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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Monday, 16 August 1999 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] 1999 Storm Chase List 002 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] fotoQuote 003 John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] Brisbane-wx 004 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Still snowing near Orange 005 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Descriptions of hail... 006 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Rain/snowline 007 Ross Wilson [ross at cww.octec.org.au] Re: Snow at Orange 008 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) Rain/snowline 009 Chas & Helen Osborn [hosborn at tassie.net.au] Sea Surface Temperatures 010 "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com] Another Cold outbreak 011 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Another Cold outbreak 012 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Winter Highs + I'm ready for summer 013 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] Salt Lake City Tornado - Great pics 014 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Another Cold outbreak 015 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] weekend wetaher 016 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Winter Highs + I'm ready for summer -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 Date: Sun, 15 Aug 1999 08:19:13 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] Organization: Home Page http://www.k5kj.net/ X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: Weather Chase Input [wx-chase at postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu] wx-chase-can List Member, Aussie Weather Subject: aus-wx: 1999 Storm Chase List Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I've added several new 1999 chase accounts to the Storm News and Archives page. You can get there by going to: http://www.k5kj.net/noframe.htm#Contents and then finding and selecting "Storm News and Archives" in the contents table. Please notify me directly via e-mail if you know of any web pages that you feel should be added to the list. Sam Barricklow +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 Date: Sun, 15 Aug 1999 09:37:23 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net] Organization: Home Page http://www.k5kj.net/ X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] wx-chase-can List Member Subject: aus-wx: fotoQuote Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Anyone who is considering selling their storm images should get a copy of fotoQuote. This excellent software provides current pricing and advice on generating custom licensing agreements. Take a look at: http://www.cradoc.com/ If you follow their advice, you won't get ripped off! Sam Barricklow +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 From: John Woodbridge [jrw at pixelcom.net] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: Brisbane-wx Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 11:10:52 +1000 Organization: Pixel Components X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Ah well, didn't quite happen. Only down to 5C at Mt. Crosby, which equals the lowest temp I have recorded so far, and no sign of frost at first light. This is 2C colder than any min recorded last year from mid July onwards. Probably not a great chance that we will get a colder night now, as winter seems to be on the wane - last Friday was the warmest day since April 26. But still clear, 0/8 with light SW wind, and no sign yet of a return to the forecast SE regime. John. >snip Hey all, Now 10:30pm and temps already down into single figures (4C colder than at this time last night). Air dry, conditions clear & calm. Looks like this could be the coldest night this winter so far and possibly our first frost... John. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 Date: Sun, 15 Aug 1999 20:41:35 -0700 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Still snowing near Orange Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Ignore this if the info has already been posted: Any more info on the snow at Orange, particularly Mount Cannobolas summit? I'm typing this offline and haven't seen the latest postings as yet. Lindsay P. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 Date: Sun, 15 Aug 1999 20:32:47 -0700 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Descriptions of hail... Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Good thought :-) Um, belting, pelting, pounding, smashing, crashing, bashing, thrashing, ripping, tearing, thumping, banging, "diveting down" - Thinking of impact words here etc. And maybe things like, The hail here is: cranking, trenching, carving, and...shredding! :-) Rain gets the human type connotation "Pissing" for the obvious reason so I am wondering what we can liken hail to, to extract perhaps some more terms, and enliven our imaginations. I was imagining hail as various things like cricket balls, marbles, golf balls etc to get the above ones. Most of them are terms that imply some sort of hard impact. Lindsay P. Ben Tichborne wrote: > > > > > Lindsay - I reckon we need to put our heads together. McDonald wrote > earlier that hail was pissing down. Hmmm I know that rain pisses down,- > but hail. Now there has to be a better word. Spattering? clattering? c'mon > friend - help me. Maybe we need to invent a new word - somehow pissing is > just not right. > > Hammering down. (if it's heavy hail) > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 Date: Sun, 15 Aug 1999 21:21:24 -0700 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Rain/snowline Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I was just reflecting on the borderline snow conditions up our way last Saturday. It was really interesting out Oberon way, watching this. As I left Oberon - roads wet but no precip. there at 2pm Saturday - and made my way towards Shooters Hill things suddenly changed. Very slight sleet along the road and then 5 or so k's out of Shooters wet snow just "appeared" as I drove up higher and then got heavier and heavier. This was the place where I got out of the car and stood in the snow for ten minutes allowing myself to get covered in it. It was actually the very same place on the road that prevented me from going further in that June chase because of the snow on the road. I only had a t-shirt, light jumper and a turtle-necked jumper and was not cold at all. It was great amongst the pines - I took a self-timer shot of me crouching next to a large wombat hole here amongst some slightly deeper drift snow. I followed the snow showers as best I could back towards Edith, a small place on the way out to Jenolan Caves around 1080 metres, where it was lightly sleeting and I could see the white hillsides further ahead. As I drove on in the mud and slush, the sleet gradually became more snowy and then when I got to the turn off to Jenolan/Kanangra Walls(just before that steep descent) it was drifting down beautifully, absolutely no breeze and quite large flakes fell for quite some time. About half an inch of snow settled on the car roof. I just sat in the car there, in between getting out to view the hills, and listened to the snow on the roof - and read the paper. The roads are on the ridge tops so you can get a pretty good go at following the showers around here. Definately a great spot to snow chase when the snow is marginal. Laurier, your Synop/AWS stuff helped me as well as Don's early indication of some possible developments on that day. Not to mention Mount Boyce lookout and the low cloud that was cleary over Shooters with temps around zero. Like I said, enjoyable, not unreal but very enjoyable :-) Lindsay. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 12:03:48 -0700 From: Ross Wilson [ross at cww.octec.org.au] Organization: Central West Web X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.03 [en] (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Re: Snow at Orange X-Sender: (Unverified) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Lindsay and all Very little snow lying around on Mt Canobolas this morning (Monday). In fact, most of it had gone by mid to late Sunday. Some small areas of snow still visible right on the summit of Canobolas, and more on the southern side, near Mt Towac. Very cold conditions here overnight, but the snow should be just about all gone by tomorrow. No snow at all remaining below about 4000 ft. Weather today: Cold and sunny, light S breeze. Temp ~5C Ross Wilson +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Rain/snowline Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 02:20:02 GMT X-Mailer: Forte Agent 1.5/32.452 X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id WAA09359 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I rode the bike down to Shooters Hill yesterday early afternoon to see what snow was left. Patchy covering about 1 to 3cm deep above 1200m was all that was left. Of interest was the complete absence of drifting of any kind, though the pine trees all still had a thin line of snow crystals right up the western side of their trunks, even deep in the forest; from which I deduce that the wind was very light but not calm while the snow was falling. The lack of snow depth compared to previous falls indicates the dryness of the outbreak. Laurier On Sun, 15 Aug 1999 21:21:24 -0700, Lindsay wrote: >I was just reflecting on the borderline snow conditions up our way last >Saturday. > >It was really interesting out Oberon way, watching this. > >As I left Oberon - roads wet but no precip. there at 2pm Saturday - and >made my way towards Shooters Hill things suddenly changed. Very slight >sleet along the road and then 5 or so k's out of Shooters wet snow just >"appeared" as I drove up higher and then got heavier and heavier. This >was the place where I got out of the car and stood in the snow for ten >minutes allowing myself to get covered in it. It was actually the very >same place on the road that prevented me from going further in that June >chase because of the snow on the road. I only had a t-shirt, light >jumper and a turtle-necked jumper and was not cold at all. It was great >amongst the pines - I took a self-timer shot of me crouching next to a >large wombat hole here amongst some slightly deeper drift snow. > > >I followed the snow showers as best I could back towards Edith, a small >place on the way out to Jenolan Caves around 1080 metres, where it was >lightly sleeting and I could see the white hillsides further ahead. As I >drove on in the mud and slush, the sleet gradually became more snowy and >then when I got to the turn off to Jenolan/Kanangra Walls(just before >that steep descent) it was drifting down beautifully, absolutely no >breeze and quite large flakes fell for quite some time. About half an >inch of snow settled on the car roof. I just sat in the car there, in >between getting out to view the hills, and listened to the snow on the >roof - and read the paper. The roads are on the ridge tops so you can >get a pretty good go at following the showers around here. Definately a >great spot to snow chase when the snow is marginal. > >Laurier, your Synop/AWS stuff helped me as well as Don's early >indication >of some possible developments on that day. Not to mention Mount Boyce >lookout and the low cloud that was cleary over Shooters with temps >around zero. > > > >Like I said, enjoyable, not unreal but very enjoyable :-) > > >Lindsay. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -- Laurier Williams Australian Weather Links and News http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 15:51:41 +1000 From: Chas & Helen Osborn [hosborn at tassie.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Sea Surface Temperatures Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hello Everyone This URL shows a clockwise rotation on the West Australian Coast. Is this normal? http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/sst/latest_sst.gif Chas Strahan Tasmania +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 From: "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Another Cold outbreak Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 16:39:25 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, after checking the latest Cola, NGP and GASP computer models it seems we could get another cold outbreak over SE Australia on Friday and Saturday with further snowfalls down to 1000m at least. BOM forecast for Melbourne on Friday is for showers and a top of 12c. Dane. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another Cold outbreak To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 16:56:50 +1000 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > > This is a multi-part message in MIME format. > > ------=_NextPart_000_0006_01BEE805.E6BED860 > Content-Type: text/plain; > charset="iso-8859-1" > Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable > > Hi all, after checking the latest Cola, NGP and GASP computer models it = > seems we could get another cold outbreak over SE Australia on Friday and = > Saturday with further snowfalls down to 1000m at least. BOM forecast for = > Melbourne on Friday is for showers and a top of 12c. Dane. =20 > There are some very interesting progs around for late in the week; all of them are cold for Victoria, but they differ considerably in how it happens. The current GASP run is exceptionally interesting, featuring a broad field of sub-532 air over Melbourne for at least 24 hours, and a slow- moving low over central Australia, with associated heavy rain over South Australia, especially inland. I'll believe it when I see it (and there is nothing like it on any other model yet), but if it happened it would be a virtually unprecedented situation at this time of year (most sites in this region have August monthly record highs in the 60-80 mm range) - it's reminiscent of some of the autumn systems of the late 1980's and early 1990's, such as March 1989. Blair Trewin +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Winter Highs + I'm ready for summer Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 18:40:51 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Thanks for the interesting comments Ben. I particularly like the explanation for the southward placement of anticyclones this winter. However, I wonder a bit about the moisture one ? Sounds too much like last season. All the moisture in the world without heat is useless. I actually prefer my chances in a full blown El Nino year at least the storms are not swamped by large scale cloud masses. But I hope I am wrong. Michael > > But here is the part i REALLY loved! When i asked if the pattern over > the last few months would effect our summer storms, he said that it > would.. but not a negative effect, we could see allot more moisture > around this summer (could be good for you VIC ppl.. i think your last > storm season was so good because of more moisture than normal?).. and of > course this could in turn be very good for our storms.. I have been > wondering if the pattern during winter would effect our summer storms, > but i didn't think it could have a positive impact!! > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Salt Lake City Tornado - Great pics Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 18:50:13 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sam Barricklow sent me an E Mail on this event, the link below has a awesome video still of the tornado right in the heart of the city. http://www.ksl.com/dump/news/cc/torn2.htm Michael Thompson http://thunder.simplenet.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 20:05:16 +1000 From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another Cold outbreak Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I'll wager London to a brick that the MRF model is the most likely scenario..even though the Bureau may be hedging its bets by saying that for Sydney there's a 'chance of showers' for Saturday-Monday, when the (presently) hypothetical rain depression should be starting to make its presence felt. The 'showers' would likely be due to a more normal onshore swing ahead of the next anticyclone, regardless of the rain depression which, if it eventuates, will presumably enhance the 'chance'...but at this time of the year? Nooooooooooooooo. Blair Trewin wrote: > > > > > This is a multi-part message in MIME format. > > > > ------=_NextPart_000_0006_01BEE805.E6BED860 > > Content-Type: text/plain; > > charset="iso-8859-1" > > Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable > > > > Hi all, after checking the latest Cola, NGP and GASP computer models it = > > seems we could get another cold outbreak over SE Australia on Friday and = > > Saturday with further snowfalls down to 1000m at least. BOM forecast for = > > Melbourne on Friday is for showers and a top of 12c. Dane. =20 > > > There are some very interesting progs around for late in the week; > all of them are cold for Victoria, but they differ considerably in > how it happens. > > The current GASP run is exceptionally interesting, featuring a broad > field of sub-532 air over Melbourne for at least 24 hours, and a slow- > moving low over central Australia, with associated heavy rain over > South Australia, especially inland. I'll believe it when I see it > (and there is nothing like it on any other model yet), but if it > happened it would be a virtually unprecedented situation at this > time of year (most sites in this region have August monthly record > highs in the 60-80 mm range) - it's reminiscent of some of the > autumn systems of the late 1980's and early 1990's, such as March > 1989. > > Blair Trewin > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 22:42:49 +1000 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: weekend wetaher Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Latest GASP and MRF have come in line for Saturday / Sunday and even Euro has a hint of something very wrong for August. Don White +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 Date: Mon, 16 Aug 1999 22:45:05 +1000 From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Winter Highs + I'm ready for summer Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Michael, Everyone.. I just had a look at the El Nino forecasts, and this is what the summary was: In summary, the forecast is for cold conditions to continue to strengthen through winter1999-2000. The model is predicting relatively strong La Niqa conditions for winter 1999-2000. The full report can be found here: http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Jun99/cola.htm Interesting to say the least.. although i'm not sure how good/accurate these forecasts are.. On a slightly different note, some models are interesting at 120 and 144 hours.. i know i know, it's so far out.. but EC is doing something at 144 hours +.. and if was to take any note of a model at 144 hours, it would be an EC forecast.. MRF also has a strong upper level system for the eastern states at 120 and 144 hours as well, which as i mentioned in a previous email this week will more than likely be toned down over the next few days.. but could still be a major system.. Michael Thompson wrote: > > Thanks for the interesting comments Ben. I particularly like the explanation > for the southward placement of anticyclones this winter. However, I wonder a > bit about the moisture one ? Sounds too much like last season. All the > moisture in the world without heat is useless. I actually prefer my chances > in a full blown El Nino year at least the storms are not swamped by large > scale cloud masses. But I hope I am wrong. > > Michael > > > > > But here is the part i REALLY loved! When i asked if the pattern over > > the last few months would effect our summer storms, he said that it > > would.. but not a negative effect, we could see allot more moisture > > around this summer (could be good for you VIC ppl.. i think your last > > storm season was so good because of more moisture than normal?).. and of > > course this could in turn be very good for our storms.. I have been > > wondering if the pattern during winter would effect our summer storms, > > but i didn't think it could have a positive impact!! > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Document: 990816.htm
Updated: 18 August 1999 |
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