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Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Monday, 7 June 1999 |
From Subject
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001 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au] AVN download program (was: Cameras)
002 Steve Baynham [bayns at hotmail.com] recent rain
003 "James Harris (819)" [JH at intravel.com.au] Explain this ???
004 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Explain this ???
005 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] T shirts
006 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au Explain this ???
007 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] E QLD wx
008 Paul Graham [m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au] Destabilisation...
009 Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au NSW Nth Coast Wx
010 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au] E QLD wx
011 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] NSW Nth Coast Wx
012 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Destabilisation...
013 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] E QLD wx
014 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au] Bounced Messages
015 Jason Smith [s348771 at student.uq.edu.au] Brisbane rainfall
016 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Coastal rains + BRING IT ON!!!!
017 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] recent rain
018 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] Central Australian rain
019 Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] Destabilisation...
020 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] Destabilisation...
021 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au] ASWA Interview Broadcasted over the Radio
022 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au] rain in Darwin?
023 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) Destabilisation...
024 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au] Interview
025 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) rain in Darwin?
026 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] East Coast low
027 Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com] T shirts
028 Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com] (no subject)
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001
X-Sender: cmaunder at mail.dynamite.com.au
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 08:43:24 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: AVN download program (was: Cameras)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
In the words of Microsoft: It'll be ready Real Soon Now(tm)
Actually, one thing that would be handy is to know is, of
those who are interested in the program, who does NOT have
Internet Explorer 3 (or better) installed (mail me, not this
list)
Unfortunately IE is part of the operating system (regardless of
what people say) and so without it there are a couple of cool
things that I won't be able to include.
cheers,
Chris
At 22:44 6/06/99 , you wrote:
>Yes Ben. I did work for while on it and got the data to work offline but as
>for other items re CAPE and so on I ran out of time
>
>Jimmy Deguara
>
>
>At 22:33 6/06/99 +1000, you wrote:
>>For those who don't already know, Chris is VERY kindly working on a
>>program to automatically download data from the AVN and MRF raw data
>>sites.. as those that use it know, plotting the first 1000 plots is
>>kinda fun.. but after that it gets a bit tedious :)
>>
Chris Maunder (Canberra)
http://www.geocities.com/SiliconValley/Haven/2473/
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002
X-Originating-Ip: [203.22.127.31]
From: Steve Baynham [bayns at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: recent rain
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 01:16:08 GMT
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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hey guys!!
looks like recent rain has finished, a total of 162mm over past few days
since thursday i think. saturday was the biggest day. wish i had more
accurate figures, but there ya go:) some low dark clouds to my south could
have a spinkle in them.
see yas
steve from gold coast
______________________________________________________
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003
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Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 12:06:00 +1000
From: "James Harris (819)" [JH at intravel.com.au]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
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Subject: aus-wx: Explain this ???
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Just looking at the Syd forecast issued at 11:30am today and then at the
Current Syd Weather with forecast also issued at 11:37am and found some
unusual differences. Check out the forecasts for both and please someone
explain ??????????????/
First is the Current weather..............
GREATER SYDNEY WEATHER SERVICEBUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Issued at 11:37am on Monday the 7th of June 1999
TEXT REVISED HOURLY BETWEEN 6AM AND 7PMWARNINGS:
Forecast for the remainder of today and Tuesday
Fine today. Chance of an isolated shower tonight. Light to moderate
southwest to
southerly wind.
Tuesday City Max: 19
OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
Wednesday Early shower then fine. SE winds. City: Min. 12 Max. 20
Thursday Shower or two. E/NE winds. City: Min. 13 Max. 19
then............................Metropolitin forecast........
Issued at 11:30am on Monday the 7th of June 1999
Sydney Metropolitan: For remainder of today and Tuesday
Fine days. Chance of an isolated shower overnight and morning. Early
fog patches in the west.
Light to moderate southwest to southerly wind tending southeast
tomorrow afternoon.
Precis Forecasts and Temperatures for Tuesday :
Sydney Fine Min: 13 Max: 19
Liverpool Fine Min: 09 Max: 20
Richmond Fine Min: 07 Max: 20
Headline : Fine days, chance of a shower overnight or morning.
Wednesday: Mostly fine. E/NE wind.
City: Min: 14 Max: 20
Thursday : Showers developing, possible storm. SW/SE wind.
City: Min: 14 Max: 19
Friday : Rain, possible storm. S/SE wind.
City: Min: 13 Max: 17
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004
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Explain this ???
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 12:22:59 +1000 (EST)
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>
> Just looking at the Syd forecast issued at 11:30am today and then at the
> Current Syd Weather with forecast also issued at 11:37am and found some
> unusual differences. Check out the forecasts for both and please someone
> explain ??????????????/
The only explanation I can think of is that one was issued before the
latest ECMWF model run (which usually comes through at about 1115-1130
EST) came through, and one was issued after it. (The latest ECMWF run
certainly supports the rain/storms scenario - it develops a 1014 hPa
low on Thursday night over NE NSW, then has it at 1009 hPa off the
northern NSW coast on Friday night, with a strong cyclonic SE airstream
betweem it and a 1031 hPa high ridging from Tasmania to the North
Island of New Zealand).
Blair Trewin
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005
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 12:45:39 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: T shirts
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Chris,
the logo is all over the ASWA site:
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
Shirts are $10 with a new membership (all who have recently joined
qualify), then cost price for additional shirts.
Time to join the Association !
regards, Michael
At 22:42 6/06/99 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi Jane,
>
>Sorry to be a pain, but could you please send a URL where we can
>see the logo? Also: how mucb are the T-shirts? (sorry - had my head
>in the clouds for a while so I guess all this is already common
>knowledge :)
>
>Chris
============================================================
Michael Bath Wollongbar, N.Rivers NSW mbath at ozemail.com.au
http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
http://www.lightningphotography.com/
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
============================================================
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006
From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 12:51:06 +1000
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Explain this ???
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Yes I noticed on weather 21 this morning the dip in the isobars of the NE NSW
coast......and them as I though ECL Mark Hardy said that there was happenins
there and that they are watching this because it normally leads to a Low
forming...
So is it likely?
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007
From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx:SE QLD wx
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 13:43:23 +1000
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Rain at Mt. Crosby, 26km west of the city and inconveniently located...blah.. (midnight to midnight)
Friday 0.2
Saturday 20.5
Sunday 0.8
This sort of rain really drops off away from coast doesn't it...
John.
>snip
Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
61mm in the gauge this morning.. 11m of that from the previous 24 hours
to 9am, and 50mm in the 24 hours to 9am today.. not too shabby at all :)
Coolangatta (south of Brisbane on the Gold Coast) has 97mm to 9am this
morning, and Brisbane airport had 67mm to 9am this morning as well.. so
generally some good falls throughout Brisbane, i think James and Anthony
received about the same as me too..
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008
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 13:43:52 +1000 (EST)
From: Paul Graham [m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Since about mid-way through last week, there has been a pronounced cooling
at the mid-levels of the troposphere in the Sydney area. 500 temps have
fallen by nearly 5 degrees C from approximately -16 on Wednesday to around
-21 by the weekend. It'll be interesting to see if this destabilisation
is realised in terms of stormy weather - it may help to enhance the
formation of an east coast low, for example. - Paul G.
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009
From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 14:20:17 +1000
Subject: RE: aus-wx: NSW Nth Coast Wx
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Dull, patchy rain here, falls would be lucky to scrape in the 1mm mark. Damn
depressing actually, after the big 55mm fall the other night (with 8.4mm in 10
mins! Thanx Laurier)
Hopefully this Low will be a beauty and give a decent rain event.
Did anyone see the National geographic Specials on Tornadoes or Tsunamis on the
weekend? Excellent indeed!
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010
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 14:21:31 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx:SE QLD wx
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Hi John,
I had 57mm...my dad's farm about 30km SSW of Marbug had a massive 5mm,
shows you how coastal some of these events really are.
Anthony
John Woodbridge wrote:
>
> Rain at Mt. Crosby, 26km west of the city and inconveniently located...blah.. (midnight to midnight)
>
> Friday 0.2
> Saturday 20.5
> Sunday 0.8
>
> This sort of rain really drops off away from coast doesn't it...
>
> John.
> >snip
> Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
>
> 61mm in the gauge this morning.. 11m of that from the previous 24 hours
> to 9am, and 50mm in the 24 hours to 9am today.. not too shabby at all :)
> Coolangatta (south of Brisbane on the Gold Coast) has 97mm to 9am this
> morning, and Brisbane airport had 67mm to 9am this morning as well.. so
> generally some good falls throughout Brisbane, i think James and Anthony
> received about the same as me too..
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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011
X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 14:23:15 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: NSW Nth Coast Wx
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Doh paul! tell us after the program why dont ya :P
Matt
>
>
>Dull, patchy rain here, falls would be lucky to scrape in the 1mm mark. Damn
>depressing actually, after the big 55mm fall the other night (with 8.4mm
in 10
>mins! Thanx Laurier)
>
>Hopefully this Low will be a beauty and give a decent rain event.
>
>Did anyone see the National geographic Specials on Tornadoes or Tsunamis
on the
>weekend? Excellent indeed!
>
>
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> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
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012
From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 16:46:40 +1000
Organization: Pixel Components
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Hi Paul,
I had thought that a feature of 'true' ECL's is that they are warm cored like a TC, so maybe not....
John.
-----Original Message-----
From: Paul Graham [SMTP:m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au]
Sent: Monday, 7 June 1999 13:44
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
Since about mid-way through last week, there has been a pronounced cooling
at the mid-levels of the troposphere in the Sydney area. 500 temps have
fallen by nearly 5 degrees C from approximately -16 on Wednesday to around
-21 by the weekend. It'll be interesting to see if this destabilisation
is realised in terms of stormy weather - it may help to enhance the
formation of an east coast low, for example. - Paul G.
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013
From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx:SE QLD wx
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 16:49:57 +1000
Organization: Pixel Components
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Yes Anthony,
Seeing as I would be about halfway between the caost and your dad's farm, that demonstrates quite a steady linear drop off.
John
-----Original Message-----
From: Anthony Cornelius [SMTP:cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
Sent: Monday, 7 June 1999 14:22
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx:SE QLD wx
Hi John,
I had 57mm...my dad's farm about 30km SSW of Marbug had a massive 5mm,
shows you how coastal some of these events really are.
Anthony
John Woodbridge wrote:
>
> Rain at Mt. Crosby, 26km west of the city and inconveniently located...blah.. (midnight to midnight)
>
> Friday 0.2
> Saturday 20.5
> Sunday 0.8
>
> This sort of rain really drops off away from coast doesn't it...
>
> John.
> >snip
> Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
>
> 61mm in the gauge this morning.. 11m of that from the previous 24 hours
> to 9am, and 50mm in the 24 hours to 9am today.. not too shabby at all :)
> Coolangatta (south of Brisbane on the Gold Coast) has 97mm to 9am this
> morning, and Brisbane airport had 67mm to 9am this morning as well.. so
> generally some good falls throughout Brisbane, i think James and Anthony
> received about the same as me too..
>
> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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014
X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 14:53:59 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Bounced Messages
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Today we've had quite a few bounced messages from people using different
addresses that are not on the list, they are:
JH at intravel.com.au
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
bayns at hotmail.com
If you have to use a different address, it means David has to approve it,
and due to timezone differences and when he's on the internet it may take
time for that message to get through.
It makes it easier for him if you join both addresses to the list or expect
that message to take time to get through if you dont.
Also, sometimes we get a lot bounced messages from an address if that
server is down, it keeps trying to send the message to that address and if
it doesnt get through after so many tries it will automaticly take it off
the list, so if you notice that you havent been getting any messages from
the list for a day or so then you may have to re-join which has happened to
a few people since the list started.
Thanks.
Jacob
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015
From: Jason Smith [s348771 at student.uq.edu.au]
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Brisbane rainfall
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 16:54:05 +1000
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi
Pommy from Kenmore here
Rainfall to 9 am-ish
Sat: 6.5 mm
Sun: 36 mm
Mon: 1 mm
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016
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 17:00:03 +1000
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Coastal rains + BRING IT ON!!!!
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Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
Yeah, my dad owns a property on the Wide Bay and Burnett (around 70k's
inland), and he has had next to no rain over the past few months..
despite the torrents of rain on the Sunshine Coast ESE of him..
apparently the Kilkivan shire (the shire he's in) is quite close to
being put back on the drought list? this is what the locals say, not
official in any way.. this comes only a few weeks after the state of QLD
was officially declared drought free, the first time in almost 7 years i
think..
This next system heading our way in the next few days looks like a
pearler! BOM forecasts are looking great with rain and thunder
developing Tuesday night and continuing through Wednesday and Thursday
with heavy falls! and storms from a cold pool on Friday! sounds almost
too good to be true actually.. Just as i thought AVN was starting to
look a bit more uniform in its forecasts, todays runs are almost
completely different to yesterdays, with the best stuff over NSW now
.. so i'm quite happy to sit back and watch how the BOM handles
this one..
BOM were forecasting this system Wednesday last week, when most models
were CLUELESS and going around in circles.. goes to show how far 20 or
30 years of experience in forecasting gets you (i'm sure some
forecasters at BOM have been forecasting for longer than that too)..
If only every winter was like this..
John Woodbridge wrote:
>
> Rain at Mt. Crosby, 26km west of the city and inconveniently located...blah.. (midnight to midnight)
>
> Friday 0.2
> Saturday 20.5
> Sunday 0.8
>
> This sort of rain really drops off away from coast doesn't it...
>
> John.
> >snip
> Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
>
> 61mm in the gauge this morning.. 11m of that from the previous 24 hours
> to 9am, and 50mm in the 24 hours to 9am today.. not too shabby at all :)
> Coolangatta (south of Brisbane on the Gold Coast) has 97mm to 9am this
> morning, and Brisbane airport had 67mm to 9am this morning as well.. so
> generally some good falls throughout Brisbane, i think James and Anthony
> received about the same as me too..
>
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017
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 18:44:03 +1000
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: recent rain
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
I'll bet the low dark clouds must be the ones that gave me (and
presumably the rest of Sydney) only a sprinkle..3.4mm before it cleared
this morning...
I'm beginning to forget what decent rain looked like...
Steve Baynham wrote:
>
> hey guys!!
> looks like recent rain has finished, a total of 162mm over past few days
> since thursday i think. saturday was the biggest day. wish i had more
> accurate figures, but there ya go:) some low dark clouds to my south could
> have a spinkle in them.
> see yas
> steve from gold coast
>
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018
From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Central Australian rain
Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 19:15:45 +1000
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We're interested in this cloud band over Central Australia & the risk of
cyclogenesis. Anyone else want to add to this?
Jane - Bayswater
& Clyve - between train stations
(bored ASWA Melbournites)
============================================================
Jane ONeill Bayswater Melbourne cadence at rubix.net.au
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
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019
X-Originating-Ip: [203.2.193.71]
From: Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: RE: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 02:22:14 PDT
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi John,
Primarily you need instability. One feature of east coast lows is that they
often rapidly intensify at night. This is similar to mesoscale convective
systems (usually a summer time continental feature) which also tend to
rapidly intensify at night. The reason most likely for this is radiative
cooling of the atmosphere destabilising (steepening) the lapse rate.
I think east coast lows can be either warm or cold cored depending on their
origin. For example, they can start as a tropical low moving south or as a
region of low pressure over northern NSW moving east. Also, they can form
in the wake of strong cold fronts with cold air over a warmer ocean.
- Paul G.
>From: John Woodbridge
>Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'"
>Subject: RE: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
>Date: Mon, 7 Jun 1999 16:46:40 +1000
>
>Hi Paul,
>
>I had thought that a feature of 'true' ECL's is that they are warm cored
>like a TC, so maybe not....
>
>John.
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Paul Graham [SMTP:m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au]
>Sent: Monday, 7 June 1999 13:44
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
>
>Since about mid-way through last week, there has been a pronounced cooling
>at the mid-levels of the troposphere in the Sydney area. 500 temps have
>fallen by nearly 5 degrees C from approximately -16 on Wednesday to around
>-21 by the weekend. It'll be interesting to see if this destabilisation
>is realised in terms of stormy weather - it may help to enhance the
>formation of an east coast low, for example. - Paul G.
>
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020
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 20:22:18 +1000
From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
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Paul - this information is something I hadn't realised. .... and should
have ! Definitely interesting with all sorts of potential outcomes.
don White
Paul Graham wrote:
>
> Since about mid-way through last week, there has been a pronounced cooling
> at the mid-levels of the troposphere in the Sydney area. 500 temps have
> fallen by nearly 5 degrees C from approximately -16 on Wednesday to around
> -21 by the weekend. It'll be interesting to see if this destabilisation
> is realised in terms of stormy weather - it may help to enhance the
> formation of an east coast low, for example. - Paul G.
>
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021
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 20:36:57 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
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Subject: aus-wx: ASWA Interview Broadcasted over the Radio
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi all!
As some of you were aware, we had an ABC reporter do a story on ASWA
last month. I taped this, and uploaded the zip file (1.08mb) for anyone
interested who wants to hear the story. A few of us had our responses
taped...and they were also aired - I sound horrible!! :-(
The URL is http://www.zipworld.com.au/~rportas/sound1.zip (thanks
heaps to Ross for letting me upload it to his server)
I thought it was quite well done...I was afraid we'd be portrayed as a
bunch of storm chasers - but we weren't!
Anthony Cornelius
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022
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 20:37:18 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: rain in Darwin?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Looks like some rain has been and is falling in the Darwin area this
evening. Can anyone confirm any totals? Given that the monthly average is
only 1.3mm on 0.6 days, it's an unusual situation. The cloud streaming into
the West QLD trough is certainly interesting for the development of a
surface low over the SE QLD region later.
Michael
============================================================
Michael Bath Wollongbar, N.Rivers NSW mbath at ozemail.com.au
http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
http://www.lightningphotography.com/
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
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023
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Destabilisation...
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 10:49:44 GMT
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On Mon, 7 Jun 1999 13:43:52 +1000 (EST), Paul Graham
wrote:
>Since about mid-way through last week, there has been a pronounced cooling
>at the mid-levels of the troposphere in the Sydney area. 500 temps have
>fallen by nearly 5 degrees C from approximately -16 on Wednesday to around
>-21 by the weekend. It'll be interesting to see if this destabilisation
>is realised in terms of stormy weather - it may help to enhance the
>formation of an east coast low, for example. - Paul G.
>
Which is what the EC, MRF and GASP are going for, but in different
ways. All bring a substantial thermal trough over NSW/Vic on Thursday
and induce low pressure in the Tasman in different ways.
The EC deepens a trough over SE Qld and eastern NSW on Wednesday with
a low centre forming off the NSW North Coast during Friday with a very
nice SE gradient onto the NSW coast turning S into Saturday.
Yesterday's MRF (today's won't be out for another hour or so)
developed a low off Sydney early Friday, then moved it fairly rapidly
away to the SE, but also went for a good thermal trough up through
inland NSW.
GASP isn't as dramatic with the low development, cutting it off in the
westerlies east of Tassie on Friday morning, but again with cold air
pushing north over Vic and SA -- the 536 thickness line is up to the
Vic/NSW border at 00z Friday morning. If GASP comes true, it'll just
get colder from then on -- the 540 line runs the full length of the
Vic/NSW border at 00z Saturday, moves further north and broadens on
Sunday, and then
(drumroll)
if Monday comes true, Lindsay (and I) will be in heaven -- a cut-off
thermal low of 532 right over the Blue Mountains, with a sharp trough
and heavy rain developing down the coast, and an 850hPa temperature of
-4. Mmmmm.......that's the prog at 7 days, for what it's worth.
--
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/
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024
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 20:51:20 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at rmitel.com.au]
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Hey James...
Well...I think it went quite well...the only flaw was that they crossed
stories...like, you talked about Jan 31, and I talked about Jan 25...and
he took them as being the same story...you said late Jan as the date,
and I think I might have said the same - so I he might have thought they
were the same. But that really doesn't matter...
Anyway...the URL is http://www.zipworld.com.au/~rportas/sound1.zip
Anthony
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025
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: rain in Darwin?
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 11:06:03 GMT
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On Mon, 07 Jun 1999 20:37:18 +1000, Michael Bath
wrote:
>Looks like some rain has been and is falling in the Darwin area this
>evening. Can anyone confirm any totals? Given that the monthly average is
>only 1.3mm on 0.6 days, it's an unusual situation. The cloud streaming into
>the West QLD trough is certainly interesting for the development of a
>surface low over the SE QLD region later.
>
Nothing at Darwin Airport up to 8.30EST tonight. Jervois (about 400km
ENE of Alice Springs) had 22mm in 24h to 9 this morning and another 17
to 3pm!
--
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/
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026
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Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 21:14:32 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: East Coast low
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi Jimmy here,
I think the way the whole conditions and satpics seem to indicate the
development of the low off the east coast. The NW cloud band, higher than
average daily temps for this time of year, the slow moving cold front and
trough and the thunderstorms that sprung up. These feature are typical in
the lead up to such an event but who knows. We will have to wait. Normally
you will have low rain totals around Sydney for 3 or 4 days and followed by
increasing rain and finally strengthening winds and heavier rain possible
flooding...
Jimmy Deguara
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------
Jimmy Deguara
Vice President ASWA
from Schofields, Sydney
e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au
homepage with Michael Bath
http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
Australian Severe Weather Association home information page
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
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027
X-Originating-Ip: [203.27.197.46]
From: Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: T shirts
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 21:36:09 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Jane,
I would like order 1 polo and 2 T-shirts, with logo on left breast,
in size M, please.
Regards
Rod Aikman
The time has come to readdress the T-shirt issue.
Would each of you please email me at cadence at rubix.net.au (NOT the list)
with the following information:
1. polo neck or T-shirt? (you can have any colour so long as it is white
)
2. preference for logo on left breast or back?
3. quantity
4. sizes (S / M / L / XL / XXL / XXXL)
I will discuss costs and delivery with you at a later date, but at the
moment I'm just getting the ball rolling - sorry for the delay but a number
of things got in the way of this. I'm going to put in the order on Tuesday
15th June - so I'd like to hear from you by next Monday 14th June by 5pm -
if I don't you will be Tshirtless
Jane ONeill
ASWA - Victoria
============================================================
Jane ONeill Bayswater Melbourne cadence at rubix.net.au
http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence
http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
============================================================
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028
X-Originating-Ip: [203.27.197.46]
From: Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 07 Jun 1999 21:44:26 EST
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Sorry, that shirt order was sent to the list by mistake.
Rod Aikman
______________________________________________________
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| Document: 990607.htm
Updated: 11 June 1999 |
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