Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 23rd January 1999

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Recruitment drive
002 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]     Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
003 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]                U.S. Tornado Outbreak
004 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]                More Tornado Outbreak Pics
005 Ira [jra at upnaway.com]                          Looking for AMOS Bulletin material
006 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Possible activity Sydney
007 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Melbourne report
008 "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]      Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
009 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           NSW observations
010 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]            Sydney Storm Chasers
011 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]            U.S. Tornado Outbreak
012 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]       Possible activity Sydney
013 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   NSW observations
014 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Looking for AMOS Bulletin material
015 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Possible activity Sydney
016 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
017 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   More Tornado Outbreak Pics
018 wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)          June 1949 snow (
019 "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]     Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
020 "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]   Heavy Shower just west of Shellharbour
021 "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]       Blue Mountains Storm
022 David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com]              Melbourne storms and Sydney chase today?
023 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au]            Snow
024 Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]       storm to west of Sydney
025 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Animations of Water Vapour Satpics
026 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     U.S. Tornado Outbreak
027 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     A WX???
028 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Melbourne again.
029 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Thunderstorms all night long
030 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]            storm to west of Sydney
031 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]            More US Storms
032 "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]            US STORM NOW
033 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    Melbourne again.
034 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Thunderstorms all night long
035 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     First QLD ASWA Meeting
036 "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com]                        Last Nights Melbourne Storm
037 Greg Spencer [hawk at aisnet.net.au]              Perth Storm Report 22/1/99
038 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Melbourne bust........or.....
039 "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com]                        Funnel cloud on Video
040 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     More Tornado Outbreak Pics
041 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Melbourne/Perth storms and chasing
042 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Recruitment drive
043 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     QLD Minutes - brief summary
044 "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com]            Severe Thunderstorm Advice...
045 Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]          Severe Thunderstorm Advice...
046 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]                Re: Surface Temps for US T outbreak
047 Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]                The Iridium Flash

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001

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Recruitment drive
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 00:05:50 +1100
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On the way home, I rang the police to report a taxi driver in distress and
ended up recruiting the policeman who answered the phone. He had been
sitting there listening to it all on the police radio and drooling all the
while.  He should appear on the list in the next couple of days.  You just
never know where you'll find them do you 

BTW, we should get cards printed so we can hand them out - I'm sure there
were at least 15 possibles up the mountain tonight.

Jane
Melbourne

>-----Original Message-----
>From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
>[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Jimmy Deguara
>Sent: Friday, 22 January 1999 11:38
>To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne rules!!!!OK
>
>
>Well done Jane and Co. Hopefully, you can attract some of those prospective
>lightning enthusiasys into ASWA. The more the merrier.
>


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
002

X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.29.40]
From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 05:03:03 PST
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Hi everyone, just got back from chasing the huge storm that hit 
Melbourne and Geelong. I'm glad my earlier prediction turned out to be 
totally wrong.

I left home at about 5pm, originally headed for Benalla after seeing the 
Severe Storm advice for the area. By the time I got to Sydney Rd I 
changed my mind as I could see a fair sized cell with an overshooting 
top over to the west around Melton or Ballarat. I took the Ring Road 
around to the Princes Hwy and went down to Werribee where there is 
plenty of open flat land.

By the time I got out on to the back roads, the CGs were quite frequent 
and spectacular. The You Yangs weren't visible and towards Geelong it 
was very black. I decided to stay put for a while to see what developed 
and to attempt some lightning shots. After 30mins or so a new 
development started almost right above me. Also about this time the 
original storm, which I thought was dying, kicked off again, this time 
with a very distinct hail shaft and some very vivid CG's. The storm that 
started developing above me had moved about 3kms to the east and it also 
started dropping CG's pretty frequently.

I drove around in circles trying to avoid the hail shafts while not 
getting too close to the lightning. This task became more and more 
difficult so I ended up just stopping on some dirt track and waiting for 
them to head further east. About 7pm or so (I didn't have a watch) the 
entire eastern horizon (from N to S) was incredibly black, probably as 
black a sky as I've seen. This had the effect of both highlighting the 
hail shafts as well as making the lightning very easy to see. At the 
rear of the storm there was some very obvious rotation and my excitement 
level rose as scud began to form from about 400m up. Alas no sign of 
even a funnel, although there was a nice shelf cloud.

For the rest of the night I slowly followed the storm as it moved east. 
I got back to Werribee and all of a sudden powerful CGs ( the ones that 
you can still "see" a second later) started dropping every 5 seconds or 
so from the rear of the storm within 1km. Although I love storms and 
lightning I hate driving when it is that close, so it took me a while to 
get back towards Melbourne. Driving home along the freeway was awesome, 
with four succinct areas of lightning from NE to SE. Some of the strikes 
were spectacular, reminded me a lot of Darwin. I made to Doncaster 
Shoppingtown roof at about 10pm and there were about 20 cars there. I 
think Jane might be right about the Vic chapter of the ASWA. I sat there 
for an hour until the lightning started to die down and then finally 
made it home.

A very worthwhile chase, albeit a slow one, with tons of lightning, an 
incredible sky, a shelf cloud and the brief hope realistic or not, of 
something we all dream of witnessing, a tornado. Total chase distance 
was about 170kms and basically covered Nth Balwyn to Werribee and back 
plus plenty of dirt roads to the north of Werribee.

I hope this is sufficient for a first time effort. It seems as though a 
fair bit of the country had some action today, and hopefully this trough 
will head north and give you storm starved Sydneysiders a couple of 
great days. 

Happy Chasing

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
003

Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 07:39:36 -0600
From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]
Organization: The Storm Shop http://www.thestormshop.com/
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To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: U.S. Tornado Outbreak
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For anyone interested, two mid-winter tornado outbreaks have occurred in
the southeastern US over the last week.  Arkansas and Tennessee have
been hit hard.  Here's a link to a news story with photos of one of the
recent tornadoes.

        http://www.katv.com/weather/Tornado.html

A U.S. storm chaser, John Farley posted the following on Weather-Chase
"Incredibly, this evening's LSRs indicate that Oil Trough, Arkansas (the
subject of the news story) was hit by two more tornadoes this
afternoon/evening, a couple hours apart."

Last night's outbreak in Arkansas was incredible.  At one time I counted
more than a dozen supercell thunderstorms over the state, with a "train"
of 6 or so supercells moving NE through the center of the state in a
NE/SW line.  Some locations around Little Rock, Arkansas experienced one
supercell and tornado warning after another yesterday evening.

 While most of the activity was east of my location near Dallas, a
supercell did form just south of the city about mid-evening.  A tornado
warning was issued for the storm, but I have not heard any damage
reports from this storm.  It raced off to the northeast at 40 to 50
mph.  More tornadic supercells formed over central Texas overnight and
raced northeastward into the Piney Woods of east Texas and Lousiana.

This latest event is still ongoing, with tornado warnings being issued
for storms in southeast Texas and Lousiana as I type this message.  Take
a look at:

http://www.intellicast.com/weather/shv/nexrad/

for a local radar view of the storms over Louisiana or

http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/radsat.html

for a radar summary that includes comments such as "meso" or "TVS"
(tornado vortex signature) and storm velocity.

Access to other radar sites around the states is available at:
http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/radsat.html .

Watch and warning information may be found via:

http://www.pulse.net/storm/watches.htm#Outlooks

Happy cyber chasing to anyone who is interested.

Sam Barricklow

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
004

Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 09:26:09 -0600
From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]
Organization: The Storm Shop http://www.thestormshop.com/
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To: Aussie Weather [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: More Tornado Outbreak Pics
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More photos from the recent Arkansas tornado outbreak:

http://www.katv.com/index.html

Sam Barricklow

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005

Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 23:25:32 +0800
From: Ira [jra at upnaway.com]
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Looking for AMOS Bulletin material
References: <4.1.19990122161422.009247a0 at penman.es.mq.edu.au>
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Well if your really scraping the barrel i have a few chase reports on my
page, one recent one in which i saw a tornado! Have a peek at
http://members.xoom.com/wastorms/chase.html
		Ira Fehlberg


> At 15:58 22/01/1999 +1100, you wrote:
> >With a couple of weeks remaining before the February issue is
> >due to go to the printers, I'm severely short of material for
> >the AMOS Bulletin.
> >
> >Even though it's been a less than fulfilling summer so far for
> >such endeavours, one of the things that I was thinking would be
> >good to run would be a chase report - better still if there were
> >some decent photos to accompany it.
> >
> >Is anyone interested in writing one? (or submitting one they've
> >already written)?).
> >
> >Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
006

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 07:43:08 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: Possible activity Sydney
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I would say people around Sydney be very watchful today and chase in any
direction. This may be the only opportunity AGAIN for a while and on the
weekend. I will be unuavilable for chasing....looking for another chase
mobile.....what a day to go!!

Jimmy Deguara
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------
Jimmy Deguara
Vice President ASWA
from Schofields, Sydney
e-mail:  jimmyd at ozemail.com.au
homepage with Michael Bath
http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
007

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne report
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 08:44:30 +1100
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Storm blacks out 22,000 homes
>From AAP
23jan99

MORE than 20,000 Melbourne homes were without power after a severe
electrical storm hit the city yesterday evening.

The storm, which downed trees and resulted in wind and hailstone damage,
also brought heavy rain which flooded homes in the city's west. The State
Emergency Service (SES) was inundated with 200 calls. An SES spokesman said
the worst hit area was Sunbury, in Melbourne's outer west, where about 50
callers had sought help, particularly for flash flooding. Numerous calls
were also received from the eastern suburbs.

He said the SES had 16 units and 150 volunteers working last night, and many
would work overnight in the worst affected areas. There were reports of
falling trees and branches and hailstone damage to windows, tiles and cars.

The storm was preceded by a severe thunderstorm warning from the Bureau of
Meteorology and a warning of flash flooding and winds up to 100 kph.

A spokeswoman for Powercor, which covers Melbourne's west, said 12,000
customers had lost power. By 10pm, 6,000 homes had their supply restored and
all available crews were working to restore power to the others by midnight.
"We have had some reports of wires down in Sunshine and we are going there
first," the spokeswoman said. "We have had numerous reports of lightning
strikes on transformers and we have even had people saying lightning struck
their homes."

A spokesman for northern suburbs power company AGL Solaris said 10,000
customers had their electricity cut by the storm. Four feeder lines leading
from sub-stations had been hit by lightning in Coburg and Fawkner, he said.
The spokesman said that 5,000 customers had had their electricity restored
at 9.15pm. Extra crews had been called in and it was hoped all power would
be restored by 11.15pm. The blackout led to five railway boom gates in the
city's north shorting out and lying across streets.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
008

From: "truffles at xenon.net" [truffles at xenon.net]
To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aussie-weather: Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 07:42:37 +-1000
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Hi Chris!

one question - at the height of the of the storm, at about 7pm, you menitoned
rotation and a shelf cloud... did you actually mean a wall cloud?  Was the area
containing the rotation markedly lowered to the rest of the cloud base, at the
point the scud was condensing?

rals

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
009

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: NSW observations
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 09:00:04 +1100
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At the moment, there's a line of activity running NW from Canberra to
Cootamundra showing small spots of 10-20mm/hr, an isolated patch NW of Wagga
and a line off the coast extending from Bega to Williamstown (also
10-20mm/hr).

The line down the coast is moving southwards, and the Canberra to
Cootamundra activity is moving to the SE!  Looks like it's converging
between Bega & Moruya and then continuing it's southward movement.
Jane
Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
010

From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Sydney Storm Chasers
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 09:47:58 +1100
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I will be at Randwick Races today to work.
If your going on a chase, let me know and I'll see what I can do to help.


0412 661 937
******************************************
Grant Boyden

http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden
http://www.2ky.com.au

IRC =  au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667

ICQ = 23511159
******************************************

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
011

From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: U.S. Tornado Outbreak
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 09:46:18 +1100
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Sam Thanks for the links.

The pictures are ......somthing else.

I was watching it live on the net and even mentioned it on IRC. They looked
full on.

Everyone should take a quick look at Sam's link to the US, They have some
great pictures.
******************************************
Grant Boyden

http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden
http://www.2ky.com.au

IRC =  au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667

ICQ = 23511159
******************************************

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
012

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:16:49 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Possible activity Sydney
In-Reply-To: <4.1.19990123074048.0099c540 at pop.ozemail.com.au>
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I'm available for chase.

You can call me on 9625 9700 mobile 0412 145 755 (if the phones engaged,
I'm on the net - use email, ICQ).
If anyone wants to go out (if there is activity) we can meet at Rooty Hill.

Michael

At 07:43 23/01/99 +1100, you wrote:
>I would say people around Sydney be very watchful today and chase in any
>direction. This may be the only opportunity AGAIN for a while and on the
>weekend. I will be unuavilable for chasing....looking for another chase
>mobile.....what a day to go!!
>
>Jimmy Deguara

*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
013

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: NSW observations
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:25:44 +1100
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The line off the coast is shower activity in a moist E/NE onshore flow,
unfortunately it isn't thundery, it is the same system that gave Sydney its
heavy rainfall. However the inland masses you mention around Cootamundra -
Canberra are very interesting, I cannot see anything from here as there is
coastal Cu along the escarpment, but Jimmy probably has a better view. I
would not mind betting Cb will start sprouting from this lot by early
afternoon, if so it will put chasing within reach for Sydney siders.

Michael



>At the moment, there's a line of activity running NW from Canberra to
>Cootamundra showing small spots of 10-20mm/hr, an isolated patch NW of
Wagga
>and a line off the coast extending from Bega to Williamstown (also
>10-20mm/hr).
>
>The line down the coast is moving southwards, and the Canberra to
>Cootamundra activity is moving to the SE!  Looks like it's converging
>between Bega & Moruya and then continuing it's southward movement.
>Jane

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
014

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Looking for AMOS Bulletin material
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:16:26 +1100
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Hi Blair

You can take the text and some photos from any of my pages.

Dec 14th is about it though for this season so far.

http://thunder.simplenet.com/chase/chase10a.htm

Michael


>> >Even though it's been a less than fulfilling summer so far for
>> >such endeavours, one of the things that I was thinking would be
>> >good to run would be a chase report - better still if there were
>> >some decent photos to accompany it.
>> >
>> >Is anyone interested in writing one? (or submitting one they've
>> >already written)?).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
015

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Possible activity Sydney
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:05:00 +1100
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Must say I agree with Jimmy, the sun has been out here for most of the
morning so far, which was unexpected in my forecasts. I think the ranges
will fire, unless of course cloud cover there is total. Chase wise I am only
marginally better off than Jimmy, I have to go to a party at 6.30pm.

Michael



>I would say people around Sydney be very watchful today and chase in any
>direction. This may be the only opportunity AGAIN for a while and on the
>weekend. I will be unuavilable for chasing....looking for another chase
>mobile.....what a day to go!!
>
>Jimmy Deguara

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016

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:10:52 +1100
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Thanks for your great chase report, and also for your kind thoughts
regarding us chasers in eastern NSW. If the trough does move north / east
and provides some action the last thing I could imagine is Jimmy Deguara
driving around in circles trying to avoid hail shafts.

Michael


>I drove around in circles trying to avoid the hail shafts while not
>getting too close to the lightning. This task became more and more
>will head north and give you storm starved Sydneysiders a couple of
>great days.
>
>Happy Chasing

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
017

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: More Tornado Outbreak Pics
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 10:30:45 +1100
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Thanks for the links Sam, I know it is not unknown for January tornado
outbreaks, but still I can't help wondering about the surface temperatures
at the time, any idea ?

It is strange looking at storm pics with frost dried grass and leafless
trees ( neither which I get here anyway, even in the middle of winter,  ).

Michael



>More photos from the recent Arkansas tornado outbreak:
>
>http://www.katv.com/index.html
>
>Sam Barricklow

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
018

From: wbc at ozemail.com.au (Laurier Williams)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: June 1949 snow (
Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 23:33:17 GMT
Message-Id: <36a90c19.118961202 at smtp.ozemail.com.au>
References: <199901220403.PAA24002 at mullara.met.unimelb.EDU.AU>
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On Fri, 22 Jan 1999 15:03:26 +1100 (EST), Blair Trewin
 wrote:

>> 
>> Patrick Tobin wrote:
>> > 
>> I am really interested in tracking down another snow event that
>> followed the breaking of that huge drought of 1906. This snow event
>> was perhaps years after the drought and was preceded by an extended
>> period of cool, wet weather somewhat typical of autumn during decent
>> La Nina's. This snowfall was reputed to have cut off the Blue
>> Mountains. Indeed, it seems to have been confined east of the Great
>> Divide unlike most severe cold outbreaks that come with S or SW
>> approaching cold fronts. It arrived in almost dead calm conditions.

snip

>The only obvious one that I can think of might be the 1900 event,
>which reportedly blocked the western rail line for several weeks,
>but I was under the impression that this event had its greatest
>impact a bit further west (with the heaviest falls around Blayney),
>so it could well be a different event being referred to here. 
>
Hi Blair and Patrick and everyone

Blair is right -- it's major impact was in the Central West, where
places like Parkes and Blayney had feet of snow on the ground. And it
was caused by an unusual cut off low. 

There is a Bureau Tech Note on the event and I'll dig out my copy at
the weekend and post some information. I think Doug Shepherd wrote it.
I also have some information on other big falls, courtesy of Don
White, which I'll dig up and feed into the ng when things are dull and
I have time. (I'm a snow freak too, Patrick, which is why I live at
Blackheath in the Blue Mountains at >1000m asl.)


-- 
Laurier Williams
Australian Weather Links and News
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/

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019

X-Originating-Ip: [203.108.83.122]
From: "Chris Gribben" [chrisgribben at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: RE: aussie-weather: Melbourne/Werribee Strom Chase
Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 16:02:53 PST
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Rals, the area containing the rotation was not really that much lower 
than the cloud base, and was well above where the scud was forming. I 
suppose it was a wall cloud although it was nowhere near as impressive 
as those I've seen in photos as it was quite unorganized, but there was 
definitely rotation. This is probably the reason I said it was a shelf 
cloud. I did take a couple of shots of it so if they come out I'll post 
them. In the cold light of day I suppose there wasn't a realistic chance 
of a tornado as the storm had no cold air to react with the quite warm 
humid air prevalent yesterday.
I hope that answered your question sufficiently and that you have a 
storm filled day.

Chris


>Hi Chris!
>
>one question - at the height of the of the storm, at about 7pm, you =
>menitoned rotation and a shelf cloud... did you actually mean a wall =
>cloud?  Was the area containing the rotation markedly lowered to the =
>rest of the cloud base, at the point the scud was condensing?
>
>rals

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
020

From: "Michael Thompson" [michaelt at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Heavy Shower just west of Shellharbour
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:27:29 +1100
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Tall congestus is dumping heavy rain just to west of me ( Jamberoo, Albion
Park ), not thundery yet, but could be close.

With a definite maritime influence some of these developing Cb have the
potential to cause localised flash flooding,  I have seen similar
situations, but in the last decade or so.

Will hit the road as soon as my wife returns from her hair appointment
 left 9.30am !! )

Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
021

From: "Matthew Piper" [mjpiper at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Blue Mountains Storm
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:44:45 +1100
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Hi Everyone,

Just heard the first thunder for the day then. Plenty of dark clouds to the
west at the moment. Heavy rain curtain clearly visible.

Matthew Piper

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
022

Date: Fri, 22 Jan 1999 19:05:07 -0800 (PST)
From: David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms and Sydney chase today?
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
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Hi everyone 

- I am free to chase today Michael probably in greater Sydney only
(0412 655134) - 

I was offline from yesterday pm until now so was it was good to see
the reports of the severe storm in Melbourne and even better to see
that several chasers got onto it. The reports of rotation possible
wall cloud sound interesting - was it a supercell??

Anyway looking forward to reports and pics.

Well off to see whether Sydney can serve anything up.


Cheers

David




---Michael Bath  wrote:
>
> I'm available for chase.
> 
> You can call me on 9625 9700 mobile 0412 145 755 (if the phones
engaged,
> I'm on the net - use email, ICQ).
> If anyone wants to go out (if there is activity) we can meet at
Rooty Hill.
> 
> Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
023

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 14:08:40 +1100
From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au]
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I prepared a detailed report on snowfalls in Australia for the Housing
Industry Association quite a few years ago now... included newspaper
reports and the report on the daddy of them all across the central west
in early July 1900. As Laurie has stated, Doug Sheperd of the NSW Bof M
wrote a report on this which I included as attachment to my H.I.A.
report.
Unfortunately, only have hard copy...
If interested in a copy let me know.
There's also a note on snow on my homepage
http://www.ozemail.com.au/~donwhite 

Don White

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
024

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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath [mbath at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: storm to west of Sydney
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Hi all,

Just back from a brief 'chase', west to Penrith then stopped at Castlereagh
as very heavy rain and base lowerings edged NNE along the escarpment (over
Springwood). Occasional rumbles of thunder made for a nice scene. I was
there for nearly half an hour watching this, expecting something good, but
as soon as I moved north towards Richmond. and only 5 minutes later the
cell had completely collapsed. Just a light shower and altocu left.

Anyway back home now and waiting for something later.

Michael
*==========================================================*
 Michael Bath  Oakhurst, Sydney   mbath at ozemail.com.au
                 Australian Severe Weather
       http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/
*==========================================================*

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
025

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:08:33 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: FW: Re: aussie-weather: Animations of Water Vapour Satpics  
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This and the following 2 messages that I will send bounced, with dave away
on holidays in Vermont until Sunday, I can only forward them. 

Phil, the reason for the bounces is that you are on the list as
"paisley at cobweb.com.au" but when sending mail to the list its coming from
"mail.cobweb.com.au at redback.cobweb.com.au", so the list wont reconise it
and will bounce it.


>For any Mac owners out there, there is an equivalent freeware utility
>available that will do the same thing.  It's called GifBuilder, and it has
>some pretty cool interleaving/pseudomorphing features.  Look for it in your
>nearest freeware/shareware directory.  Or e-mail me and I'll send it to
>you....
>
>Cheers all

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
026

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:10:07 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: FW: Re: aussie-weather: U.S. Tornado Outbreak  
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Forwarded message

>
>>For anyone interested, two mid-winter tornado outbreaks have occurred in
>>the southeastern US over the last week.  Arkansas and Tennessee have
>>been hit hard.  Here's a link to a news story with photos of one of the
>>recent tornadoes.
>>
>>        http://www.katv.com/weather/Tornado.html
>>
>
>>Sam Barricklow
>
>Hey Sam,
>
>How common is this type of outbreak over these areas in the middle of
>winter?  Sounds pretty anomolous.  Are there any precedents?
>
>Cheers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
027

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:15:25 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: FW: Re: aussie-weather:WA WX???
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Forwared message below the report

I heard about this on Seven Nightly News last night, it hit the town of
Kellerberrin, this from ABC News

WA town recovers from
overnight storm battering
Saturday 23 January, 1999 (6:58am WST) 
            
The central Western Australian wheatbelt town of Kellerberrin is
counting the cost of last night's wild storm which severely
damaged nearly 40 homes.

People left homeless by the damage were taken in for the night
by family, friends and neighbours.

Local Shire President, Geoff Diver, says entire streets had power
lines down, most had fallen trees, and there were many smashed
windows.

"I don't know whether it was a hurricane or mini tornadeo, it
virtually went through the centre of town, I think its probably one
of the worst things that's happened in this town." 


>
>
>Just heard a report about a town in WA being hit by a....mini
>tornado....sorry, didn't get the name but it started with a K.  Mention of
>40 houses damaged etc.  Any news from the west?
>
>cya

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
028

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne again.
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 15:26:03 +1100
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Clyve's spotted 2 cells SE of Mt Dandenong moving in a NW direction and
heading my way.  It's a very unusual direction for a storm in these parts to
head.  I'm off once more to have a look.  Will let you know if anything
exciting happens.  They've just lost a bit in intensity but if they are
pulse storms like last night, we could get comething but not on last night's
scale.

Jane
Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
029

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 12:26:28 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: Thunderstorms all night long
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As the Perth people know, we had thunderstorms in Perth the whole night,
after having them for most of the day yesterday, some damage reported
around the suburbs this morning with quite a few power blackouts. The first
lightning bolts were seen about 11am yesterday, and never let up much
during the day, the skies were still a light when I got home at 3am. Perth
City recoreded 42mm of rain, this is 5 times over the January average.

Jacob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
030

From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: storm to west of Sydney
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 15:49:29 +1100
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Micahel,

Look to the north near Richmond.!
******************************************
Grant Boyden

http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden
http://www.2ky.com.au

IRC =  au.austnet.org and #2kyRacing port 6667

ICQ = 23511159
******************************************

----------
> From: Michael Bath 
> To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
> Subject: aussie-weather: storm to west of Sydney
> Date: Saturday, 23 January 1999 14:16
> 
> Hi all,
> 
> Just back from a brief 'chase', west to Penrith then stopped at
Castlereagh
> as very heavy rain and base lowerings edged NNE along the escarpment
(over
> Springwood). Occasional rumbles of thunder made for a nice scene. I was
> there for nearly half an hour watching this, expecting something good,
but
> as soon as I moved north towards Richmond. and only 5 minutes later the
> cell had completely collapsed. Just a light shower and altocu left.
> 
> Anyway back home now and waiting for something later.
> 
> Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
031

From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: More US Storms
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 16:00:06 +1100
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A warning of more storms today from the US.

If you want to look at some Doppler Radars go to
http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden/storm/usradar.htm

******************************************
Grant Boyden

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
032

From: "Grant Boyden" [boyden at zeta.org.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: US STORM NOW
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 16:04:34 +1100
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http://www.zeta.org.au/~boyden/storm/radar1.htm
******************************************
Grant Boyden

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
033

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com,
        "Aussie Weather" 
Mime-Version: 1.0
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne again.
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 99 15:21:10 PST
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Hi - Nandina at Mulgrave.

Something quite strange is definitely building - I'm not experienced enough
to call what I can see - Dane, are you watching?  It seems to be coming from
SE and moving around N - poss NNW.  No change in baro since early a.m. (1005).
But still, and eerie.

Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Clyve's spotted 2 cells SE of Mt Dandenong moving in a NW direction and
> heading my way.  It's a very unusual direction for a storm in these parts to
> head.  I'm off once more to have a look.  Will let you know if anything
> exciting happens.  They've just lost a bit in intensity but if they are
> pulse storms like last night, we could get comething but not on last night's
> scale.
>
> Jane

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
034

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 13:06:47 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Thunderstorms all night long
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At 12:26 PM 23-01-99 +0800, you wrote:
>
>As the Perth people know, we had thunderstorms in Perth the whole night,
>after having them for most of the day yesterday, some damage reported
>around the suburbs this morning with quite a few power blackouts. The first
>lightning bolts were seen about 11am yesterday, and never let up much
>during the day, the skies were still a light when I got home at 3am. Perth
>City recoreded 42mm of rain, this is 5 times over the January average.
>
>Jacob
>

Just saw this from the ABC.

Millions of dollars damage
after overnight storm
Saturday 23 January, 1999 (8:54am WST) 
            
A massive clean up has begun in and around Perth, following last
night's storms which are estimated to have caused millions of
dollars worth of damage.

Western Power crews have been working around the clock to
restore electricity supplies.

Overnight storms have caused massive power blackouts around
Perth.

Two-hundred faults have been reported in the metropolitan area,
as widespread as Two Rocks and Yanchep to the north, Sawyers
Valley in the east, and Rockingham in the south. 

Over 41 millimetres of rain has been dumped on the city over the
past 24 hours, with unconfirmed reports of 64 millimetres in the
suburb of Joondalup. 

The Avon Valley has been hit hard by the storms. A house in
Toodyay was moved 40 metres while the occupants were inside.

Extensive damage has been reported to a number of houses in the
Avon Valley, and road blocks have been set up as emergency
workers clear fallen trees. 

Meanwhile, in Kellerberrin, 200 kilometres east of Perth, a
massive clean up has begun after storms ripped roofs off
numerous houses and the local school. 

Jacob

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035

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 16:06:59 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
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Hi all,

Just some quick feedback, the QLD ASWA meeting officially concluded at
3:50pm EST.  James arrived 1 hr early (8:30am) and we both began some
preparation for the meeting.

Both James and myself believed that the meeting was very sucessful,
certainly beyond my expectations!

I will release a summary of the minutes report soon, and will be up to
the management committee if they wish to publish anything else.

Anthony Cornelius
QLD ASWA Rep.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
036

From: "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Last Nights Melbourne Storm
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 17:18:29 +1100
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Great Storm last night in Melbourne too bad I missed it. I was in
Queenscliff last night and all we got down there was a few spots of Rain
and some distant thunder around 7pm. I was inside at a restaurant between
7.30pm and 9.00pm. When i got out at 9.00pm i noticed Mammatus cloud
overhead lit up by the last of the rapidly fading light. From the NW to the
East there was frequent distant lightning even from this distance about
80kms it was a great show lots of cc and cg  activity with a long line of
cells. Lightning every 2 or 3 seconds. My Mum said it was a very
spectacular show one of the best storms she had seen. Lightning lit up the
area like daylight and very loud thunder shook the house, the storm lasted
for almost 2 hours she said. When I got back I checked the guage( Standard
BOM 203mm Diameter Guage) 28.8mm so not a bad fall. a pity I havent got my
Dines Pluvio graph guage working yet. Today most of the activity has been
to the East of the metro area. We had a light shower here at 4.15pm and a
decaying cell is now to the South moving To the NW, it may have had thunder
with about 30 mins ago there were several loud Lightning static crackles on
the AM radio then. Doesnt look like much else happening today at least. The
next few days look like Fine and warm in Melbourne, there is the chance
that isolated storms could still occur over the eastern ranges over the
next few days. Dane

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
037

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 14:37:17 +0800
From: Greg Spencer [hawk at aisnet.net.au]
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Hi All

Well this is my first attempt at this so you will have to bear with me.
The day started out well with me being woked by a really loud clap of
thunder just outside my bedroom window at about 11:00. I got up got
dressed and went for a drive out to Ocean Reef Marina and watch the
storms heading down the coast from the NNW. There were some great CG's
observed out over the ocean. The only problem with it is that my Mum had
the camera in Tasmania so I was stuck to just watching the storms.

I got back home at about 4:00 and sat down to the computer for a while
only having to shut the thing down shortly after as a fairly string
storm moved from the NNM straight over the top of my house. I didnt want
to lose another modem to lightning strike.

The day up till then was good but at 6:00 I had to start work. So I went
off to work and spent more time watching the storms than actually
working. I deliver pizzas at the moment as an in between job. I suppose
I had better mention one of my runs out to ballajura as it was very
interesting weather wise. I took the order out and dropped them of as
per normal. On the way out I drove past the side of a pretty severe
storm that I was told according to radar was somewhere in the 40-100mm
rain bracket. After the drop of the return trip to the shop took me head
on into the guts of this storm as it had moved quite quickly SSE over
the road I had to use. I started to drive back and saw a lightning bolt
strike the middle of the road about 50-100m ahead of me. Shit that
scared me. You could see the lightning spread out on the road in all the
water that was on it. shotly after this I drive under the front edge of
the storm which from what I could when it was dark looked about
4000-5000 ft above the ground. Hard to tell in the dark so I have no
idea how accurate those figures are. It started raining very heavy
suddenly and about 1 minute after I heard a loud bang on the roof of my
car. I noticed something large hit the widshield of my car. It started
to hail quite heavily with 1 - 1 1/2cm stones. It managed to chip the
windshield a few times but luckily didnt crack it so I wont have to
replace it thank god.

The rest of time at work was fairly uneventful apart from some really
heavy rain and some nice anvil crawlers observed.

I finished work at 1:30am and headed straight to Mike Fewings place
where the two of us and another of his mates headed of to the top of
Lesmurdie falls and set the cameras up there with very nice view over
the city. We saw on 2 occasions a strike to the north hit what we think
was a power station and saw just about evey light in the city go out. We
stayed up there until about 4:50 am and watched the storms move in from
the NNW and slowly start to die out around 5:00

This brought an end to a rather interesting night for Perth since we
havent seen a good storm in the Metro area since mid last month

Greg

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
039

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne bust........or.....
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 18:16:15 +1100
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BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
VICTORIAN REGIONAL OFFICE
Thunderstorm Warning
Issued at 1706 on Saturday the 23rd of January 1999 forSaturday
Isolated thunderstorms are possible about the far eastern suburbs this
afternoon
and evening.

It's not over yet!  There are cells growing and decaying to the east of Mt
Dandenong, still generally moving SE - NW, but not consistently in the same
direction as each other.  Sat up the mountain for a couple of hours just
watching - a few lowerings and the BoM reported infrequent lightning
activity to the the east. The isolated cells over the eastern suburbs are
very small, explosive and decaying within 20 minutes of starting out.

Still as Nandina pointed out - things just aren't behaving the way they
should be!  The sea breeze has strengthened up and that may be all it needs
to make something happen over the Yarra Valley tonight.  I think I'll keep
an eye on the radar for a while yet.

Jane
Melbourne

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
039

From: "dpn" [dpn at bigpond.com]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aussie-weather: Funnel cloud on Video 
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 19:13:27 +1100
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Any one see Ch 9 news tonight. They had about 3 seconds of Video of a
funnel cloud taken near Sunbury last night by an amateur camera man. He
would have a lot more than 3 seconds I Think. maybe we can contact him.
Dane  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
040

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 18:35:29 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
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Hi Michael,

I was watching the storms on FREE NEXRAD RADAR (sorry had to say that)
yesterday, while also looking at some of the obs.  The temperature was
17C, just before the storms in some areas in Mousirri (apologies for
spelling) Their previous max's were a whopping 14C.  They were slightly
warmer in the further south parts, but I'm not exactly sure of the
temps.  Certainly...to have 17C and a tornado warning is something! 
CAPE was 'only' 1500 too in some areas.  Here are some soundings of the
areas:

Apparently it looks like more favourable shear, with a decent SWEAT, and
very nice SRH (420!) and 1.46 for your energy helicity is fairly good
too!

This is 24hrs ago...I just chose one in the area, as this email would be
too big if I paste all!  If you want to see the rest of their stats goto
http://www-das.uwyo.edu/upperair/usa.html

And choose about 24hrs ago...it also gives you an indication of temps
too.

'LZK'

Cap Strength:              0.89 C
Lifted Index:             -4.14 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms probable
Lifted Index  at 300 mb:      1.11 C
Lifted Index  at 700 mb:     -0.69 C
Showalter Index:          -3.61 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms possible
Total Totals Index:       56.40 C Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable
  Vertical Totals Index:  29.30 C
  Cross Totals Index:     27.10 C
K Index:                  33.10   Risk: 60-80 % chance of thunderstorms
Sweat Index:             497.43   Risk: Severe Thunderstorms possible
Energy Index:             -1.66   Risk: Scattered severe thunderstorms

Parcel Indices
Parcel: using 100 mb layer
CAPE (B+):               633.29 J/kg
Max Up Vert Vel:          35.59 m/s
Conv Inhibition (B-):     28.35 J/kg
Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos:  420.0 neg:   -5.3 tot:  414.7 m^2/s^2
                             ave:  138.2 10^-3 m/s^2 rel:   0.93
Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz:    8.6 stream:    8.0 10^-3/s
Energy-Hel index:          1.46
Bulk Rich Number:          4.21
Bulk Shear:              150.54 m/s

Anthony Cornelius

Michael Thompson wrote:
> 
> Thanks for the links Sam, I know it is not unknown for January tornado
> outbreaks, but still I can't help wondering about the surface temperatures
> at the time, any idea ?
> 
> It is strange looking at storm pics with frost dried grass and leafless
> trees ( neither which I get here anyway, even in the middle of winter,  ).
> 
> Michael

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
041

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 22:35:36 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne/Perth storms and chasing
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Hi every1,

Jimmy here. I must say I am proud to see that chasers were out in force to
chase good action particularly in Melbourne. I think, with the help of
people reporting at base, and this might become more a formality in the
future, I think next season will be one worth waiting for in terms of
successes.

At the moment, behind the scenes, I am trying to make available or organise
to have information of various types of parameters rather than just the
Lifted Index. Then we can only blame the road network for Busts.

On a similar note, I am pleased to see people going out of their way
providing information for others on chases. This is one thing that was
never possible in the past and you basically chased blind. Well done guys
and gals.

Jimmy Deguara
Storm Chaser....whom despite what Michael Thompson or others say...tries
not to chase storms away.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------
Jimmy Deguara
Vice President ASWA
from Schofields, Sydney
e-mail:  jimmyd at ozemail.com.au
homepage with Michael Bath
http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
042

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Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 22:40:51 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Recruitment drive
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Hi Jane and every1,

Jane, this has been noted in terms of the cards. I had thought of pamphlets
so that they can have sufficient information to join as well directly but
cards are a good too.

Keep those ideas rolling in, particularly in your meetings.

Jimmy Deguara

At 12:05 AM 1/23/99 +1100, you wrote:
>On the way home, I rang the police to report a taxi driver in distress and
>ended up recruiting the policeman who answered the phone. He had been
>sitting there listening to it all on the police radio and drooling all the
>while.  He should appear on the list in the next couple of days.  You just
>never know where you'll find them do you 
>
>BTW, we should get cards printed so we can hand them out - I'm sure there
>were at least 15 possibles up the mountain tonight.
>
>Jane

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
043

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 21:50:17 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
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Meeting of 23/01/1999
At Anthony Cornelius's house, Belmont, Brisbane
Opened: 11:15am
Present: James Chambers, Ben Quinn, Ross Portas, Narrelle, Anthony
Cornelius
Apol: Steve Baynham, John Graham, John Sweatman, Greg Curtis, Joanne
Walker, John Woodbridge

Ideas suggested:

-QLD newsletter issued monthly (separate from Storm News)
-Weather seminars/training sessions to be operated in each capital city
by ASWA - in conjunction of the BoM
-Investigate the use and costs of UHF Cb or ham radio
-Doppler radar - approach car insurance companies for possible fudning
-Revamp storm spotters network
-Aproach TV companies
-Aproach BoM

*Please note that these were only suggestions and ideas talked about
during the meeting, not all have been decided to be implemented at this
moment*

Possible one the best things I found with the meeting, was that it also
gave a purpose and cause to meet each other and exchange weather
information/pictures/footage.  It was certainly very educational for
all!

Anthony Cornelius
QLD, ASWA Rep.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
044

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From: "Paul Graham" [v_notch at hotmail.com]
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Severe Thunderstorm Advice...
Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 04:38:21 PST
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TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 2120 on Saturday the 23rd of January 1999

This advice affects people in the following weather districts:

Illawarra,  and South Coast

Thunderstorms and very heavy rain with possible local flooding are 
forecast
within the advice area from now until 3am Sunday. 

The STATE EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people 
should:
 * move indoors away from windows

During and after storms people should:
 * take extreme care when driving 
 * beware of fallen trees and power lines
 * keep away from creeks and drains as you may be swept away 
 * shelter in the strongest part of a building [eg. bathroom or 
basement]

If your house is damaged contact your local State Emergency Service 
unit,
listed under "S" in the White Pages, for emergency assistance. Don't use 
the
telephone during storms.

TV CRAWL: Severe Thunderstorm/Local Flooding Advice current

NOT FOR BROADCAST: This advice message is valid until  The Bureau and 
SES
would appreciate it being broadcast regularly until this time.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
045

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From: Jimmy Deguara [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au]
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Severe Thunderstorm Advice...
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Didn't look like that Paul bu then again I have not been concentrating on that.

Jimmy


At 04:38 AM 1/23/99 -0800, you wrote:
>TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
>
>SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
>BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
>NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
>Issued at 2120 on Saturday the 23rd of January 1999

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
046

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 06:44:16 -0600
From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]
Organization: The Storm Shop http://www.thestormshop.com/
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: Re: Surface Temps for US T outbreak
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Michael, the surface temps over Arkansas ranged from the mid 60s to the low
70s F.

This system's atmospheric dynamics were awesome.  In addition to intense winds
aloft and cold temps at 500mb,  the 850mb low level jet was incredible,
feeding the system with warm moist tropical air from the Gulf of Mexico at 50
to 70 mph!

Another factor I look at is the absolute temperature difference between 700
and 500 mb, which serves as a quick measure of mid level instability.  A delta
of 19 degrees C or greater is usually considered sufficient for tornadoes, if
the other ingredients are present.  On Thursday, the 700/500 delta T was 23
degrees C over Arkansas and Louisiana.  Differences of this magnitude are
usually seen only during spring.

Real-time SREH (storm relative helicity) was estimated to be in excess of 300,
based on the most recent hodograph and the observed storm motion.  A SREH of
150 or so is typically considered to be the lower threshold for tornadoes (but
I don't consider this to be an unbreakable rule).

Arkansas was also in the left forward quadrant of an intense approaching jet
maximum and the right rear quandrant of a departing jet max, both locations
where lift and venting at the top of the updraft are enhanced.

Although not unprecedented, it was a fairly unusual event.

Sam Barricklow

Michael Thompson wrote:

> Thanks for the links Sam, I know it is not unknown for January tornado
> outbreaks, but still I can't help wondering about the surface temperatures
> at the time, any idea ?

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
047

Date: Sat, 23 Jan 1999 06:50:44 -0600
From: Sam Barricklow [k5kj at pulse.net]
Organization: The Storm Shop http://www.thestormshop.com/
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Subject: aussie-weather: The Iridium Flash
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This is a little off-topic, but since weather enthusiasts are basically
"sky watchers", here's something else to see.

What will satellite manufacturers think of next!

This URL describes the Iridium flash phenomenon:
  http://www.flatoday.com/space/explore/stories/1998b/092898f.htm

This URL tells you when and where to look:

  http://www.gsoc.dlr.de/satvis/

You can use your GPS unit at home to get a more accurate reading for
your house.

Sam Barricklow

Document: 990123.htm
Updated: 5th February, 1999

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