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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 31st October 1998

X-Sender: disarm at mail.braenet.com.au
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:03:37 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Matt Smith 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Friday - Saturday storms
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

interesting fact!!! wow thats amost 12 metres of water a year..
wonder what the highest ever rainfall was in a year!! :)
Matt

At 09:53 PM 10/30/98 -0800, you wrote:
>Did you know that the wettest place in the world is  Mawsynram in India,
>where on average there is 11,873mm of rain each year.
>Holy shit ....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 06:51:56 +1100
From: Anthony Cornelius 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Matt,

This data may be a few years out of date, as this was printed in the
early to mid 90's, but the greatest rainfall in one year was 26,471mm.
in August 1860 to July 1861.  This was recorded in Cherrapunji, India.

Australia's greatest one year rainfall was 11,251 in 1979, recorded in
Belleden Ker, QLD.

Although this does seem a lot, how about 38mm in one minute, recorded at
Barot, Gaundeloupe in 1970!?  That's a rate of 2280mm an hour!  Of
though it didn't rain for that long of course.

Anthony

Matt Smith wrote:
> 
> interesting fact!!! wow thats amost 12 metres of water a year..
> wonder what the highest ever rainfall was in a year!! :)
> Matt
> 
> At 09:53 PM 10/30/98 -0800, you wrote:
> >Did you know that the wettest place in the world is  Mawsynram in India,
> >where on average there is 11,873mm of rain each year.
> >Holy shit ....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 08:25:43 +1100
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I am interested in such an effect as for years I have tried to come to terms
on how to link lunar effects on the weather which farmers go by. This is an
interesting observation.

The more I have tried to argue against the farmers by finding evidence, I
have often come to a hault. I can see that certain situations are true.

Jimmy Deguara from Schofields
-----Original Message-----
From: Mark Hardy 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Friday, October 30, 1998 10:59 AM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides


>It is well known that weather can affect tides - particularly pressure and
>wind. Whether tides can affect weather...well.. that seems to be up for
>debate. To my knowledge there is not much scientific literature around on
>this topic. Some of you AMOS guys would know better though. However, I have
>seen a few of cases of winds affected by tides and also received
>considerable anecdotal evidence. Particularly relating tides and strengths
>of seas breezes. To my knowledge there are several places around the
country
>where winds do "appear" to be affected by tides. By affected - I don't mean
>an "apparent wind" effect which you may get in an estuary, but a real
change
>in wind.
>
>The case which I have personally witnessed many times is on the south coast
>of NSW. If there is a southwesterly blowing through Bass Strait, quite
often
>this will push a sea breezy kind of southeasterly onto the NSW South Coast
>(Eden to Moruya). The strength of this southeasterly really does appear to
>be dependent on the tides. If the tide is rising the southeasterly (on the
>average) tends to be stronger than if the tide is falling. Whether this
>effect is caused by local temperature and current variations or is a
broader
>scale tidal influence - I have no idea. However, it has fascinated me for
>quite a few years.
>
>I have heard of wind/tidal effects occurring in other parts of the
country -
>local fishermen and sailors everywhere will often have their own theories.
>
>Mark
>----------
>>From: "Bodie" 
>>To: 
>>Subject: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:10
>>
>
>>I was wondering if there is any link between Tides and the weather??

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 21:25:20 GMT
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id IAA05288

Hi folks and Anthony and Matt


The Bureau has an interesting list of high point rainfalls up at
http://www.bom.gov.au/hydro/has/notables.shtml



On Sat, 31 Oct 1998 06:51:56 +1100, Anthony wrote:

>Hi Matt,
>
>This data may be a few years out of date, as this was printed in the
>early to mid 90's, but the greatest rainfall in one year was 26,471mm.
>in August 1860 to July 1861.  This was recorded in Cherrapunji, India.
>
>Australia's greatest one year rainfall was 11,251 in 1979, recorded in
>Belleden Ker, QLD.
>
>Although this does seem a lot, how about 38mm in one minute, recorded at
>Barot, Gaundeloupe in 1970!?  That's a rate of 2280mm an hour!  Of
>though it didn't rain for that long of course.
>
>Anthony
>
>Matt Smith wrote:
>> 
>> interesting fact!!! wow thats amost 12 metres of water a year..
>> wonder what the highest ever rainfall was in a year!! :)
>> Matt
>> 
>> At 09:53 PM 10/30/98 -0800, you wrote:
>> >Did you know that the wettest place in the world is  Mawsynram in India,
>> >where on average there is 11,873mm of rain each year.
>> >Holy shit ....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:11:08 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

JImmy

These things shouldn't be too hard to prove given a good enough data record.
A statistical analysis will pretty quickly show if any correlations are
based on chance or not. I wonder if anybody has done such an analysis
correlating lunar cycles with certain weather events.

I would be interested to know what weather events farmers believe are tied
into lunar cycles.?

Mark
----------
>From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
>To: 
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>Date: Sat, Oct 31, 1998, 8:25 AM
>

>I am interested in such an effect as for years I have tried to come to terms
>on how to link lunar effects on the weather which farmers go by. This is an
>interesting observation.
>
>The more I have tried to argue against the farmers by finding evidence, I
>have often come to a hault. I can see that certain situations are true.
>
>Jimmy Deguara from Schofields
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Mark Hardy 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>Date: Friday, October 30, 1998 10:59 AM
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>
>
>>It is well known that weather can affect tides - particularly pressure and
>>wind. Whether tides can affect weather...well.. that seems to be up for
>>debate. To my knowledge there is not much scientific literature around on
>>this topic. Some of you AMOS guys would know better though. However, I have
>>seen a few of cases of winds affected by tides and also received
>>considerable anecdotal evidence. Particularly relating tides and strengths
>>of seas breezes. To my knowledge there are several places around the
>country
>>where winds do "appear" to be affected by tides. By affected - I don't mean
>>an "apparent wind" effect which you may get in an estuary, but a real
>change
>>in wind.
>>
>>The case which I have personally witnessed many times is on the south coast
>>of NSW. If there is a southwesterly blowing through Bass Strait, quite
>often
>>this will push a sea breezy kind of southeasterly onto the NSW South Coast
>>(Eden to Moruya). The strength of this southeasterly really does appear to
>>be dependent on the tides. If the tide is rising the southeasterly (on the
>>average) tends to be stronger than if the tide is falling. Whether this
>>effect is caused by local temperature and current variations or is a
>broader
>>scale tidal influence - I have no idea. However, it has fascinated me for
>>quite a few years.
>>
>>I have heard of wind/tidal effects occurring in other parts of the
>country -
>>local fishermen and sailors everywhere will often have their own theories.
>>
>>Mark
>>----------
>>>From: "Bodie" 
>>>To: 
>>>Subject: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>>Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:10
>>>
>>
>>>I was wondering if there is any link between Tides and the weather??

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:24:47 +1100
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

The person who told me his concepts has seemed to vary his story from time
to time but I must admit that sometimes I have proved his concept correct.

The new moon seems to have a bearing influence on the cycle of weather. If
it rains ont he first few days on or just after the new moon, then it is
probable going to be a wet month or unsettled. This could be viewed as "well
it was raining anyway, so it rained on new moon and kept on going" but it's
not that simple. I had tried to test out another hypothesis... Farmers
believe that if the moon facing with it's belly down, then this signifies
more rain ...etc over the next lunar month but if it is facing sideways....
standing, then it is going to be a relatively dry more settled month. Every
time you try to prove it incorrect, it seems to hold. So I tried to make
printouts based on the predicted precession and nutation positions of the
moon (N-S movemenys of the moon with respect to the ecliptic) froma computer
program and seemed to not find any set pattern. Once you start imagining it,
you basically are looking for the pattern rather than testing it.

A problem I have with this is that where does it rain. The moons position
will look like this over a wide area across NSW for instance. What about the
inland? What type of rain does this influence?

Again this is not an accurate desciption of what the farmers say as they
seem to vary slightly their story. But perhaps there may be something in the
timing rather than the effect of the moon on the weather. More research has
to be done.

Jimmy Deguara

-----Original Message-----
From: Mark Hardy 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:13 AM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides


>JImmy
>
>These things shouldn't be too hard to prove given a good enough data
record.
>A statistical analysis will pretty quickly show if any correlations are
>based on chance or not. I wonder if anybody has done such an analysis
>correlating lunar cycles with certain weather events.
>
>I would be interested to know what weather events farmers believe are tied
>into lunar cycles.?
>
>Mark
>----------
>>From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
>>To: 
>>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>Date: Sat, Oct 31, 1998, 8:25 AM
>>
>
>>I am interested in such an effect as for years I have tried to come to
terms
>>on how to link lunar effects on the weather which farmers go by. This is
an
>>interesting observation.
>>
>>The more I have tried to argue against the farmers by finding evidence, I
>>have often come to a hault. I can see that certain situations are true.
>>
>>Jimmy Deguara from Schofields
>>-----Original Message-----
>>From: Mark Hardy 
>>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>>Date: Friday, October 30, 1998 10:59 AM
>>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>
>>
>>>It is well known that weather can affect tides - particularly pressure
and
>>>wind. Whether tides can affect weather...well.. that seems to be up for
>>>debate. To my knowledge there is not much scientific literature around on
>>>this topic. Some of you AMOS guys would know better though. However, I
have
>>>seen a few of cases of winds affected by tides and also received
>>>considerable anecdotal evidence. Particularly relating tides and
strengths
>>>of seas breezes. To my knowledge there are several places around the
>>country
>>>where winds do "appear" to be affected by tides. By affected - I don't
mean
>>>an "apparent wind" effect which you may get in an estuary, but a real
>>change
>>>in wind.
>>>
>>>The case which I have personally witnessed many times is on the south
coast
>>>of NSW. If there is a southwesterly blowing through Bass Strait, quite
>>often
>>>this will push a sea breezy kind of southeasterly onto the NSW South
Coast
>>>(Eden to Moruya). The strength of this southeasterly really does appear
to
>>>be dependent on the tides. If the tide is rising the southeasterly (on
the
>>>average) tends to be stronger than if the tide is falling. Whether this
>>>effect is caused by local temperature and current variations or is a
>>broader
>>>scale tidal influence - I have no idea. However, it has fascinated me for
>>>quite a few years.
>>>
>>>I have heard of wind/tidal effects occurring in other parts of the
>>country -
>>>local fishermen and sailors everywhere will often have their own
theories.
>>>
>>>Mark
>>>----------
>>>>From: "Bodie" 
>>>>To: 
>>>>Subject: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>>>Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:10
>>>>
>>>
>>>>I was wondering if there is any link between Tides and the weather??

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:37:48 +1100
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I hate these morning southerly changes. I guess it is setting up well for
the upper Hunter Valley and coast north of Newcastle.

Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:34:54 +1100
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Michael,

I think this is going to be a local thunder day from the S-SW with large
cumulonimbus off the coast to the S already and cumulus quickly developing.
What do you think.

Winds have just turned from the S but light at this stage.

Jimmy Deguara
-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Thompson 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:33 AM
Subject: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(


>I hate these morning southerly changes. I guess it is setting up well for
>the upper Hunter Valley and coast north of Newcastle.
>
>Michael Thompson
>http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:42:58 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Thanks for that link, many of the 30-60min ones are in that Nw slopes
region.

Michael

-----Original Message-----
From: Laurier Williams 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, 31 October 1998 8:32
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall


Hi folks and Anthony and Matt


The Bureau has an interesting list of high point rainfalls up at
http://www.bom.gov.au/hydro/has/notables.shtml



On Sat, 31 Oct 1998 06:51:56 +1100, Anthony wrote:

>Hi Matt,
>
>This data may be a few years out of date, as this was printed in the
>early to mid 90's, but the greatest rainfall in one year was 26,471mm.
>in August 1860 to July 1861.  This was recorded in Cherrapunji, India.
>
>Australia's greatest one year rainfall was 11,251 in 1979, recorded in
>Belleden Ker, QLD.
>
>Although this does seem a lot, how about 38mm in one minute, recorded at
>Barot, Gaundeloupe in 1970!?  That's a rate of 2280mm an hour!  Of
>though it didn't rain for that long of course.
>
>Anthony
>
>Matt Smith wrote:
>>
>> interesting fact!!! wow thats amost 12 metres of water a year..
>> wonder what the highest ever rainfall was in a year!! :)
>> Matt
>>
>> At 09:53 PM 10/30/98 -0800, you wrote:
>> >Did you know that the wettest place in the world is  Mawsynram in India,
>> >where on average there is 11,873mm of rain each year.
>> >Holy shit ....

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:45:41 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

My view is blocked to S and SW, I will have the car back at 2pm, but I don't
hold any hope for the Illawarra. I will look towards western Sydney later,
until then I hope that the southerly does not spoil the party too much.

Michael

-----Original Message-----
From: Jimmy Deguara 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, 31 October 1998 10:38
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(


>Michael,
>
>I think this is going to be a local thunder day from the S-SW with large
>cumulonimbus off the coast to the S already and cumulus quickly developing.
>What do you think.
>
>Winds have just turned from the S but light at this stage.
>
>Jimmy Deguara
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Michael Thompson 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:33 AM
>Subject: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
>
>
>>I hate these morning southerly changes. I guess it is setting up well for
>>the upper Hunter Valley and coast north of Newcastle.
>>
>>Michael Thompson
>>http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Records.
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 11:44:50 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

While we are all talking records heres some for you:

Highest average annual total rainfall figure is 11874.5 mm (467 1/2 inches)
at Mawsynram in India

Highest 24 hr total is 1869.9mm (73 1/2 inches) on th 15 - 16.3.52 at
Chilaos on the Island of La Renuion off the South Affrican  Coast.

Largest ahilstone was 1.02 kg at Bangladesh on the 14.4.86

Greatest temp change in 1 day is 55.6c going from 6.7c to -49 c at Browning
Montana USA.

Greatest ever annual measured rainfall was at Cherrapunji in India - it was
a massive 26, 461.7mm  from 1.8.1860 - 31.7.1861

The island of La Reunion also holds the records for the 6hr, 12hr, 18hr, and
1 hr falls as well.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 12:02:42 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Jimmy

This theory is related to the sunspot theory of rain prediction in a way.
You may know that Lennox Walker and now Haydon Walker provide a seasonal
forecasting service which (to my knowledge) is largely based on sunspot and
other solar or planetary activity. I have always thought that if sunspot
activity was to have an effect on earth then the impacts would be global
since we are all more or less equally exposed. How does one derive very
local and long term rainfall trends from data which appears to have no local
relevance?? Any ideas?

----------
>From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
>To: 
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>Date: Sat, Oct 31, 1998, 10:24 AM
>

>The person who told me his concepts has seemed to vary his story from time
>to time but I must admit that sometimes I have proved his concept correct.
>
>The new moon seems to have a bearing influence on the cycle of weather. If
>it rains ont he first few days on or just after the new moon, then it is
>probable going to be a wet month or unsettled. This could be viewed as "well
>it was raining anyway, so it rained on new moon and kept on going" but it's
>not that simple. I had tried to test out another hypothesis... Farmers
>believe that if the moon facing with it's belly down, then this signifies
>more rain ...etc over the next lunar month but if it is facing sideways....
>standing, then it is going to be a relatively dry more settled month. Every
>time you try to prove it incorrect, it seems to hold. So I tried to make
>printouts based on the predicted precession and nutation positions of the
>moon (N-S movemenys of the moon with respect to the ecliptic) froma computer
>program and seemed to not find any set pattern. Once you start imagining it,
>you basically are looking for the pattern rather than testing it.
>
>A problem I have with this is that where does it rain. The moons position
>will look like this over a wide area across NSW for instance. What about the
>inland? What type of rain does this influence?
>
>Again this is not an accurate desciption of what the farmers say as they
>seem to vary slightly their story. But perhaps there may be something in the
>timing rather than the effect of the moon on the weather. More research has
>to be done.
>
>Jimmy Deguara
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Mark Hardy 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:13 AM
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>
>
>>JImmy
>>
>>These things shouldn't be too hard to prove given a good enough data
>record.
>>A statistical analysis will pretty quickly show if any correlations are
>>based on chance or not. I wonder if anybody has done such an analysis
>>correlating lunar cycles with certain weather events.
>>
>>I would be interested to know what weather events farmers believe are tied
>>into lunar cycles.?
>>
>>Mark
>>----------
>>>From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
>>>To: 
>>>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>>Date: Sat, Oct 31, 1998, 8:25 AM
>>>
>>
>>>I am interested in such an effect as for years I have tried to come to
>terms
>>>on how to link lunar effects on the weather which farmers go by. This is
>an
>>>interesting observation.
>>>
>>>The more I have tried to argue against the farmers by finding evidence, I
>>>have often come to a hault. I can see that certain situations are true.
>>>
>>>Jimmy Deguara from Schofields
>>>-----Original Message-----
>>>From: Mark Hardy 
>>>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>>>Date: Friday, October 30, 1998 10:59 AM
>>>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>>
>>>
>>>>It is well known that weather can affect tides - particularly pressure
>and
>>>>wind. Whether tides can affect weather...well.. that seems to be up for
>>>>debate. To my knowledge there is not much scientific literature around on
>>>>this topic. Some of you AMOS guys would know better though. However, I
>have
>>>>seen a few of cases of winds affected by tides and also received
>>>>considerable anecdotal evidence. Particularly relating tides and
>strengths
>>>>of seas breezes. To my knowledge there are several places around the
>>>country
>>>>where winds do "appear" to be affected by tides. By affected - I don't
>mean
>>>>an "apparent wind" effect which you may get in an estuary, but a real
>>>change
>>>>in wind.
>>>>
>>>>The case which I have personally witnessed many times is on the south
>coast
>>>>of NSW. If there is a southwesterly blowing through Bass Strait, quite
>>>often
>>>>this will push a sea breezy kind of southeasterly onto the NSW South
>Coast
>>>>(Eden to Moruya). The strength of this southeasterly really does appear
>to
>>>>be dependent on the tides. If the tide is rising the southeasterly (on
>the
>>>>average) tends to be stronger than if the tide is falling. Whether this
>>>>effect is caused by local temperature and current variations or is a
>>>broader
>>>>scale tidal influence - I have no idea. However, it has fascinated me for
>>>>quite a few years.
>>>>
>>>>I have heard of wind/tidal effects occurring in other parts of the
>>>country -
>>>>local fishermen and sailors everywhere will often have their own
>theories.
>>>>
>>>>Mark
>>>>----------
>>>>>From: "Bodie" 
>>>>>To: 
>>>>>Subject: aussie-weather: Weather and Tides
>>>>>Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:10
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>I was wondering if there is any link between Tides and the weather??

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 12:10:10 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: cold front
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

cold front is hitting sydney now..
some nice cu over the ocean,although hard to see cause of the low cloud
comming through.., also wind has picked up alot in the last 15 minutes
matt smith

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Local Obs.
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 12:04:58 +1100
X-Msmail-Priority: Normal
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Howdy all! Whats the Local obs at the moment?

Taree is 27.6, wind nil......swirling NE - SE

Barometer is 1017 and steady

Humidity is 73% and cumulus all out the sky with very low bases...I reckon
this is it!! Todays the day!! Congetsus on the western horizon with low
bases and very dark......so heres hoping. The change has not reached here
yet. The BOM predict nothing (as revised......) but im ever hopeful.

Paul.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:41:38 +1100
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It is not a storm day as such. I think an unstable S airstream clearing
later is what it seems like at this stage. Were any thunderstorms forecast?

Jimmy
-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Thompson 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:41 AM
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(


>My view is blocked to S and SW, I will have the car back at 2pm, but I
don't
>hold any hope for the Illawarra. I will look towards western Sydney later,
>until then I hope that the southerly does not spoil the party too much.
>
>Michael
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Jimmy Deguara 
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>Date: Saturday, 31 October 1998 10:38
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
>
>
>>Michael,
>>
>>I think this is going to be a local thunder day from the S-SW with large
>>cumulonimbus off the coast to the S already and cumulus quickly
developing.
>>What do you think.
>>
>>Winds have just turned from the S but light at this stage.
>>
>>Jimmy Deguara
>>-----Original Message-----
>>From: Michael Thompson 
>>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
>>Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 10:33 AM
>>Subject: aussie-weather: Southerly thru Illawarra at 9.30am :-(
>>
>>
>>>I hate these morning southerly changes. I guess it is setting up well for
>>>the upper Hunter Valley and coast north of Newcastle.
>>>
>>>Michael Thompson
>>>http://thunder.simplenet.com

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From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Records.
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 12:20:20 +1100
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Hmm heres a prediction for everyone! Theres a massive tropical storm NE of
Northern Territory.......I reckon TC No. 2 for Ozzie waters ...what does
everyone else think?? It has become more organised in the last 24 hrs, and I
think it will rapidly intensify to a TC

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 09:57:05 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob 
Subject: aussie-weather: Perth Obs
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Its quite a warm morning in Perth today, at 9:50am the temperature is
already 30.9C winds are NNE at 39km/h, and 1009.9 hPa.

The winds will turn NW soon as the trough starts to move inland which will
keep down the temp, some thundery showers might start to develop just to
the east of Perth this afternoon.

Jacob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:08:50 +1100
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Local Obs.
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Paul

I'm not sure your station is calibrated. Here is the latest from Taree
airport.
YTRE METARAWS YTRE 0100Z
26006G13KT //// 22.4/12.9 Q1012.6 RMK
      RF00.0/000.0


----------
>From: "paulmoss" 
>To: 
>Subject: aussie-weather: Local Obs.
>Date: Sat, Oct 31, 1998, 12:04 PM
>

>Howdy all! Whats the Local obs at the moment?
>
>Taree is 27.6, wind nil......swirling NE - SE
>
>Barometer is 1017 and steady
>
>Humidity is 73% and cumulus all out the sky with very low bases...I reckon
>this is it!! Todays the day!! Congetsus on the western horizon with low
>bases and very dark......so heres hoping. The change has not reached here
>yet. The BOM predict nothing (as revised......) but im ever hopeful.
>
>Paul.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Local Obs.
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:20:01 +1100
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Mark, I dont live in Taree, and are about 20km SE of the airport, close to
the ocean, so I always have different readings to the airport. They are more
exposed and at different altitude then me.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Bodie" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Time Stamps
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 12:21:03 -0800
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Can anyone tell me what 00z and 12z stand for?

I am thinking 00z 12 Midnight .. and 12z 12 Midday???

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:50:14 +0800
From: Michael Fewings 
Organization: Edith Cowan Uni
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Perth Obs
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Its already a NW'ly  in Perth, the temperature will fall soon from the high of
about 33C. I hope there is some development East of Perth but at the moment it
is looking just a bit grim.
Mike

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 11:06:23 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Perth Obs
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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At 10:50 AM 31-10-98 +0800, you wrote:
>Its already a NW'ly  in Perth, the temperature will fall soon from the
high of
>about 33C. I hope there is some development East of Perth but at the
moment it
>is looking just a bit grim.
>Mike
>

Its 11am and I just got the NW winds 5 mins ago, temp dropped at my house
from 33.6C to 29.3C in 5 mins.

It dropped 2.6C in 5 mins at the city site:

PERTH 31-10-98 10:54 32.7 6.3 NNW 25 13 1009.3 19 
PERTH 31-10-98 10:59 30.1 10.3 W 23 12 1009.6 29 

Jacob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 11:29:46 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Perth Obs
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 11:06 AM 31-10-98 +0800, you wrote:
>At 10:50 AM 31-10-98 +0800, you wrote:
>>Its already a NW'ly  in Perth, the temperature will fall soon from the
>high of
>>about 33C. I hope there is some development East of Perth but at the
>moment it
>>is looking just a bit grim.
>>Mike
>>
>
>Its 11am and I just got the NW winds 5 mins ago, temp dropped at my house
>from 33.6C to 29.3C in 5 mins.
>
>It dropped 2.6C in 5 mins at the city site:
>
>PERTH 31-10-98 10:54 32.7 6.3 NNW 25 13 1009.3 19 
>PERTH 31-10-98 10:59 30.1 10.3 W 23 12 1009.6 29 
>
>Jacob
>

The seabreaze is giving a big difference of temperatures on the moment,
Perth Airport is only 10km east of the city, and is still in north winds
and is currently over 6 degrees warmer. 


Issued at 1115 on 31/10/1998.
PERT       PERTH CITY               27.6   10.4   290 013   1010
YPPH       PERTH AIRPORT            33.9    4.8   360 015   1009

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Jimmy Deguara" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Time Stamps
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:30:07 +1100
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Hi Bodie??

Jimmy here. The 00z and 12z represent zulu time or the time in Greenwich,
England. Add 10 hours in normal time to that time to get our time EST.
Daylight Saving time....add 11hours. So 00z at the moment means 11 o'clock
in the morning or 10am EST without daylight saving. 12z mean 11pm at the
moment or 10pm EST

Jimmy Deguara

-----Original Message-----
From: Bodie 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 
Date: Saturday, October 31, 1998 1:23 PM
Subject: aussie-weather: Time Stamps


>Can anyone tell me what 00z and 12z stand for?
>
>I am thinking 00z 12 Midnight .. and 12z 12 Midday???

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 11:46:38 +0800
From: Michael Fewings 
Organization: Edith Cowan Uni
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Re:Perth Obs
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It has definately cooled down in my house. Rottnest is only 23C and the wind
is a quite steady westerly. Still not a cloud to be seen over the hills.
Mike

Jacob wrote:

> The seabreaze is giving a big difference of temperatures on the moment,
> Perth Airport is only 10km east of the city, and is still in north winds
> and is currently over 6 degrees warmer.
>
> Issued at 1115 on 31/10/1998.
> PERT       PERTH CITY               27.6   10.4   290 013   1010
> YPPH       PERTH AIRPORT            33.9    4.8   360 015   1009

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Ben Tichborne" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NT rainfall yesterday
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:10:36 +1300
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> Also some low maxima in SA - 15 at Woomera is getting close to late-
> season record territory, although for October as a whole 20-21 October
> 1995 will take some beating. (This episode, which left a trail of
> records stretching from Gabo Island to Marble Bar, was one of the
> most remarkable and little-known, IMO, in Australian meteorological
> history, probably because (a) it had little effect on any major
> population centres (b) the most spectacular manifestation of it (snow
> to 200m in the Flinders Ranges) happened on a Saturday afternoon when
> there is little news coverage outside the big cities and (c) it didn't
> kill anybody. Broken Hill and Yunta had their lowest maxima on 
> record for any month - as October maxima both had estimated return
> periods > 1000 years - and Marble Bar, whose previous October record
> low minimum was 12.3, went under 10 on five successive nights).

 Snow to 200 metres on the Flinders in mid/late October  - that sounds
unbelievable. Do you have any more details on that cold snap?. The BOM
monthly summaries online go back only to November 1995. What other
unseasonable spring snowfalls have affected parts of Australia which rarely
receive snow even in winter?. I recall, while visiting Sydney in November
1992, seeing TV footage of freak spring snow in West Australia. Here in NZ,
snowfalls to low-levels are just as likely to occur in early spring as in
mid-winter - the Antarctic airflows still have plenty of power.

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Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 15:53:55 +1100
Subject: aussie-weather: Aviation codes
From: "Mark Hardy" 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


Does anybody out there have an up to date listing of all the BoM stations
with
aviation codes mapped against WMO synop number? For example,

Sydney airport    94767    YSSY
Fort Denison    94769    FORT
Observatory Hill    94768    OBSH
Shark Island    95761    SHKI

and so on.

I've had a scout around the BoM web site but can't seem to find a list with
the aviation codes included.
Many thanks,
Mark

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Aviation codes
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:13:15 GMT
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On Sat, 31 Oct 1998 15:53:55 +1100, "Mark Hardy" 
wrote:

>
>Does anybody out there have an up to date listing of all the BoM stations
>with
>aviation codes mapped against WMO synop number? For example,
>
>Sydney airport    94767    YSSY
>Fort Denison    94769    FORT
>Observatory Hill    94768    OBSH
>Shark Island    95761    SHKI
>
Hi Mark. I keep one which I used to have on my website, but dropped
when the Bureau put their own one up at
ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon2/home/ncc/metadata/wmosites.lst.
Unfortunately, this is not being kept up to date, and also does not
include the Bureau's "aviation" codes. The Bureau also keeps fairly
up-to-date lists of rainfall stations at
ftp://ftp.bom.gov.au/anon2/home/ncc/metadata/sitelists/ -- it'd be
nice if they kept them fully up to date, though. There's a full
listing of what I am aware is available at
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/4reference.html#4.3 Understanding raw
data.

I get a full CMSS data feed (and subscribe to SILO data), and the
first I know about new stations is when my programs spit them out
because there is no station catalogue entry for them, so I then either
phone relevant people in the Bureau or do some detective work and
establish where/what they are. 

I'll put my listing (somewhat modified to reduce its size) back on my
web pages, and notify this list when I do.


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "McDonald" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne forecast and ICQ.
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:17:18 +1100
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Hi all,
	Cool SE wind down here today wth nothing of interest until late wednesday
hopefully.

BOM FORECAST.
Wednesday is expected to be fine and very warm with moderate to fresh north
to
northwesterly wind before a
weak cool change reaches the west and central coast late in the afternoon.
Isolated thundery showers are possible near the change.

My ICQ number is - 13384133.

Me and my sister share this number so it may be her or me at any particular
time.

Good Storms to you all. 

Andrew McDonald.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:13:40 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: aussie-weather: NT Snow  + Sydney Snow...
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On Sat, 31 Oct 1998, Ben Tichborne wrote:  
>  Snow to 200 metres on the Flinders in mid/late October  - that sounds
> unbelievable. Do you have any more details on that cold snap?. The BOM       

Hi Ben and everyone,
	According to my Bureau of Meteorology Annual Climate Summary for
1997, there were unofficial reports of snow at Uluru (Ayre's Rock) in the
Northern Territory in July.
	There have also been some unusual cases of snow here in Sydney
although this is fairly rare.  I remember back in 1986 (I think) on a July
or August afternoon with strong SW winds, snow began to fall at around 5pm
and lasted for around 5 minutes (pity I don't have any photos to show).
The temperature was above freezing so the cloud type had a lot to do with
it I think.  From memory it was a tall cumulus cell that drifted over. 
The freezing level was probably fairly low so it wouldn't have required
much of an updraught for snow and ice to form. The downdraughts were
probably sufficiently cold to maintain the snow to the surface (perhaps
any katabatic warming is offset by sublimation and evaporation - the
clouds weren't exceptionally high either, so it might not have mattered
much anyway). 
	- Paul G.
 
---------------------------- 
Paul Graham 
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:21:07 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
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> On Sat, 31 Oct 1998 06:51:56 +1100, Anthony wrote:

> >Australia's greatest one year rainfall was 11,251 in 1979, recorded in
> >Belleden Ker, QLD.

- I think Mt. Bellenden Ker is Queensland's tallest peak (I think) or may
be I am confusing it with Mt. Bartle Frere (not sure of spelling).  The
mountains there (just south of Cairns) get up to around 1600m.  Perhaps
the topography in combination with moist tropical maritime air and
existing instability may have played a role? 

- Paul G.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:49:06 +1100
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Paul, they are both Mountains in the same range.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:16:45 +1100 (EST)
From: Paul Graham 
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Reply-Receipt: pgraham1 at extro.ucc.su.oz.au
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I knew that - just wasn't sure which was higher...Might check it up later
on...
- paul G.

----------------------------
Paul Graham
m3052695 at hardy.ocs.mq.edu.au
----------------------------

On Sat, 31 Oct 1998, paulmoss wrote:

> Paul, they are both Mountains in the same range.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Exceptionally hot in WA
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 08:22:02 GMT
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I've just received the WA 3pm reports, and I'd be surprised if some
October max temp records aren't broken. Many centres >10 above
average, and Badgingarra, Mt Barker, Albany and Northam 14 or 15
above. Albany's reported max was 33 (whole degrees only) and their
October record is 33.1. Northam got to 38. 

Any information from you folk in WA?  What's the storm likelihood
after this hot weather, with much colder air forecast to move in?


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:28:40 +1100
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Paul,

Bellenden Keer is the highest. It is on the S side of cairns.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Ben Tichborne" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NT Snow  + Sydney Snow...
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 21:50:28 +1300
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> 	According to my Bureau of Meteorology Annual Climate Summary for
> 1997, there were unofficial reports of snow at Uluru (Ayre's Rock) in the
> Northern Territory in July.
 
 I saw on NZ TV in July 1997 shots of tourists at the base of Uluru, with
light snow/sleet falling, and it looked like there was a very light dusting
of snow on the ground. I've never heard of snow in the Aussie outback
before, but I know that there have been freak falls in the Sahara, which is
in a similar climate zone.
 I think the rarity of snow in subtropical/desert areas is due to the fact
that polar outbreaks have usually run out of moisture by the time they have
reached these areas. Freak snowfalls therefore can only occur if there is a
local low pressure system producing the moisture while the very cold
airflow is blowing at the same time. An example of that might be the storm
that brought snow to to the central Queensland highlands in July 1965.

> 	There have also been some unusual cases of snow here in Sydney
> although this is fairly rare.  I remember back in 1986 (I think) on a
July
> or August afternoon with strong SW winds, snow began to fall at around
5pm
> and lasted for around 5 minutes (pity I don't have any photos to show).
> The temperature was above freezing so the cloud type had a lot to do with
> it I think.  From memory it was a tall cumulus cell that drifted over. 
> The freezing level was probably fairly low so it wouldn't have required
> much of an updraught for snow and ice to form. The downdraughts were
> probably sufficiently cold to maintain the snow to the surface (perhaps
> any katabatic warming is offset by sublimation and evaporation - the
> clouds weren't exceptionally high either, so it might not have mattered
> much anyway). 

 Sounds like Sydney gets snow about as often as Auckland does - ie very
rarely. I think snow has settled in central Auckland only once this century
(1939), and even then it only dusted the higher volcanic hills of the city
(about 200 metres above sea-level).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: sgamgee at mail.geocities.com
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:48:25 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Ben Munro 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Highest Rainfall
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 07:28 PM 31/10/98 +1100, you wrote:
>Paul,
>
>Bellenden Keer is the highest. It is on the S side of cairns.
How high is Bellenden Ker? I thought Bartle Frere was, at 1611m

While we're on weather records:

In Spearfish, South Dakota, USA at 7:30am on the 22nd january 1943 the
temperature was -20C. at 7:32am it was 7C. that's a rise of 27 degrees in 2
minutes!

Tororo, Uganda, has 251 thunderdays a year!

and the highest waterspout ever recorded was 1528m near Eden, NSW.

Ben Munro

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:58:49 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Exceptionally hot in WA
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 08:22 AM 31-10-98 GMT, you wrote:
>I've just received the WA 3pm reports, and I'd be surprised if some
>October max temp records aren't broken. Many centres >10 above
>average, and Badgingarra, Mt Barker, Albany and Northam 14 or 15
>above. Albany's reported max was 33 (whole degrees only) and their
>October record is 33.1. Northam got to 38. 
>
>Any information from you folk in WA?  What's the storm likelihood
>after this hot weather, with much colder air forecast to move in?
>
>
>-- 
>Laurier Williams
>Australian Weather Links and News
>http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

In Perth the overnight minimum was 18.0C at 11:45pm last night, the maximum
was 32.9 at 10:55am.

Perth's October record is 37.3
Notham's hottest October temperature is 39.3 which is the composite record
Mount Barker's is 35.6, which is also the composite record

Some clouds developed over the hills during the mid afternoon and by late
afternoon low level cloud in the SW airstream started to move through.

Any thundery showers that have developed are all east of the trough,
Kalgorlie is expecting 37C tomorrow.

Jacob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Grafton radar
Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 08:15:49 GMT
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I notice in some of the stuff I get on CMSS reference to a new radar
at Grafton. Can any of you folk who subscribe to the Bureau radar
confirm whether it has shown up?  Is Coffs Harbour radar still
operating, or does Grafton replace it?


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

Document: 981031.htm
Updated: 2nd November, 1998

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