Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Monday, 6 December 1999

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]              Increasing monsoonal activity
002 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    Back from the chase - a success & a great learning 
003 "Matt Smith" [ozchase at hotmail.com]             Chase Update
004 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  Archive Request Upload Success!!! + more...
005 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    Archive Request Upload Success!!! + more...
006 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]           End Of Year Chase
007 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]       End of Year Chase
008 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]    Is Summer FInally Going To Arrive in Brisbane?
009 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           ThunderDownUnder '99 - Brief Chase Summary

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Mon, 6 Dec 1999 01:30:27 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Increasing monsoonal activity
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi All,

Some of you may be interested in the latest TC Outlook from Qld BoM, which
mentions computer model predictions of increased monsoonal activity in the
Aust. region later in the week and next week.

I have pasted it below.

Regards,
Carl.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

IDF20Q01
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: This message is issued daily for the information of interested parties.
Media are NOT required to broadcast this message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
for the Coral Sea West of Longitude 160 East
Issued at 2:39pm on Sunday the 5th of December 1999

A broad monsoon trough lies over the northern Coral Sea to a 1003 hPa low over
New Caledonia. This low is expected to move to the southeast but not develop
into a tropical cyclone. No other significant lows are expected in the northern
Coral Sea during the next few days. For information only, several computer
models are indicating that the first monsoonal burst of the season is expected
over Indonesia during the coming week which will need watching in the northern
Coral Sea in a week of so.

Tropical Cyclone outlooks issued by Brisbane are available on
Weather By Fax 190 293 5278 and can also be accessed through
the Bureau's Home Page http://www.bom.gov.au.

Please note that the Darwin Forecasting Centre issues Tropical
Cyclone Outlooks for the Gulf of Carpentaria.
To subscribe to this service call Darwin 08 8920 3820

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


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002
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 07:35:40 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Back from the chase - a success & a great learning 
 experience
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Jane ONeill wrote:

> It was great to meet everyone, to swap stories pictures & videos, visit
> places we'd never been before (and talk about a couple of those places we'll
> never never go to ever ever again!!!!!!), 

I'm glad we got out when we did - the river is at 4.44m and still
rising!  If we had stayed there another 6 hours, the bridge would have
gone under, and we'd still be stuck there!

-- 
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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003
X-Originating-IP: [203.57.25.3]
From: "Matt Smith" [ozchase at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Chase Update
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 10:39:16 EST
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Hi Everyone

We are currently at Glen Innes, we chased what seems to be the 1 storm in 
NSW yesterday, it lasted a while and when we eventually caught up to it, it 
gave a few nice CG's and rumbles of thunder, before dying off, giving a 
great sunset.
We will head somewhere south today i think, possibly Tamworth or there 
abouts, and see what happens. AVN is down at the moment (LI/CAPE etc) is 
anyone else having this problem ?

This next system on Thursday sounds interesting going by the BSCH forecast, 
and the BoM 4 day surface charts... AVN is also going for the 1st TC of the 
season somewhere near the Timor Islands...

Im glad everyone had a great time on the chase, some great memories that 
will last forever. (good ol Thargo, with domestics, angry locals, inbread 
dogs, the local river almost flooding us in, a couple of us hitting the 
drink.. just to name a few things :)

I will write up a report later maybe this weekend when i get home, im in no 
rush now, fully enjoying the holiday mode i am in :)

talk to you all later...

Matt Smith

______________________________________________________
Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
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004
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 17:48:35 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
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To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Archive Request Upload Success!!! + more...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Before I upload more outstanding requests to;

http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com

I'd like someone (probably Michael Bath and Anthony Cornelius) 
who requested the BoM Mean Sea Level Analysis charts (now in
directory "msl") to check whether they download and extract 
properly to their computer. A listing is:

Index of /msl
================================================
Name                    Last modified       Size 
------------------------------------------------
a199908.zip             02-Sep-1999 21:14   2.9M  
a199909.zip             05-Dec-1999 22:19   2.9M  
a199910.zip             05-Dec-1999 22:19   2.5M  
a199911.zip             05-Dec-1999 22:20   2.8M  
================================================

Notice that "a199908.zip" was the penultimate successful upload.
It has taken 3 months to get the next successful upload working
after some Y2K and ftp proxy patches were applied and later
fixed with what seems vastly improved performance...Use ftp if
you can, know how and have permission. I got transfer rates in 
excess of 130Kbyte/s using ftp! It seems that http is a lot
slower and probably more loaded:-(

Also, another breakthrough...this must be the day for successes...
I will rerun all satpic archive requests through a program that
I wrote in perl using the GD.pl library that can crop the image
and paste the image title in the top of the cropped image. This
means that all cropped satpics from the archive will have their
title on the top! The file names will remain as the archive file
names but at least from now on, if you open a cropped image, you
can see precisely when it was taken by NPMOC. This will preserve
acknowledgement of the source as per appropriate copyright means.

I'd like AC to reply on this next one considering that cropped 
satpics are required for SN. What's the optimum cropped satpic
size that is suitable for Storm News or do you just want any
"significant activity" to be covered?

Real cheers at long last...

Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
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005
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 18:11:11 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Archive Request Upload Success!!! + more...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Michael,

I downloaded the August MSL zip - success!!!  Checked every image,
everything is fine!

Michael Scollay wrote:

> 
> I'd like AC to reply on this next one considering that cropped
> satpics are required for SN. What's the optimum cropped satpic
> size that is suitable for Storm News or do you just want any
> "significant activity" to be covered?
> 
> Real cheers at long last...

For SN - the optimum cropped satpic would be to include all of
Australia.  I can then go through myself and crop any region that I want
specifically.  This will change, as sometimes it may be a macroscale
system, where as sometimes the event might be fairly isolated.  

This is fantastic news MS!

-- 
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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006
X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au
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Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 20:20:57 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: End Of Year Chase
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi evryone,

I would also like to reiterate the points made by others on the list. I 
really enjoyed it. Even though I have done it before, it was nothing like 
the success of this one and I can say this that I don't think ASWA chasers 
could have been better prepared. In fact perhaps the President himself 
should have brought along the cb to join in the jokes and conversations. I 
tried but it was sold unfortunately!!

I must say the organisation was well done and people got along extremely 
well. To say that getting 13 or 14 people together and basically agreeing 
with each other is difficult is an understatement - but basically ASWA 
passed with flying colours. Another good thing was that we were able to 
pinpoint the main areas of activity on each day when there was activity.

I wished a whole lot of other could have had the time off to join in but 
there will be other opportunities. And the chasing is not over yet. I am 
planning to go out there in two weeks time and chase some if the better 
systems coming across to see what I can get. Others that have the time 
should join in if storm chasing takes their fansy.

A great event thoroughly enjoyed by all.

Jimmy Deguara

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007
From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]
To: "Aussie Weather Mailing List" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: End of Year Chase
Date: Mon, 6 Dec 1999 20:54:41 +1100
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Hi Everyone,

I too would like to say how much I enjoyed participating in the End of Year
Chase. It was certainly an experience I will never forget and it was
fantastic to meet everyone, some for the first time. I will certainly be
attending any further chases when I have the time. Finally I would like to
thank everyone for making the chase such a success and Jimmy Deguara for
putting up with me in his car for the whole two weeks hehehe.

Matthew Piper

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008
Date: Mon, 06 Dec 1999 20:42:43 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Is Summer FInally Going To Arrive in Brisbane?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

Well - today was the first day that actually felt like summer.  Even
though temps were below average at 27C, - there was a summery smell in
the air this evening, this was enforced by the night jasmine, which for
many years when I was young, used as a sign to herald a sign of a summer
pattern setting in for a reasonable period of time.

At 8:30pm, it was 22.8C, and a DP of 17C - a far cry from the 26C with a
DP of 22C I'd like, but it's better than the past few days!  I don't
believe Brisbane has reached 30C yet this season?  Can some one
confirm/correct me?

Brisbane might even get some storms during the weekend (yes, you heard
that right - Brisbane might get storms - aka, ridge over us will break
down as a trough moves through!!!)  Sure beats these SE winds, with
light NE seabreezes.

This next system looks like it could be a beauty for much of the eastern
states, lets hope it delievers its promise.  The strong jet right on the
front/trough is certainly very encouraging - Michael Thompson believes
it'll be a beauty too - because he'll be back home by then!  *lol*

-- 
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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009
From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "WX-CHASE" [WX-CHASE at postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu]
        "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aus-wx: ThunderDownUnder '99 - Brief Chase Summary
Date: Mon, 6 Dec 1999 22:22:18 +1100
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We caught up with the main group (who had been chasing during the first
week) at Cunnamulla & headed in a 7 car convoy out to Thargomindah in SW
Queensland (once, and only once), stayed overnight & left rapidly for
Cunnamulla the next morning over the bridge which would have gone under and
trapped us for tooooooo long if we'd stayed much longer. In Cunnamulla, the
group of 13 in 7 cars decided that splitting into two smaller groups would
allow us to maximise our chances with the 2 systems traversing the eastern
side of Australia - the one that was currently in northern NSW / southern
QLD & the one moving into Victoria / southern New South Wales from South
Australia.

Group 1 (Jimmy Deguara, Matthew Piper, Dane Newman, Ross Portas, James
Chambers, James Harris & Matt Smith) decided that Broken Hill & Mildura
would allow them to maximise their exposure to the system moving in from the
west

Group 2 (Clyve Herbert, Paul Yole, Anthony Cornelius, Greg Browning, Andrew
McDonald & I) spent the afternoon in the Cunnamulla area & headed west for
about 20kms to keep an eye on local developments before heading SE to pick
up on maximum potential for convective activity along the central tablelands
the next day.

Thursday night saw major chaser convergence in Albury - our numbers were now
up to 14 with Michael Thompson joining the group - and a swim in the pool &
a barbeque (only a state away from the original venue on the north coast)
was greatly enjoyed by all.

Friday morning saw us heading north once more - except Dane Newman who
returned to Melbourne that morning - where we managed to track the trough
for a good few miles.

Saturday saw Group 2 minus Anthony Cornelius who had to leave with the
Queensland contingent on their 17 hour drive home, but plus Michael
Thompson, head for Gulgong, then Scone & Merriwa for a fantastic afternoon
with lowerings, suspected funnels.

Many thanks to Ben Quinn for numerous updates and also on this last day, a
quick phonecall after analysing local conditions at Scone, showed a
suspected warm layer which was confirmed by soundings at 500 hPa and an
indication that the 300hPa was substantially colder - soundings of -11 at
500hPa and -41 at 300hPa.  This information being confirmed allowed us to
chase a single cell that had penetrated to at least the cold layer at
Merriwa eventually blossoming into a huge multiple pulse storm mechanism.
Once this cap of warm air had been broken by this single cell, the system
intensified rapidly, and allowed the final day of the chase to be enormously
successful.  The one image that stands out in our minds was the lineup of
chasers standing along the Merriwa - Cassilis Road complete with tripods,
cameras, videos and assorted equipment viewing funnels & lowerings all with
the same excited look on their faces!!  We're all definitely from the same
place!!!!!!!!

Sunday saw a long drive home, but everyone I've spoken to had a fantastic
time and is ready to go out chasing again tomorrow.

Jane
-------------------------------------------------------
Jane ONeill
ASWA - Victoria
Australian Severe Weather Assocn (ASWA Inc.)
Melbourne Storm Chasers
Email: cadence at rubix.net.au
-------------------------------------------------------



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Document: 991206.htm
Updated: 11 December 1999

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