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Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Wednesday, 15 September 1999 |
From Subject
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001 Harald Richter [spatz at atmos.albany.edu] Floyd
002 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
003 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Floyd
004 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
005 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
006 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] Floyd
007 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at zdnetmail.com] Strange clouds....!!
008 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] This weeks low scaled back
009 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au] Fw: Storms around Ballarat
010 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams) This weeks low scaled back
011 "Mark Hardy" [mhardy at magna.com.au] (no subject)
012 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Very warm at Alice Springs
013 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Fire season for NSW south coast brought forward
014 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Very warm at Alice Springs
015 "James Harris" [jimbohar at hotmail.com] Fire season for NSW south coast brought forward
016 "Rod Aikman" [raikman at hotmail.com] Very warm at Alice Springs
017 Peter Matters [pmatters at eck.net.au] STORM!
018 "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com] STORM!
019 Pjcorlett at aol.com STORM!
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001
From: Harald Richter [spatz at atmos.albany.edu]
Subject: aus-wx: Floyd
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association)
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 1999 14:52:13 +0000 (GMT)
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Hi ASWA,
Floyd has begun his northward turn, and it is believed
that the Miamians can stop sinking nails into their houses.
Conficence is high that an approaching trough is going
to steer Floyd up the coast and into, say, South Carolina.
The latest stats are: 927mb core pressure; movement
WNW at ~20 km/h; max. sustained winds ~240 km/h (upper end
of category 4). Since Andrew some Floridians' life
has not been the same, so Floyd is a BIG DEAL (SORRY,
SOMETHING HAPPENED TO MY CAPS LOCK KEY)
HARALD
--
------------------------------------------------------
Harald Richter
Postdoctoral Research Associate
Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
State University of New York at Albany
1400 Washington Avenue
Albany, NY 12222
phone: (518) 442-4273 fax: (518) 442-4494
spatz at atmos.albany.edu
http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/spatz/spatz.html
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002
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 1999 18:23:04 +0100
From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
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Jane ONeill wrote:
>
>
> I can actually see cumulus exhibiting a degree of vertical development along
> the ranges east of Melbourne.
What's vertical development????
Les
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003
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 1999 18:21:41 +0100
From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Floyd
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Harald Richter wrote:
> Hi ASWA,
Nasa were still showing concern about their space shuttles being blown away
this evening (BBC News - 1800GMT) this baby is S-S 4-5!! Apparently the
hangers are rated to 150mph winds max. Silly Nasa.
NB Lightning is a natural process which is essentialy a big spark in the sky
followed by a loud noise. Very rare when being discussed by chasers
Les
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004
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 07:34:22 +1000
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
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Hey Les, Everyone..
Vertical development is when clouds like Cu or Tcu tower higher into the
atmosphere.. as opposed to shallow Cu or layered clouds..
Like these:
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/anthony/99mard.htm
http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/anthony/99marc.htm
Les Crossan wrote:
>
> Jane ONeill wrote:
>
> >
> >
> > I can actually see cumulus exhibiting a degree of vertical development along
> > the ranges east of Melbourne.
>
> What's vertical development????
>
> Les
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
--
**************************************************
* Ben Quinn
* The Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage
* http://www.bsch.simplenet.com
* The NEMAS wx Educations Section
* http://www.nemas.net
* The Australian Weather Pages Webring
*http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/ben/webring/index.htm
*
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005
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 1999 21:57:14 +0100
From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: Clouds with vertical development seen in Melbourne today!
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Ben Quinn wrote:
> Hey Les, Everyone..
So thats what it looks like - i'd just about forgotten...
Les
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006
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 08:33:25 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
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Subject: Re: aus-wx: Floyd
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Harald Richter wrote:
>
> Hi ASWA,
>
> Floyd has begun his northward turn, and it is believed
> that the Miamians can stop sinking nails into their houses.
> Conficence is high that an approaching trough is going
> to steer Floyd up the coast and into, say, South Carolina.
Floyd is absolutely huge (although, it has weakened slightly now),
originally it had sustained gales of 930km in diameter!! At the moment
though, it's decreased to about 680km in diameter. None the less, it's
a very large hurricane. It's weakened slightly - sustained winds to
220km/h taking it down from a Cat 4/5 to a 'solid' Cat 4 on both
scales And as you have mentioned, it has begun its northward turn, and
there'd be a lot of nervous people in the Carolina's now.
For sat pics, you might want to see:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/storm/dvor-nh1.GIF
for half hour updates,
or:
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/TRCfloyd257B_N5.jpg
or, you can goto:
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/
and view a series of SUPERB special images provided by OSEI.
--
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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007
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 1999 15:44:14 -0700
From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at zdnetmail.com]
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Subject: aus-wx: Strange clouds....!!
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Hi every1,
8 a.m. here in Wycheproof and I spy...no!! can it be?? Yes, it appears to be a Cb!!! It's quite dark to the SE and more storms appear to be building to the NW!!!
Whoohoo!!!
Will keep the list updated!
Cheers,
Kevin from Wycheproof.
P.S. Due to some hassles I've had with Hotmail, I'm using an alternate address: kjphyland at zdnetmail.com
I've still got my hotmail addy but won't be accessing it anywhere near as often...so if for some obscure reason you need to contact me quickly, use the zdnetmail address.
Free web-based email, anytime, anywhere!
ZDNet Mail - http://www.zdnetmail.com
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008
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: This weeks low scaled back
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 09:46:58 +1000 (EST)
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>
> I see that the latest GASP has scaled back the low depression near Tasmania.
> Looks like another fizzer.
GASP is on its own here - LAPS, the US and UK all have strong systems
(the new EC run isn't through yet). Also, if LAPS (which outputs every
12 hours) is anything to go by, the low is likely to be at its strongest
tomorrow morning - falling between the 24-hour and 48-hour runs.
I was actually reading a 1909 publication on that year's floods in
western Victoria and South Australia (which appear to have been
amongst the most severe on record in that region) and noticed a
striking similarity between the chart sequence in that episode and
that forecast for the next 72 hours - although the lead-up period was
far wetter in 1909. I still wouldn't be surprised to see some flooding
of consequence in the Avoca and Loddon, and possibly the Wimmera.
Blair Trewin
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009
From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Fw: Storms around Ballarat
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 12:27:04 +1000
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Things are starting to happen.....
>From: Leslie Baxter
>Sent: Wednesday, 15 September 1999 12:01
>Subject: Storms around Ballarat
> Hey folks, well here's a early warning, just back from a recon, Storms
cells
> developing due west and south of here, not much out to the north but, CBs
on
> the rise, I got a few snaps, hope they look as good as in real life when I
> get the film developed. Well good chgasing
> Les
> PS AM radio picking up Crackles from Lighnting......
>
Jane ONeill
ASWA - Victoria
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010
From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: This weeks low scaled back
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 03:00:47 GMT
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On Wed, 15 Sep 1999 09:46:58 +1000 (EST), Blair Trewin
wrote:
>>
>> I see that the latest GASP has scaled back the low depression near Tasmania.
>> Looks like another fizzer.
>
>GASP is on its own here - LAPS, the US and UK all have strong systems
>(the new EC run isn't through yet). Also, if LAPS (which outputs every
>12 hours) is anything to go by, the low is likely to be at its strongest
>tomorrow morning - falling between the 24-hour and 48-hour runs.
>
This morning's GASP is bringing fairly cold air over SE Aust late this
week and into the weekend, with the 536 thickness line and sub-zero
850hPa temperatures covering all southern and central NSW by 12z on
Saturday. The latest (00z) LAPS is pointing that way, too, with a
tongue of 532 thickness touching Mt Gambier at +48hours (Friday 9am
EST) and obviously heading inland.
--
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/
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011
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Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 13:48:39 +1000
Subject: Re: aus-wx: This weeks low scaled back
From: "Mark Hardy" [mhardy at magna.com.au]
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For those who have access, this morning's meso-laps showed an extremely
strong low forming off Portland VIC (west of Strahan) by 00Z tomorrow.
Central pressure 975 and winds up to 50kts. BoM forecasts already talking
about 45kts for West Bass Strait. Will be interesting to see what the next
run of the model produces..
Mark
----------
>From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: Re: aus-wx: This weeks low scaled back
>Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 1:00 PM
>
> On Wed, 15 Sep 1999 09:46:58 +1000 (EST), Blair Trewin
> wrote:
>
>>>
>>> I see that the latest GASP has scaled back the low depression near Tasmania.
>>> Looks like another fizzer.
>>
>>GASP is on its own here - LAPS, the US and UK all have strong systems
>>(the new EC run isn't through yet). Also, if LAPS (which outputs every
>>12 hours) is anything to go by, the low is likely to be at its strongest
>>tomorrow morning - falling between the 24-hour and 48-hour runs.
>>
> This morning's GASP is bringing fairly cold air over SE Aust late this
> week and into the weekend, with the 536 thickness line and sub-zero
> 850hPa temperatures covering all southern and central NSW by 12z on
> Saturday. The latest (00z) LAPS is pointing that way, too, with a
> tongue of 532 thickness touching Mt Gambier at +48hours (Friday 9am
> EST) and obviously heading inland.
>
>
> --
> Laurier Williams
> Australian Weather Links and News
> http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/
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>
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012
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: Very warm at Alice Springs
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 15:40:29 +1000 (EST)
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Alice Springs was reporting 36.6 at 1449 local time. This is an
early-season record and is starting to get within striking distance
of the September record there (37.7 on 26/9/1972).
They're also reporting 32-knot wind gusts.
It will be interesting to see what some of the traditional hot spots
get to - I wouldn't be surprised if the likes of Mount Dare and
Birdsville get within striking distance of 40.
NSW could also get some very warm temperatures tomorrow, particularly
the coast.
Blair Trewin
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013
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Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 16:31:12 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fire season for NSW south coast brought forward
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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There is also another moderate but serious fire at the moment I would say
near Warragamba Dam or to its South.
Jimmy Deguara
At 17:45 14/09/99 +1000, you wrote:
>Anybody living north of Sydney would be flat out lighting any sort of fire
>of late. But southwards the rainfall has been below average, although enough
>to keep things in a "green drought". The start of the fire season has been
>brought forward 1 month on the NSW South Coast.
>
>I was only reminded of this this afternoon when a small brush fire broke out
>near Albion Park.
>
>
>Michael Thompson
>http://thunder.simplenet.com
>
>
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014
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Very warm at Alice Springs
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 17:19:11 +1000 (EST)
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>
> Alice Springs was reporting 36.6 at 1449 local time. This is an
> early-season record and is starting to get within striking distance
> of the September record there (37.7 on 26/9/1972).
>
> They're also reporting 32-knot wind gusts.
>
> It will be interesting to see what some of the traditional hot spots
> get to - I wouldn't be surprised if the likes of Mount Dare and
> Birdsville get within striking distance of 40.
1500 bulletins are through. 39 at Birdsville, 38 at Mount Dare,
37 at Moomba and Alice Springs, 36 at Tibooburra. The Birdsville and
Alice Springs values are early-season records.
Also a fire weather warning for Alice Springs. Very unusually, this
has been issued in the afternoon for a 3-hour period only.
Blair Trewin
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015
X-Originating-IP: [210.9.51.34]
From: "James Harris" [jimbohar at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fire season for NSW south coast brought forward
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 17:04:42 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey All,
Yes you can see the smoke haze drifting to the south of the city at present.
The BOM have issued a Fire Weather Warning for the Illawarra , Metro and
Hunter areas for tommorow with Hot, dry and windy conditions to continue.
I also noticed they are forecasting 31c for Sydney and up to 33c out west
for tommorow. Certainly looks interesting
James
>From: Jimmy Deguara
>Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fire season for NSW south coast brought forward
>Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 16:31:12 +1000
>
>There is also another moderate but serious fire at the moment I would say
>near Warragamba Dam or to its South.
>
>Jimmy Deguara
>
>At 17:45 14/09/99 +1000, you wrote:
>>Anybody living north of Sydney would be flat out lighting any sort of fire
>>of late. But southwards the rainfall has been below average, although
>>enough
>>to keep things in a "green drought". The start of the fire season has been
>>brought forward 1 month on the NSW South Coast.
>>
>>I was only reminded of this this afternoon when a small brush fire broke
>>out
>>near Albion Park.
>>
>>
>>Michael Thompson
>>http://thunder.simplenet.com
>>
>>
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>
>
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016
X-Originating-IP: [203.27.197.30]
From: "Rod Aikman" [raikman at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Very warm at Alice Springs
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 17:40:59 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Hi Blair and others,
This is probably an important factor inasmuch as the rather scanty rainfall
received (and expected) from the deep depression in the Bight - the air over
the interior of the continent is rather dry and hot. It would be
interesting, if it were possible, to see a satelite image or nephanalysis
chart of the August 1909 event. I suspect that this event would have had a
good tropical-extratropical connection, ie. a northwest cloud band,
associated with it, similar to the event of August 27-29 1992.(Ref Aust.
Met. Magazine vol. 44, pp 201-218).
Just my thoughts for what they are worth.
Regards
Rod Aikman
Bendigo
Alice Springs was reporting 36.6 at 1449 local time. This is an
early-season record and is starting to get within striking distance
of the September record there (37.7 on 26/9/1972).
They're also reporting 32-knot wind gusts.
It will be interesting to see what some of the traditional hot spots
get to - I wouldn't be surprised if the likes of Mount Dare and
Birdsville get within striking distance of 40.
NSW could also get some very warm temperatures tomorrow, particularly
the coast.
Blair Trewin
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017
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 19:11:53 +1000
From: Peter Matters [pmatters at eck.net.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: STORM!
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Hi all,
I can finally hear thunder!! It is east of Seymour and Ne of
Broadford. CC's inconsistent at between 3-10 sec's
Cheers Peter(Didjman)
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018
From: "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: STORM!
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 19:38:11 +1000
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Yeah Peter I can see those CG's, distant to the north of here, only about
one or two a minute. Dane.
-----Original Message-----
>From: Peter Matters
>Hi all,
> I can finally hear thunder!! It is east of Seymour and Ne of
>Broadford. CC's inconsistent at between 3-10 sec's
>Cheers Peter(Didjman)
>
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> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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019
From: Pjcorlett at aol.com
Date: Wed, 15 Sep 1999 07:40:58 EDT
Subject: Re: aus-wx: STORM!
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Hi all,
There are very infrequent flashes to the NW of Melbourne as I write,
but the real action appears to be in SA. There is a nice line of storms on
radar stretching from Adelaide to Mt Gambier. The Mt Gambier cells are
showing plenty of pink and red.
I contemplated driving West, but I don't hold much hope that I could reach
the storms before they die.
Yours in SDS,
Pete.
In a message dated 9/15/99 8:01:09 PM AUS Eastern Standard Time,
dpn at bigpond.com writes:
<< Yeah Peter I can see those CG's, distant to the north of here, only about
one or two a minute. Dane.
-----Original Message-----
>From: Peter Matters
>Hi all,
> I can finally hear thunder!! It is east of Seymour and Ne of
>Broadford. CC's inconsistent at between 3-10 sec's
>Cheers Peter(Didjman)
> >>
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| Document: 990915.htm
Updated: 22 September 1999 |
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