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Storm News
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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Saturday, 4 March 2000 |
From Subject
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001 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Ex TC Steve Update # 12
002 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] New TC Steve map animation updated #12
003 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au] Re: News from 'Cyclone City'! and NSW wx
004 Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au] thunderstorms???!?!
005 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Volcanoes impact on weather?
006 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] Off Topic, car help
007 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au] New E-mail
008 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Volcanoes impact on weather?
009 "Adam Mayo" [oyam at bigpond.com] GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
010 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC Steve map animation updated #12
011 paulmoss at tpgi.com.au Re: Volcanic Ash & effects
012 Lindsay Pearce [writer at lisp.com.au] Volcanoes impact on weather?
013 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
014 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au] Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
015 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] TC Steve map animation updated #15
016 "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com] a few lighting sported in QLD
017 "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com] a few lighting sported in QLD
018 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] TC Steve update #15
019 Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au] Fiztroy River Flood Recored has fallen
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001
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 01:08:12 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Ex TC Steve Update # 12
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued at 12:35 am WST on Saturday, 4 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH is now current for the coastal areas between
KURI BAY
and LA GRANGE/BIDYADANGA.
At midnight WST a tropical low [ex-Steve] was estimated to be 147
kilometres
west southwest of Wyndham and 373 kilometres east northeast of Derby and
moving
west southwest at 20 kilometres per hour. The low is expected to
continue to
move west southwest across the north Kimberley tonight and tomorrow.
Gales are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours.
However gales
could develop between Kuri Bay and La Grange/Bidyadanga on Sunday as the
low
moves off the west Kimberley coast and intensifies.
Strong winds with squalls to 90 kilometres per hour are expected along
the north
Kimberley coast.
Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying
areas in
the north Kimberley region tonight and tomorrow.
Details of the tropical low [ex-Steve] at 6:00 pm WST.
Location of centre : within 30 kilometres of
Latitude 16.1 South Longtitude 126.9 East.
Recent movement : west southwest at 20 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 994 hPa.
Wind gusts along the coast: 90 kilometres per hour.
The next warning will be issued at 7:00 am Saturday morning.
This advice is available by dialling 1300 659 210.
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002
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 04:09:26 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: New TC Steve map animation updated #12
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
New TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWAanim.htm updated to BoM #12.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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003
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Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 11:27:44 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Re: News from 'Cyclone City'! and NSW wx
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi
That was a great read Desley! Thanks for taking the time to write it!
Should be storms over east NSW tomorrow, LI and CAPE are great but the
big concern is a lack of wind, at any level really.. Should see a few
nice severe pulse storms! (I hope!) wouldnt mind seeing a nice guster and
lots of lightning and nice big updraughts and lots of hail and ok ill
shutup now.. SDS hehe
Monday also looks good inland, with more of a jet and OK wind shear. Now
to pick a day to call in sick.. hmmm.
Matthew Smith
-----Thunderstruck - Storm Chasing in
Australia -----
http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm/thunderstruck/index.htm
----Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA )----
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
>Hi Everyone,
>Would have loved to be in contact sooner...but no power and big
mess...meant
>much work first!!!!
>Yep Steve visited us in a big way.. I live in Brinsmead, 10 minutes
from the
>Cairns Esplanade and almost directly in behind Yorkeys Knob, and Machans
Beach
>on the coast and in an almost direct line with Mareeba on the Atherton
>Tablelands. A local's version of events is as follows:
>
>Last Saturday, as you all know we were advised that a Cyclone Watch had
been
>declared for the area Port Douglas to Cardwell as there was a low of
1000 hp
>sitting east of Port Douglas. Local reports suggested that this
wasn't
>expected to deepen but was expected to move towards the coast with a
little
>wind and plenty of rain.......
>
>First official notification via media was at 9.00am Sunday when Cyclone
Steve
>officially came into being. "expected to continue to move in a
westerly
>direction towards the coast and to intensify".
>
>By lunch time 1pm on 27/2 Steve had a central pressure of 983 hp, winds
to
>130km and was moving West at 15km. So Cat I and deepening. We were
advised
>that Gale Force winds were expected on the coast around 4pm. Cairns
weather
>at this stage was .... boring!!! Overcast, no wind to speak of and
very
>little rain. In fact in my general phone around of friends, etc - no
one much
>was even aware of the possibility of it crossing the coast. General
consesus
>was that it would change course and head south..and anyway it was
Sunday..and
>why bother about 'a blow' until tomorrow anyway?? After all we had
Justin and
>Rona and they didn't interupt the Cyclone Parties of the day so why
worry??
>Advices were coming hourly by this stage. Cairns Port Authority were
on
>yellow alert - all small craft to be moved to safe moorings in the
mangroves
>way up in the Inlet. Council Counter Disaster Centre was being set up,
live
>talkback radio had well and truly commenced emergency coverage...and
the
>locals...WERE STILL JUST WAKING UP THAT THIS COULD BE REAL!!! We,
being very
>organised little veteran north queenslanders had our water bottles full,
the
>bath full, gas bottles ready, emergency room organised, food, and other
bits
>and pieces all stacked and ready to go. (In Cyclone Joy and Justin, the
water
>was the first thing to go - some hours before the destructive bit, as
debris
>stuck in the pumping bits in the rivers stuffed up everything - long
before
>most people were ready).
>
>At 2pm Steve was 90km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km and had deepened
to 980
>and was now classified as Cat II with winds to 140km at the centre.
Still
>Cairns weather was very non-cyclone!! My husband decided that now was a
good
>time to put the front walls on our almost completed backyard shed....in
his
>raincoat...using a buzz saw....we have a building company...what can I
say
>??? Port Authority on Red Alert - all small craft should be at safe
>moorings. Large Craft sent to sea! I collected my mum from her unit,
after
>grabbing everything that I could from her patio and open garage and
putting it
>inside.
>
>4pm: Steve was 70km ENE of Cairns moving West at 15km still with a
central
>pressure of 980. Winds still at 140 but expected to intensify. Even at
this
>stage the BoM would not commit to a time or exact place of crossing
the
>coast..just somewhere between Port Douglas and Cairns. 5pm: Still no
>wind..and very little rain...In my experience in Nth Qld, if there is no
wind
>and no rain..the cyclone has changed course and moved in another
>direction...this is what 'us experts' figured........felt really
stupid
>grabbing pets and locking them away inside, removing plants, garden
furniture,
>wheelie bins, etc,etc...when the day seemed perfectly normal for Cairns
for
>this time of the year. My barometer hadn't even done anything
terribly
>dramatic. Figured we would wait until the 6pm report for the 'all
>clear'..............
>
>6pm: Steve was 55km ENE Cairns moving West at 18km with a central
pressure of
>975 - winds to 160km/h - this was getting serious!! ...and (what can I
say)
>downright exciting!!! It was expected to cross the coast sometime
between 7
>and 8pm somewhere near the northern beaches of Cairns and was still
>intensifying.......and we still had no wind and just a little
rain.....there
>was the odd gust that you would have ignored at any other time but took
a
>little more notice of under the circumstances..but this was really
nerve
>racking as the damm thing was sitting on our front door and we had no
idea
>what it was up to....except that it was possible that Steve would keep
>intensifying and there was talk of Cat III !!!!!
>
>Then Steve arrived....nahhhhhh Steve barged in with no
warning.............By
>6.15 the wind was up around the 40-50 km/hr...we went outside just to
see what
>it felt like as we live in a 200mm masonry block home and these cut the
noise
>heaps..yep..the trees weren't liking it real much but it was okay...
Around
>6.30pm the power went out....battery powered radio kept us in touch with
talk
>back radio and live crosses to the weather bureau, etc. At 6.35 - the
Radio
>went off the air....very lonely...by 6.45pm we were experiencing wind
like I
>have never seen in my life.....In all the other cyclones that I have
>experienced the wind grew steadily stronger with heavier gusts, till you
got
>to the eye, and then obviously things were calm, till the wind came back
from
>the other direction.....not with Steve....someone who rang in to
talkback - on
>another station later on in the evening likened the winds to a dentist
>removing a tooth.......just twisting and raging from all directions at
once
>with tremendous force. By 7pm we had decided it was time to seek
shelter in
>our safe room away from the huge pieces of glass in our windows and
>doors....just as we were about to move....the wind calmed down.....we
went
>through the eye for about 30 minutes..hard to know..as you don't think
about
>your watch too much!! - but the wind didn't die down completely like it
did
>with the eye of Justin..in that instance - the sun came out...blue
>sky,etc...and then back it came - obviously that was a bit easier in day
light
>too...with Steve it was just a decline of the horrible strong
stuff...then we
>got the rear end of the cyclone...not as much strong stuff in our area
but
>some parts of Cairns - Caravonica, Redlynch, Yorkeys Knob..experienced
as much
>after the eye as before. We had torrential rain with the tail ...but
not as
>much as predicted for us..we recorded 245mm at our place..but not
really
>acurate as the gauge sort of kinder had it's post knocked about...up
until
>7.00am Monday morning. After that things just sort of calmed down and
we
>finally went to sleep at around 11pm. Green Island recorded wind gusts
to 170
>km/h and the bureau has now admitted that Cyclone Steve crossed as an
>unofficial Cat III based on that reading...so even though they suggested
just
>prior to the crossing that it had lessened in strength to around
150km...Steve
>intensified once more. Officially Steve crossed the coast at Machans
Beach
>and headed on up to Mareeba and across the Cape to the Gulf..and we all
know
>what he is up to right now....
>
>No power until late Monday afternoon...some areas were without power
until
>today (Friday). Not a real lot of structural damage - the pub at
Trinity
>Beach on the hill lost it's roof, the Yacht Club on the Inlet lost it's
roof
>too....generally a lot of damage to houses through trees falling on
>them...Hu-mungus amounts of damage to vegetation. Mareeba copped huge
amounts
>of rain with major damage done to their rail lines, when the rail bridge
was
>washed away and the line washed 50metres down stream to wrap around the
road
>bridge - it is now closed until engineers can check it out!!!
>
>We lost 8 large trees in our back yard and have spent the last two
days
>cutting everything up and carting it out to the front where the council
will
>do yet another Cyclone Clean Up - third year running.
>
>We went up the Kuranda Range to Mareeba today - we have a house under
>construction up there - no damage to our block walls - couldn't believe
it!!!
>Anyway - the damage to the rain forest..is just unbelievable - if I can
get
>back up there I will take photos and hopefully post some of them for
you....if
>I can work out how to do that...not being particularly computer
litererate!!
>
>The Kuranda Range road is open to only vehicles under 5 tonne and this
is
>being heavily policed as one lane of the road has completely gone at
one
>point...it has just disappeared over the side.....I have never seen
such
>damage on such a wide scale..guess the rain forest will recover but you
can
>really see where Steve moved inland.
>
>Lots of really large trees have been uprooted around town - if any of
you have
>been to Cairns - the really giant fig tree on the esplanade opposite
McDonalds
>- she's gone Luig'......the whole root system is out of the ground
..tourists
>were having their photos taken - little Japanese ladies were shorter
than the
>root bowl!!!
>
>We have recorded the wettest February on record for Cairns and people
are
>saying that is the reason for the damage - this however does not account
for
>the amount of trees that have been sheared off 5 - 10 metres above the
>ground!!! Official rainfall figures for Manunda - a suburb close to us
-
>1462.7mm for February....Bartlefrere: 3376mm for the month - 10 foot
of
>rain!!!!!!!!!! Where's the ark!!!!!!
>
>Hope you found this interesting...we certainly did!!!
>Desley...with webbed feet...and slightly ruffled feathers
>in Cairns
>
>
>
>Lindsay wrote:
>
>> G'day all,
>>
>> Well, even though my new car needs a little attending to, we are
still
>> going to Oberon today. My partner wants to get an idea of where I am
in
>> winter when I ring and say, "Hi honey, I'm at Trickett just now
and..."
>> or "It's p...ing down at Shooters" during the snow season.
>>
>> And check this out, we are even visiting a really nice couple who have
a
>> farmstay cabin out there where it is likely we will be staying in
July
>> for our mid-year holidays. If I get time, I will check to see if the
>> little library has a net connection at Oberon so I can post during
our
>> hols.
>>
>> Cheers,
>>
>> Lindsay Pearce
>> PS: Thinking of all the folk up in North Qld just now. Desley, how
are
>> you?
>>
>>
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>>
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
>
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
004
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 11:22:05 +1000
From: Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.7 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: thunderstorms???!?!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey all, Here is the 11:14am forecast for the South East QLD Coast, and
the word 'thunderstorms' is in there!!!!!!!!!!! :)
IDF45Q15
SOUTHEAST COAST DISTRICT
A few showers developing, tending to rain and isolated thunderstorms in
the
north overnight, extending throughout the area during Sunday. Light to
moderate SE to E winds, fresh at times near the coast.
Monday ... A few showers.
Tuesday ... A shower or two.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
005
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 09:14:58 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Does anyone have an idea if the eruptions by Mayon, Heckla (sp?) etc
might have a significant impact on our weather over the next season or
so? Were the eruptions substantial enough to do such a thing?
Lindsay Pearce
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
006
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 2000 05:07:48 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Off Topic, car help
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Bummer Andrew, I recently virtualy gave away our old Corona, (celica
2000 motor) the guy down the bottom of our street now has it. Good old
car too. He's a backyard mechanic and has it running great now. You
coulda had it for nothing if you picked it up!
Lindsay P.
Andrew Wall wrote:
>
> Hi ppls,
>
> This post is a little off topic, I hope you don't mind :)
>
> The old Chaser mobile (Toyota Corona) is having a few troubles at the
> moment with everything that can go wrong with it, is going wrong. One thing
> I need advice on is cleaning the engine of oil that has leaked out of the
> engine. I would try de-greaser etc. but I was hoping for a cheaper
> solution, maybe something off the cleaning shelf ?????
>
> Anyhelp appreciated,
>
> Andrew
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Nick Sykes" [nsykes22 at optushome.com.au]
To: "Ben Tichborne" [tich at netaccess.co.nz]
"Ben Quinn" , "Ben Munro" ,
"Ben" , ,
"Anthony Cornelius" ,
007
"Andrew Wall" ,
"Andrew Puddifer" ,
"Andrew Miskelly" ,
"Adam Mayo"
Subject: aus-wx: New E-mail
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 01:02:49 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey All
I have a new e-mail address
It's
Nick Sykes
008
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 13:05:08 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Yeah Lindsay it could have and effect, i know that when Mt Pinnatobo in
the Philippines last went the amount of ash / debris that was put sorry
ejected from the volcano in to the upper atmosphere. Lowered the temperature
of the Earth buy a fraction of a degree and this was from only one volcano. As
all the ash ect that is floating in the upper atmosphere block's out some of
the sunlight Before it reaches the Ground, so a fraction less reaches the
Earths surface.
If enough volcanoes erupted with enough force , with all the debris in the
upper atmosphere that takes a fair while to reach the ground again. You would
have the same effect as a Nuclear winter or after asteroid impact with the
dust / debris blocking out the sun rays completely. Or greatly reducing the
amount of solar radiation that reaches the earth surface and we all know what
would happen then.
The climate would change all over the world, it would be like an Ice age
if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, or on a lesser amount of
blocking out the earth would cool down a great deal literally.
This would all because of the dust up there would reflect incoming solar
radiation back into space before it reaches the lower atmosphere, hence which
means less heat which is what drives all weather. No heat or less heating =
less evaporation.
Any one Else Care to Comment on this one maybe or ppl with a Background in
climatology.
MJ.
Lindsay wrote:
> Does anyone have an idea if the eruptions by Mayon, Heckla (sp?) etc
> might have a significant impact on our weather over the next season or
> so? Were the eruptions substantial enough to do such a thing?
>
> Lindsay Pearce
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
009
From: "Adam Mayo" [oyam at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 16:27:59 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
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Michael and others,
Glad to hear that you have seen the mysterious green things too, Michael.
Some of the folks around Mona Vale wonder about us seeing things that aren't
there. We all agree that they aren't ships flares because they move much to
fast and not in the correct drifting course that flares take. We actually
likened the last ones we saw to flying traffic lights, the green part, with
that same glowing green that the newer signals seem to have.
Judy Mayo.
----- Original Message -----
From: Michael Thompson [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Friday, March 03, 2000 8:00 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: GREEN LIGHTS IN THE SKY
> I have also seen green objects, it was one night when I got up to have a
> drink and looked out the window, at first it looked like an oversized
> shooting star, but slower, then it flared brighter and broke into several
> pieces. It was brighter than any star, and was about the size of a quarter
> moon. There was no noise heard.
>
> It did not look right for a boat flare ( I live near the coast at
> Shellharbour ) or sky rocket, too high and far away.
>
> Michael
>
>
> > I would be interested to know how long these objects were visible for.
> > If these persisted for 30 secs or greater, then most likely it was space
> > debris. Anything shorter than this, then it may have been a meteor.
> >
> > If it was a meteor, then it would, as Andrew pointed out, be a random
> > or sporadic meteor due to dust particles colliding flush on with the
Earth
> > (ie not really captured into orbit).
> >
> > --
>
>
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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010
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 15:32:04 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #12
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWAanim.htm updated to BoM #14.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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011
From: paulmoss at tpgi.com.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 15:17:29 +0930
Subject: aus-wx: Re: Volcanic Ash & effects
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Howdy all.
Quick note: Matt Piper has arrived safely in paradise.......to temps
of 27with a Dp of 25-27!! Nice and humid..............
On the volcanoe & effects Darwin BOM have a specialised service
for this see: http://www.bom.gov.au/info/vaac/
Paul & Matt
in Darwin at Paradise
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012
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 13:02:18 -0800
From: Lindsay Pearce [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.05 [en] (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Volcanoes impact on weather?
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Yeah, thanks Mark, I think we had some decent falls of snow up here
following Pinnatobo so I was just wondering how much impact it might
have for this season.
I appreciate your thoughts, anyone else got more thoughts?
Lindsay P
PS: light to moderate rain falling here in Blackheath at 5pm, radar
shows more headed towards us, some of it quite heavy - wonder if the
ranges to our sw will rob some of it...?
Mark Dwyer wrote:
>
> Yeah Lindsay it could have and effect, i know that when Mt Pinnatobo in
> the Philippines last went the amount of ash / debris that was put sorry
> ejected from the volcano in to the upper atmosphere. Lowered the temperature
> of the Earth buy a fraction of a degree and this was from only one volcano. As
> all the ash ect that is floating in the upper atmosphere block's out some of
> the sunlight Before it reaches the Ground, so a fraction less reaches the
> Earths surface.
> If enough volcanoes erupted with enough force , with all the debris in the
> upper atmosphere that takes a fair while to reach the ground again. You would
> have the same effect as a Nuclear winter or after asteroid impact with the
> dust / debris blocking out the sun rays completely. Or greatly reducing the
> amount of solar radiation that reaches the earth surface and we all know what
> would happen then.
> The climate would change all over the world, it would be like an Ice age
> if the level of blocking was sufficient enough, or on a lesser amount of
> blocking out the earth would cool down a great deal literally.
> This would all because of the dust up there would reflect incoming solar
> radiation back into space before it reaches the lower atmosphere, hence which
> means less heat which is what drives all weather. No heat or less heating =
> less evaporation.
> Any one Else Care to Comment on this one maybe or ppl with a Background in
> climatology.
>
> MJ.
>
> Lindsay wrote:
>
> > Does anyone have an idea if the eruptions by Mayon, Heckla (sp?) etc
> > might have a significant impact on our weather over the next season or
> > so? Were the eruptions substantial enough to do such a thing?
> >
> > Lindsay Pearce
> >
> > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
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>
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013
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 17:06:16 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another Cat 5 of WA, Color Sat pic's
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
This is the latest post re Gloria:
THE REGIONAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY: 2000-03-04.
ISSUED AT 06:00 SAST BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER BUREAU.
THIS FORECAST WILL BE UPDATED AT 12:00 SAST.
MEDIA/PRESS RELEASE :
---------------------
TROPICAL CYCLONE "GLORIA" WAS SITUATED OVER WESTERN MADAGASCAR
AT 2AM SAST TODAY, SATURDAY 4TH MARCH. SHE IS NOW MOVING IN A
WEST-SOUTH-WESTERLY DIRECTION AT APPROXIMATELY 15 KM/HR AND IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE OCEAN OFF THE WEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR
LATE TODAY, SATURDAY 4 MARCH.
NOTE THAT THESE WEATHER SYSTEMS ARE OF SUCH A NATURE THAT IT IS
NOT POSSIBLE TO ACCURATELY PREDICT THEIR BEHAVIOUR MUCH BEYOND
48 HOURS. "GLORIA" HAS WEAKENED DURING HER OVERLAND TRACK AND MAY
BE EXPECTED TO SHOW SOME REINTENSIFICATION WHEN SHE GOES BACK INTO
THE OCEAN. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT AT THIS STAGE THERE
ARE NO CLEAR INDICATIONS THAT SHE WILL CAUSE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE OR THE NORTH-EASTERN PARTS OF SOUTH AFRICA IN
THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER BUREAU IS CONTINUOUSLY MONITORING
THIS SYSTEM AND WILL KEEP THE PUBLIC INFORMED OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
Carl Smith wrote:
>
> Hi All.
>
> Unfortunately, the poor people of Mozambique have TCGloria heading their
> way now.
>
> It is currently crossing Madagascar, and is expected to intensify as it
> heads into the Mozambique channel before making landfall in Mozambique.
>
> I hope the international community pulls it's finger out and gets as many
> people out of the trees and off the house roofs as they can before Gloria
> hits!
>
> Meanwhile, the remains of Leon-Eline are still over SW Africa creating even
> more flooding heading towards Mozambique.
>
> Regards,
> Carl.
>
> >For the sake of the poor people of Mozambique, let's hope not....
> >
> >Mark Dwyer wrote:
> >>
> >> Well we have yet another Cat 5 Cyclone of the Wa coast hmm only the 6 th
> >> one in the last 15 months . And at last report there was at least 5
> >> Tropical Cyclones going at present between the WA Coast and the East
> >> Coast of Africa. Were former TC Leon made it all the way from Wa to the
> >> African East coast.
> >> Any thoughts on if " TC Norman " will do the same if it continues on
> >> it's westerly track ??.
> >> And also good to see that the ppl at OSEI and the NOAA have got the
> >> color Sat Pic's up for us again for TC Norman.
> >>
> >> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCnorman061_N4.jpg
> >> or you can got to the main menu at
> >> http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/Atlantic/
> >>
> >> MJ.
> >>
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014
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 17:30:32 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney-Weekend prospects
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hopefully this is the start of a change in the patterns which my drought
figures suggest might be happening soon.
Maybe an ECL?
Jimmy Deguara wrote:
>
> Michael and all,
>
> I am quite interested in the positioning of the cloud mass off Queensland
> and a small dense blob.
>
> I checked the AVN model and there is an upper level low in the area.
>
> I suppose that will be the first signs of major rains spreading S along the
> coast towards SE Qld/ NSW I will be watching it closely. Of course, it
> should also interact with the instability to the SW and W of Sydney later on.
>
> Jimmy Deguara
>
> At 19:54 3/03/00 +1100, you wrote:
> >It looks better than last weekend, but nothing too exciting either.
> >
> >Saturday the LI's are around 0, but fall quickly to Sydney's SW ( west of
> >Goulburn )
> >
> >The most unusual feature is the jet in NE NSW / SE QLD, it does such a tight
> >loop that you can have in just a couple of hundred kilometres jets in the
> >complete opposite direction, and strong ones too. I would not mind being in
> >Brisbane as something may happen there.
> >
> >Sunday things improve for Sydney with LI's going negative, but a lack of
> >upper winds should see pulse storms on the ranges mainly.
> >
> >Regards
> >Michael
> >
> >
> >
> >----- Original Message -----
> >From: Matt Smith
> >To:
> >Sent: Friday, 3 March 2000 17:06
> >Subject: aus-wx: Strange BoM forecast for Sydney
> >
> >
> > > I cant recall ever seeing a forecast like the one for sunday (For
> >Sydney)..
> > > sounds too good to be true, reminds me of the forecasts they issue in the
> > > states "slight/moderate/high risk days", but i will beleive it when i see
> > > it, so far it looks like most of the action could be in central NSW, and
> >SE
> > > NSW, But different models are showing different things...
> > >
> > > Matt Smith
> > >
> > > Headline : Fine. Milder tomorrow.
> > >
> > > Sunday : Moderate thunderstorm risk. NE winds.
> > > City: Min: 20 Max: 26
> > >
> > > Monday : Showers developing. S/SE winds
> > > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
> > >
> > > Tuesday : Few showers. S/SE winds
> > > City: Min: 17 Max: 25
> > >
> > > Trend for Wednesday Thursday and Friday :
> > > Fine, NE winds. Few showers Friday with southerly change
> > >
> > >
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> > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> > >
> >
> >
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>
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015
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Sat, 4 Mar 2000 18:32:02 +1000
To: aussie-weather mailing list [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve map animation updated #15
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
TC Steve map animation at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/SteveWAanim.htm updated to BoM #15.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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016
X-Originating-IP: [132.234.250.7]
From: "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: a few lighting sported in QLD
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 19:08:32 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
there are a few lighting sported on the ENERGEX lighting tracker page in
QLD.
http://www.energex.com.au/main/asp/redirect.asp?url=/news/lightningtracker.asp
Wilson =^o^=
CopyRight by CCOP WIL =^o^=
============================================================
***By the mean time, please visit my weather link homepage ****
http://www.angelfire.com/ak3/machill/ccc.html
============================================================
"Remember LIFE is just 20 % happens to you
and 80 % on how you react back !!!!
Coz you only live ONCE so take your OWN BEST SHOT !!!!!"
=^o^=
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017
X-Originating-IP: [132.234.250.7]
From: "Mac Hill" [mac_hill at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: a few lighting sported in QLD
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 19:17:18 EST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
forgot to added that the area of the lighting is around MBY - GYM in QLD.
Wilson =^o^=
>
>there are a few lighting sported on the ENERGEX lighting tracker page in
>QLD.
>
>http://www.energex.com.au/main/asp/redirect.asp?url=/news/lightningtracker.asp
>
>
>Wilson =^o^=
>
>
>
>CopyRight by CCOP WIL =^o^=
>============================================================
>***By the mean time, please visit my weather link homepage ****
>http://www.angelfire.com/ak3/machill/ccc.html
>============================================================
>"Remember LIFE is just 20 % happens to you
>and 80 % on how you react back !!!!
>Coz you only live ONCE so take your OWN BEST SHOT !!!!!"
> =^o^=
>
>______________________________________________________
>Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
>
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018
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 18:11:43 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Steve update #15
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
IDW50W05
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 15
Issued at 3:45 pm WST on Saturday, 4 March 2000
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING is current for the coastal areas between
COCKATOO
ISLAND and LA GRANGE/BIDYADANGA. A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to
Karratha.
At 3 pm WST a tropical low [ex-Steve] was located 85 kilometres west of
Derby
and 95 kilometres northeast of Broome moving west southwest at 28
kilometres per
hour. The low is expected to move out to sea to the north of Broome this
evening
and re-develop into a tropical cyclone.
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop
tonight in
coastal areas between Cockatoo Island and La Grange/Bidyadanga.
Heavy rain is expected to cause widespread flooding of the low-lying
areas in
the north and west Kimberley region tonight and tomorrow.
Details of the tropical low [ex-Steve] at 3pm WST.
Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of
Latitude 17.2 South Longtitude 122.8 East.
Recent movement : west southwest at 28 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 992 hPa.
Wind gusts : increasing to 100 kilometres per hour tonight.
Severity category : becoming Category 1 overnight
The WA State Emergency Service advises of the following community
alerts:
Blue alert: Cockatoo Island, Koolan Island, One Arm Point, Cape
Leveque,
Djarindjin, Lombadina, Beagle Bay, Broome and Bidyadanga.
The next warning will be issued at 7:00 pm WST.
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019
Date: Sat, 04 Mar 2000 18:09:38 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at wantree.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Fiztroy River Flood Recored has fallen
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
The record was 11.4M bcak in 96, read below for the current flood
advice, they have just said on the new's in an interview with the Head
of Severe Wx Perth, that it will or should peak around 12 Metres.
IDW40W17
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
FLOOD WARNING CENTRE
RENEWAL OF FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FITZROY RIVER CATCHMENT
Issued at 4:11pm WST on Saturday the 4th of March 2000
Based on information supplied by the Water and Rivers Commission this
morning,
the Fitzroy River at Fitzroy Crossing is expected to reach a level of
about 12
metres on Sunday. High river levels in the area are expected to
continue for a
few days. At 2.20pm this afternoon the river level was 11.43 metres
rising
slowly.
Flooding in low lying areas can be expected.
Upstream at Dimond Gorge the river level at 2.20pm was 6.23 metres and
rising.
Weather Outlook
Rainfall in the Fitzroy River catchment will continue to ease during the
next 12
hours. Ex Tropical Cyclone Steve to be near the Kimberley coast north
of Broome
at about 6pm this evening. Scattered heavy falls is forecast for the
West
Kimberley region.
Motorists are urged to use extreme caution when crossing flooded roads
and
causeways.
For up to date reports on the conditions of roads from Main Roads WA,
ring 1800
013 314.
The next warning will be issued at: 11am Sunday 5th March.
Weather and Flood Information can be found on the Internet at
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/
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| Document: 000304.htm
Updated: 05 March 2000 |
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