indian Ocean Cyclones than former Pacific
Ocean ones.

Michael


-----Original Message-----
>It seems like that the cyclone although very severe did not directly hit
>Esmouth?? I am considering that footage from the media so far. I had
>anticipated much worse and much stronger winds. Although, I think nobody
>was game to go out in the cyclone for footage. We will see the devastation
>tomorrow.
>
>Jimmy Deguara

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
045

From: DavidC at thevortex.com
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Hunter Valley Chase pics
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 05:40:26 -0600
X-Mailer: My Own Email v3.0
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Hi everyone,

The pics from the 4/3/99 Hunter Valley 
chase are online follow the storm news link 
at:-

http://
australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
storm_news/index.html

(Thanks Michael).
Some 'big' storms in the area that day but 
most were over state forest or national 
parks so no spotter reports received by the 
BoM.

Cheers

David

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
046

X-Sender: jimmyd at pop.ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.1
Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 22:48:08 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Cyclone Vance - Future track
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

This brings back memories. I recall a cyclone in 1980 when it corssed the
coast early in the morning and during the afternoon we got severe storms
approaching from the same cloud mass leading edge which quickly dumped
heavy falls and moved to Brisbane the next day... I mean some nice heavy
falls for Schofields standards  It moved quite quickly I can tell you but
this won't as such

Jimmy Deguara

At 22:16 22/03/99 +1000, you wrote:
>I do think tomorrow may be a different story, any footage taken at Exmouth
>during today would not have made it out. I would not be surprised if the
>damage is far in excess of that presumed at present time.
>
>The next speculation is of course the future track of the rain depression,
>flooding is certain, but I am also interested in what happens in 2-3 days,
>will as the models indicate, the cloud mass pass into the southern ocean, or
>will it stay at lower latitude and cross the continent.
>
>My grandfather used to always maintain that we ( Wollongong ) have had more
>rain over the years from former Indian Ocean Cyclones than former Pacific
>Ocean ones.
>
>Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
047

Date: Mon, 22 Mar 1999 22:43:19 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Brisbane Skies Lit Up To The South!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

Well...Brisbane enjoyed a nice light show to the south, with a very
active "electrical t'storm", which at times gave continuous lightning
for 20-30seconds!  I tried to count how many strikes there were in a
minute, but I couldn't keep up!  Some of them flickered across the sky
(most of the lightning I saw was sheet) so there were certainly some
crawlers there.  I saw the edge of a couple of the crawlers, and one
crawler high up in the t'storm behind some thin scud.  Most of it was
white, but there was some blue/green and red/orange.  The main t'storm
went south of Brisbane...in fact, if you look at the 30min broad radar
images given out for free trial by the SSU of the BoM, you'll see a nice
squall line, from NE NSW to near Rockhampton!  With a gap right at
Brisbane, some one must have had the anti-t'storm magnets going
tonight...

None-the-less, when the S'ly hit, I received a gust near 70km/h (saw a
small branch come off the tree, as well as lots of twigs and leaves)
with winds sitting near 30-50km/h for the next 10mins after that.  I
didn't receive any rain though.

Out of the 100's of lightning strikes/flashes I saw tonight, I only
heard a massive number of 2 rumbles of thunder!  So that gives you an
idea of how far the t'storms were still...

Oh well...Brisbane's t'storm season has technically and officially
ended, the coming week looks ugly with SE winds...but it's only a sign
of what is to come with winter on our doorsteps, and many clear, sunny
days in sight, with freezing cold nights that drop to single
figures...eeek!  But at least strong W'lys are 'fun'...

Anthony from Brisbane (10:42pm)

Document: 990322.htm
Updated: 29 March 1999

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