From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net]           Skew - T charts
002 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   high Pressure
003 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   High, Snow, etc
004 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    high Pressure
005 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]             high Pressure
006 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]             game prediction
007 Chas & Helen Osborn [hosborn at tassie.net.au]    Strahan wx
008 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Warm July day in Perth
009 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    [Fwd: Re: [WX-CHASE] evapotranspiration]
010 "Andrew Miskelly" [amiskelly at ozemail.com.au]   high Pressure
011 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              High pressures sytems and Hadley Cells
012 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Warm July day in Perth
013 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         game prediction
014 "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com]          Dry Winter
015 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Dry Winter
016 "Nick Sykes" [nsykes at labyrinth.net.au]         Dry Winter/Victorian Is Just Alive
017 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]              Lifted Index page

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001

Date: Fri, 23 Jul 1999 20:36:05 +0100
From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net]
Organization: Personal - ICQ 17296776 - note all times in GMT
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: aus-wx [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
        David Croan ,
        Jimmy Deguara ,
        Matt Smith 
Subject: aus-wx: Skew - T charts
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Dear all (and the list)

A useful source of data from guess where???

http://www-das.uwyo.edu/upperair/au.html

Les

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002

Date: Fri, 23 Jul 1999 16:21:24 -0700
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: high Pressure
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Very funny John!

The comedian in me will try and think of something to better it when i
get time. :-)

Lindsay Pearce
> 
> But... Lack of storms is really getting to me - I had to fill up the
> spa-bath last night with really hot water so I could create TCu in the
> bathroom.  Really is fascinating stuff, convection in microcosm.  You even
> get the occasional very brief vortex. You need to get the room dew point
> right to see the development and I find it helps if you can arrange (as I
> can) open windows high near the ceiling to provide a cold cross layer...
>  (reckon it beats throwing a bucket of ice cubes over the backyard to
> simulate hail, Anthony).
> 
> John.
> -----Original Message-----
> From:   Lindsay [SMTP:writer at lisp.com.au]
> Sent:   Saturday, 24 July 1999 1:23
> To:     aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject:        aus-wx: high Pressure
> 
> God, look at the size of that bloody big High over Southern Australia
> again!
> 
> Please go away.
> 
> Anybody have any insights into further snow/cold front developments
> heading our way? Why are these highs so low this year?
> 
> Lindsay P.
> 
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003

Date: Fri, 23 Jul 1999 16:26:35 -0700
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: High, Snow, etc
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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What influences are causing such big and strong Highs to remain so low
on the continent this year?

Lindsay Pearce.

Michael Scollay wrote:
> 
> McDonald wrote:
> >
> > Hi All,
> >
> > Leaving for Falls Creek in less than half an hour.
> >
> > WWWWWOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!1
> 
> Leaving for Perisher at 3:47 this afternoon. I know the
> resort like the back of my hand and always find a place
> to ski out of the crowds. Perisher-Blue is Australia's
> largest ski resport bar none and they also got the most
> amount of snow in the last week and a half. Looks like
> this is "the weekend of the season so far".
> 
> According to the long-term models, such as;
> 
> http://meteora.ucsd.edu/ecpc/m2s/m2s_ECPC_forecasts.html
> 
> not a good outlook at all for the remainder of the season.
> On the positive side, the above model has often been
> notoriously wrong, but when they persist with above average
> temperature forecasts for the Snowy Mountains part of
> Australia over such a long period, it often rings true:-(
> I've been monitoring this model's output for some time now
> by a rough check against reality. Don't take any note of
> W10-W13, there seems to be a major trend flaw in the model
> that is persistent. Big Note: These are "experimental
> forecasts only". Use at your own risk.
> 
> [snip]
> 
> Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
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004

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 10:48:07 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: high Pressure
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> 
> But... Lack of storms is really getting to me -

Meanwhile, MN (Minnesota, did I spell it correctly??) had CAPE's up to 7000
yesterday (mentioned in a severe thunderstorm warning for them) with DP's in
the low 80's (high 20's) - it really shows how much moisture can effect CAPE.
But, when you think of the position of MN, and the position of the Gulf of
Mexico, that's some serious moisture advection happening to travel that far
north!!  It makes me wonder though sometimes, that is what would happen of the
Eastern Highlands (Great Dividing Range) didn't exist.  In January, a cold
pool moved up there and gave LI's of -8 to -10, and going through AVN archived
skew-ts, CAPE was generally around 2500-3500 (kept lower by a large  cap at the surface).  Temperature were typically in the high
30's, but DP's were in the mid to high teens.  One could assume, that without
the Eastern Highlands, moisture advection from NE winds would be fairly great
(especially if there's an inland trough, which with the 'summer heat trough'
there often is).  Instability certainly would increase significantly.  Whether
or not this would actually cause more severe thunderstorms would depend on the
shearing though.

Does anyone have any thoughts/comments?

> I had to fill up the spa-bath last night with really hot water so I could
> create TCu in the bathroom.  Really is fascinating stuff, convection in
> microcosm.  You even
> get the occasional very brief vortex. You need to get the room dew point
> right to see the development and I find it helps if you can arrange (as I
> can) open windows high near the ceiling to provide a cold cross layer...
>  (reckon it beats throwing a bucket of ice cubes over the backyard to
> simulate hail, Anthony).

ROFL!!!  Hmm...I'm still not sure if anything beats throwing a 4kg block of
ice onto concrete to stimulate hail :)  I'd throw it on the roof, but I think
I might need that!!
You should get the Mr Matey bubble bath out to help make some more solid
looking TCU, and if you're really clever, you might be able to add an anvil
too!

We had 8.4mm to 9am there, currently 13.8C (10:47am).... brrrrrrr cold!!!!

Anthony from Brisbane

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005

From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: high Pressure
Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 14:19:48 +1000
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>snip

Yeah Anthony, I tried the Mr Matey, but all the bubbles acts as an 
insulator inhibiting the generation of steamy updraughts.  I find turning 
on the spa jets greatly assists however.

John.

p.s. I hope all this adds some amusement to our otherwise rather boring 
times.

> I had to fill up the spa-bath last night with really hot water so I could
> create TCu in the bathroom.  Really is fascinating stuff, convection in
> microcosm.  You even
> get the occasional very brief vortex. You need to get the room dew point
> right to see the development and I find it helps if you can arrange (as I
> can) open windows high near the ceiling to provide a cold cross layer...
>  (reckon it beats throwing a bucket of ice cubes over the backyard to
> simulate hail, Anthony).

ROFL!!!  Hmm...I'm still not sure if anything beats throwing a 4kg block of
ice onto concrete to stimulate hail :)  I'd throw it on the roof, but I 
think
I might need that!!
You should get the Mr Matey bubble bath out to help make some more solid
looking TCU, and if you're really clever, you might be able to add an anvil
too!

We had 8.4mm to 9am there, currently 13.8C (10:47am).... brrrrrrr cold!!!!

Anthony from Brisbane

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006

From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: game prediction
Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 14:22:45 +1000
Organization: Pixel Components Pty Ltd
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Hi Jimmy,

The BoM's LAPS+36 prognosis chart suggests this also.  Given recent sat 
pics & continued drizzle here with zero wind (when we should have a howling 
SE'ter) , something is 'up'.  The UTC=0 IR pic shows a kink in the cloud 
band developing over SE QLD.

John.

-----Original Message-----
From:	Jimmy Deguara [SMTP:jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Sent:	Friday, 23 July 1999 21:32
To:	aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject:	aus-wx: game prediction

Hi Jimmy here,

I know this is game but it is always a challenge to make a punt in the
weather forecasting business. I am closely monitoring the situation over SE 
Qld. I believe this will develop into a trough of low pressure and a
possible low off the coast despite what the models suggest. It will take a
few days though, though I expect rain from this system.

Oh well. Always good to have a go.

Jimmy Deguara

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007

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 14:37:11 +1000
From: Chas & Helen Osborn [hosborn at tassie.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win98; I)
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Subject: aus-wx: Strahan wx
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Hello Everyone

We just had a cold front pass over us with 3.6mm rainfall. The wind now
in the SW at 15 knots. Forecast is for snow down to 700m tonight.
Current temp 10C.

Chas
Strahan Tasmania


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008

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Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 14:15:43 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Warm July day in Perth
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Quite warm in Perth today for July, currently at 2:10pm its 25.2C, warmest
July day since the 21st July, 1994 when it got to 25.8C.

Warmest July day on record at the city site occured in July, 1976 when we
had a 4 days in a row of over 25C, it was 25.0 on the 16th, 26.3 on the
17th, 26.3 on the 18th, and 25.2C on the 19th.

Tomorrow may be another warm day, but it depends when the cloud comes in
before that next cold front, BoM are forecasting 22C.

Jacob



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009

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 16:54:39 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: [Fwd: Re: [WX-CHASE] evapotranspiration]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

I thought this was a very interesting email, involving
evapotranspiration and how it effects the wx.  Makes you wonder how much
we have really altered the climate by doing things like this, although
I'd like concrete evidence on the evapotranspiration effects before I
start saying too much, but in theory, it appears sound.

Anthony Cornelius

-------- Original Message --------
>Subject: Re: [WX-CHASE] evapotranspiration
>Date: Fri, 23 Jul 1999 20:07:58 -0400
>From: Stephen Jascourt 
>Reply-To: Stephen Jascourt 
>To: WX-CHASE at POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU

Lon Curtis provided a fine description of evapotranspiration.
A few things I should add:
Corn is extremely efficient at evapotranspiration. Corn fields will give
off more water than evaporation over a flat surface of water! Wheat is
not
nearly as effective - agreeing with what you might think would be the
case
- wheat is a grass and is adapted to a drier climate than corn. This is
why
you see 80 dewpoints in the upper midwest but seldom in the southern
plains/lower midwest.
As the air moves north from the Gulf, more moisture is being added
enroute!

The models have vegetation and soil models within them, but due to
computer
constraints for running the forecast in real time, they cannot be too
terribly sophisticated. Further, there are many important details
affecting
exchanges of water and heat between the vegetation, the earth, and the
atmosphere which we don't know how to model well or may not even have
many
good measurements on to know if we are doing it right or not. Recent
investigation found that the NCEP Eta model has some problems with the
amount of solar energy it calculates should be stored in the ground
under
bare soil conditions and with the energy balance with vegetation. It
turns
out that when the ground has a moderate amount of vegetation so it takes
an
average of these conditions, the model makes a good prediction, but
during
the vegetation peak, the model is too warm and with bare ground the
model
has too little diurnal range and can be too cool. Other models probably
have other problems. I don't know if there is a systematic problem or
not
in the amount of evapotranspiration simulated in the forecast models (I
will probably be finding out soon). But it most definitely is included
in
the model, as Lon said. The extent to which it affects the surface
dewpoints predicted depends also on how accurately the model is
simulating
the depth of the daytime boundary layer and mixing across the top of the
boundary layer. For instance, if it has the right amount of
evapotranspiration but has the mixed layer too shallow, the forecast
dewpoint will be too high but the vertically integrated water content
(precipitable water) would be correct.
Enough for now.

Stephen Jascourt   jascourt at earthlink.net

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010

From: "Andrew Miskelly" [amiskelly at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: high Pressure
Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 17:07:54 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.71.1712.3
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Hello Sailors(s),

(Mr Matey add from years ago!!)

John, I'm sure Mr Fujita would have been very interested in you and your
bathroom, keep up the good work!

--
Andrew Miskelly
Illawarra/Southern Tablelands, NSW
amiskelly at ozemail.com.au
-----Original Message-----
From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: 'aussie-weather at world.std.com' [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Date: Saturday, 24 July 1999 14:18
Subject: RE: aus-wx: high Pressure


>>snip
>
>Yeah Anthony, I tried the Mr Matey, but all the bubbles acts as an
>insulator inhibiting the generation of steamy updraughts.  I find turning
>on the spa jets greatly assists however.
>
>John.
>
>p.s. I hope all this adds some amusement to our otherwise rather boring
>times.
>
>> I had to fill up the spa-bath last night with really hot water so I could
>> create TCu in the bathroom.  Really is fascinating stuff, convection in
>> microcosm.  You even
>> get the occasional very brief vortex. You need to get the room dew point
>> right to see the development and I find it helps if you can arrange (as I
>> can) open windows high near the ceiling to provide a cold cross layer...
>>  (reckon it beats throwing a bucket of ice cubes over the backyard to
>> simulate hail, Anthony).
>
>ROFL!!!  Hmm...I'm still not sure if anything beats throwing a 4kg block of
>ice onto concrete to stimulate hail :)  I'd throw it on the roof, but I
>think
>I might need that!!
>You should get the Mr Matey bubble bath out to help make some more solid
>looking TCU, and if you're really clever, you might be able to add an anvil
>too!
>
>We had 8.4mm to 9am there, currently 13.8C (10:47am).... brrrrrrr cold!!!!
>
>Anthony from Brisbane
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>

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011

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 17:34:52 +1000
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: High pressures sytems and Hadley Cells
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hey Ben from Brisbane here..

In reply to the email about why why the highs are so strong and so far
south this winter (accidentally deleted the email)..

I don't know why i have this stuck in my head.. but i was reading up
about the Hadley cells a few weeks ago, and i could have sworn i read
something like "if the SE trades are stronger then in turn the hadley
cells are stronger and the mid latitude high pressure systems may be
further south" or something along those lines.. I tried looking for the
book/internet page that i may have read this on.. but couldn't find it
again.. this could be totally wrong.. wish i could find where i read
it.. 

I will be emailing a few Met ppl in the states and around Australia on
this subject, as i wouldn't mind finding out some possible reasons for
the high placements and strength this winter..

Any thoughts/theories from the more experienced weather folk on the
list? I know there are a few BOM people on the list, any thoughts?

Mind you, i'm not complaining.. we have had one of the wettest winter
for years.. with a further 40mm in the past 24 hours from steady light
rain, with the odd occasional moderate period.. It looks like the best
of it has just passed out to see over the last few hours though (5pm
Saturday) going by the sat pics..
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Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 16:15:56 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Warm July day in Perth
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


The maximum today ended up reaching 25.4C, the 4th warmest July day ever
recorded.

IDA00W00
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY 
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

NOTES ON THE WEATHER FOR WESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 4:00pm WST on Saturday the 24th of July 1999

RECENT EVENTS:
NORTHERN HALF:
Fine conditions persist with fresh, gusty E'ly winds.

SOUTHERN HALF:
It was a fine, sunny day generally after a cold night. Perth experienced the
fourth warmest July on record, with a maximum of 25.4 degrees.

Jacob

At 02:15  24/07/99 +0800, you wrote:
>
>Quite warm in Perth today for July, currently at 2:10pm its 25.2C, warmest
>July day since the 21st July, 1994 when it got to 25.8C.
>
>Warmest July day on record at the city site occured in July, 1976 when we
>had a 4 days in a row of over 25C, it was 25.0 on the 16th, 26.3 on the
>17th, 26.3 on the 18th, and 25.2C on the 19th.
>
>Tomorrow may be another warm day, but it depends when the cloud comes in
>before that next cold front, BoM are forecasting 22C.
>
>Jacob
>
>
>
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>
>

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013

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 18:43:38 +1000
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: game prediction
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

The prognostic chart for Monday has a low in the Coral Sea with a strong
high in the south Tasman. Looks exactly like a summer chart and if it
were summer we'd have a TC. 
If the 7-day forecast chart is reliable, I'd say this low will get a
wriggle on and move south-southwest to be off the north coast next
weekend or soon after, between the retreating high and the next one
coming in from the west.
As usual, time will tell...


Jimmy Deguara wrote:
> 
> Hi Jimmy here,
> 
> I know this is game but it is always a challenge to make a punt in the
> weather forecasting business. I am closely monitoring the situation over SE
> Qld. I believe this will develop into a trough of low pressure and a
> possible low off the coast despite what the models suggest. It will take a
> few days though, though I expect rain from this system.
> 
> Oh well. Always good to have a go.
> 
> Jimmy Deguara
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> ---------------
> Jimmy Deguara
> Vice President ASWA
> from Schofields, Sydney
> e-mail:  jimmyd at ozemail.com.au
> homepage with Michael Bath
> 
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014

X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.0.58]
From: "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Dry Winter
Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 02:00:41 PDT
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi all,

I notice that Canberra so far is running at well under
50% of July average rainfall - with little prospect
of getting any more before the end of the month.

Blair's comments about Melbourne's weather (or lack of)
combined with the almost invisibility of any other
Victorians on the list - are there any other Victorians
on the list?? - made me a bit more curious as to how
winter was going elsewhere.

The BOM has an interesting new page titled
"Southern Wet Season to date" which displays rain from
1 April to date.

The address is:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/rainmaps/pseason1a.shtml

The picture is a dry one. Apart from an area in the
Pilbara, W Cape York and E Arnhem Land and tiny bits
of Nthn NSW and SE Qld coast, the rest of the country
is well below average.

I would say two thirds of the country has received
less that 40% of normal rainfall since April. Things
must be looking a bit ominous in the Vic, SA and parts
of NSW and Darling Downs winter cropping areas.

I hope I am wrong but perhaps it won't be too long
before the "D" word starts to gain currency.

Patrick


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015

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 19:13:20 +1000
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Dry Winter
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Especially also when you look at the latest rainfall probability map
which shows many areas only having 20-40% chance of exceeding the median
rainfall from July to September. But if the SOI doesn't take a dramatic
plunge by the end of that period I wouldn't be surprised to see some 
drought-preventing rain in October as northern troughs develop..it's
happened before..
And of course, even with a negative SOI there could still be heavy rain,
as in September 1995 for example...

Patrick Tobin wrote:
> 
> Hi all,
> 
> I notice that Canberra so far is running at well under
> 50% of July average rainfall - with little prospect
> of getting any more before the end of the month.
> 
> Blair's comments about Melbourne's weather (or lack of)
> combined with the almost invisibility of any other
> Victorians on the list - are there any other Victorians
> on the list?? - made me a bit more curious as to how
> winter was going elsewhere.
> 
> The BOM has an interesting new page titled
> "Southern Wet Season to date" which displays rain from
> 1 April to date.
> 
> The address is:
> http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/rainmaps/pseason1a.shtml
> 
> The picture is a dry one. Apart from an area in the
> Pilbara, W Cape York and E Arnhem Land and tiny bits
> of Nthn NSW and SE Qld coast, the rest of the country
> is well below average.
> 
> I would say two thirds of the country has received
> less that 40% of normal rainfall since April. Things
> must be looking a bit ominous in the Vic, SA and parts
> of NSW and Darling Downs winter cropping areas.
> 
> I hope I am wrong but perhaps it won't be too long
> before the "D" word starts to gain currency.
> 
> Patrick
> 
> ______________________________________________________
> Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
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>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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016

From: "Nick Sykes" [nsykes at labyrinth.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Dry Winter/Victorian Is Just Alive
Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 19:18:57 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Yes Patrick we are still alive down here in Victoria, holding on to our
faint memories of interesting weather.

It really has been the most boring winter in Melbourne that I can remember,
dominated by high pressure, with cold outbreaks few, well one.

Nothing in the outlook period but high pressure, weak fronts and
stratocumulus.

Oh well, maybe it will be one of the driest July's on record.

Looking forward to the drizzle tomorrow morning, will be up nice and early
for it :)

Nick




----- Original Message -----
From: Patrick Tobin [pdtobin at hotmail.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Saturday, July 24, 1999 7:00 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Dry Winter


> Hi all,
>
> I notice that Canberra so far is running at well under
> 50% of July average rainfall - with little prospect
> of getting any more before the end of the month.
>
> Blair's comments about Melbourne's weather (or lack of)
> combined with the almost invisibility of any other
> Victorians on the list - are there any other Victorians
> on the list?? - made me a bit more curious as to how
> winter was going elsewhere.
>
> The BOM has an interesting new page titled
> "Southern Wet Season to date" which displays rain from
> 1 April to date.
>
> The address is:
> http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/rainmaps/pseason1a.shtml
>
> The picture is a dry one. Apart from an area in the
> Pilbara, W Cape York and E Arnhem Land and tiny bits
> of Nthn NSW and SE Qld coast, the rest of the country
> is well below average.
>
> I would say two thirds of the country has received
> less that 40% of normal rainfall since April. Things
> must be looking a bit ominous in the Vic, SA and parts
> of NSW and Darling Downs winter cropping areas.
>
> I hope I am wrong but perhaps it won't be too long
> before the "D" word starts to gain currency.
>
> Patrick
>
>
> ______________________________________________________
> Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
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>  To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
>  with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
017

Date: Sat, 24 Jul 1999 21:10:28 +1000
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Lifted Index page
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hey Ben from Brisbane here..

Anthony Cornelius and I have been working on a Lifted Index page over
the past few weeks, and it is now ready for the web.. You can find it
at:

http://www.nemas.net/edu/liftedindex/liftedindex.htm

And this page is now part of the NEMAS weather education section, which
can be found here:

http://www.nemas.net/edu/index.htm

The page offers an explanation of what the Lifted Index is, how it works
and also how to plot Lifted Index forecasts for anywhere in the world
(including a guide to the AVN and MRF raw data site)..

I cannot recommend this page highly enough for anyone who likes
thunderstorms on this list.. the Lifted Index is probably the most
useful forecasted variable that we have available in Australia.. and the
forecasts are very very easy to comprehend..

I also have to thank Jacob Aufdemkampe (co-owner of the list) for his
help on the timezones for the AVN datasets..
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