|
Storm News
[Index][Aussie-Wx] |
Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: Thursday, 2 December 1999 |
From Subject
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au Storms this morning
002 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] November weather
003 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] High minima in SA (particularly)
004 "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net] November weather
005 peter.corlett at doi.vic.gov.au Chasing this afternoon
006 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] November weather
007 Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au] Adelaide Midday
008 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] November weather
009 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au Another sus Low
010 Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au] Adelaide 3pm
011 Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU] Adelaide 3pm
012 astroman [astroman at chariot.net.au] Adelaide 3pm
013 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Adelaide 3pm
014 Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au] Adelaide 3pm
015 Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com. Adelaide 3pm
016 Jonty Hall [jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au] Another sus Low
017 Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au] Big Chase Update
018 Patrick_Tobin at ama.com.au Big Chase Update
019 Mark Little [mark at brigadoon.apana.org.au] Weather Observation Software Development
020 Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au] Re: Cyclone Advice issued Nth Qld
021 Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au] CYCLONE!!!!
022 "Peter Adderley" [adderley at acay.com.au] ABC's ockham's razor
023 "weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.au] Telegraph Weather Article
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
001
From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au
To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Storms this morning
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 08:28:53 +0930
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id SAA01355
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Howdy all.
Gusty storm active here at the moment. And its raining.......... all very
refreshing.
Forecast is for rain, storms and gusty winds. Great weather.
It is pissin down !!
woohoo!!
Paul at Darwin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
002
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: November weather
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 10:21:07 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>
> Preliminary figures for November show some interesting anomalies.
> Winter-like intrusions of cold southern air and heavier cloud cover
> than usual produced extraordinarily low average November temperatures
> in widely scattered areas. Giles weather station, in central Australia
> 400km west of Uluru, recorded an average maximum temperature of 28.3,
> 6.1 down on normal, and an average minimum of 15.9, down 3.9.
> Warburton Airfield, south of Giles, recorded a mean maximum of 26.7,
> 7.5 below average, but only 21 of the 30 daily observations are
> currently available. Other low average maxima were Isisford in central
> Queensland 28.3 (-5.5), Murrurundi in the NSW Upper Hunter 22.1
> (-5.4), and Armidale University 19.0 (-5.3). Longreach Qld, and
> Coonabarabran, Brewarrina and Coonamble in NSW all recorded average
> maxima 5.1 or 5.0 below normal.
As of the 28th (David Jones may be able to give a final figure) the
all-Australian mean maximum temperature was running 2.5 degrees below
average, 0.6 below the previous record. This won't be enough to
drag the annual figure below normal (unless December is similarly
cool - and, with Melbourne and Adelaide having just survived nights
of 23 and 27 respectively, there would be a few people around wishing
for some -6 anomalies on the south coast!), but it kills any
possibility (which was looking unlikely anyway) of 1999 breaking the
1998 record.
The Warburton anomaly needs to be treated with some caution - the
record is short and the climate mean may not be fully representative,
although there's no reason to expect that its long-term mean would
be significantly different to that of Giles. Warburton was ground
zero for the largest rainfall anomalies, too.
(I'm currently working on a project to develop long-term means from
short-period stations, which will (hopefully) result in a more reliable
climatology, especially in regions with few long-term stations, such
as much of the NT).
Because of (probably) a software bug, the maximum temperatures on 30
November (the hottest day of the month for much of Victoria, SA and
southern NSW) don't seem to have gone into the 'highest temperature
of month' map on the Bureau web page. This is being followed up at the
moment (if Melbourne's no longer in the 27-30 zone, you'll know it's
been fixed).
> November rainfall records were broken at many centres in northern Qld
> and NT. Some of those with longer periods of record are: Borroloola
> 389.3 (previous record 219.2 in 90 years), McArthur River Mine 179.0
> (136.7, 29 years), Coen Airport 279.6 (274.3, 47 years), Lockhart
> River Airport 530.7 (373.3, 43 years), Mt Isa Airport 185.0 (101.4, 33
> years), Hughenden PO 216.5 (157.1, 115 years), Cardwell 652.2 (641.2,
> 127 years), Ingham 784.4 (412.0, 31 years), Isisford 176.4 (156.8, 114
> years) and Windorah 116.2 (102.1, 112 years). In Western Australia,
> Warburton Airfield recorded 115.4 (83.3, 40 years). At the other
> extreme, many stations in southwestern WA recorded their driest
> Novembers on record, with several locations, including Jurien, Cape
> Naturaliste and Dwellingup, recording no rain at all.
Mount Isa is an interesting one, given that they went exactly six
months between early April and early October with no measurable rain
at all. Most of Australia came in with at least average rainfall, with
the exceptions being western WA (as mentioned above) and the usual
suspect, southern Victoria from Melbourne eastwards. There is probably
a 50/50 chance of water restrictions in Melbourne within the next two
months, judging by the graphs on Melbourne Water's web site
(http://www.melbwater.com.au). Tasmania would also be getting worried,
as it has been very dry since April and, according to press reports
today, soil dryness levels are unprecedented for this time of year.
Hobart reached 35 yesterday, not a record (except perhaps for the
date December 1), but still impressively high.
The November SOI came in at +13.
Blair Trewin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
003
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: aus-wx: High minima in SA (particularly)
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 10:43:25 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Some very high minima in SA today in those areas that the change
didn't get to by 9 (at the moment it seems to be somewhere east of
Ceduna) - 30 at Polda Basin (on the Eyre Peninsula), 29 at Maitland
(although this looks a bit sus as they were also reporting 29 as the
0900 temperature) and Tarcoola, and a number of 28s, including
Parafield in the Adelaide suburbs and Adelaide Airport. Adelaide RO
got 27.5. Robe's 23 may be a December record, depending on the exact
figure (and is certainly an early-season record).
Most of the SA stations are also reporting northerlies in the 40-60
km/h range - a potentially nasty fire situation, although SA hasn't
been as dry as parts of Victoria and Tasmania.
Blair Trewin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
004
From: "John Woodbridge" [jrw at pixelcom.net]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: RE: aus-wx: November weather
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 10:37:39 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook CWS, Build 9.0.2416 (9.0.2910.0)
Importance: Normal
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Blair,
35 in Hobart! Hell. Certainly hasn't been anything remotely like that in
Brisbane, we're lucky to get 25 these days.
Caught a snippet in the news last night, apparently Brisbane Av max & Min
for November were in record low territory. Can you confirm?
John.
>snip
Hobart reached 35 yesterday, not a record (except perhaps for the
date December 1), but still impressively high.
The November SOI came in at +13.
Blair Trewin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
005
From: peter.corlett at doi.vic.gov.au
X-Lotus-FromDomain: DOI
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 11:56:59 +1000
Subject: aus-wx: Chasing this afternoon
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
I'm taking the afternoon off work to try my luck in Western Vic. My
mobile number is 0409 258 948 if anyone wants to meet up. I hope to be in the
Grampians region by 3pm.
Cheers,
Pete.
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
006
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: November weather
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 12:04:12 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>
> Hi Blair,
>
> 35 in Hobart! Hell. Certainly hasn't been anything remotely like that in
> Brisbane, we're lucky to get 25 these days.
>
> Caught a snippet in the news last night, apparently Brisbane Av max & Min
> for November were in record low territory. Can you confirm?
>
> John.
Brisbane Airport mean max 25.0 (anomaly -2.4), min 16.3 (anomaly -1.8).
Both of these are records for Brisbane Airport (opened 1949), although
lower readings have occurred at the old Regional Office site.
I don't regard the minimum record as terribly significant because of
a marked negative discontinuity (from a site change, I think) in
1986/87, but the maximum is notable.
I would expect that the majority of sites between about 20 and 30
degrees S, with the exception of the western half of WA, have set
records for lowest November mean maximum. It will be a while before
I get a chance to check this, though.
Blair Trewin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
007
X-Sender: paisley at mail.cobweb.com.au
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 12:12:59 +0930
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide Midday
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Convection starting to pop off north of the city. Strong Norterlies
blowing - quite nasty. It's looking good, but I have a seminar to go to at
5.00pm! Hopefully other SA chasers will be out and about - this could be a
big one, especially if you are willing to travel north....
Phil 'Paisley' Bagust
paisley at cobweb.com.au
http://www.chariot.net.au/~paisley2
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
008
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 11:50:38 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: November weather
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>
> Hi Blair,
>
> 35 in Hobart! Hell. Certainly hasn't been anything remotely like that in
> Brisbane, we're lucky to get 25 these days.
>
> Caught a snippet in the news last night, apparently Brisbane Av max & Min
> for November were in record low territory. Can you confirm?
>
> John.
On the Gold Coast, one of the commercial TV networks reported that record
average low maxima and minima were recorded from most Qld areas for
November.
Regards
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
009
From: Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au
To: " - *aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Another sus Low
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 13:35:09 +0930
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id XAA14276
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 145.5E5, 300 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS WITH A WELL-
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SHOWS
THAT CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY AND IS CENTERED OVER THE
LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. UW-
CIMSS CHARTS SHOW THAT AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
BUT HAS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
Most models though show it moving westwards.
paul.
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
010
X-Sender: paisley at mail.cobweb.com.au
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 15:03:25 +0930
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Phil Bagust [paisley at cobweb.com.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Adelaide is currently suffering blackouts, apparently due to a failure in
the Victorian connector (love that privatisation).
Plenty of convection is now occuring overhead, although nothing has
glaciated yet. To complicate things, middle level cloud and raised dust
are now approaching from the west, presumably preceeding the change proper.
Prognosis? Sit tight and hope things happen right here :)
Phil 'Paisley' Bagust
paisley at cobweb.com.au
http://www.chariot.net.au/~paisley2
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
011
From: Blair Trewin [blair at met.Unimelb.EDU.AU]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 15:49:44 +1100 (EST)
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL23]
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>
> Adelaide is currently suffering blackouts, apparently due to a failure in
> the Victorian connector (love that privatisation).
>
> Plenty of convection is now occuring overhead, although nothing has
> glaciated yet. To complicate things, middle level cloud and raised dust
> are now approaching from the west, presumably preceeding the change proper.
>
> Prognosis? Sit tight and hope things happen right here :)
Three beautifully defined lines on the radar (although the strongest
of them is east of Adelaide).
Blair Trewin
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
012
X-Sender: astroman at mail.chariot.net.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 4.2.0.58
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 15:22:47 +1030
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: astroman [astroman at chariot.net.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Phil
Yep we copped the blackout here in Paralowie. Currently sitting on 40C
with a DP of 16.9 or something like that. Andrew is due home from work in
20 mins, and I am waiting for the radar to update. Keep running outside to
checkout the situation.
The STA for all those that haven't yet seen it
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
Issued at 2:25 pm on Thursday, 2 December 1999
For people in the Northwest Pastoral, Eastern Eyre Peninsula, Yorke Peninsula,
the Greater Adelaide and Mount Lofty Ranges district, and the Murraylands,
Upper
and Lower South East, Mid North and Flinders districts.
Severe winds, large hail and very heavy rain are possible with thunderstorms in
these districts during this afternoon and evening.
If thunderstorms do develop in your area, localised damage may occur and
you are
advised to take sensible precautions. For example, secure loose outside
objects, move vehicles under cover and seek shelter while the storm passes.
Regards
Kathy
At 03:03 PM 2/12/99 +0930, you wrote:
>Adelaide is currently suffering blackouts, apparently due to a failure in
>the Victorian connector (love that privatisation).
>
>Plenty of convection is now occuring overhead, although nothing has
>glaciated yet. To complicate things, middle level cloud and raised dust
>are now approaching from the west, presumably preceeding the change proper.
>
>Prognosis? Sit tight and hope things happen right here :)
>
>Phil 'Paisley' Bagust
>paisley at cobweb.com.au
>http://www.chariot.net.au/~paisley2
>
>
> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
013
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 16:18:53 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Blair Trewin wrote on Thu, 2 Dec 1999 15:49:44 +1100 (EST):
>
> Phil 'Paisley' Bagust wrote:
> >
> > Adelaide is currently suffering blackouts, apparently due to a failure in
> > the Victorian connector (love that privatisation).
> >
[snip]
<
> Three beautifully defined lines on the radar (although the strongest
> of them is east of Adelaide).
Adelaide radar archive images from 0420 UTC (about 1:20mins ago)
are duplicated:-( This usually means there was no fresh update
from this time. Narrow-scale recovered at 0500 UTC but broad-scale
is still stuffed.
Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
014
X-Sender: kburrows at saserver
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0.5 (32)
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 15:51:23 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Kevin Burrows [k.burrows at bom.gov.au]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All,
For those in the Adelaide area there appear to be at least two troughs
associated with this change. One appears to have just passed over
Edithburg. the wind changing from 320 to about 280 degrees. The second is
close to Warooka with the Stenhouse bay AWS wind going round to 230
degrees. As Blair has said there are three lines of precipitation on the
radar. The first appears to be developing on the Southeast coast south
from Strathalbyn. The second extending from Cape Willoughby to woomera and
the thirdfrom Cape Borda to Minnipa. There looks like something brewing of
Edithburgh as there has been some development there in the last few minutes.
Kevin Burrows
*********************************************************************
* Kevin Burrows * *
* Meteorologist * PO Box 421 *
* Climate and Consultative Services * Kent Town *
* South Australian Regional Office * South Australia 5071 *
* Bureau of Meteorology * *
* * Phone: (08) 8366 2691 *
* internet: k.burrows at bom.gov.au * Fax: (08) 8366 2693 *
*********************************************************************
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
015
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 16:53:13 +1100
From: Michael Scollay [michael.scollay at telstra.com.au]
Organization: Telstra Strategy & Research
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (X11; I; SunOS 5.5.1 sun4m)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Adelaide 3pm
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Michael Scollay wrote on Thu, 02 Dec 1999 16:18:53 +1100:
>
> Adelaide radar archive images from 0420 UTC (about 1:20mins ago)
> are duplicated:-( This usually means there was no fresh update
> from this time. Narrow-scale recovered at 0500 UTC but broad-scale
> is still stuffed.
Both narrow-scale and broad-scale are now OK with the last intact
images showing one of the -most- colourful squall-line displays
that I've seen in ages - worth a look-see. I also made a boo-boo
in my last Email. Archive is OK for both narrow and broad-scale
from 0500 UTC. The outage was between 0420 and 0500 UTC. Boo-boo
happened because I looked at the file-system before the latest
broad-scale had down-loaded.
Michael Scollay mailto:michael.scollay at telstra.com.au
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
016
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 17:12:10 -1100 (DST)
From: Jonty Hall [jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au]
To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Another sus Low
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi all,
Here is another tropical distubance being monitored in the south Pacific,
although this one is further out and has virtually no chance of affecting
Australia at all. This disturbance actually looks the more impressive of
the two in IR imagery, with a nice, if rather smallish dense overcast, and
banded appearance. Outflow looks fair particulary on the south side, and
vertical shear is moderate but decreasing. The jet core just to the
south is an interesting feature. The models carry it towards Fiji,
although they do not develop it.
The disturbance off the Qld coast referred to below should come under the
influence of increasing vertical shear for the next day or so, and any
development will probably be slow.
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
issued from RSMC NADI Dec 01/2321 UTC 1999 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE [1009 HPA] NEAR 15.5S 169.0E AT 012100UTC. THE
SYSTEM IS SLOWLY MOVING EAST SOUTHEASTWARDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS
SHEARED. MAJOR CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT AND LIES TO THE NORTH
FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. RECENT VISHR ANIMATION SUGGEST MID LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE NORTH. SYSTEM CENTRE IS BASED ON
PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE SYSTEM LIES SOUTHEAST OF AN
UPPER [250HPA] OUTLOW UNDER 30 KNOTS NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW. SST
AROUND THE SYSTEM IS ABOUT 29C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE PICKING THE
DISTURBANCE BUT DOES NOT SHOW ANY SIGN OF DEVELOPMENT.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
Cheers,
Jonty.
____________________________________________________________________
Jonty Hall jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au
CRC for Southern Hemisphere Meteorology
Monash University
Wellington Road,
Clayton, Vic 3168
Ph +61 3 9905 9684
____________________________________________________________________
On Thu, 2 Dec 1999 Paul.Mossman at DWNNICH.OCA.nt.gov.au wrote:
> B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
> (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 145.5E5, 300 NM
> SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
> DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS WITH A WELL-
> DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SHOWS
> THAT CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY AND IS CENTERED OVER THE
> LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. UW-
> CIMSS CHARTS SHOW THAT AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
> BUT HAS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
> NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
> TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
>
> Most models though show it moving westwards.
>
> paul.
> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
017
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 16:14:16 +1100
From: Ben Quinn [bodie at flatrate.net.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.61 [en] (Win95; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: Big Chase Update
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey Ben from Brisbane here..
Not much of an update! But if people are interested, some of the chasers
are currently in northern VIC (around the Bijuka area - probably spelt
that wrong) staring at mostly clear skies with streaks of high cloud -
and not sounding very happy about it..
The rest of the chasers (Anthony Cornelius, Jane Oniel etc etc) are
heading for NW or western VIC to meet up with the other chasers.. as
most people can probably see there is quite a band of weather currently
moving through SE SA, hopefully this will do something for the chasers
tonight/overnight..
AVN had enough moisture for rain in southern VIC overnight with this
system last time i looked.. but hopefully if a rain band forms there
will be storms ahead or on the leading edge of it..
Kevin Burrows wrote:
>
> Hi All,
>
> For those in the Adelaide area there appear to be at least two troughs
> associated with this change. One appears to have just passed over
> Edithburg. the wind changing from 320 to about 280 degrees. The second is
> close to Warooka with the Stenhouse bay AWS wind going round to 230
> degrees. As Blair has said there are three lines of precipitation on the
> radar. The first appears to be developing on the Southeast coast south
> from Strathalbyn. The second extending from Cape Willoughby to woomera and
> the thirdfrom Cape Borda to Minnipa. There looks like something brewing of
> Edithburgh as there has been some development there in the last few minutes.
>
> Kevin Burrows
> *********************************************************************
> * Kevin Burrows * *
> * Meteorologist * PO Box 421 *
> * Climate and Consultative Services * Kent Town *
> * South Australian Regional Office * South Australia 5071 *
> * Bureau of Meteorology * *
> * * Phone: (08) 8366 2691 *
> * internet: k.burrows at bom.gov.au * Fax: (08) 8366 2693 *
> *********************************************************************
> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
018
From: Patrick_Tobin at ama.com.au
X-Lotus-FromDomain: AMA at TNPN
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 17:48:33 +1000
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Big Chase Update
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
>>are currently in northern VIC (around the Bijuka area -
>>probably spelt
Ben - I think that is probably Echuca - good for swimming in the
Murray on a hot afternoon. Also used to be one of the places that
Victorians would go to play the pokies in NSW (before they spread
further south) ie there are a few watering holes for thirsty
travellers!!
The latest run of NGP dissipates this system fairly rapidly as it
moves across Vic. Hopefully they will get to see more than a
flickering SW horizon after dark tonight.
SE NSW south of the Central Tablelands is not looking all that
hopeful for tomorrow - we will see what happens.
Today in Canberra was a warm 32 with just a couple of pancake cu
every now and then.
Patrick
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
019
From: Mark Little [mark at brigadoon.apana.org.au]
Organization: Brigadoon - A part of the APANA Network
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Weather Observation Software Development
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 17:27:27 +1030
X-Mailer: KMail [version 1.0.17]
X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by europe.std.com id CAA06208
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi People,
I'm currently playing with some prototype software to record weather
observations as an exercise in networked databases. The prototyped software
basically follows the COARE network Common Data Format (netCDF) manual for
recording observations except that it also allows images from a video
camera input, or image file, to be recorded with each observation (currently
limited to 160x120 pixels for disk storage reasons). Currently, I can input
data on one PC (Windows 98) and it is recorded in (or extracted from) a
database on another PC (Linux 2.2 wirh mySQL) via Ethernet.
As I have proved the concept, I am considering developing a proper program
suite which will allow multiple users to record observations in either a local
database or a central database (so that everyone can access it). Naturally, I
don't feel inclined to expend the effort if a similar system is already
available. I'm interested in feedback as to whether this would be a worthwhile
software project.
regards,
--
Mark Little
"His fingers harping the net mesh;"
- The Net-Menders by Brian Vrepont
http://brigadoon.apana.org.au/~mark
mark at brigadoon.apana.org.au
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
020
X-Sender: carls at ford.ace-net.com.au
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 18:10:33 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Carl Smith [carls at ace-net.com.au]
Subject: aus-wx: Re: Cyclone Advice issued Nth Qld
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi All.
Looks like the 1st Australian cyclone is forming in the Coral Sea, a
cyclone watch has been issued by the BoM at 5pm AEST for coastal and island
communities between Thursday Island and Cooktown.
1st advice pasted below.
Links have been updated on my Current Information page at
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm.
Regards,
Carl.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
IDW50Q00
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
message.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
at 5pm EST on Thursday the 2nd of December 1999
A Tropical Cyclone Watch is now current for coastal and island communities
between Thursday Island and Cooktown.
At 5pm an intensifying tropical low estimated central pressure 1002 hPa was
centred near latitude 12.6 south longitude 145.8 east, which is 230 kilometres
east of Lockhart River.
The low is expected to move slowly west northwest closer to the coast.
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone.
People between Thursday Island and Cooktown should take preliminary precautions
and consider what action they will need to take if the threat increases.
The next advice will be issued at 11 pm.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Smith.
Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia.
carls at ace-net.com.au
Cyclone Tracking Maps Website:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/index.htm
Current Cyclone Information Page:
http://www.ace-net.com.au/~carls/current.htm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
021
Date: Thu, 02 Dec 1999 20:13:36 +1000
From: Paul Miracki [pmiracki at powerup.com.au]
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.7 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: CYCLONE!!!!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
WOHOOO Everyone!!!!
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
at 5pm EST on Thursday the 2nd of December 1999
A Tropical Cyclone Watch is now current for coastal and island
communities
between Thursday Island and Cooktown.
At 5pm an intensifying tropical low estimated central pressure 1002 hPa
was
centred near latitude 12.6 south longitude 145.8 east, which is 230
kilometres
east of Lockhart River.
The low is expected to move slowly west northwest closer to the coast.
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone.
People between Thursday Island and Cooktown should take preliminary
precautions
and consider what action they will need to take if the threat increases.
The next advice will be issued at 11 pm.
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
022
From: "Peter Adderley" [adderley at acay.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: ABC's ockham's razor
Date: Fri, 3 Dec 1999 09:52:32 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2014.211
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
fyi
OCKHAM'S RAZOR (Radio National)
Sun.5th at 8.45am & Mon.6th Dec. at 12.15pm.
Dr Tas van Ommen a glaciologist from the Australian Antarctic Division looks
at climatic phenomena. The Antarctic and its pristine environment contains a
wealth of information about our climate system and our scientists are
engaged in unlocking this information to improve our understanding of
climate processes. So how do they gather their data?
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/ockham.htm
or:
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/promo.htm
(info provided by the ABC's Science Matters Listserver.)
Peter Adderley
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
023
From: "weatherhead" [weatherhead at ozemail.com.au]
To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com]
Subject: aus-wx: Telegraph Weather Article
Date: Thu, 2 Dec 1999 23:05:47 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hey everyone,
For all those who don't know their was a article in todays Daily Telegraph
about our current weather systems, in that we are getting cycles where we
are having wet, cool weekends.
There was a mention of the high commander himself, jimmy d.
http://www.news.com.au/news_content/state_content/4354384.htm
Looks like there could be some activity on the ranges and escarpments around
Sydney tommorrow. Although there is no mention of storms in our metro
forecast, the southern and central tablelands have storms forecast for the
next 4 days straight.
Daniel Weatherhead
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
message.
-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
| Document: 991202.htm
Updated: 11 December 1999 |
[Australian Severe Weather index] [Copyright Notice] [Email Contacts] |