From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             Sydney Hailstorm Anniversary, www.sydneystormchasers.com
002 "Paul Yole" [raptor at megasat.net.au]            Storm News
003 Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]             TC Paul
004 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Hail Stories/Blasts from the Past
005 "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au]         TC Paul
006 "Dr David Jones" [d.jones at bom.gov.au]          solar loading?
007 "Lyle Pakula" [remote at leski.com.au]            solar loading?
008 Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]                   Fw: Query re SOI and snow
009 "Nick Sykes" [nsykes22 at optushome.com.au]       Cb's in Melbourne
010 "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au]         TC Paul now a severe Cat 3  
011 Mark Dwyer [mjd at iinet.net.au]                  TC Paul going for 950 hPa 
012 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]    Sydney Hailstorm Anniversary, www.sydneystormchasers.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32)
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 01:27:35 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Sydney Hailstorm Anniversary, www.sydneystormchasers.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Everyone !!!


http://www.sydneystormchasers.com 


Yep ! It's finally up and running !


Myself, Daniel Weatherhead and James Harris are co-owners of the site,
and they will slowly be adding their photos/chase reports over the
comming weeks.


I have written a special little report to commemorate the First
Anniversary of the April 14 1999 Sydney Supercell Hailstorm. , click on
the image on the front page to go to it, I guarantee there are damage
photos in the links that you have never seen before! Some great articles
there to read as well.


Also added chase reports and photos for April 3 , and photos for the
guster that came across Sydney with a change on March 23.. Please click
on the link below to access the new stuff!

http://www.sydneystormchasers.com/2000/index.htm


My last roll of film I got developed was well, crap. It wasn't the
camera, not the photo shop, but the film itself, little white specks all
over it, please look past those when you view the images above, there are
some great photos if you try and ignore the specks. :)  (Anyone else ever
had this problem?)


Sorry to everyone who has to change links from my old page 

( http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm/thunderstruck/index.htm ) 

This will be the last time the URL changes.


Enjoy !


Matthew Smith


ASWA Committee Member

                  -----Sydney Storm Chasers-----

                 http://www.sydneystormchasers.com

        ----Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)----

                  http://www.severeweather.asn.au




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002

From: "Paul Yole" [raptor at megasat.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storm News
Date: Thu, 13 Apr 2000 23:07:56 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2919.6600
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

I agree. Got the copy today and have already read it twice. Well done to all
and looking forward to the next issue

Paul.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Keith Barnett" [weather at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2000 7:30 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storm News


Hear, hear to that, Jimmy. The quality is excellent and the articles
well worth reading and re-reading later.
Congratulations to all involved.

Jimmy Deguara wrote:
>
> Hi everyone,
>
> I must say that when I received Storm News, I was impressed by the whole
> package with logo. The Storm News newsletter was just as impressive with a
> great variety of articles.
>
> For those involved, a great job done!!!
>
> Jimmy Deguara
>
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003
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Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 08:28:52 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Paul
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Latest BoM MSLP chart has the low NW of WA names as TC Paul, pressure 995.
moving WSW. The WA BoM Havent updated there TC page yet to reflect what the
MSLP chart says.

Matt Smith
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004
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 08:26:04 -0700
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Hail Stories/Blasts from the Past
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Yeah, my partner said it poured at Wentworth Falls Thursday arvo,
nothing here.

Lindsay P.

Matt Smith wrote:
> 
> Cell went pink on radar up your way Lindsay at around 4pm
> I can see it now (decayed) from Burwood
> 
> Hopefully a sign of things to come maybe..
> 
> Matt
> 
> >Thanks Jimmy and others, some good stuff there.
> >
> >I've also been watching that low track east, we might get something out
> >of it up here in the Blue Mountains, depends what that high does,
> >preceding it, I guess. Probably more wind than anything else at this
> >stage.
> >
> >Lindsay P.
> >
> >Jimmy Deguara wrote:
> >>
> >> To answer the question, the best bet in regards to hailstorms would have
> >> been November 1979. The Bankstown area (hailstorm alley) had quite a few
> >> severe hailstorms at that time.
> >>
> >>                  Begin Date/Time Latitude        Longitude       Nearest
> Town
> >> Event 1 12 Nov 1979 2:00        33.67   151.00  NW & N SUBURBS
> >> Event 2 12 Nov 1979 6:10        31.12   150.90  TAMWORTH
> >> Event 3 12 Nov 1979 7:10        31.08   150.93  TAMWORTH
> >> Event 4 15 Nov 1979 5:15        33.88   151.22  BANKSTWON AIRPORT
> >> Event 5 15 Nov 1979 10:00       34.00   151.00  SW & S SUBURBS
> >> Event 6 23 Nov 1979 7:45        34.00   151.00  SW & S SUBURBS
> >> Event 7 23 Nov 1979 14:00       33.88   151.22  SYDNEY
> >> Event 8 25 Nov 1979 19:00       34.00   151.00  SW & S SUBURBS
> >>
> >>                  Hail    Max Wind (kts)  Precipitaion Amount
> >> (mm)        Precipitation Period (mins)     Event Comments
> >> Event 1 5.00                            5 CM HAIL,FF NEW NORTH ROCKS RD
> >> UNDER 1 M WATER,K MART FLD AFTER ROOF COLLAPSED,LASTED 15 MINS,UPROOTED
> >> TREES   flash flood
> >> Event 2         48.00                   48 kt gust at Tamworth at 0610 UTC
> >> on 12/11/1979.
> >> Event 3         48.00                   Bureau Study (WINDEX)
> >> Event 4         50.00                   THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED 50 KNOTS
> >> GUST, THIS IS ABOUT 5 HOURS EARLIER THAN EVENT ON SAME DAY
> >> Event 5         71.00                   GUST 71 KT AT 2118,BUILDINGS
> >> UNROOFED,TREES DOWN,00'S HOMES DAMAGED,$ MILLIONS DAMAGE
> >> Event 6         52.00                   GUST 52 KNOTS AT BANKSTOWN WITH 26
> >> MM/25 MINS
> >> Event 7         53.00                   GUST 53 KNOTS
> >> Event 8 4.40    61.00                   GUST 61 KNOTS, GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL,
> >> $1 MILLION DAM
> >>
> >> I hope this information helps. It is information from the Bureau of
> >> Meteorology  storm database in Sydney.
> >>
> >> Jimmy Deguara
> >>
> >> At 05:08 12/04/00 -0700, you wrote:
> >> >Reading Jimmy Deguara's story on the Sydney hail storm of 1983 in Storm
> >> >News - Winter edition, reminded me of a fantastic hail storm we had in
> >> >the late seventies.
> >> >
> >> >I can't remember the year, although I know I was in high school at the
> >> >time, (Maybe 1978 or 1979) and it hailed VERY heavily, such that we made
> >> >snow men in the school grounds that morning (I think it was morning) and
> >> >I remember seeing a guy removing hail from his guttering on the way home
> >> >that day. I also climbed onto our roof and found hail still there the
> >> >day after the storm! Maybe it was during winter, I can't recall.
> >> >
> >> >The park near our place in "Bevo" (Beverly Hills) was inches deep with
> >> >hail and it really did look like a snow scene. The hail was probably
> >> >five to ten cent piece size, going on memory, with maybe the odd bigger
> >> >stone.
> >> >
> >> >Anyway, Jimmy's story reminded me of my own highschool hail storm
> >> >experience.  poufflkjsldjdljfdusiuf, oops sorry, my Jack Russell just
> >> >jumped onto my lap and the keyboard!
> >> >
> >> >Blair, Don or others, any way of pin pointing the year/month etc, of
> >> >that storm?
> >> >Do others recall it? It was the best I have ever seen.
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >Lindsay Pearce
> >> >
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005
From: "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: TC Paul
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 07:38:04 +0800
Organization: Karratha AWS
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Hi all
TC Paul now a cat 2 and doesnt look like intensifying any further :(
JTWC has increasing wind shear preventing it developing any further in the
Outlook Period.

Here in Karratha we had a nice heavy shower which was enough to wake me
up...only 0.4mm in the rain gauge though
still looking very grey outside as the webcam shows :)
http://www.kisser.net.au/kevans/webcam/

Very muggy morning  at  7:22am 27.7C 87% RH 25.4C DP
http://www.kisser.net.au/kevans/weather/

Latest Ocean warning for TC Paul

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 2249UTC 13 APRIL 2000

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

SITUATION
Tropical cyclone Paul with central pressure 985hPa located at 2200UTC
Within 30 nautical miles of
 Latitude  fifteen decimal zero south [15.0S]
 Longitude One hundred and nine decimal six east  [109.6E]
moving west southwest at 12 knots.

AREA AFFECTED
Tropical cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, moderate to heavy  swell
and
30/45 knot winds within 100 nautical miles of centre, increasing to very
rough
to high seas and 50 knot winds within 30 nautical miles of centre.

FORECAST
At 1000UTC 14 April.  15.1 south  107.0 east  985hPa
At 2200UTC 14 April.  15.2 south  104.0 east  985hPa

Next warning issued at 0500 UTC 14 April 2000

WEATHER PERTH

Regards

Jason
Karratha WA
----- Original Message -----
From: Matt Smith [disarm at braenet.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Friday, April 14, 2000 6:28 AM
Subject: aus-wx: TC Paul


>
> Latest BoM MSLP chart has the low NW of WA names as TC Paul, pressure 995.
> moving WSW. The WA BoM Havent updated there TC page yet to reflect what
the
> MSLP chart says.
>
> Matt Smith
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006
From: "Dr David Jones" [d.jones at bom.gov.au]
To: "Aussie Weather \(E-mail\)" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: solar loading?
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 11:40:38 +1000
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>cut cut cut...
>Lyle

Lyle, please excuse my ignorance. What is solar loading?

                                                              
Dr David Jones                                               
                                                            
Climate Analysis Section                                   
National Climate Centre                                    
Bureau of Meteorology      Fax      : (+61 3) 9669 4678   
GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne   Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861 
Victoria 3001, Australia   Ph (home): (+61 3) 9898 4425  
email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au                               


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007
From: "Lyle Pakula" [remote at leski.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: solar loading?
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 12:54:33 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
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Hi David,

I refer to solar loading as the solar radiation incident on the planets
surface. I think climatoligists refer to it as K(down). A raw approximation
to it's intensity at any lattitude is that it is proportional to the cos of
the lattitude. This assumes the sun is centered over the equator and that
the light rays are parralell.

In winter the sun is not centered on the equator and, thus, weakens the
effects of extra solar radiaition but not by much.

Cheers,
Lyle

p.s. excuse my last letter, there are typos b/c my keyboard is stuffed and
won't type some letters if I don't hit the keys hard enough :-)



----- Original Message -----
From: Dr David Jones [d.jones at bom.gov.au]
To: Aussie Weather (E-mail) [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Sent: Friday, April 14, 2000 11:40 AM
Subject: aus-wx: solar loading?


> >cut cut cut...
> >Lyle
>
> Lyle, please excuse my ignorance. What is solar loading?
>
>
> Dr David Jones
>
> Climate Analysis Section
> National Climate Centre
> Bureau of Meteorology      Fax      : (+61 3) 9669 4678
> GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne   Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861
> Victoria 3001, Australia   Ph (home): (+61 3) 9898 4425
> email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au
>
>
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008
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 08:37:25 -0700
From: Lindsay [writer at lisp.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Fw: Query re SOI and snow
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

W.A. (Bill) Webb wrote:
Yes, thanks Bill, appreciate you getting back to me, and the list, on
that one.

I'll see what others that are more informed than me say about your post.



Cheers,



Lindsay Pearce



> 
> Hi Lindsay and all,
> 
> Have posted below to list as earlier correspondence went to all.
> 
> Hope it helps Lindsay, and is of interest to all. The comment on the
> predicted position of the sub-tropical ridge later this year may promote
> some discussion.
> 
> See ya
> Bill
> Proserpine
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: 
> To: 
> Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2000 1:16 PM
> Subject: RE: Query re SOI and snow
> 
> > Hi Bill,
> >
> > My understanding is that snow-falls in the Australian Alps tend to be
> above
> > average during La Nina events, and below average during El Nino events.
> The
> > current La Nina pattern has weakened considerably over recent months.
> >
> > The persistent 'cool' sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies are slowly
> > contracting, indicating that the La Ni�a may be receding. This is also
> > hinted at by other features such as the slight weakening of the strong
> > easterly winds in the central Pacific Ocean associated with the La Ni�a.
> >
> > Forecasts from most experimental general circulation models are currently
> > suggesting that by mid-year the La Ni�a will have subsided and neutral
> > conditions dominate.  However, three climate models indicate the possible
> > development of an El Nino, and sub-surface sea temperatures to the east of
> > Australia are now significantly warmer than normal, in classic 'pre-El
> Nino'
> > mode.  In addition, some early research work suggests the sub-tropical
> ridge
> > may again be further north than normal this winter which may tend to
> reduce
> > winter rainfall from the Goondiwindi district through to the Central
> > Highlands.  As these indicators provide some cause for concern, regular
> > monitoring of them and the SOI during the autumn 'predictability gap' is
> > recommended.
> >
> > I hope your workshops go well.
> >
> > Cheers,
> >
> > Col Paull
> > Senior Extension Officer (Climate Risk)                           Phone:
> > (07)3896 9587
> > Queensland Centre for Climate Applications                 Ph  A/H:
> (07)3345
> > 6921
> > Gate 4, 80 Meiers Road
> > Fax: (07)3896 9843
> > Indooroopilly Qld 4068
> > International: +61-7
> > Email: colin.paull at dnr.qld.gov.au 
> > URL: http://www.dnr.qld.gov.au/longpdk 
> >
> > ----------
> > From:  W.A. (Bill) Webb [SMTP:billwebb at tpgi.com.au]
> > Sent:  Tuesday, 11 April 2000 15:44
> > To:  Col Paull
> > Subject:  Query re SOI and snow
> >
> > Hello Col,
> >
> > I sent the following to Roger Stone some time ago, and it was
> > returned to me
> > as address unknown. Searching through various climate related
> > paraphenalia,
> > I came across your card (probably included in literature associated
> > with
> > Managing for Climate workshops
> >big snip.
> 
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>  -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

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009
From: "Nick Sykes" [nsykes22 at optushome.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Cb's in Melbourne
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 15:13:22 +1000
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Hi all

A compact little cell is heading slowly across Port Phillip Bay, the cell
currently has red in it. From my place I can see a flanking line forming on
the northern side on the cell with some nice fresh updraughts.

We are on the back end of the cloud band now, some nice sun is out, the DP
is about 16, LI's forecasted around -2.

The cell seems to be heading east, between St Kilda and Mordialloc. I'll be
heading down the bay shortly.

cya

Nick Sykes

SE Australia Satellite Images

http://members.xoom.com/nsykes

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010
From: "Keith & Jason" [kevans at kisser.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Paul now a severe Cat 3  
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 18:30:44 +0800
Organization: Karratha AWS
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Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all
TC Paul is now a nice Severe Cat 3 Cyclone, should develope a nice eye
feature overnight.......BoM have it intensifying further to 950hPa might be
another Cat 5 on the way ?????? :)
See what happens...

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1017UTC 14 APRIL 2000

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

SITUATION
Tropical cyclone Paul with central pressure 960hPa located at 1000UTC
Within 30 nautical miles of
 Latitude  fifteen decimal one south [15.1S]
 Longitude One hundred and seven decimal two east  [107.0E]
moving west at 15 knots.

AREA AFFECTED
Tropical cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, moderate to heavy  swell
and
30/45 knot winds within 100 nautical miles of centre, increasing to very
high
seas and 70 knot winds within 30 nautical miles of centre.

FORECAST
At 2200UTC 14 April.  15.3 south  104.9 east  955hPa
At 1000UTC 15 April.  15.6 south  102.7 east  950hPa

Next warning issued at 1700 UTC 14 April 2000

WEATHER PERTH

Regards
Jason
Karratha W.A
http://www.kisser.net.au/kevans/weather/


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011
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 19:45:22 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer [mjd at iinet.net.au]
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: TC Paul going for 950 hPa 
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

IDW50W18
40:0:2:24:15S106E999:11:00
PAN PAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1017UTC 14 APRIL 2000

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

SITUATION
Tropical cyclone Paul with central pressure 960hPa located at 1000UTC
Within 30 nautical miles of
 Latitude  fifteen decimal one south [15.1S]
 Longitude One hundred and seven decimal two east  [107.0E]
moving west at 15 knots.

AREA AFFECTED
Tropical cyclone causing rough to very rough seas, moderate to heavy
swell and
30/45 knot winds within 100 nautical miles of centre, increasing to very
high
seas and 70 knot winds within 30 nautical miles of centre.

FORECAST
At 2200UTC 14 April.  15.3 south  104.9 east  955hPa
At 1000UTC 15 April.  15.6 south  102.7 east  950hPa

Next warning issued at 1700 UTC 14 April 2000

WEATHER PERTH

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------

012
From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Sydney Hailstorm Anniversary, www.sydneystormchasers.com
Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2000 23:13:02 +1000
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Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Matt, Daniel, James and all

Congratulations on your new site - it looks fantastic!  Its all very easy to
easy to navigate and is certainly eye catching.  I'll be going back to the
site frequently.  Congrats again.

Looking back to one year ago, I remember myself and many other of us in the
#Weather IRC chat room.  We watched this beast of a supercell track all the
way from the Woolongong area until it ripped through Sydney and northwards.
It was a strange feeling watching this obvious supercell approach the city
when not that many people knew about it!  Of course they certainly knew
about it when 11cm hailstones started smasing through their roofs and
ceilings.  Hopefully the lives of all of those affected by the disaster are
now back to normal.

Regards
James Chambers

>Hi Everyone !!!
>
>http://www.sydneystormchasers.com
>
>Yep ! It's finally up and running !
>
>Myself, Daniel Weatherhead and James Harris are co-owners of the site, and
they will slowly be adding their photos/chase reports over the comming
weeks.
>
>I have written a special little report to commemorate the First Anniversary
of the April 14 1999 Sydney Supercell Hailstorm. , click on the image on the
front page to go to it, I guarantee there are damage photos in the links
that you have never seen before! Some great articles there to read as well.
>
>Also added chase reports and photos for April 3 , and photos for the guster
that came across Sydney with a change on March 23.. Please click on the link
below to access the new stuff!
>http://www.sydneystormchasers.com/2000/index.htm
>
>My last roll of film I got developed was well, crap. It wasn't the camera,
not the photo shop, but the film itself, little white specks all over it,
please look past those when you view the images above, there are some great
photos if you try and ignore the specks. :) (Anyone else ever had this
problem?)
>
>Sorry to everyone who has to change links from my old page
>( http://www.braenet.com.au/~disarm/thunderstruck/index.htm )
>This will be the last time the URL changes.
>
>Enjoy !
>
>Matthew Smith

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 -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------