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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Friday, 28 January 2000 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] Forgive me.....one more please....models..... 002 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Webcams please? 003 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] USA Winter? 004 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] USA Winter? 005 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] lifted index 006 Lyle Pakula [LyleP at oakton.com.au] USA Winter? 007 "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com] USA Winter? 008 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. NHQ article on 14/4/99 Supercell 009 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Archives 010 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC KIRRILY off WA 011 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au TC KIRRILY off WA 012 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au Tropical Low 013 "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] USA Winter? 014 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au NSW STA 015 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au CSIRO Climate Study 016 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Storm chases and messages 017 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Hail at Mulgoa 018 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] Hail at Mulgoa 019 Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Hail at Mulgoa 020 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] USA Winter? 021 Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] USA Winter? 022 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] Safe Drinking And Driving 023 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Safe Drinking And Driving 024 "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] USA Winter? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 08:57:00 -0500 From: "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Forgive me.....one more please....models..... To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id IAA21831 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com The NWS is being raked over the coals!! Believe me! LOL... There is open season on weather folks year around! After all, what other profession is there where they pay you to be wrong!! [S] Les ************************ Leslie R. Lemon Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist Phone: 816-373-3533 E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 002 Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 15:31:14 +0000 From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Organization: Cosmic EuroCon - note all times in GMT X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Webcams please? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Miguel de Salas wrote: > Is there a page somewhere on the web with a list of links to Australian > webcams that are good for weather watching? The webcam at Melbourne is good for webcam chasing: coupla prongs, any number of lowerings and a CG in the last six months or so: http://webcam.omni.net.au/ Excellent panorama of Melbourne! Les (UK) ------------------------------------------------------ Les Crossan Wallsend, Tyne & Wear, UK 54-59N 01-30W UK Storm Chaser / Severe Weather Enthusiast Melbourne Storm Chasers (MSC) - Victoria, AUS http://www.rubix.net.au/~cadence/ Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) - AUS http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) - UK Thunderstorm Census Organisation (TCO) - UK http://www.torro.org.uk/ Email: les.NOSPAMcrossan at virgin.net (remove NOSPAM) ICQ: 17296776 ------------------------------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 003 Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 07:40:52 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com How far south has America (The USA) actually experienced snow at sea level or close to to it at least? Has Florida ever had snow? Into its southern parts? I've read a little about the Outbreaks of 09/1/76 and 23/12/89 and noticed that Florida reached 31 (F) during the '89 Outbreak. I wonder if that was on a cold, clear morning though? Lindsay Pearce Blair Trewin wrote: > The critical factor at play here is the configuration of the continents. > Australia has ocean on its poleward side; the United States has a > continental land mass, with few physical barriers to north-south air > movement. > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 004 Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 07:24:38 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Great post Blair. What an amazing contrast, a max of 34 C then snow! I was talking to a bloke at Oberon (stopped there on our trip south for holidays, I often try and dig out a weather story from a local) and this guy at the supermarket said that they had snow on Christmas day/Boxing day and it had been very mild just before hand. Don't know the exact year (in the nineties, but he couldn't remember the year) or indeed the temp contrasts at the time. Do you have any records of a cold snap in the nineties around Christmas for Oberon? Or indeed other decades? Lindsay P. Blair Trewin wrote: > did!). Denver is also famous for late- and early-season snowfalls > (I was there to see one on 12 September 1993, the day after a max of > 34 C), but even there July and August are snow-free. > > Blair Trewin > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 005 Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 08:00:03 -0800 From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: lifted index Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Welcome Desley, Pleased you can join us. :-) Hey, don't worry about sounding really dumb, we all have to start at the beginning some time. I'm still on training wheels myself, but the weather is here for all of us to enjoy and so is this list. Even the most proficient folk on the list only know a fraction of what there is to know about weather. That's what makes it all so interesting, so much to learn! Lindsay P. Desley Absolon wrote: > > Hi, > Being really new to the List and, taking a risk at sounding really dumb, can > you explain what the map showed, and what it means... I really am interested > in learning all I can about the weather in general, and must admit to feeling > a little intimidated when reading all of the 'el techo' mail - but it is great > and of much interest - just a lot is difficult to understand when you are > incredibly un-educated on the subject. I figure the more I read and the more > 'dumb' questions I ask the more I will understand...so patience please. > Ta, > > Desley in Cairns > > steve baynham wrote: > > > hey all, > > looking good for eastern australia over the next few days:) > > this is avn's 18z run > > > > http://www.angelfire.com/ok2/gany/lftx.gif > > > > cyas > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 006 From: Lyle Pakula [LyleP at oakton.com.au] To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: RE: aus-wx: USA Winter? Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 09:29:18 +1100 X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2448.0) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hey Lindsay, I know last year, it snowed on Chirstmas Day, not to such low levels but it was a significant fall (>10cm). I can't remember the previous day's temps but, from memory, they were in the 30's around Mansfield, Vic. Someone could probably give you more precise details on this event. Cheers, Lyle > -----Original Message----- > From: Lindsay [mailto:writer at lisp.com.au] > Sent: Friday, 28 January 2000 2:25 > To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? > > > Great post Blair. What an amazing contrast, a max of 34 C then snow! I > was talking to a bloke at Oberon (stopped there on our trip south for > holidays, I often try and dig out a weather story from a > local) and this > guy at the supermarket said that they had snow on Christmas day/Boxing > day and it had been very mild just before hand. Don't know the exact > year (in the nineties, but he couldn't remember the year) or > indeed the > temp contrasts at the time. > > Do you have any records of a cold snap in the nineties around > Christmas > for Oberon? Or indeed other decades? > > > Lindsay P. > > > > > Blair Trewin wrote: > > > did!). Denver is also famous for late- and early-season snowfalls > > (I was there to see one on 12 September 1993, the day after a max of > > 34 C), but even there July and August are snow-free. > > > > Blair Trewin > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+- > +-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail > to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in > the body of your > > message. > > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au--------------------- > --------- > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+- > +-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail > to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the > body of your > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au--------------------- > --------- > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 007 From: "Dane Newman" [dpn at bigpond.com] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 10:17:52 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I remember hearing a report some time back maybe 10 to 15 years ago of brief snow falling at Miami Beach, first time snow had ever fallen there thats about all i know. Dane, -----Original Message----- From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Date: Friday, January 28, 2000 9:08 AM Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? >How far south has America (The USA) actually experienced snow at sea >level or close to to it at least? > >Has Florida ever had snow? Into its southern parts? > > >I've read a little about the Outbreaks of 09/1/76 and 23/12/89 and >noticed that Florida reached 31 (F) during the '89 Outbreak. I wonder if >that was on a cold, clear morning though? > > > >Lindsay Pearce > > > > > >Blair Trewin wrote: > >> The critical factor at play here is the configuration of the continents. >> Australia has ocean on its poleward side; the United States has a >> continental land mass, with few physical barriers to north-south air >> movement. >> > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 008 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 13:28:07 +1100 From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au] Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: NHQ article on 14/4/99 Supercell Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Michael Thompson wrote on Mon, 24 Jan 2000 18:14:43 +1100: > > Excellent article with some informative graphs, except > I disagree with the storm changing course to move inland. > The storm stayed roughly on the same track, but the > coastline north of Wollongong swings sharply NE. In summary, I agree with MichaelT but with the support of some additional "post-analysis" evidence. I'm at risk at shooting my mouth off again (metaphorically writing, of course:-). In my "playing" with BoM GIF radar images to track storms (Les from the US helped here), I'm rapidly coming to the opinion that the "Storm Track Focus" (STF - my term:-) is what needs to be identified and tracked. This, I think will be the focus of the main updraft(s). The supercell case is somewhat easier to identify since the radar echo takes on a distinctive shape revealing strong features such as the Bounded Weak Echo Region (BWER) and hooked-echo. In 3D, the BWER is an obvious feature, but it can only be implied by the current 2D radar images:-( I've had some success in identifying what I think is the STF by finding the gradient of maximum radar reflectivity (precipitation) change that focusses towards one small area (see figure symbol " at ") which I call the Maximum Echo Gradient (MEG). This is a different location to that which is traditionally identified being the intersection of diagonals drawn between the corners of a bounding box (see figure symbol "+") which I call the Bounding Echo Box (BEB). The following figure (in plain text) describes both algorithms; ======================================================== Example Southern Hemisphere "hooked echo" schematic of April 14 Sydney Supercell Hailstorm. PLAIN TEXT FIGURE KEY -------------------------------------------------------- |---*****------| "|-" is the main echo bounding box. | * * _I | "I" identifies main inflow (NE/E). RFD * at | "" illustrates inflow direction. * M * | " at " is the MEG "updraft" & BWER. * M * | "M" illustrates maximum radar echo. |* M + | "+" illustrates the BEB "updraft". | * * | ^ Storm motion (to NE/N) | * * *| / | * * / | * * ---> Upper level environmental flow. |-------* *** *| ======================================================== In the April 14, 1999 Sydney Supercell case above, the BEB algorithm descibes a track that moves "inland" as frequently alleged. However, when using the MEG algorithm, the nature of the bounding box changes from image to image as expected in nature but the updraft location follows a much smoother path that does not move inland, but rather stays on track to "feed" on the moist inflow path into the mesocyclone. Notice also that the precipitation echo is "blown" away to the E by the environmental flow at upper levels giving an inflow v/s upper-flow directional sheer of about 270-280 degrees (360 or 0 degrees is in-line which means no sheer whereas 180 degrees is opposite). I'd love to get a hold of the Oklahoma May 3 1999 F5 tornado radar images to test this algorithm. From what I remember of the program shown on the ABC, this complex of supercells grew within a strongly sheared situation. The F5 was located almost as if one tipped the above figure along the X-axis (E-W) i.e the bottom left-hand corner, but the upper level winds blew the precipitation curtain towards the SE. Inflow v/s upper-flow looked like 180 degrees of wind-sheer. but I could easily have seen this incorrectly from the brief look-see at the dopplar radar images. This will undoubedly provoke some useful corrective input from Les in the USA. The reason that I havn't applied these algorithms to all BoM radar images yet is two-fold; a lack of time to develop the algorithms further and a more fundamental problem being that critical features come and go in non-supercell storms. In one image, MEG might be the best algorithm to use but in the next image MEG fails to find a focus, therefore BEB is used giving a vastly different result in these marginal cases. The problem all stems back to the fact that there is no easy way of confirming a mesocyclone from existing BoM radar images, so it's all really just educated guesswork. In conclusion, tracking storms from BoM radar images is no easy feat. One needs to identify a sustained feature, then track it. The main updraft, or rain- free base is the best feature choice in my opinion but due the variability and course resolution of radar (typically 1 degree radial by 2km range increments), it might be usefully tracking the "complex" of cells defined by the main continuous precipitation echo. The trick becomes when to decide the best technique and what to quote in any report. In anticipation, it's great to have useful input from all over the world within this list. Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 009 X-Originating-IP: [203.36.248.12] From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Archives Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 13:42:57 EST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Thanx Laurier and Michael, Looks like I've got a hobby for a while!I think I'll go with the uncompressed files individually accessible through linked pages and I'll follow Michael's suggestion of a standard time-stamping. Thanks for the feedback - but don't expect too much change too soon - I'm back at school! Kevin from Wycheproof. ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 010 X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 13:03:18 +1000 To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com] From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: TC KIRRILY off WA Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi All. The BoM has named 09S as TC Kirrily, which is currently NW of Exmouth moving SW, so is unlikely to cross the coast on it's present course. It quickly dropped from 996 to 985 hPa. Carl. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 011 From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC KIRRILY off WA Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 12:56:09 +0930 X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id WAA01588 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Forecasts dont show this one deepening much more then it currently is - it will get caught by unfavourable shear very shortly and continue its slide SW and be sheared apart OR become extratropical. models however show a more interesting situation for the QLD Coast (yet again) with a Tc ? Ex-Tc hitting the coast around Harvey Bay or a bit further North as well as an active Low / TC in the Gulf. Paul. carls at ace-net.com.au at SMTP at world.std.com on 28/01/2000 12:47:05 PM Please respond to aussie-weather at world.std.com at SMTP Sent by: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com To: aussie-weather at world.std.com at SMTP cc: Subject: aus-wx: TC KIRRILY off WA Hi All. The BoM has named 09S as TC Kirrily, which is currently NW of Exmouth moving SW, so is unlikely to cross the coast on it's present course. It quickly dropped from 996 to 985 hPa. Carl. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 012 From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Tropical Low Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 14:29:30 +0930 X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id AAA15280 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Howdy all. After reading the Tropical Cyclone Outlook and chatting with Ian Sheppard, OIC Severe Weather in Darwin BOM - this Low may have a chance of becoming "very interesting" - considering that the BOM expect a Madden-Julian pulse very shortly - which will aide in development of any TC. TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN at 1:13 pm CST Friday 28 JANUARY 2000 TROPICAL LOW in northern Arafura Sea Location........near 08S 130E ........i.e. about 270 nautical miles or 500 km north of Darwin Central pressure: 1007 hPa Recent movement : near stationary DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL Next 24h : low 24-48 h : low 48-72 h : mod REMARKS Low is weak and unorganised at present. Future movement is uncertain at this stage although a southward movement is possible late in the forecast period as the monsoon re-develops across Indonesia. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 013 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 01:55:16 -0500 From: "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id BAA28109 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Snow has been seen at Miami, Fl. Temps in mid FL have been in the low teens and singel digets in the panhandel. Les ************************ Leslie R. Lemon Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist Phone: 816-373-3533 E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 014 From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 16:41:12 +0930 Subject: aus-wx: NSW STA X-mailer: Pegasus Mail for Win32 (v3.12a) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICEBUREAU OF METEOROLOGYNEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE Issued at 1647 on Friday the 28th of January 2000This advice affects people in the following weather districts:Mid-North CoastNorthern Rivers Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area from now into this evening. Some of these are expected to be severe bringing large hailstones and destructive winds. The STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people should: * put vehicles under cover * move indoors away from windowsDuring and after the storm people should: * beware of fallen trees and power lines The RTA recommends motorists switch their lights & wipers on & slow down inthe wet. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 015 From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 17:33:54 +0930 Subject: aus-wx: CSIRO Climate Study X-mailer: Pegasus Mail for Win32 (v3.12a) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Excellent article in todays paper from the CSIRO showing an increase in rainfall for some parts of Australia linked to a climate change/trend. Places like SA, NSW & NT are experiencing 15% greater rainfall now then in 1910 whereas places like QLD , WA & Tas had experienced some declines, - WA esp in Winter, and QLD in Autumns. go here for a closer look: http://www.dar.csiro.au/res/cm/. Intesting reading - and excellent graphs to show total rain, seasonal rain, 99th% rain. Paul. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 016 X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 19:34:08 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: Storm chases and messages Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi everyone, As some of you have done for some time now left a message when going on a storm chase. Normally what is left is a message where the person is going and the mobile number(s) of those who are chasing together. Certainly it is a great idea and keep it going. In my case though, although I have had a lot of feedback and help on chases with radar updates etc, I have found that I am spending too long on the phone. My phone bill has sky rocketed to an amount that I am unimpressed about. Of course this is totally MY fault and nobody elses. But in a measure of being perhaps "stingy" or simply "cost cutting", I will not be making many phone calls. People on the list can call as much as you like if you want feedback on what is happening but you are not obliged to. My reasons are that I bought this phone for safety in case of breakdown and the odd phone call. Please respect my reasons and don't make a discussion on the list about it with respect to being negative. I just think that mobile phones can cost easily about $1000 to $1500 per year. I can only say I have better things to spend money on Jimmy Deguara +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 017 X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified) X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32) Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 20:45:39 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Subject: aus-wx: Hail at Mulgoa Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Daniel Weatherhead just rang me to report 1cm hail, possible larger at Mulgoa (foot of the blue mountains in Sydney), he was in the area and saw a nice dark base and went for it, and it opened up on him.. gotta love that :D Matt Smith +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 018 From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Hail at Mulgoa Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 20:50:22 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Everyone, Here in Blaxland Ive only had one or two drops of rain. Drats why couldnt that hail come over me hehehe. Certainly shows how localised the weather can be as Mulgoa is not very far from here at all. Radar didnt seem really impressive. Looked better earlier on down near Camden when there was some pink. It seemed to lose intensity as it moved north however going by this report of hail it seems it still had some oomph left in it. Matthew Piper ----- Original Message ----- From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sent: Friday, January 28, 2000 8:45 PM Subject: aus-wx: Hail at Mulgoa > Daniel Weatherhead just rang me to report 1cm hail, possible larger at > Mulgoa (foot of the blue mountains in Sydney), he was in the area and saw a > nice dark base and went for it, and it opened up on him.. gotta love that :D > > Matt Smith > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 019 X-Sender: jdeguara at pop.ihug.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.2 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 20:52:25 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Jimmy Deguara [jdeguara at ihug.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Hail at Mulgoa Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Yes great stuff Daniel!! It seems that the cold air we had observed dumping hail in areas near Goulbourn yesterday has moved over Sydney and further north today. Today was a classic example of a spring or autumn situation with cold air aloft. The cumulus developed fairly widespread. Then the odd larger isolated cumulus began to break through. These were quite shallow but with the temperatures of around -16 or lower at 500 hPa, hail is still possible. This is the reason that the Mid - North Coast has had a severe advice put out: more available moisture and surface heating with the trough line now marked in on the synoptic chart providing the trigger. Still, the storms there did not reach massive heights - well it seems like that based on the satpics. Perhaps the odd cells went higher. By the way, yesterday was a bit frustrating. We could see the storms the south and some were quite spectacular and due to the cold air producing hail. But the road network and the time made it unfeasible to chase these storms. We have some photos and brief video of the cells that developed to the south and some over the mountains. What Mario and I found quite interesting was that you could see based on the scud at the cumulus bases that the wind was changing and gradually penetrating inland. It reached Bathurst during the evening whilst the wind change had reached the coastal and Sydney suburbs many hours earlier!! Jimmy Deguara At 20:45 28/01/00 +1100, you wrote: >Daniel Weatherhead just rang me to report 1cm hail, possible larger at >Mulgoa (foot of the blue mountains in Sydney), he was in the area and saw a >nice dark base and went for it, and it opened up on him.. gotta love that :D > >Matt Smith > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 020 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 19:55:46 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, "Leslie R. Lemon" wrote: > > Snow has been seen at Miami, Fl. Temps in mid FL have been in the low > teens and singel digets in the panhandel. Wow!! I never knew this! I've always considered Miami warmer than Brisbane, generally because most of it is surrounded by ocean. But Brisbane has never seen snow. Was it snow, or sleet? Although there haven't been any confirmed cases that I know of, of sleet in Brisbane either. I take it you mean F degrees when you say low teens and single digits? What's the lowest recorded Miami Temp? -- Anthony Cornelius Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) (07) 3390 4812 14 Kinsella St Belmont, Brisbane QLD, 4153 Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 021 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 10:19:08 +0000 From: Les Crossan [les.crossan at virgin.net] Organization: Cosmic EuroCon - note all times in GMT X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; U) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com "Leslie R. Lemon" wrote: > Snow has been seen at Miami, Fl. Temps in mid FL have been in the low > teens and singel digets in the panhandel. Havn't there been times when the orange / grape crop in Florida has been ruined due to frost..... ? Similarly in Oz, hasn't a bad year for wines in the Hunter / Barossa Valleys has been a good year for giant hail?? Les (UK) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 022 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 20:26:56 +1000 From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at flatrate.net.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aus-wx: Safe Drinking And Driving Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, This is more so related to storm chasing than weather, but I thought it might be of interest. The idea might seem rather silly to some, but I thought it was rather good :) While generally talking to Kathyrn Jolly on IRC, we talked about chasing, and I mentioned that I got some old "pop-top" bottles (more so a kids drink with fruit juice in it), and plan to fill them up with other drinks while chasing - it's just a special non-leak top that you can easily open/close with your teeth, so you don't swerve all over the road while opening a bottle of drink She came up with a brilliant idea though - suggesting that you put the pop-top lid and screw it ontop of a normal 1.25L bottle - it fits perfectly! And all you have to do, is buy the bottle of drink, take the cap off, cut the little ring of plastic off on the bottom, screw the pop-top lid on - and wallah! A "hands-free bottle opener" - that won't spill all over the car, and you don't have to swerve all over the road! I found that a pop-top lid/bottle was rather useful when going around curvy highways, which we do have quite a few around the ranges here in SE QLD. Just a suggestion :-) -- Anthony Cornelius Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association (ASWA) (07) 3390 4812 14 Kinsella St Belmont, Brisbane QLD, 4153 Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at http://www.severeweather.asn.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 023 X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32) Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 22:34:59 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Subject: Re: aus-wx: Safe Drinking And Driving Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com those pop top lids come a fair few "sports drinks" you find at your local shop or servo... and yep, they fit perfectly onto any normal 1.25L bottle PS where are the storms? :) Matt Smith >Hi all, > >This is more so related to storm chasing than weather, but I thought it >might be of interest. The idea might seem rather silly to some, but I >thought it was rather good :) > >While generally talking to Kathyrn Jolly on IRC, we talked about >chasing, and I mentioned that I got some old "pop-top" bottles (more so >a kids drink with fruit juice in it), and plan to fill them up with >other drinks while chasing - it's just a special non-leak top that you >can easily open/close with your teeth, so you don't swerve all over the >road while opening a bottle of drink > >She came up with a brilliant idea though - suggesting that you put the >pop-top lid and screw it ontop of a normal 1.25L bottle - it fits >perfectly! And all you have to do, is buy the bottle of drink, take the >cap off, cut the little ring of plastic off on the bottom, screw the >pop-top lid on - and wallah! A "hands-free bottle opener" - that won't >spill all over the car, and you don't have to swerve all over the road! >I found that a pop-top lid/bottle was rather useful when going around >curvy highways, which we do have quite a few around the ranges here in >SE QLD. > >Just a suggestion :-) >-- >Anthony Cornelius >Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association >(ASWA) >(07) 3390 4812 >14 Kinsella St >Belmont, Brisbane >QLD, 4153 >Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm >reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at >http://www.severeweather.asn.au > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ 024 Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2000 06:43:25 -0500 From: "Leslie R. Lemon" [lrlemon at compuserve.com] Subject: Re: aus-wx: USA Winter? To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id GAA23208 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Yes, it was snow and not sleet....and yes, those numbers were in degrees F.....sorry...I have been trying to fly around the southeast US and have had problems due to the big snow and ice storm down here.....I am in Melbourne FL at present. Did not get in until about 2 AM....amounts of snow in Oklahoma City ranged from 9 inches to a foot of snow yesterday. Les ************************ Leslie R. Lemon Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist Phone: 816-373-3533 E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Document: 000128.htm
Updated: 30 January 2000 |
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