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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Tuesday, 29 June 1999 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Rain Gauge 002 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] SE QLD wx 003 "Phil Schubert" [philip at zedley.com] Rain Gauge 004 Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] snow in Sydney 005 Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] Melbourne. 006 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. snow in Sydney 007 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] snow in Sydney and Brisbane 008 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] SE QLD wx 009 Ben Munro [benjamin at biosys.net] Fog in Sydney 010 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 011 Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au] Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 012 "Andrew Miskelly" [amiskelly at ozemail.com.au] MRF 013 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 014 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] snow in Sydney 015 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] SE QLD wx 016 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] snow in Sydney and Brisbane 017 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 018 Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au] Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 019 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 020 Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] Tornado Encounter... 021 "Paul Rands" [prands at healey.com.au] Fog in Sydney 022 "Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au] Cyclone Thelma Report 023 Kevin Phyland [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) 024 Tom Johnstone [Iain.Johnstone at pse.unige.ch] snow in Sydney 025 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Not much rain south of Illawarra 026 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] Davis Weather Monitor II 027 Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com] Standards of observations 028 "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au] Davis Weather Monitor II -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Rain Gauge Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 01:52:15 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components Pty Ltd X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi me again, Yes well the errant dogs could be a problem (wallabies in my case...). If the accuracy of the instrument is known well naturally that applies. In some cases it goes the other way, e.g., I have a machine that measures humidity in 1% increments, but the literature states that the accuracy is only plus or minus 10%. So why did they bother I wonder... Still I think it is a good rule of thumb where the accuracy is not known . Not sure I understand your issue with lack of 'odd' numbers. Presumably so long as you use some rule which on average splits the 'halfway' readings evenly up or down then all is OK. (e.g., with .2 graduations, divide by 2 first, apply the odd rule, then x2). But then again, the important thing is probably to compare apples with apples not oranges. If the BoM specify round up, then should we all not do the same so that rainfall figures can be compared meaningfully with recorded averages over time? Regards, John. >snip I think that, regardless of instrument accuracy, what's most important is to avoid the "round-up" rule. The rule in all scientific areas where figures are averaged, totalled or otherwise manipulated is to round to the odd figure. Otherwise you are building in error. The problem with the Bureau's 0.2mm rule is that there is no odd figure to round to, and in an area with 150 raindays in a year, the annual total will be systematically inflated, on average, by 75 x 0.1 = 7.5mm. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 09:11:24 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: SE QLD wx Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, What is very ordinary rain, has caused some 'phenomenal' flooding! >From 9am Sunday to 9am yesterday, we had 58.6mm, this caused Bulimba Crk to rise around 4m and flood Wrights Rd, this has only ever happened in the worse of flooding, yesterday they closed the road - the 4th time it has ever been closed in 11yrs, it's now been closed twice this year. I think this just shows how damp and soggy everything still is! Our back yard is just a mud bath now, you can't walk on it without sinking a few inches in mud...and my dog is loving it!! :( North Pine Dam (just to the N of Brisbane) is currently letting go water yet again, they've been doing this periodically since Feb. We had a further 19.7mm from 9am yesterday to today, last night there were a few short, sharp, bursts of heavy rain, and a few rumbles of thunder (yes, I've had my 0.2 of a thunderday now!) This boosts my June total to 189.2mm - the average is 72mm (from the BoM calander, although I've seen a few different quoted figures...) I have had 916mm this year. There is still more to come by the looks of it (but this will fall into July). Anthony from Brisbane Ben Quinn wrote: > > Hey Ben from Brisbane here.. > > 11:45pm here and i just got woken up by a Cg.. this is the fourth night > in a row i have had thunder with 10-15 rumbles over a few hours each > night.. isn't it JUNE?!?! :) > > BTW i had 37mm here last night, which is pretty ordinary really (but > nice for this time of year).. others scored much better with some falls > up to 100mm in the southern suburbs of Brisbane and plenty of falls > around 40-60 in coastal areas.. > > As i write this email lightning more frequent and drawing closer with > moderate/heavy rain.. > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 From: "Phil Schubert" [philip at zedley.com] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Rain Gauge Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 07:53:01 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0) Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com John Woodbridge wrote: Sent: Monday, 28 June 1999 23:52 To: 'aussie-weather at world.std.com' Subject: RE: aus-wx: Rain Gauge Not sure I understand your issue with lack of 'odd' numbers. Presumably so long as you use some rule which on average splits the 'halfway' readings evenly up or down then all is OK. (e.g., with .2 graduations, divide by 2 first, apply the odd rule, then x2). But then again, the important thing is probably to compare apples with apples not oranges. If the BoM specify round up, then should we all not do the same so that rainfall figures can be compared meaningfully with recorded averages over time? I have a new Nylex gauge, an note that on many occasions there is still a fair amount of drops beaded up in the funnel portion. I try to shake these down into the measure, and often they will amount to .02mm. With intermittent showers in windy periods these would evaporate. I think this would constitute a larger error over time. Maybe some wetting agent (CRC) should be added. Cheers Phil +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 X-Originating-Ip: [210.84.11.137] From: Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney Date: Mon, 28 Jun 1999 16:54:03 PDT Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Michael, I do seem to remember the weather Bureau suggesting the chance of snow falls in Sydney that afternoon - I think this was based on reports of snow in some southern suburbs. But as Don White mentioned, it was really soft hail as 6C is too warm for snow. However, I recall the "flakes" as falling in the same way as snow does (with the same aerodynamic characteristics) which convinced me it was snow rather than hail. - Paul G. >From: "Michael Thompson" >Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com >To: >Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney >Date: Mon, 28 Jun 1999 23:19:03 +1000 > >I remember this event well in the Illawarra. The temperature peaked at >something like 16C earlier in the day, but a fast moving front with >cold SW winds and an associated cloud band dramatically dropped the >temperature around 1-2pm, with the front the temperature plummeted down to >something like 6C here, >something I have never seen before or since of at that time of afternoon >here. > >Snow fell on the Illawarra escarpment down to very low levels, I drove up >Macquarie Pass and the first snow on ground was seen well short of the top >at approx 400-500m, this was an hour after the fall and it must >of fell lower. perhaps 250-300m. Snow flurries were reported from the F6 >toll gates and the >top of Mt Kiera. > >Despite the cold no snow fell at my home, just cold bitter rain. Some radio >reports did mention snow, but I am always the doubter, 6C just is not cold >enough. > >Michael > > > > > > I remember the time in 1986 (possibly August) when there was a brief > > snowfall through parts of Sydney. It lasted about 10 minutes but melted > > fairly quickly after settling on the ground. I'd be interested to know >what > > the temperature was at the time since, although it was cold, I don't >think > > it was exceptionally cold. I seem to remember that the cloud was a tall > > cumulus and this may have been a factor. > > - Paul G. > > > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 X-Originating-Ip: [210.84.11.137] From: Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Melbourne. Date: Mon, 28 Jun 1999 17:03:15 PDT Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi to Melbournians... I will be in Melbourne next week (from Tuesday) so if you live there we may be able to meet up. Just send some e-mail to me at: paul at marconi.mpce.mq.edu.au Cheers, Paul. (I think there is the "Science in the Pub" which may be worth going along to...) ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 10:32:18 +1000 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Paul Graham wrote: > > Hi Michael, > I do seem to remember the weather Bureau suggesting the chance of > snow falls in Sydney that afternoon - I think this was based on > reports of snow in some southern suburbs. But as Don White > mentioned, it was really soft hail as 6C is too warm for snow. > However, I recall the "flakes" as falling in the same > way as snow does (with the same aerodynamic characteristics) > which convinced me it was snow rather than hail. > - Paul G. My obs of "warm" snow in since I started watching such stuff from 1973 follows. But I can imagine that given the right conditions, obs of "snow" in Sydney could go to quite high temps. Maybe not as high as 6C but maybe 4C to 5C; There is a relationship between cloud-level, lapse rate and humidity. When clouds in Katoomba had bases around 2500m, the RH might have been 60-70% and the lapse-rate enormous with 4C in Katoomba and 16C in Sydney. Under these conditions, I've seen very decent snow flakes make it to the ground and melt on contact with "ice" in the precipitation to temps approaching 6C. Total ice in the precipitation would come in around 4C with nice light snow falling from about 1C down. Accummulation was a function of intensity and ground temp which in Katoomba would not normally happen until about -0.5C was reached. In Perisher Valley on rare occasions when the RH is low, I've seen snow come from a long way up when the temp is a high as 6C! This would actually accumulate on top of existing snow cover creating a nice slushy layer. Bring the clouds down to the deck and forget such sites. Under high humidity conditions, you need temps below 0C with first flakes appearing at about +0.5C. On one occasion last year, the temp was -3C in Perisher (1730m) and -2C in Jindabyne (900m?) with really heavy snow falling over the entire altitude range. Now that was an easterly storm with a 1000mb-500mb thickness around 5340m. Somewhat weird (the lousy lapse rate) if you ask me. I could "go on" about snow but that'll do:-) Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 11:03:48 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney and Brisbane Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, To throw in another variable, on the 1st of May, there was snow reported just to the SW of Brisbane (near Woodridge). Jeff C. was telling me about this, he was as surprised as I was! I immediately suggested that there we saw a lot of hail that looked like snow on the ground, however it was reported as falling. Temperatures would have been in the low twenties, but under cloud, in the mid-high teens - under precip, possibly even close to 12-13C Could soft, melted hail have caused it to look like snow? As it seemed far too warm for snow!! Anthony Cornelius Paul Graham wrote: > > Hi Michael, > I do seem to remember the weather Bureau suggesting the chance of snow falls > in Sydney that afternoon - I think this was based on reports of snow in some > southern suburbs. But as Don White mentioned, it was really soft hail as 6C > is too warm for snow. However, I recall the "flakes" as falling in the same > way as snow does (with the same aerodynamic characteristics) which convinced > me it was snow rather than hail. > - Paul G. > > >From: "Michael Thompson" > >Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > >To: > >Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney > >Date: Mon, 28 Jun 1999 23:19:03 +1000 > > > >I remember this event well in the Illawarra. The temperature peaked at > >something like 16C earlier in the day, but a fast moving front with > >cold SW winds and an associated cloud band dramatically dropped the > >temperature around 1-2pm, with the front the temperature plummeted down to > >something like 6C here, > >something I have never seen before or since of at that time of afternoon > >here. > > > >Snow fell on the Illawarra escarpment down to very low levels, I drove up > >Macquarie Pass and the first snow on ground was seen well short of the top > >at approx 400-500m, this was an hour after the fall and it must > >of fell lower. perhaps 250-300m. Snow flurries were reported from the F6 > >toll gates and the > >top of Mt Kiera. > > > >Despite the cold no snow fell at my home, just cold bitter rain. Some radio > >reports did mention snow, but I am always the doubter, 6C just is not cold > >enough. > > > >Michael > > > > > > > > > > > I remember the time in 1986 (possibly August) when there was a brief > > > snowfall through parts of Sydney. It lasted about 10 minutes but melted > > > fairly quickly after settling on the ground. I'd be interested to know > >what > > > the temperature was at the time since, although it was cold, I don't > >think > > > it was exceptionally cold. I seem to remember that the cloud was a tall > > > cumulus and this may have been a factor. > > > - Paul G. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > ______________________________________________________ > Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 11:48:01 +1000 From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: SE QLD wx Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Ben from Brisbane here.. I got a stormy 36mm overnight, bringing my total for this event to 73mm.. and my total for this month is now 223mm (possibly minus a suspect 17mm).. this month we have had many days with large Cb sitting off the coast.. maybe 12-13 days.. and a few nights with lightning off the coast.. and 5 thunderdays here in Redcliffe.. some other places on the coast would have had more like 6 or 7 thunderdays.. Some large Cu and Tcu moving onto the coast again, and you know if you're under one of them as the showers are very heavy, although brief.. Went and photographed the north pine dam with the floodgates open this morning.. from the bottom of a hill.. after i fell down it..... (* at Y# at $)$#*( at ($#$.. Some nice falls to 9am in the SE quarter of Queensland again.. some of these places would be nearing the 150-200mm mark for this event.. Palmwoods 100 Nambour 98 Eumundi 85 Cooran 83 Long Pocket 79 (3 days) Peachester 74 Toowong 74 (3 days) Landsborough 72 Cooroibah 70 Rainbow Beach 66 Caboolture 65 Yandina 65 Boreen Point 62 Maleny 62 Lytton 60 Kenilworth 58 Mary Cairncross 54 Beerburrum 53 Morayfield 43 Imbil 41 Goomboorian 40 Mt Mee 40 Beechmont 39 Beenleigh 36 Logan City 36 Redcliffe 36 Maroochydore 35 And a scattering of falls from 10-30mm.. The models look interesting for parts of NSW over the next 48 hours or so.. and once again possibly more upper level action for us at various times over the next 7 days.. BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :) Anthony Cornelius wrote: > > Hi all, > > What is very ordinary rain, has caused some 'phenomenal' flooding! > > >From 9am Sunday to 9am yesterday, we had 58.6mm, this caused Bulimba Crk > to rise around 4m and flood Wrights Rd, this has only ever happened in > the worse of flooding, yesterday they closed the road - the 4th time it > has ever been closed in 11yrs, it's now been closed twice this year. I > think this just shows how damp and soggy everything still is! Our back > yard is just a mud bath now, you can't walk on it without sinking a few > inches in mud...and my dog is loving it!! :( > > North Pine Dam (just to the N of Brisbane) is currently letting go water > yet again, they've been doing this periodically since Feb. > > We had a further 19.7mm from 9am yesterday to today, last night there > were a few short, sharp, bursts of heavy rain, and a few rumbles of > thunder (yes, I've had my 0.2 of a thunderday now! ) > > This boosts my June total to 189.2mm - the average is 72mm (from the BoM > calander, although I've seen a few different quoted figures...) I have > had 916mm this year. > > There is still more to come by the looks of it (but this will fall into > July). > > Anthony from Brisbane > > Ben Quinn wrote: > > > > Hey Ben from Brisbane here.. > > > > 11:45pm here and i just got woken up by a Cg.. this is the fourth night > > in a row i have had thunder with 10-15 rumbles over a few hours each > > night.. isn't it JUNE?!?! :) > > > > BTW i had 37mm here last night, which is pretty ordinary really (but > > nice for this time of year).. others scored much better with some falls > > up to 100mm in the southern suburbs of Brisbane and plenty of falls > > around 40-60 in coastal areas.. > > > > As i write this email lightning more frequent and drawing closer with > > moderate/heavy rain.. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 X-Sender: sgamgee at mail.geocities.com X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 12:14:57 +1000 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Ben Munro [benjamin at biosys.net] Subject: aus-wx: Fog in Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com There was a thick fog in sydney last night. At least, there was in my part of sydney ( the hills in the north west). I got up at 2am and couldn't see the other side of the road, which is less than 20 metres away, even though there are street lights. It was all gone by 6am this morning though. On another topic, it has rained for the last eight days here, about 30mm in total, not a lot of rain. The total for this month is about 55mm so far, the average for June is 100mm. Ben Munro +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 02:36:05 GMT X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com On Tue, 29 Jun 1999 01:52:15 +1000, John Woodbridge wrote: >Not sure I understand your issue with lack of 'odd' numbers. Presumably so >long as you use some rule which on average splits the 'halfway' readings >evenly up or down then all is OK. (e.g., with .2 graduations, divide by 2 >first, apply the odd rule, then x2). Hi John. Yes, I agree, but it becomes sufficiently complex for the average observer not to be done. >But then again, the important thing >is probably to compare apples with apples not oranges. If the BoM specify >round up, then should we all not do the same so that rainfall figures can >be compared meaningfully with recorded averages over time? > I'd agree with that if the Bureau weren't out of step with the rest of the world. The prime advantage of recording to 0.1mm with standard gauges (which have measuring glasses graduated to 0.2mm) IMHO, is that it usually removes the need to consider rounding at all -- the eye will usually determine the water level to be on or between a graduation. Unfortunately for meaningful comparisons, a large proportion (~30% on a quick inspection) of bureau observers record to the nearest 0.1. Of the remainder that record to 0.2, we have no certainty that they round up or down. Again, this uncertainty would be removed it the Bureau stipulated recording to the nearest 0.1, as they do with temperature, dew point, pressure, evaporation, sunshine..... I guess my concern over this apparently trivial issue stems from the larger number of practices where we are strangely out of step with the rest of the meteorological world, and which I believe reduce the quality of our observational program. -- Every country in the world except Australia and some Pacific Islands where the met service was set up by Australia takes observations at 00, 03, 06... UTC. We persist with 9am, noon... local time, which is 23 UTC in the east, 23.30 UTC in SA/NT, and 01 UTC in WA. From what I have been able to work out, this is a historical remnant from the days when the local Post Offices did most of the reading, and 9am and 3pm were convenient times to get the first obs of the day when the staff arrived, and the last obs of the day in time for the Bureau to process before Bureau staff left for the day. -- Every country in the world except Australia and NZ retain their observational schedule on 00, 03.. UTC during daylight saving. We stick to clock time, so that suddenly 9am becomes 8am, as it were, and real time measurements like temperature and humidity are not comparable within months that switch to or from DST, or between the DST and pre-DST era. Maximum temperatures for the day continue to be reported at 3pm local DST, which is 2pm local, and frequently before the day's maximum has occurred. -- Every country in the world except Australia records the three major cllimatological parameters of rainfall, max and min temperature so as to most closely align them with the local calendar day. Our fixation with 9am results in true max and min temps often being lost during periods of abnormal temperature variation. -- Every country in the world except Australia adopts standard, agreed WMO reporting codes which are either global, regional or national. We have not updated our national reporting code for at least the last 30 years to my knowledge, with the result that it now has elements that confuse observers and cause errors (particularly in rainfall reporting), and completely ignores elements that are routinely reported elsewhere such as sunshine, evaporation, wind gustiness and snow depth. I won't go on, but I do despair at times at the conservatism and "near enough is good enough" attitudes that I believe are not giving us the quality of weather observations in this country that we could, and should, have. -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 X-Sender: kburrows at saserver X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 13:19:01 +0900 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All, I am not going to respond to all that has recently been written on the subject particularly Laurier's last email. However I can make a few comments. 1. On the subject of the time at which maximum and minimum temperatures and daily rainfall are recorded. The WMO suggest that these items are reported on the first observation at or after 00z and 12z. The problem is that these times do not always correspond with the daily cycle. If we go by local time its a bit difficult to get observers up at midnight to take observations. Many observers take observations as part of their normal job and get paid for out of hours observations. Introducing midnight observations would be extremely expensive. By the way the USA also has a wide variety of times of reading the MAX temperature too. 2. Going to UTC observations at 00z and then every three hours creates the same problems. In SA and the eastern states the max would be being read at 0930 CST and 1000EST. If we shift the time to read the max back to 21Z then we still have problems in availablity of observers and extra cost. Remember we dont have Automatic Weather Stations at most observing sites. 3. Its important for climate change studies to maintain a standard time of observations and this is one reason for our reluctance to change. When you looking for small changes in temperature over long periods you dont want the data set corrupted by changes introduced by changes of instrument, site or observation time. 4. Observations are stored in the database against their standard local time therefore Adelaide 9am obs in Summer are stored with a time of 0800CST. 5. The Bureau is introducing a new format for transmitting data internally. Its called the Met Data Format (MDF) and is being introduced with Electronic Field Books (Laptop PC's). The observer will transmit all observations in real time and these go straight into the computer database. Evaporation, maximum wind gust, max and min temps and rainfall to the nearest 0.1�C or 0.2mm ( I wont comment about reading rainfall to the nearest 0.1mm apart from sayin that if an observer reports observations to the nearest 0.1mm then thats how the data is stored) will be reported in real time where these elements are observed. We still have to use the SYNOP code for international data exchange. Paper field books will no longer be used and most of the quality control will be done by the electronic field book. Kevin Burrows ********************************************************************* * Kevin Burrows * * * Meteorologist * PO Box 421 * * Climate and Consultative Services * Kent Town * * South Australian Regional Office * South Australia 5071 * * Bureau of Meteorology * * * * Phone: (08) 8366 2691 * * internet: k.burrows at bom.gov.au * Fax: (08) 8366 2693 * ********************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 From: "Andrew Miskelly" [amiskelly at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: MRF Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 14:00:53 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet Mail 4.70.1155 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey all, Just found it interesting that for Thursday the MRF Model (http://grads.iges.org/pix/aus2.48hr.gif) forcasts a 534 thickness for Adelaide. If this were to come true it is supposed to disipate before it gets much further east, could have been fun and games! -- Andrew Miskelly Illawarra/Southern Tablelands amiskelly at ozemail.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 14:16:45 +1000 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Laurier Williams wrote: > On Tue, 29 Jun 1999 01:52:15 +1000, John Woodbridge > wrote: > > >Not sure I understand your issue with lack of 'odd' numbers. Presumably so > >long as you use some rule which on average splits the 'halfway' readings > >evenly up or down then all is OK. (e.g., with .2 graduations, divide by 2 > >first, apply the odd rule, then x2). > > Hi John. Yes, I agree, but it becomes sufficiently complex for the > average observer not to be done. > > >But then again, the important thing > >is probably to compare apples with apples not oranges. If the BoM specify > >round up, then should we all not do the same so that rainfall figures can > >be compared meaningfully with recorded averages over time? > > > I'd agree with that if the Bureau weren't out of step with the rest of > the world. The prime advantage of recording to 0.1mm with standard > gauges (which have measuring glasses graduated to 0.2mm) IMHO, is > that it usually removes the need to consider rounding at all -- the > eye will usually determine the water level to be on or between a > graduation. > > Unfortunately for meaningful comparisons, a large proportion (~30% on > a quick inspection) of bureau observers record to the nearest 0.1. Of > the remainder that record to 0.2, we have no certainty that they round > up or down. Again, this uncertainty would be removed it the Bureau > stipulated recording to the nearest 0.1, as they do with temperature, > dew point, pressure, evaporation, sunshine..... While this is of concern, I'm rather more concerned by the possibility that, on the evidence of a test study I've just undertaken of district 17 (north-eastern SA), something like 50% of rainfalls between 0.2 and 2 mm aren't being recorded at all...(the climatological expectation, based on synoptic stations like Marree, Oodnadatta and Birdsville, is that 40-50% of all raindays will have > 2mm, but about 65% of stations have a proportion of more than 70%, suggesting severe under-reporting of small rainfall amounts). By the way, you're right about the 0.2mm being a relic of pre- metrication values (being closer to 0.01 inch). > I guess my concern over this apparently trivial issue stems from the > larger number of practices where we are strangely out of step with the > rest of the meteorological world, and which I believe reduce the > quality of our observational program. > > -- Every country in the world except Australia and some Pacific > Islands where the met service was set up by Australia takes > observations at 00, 03, 06... UTC. We persist with 9am, noon... local > time, which is 23 UTC in the east, 23.30 UTC in SA/NT, and 01 UTC in > WA. From what I have been able to work out, this is a historical > remnant from the days when the local Post Offices did most of the > reading, and 9am and 3pm were convenient times to get the first obs of > the day when the staff arrived, and the last obs of the day in time > for the Bureau to process before Bureau staff left for the day. The 0900 observation time originated because the weather observation was originally the telegraph test message for post offices, as you suggest. Not sure about the origins of the 1500 observation - you could well be right, especially in the early days. > -- Every country in the world except Australia and NZ retain their > observational schedule on 00, 03.. UTC during daylight saving. We > stick to clock time, so that suddenly 9am becomes 8am, as it were, and > real time measurements like temperature and humidity are not > comparable within months that switch to or from DST, or between the > DST and pre-DST era. Maximum temperatures for the day continue to be > reported at 3pm local DST, which is 2pm local, and frequently before > the day's maximum has occurred. I seem to recall that, once again, post offices were the fly in the ointment here (can't remember the exact logic - a 1000 local time observation interrupting postal operations?). > -- Every country in the world except Australia records the three major > cllimatological parameters of rainfall, max and min temperature so as > to most closely align them with the local calendar day. Our fixation > with 9am results in true max and min temps often being lost during > periods of abnormal temperature variation. This is where I begin to disagree. If you maintain a 24-hour observation day, it is inevitable that there will be some situations where high minima and low maxima will be lost. With an 0900 observation time, this most commonly occurs when the 24-hour minimum is the 0900 reset temperature from the preceding day. (Less commonly, the maximum is the 0900 reset temperature the following day). However, using a 0000 observation time - as was the case at some Australian stations prior to 1963 - means that high minima can be lost if it has become cooler by midnight that day. As this quite often happens after very hot nights in southern Australia (the typical scenario is that a hot night will be followed by a cool change sometime during the day, with temperatures dropping by evening), such stations show a marked reduction in the frequency of very high minima prior to 1963. There are almost as many observation times for max/min temperature as there are countries. The place where it is a real mess is the US; whilst first-order stations (the equivalent of our Met. Offices) record at midnight, climatological stations record at whatever time they feel like - and changes in the observation time are a major discontinuity in the climate record. At Adelaide and Melbourne a 0000 observation time results in mean minima about 0.3 C lower than a 0900 observation time would. Once I've finished writing my thesis I will write a paper on this issue. There was a proposal about 3-4 years ago to shift the Australian observing program onto WMO standard hours - easier now because we don't rely so heavily on post offices. This was shelved, at least for the time being. From the climate point of view a shift to 2100 UTC (0700 EST) in the eastern states, as was proposed, would have been a disaster - as this is close to the time of minimum temperature in winter (meaning just about every cold night would be double- counted) the discontinuity in the minimum temperature would have been around 1 C in most places, and exceeded 1.5 C in some. (For consistency of the climate record, continuity of practices is more critical than whether or not a practice is more 'accurate' than any other). Incidentally, a time of observation around 0900-1100 seems to be the best compromise between not double-counting too many low minima and not double-counting too many high maxima - although this is more by accident than design. I can see no good reason why rainfall is attributed to the day of observation rather than the previous day (other than that changing would require the recalculation of all monthly means, decile maps etc.). > -- Every country in the world except Australia adopts standard, agreed > WMO reporting codes which are either global, regional or national. We > have not updated our national reporting code for at least the last 30 > years to my knowledge, with the result that it now has elements that > confuse observers and cause errors (particularly in rainfall > reporting), and completely ignores elements that are routinely > reported elsewhere such as sunshine, evaporation, wind gustiness and > snow depth. I don't know a lot about coding. I think (but am not sure) that there is some major reworking of the code gradually making its way through the system. > I won't go on, but I do despair at times at the conservatism and "near > enough is good enough" attitudes that I believe are not giving us the > quality of weather observations in this country that we could, and > should, have. Conservatism and continuity can often be two sides of the same coin, of course. If it were my decision alone, what I'd probably do is: - retain the 0900 observation time for max/min temperatures and rainfall - aim towards recording hourly observations (initially at Bureau- staffed stations and AWSs) and report internationally at the WMO standard hours - retain the same UTC observing times (one hour later in local clock time) during daylight saving Blair Trewin > -- > Laurier Williams > Australian Weather Links and News > http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 Date: Mon, 28 Jun 1999 08:18:34 -0700 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com My parters mum (recently deceased) apparently saw snow falling in Sydney in the 1940's, she was high in a building and said it floated slowly and melted as it hit the ground. Lindsay P. Don White wrote: > > Paul... > A SSW change that passed through Sydney around 3-4 pm on 27 July 1986 > dropped the temp to 7 degrees. The showers with the change included some > soft hail - the process of formation is different but naturally, because > of the cold and the soft hail the media claimed "snow". > It was too warm for that. > don White > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: SE QLD wx Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 14:33:20 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, 52mm for the 48 hours to 9:00am this morning at Mt. Crosby. This alone would probably have to be close to, or exceed, the June average (which would be well down on Brisbane's average). John, >From a very soggy & breezy Brisbane. (Just like a Perth winter really, typical squally weather except it is coming from the SE - next thing we'll be having some "coldies" just to annoy Ira). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: snow in Sydney and Brisbane Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 14:44:32 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Anthony, This was the day you guys took off chasing after the ASWA meeting. The Woodridge event was caused by that small storm cluster that we watched grow from a tiny cumulus. It was in fact most definitely pea sized hail, falling around 2:30pm and reported as such in the evening news. Temps were low twenties. The cell started to generate CG echoes on the Energex lightning tracker at around 2:00pm in the Woodridge area. John. >snip To throw in another variable, on the 1st of May, there was snow reported just to the SW of Brisbane (near Woodridge). Jeff C. was telling me about this, he was as surprised as I was! I immediately suggested that there we saw a lot of hail that looked like snow on the ground, however it was reported as falling. Temperatures would have been in the low twenties, but under cloud, in the mid-high teens - under precip, possibly even close to 12-13C Could soft, melted hail have caused it to look like snow? As it seemed far too warm for snow!! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 017 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 15:10:30 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Oh Blair, I actually use midnight largely because I am at home then and not at 9:00am. I have often noted that I 'lose' a warm overnight 'min' because by midnight the following evening it is already much colder... But what does it all really mean?? If we are talking about a 'day' then that is normally regarded as midnight to midnight. By definition a "minimum" is the lowest temp in a given period - therefore nothing has been 'lost' at all, the warm morning simply wasn't the actual minimum for the period, if you get my drift. While I on the subject though, I have often though it rather silly to take a reading of something like rainfall at 9:00am and ascribe it to the previous calendar day. John. However, using a 0000 observation time - as was the case at some Australian stations prior to 1963 - means that high minima can be lost if it has become cooler by midnight that day. As this quite often happens after very hot nights in southern Australia (the typical scenario is that a hot night will be followed by a cool change sometime during the day, with temperatures dropping by evening), such stations show a marked reduction in the frequency of very high minima prior to 1963. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 018 X-Sender: kburrows at saserver X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 15:30:29 +0900 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 15:10 29/06/1999 +1000, John wrote: >While I on the subject though, I have often though it rather silly to take >a reading of something like rainfall at 9:00am and ascribe it to the >previous calendar day. Rainfall is recorded on the day it is measured, as is minimum temperature. It is only the maximum temperature that is transfered back to the previous day since the maximum generally occurs in the afternoon. In the climate are of BOM we are always careful to advise clients of the period over which extremes or totals are recorded. Kevin Burrows ********************************************************************* * Kevin Burrows * * * Meteorologist * PO Box 421 * * Climate and Consultative Services * Kent Town * * South Australian Regional Office * South Australia 5071 * * Bureau of Meteorology * * * * Phone: (08) 8366 2691 * * internet: k.burrows at bom.gov.au * Fax: (08) 8366 2693 * ********************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 019 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 07:43:24 GMT X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Blair, Kevin and John, Thanks for your posts on my admittedly rather provocative contribution. It was done more to stimulate debate on a little-discussed issue (outside the Bureau) rather than with any malice. Some thoughts: On Tue, 29 Jun 1999 14:16:45 +1000 (EST), Blair Trewin wrote: >If you maintain a 24-hour observation day, it is inevitable that >there will be some situations where high minima and low maxima will >be lost. With an 0900 observation time, this most commonly occurs >when the 24-hour minimum is the 0900 reset temperature from the >preceding day. (Less commonly, the maximum is the 0900 reset >temperature the following day). However, using a 0000 observation >time - as was the case at some Australian stations prior to 1963 - >means that high minima can be lost if it has become cooler by midnight >that day. As this quite often happens after very hot nights in >southern Australia (the typical scenario is that a hot night will be >followed by a cool change sometime during the day, with temperatures >dropping by evening), such stations show a marked reduction in the >frequency of very high minima prior to 1963. > Would a fair bit of this problem be removed by reading minimum for the 24 hours to 0000z and maximum for the 24 hours to 1200z? Kevin wrote: >On the subject of the time at which maximum and minimum temperatures >and daily rainfall are recorded. The WMO suggest that these items are >reported on the first observation at or after 00z and 12z. The problem is >that these times do not always correspond with the daily cycle. If we go >by local time its a bit difficult to get observers up at midnight to take >observations. Many observers take observations as part of their normal job >and get paid for out of hours observations. Introducing midnight >observations would be extremely expensive. and Blair wrote: >There are almost as many observation times for max/min temperature >as there are countries. The place where it is a real mess is the US; >whilst first-order stations (the equivalent of our Met. Offices) >record at midnight, climatological stations record at whatever time >they feel like - and changes in the observation time are a major >discontinuity in the climate record. > I think this is the Co-operative Observers Network, or somesuch name. My understanding of the US system is that they recognised some years ago that weather reporting could be organised into two categories of quality: the first-order stations (normally, but not always professionally manned) where accuracy of readings, visual observations and timing could be 100% relied upon; and all the rest, where standards would vary according to the weather savvy and diligence of the observer. I think an important point is that they recognised the value of the "amateur" observer, despite the limitations that working, sleeping and having a life place on maintaining a quality meteorological record. What this separation did was to allow the maintenance of tight, and possibly different, standards at the first-order stations, and determination of those standards by meteorological and climatological needs, while allowing somewhat looser standards for co-operative observers. Thus, the first-order stations perform obs at times that ordinary mortals may find difficult. This seems to encapsulate the dilemma. Do you maintain one standard throughout the system so as to maintain continuity across the record both in space and time, even though that standard must be degraded to allow for limitations imposed by one part of the network? Or do you split the network into elements of differing, and possibly less comparable, quality? >Once I've finished writing my thesis I will write a paper on this >issue. > I look forward to it! >There was a proposal about 3-4 years ago to shift the Australian >observing program onto WMO standard hours - easier now because we >don't rely so heavily on post offices. This was shelved, at least >for the time being. Does anyone know why it was shelved? Obviously, any change will cause problems for some but open up opportunities in other directions. It would be interesting to know both the problems and opportunities that were identified. >From the climate point of view a shift to 2100 >UTC (0700 EST) in the eastern states, as was proposed, would have >been a disaster - as this is close to the time of minimum temperature >in winter (meaning just about every cold night would be double- >counted) the discontinuity in the minimum temperature would have been >around 1 C in most places, and exceeded 1.5 C in some. > Understandably. It seems strange that 2100 rather than the more appropriate (and standard) 0000z was proposed. Possibly the problem that the few one-obs/day stations would then have had with their maximum temps ruled out 0000z, again highlighting the compromise in having one standard to cater for a diverse network. >I can see no good reason why rainfall is attributed to the day of >observation rather than the previous day (other than that changing >would require the recalculation of all monthly means, decile maps etc.). > I guess that by the time you get to 9am, the total is virtually split between days anyway so there's little benefit in crediting the total to the previous day. The 9am (or 0000z if we moved to WMO times) 24-hour rainfall observation does have the advantage that readings from the larger network become available at what's probably the best time for processing and dissemination. Basing the 24 hour fall on 9pm (or 12z) could be interesting -- whilst it may lose some observers who read the rain at work, it would gain others (like John) who read the rain at home but are at work at 9am. The UK (and I think European) alternative could be worth consideration -- read the rain 12-hourly to 9am and 9pm. Some stations will only be able to report at one or the other, but many (and most synoptic stations) would be able to report at both. John wrote: >If we are talking about a 'day' then that is normally regarded as midnight >to midnight. By definition a "minimum" is the lowest temp in a given >period - therefore nothing has been 'lost' at all, the warm morning simply >wasn't the actual minimum for the period, if you get my drift. Yup. Here's another point to consider. Tmax and Tmin are useful snapshots of the extremes of a day's temperatures, and are practical in the sense that an observer simply has to set two purpose-designed thermometers daily. But the advent of electronic means of weather monitoring should allow us to acquire and better encapsulate much more information about the character of a day's temperature, rainfall and other variables. Some examples of what I mean. Mean temperature is given as the average of Tmax+Tmin, but you get a more accurate figure by dividing 24 hourly readings by 24. Many growers would find the number of hours exceeding certain temperature limits by x degrees more useful than knowing that there were 5 days exceeding 30C. Rain hours would be a more useful (and less misleading) concept than raindays. Kevin wrote: >Its important for climate change studies to maintain a standard time of >observations and this is one reason for our reluctance to change. When you >looking for small changes in temperature over long periods you dont want >the data set corrupted by changes introduced by changes of instrument, site >or observation time. Agreed, and a sound reason for not moving the observational program with daylight saving. The number of stations in Austalia that has such a quality time series of data is small, and has been recognised as a specific subset described on the Bureau's website -- I think there are about 100. I'm sure Blair's work will cast further light in this area, too. Right now, however, we must be experiencing the largest change to physical siting of stations in the Bureau's history, with hundreds of AWS's, often replacing manned stations in different locations, and town-based sites being moved, in some cases into completely different microclimates, as developments threaten exposure. Isn't this the time to introduce any other discontinuities that would improve observational practice long-term, while taking separate action if necessary to protect the validity of long-term records? -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 020 X-Originating-Ip: [210.84.7.46] From: Paul Graham [v_notch at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Tornado Encounter... Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 01:10:34 PDT Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Here is an interesting account of a tornado near Melbourne around 1970: http://www.drdisk.com.hk/tornado.htm ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 021 From: "Paul Rands" [prands at healey.com.au] To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 18:31:14 +1000 X-Mailer: PMMail 98 Standard (2.01.1600) For Windows NT (4.10.67766222) Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fog in Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi there >There was a thick fog in sydney last night. At least, there was in my part >of sydney ( the hills in the north west). I got up at 2am and couldn't see >the other side of the road, which is less than 20 metres away, even though >there are street lights. It was all gone by 6am this morning though. >On another topic, it has rained for the last eight days here, about 30mm in >total, not a lot of rain. The total for this month is about 55mm so far, >the average for June is 100mm. > at 8 AM on the way to work here in Sydney on the Great Western Highway from St marys to Eastern Creek there was thick fog with visibility of about 50 metres. Was a slow drive to work today. It's drizzling now, so I don't what to expect tomorrow morning >From the mind of Paul Rands Personal Site: http://members.xoom.com/paulrands/ Canberra.Net: http://www.healey.com.au/~prands/canberra/ E-mail: prands at healey.com.au ICQ: 141094 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 022 From: "Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Cyclone Thelma Report Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 16:47:46 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All :) Found this TC Thelma report on WA's BOM forcast page...... Heaps of info here including sat pics, radar images and track map. http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/nt/inside/thelma/ Sunny Warm weather continues here with a max of 29C today :) 26C expected tommorow with Gusty E'ly winds. Jason Aka JuNgLeJiM waiting patiantly for the next cyclone season to rock around....will November ever come ? :P Karratha W.A http://www.kisser.net.au/kevans/weather/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 023 X-Originating-Ip: [203.25.186.115] From: Kevin Phyland [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Standards of observation (was Rain Gauge) Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 20:05:21 EST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Laurier, I've just finished putting up my new rain gauge (which I got as a Christmas present!) due to the difficulty in finding an appropriate sheltered spot. I agree with you about the strange times that we take measurements but are you suggesting that we take daily measurements at midnight, say, to coincide with local dates? What is the recommended time for taking a "daily" recording? Cheers, Kevin from Wycheproof. ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 024 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 09:52:49 +0200 From: Tom Johnstone [Iain.Johnstone at pse.unige.ch] Subject: Re: aus-wx: snow in Sydney X-Sender: johnston at fapse.unige.ch To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 10:32 29/06/99 +1000, you wrote: > >My obs of "warm" snow in since I started watching such stuff >from 1973 follows. But I can imagine that given the right >conditions, obs of "snow" in Sydney could go to quite high >temps. Maybe not as high as 6C but maybe 4C to 5C; Hi all, This is a good chance for me to stop lurking and join in the discussion. I am actually writing from Switzerland, where I'm currently living, but originally come from Perth. And next year I'll be living in Wisconsin (Tornado country??). I hope people don't mind a semi-outsider posting here, but it's nice to compare weather in Australia with what I see over here. Anyway, I have seen snow fall here in Switzerland at very high temperatures, albeit melting on impact. This has happened generally in late spring here in Geneva, altitude 350m. From memory, it usually comes about when, following a warm spell, a cold front comes in and hits the warm air. The snow starts falling when the air temperature is very high, although the air temperature does drop rapidly thereafter. Especially at the start, the falling flakes are very large. Not like any snow I saw when I was in the Australian skifields though. Does anyone know the melt rate (per metre for example) for a snow flake falling through the air as a function of temperature and humidity? And what is the normal range of snow flake sizes when it starts falling? That way we could make an estimate of how far a flake could fall before melting, no? (Just a naive thought - I don't profess to knowing much about weather). Tom -------------------------------------------------------------------- - Tom Johnstone Tel. +41 22 705 9777 - - FAPSE Fax. +41 22 300 1482 - - 9, Route de Drize - - CH-1227, Carouge (GE) Email. johnston at fapse.unige.ch - - Switzerland - - http://www.unige.ch/fapse/emotion/members/johnston/johnston.html - -------------------------------------------------------------------- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 025 Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 21:01:29 +1000 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Not much rain south of Illawarra Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com And the drought index is slowly creeping up..it will reach 80 by the weekend if I don't receive more than 5mm of rain from this next cold front... Michael Thompson wrote: > > In a repeat of almost the whole of this year so far the Illawarra seems to > be the stop point of rainfall. All weekend I could see blue cloudless sky to > the far south, whilst very light showers fell here. This is not the first > time I have seen this ! > > The south coast whilst certainly not drought affected is in need of a good > drink. > > Michael Thompson > http://thunder.simplenet.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 026 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: "Aussie Weather Mailing List" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Davis Weather Monitor II Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 22:00:52 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone, Does anyone know of a place other than Australian Geographic which sells the Davis Weather Monitor II and the Weatherlink software that goes along with it. I am thinking of buying one but would like to shop around for the best price. Any help would be most appreciated. Thanks, Matthew Piper +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 027 X-Originating-Ip: [203.27.197.6] From: Rod Aikman [raikman at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Standards of observations Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 22:15:28 EST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi everyone, Just been reading your comments re observation standards, and I thought that I would add this one. There is also a problem with recording the previous day's maximum temperature at 0900 the following morning. The mercury column above the constriction of the maximum thermometer will contract as the temperature falls from the maximum. This negative error could be from 0.1 - 0.2 degrees, particularly if a cold morning happens to follow a warm or hot day. In the 'Handbook of Meteorological Instruments' (Brit. Met. Office publication) a formula is given for the correction of the discrepency, based on the temperature difference, and the co-efficient of expansion of mercury. I wonder if any observer or the Bureau ever applies this correction to the maximum temperatures? Rod Aikman Bendigo Vic ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 028 From: "John Graham" [gorzzz at one.net.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Davis Weather Monitor II Date: Tue, 29 Jun 1999 23:05:32 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com ----- Original Message ----- From: Matthew Piper [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: Aussie Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sent: Tuesday, June 29, 1999 10:00 PM Subject: aus-wx: Davis Weather Monitor II > Hi Everyone, > > Does anyone know of a place other than Australian Geographic which sells the > Davis Weather Monitor II and the Weatherlink software that goes along with > it. I am thinking of buying one but would like to shop around for the best > price. Any help would be most appreciated. > > Thanks, > > Matthew Piper Try Solar Flair in Vic (03) 59684863....that's where I got mine from....... Cheer's, John from Ballina +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Document: 990629.htm
Updated: 24 July 1999 |
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