Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx]
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 26th February 1999

    From                                           Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    want to know
002 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    FINALLY back online
003 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]    today
004 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  want to know
005 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Frustrating Day in Brisbane
006 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        A very cool (relatively speaking!) and wet month in Marble B
007 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]       Frustrating Day in Brisbane
008 Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]     Frustrating Day in Brisbane
009 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
010 Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]                     Perth Heatwave
011 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]        Long period without cooldays at Melbourne
012 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]       CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
013 "Manda .  M" [manda at tpgi.com.au]               Swan Hill tornado?????????
014 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.  CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
015 Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]       CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
016 David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com]              CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
017 Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]         Data analysis
018 "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]           Gravity currents

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: want to know
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 99 06:11:04 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id GAA18778

Morning Terry and Alan - thanks for responding.

I have an old computer which was an IBM clone and has been built up a
couple of times.  It has a 486 CPU and used Windows 3.1 (DOS).  The
MAil program is the freebie Microsoft Internet MAil, version 3.02a.


y daughter has a brand new computer and tells me she gets this same
message on many of her mails. ???

The message says
"Can not find a conversion for 'application/ms-tnef' MIME body part.
 It will be treated as binary '.BIN' data.  It may not be possible to
view or use this data without further processing."

The attachment, when I click on it, is labelled ATTACH.BIN
When I save it to a disk it exists as ATTACH.BIN, but is not avaiable
to open.

I used to get this just on mails from Truffles, and always on mails
from Truffles, and I just clicked OK on the message, ignoring it.
But when it appeared on mails from Jane and Dane, I got a little
concerned. Hence my message.
The Logo message from Jane has .GIF filenames, and I have been unable
to access these in the past - may be due to my lack of knowledge,
advice would be welcome on accessing these.
And finally - my c: drive does not have much spare  memory - I'm trying
to buy more RAM but 486 RAM seems not easy to buy.  So I always insert
a floppy and save to a: drive.

I hope this information is sufficient for you to make a diagnosis.
 Don't want to shoot the beast yet - It has made retirement bearable.

Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Hi Nandina,
>
> Could you please advise me on type of computer, Email program and version.
> Usually found on the help then about section.
>
> I know the feeling. I am looking forward to being classified by the National
> Trust myself.
> Remember, all good things improve with age, wine for instance. :) :)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
002

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: FINALLY back online
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 99 06:14:06 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id GAA18788

Chris - Heaven on a stick - both car and computer back.  Bet you don't know yourself :-)
Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
>
> Hi there everyone. The upgraded computer has finally returned to its 
> rightful place.
>
> Sorry to see that Kevin has to leave us but I've no doubt he'll be back
> soon. Some great photos have been posted over the last 10 days and it's
> good to see that Sydney got some action of some sort as well. It's been
> quiet here in Melbourne for a while although there have been some good 
> cloud formations with the wind changes over the last week or so but only
> showers affected us :-( . There was static on the radio on Monday but I
> couldn't chase as the car died on me. It's now back as well so I hope 
> there is some action soon.
>
> Chris

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
003

To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: today
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 99 06:24:09 PST
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id HAA18904

Hey Lindsay - my fam hist anecdotes are going into a series of kids
stories.  Seems like we share a couple of interests.  Good on you.
Been published?  I haven't tried yet - but when the time comes would
appreciate a bit of how to and who to advice.

Cheers,

Nandina
nandina at alphalink.com.au

----------
> Hi Nandina,
>
> Good to see you are buried in another of your passions. Speaking of
> which, I'm working on my second novel (lots of research!) and I'm
> inserting some really good weather stuff like the big snow storm of
> July 1900 that we had up here and one of my characters is probably going
> to be a weather buff too. I just can't escape my weather interests! :-)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
004

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 11:29:10 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: want to know
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Nandina Morris wrote:
> 
> Morning Terry and Alan - thanks for responding.
> ...
> The message says
> "Can not find a conversion for 'application/ms-tnef' MIME body part.

"MIME" refers to how the mail message was put together (MIME format or
encoding). The 'application/ms-tnef' is one such body part that your
Email client can't make head or tail of. See the following for an
explanation of what this part is. I'll extract text from a previous
Email...

--- Included text from Michael Scollay mail dated 21/01/1999 16:58 ---
More info: I asked one of our resident mail experts about this. He
reckons that this TNEF ( Encoding Format) attachment is a
MicroSoft thingy that concerns the positioning and encoding of
attachments and other encoded parts in the mail. So if you turn off
"Rich Text Encoding" capability etc., then you'll send only plain text
from MicroSoft Email clients, notably Internet Explorer, Outlook etc.
Wullah. I think "sending only plain text" is what we agreed to
in-the-beginning. The trouble is finding out how to ensure this from
the myriad of Email clients available:-(
--- End included text ---

As far as Nandina is concerned, you do nothing (yet). People who are
sending such mail need to look at the setup of Internet Explorer
and/or their mail client. There is a button or option that does
something like this i.e "turn off rich text encoding". Look also at
configuration files in C:/WINDOWS such as those labled with ".INI".
Removal of any fancy mail client text formatting will suppress the
sending of this particular attachment.

> The attachment, when I click on it, is labelled ATTACH.BIN
> When I save it to a disk it exists as ATTACH.BIN, but is not
> avaiable to open.

That's a typical Microsoft programming decision tree that goes
like..."If I can't decode the attachment 'application/ms-tnef' then
convert it to text and call an executable with the prefix of the first
text I decode"...which happens to be "ATTACH" because
'application/ms-tnef' is likely to contain this word "ATTACH" because
this attachment is supposed to describe how to position and format the
mail text on compatible email clients. I know that sounds dumb, but it
happens to be true. If you look at the majority of Microsoft
application files, right inside is a reference to the version of
application that created it. If the extension sheds no light e.g.
.DOC, .XLS etc. then the application will try to read the file. This
is why it trys to find "ATTACH.BIN".

Nandina, 'application/ms-tnef' is nothing the click on or worry about.
It's just annoying and that's Microsoft through and through:-)

> The Logo message from Jane has .GIF filenames, and I have been unable 
> to access these in the past - may be due to my lack of knowledge, advice 
> would be welcome on accessing these.

Now this is something to be concerned about, Nandina. GIF images are
basically fundamental to the internet. Normally, Internet Explorer
should be able to decode gif images. Maybe the gif image in question
is of a format that your version of Internet Explorer can't decode.
Alternatively, save the attachment from your email client and open it
in some other gif reader. Don't ask me what else exists for your PC
since it ought to be supported through Internet Explorer.

Without a direct reference to the image in question, I can't vouch for
it's format. My gut feel says that you are looking at an upgrade for
Internet Explorer as well. Why not try a move to NetScape instead?
It's free, but you'll need more disk for this, however.

> And finally - my c: drive does not have much spare  memory - 
> I'm trying to buy more RAM but 486 RAM seems not easy to buy. 
> So I always insert a floppy and save to a: drive.

I'm not sure what you're saying here. Insufficient disk space and not
enough RAM are two largely separate issues except when you deal with
Windows Virtual Memory (WVM). You need enough spare C: drive for the
WVM to allocate and use. What Windows does is shove currently unused
applications that were loaded into RAM into VM temporarily. When you
want that application back to use, the WVM swaps it back into RAM
after pushing something else into VM. This can be -very- slow if you
have a slow hard disk, not to mention that brain-dead DOS file system.

So the usual solution is to add more RAM. There are thousands of old
machines that could be raided for 486 memory. Check with some of the
PC-lease companies that deal with Telstra for example. You'll need
someone with some knowledge about how to do this though. 16MB is
considered a minimum for reasonable application performance with DOS
6.22 and Windows 3.1. Many systems run with 8MB, but that's pushing
your luck a bit. You'll need about 50MB free disk space for WVM. I
have found in old practice that Windows starts to die when about 30MB
of VM is being used because it can't swap fast enough between the RAM
and the VM on disk.

As for disk space, there must be thousands of old drives out there
that you could buy for a song (see above). All you need is a few
hundred MB as a D: drive to put all your data files on and leave your
C: drive for the operating system and applications. I take it that
your C: drive is rather small. The objective here is to get as much C:
drive free as possible for the WVM to operate acceptably.

Now if it were me, I'd get enough disk to load Red Hat Linux with 16MB
RAM min, trash DOS/Windows and load up Netscape V4.5 for Linux:-)

[snip]

Good luck!

Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
005

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 12:54:42 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Australian Weather Mailing List [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Frustrating Day in Brisbane
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi all,

Well...our atmosphere is reasonably unstable (and has the potential to
become further unstable upon close inspection of a very borderline
Skew-T) but it's very cool, almost cold here in Brisbane.  I'm currently
sitting on 25.4C, the Brisbane obs are 24C with a DP of 19C and SSE
(Super Storm Eradicator) winds at 14.5km/h.  

There are some t'storms about 200km SW of us, and further t'storms about
350km W of us, but it's not looking that great now.  I'm still hopeful,
but these cool to cold temperatures are killing us!

Our soundings are:

1000-500 mb thick:      5677.00 m
Freezing level:          636.18 mb =  3911.09 m = 12831.49 ft
Wetbulb zero:            646.61 mb =  3746.92 m = 12292.89 ft
Precipitable water:        1.62 inches
Sfc-500 mean rel hum:     76.26 %
Est. max temperature:     27.19 C =   80.94 F
Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 970.51 mb =   360.72 m =  1183.44 ft T:   19.60
C
700-500 lapse rate:        6.18 C/km
ThetaE index:              5.90 C Layer 1000.0- 850.0 mb
Conv cond level (CCL):   901.04 mb =   998.18 m =  3274.83 ft
  Mean mixing ratio:      12.38 g/kg
  Conv temperature:       25.17 C =   77.31 F
Cap Strength:              1.09 C
Lifted Index:             -0.40 C Risk: Thunderstorms probable
Lifted Index  at 300 mb:      3.23 C
Lifted Index  at 700 mb:      0.69 C
Showalter Index:          -0.40 C Risk: Thunderstorms probable
Total Totals Index:       47.70 C Risk: Scattered moderate thunderstorms
  Vertical Totals Index:  24.30 C
  Cross Totals Index:     23.40 C
K Index:                  35.90   Risk: > 80 % chance of thunderstorms
Sweat Index:             199.60   Risk: None
Energy Index:             -1.66   Risk: Scattered severe thunderstorms

Parcel Indices
Parcel: using 100 mb layer
CAPE (B+):                46.08 J/kg
Max Up Vert Vel:           9.60 m/s
Conv Inhibition (B-):     65.59 J/kg
Cap Strength:              1.07 C
Lift Cond Lev (LCL):     925.71 mb =   767.69 m =  2518.63 ft
Lev Free Conv (LFC):     660.71 mb =  3573.39 m = 11723.58 ft
Equ Level (EL):          570.71 mb =  4747.73 m = 15576.35 ft
B at Equ Level:           29.48 J/kg
Max Parcel Lev (MPL):    350.71 mb =  8410.45 m = 27593.00 ft

Wind Parameters
Mean winds (0-6000m):            317.5 at   18.9 knts
Storm direction:                 347.5 at   14.2 knts
Shear (0-3000m)              pos:    1.3 neg:    4.1 tot:    5.3 10-3/s
Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m):      49.4 deg
Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos:   17.8 neg:  -34.1 tot:  -16.4 m^2/s^2
                             ave:   -5.5 10^-3 m/s^2 rel:   0.01
Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz:    6.4 stream:    0.1 10^-3/s
Energy-Hel index:          0.00
Bulk Rich Number:          0.44
Bulk Shear:              105.23 m/s

Anyway...there's still a chance if the t'storms to our SW survive, and
that's what I'm hoping...we've got 8/8 cloud but there are some places
that appear to be thinning slightly (according to the sat pic) I think
we need to get up to 27-28C at least before we can have any decent
chance though.

Anthony from Brisbane (12:53pm)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
006

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: A very cool (relatively speaking!) and wet month in Marble Bar
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 14:12:23 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

While eastern Australia has had a rather warm summer for the most
part, it's been a notably cool one in the Pilbara, by their standards
(which are still pretty hot).

With 2 1/2 days to go in February, Marble Bar's mean maximum for the
months is sitting on 34.6 (previous record 34.9, 1995), 5.4 degrees
below average. It has failed to exceed 40 once in the month (assuming
it doesn't before Sunday, this would be the first instance in any
month between November and February).

Measureable rain also fell on 21 of the 23 days 2-24 February, including
runs of 11 and 9 consecutively. The monthly total is 282 mm - well 
above the mean monthly total of 83mm (and not too far short of the 
mean annual total of 346), but not a record. 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
007

X-Sender: cmaunder at mail.dynamite.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32)
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 14:13:13 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Frustrating Day in Brisbane
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 12:54 26/02/99 +1000, you wrote:
>Hi all,
>
>Well...our atmosphere is reasonably unstable (and has the potential to
>become further unstable upon close inspection of a very borderline
>Skew-T) but it's very cool, almost cold here in Brisbane. 

I gotta laugh each time I hear Sydney siders and Qlders talk about
"cold". :)

>Our soundings are:
>
[snip]

Where do you get such details info? It's fantastic.
(First Jane's radar, now Anthony's "too-much-info-is-barely-enough"
I'm feeling deprived down here :)

cheers,
Chris
------------------------------------------------------
Chris Maunder         Canberra, Australia
Administrator         CodeGuru  - www.codeguru.com
Technical Consultant  Dundas software - www.dundas.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
008

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 13:40:54 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius [cyclone at stealth.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Frustrating Day in Brisbane
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi Chriss and to all who may be interested;

The information is from: http://www-das.uwyo.edu/upperair/au.html
For the text data, click on 'text' first, and then click on the closest
location near you.  For example, Brisbane is "YBBN" and Sydney is
"YSSY," and that will give you the atmospheric soundings.  The gif
format is the Skew-T, it's even more useful then the text info, but
somewhat harder to understand.  It's possible to extrapolate expected
atmospheric changes from the Skew-T which makes it a very useful tool.

Anthony

Chris Maunder wrote:
> Where do you get such details info? It's fantastic.
> (First Jane's radar, now Anthony's "too-much-info-is-barely-enough"
> I'm feeling deprived down here :)
> 
> cheers,
> Chris

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
009

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 16:25:18 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Chris Maunder wrote:
> 
> At 12:54 26/02/99 +1000, you wrote:
> >Hi all,
> >
> >Well...our atmosphere is reasonably unstable (and has the potential to
> >become further unstable upon close inspection of a very borderline
> >Skew-T) but it's very cool, almost cold here in Brisbane.
> 
> I gotta laugh each time I hear Sydney siders and Qlders talk about
> "cold". :)

(Michael Scollay here:) Me too. But I am a Sydney-sider also:-)

My worst day for wind chill was July ??, 1981 at Thredbo. The temp on
top of Crackenback (2037m) was -18C with a wind speed of 85kph. That's
one hell of a wind chill factor!

Another occasion was in Utah, USA sometime during late January, 1984.
This occasion set a record for Utah while I was skiing at Park City.
We stayed indoors as the temp went down to -65F (-54C) somewhere else
in Utah at about 5am. By 7am, Park City had warmed up to -50F (-46C).
I went outside and puffed in this artic air. The vapour from my breath
formed ice crystals almost instantly. My private snowstorm of sorts:-)
The ski lifts were open when the temp rose above -40F (-40C). That was
about 10:30am. By midday, my girlfriend, Kym (now wife) and I were
using our stocks to drive ourselves down black runs with the temp
around -35F (-37C). There seemed no skid whatsoever in the snow.
Beautifully shaped ice crystals filled the air at times seemingly
forming from nowhere. These entered our lungs unmelted to make us
cough. It was like breathing a type of dust. Throughout the whole day,
there was hardly a breath of wind. Next day started comparatively warm
at -30F (-34C).

What felt colder you ask? We were dressed in the same ski clothes too.
Well, it was lucky that we couldn't ski fast in Utah since we almost
certainly would have frozen any bare skin. That did happen to Kym's
nose, the only bit that stuck outside in one particular run because
she forgot to tuck it in after blowing it. I'd have to say that
Thredbo during that bitterly cold and windy morning is welded in my
mind since that wind found every possible crack in my clothing
chilling me to the bone as we rode that chairlift.

[snip]

Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
010

X-Sender: jacob at iinet.net.au
X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32)
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 14:06:22 +0800
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jacob [jacob at iinet.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Perth Heatwave
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 03:48 PM 25-02-99 +1100, you wrote:
>The Perth city site has moved around too much for such records to be
>meaningful, but Perth Airport's record is 13 35+ days in succession:
>20 January-1 February 1956. There have been 13 instances in 56 years
>of 7 or more 35+ days in succession.
>
>I'm also watching the record for most consecutive 30+ days. This
>has some way to go: the record is 31 (23 January-22 February 1988) 
>and 20 will have been reached by Monday (i.e. the record would be 
>broken on March 13 if they get that far).
>
>Oddly enough, this summer has also been notable for the absence of
>extreme heat so far: the airport's highest this summer of 40 is the
>'lowest highest' for a summer since 1986/87. This could plausibly
>fall during the next few days, of course.
>
>Blair Trewin

The city site is still waiting for its first 40 for the summer, but we've
had a few 38's and 39's, thats when the airport prolly got up to 40 on one
of those days, last summer we equalled our record with 6 days over 40 for
the city site, even though the old city sites are not directly comparable,
but unlike our winter minimums, I've noticed our daytime maximums are very
similar to the old city sites since it got moved to the inner suburb of
Mount Lawley in November, 1993.

Hottest I've seen the city temp get up to so far today was 37.1C, the
airport 37.2C.

Right now at 1:55pm, the city is at 37.0 with a light NE wind, airport
37.2, Swanbourne Beach 36.0 which is now in a SW, and even Rottnest Island
is sitting on 36.0C and surprisingly still in a NNE wind at 17km/h.

So that means for the city and we've had 4 days over 35C, and 3 days in a
row over 37C, 36 is forecast for tomorrow.

Jacob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
011

From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: Long period without cooldays at Melbourne
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 17:19:34 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

While it might not seem anything particularly special to those 
from more northern climes, today was the 50th consecutive day on
which it has reached 20 degrees at Melbourne.

This is the 8th such instance in 144 years of records, most recently
in 1983 (57 days: 25 January-22 March).

The record number of consecutive days over 20 is 70: 26 January-4
April 1956.

Current models suggest that a sub-20 day is unlikely on any of the next
seven days, which would be enough to hoist 1999 to equal third on 
this list. We'd need to last until March 19 to break the record.

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
012

X-Sender: cmaunder at mail.dynamite.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32)
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 17:15:03 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 16:25 26/02/99 +1100, you wrote:
>My worst day for wind chill was July ??, 1981 at Thredbo. The temp on
>top of Crackenback (2037m) was -18C with a wind speed of 85kph. That's
>one hell of a wind chill factor!
>
>Another occasion was in Utah, USA sometime during late January, 1984.

[snip]

Between you and a friend of mine who has just headed off for some skiing
in Canada - I'm getting REAL itchy for the snow season.

I cannot believe how bad last seasons was. 1997 was bad - and we all 
thought that 1998 would make up for it. What a disappointment!

Anyone want to make some brave predictions about this years season? :)


------------------------------------------------------
Chris Maunder         Canberra, Australia
Administrator         CodeGuru  - www.codeguru.com
Technical Consultant  Dundas software - www.dundas.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
013

From: "Manda .  M" [manda at tpgi.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Swan Hill tornado?????????
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 17:13:26 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.71.1712.3
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Hi ,
   i have been in contact with my mother who lives in the Swan Hill district
and she gave me a bit of an idea how big the particular storm was on the 28
of January 1999.
She lives in Woorineen.
         Her Air conditioner which is on her roof was struck by lightning
and caught fire.....one of those big box looking things.The top of it was
blown off and all the sides had peeled off.She went running through the
house trying to find out what was on fire ...two foot of smoke by this time
was in the house...Found out it was the air con ...thankfully the fire
didn't take hold and must have burnt itself out in the roof ...maybe even
put out with the rain after she turned the power off to it.She still had a
very sleepless night none the less.
   The next day she found out that someone had lost their roof........A
caravan had been found on top of a packing shed......and 3 cows were killed
as a result of flying tin.One of the wildest storms she said she had been
through.
   As they were driving into town  she said the side of the road looked
unbelievable as all the shrubs and the tea trees had been stripped of all
their leaves and they looked ...what she only described to me .....ripped
shredded and mangled.
         So that one sounded like it was a doozie for sure..

                               Manda......
-----Original Message-----
>Hi everyone.
>
>Just bought the 3/2/99 Weekly Times (country paper) due to the amazing
>front page photo of multiple lightning strikes near Swan Hill. The
>article inside was also interesting (copied directly omitting boring
>stuff :-)  ):
>
>SEVERE storms across Victoria and NSW have caused millions of dollars in
>damage.
>
>The storms last Thursday night, described as "tornadoes" and
>"mini-cyclones" in some areas, cut power in western Victoria and damaged
>Murray River and Riverina horticultural crops. One of the hardest hit
>areas was Hay, in NSW, where a motel lost its roof in a mini-cyclone
>which appeared to hit twice. More than 60mm rain fell in just 20 mins.
>
>
>
>The Riverina has suffered from a succession of summer storms not seen in
>the region for more than 40 years. The previous week, Coleambally grain
>growers lost summer crops in a sudden storm which locals said emerged
>"from nowhere".
>
>Few horticultutalists in the Swan Hill area reported damage from last
>Thursday's storm but, at nearby Murrawee, 200kmh winds, hail and 120mm
>of rain caused an estimated $500,000 damage at Tony and Gaye Tripodi's
>fruit and vegetable farm.
>
>Mrs Tripodi said the couple's fruit crop was almost wiped out by a
>tornado of howling wind that flipped over three caravans, uprooted about
>150 trees and split a neighbours house in half. Melons. nectarines,
>peaches and plums suffered severe bruising, while a crop of roma
>tomatoes.....are now only good for sauce.
>
>"It was a tornado," Mrs Tripodi said. "The pickers were lying in the
>caravan and they could see the funnel. My son was here at the time and
>he said the sound was just terrifying.
>
>article>
>
>
>This article blew me away and if Swan Hill wasn't so far away I'd go and
>check the area and the stories out. I think they're guessing the
>windspeed but if it ripped apart a house and destroyed that many trees
>it sounds pretty accurate.
>
>I'll bring the article and the photo to the ASWA meeting in Melbourne on
>Saturday.
>
>See you then
>
>Chris

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014

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 18:20:58 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Chris Maunder wrote:
> Between you and a friend of mine who has just headed off for some skiing
> in Canada - I'm getting REAL itchy for the snow season.
> 
> I cannot believe how bad last seasons was. 1997 was bad - and we all
> thought that 1998 would make up for it. What a disappointment!
> 
> Anyone want to make some brave predictions about this years season? :)

No way. My tried and proven "theories" got dumped in the garbage bin
after last years snow, or lack thereof:-( Mind you, the week that I
skied was one to remember with some 90cm of snow falling in the three
days from Aug 15 to 17 inclusive. The difference in this fall was that
it came from the E-SE direction around the top of a high pressure
system! There was a decent low in the Tasman that pumped a deluge onto
the Illawarra region but it stayed just cold enough (-4C to -1C)
during that time to dump a load of snow in Perisher Valley. So much
snow that many trees collapsed...

Michael Scollay       mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
015

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Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 19:17:24 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Chris Maunder [cmaunder at dynamite.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

At 18:20 26/02/99 +1100, Michael Scollay wrote:
 Mind you, the week that I
>skied was one to remember with some 90cm of snow falling in the three
>days from Aug 15 to 17 inclusive. The difference in this fall was that
>it came from the E-SE direction around the top of a high pressure
>system! There was a decent low in the Tasman that pumped a deluge onto
>the Illawarra region but it stayed just cold enough (-4C to -1C)
>during that time to dump a load of snow in Perisher Valley. So much
>snow that many trees collapsed...

Yep - went boarding the day after those dumps - woohoo!

Still - I guess we can be thankful we don't have the conditions
in Austria and Italy at the moment. The death toll seems to be
rising daily. Still - the story about the boy who was clinically
dead for 2 hrs  - and then revived - was pretty amazing.


------------------------------------------------------
Chris Maunder         Canberra, Australia
Administrator         CodeGuru  - www.codeguru.com
Technical Consultant  Dundas software - www.dundas.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
016

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 00:33:25 -0800 (PST)
From: David Croan [bustchase at yahoo.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: CCCCOOOOOOLLDDD! Was "Frustrating Day in Brisbane"
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com


---Michael Scollay  wrote:

>No way. My tried and proven "theories" got dumped in
>the garbage bin after last years snow, or lack
>thereof:-( Mind you, the week that I skied was one to  >remember with
some 90cm of snow falling in the three
>days from Aug 15 to 17 inclusive. 

I skied the same week (actually.. I thought it was earlier in August
but I remember there being a 'massive' 24 hour dump [tuesday??] and
healthy falls on the flanking days a few days ending the day we
arrived) and it was fantastic. I think I have been fortunate in that
on several occasions I have skied 'poor' seasons at prime times and
had a great time. On the other hand I have headed down there on
otherwise 'good' seasons only to be greeted with drizzle/rain and/or
sleet and/or very high winds. So I guess rather than looking for a
good season I sellfishly hope for a good week early this coming August.

As for predictions I usually go with probability, the same as I do for
the storm chase season; after several poor snow years the next has to
be a good one - it eventually works, perhaps this year:)

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017

Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 19:34:28 +1100
From: Keith Barnett [weather at ozemail.com.au]
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Data analysis
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Can anyone tell me how to calculate return periods of weather events (as
in 'it was a 1 in 500 year flood' etc)..in my case I want to know how to
do this for extreme temperatures and rainfall.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
018

From: "Jane ONeill" [cadence at rubix.net.au]
To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Gravity currents
Date: Fri, 26 Feb 1999 21:25:37 +1100
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Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Just found an article on the outflow gravity current in a thunderstorm at
Sydney airport.  Thunderstorm-generated gravity currents are not always
visible and this makes for pretty interesting reading.

A thunderstorm outflow current visualized by bushfire smoke.
http://fluids.mel.dbce.csiro.au/~richman/a419/a419.html

Jane
Bayswater

Document: 990226.htm
Updated: 1st March, 1999

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