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Tropical Cyclone PANCHO
[Australian Region][South Indian Ocean][South Pacific Ocean][Southern Hemisphere][Summaries and Track Data]

Tropical Cyclone Pancho
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0057UTC 25 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC a tropical low was centred within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude fourteen decimal two south [14.2S]
 longitude one hundred and four decimal zero east [104.0E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 6 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 996 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24
hours.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Winds 30/40 knots within 90 nautical miles of centre in the northwest quadrant
extending to remaining quadrants after 1200 UTC 25 March with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds 40/50 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre after 1800 UTC 25 March
with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 25 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.2 south 104.5 east
                        Central pressure 990 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 26 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.9 south 104.6 east
                        Central pressure 982 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 25 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0704UTC 25 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone PANCHO was centred within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude fourteen decimal three south [14.3S]
 longitude one hundred and four decimal three east [104.3E]
Recent movement : southeast at 5 knots
Maximum winds   : 35 knots
Central pressure: 992 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants extending to 120
nautical miles in western quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 0600 UTC 26
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants
extending to 120 nautical miles in western quadrants with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre after 1800 UTC 25 March
with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 25 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.2 south 104.6 east
                        Central pressure 986 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 26 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.3 south 105.0 east
                        Central pressure 982 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 25 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1346UTC 25 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was relocated within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude fourteen decimal seven south [14.7S]
 longitude one hundred and three decimal eight east [103.8E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 5 knots
Maximum winds   : 45 knots
Central pressure: 986 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants extending to 120
nautical miles in western quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 45 knots near the centre increasing to 55 knots by 1200 UTC 26
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants
extending to 120 nautical miles in western quadrants with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of the centre from 1800 UTC 25
March with very rough seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 26 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.7 south 104.0 east
                        Central pressure 982 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 26 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.9 south 104.5 east
                        Central pressure 974 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 25 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1828UTC 25 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal two south [15.2S]
 longitude one hundred and three decimal nine east [103.9E]
Recent movement : south at 5 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 982 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants extending to 120
nautical miles in western quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 1800 UTC 26
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 90 nautical miles of the centre in eastern quadrants
extending to 120 nautical miles in western quadrants with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 26 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.3 south 104.2 east
                        Central pressure 974 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 26 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 17.6 south 105.0 east
                        Central pressure 972 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.


Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 26 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0102UTC 26 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was relocated within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal three south [15.3S]
 longitude one hundred and four decimal four east [104.4E]
Recent movement : southeast at 4 knots
Maximum winds   : 55 knots
Central pressure: 972 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre increasing to 75 knots by 0000 UTC 27
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 120 nautical miles of the centre with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre after 0900UTC 25 March
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 26 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 16.4 south 104.8 east
                        Central pressure 966 hPa.
                        Winds to 65 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 27 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 17.8 south 105.1 east
                        Central pressure 958 hPa.
                        Winds to 75 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 26 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0711UTC 26 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles of
 latitude fifteen decimal nine south [15.9S]
 longitude one hundred and four decimal five east [104.5E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 6 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 970 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre increasing to 80 knots by 0600 UTC 27
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 120 nautical miles of the centre with rough seas and
moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre developing after 0900
UTC 25 March with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 26 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.1 south 105.1 east
                        Central pressure 962 hPa.
                        Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 27 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.0 south 105.7 east
                        Central pressure 950 hPa.
                        Winds to 80 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 26 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1312UTC 26 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 20 nautical miles
of
 latitude seventeen decimal one south [17.1S]
 longitude one hundred and five decimal zero east [105.0E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 9 knots
Maximum winds   : 65 knots
Central pressure: 966 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 65 knots near the centre increasing to 90 knots by 1200 UTC 27
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 120 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 140
nautical miles after 0600UTC 28 March with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 50 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 60
nautical miles after 0600UTC 28 March with very rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very high to
phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 27 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 18.9 south 105.5 east
                        Central pressure 950 hPa.
                        Winds to 80 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 27 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 20.9 south 106.2 east
                        Central pressure 938 hPa.
                        Winds to 90 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 26 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1849UTC 26 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 20 nautical miles
of
 latitude eighteen decimal zero south [18.0S]
 longitude one hundred and five decimal two east [105.2E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 9 knots
Maximum winds   : 80 knots
Central pressure: 950 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre increasing to 90 knots by 0600 UTC 27
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 120 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 140
nautical miles after 0600UTC 28 March with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 50 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 60
nautical miles after 0600UTC 28 March with very rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very high to
phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 27 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 19.9 south 105.7 east
                        Central pressure 938 hPa.
                        Winds to 90 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 27 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 21.9 south 106.6 east
                        Central pressure 944 hPa.
                        Winds to 85 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 27 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0056UTC 27 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 20 nautical miles
of
 latitude nineteen decimal zero south [19.0S]
 longitude one hundred and five decimal nine east [105.9E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 9 knots
Maximum winds   : 90 knots
Central pressure: 938 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 140 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 90 knots near the centre easing to 65 knots by 0000 UTC 28
March.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very high to
phenomenal seas.
Winds above 48 knots within 55 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 140 nautical miles of the centre with rough seas and
moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 27 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 20.8 south 106.5 east
                        Central pressure 944 hPa.
                        Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 28 March: Within 75 nautical miles of 22.3 south 106.7 east
                        Central pressure 966 hPa.
                        Winds to 65 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0659UTC 27 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles
of
 latitude twenty decimal six south [20.6S]
 longitude one hundred and six decimal three east [106.3E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 13 knots
Maximum winds   : 90 knots
Central pressure: 938 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160 nautical miles in the
southeastern quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 90 knots near the centre easing to 55 knots by 0600 UTC 28
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160
nautical miles in the southeastern quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 55 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre until 0000 UTC 28 March
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 27 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 22.7 south 107.1 east
                        Central pressure 958 hPa.
                        Winds to 75 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 28 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 24.1 south 107.3 east
                        Central pressure 974 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 27 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1230UTC 27 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles
of
 latitude twenty one decimal seven south [21.7S]
 longitude one hundred and six decimal eight east [106.8E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 13 knots
Maximum winds   : 90 knots
Central pressure: 938 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160 nautical miles in the
southeastern quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 90 knots near the centre easing to 55 knots by 1200 UTC 28
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160
nautical miles in the southeastern quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 55 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre until 0600 UTC 28 March
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 28 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 24.2 south 107.6 east
                        Central pressure 958 hPa.
                        Winds to 75 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 28 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 26.0 south 107.7 east
                        Central pressure 974 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 27 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1826UTC 27 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 30 nautical miles
of
 latitude twenty three decimal two south [23.2S]
 longitude one hundred and seven decimal five east [107.5E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 14 knots
Maximum winds   : 85 knots
Central pressure: 944 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160 nautical miles in the
southeastern quadrant.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 85 knots near the centre easing to 50 knots by 1800 UTC 28
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 140 nautical miles of the centre extending to 160
nautical miles in the southeastern quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 55 nautical miles of the centre with very rough seas
and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre until 0600 UTC 28 March
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 28 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 25.5 south 108.0 east
                        Central pressure 966 hPa.
                        Winds to 65 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 28 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 27.0 south 107.8 east
                        Central pressure 982 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 28 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0102UTC 28 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles
of
 latitude twenty three decimal five south [23.5S]
 longitude one hundred and eight decimal zero east [108.0E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 11 knots
Maximum winds   : 80 knots
Central pressure: 950 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 80 knots near the centre easing to 50 knots by 0000 UTC 29
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130
nautical miles in southern quadrants with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre extending to within
50 nautical miles in southern quadrants with very rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre until 1200 UTC 28 March
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 28 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 24.6 south 108.3 east
                        Central pressure 970 hPa.
                        Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 29 March: Within 75 nautical miles of 25.5 south 107.8 east
                        Central pressure 980 hPa.
                        Winds to 50 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 28 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0656UTC 28 MARCH 2008
 
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles
of
 latitude twenty four decimal zero south [24.0S]
 longitude one hundred and eight decimal seven east [108.7E]
Recent movement : southeast at 9 knots
Maximum winds   : 70 knots
Central pressure: 962 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 70 knots near the centre easing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 29
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130
nautical miles in southern quadrants with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles of the centre extending to within
50 nautical miles in southern quadrants until 0000 UTC 29 March, with very rough
seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre until 1200 UTC 28 March,
with very high to phenomenal seas.

Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 28 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 25.1 south 109.2 east
                        Central pressure 972 hPa.
                        Winds to 55 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 29 March: Within 85 nautical miles of 26.0 south 108.8 east
                        Central pressure 988 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 28 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1255UTC 28 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude twenty five decimal one south [25.1S]
 longitude one hundred and nine decimal four east [109.4E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 10 knots
Maximum winds   : 60 knots
Central pressure: 972 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre easing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 29
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to 130
nautical miles in southern quadrants with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of the centre extending to within
50 nautical miles in southern quadrants until 0000 UTC 29 March, with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 26.0 south 109.4 east
                        Central pressure 986 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 29 March: Within 100 nautical miles of 27.0 south 109.5 east
                        Central pressure 990 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 28 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1842UTC 28 MARCH 2008
 
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 30 nautical miles of
 latitude twenty five decimal four south [25.4S]
 longitude one hundred and nine decimal six east [109.6E]
Recent movement : south southeast at 7 knots
Maximum winds   : 50 knots
Central pressure: 980 hPa


AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 140 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre easing to 40 knots by 0600 UTC 29
March.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 140
nautical miles in southern quadrants with rough seas and moderate swell. Winds
easing below 34 knots in northern quadrants after 0600 UTC 29 March.
Winds above 48 knots within 20 nautical miles of the centre extending to within
40 nautical miles in southern quadrants until 0000 UTC 29 March, with very rough
seas and moderate swell.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 26.2 south 109.5 east
                        Central pressure 988 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots south of centre.
At 1800 UTC 29 March: Within 100 nautical miles of 27.2 south 109.3 east
                        Central pressure 992 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots south of centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 29 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0059UTC 29 MARCH 2008
 
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 20 nautical miles of
 latitude twenty five decimal two south [25.2S]
 longitude one hundred and ten decimal one east [110.1E]
Recent movement : southeast at 4 knots
Maximum winds   : 40 knots
Central pressure: 990 hPa
The Tropical Cyclone is expected to weaken below cyclone intensity by 0600 UTC
29 March although gales are expected to continue south of the system.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 210 nautical miles in the
southeast quadrant.

FORECAST
Winds 30/40 knots within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 210
nautical miles in the southeast quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds easing below 34 knots in northern quadrants after 0600 UTC 29 March.
Please also refer to ocean wind warning [IDW21200].

Forecast positions
At 1200 UTC 29 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 26.0 south 110.7 east
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots south of centre.
At 0000 UTC 30 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 26.9 south 110.8 east
                        Central pressure 998 hPa.
                        Winds to 40 knots south of centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use either email to [email protected] or fax to +61892632261
or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land Earth Station Perth 312.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 29 March 2008.

WEATHER PERTH
=========================================================================
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0429UTC 29 MARCH 2008
CANCELLATION
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0300 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Pancho was located within 25 nautical miles of
 latitude twenty five decimal three south [25.3S]
 longitude one hundred and ten decimal eight east [110.8E]
Recent movement : east southeast at 7 knots
Maximum winds   : 30 knots although gales persist south of the system.
Central pressure: 996 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
 

FORECAST
Ex-Tropical Cyclone has weakened below cyclone intensity although gales are
expected to continue south of the system. Please refer to ocean wind warning
[IDW21200] for details.

No further warnings will be issued for this system.

WEATHER PERTH


Document: pancho.htm
Updated: 7th April 2008

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