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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Friday, 7 May 1999 |
From Subject
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001 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] USA recent evere weather pics
002 "L.J. & B. Smail" [gws at pipeline.com.au] Conference in Ballarat - Met' education
003 Bodie_27 at postmaster.co.uk SE QLD low
004 Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au] Web page up
005 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] Web page up
006 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au] SE QLD low
007 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au SE QLD low
008 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au] SE QLD low
009 "DATS Bikes" [darnold at tpgi.com.au] Around Australia Bicycle Relay
010 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. GASP is back...
011 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Conference in Ballarat - Met' education
012 Bodie_27 at postmaster.co.uk GASP is back...
013 Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au] GASP is back...
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001
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Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 03:08:56 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: aus-wx: USA recent evere weather pics
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Some interesting pics from the recent US severe storms outbreak taken from
a storm chaser that I know on IRC on undernet's #weather
The url is at:
http://www.grapevine.net/~mscheid/chase99/may4/images.html
Jacob
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002
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Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 07:22:16 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "L.J. & B. Smail" [gws at pipeline.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Conference in Ballarat - Met' education
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Michael - TWO members from Geelong: Clyve Herbert and Lindsay Smail!
At 07:58 PM 06-05-99 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi Rachel
>
>I have forwarded your reply to the Australian Weather mailing list. The
>Victorian branch of the AWSA is very active and has really got their act
>together, I do not know of any members in Ballarat, but there are several
>Melbourne members and one from Geelong, which is not too far away.
>
>I suggest the Victoria guys put it on the agenda for the next Victorian AWSA
>metting.
>
>Michael
>
>>
>> Michael,
>> Thanks for getting back to me about the website photos. If ASWA is
>> interested in getting into schools work, someone (or more) might
>> like to come to the '5th International conference on school and popular
>> meteorological and oceanographic education', otherwise known as EWOC
>> (Education: Weather, ocean , climate). It's 5-9th July, in Ballarat and
>> Melbourne. All the relevent information is at the conference website
>> http://www.shm.monash.edu.au/ewoc99 .
>> Rachel Law
>>
>> On Mon, 3 May 1999, Michael Thompson wrote:
>>
>> > No problems at all. The AWSA ( Australia Severe Weather Association )
>has
>> > been recently formed and one of the things we want to eventually get
>into is
>> > this sort of thing.
>> >
>> > Michael
>> >
>>
>>
>
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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003
From: Bodie_27 at postmaster.co.uk
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 6 May 1999 22:29:17 +0100
Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD low
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Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
Geeze the models have really grabbed onto that low! they've gone from
barely picking it up one or two days ago to absolutely bombing the crapper
out of it.. and some models move it into the worst spot they could, moving
onto the coast north of Brisbane in the Sunshine Coast hinterland..
unfortunately i have about an hour and a half each day to to go over the
models, but from what i've seen things could get very very interesting for
SE QLD.. BOM are really sounding worried in their forecasts, and after a
conversation with a senior forecaster i get the feeling that they think
this one could be a pretty nasty one, if everything goes to plan (wich it
rarely does of course).. Just looking at yesterdays MRF run, their's a -90
height change at 120 hours in NE NSW/SE QLD! typical MRF at 72 hours+ but
it's still nice to look at none the less :) MRF does the same kind of
thing (-90 heights change) for an upper system and associated low off the
south WA coast at 120-144 hours..
This whole system reminds me of the Febuary floods in Brisbane/SE QLD..
22mm here overnight from periods of mostly light/moderate rain, the
soudings over the past few days have shown a sure but steady increase in
moisture and instability.. the weakish upper sytem moving accross western
QLD as we speak should do something for us overnight or tomorrow i hope..
Michael Thompson wrote:
I agree with the models and forecasting lows, I have said it before and I
will say again, the NGP in particular tends to go for the big play,
last
year on one its longer 120 - 144 hr runs it had a 980 something low
sitting
bearly offshore of the NSW Illawarra coast, had it occurred it would
have
been a disaster.
On the other hand with ocean temperatures appearing warm and the
systems
that we have seen in the last few weeks a East Coast low feast this
year
look on the cards.
Michael
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004
X-Sender: paisley at mail.cobweb.com.au
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 08:00:54 +0930
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Web page up
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi all,
My hastily cobbled together weather web page, such as it is, is now up:
http://www.cobweb.com.au/~paisley/WeatherWX.html
A paltry collection at the moment (possibly because the weather is paltry
at the moment, but as the saying goes, you've got to start somewhere....
Cheers...
_____________________________________________________________________________
+ Phil 'Paisley' Bagust + Nothing matters anymore... +
+ paisley at cobweb.com.au + Not even the fact That nothing matters
+ + www.cobweb.com.au/~paisley + ...LAWRENCE GROSSBERG
+
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005
From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Web page up
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 08:47:14 +1000
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Phil,
Good to see another page up from an ASWA member - love your photos!!!!!
Jane
Bayswater, Melbourne
-----Original Message-----
From: Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Date: Friday, 7 May 1999 8:45
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Web page up
>Hi all,
>
>My hastily cobbled together weather web page, such as it is, is now up:
>
>http://www.cobweb.com.au/~paisley/WeatherWX.html
>
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006
Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 10:34:08 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD low
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Hey all,
I see 12Z NGP has got that low pretty much hitting from the Sunshine
Coast, moving S'wards down into NE NSW. NGP streamlines is forecasting
40kn winds for us on Tuesday night, and it predicting seas between 16
and 24feet. It looks that that cold air that is predicted to move over
us, is going to accelerate the deepening of the low caused by a current
mid-level disturbence there. AVN has gone back to predicting -85VV's...
This low seems somewhat different to previous lows before...I'm thinking
24-48hrs of very heavy rainfall + flash flooding is more probable than
days and days of rain...but I could be wrong. It will depend on how
quickly the low moves S, as soon as the centre passes us, the weather
will most likely fine up very quickly, and it will start kicking up
those dreaded SW'ers... :-(
Surprisingly, the best shear is on the east side, I thought the better
mid level shear would be on the west side, but...that's what MRF is
doing, and I'm not a big fan on MRF after 72hrs. However, as Ben
pointed out before, what MRF is doing *could* actually happen this
time...and it's interesting how NGP has it on a very similar path too.
We'll see what happens, I think it is still a tad too far away to call
with any certainty what is going to happen. As I said previously, lows
aren't forecasted on models very well...if the models just have the
intensity of the cold air above us overestimated, then the entire
scenario can change.
What I can say however, is that this will certainly be one to
watch...I'm looking forward to today's run of EC, previous runs have had
it out to sea a fair bit, where as all other models have it sitting on
the coast.
Hopeful Brisbanite,
Anthony Cornelius
Bodie_27 at postmaster.co.uk wrote:
>
> Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
>
> Geeze the models have really grabbed onto that low! they've gone from
> barely picking it up one or two days ago to absolutely bombing the crapper
> out of it.. and some models move it into the worst spot they could, moving
> onto the coast north of Brisbane in the Sunshine Coast hinterland..
> unfortunately i have about an hour and a half each day to to go over the
> models, but from what i've seen things could get very very interesting for
> SE QLD.. BOM are really sounding worried in their forecasts, and after a
> conversation with a senior forecaster i get the feeling that they think
> this one could be a pretty nasty one, if everything goes to plan (wich it
> rarely does of course).. Just looking at yesterdays MRF run, their's a -90
> height change at 120 hours in NE NSW/SE QLD! typical MRF at 72 hours+ but
> it's still nice to look at none the less :) MRF does the same kind of
> thing (-90 heights change) for an upper system and associated low off the
> south WA coast at 120-144 hours..
>
> This whole system reminds me of the Febuary floods in Brisbane/SE QLD..
>
> 22mm here overnight from periods of mostly light/moderate rain, the
> soudings over the past few days have shown a sure but steady increase in
> moisture and instability.. the weakish upper sytem moving accross western
> QLD as we speak should do something for us overnight or tomorrow i hope..
>
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007
From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 11:01:17 +1000
Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD low
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so when are we expecting this Low and where are the "target" areas of
interest?
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008
Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 12:01:42 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD low
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It's looking like sometime during Tuesday, it'll bomb, area's of
interest are from Bunderburg, to Brisbane, and into NE NSW. But - it
depends on the movement of the low (and that's IF it forms!) MRF has it
998hPa, about 30-40km off Brisbane at 00z Tuesday...but NGP has it still
a bit further north then.
I think you need to work out a way to access the net from work :)
Anthony
Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au wrote:
>
> so when are we expecting this Low and where are the "target" areas of
> interest?
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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009
From: "DATS Bikes" [darnold at tpgi.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Around Australia Bicycle Relay
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 11:24:25 +1000
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I am planning a bicycle relay around Australia. I did the trip in 1996 for
a spot in tyhe Guiness Book of Records. This trip was done in September
'96. We wish to try again in March 2000. What would the prevailing weather
be like at that time of year around the country? We would be interested in
whether it is usually raining, cold, wind direction(very important). We
would be most greatfull for all info.
Thanks
Dave Arnold
(team rider/organiser Around Oz relay)
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010
Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 17:35:25 +1000
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
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To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: GASP is back...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
http://www.BoM.GOV.AU/bmrc/medr/graphics/gasp/ is back on-line with
fresh updates out to May 13 predicting that ECL intensifying to 962mb
between Tas & NZ with some pretty chilly air coming north by the end
of next week. We'll see:-)
Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
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011
From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Conference in Ballarat - Met' education
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 20:06:20 +1000
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Sorry Lindsay !!!
Michael
----- Original Message -----
From: L.J. & B. Smail [gws at pipeline.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Friday, 7 May 1999 7:22
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Conference in Ballarat - Met' education
> Michael - TWO members from Geelong: Clyve Herbert and Lindsay Smail!
>
>
> At 07:58 PM 06-05-99 +1000, you wrote:
> >Hi Rachel
> >
> >I have forwarded your reply to the Australian Weather mailing list. The
> >Victorian branch of the AWSA is very active and has really got their act
> >together, I do not know of any members in Ballarat, but there are several
> >Melbourne members and one from Geelong, which is not too far away.
> >
> >I suggest the Victoria guys put it on the agenda for the next Victorian
AWSA
> >metting.
> >
> >Michael
> >
> >>
> >> Michael,
> >> Thanks for getting back to me about the website photos. If ASWA is
> >> interested in getting into schools work, someone (or more) might
> >> like to come to the '5th International conference on school and popular
> >> meteorological and oceanographic education', otherwise known as EWOC
> >> (Education: Weather, ocean , climate). It's 5-9th July, in Ballarat
and
> >> Melbourne. All the relevent information is at the conference website
> >> http://www.shm.monash.edu.au/ewoc99 .
> >> Rachel Law
> >>
> >> On Mon, 3 May 1999, Michael Thompson wrote:
> >>
> >> > No problems at all. The AWSA ( Australia Severe Weather Association )
> >has
> >> > been recently formed and one of the things we want to eventually get
> >into is
> >> > this sort of thing.
> >> >
> >> > Michael
> >> >
> >>
> >>
> >
> >
> > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail
to:majordomo at world.std.com
> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> > message.
> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> >
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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012
From: Bodie_27 at postmaster.co.uk
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 7 May 1999 11:34:33 +0100
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GASP is back...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
That link didn't work for me Michael, this one should work for those that
want to look at the maps:
http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/medr/mslpTH8.html
I'd rather see it as 962 allot closer to Brisbane :) not sure the rest of
Brisbane would share my enthusiasm though..
Michael wrote:
http://www.BoM.GOV.AU/bmrc/medr/graphics/gasp/ is back on-line with
fresh updates out to May 13 predicting that ECL intensifying to 962mb
between Tas & NZ with some pretty chilly air coming north by the end
of next week. We'll see:-)
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013
X-Sender: astroman at chariot.net.au
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Date: Fri, 07 May 1999 19:21:19 +0900
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Andrew Wall [astroman at chariot.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GASP is back...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Mike,
Couldn't get the GASP on-line is there still a problem????
At 17:35 5/7/99 +1000, you wrote:
>http://www.BoM.GOV.AU/bmrc/medr/graphics/gasp/ is back on-line with
>fresh updates out to May 13 predicting that ECL intensifying to 962mb
>between Tas & NZ with some pretty chilly air coming north by the end
>of next week. We'll see:-)
>
>Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
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| Document: 990507.htm
Updated: 12 May 1999 |
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