From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 "Les Crossan" [les.crossan at virgin.net]         UK website...
002 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Re: La Nina Phase
003 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Re: La Nina Phase
004 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             Few photos...
005 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Windows on the weather
006 "The Weather Co." [twc at theweather.com.au]      Weather Photographers Wanted...

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
From: "Les Crossan" [les.crossan at virgin.net]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: UK website...
Date: Thu, 23 Mar 2000 15:42:13 -0000
Organization: Cosmic EuroCon - note all times are always GMT
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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----- Original Message ----- 
  
From: 
  Michael 
  Thompson 
  
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
  
Sent: Thursday, March 23, 2000 10:16 
  AM
  
Subject: Re: aus-wx: UK website...
  


  
Hi Les
  
 
  
Finally got round to linking your site.
  
 
  
Have you any plans for coming out later this year ?
  
 
  
At present, yes but it all depends on the contract work. If we do come 
  it'll be after all the olympic hoohah has died down!
  
 
  
Les

002
Date: Thu, 23 Mar 2000 04:25:27 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Re: La Nina Phase
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thanks Bill, I appreciate it.

Lindsay P.

W.A. (Bill) Webb wrote:
> 
> Hi Lindsay and all,
> 
> Some of your questions may be answered by going to
> http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml
> and following links further.
> 
> Also, and you may have it, go to
> http://www.dnr.qld.gov.au/longpdk/
> 
> I have e-mailed your request to a friend of mine who is a senior scientist
> (climatology) with the Qld Center for Climate Applications in Toowoomba.
> Expect a response sometime.
> 
> Regards,
> Bill in Proserpine NQ.
>


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003
Date: Thu, 23 Mar 2000 04:42:47 -0800
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Re: La Nina Phase
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Thanks Michael,

That was so good! Well written and simply explained. Copyright it,
expand it into a booklet and sell it!  Seriously, it helped a
lot. I don't have a lot of net time (read thousands of dollars spent on
new car, whole bunch of new appliances etc BUT no longer a mortgage!) so
such info and links are really helpful in saving time for me.


Cheers,



Lindsay "Snowhead" Pearce


Michael Scollay wrote:
> 
> Hi Bill, Lindsay & all,
> 
> Dr. David Jones might also have something to add if he
> gets to read this...Good links, Bill...I've also posted
> some stuff about what Lindsay raises in the past.
> Basically, I took a long, hard look at SOI v/s snowfall
> and concluded that the correllation wasn't that good in
> the region of the best seasons but that the worst seasons
> certainly came along with drought periods typical of a
> very -ve SOI (El Nino). Very strong La Nina's were also
> not that good for snow since it seems that more rain fell
> than snow, particularly in later seasons as the mean
> global and regional temperatures have risen. Best seasons
> came with average, but slightly La Nina conditions.
> 
> When you delve more deeply, what happens in our winter
> is very much a function of SST's in the Indian and Pacific
> oceans near to Australia and the pattern of the Antartic
> Circumpolar Current. (ACC) that affects the Southern Ocean.
> This creates, if you like, a "wave" that tends to direct
> the formation, intensification and movement of weather
> systems - the blocking high effect. Moving that wave west
> or east of its "norm" means the difference between lots
> of snowy cold fronts over the Snowy Mountains or very few
> at all. More important is a sustained moist-cold air flow
> from the SW that brings large amounts of orographic
> snowfall over many days. So if the conditions are right
> to have the fronts build up and dump in the right place
> with the SW air-flow remaining a few days, then we'll
> get a good snow season.
> 
> When you examine SST anomally against MSLP anomally, it's
> very easy to spot that a cold anomally encourages highs
> and a warm anomally encourages lows. What's important for
> our snow is where these lows come from i.e warm or cold
> cored. Too much warm water in the Indian Ocean is bad
> news for cold-cored lows. Same goes for the Pacific and
> down south. Look for average to slightly colder conditions
> in both the Indian, Pacific and Southern Oceans where our
> winter lows come from. This is just about optimal for the
> best seasons. As for the coming season, I'm yet to stick
> my neck out and shoot for a prediction, but looking at
> the SST's is encouraging. About May is a better time.
> 
> Other SOI/El Nino/La Nina links that are worthwhile
> examining can be found at;
> 
> http://www.ogp.noaa.gov/enso/
> 
> The one at COLA is pretty good also;
> 
> http://grads.iges.org/nino/
> 
> The current La Nina phase is predicted to strengthen
> during our winter and return to average by the end
> of our summmer in 2001. This is historically good for
> rain and not snow, but there have been some exceptions
> provided the SST's stay lower.
> 
> SST anomalies are slightly warmer in the immediate
> regions of Indian and Pacific Oceans. There are pockets
> remaining of a cold anomaly east of QLD, but that seems
> to be weakening. Immediately south is slightly warmer
> also as the very warm Indian Ocean Anomaly is breaking
> up and dissipating in the W to E current under Australia.
> Further south than this is more cold anomaly, so the
> outlook is for basically near average SST's all around.
> This is good for snow. My only fear is a body of very
> warm water near East Africa that might make it's way
> east and warm up our winter water to the south. Watch
> this space...Otherwise, it looks like being colder than
> average temperature-wise. Combine that with average
> SST's and lots of moisture in my mind adds up to a
> good snow season coming up. But then, I'm not making
> a prediction, are I?
> 
> But at the end of the day, much of our winter weather
> originates and is affected by the Indian & Southern
> Oceans which I think only the BoM has any state-of-
> the-art models derived from. I just wish they had the
> funding to make them as flashy and open as some of the
> others...
> 
> Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
> 
> "W.A. (Bill) Webb" wrote on Wed, 22 Mar 2000 14:58:43 +1000:
> >
> > Hi Lindsay and all,
> >
> > Some of your questions may be answered by going to
> > http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml
> > and following links further.
> >
> > Also, and you may have it, go to
> > http://www.dnr.qld.gov.au/longpdk/
> >
> > I have e-mailed your request to a friend of mine who is a
> > senior scientist (climatology) with the Qld Center for
> > Climate Applications in Toowoomba. Expect a response
> > sometime.
> >
> > Regards,
> > Bill in Proserpine NQ.
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: Lindsay 
> > To: 
> > Sent: Wednesday, March 22, 2000 7:35 AM
> > Subject: aus-wx: Re: La Nina Phase
> >
> > > Do those more in the know than me on the list have some
> > > thoughts on the La Nina phase we are in and how long it
> > > might potentially last for?
> > >
> > > Is it reasonable to suggest a moderately (or less or
> > > more so? )positive SOI will persist into early winter
> > > and further?
> > >
> > > Would this positive SOI/La Nina event encourage more
> > > snowfalls this season, considering the amount of
> > > moisture around?
> > >
> > > Last winter we seemed to have more onshore (S/E) winds
> > > over the Central Tablelands and not as many colder
> > > south westerlies. Remember those gigantic, blocking
> > > highs?
> > >
> > > Lindsay P.
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>  message.
>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------


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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

004
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
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Date: Fri, 24 Mar 2000 16:44:07 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Few photos...
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Just got some photos back of the storms here around Sydney over the last
week or so...

http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm/thunderstruck/2000/March14-23.htm

Clyve/Macca - Storms and trains in some photos, remind me and ill get copys
done and sent to you both. As usual the scans arent as clear as the
photos.. (stupid scanner) but better than nothing!

Enjoy.

Matt Smith
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005
Date: Fri, 24 Mar 2000 17:59:42 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Windows on the weather
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

This is primarily a Microsoft Windows 95 question but it relates to my
weather data analysis.
Does anyone know how I can use Microsoft Excel 97 to call a 3rd party
statistical software package by means of a Visual Basic macro?
The program in question is called 'Best Fit'. It came with a book I
bought recently.
I just want to avoid having to avoid switching between this and Excel
all the time whenever I want to test a dataset for the best fitting
distribution.
If I was better at maths I could set up in Excel the calculations Best
Fit does but I've no idea how those calcs are done.
I'd also like to activate Minitab in Excel but it seems Excel will only
activate Microsoft applications.
I realise this is in the realm of statistics which I suspect not many of
you are familiar with but  any constructive advice would be greatly
appreciated...thanx
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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

006
From: "The Weather Co." [twc at theweather.com.au]
To: "Maillist Weather doods" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Cc: 
Subject: aus-wx: Weather Photographers Wanted...
Date: Fri, 24 Mar 2000 18:20:26 +1100
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Hello everyone,
                      Weather 21 is presently looking for people who are
interested in weather photography and in particular, storm photography, to
help supply real time weather photos for live broadcast.  In particular,
people would be required to have some sort of digital camera in order to
supply the images in "real-time", although any interesting weather photos
are welcome.
Also, if you know of anyone not on this list who may be interested, could
you please tell them to get in touch.
Interested people can contact: Bill Edmonds at the following address:
bille at weather21.com.au
for more information.
Cheers,
            Paul G.
____________________
The Weather Company
Level 2, 7 West Street
North Sydney 2060
Phone: (02) 9955 7704
Fax: (02) 9955 1536
twc at theweather.com.au

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------