X-Sender: nzts.nz at pop3.caverock.net.nz X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.3 (32) Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 00:50:47 +1300 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: John Gaul Subject: Re: aus-wx: Tornado on TD2K + 4 happy/tired chasers Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com At 23:35 28/11/00 +1100, you did write but here is my reply: Nice report. Glad to hear you are happy even tho' tired. Well I hope you are getting lots of footage for tornado's and storms to show those Anericans that Australia can host just as interesting weather storms as what can be found in North America. We nearly had a thunderstorm yesterday here in Christchurch but that cloud was not pregnant enough to produce a clap of thunder. Dramatic cloud forms though, shelf cloud etc.lots of rain, not here, but later in the evening, a thunderstorm with hail up Riwaka way (Nelson) overnight unortunately wiped out an apple crop from the same system moving north-east. Another similar system may develop this WE over NZ, delivering - MORE FRUIT !!!! or even destroying it! Unfortunately ECMWF have changed their model website. The new one is crap Has anyone else had problems? John Gaul NZ Thunderstorm Society NZTS - more than just thunder >Hi all > >A tornado was filmed by Anthony, Macca, Matt and Greg about 10km north of >Mullalley this afternoon, which is south of Boggabri and west of Gunnedah >for those who don't have a clue where I'm talking about. Basically, the >situation started with a rainshaft out of the storm, through which the >funnel is observed to descend. A feature of all the storms today apparently >in the area was the frequency of microbursts, probably due to the very dry >boundary layer conditions, and this was ultimately the downfall of the >tornado. The funnel descended further and a debris cloud was then visible on >the ground for about 30 seconds beneath the funnel. Anthony does not believe >the storm itself was a supercell and that the vorticity for the tornado may >have been aided by the many microbursts in the area...so it was a >non-supercellular tornado...something we are seeing more and more in >Australia over recent months. > >A brief chronolgy of events surrounding the tornado was as follows: >5:25:38 - funnel first sighted >5:25:42 - condensation funnel extends to ground >5:26:32 - condensation funnel retracts from ground >5:28:02 - tornado disappears from sight due to a microburst sweeping down in >front of it > >Therefore, the tornado may still have been there after this time, it is just >that they couldn't see it due to the microburst. > >Tonight, they are at Mudgee after watching the aforementioned storm from >Max's email in the Hunter for a while, going through video footage. The next >few days look like they are going to go off big time in central eastern NSW, >with conditions just getting better and better towards the end of the week. >The only thing I was worried about was PBL moisture but this appears to no >longer be a worry as afternoon soundings showed today a semi-deep layer of >decent DPs, and the DP at Mudgee is currently 19C. > >The potential is there for an outbreak of severe storms over the next 48 >hours... > >Matt +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [144.132.32.209] From: "Liam Domanski" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 23:06:56 +1100 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 29 Nov 2000 12:06:57.0089 (UTC) FILETIME=[DECB9B10:01C059FC] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sorry, it was ENE, not ESE. I was in this little valley in the middle of a field. The road (West Coldstream Rd, which is dirt) then heads up a tiny little hill to the Melba Highway. The funnel was on the opposite side of the highway, and approx 5 km away, maybe more. It was hard to tell, because there were some small hills and the way. >From: "Chris Daley" >Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com >To: >Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC >Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 17:56:28 +1100 > >Just out of curiosity, what direction were you looking Liam? > >I was up on Manchester road in Chirnside Park up to about 19:00 looking W >through to NNE and saw a lot of lowering with rotation, but didn't see any >funnels like that. > >Look forward to seeing the photo's > >Chris > >----- Original Message ----- >From: "Liam Domanski" >To: >Sent: Tuesday, November 28, 2000 11:29 PM >Subject: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC > > > > Hi all. > > > > I've just been out chasing some of these great storms this arvo. > > > > A lot of flash flooding around the Eastern suburbs. I was on >Anderson's > > Creek Rd in Donvale at about 18:00, and the rain was so heavy, I had to >stop > > the car coz I couldn't see! > > > > The gutters were overflowing and the road under about 10cm of water in >about > > 2 mins!!!!! > > > > I then followed the storm out to Coldstream, and I saw a funnel > > cloud/possible tornado at about 19:10, from West Coldstream Rd. > > > > It was fairly large, with highly visible rotation and several multiple > > vortex areas extending downwards. I have some shots that I took of it, >but > > unfortunately missed some of the first few bits as I was mesmerised for >a > > minute by the sight, before stumbling for my camera. > > > > It lasted approx 4 mins, before it began to retract and lose structure. > > > > I could not see the ground where it may have touched down, as it was >behind > > a small hill. The funnel extended to almost halfway to the ground at >one > > point. > > > > > > I'll post the photos soon! > > > > > > >____________________________________________________________________________ >_________ > > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : >http://explorer.msn.com > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail >to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of >your > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ _____________________________________________________________________________________ Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Ben Quinn" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: LI model for Brisbane Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 22:14:16 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi David, I think the chances are quite good - especially after watching the development on the border ranges and in NE NSW today. Some of the storms on radar now are showing 100mm/h+ for up to 20 mins straight! They are also slow moving, with high intensities over some areas for almost an hour! Would be worthy of a STW in any other state......... I would say tomorrow will be similar to today, with showers and storms on the southern and/or SE downs, and then a good scattering of activity on Friday. Maybe more likely in Brisbane during the evening or overnight The latest AVN run looks quite good, with a ~90 knot jet max over the southern downs/NE NSW, and a trough running NW/SE cutting the coast around the Coffs Harbour area. A surface low then developes on the Darling Downs under the entrance to the jet max Friday evening. I wouldn't totally rule out the chances of something inland on Saturday either ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Findlay" To: Sent: Wednesday, November 29, 2000 11:54 AM Subject: aus-wx: LI model for Brisbane > According to WxSim, by Friday evening the LI should be down to -4. Is this > realistic? Anyone want to rate out chances of a storm on Friday. The bureau > thinks it might happen. > > David > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: Harald Richter Subject: Re: aus-wx: Morning WX in Melbourne To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association) Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 09:30:07 -0600 (CST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL3] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Robert wrote somewhere in N Clayton: > In Clayton I awoke at 8:00am to a nice cumulus congestus right out my > window, with a seemingly disjoint, almost circular anvil above it. There > was some nice thunder around, with one loud enough to rattle the bathroom > window whilst I was showering. I was quite surprised (among others I > talked to here at uni) to have thunderstorms around this morning, which > brings me to the point of this email. > > What kicked them off? My guess would lie with the upper levels. The 23 Z MEL sounding shows some elevated moisture above a sizeable lid around 850 hPa pointing towards elevated storms. There are some steep lapse rates above the inversion. Did the storms look higher-based to you? Around 21 Z (8 am EDT) an upper-level cold pool moved over the region, along with a stout WNW flow at mid and upper levels. Udraught intercation with the strong flow aloft probably kept existing storms alive E of Melbourne well after they initiated. The cold pool (and associated lift - a cold pool is just another positive PV anomaly) kept moving E and was probably also associated with the line of convection in E VIC around 04Z. The shear profile might have allowed some supercells from E VIC up into the Hunter Valley and possibly beyond. I am sooo jealous, Harald -- ------------------------------------------- Harald Richter NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A. ph.: (405) 366-0430 fax: (405) 579-0808 email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter ------------------------------------------- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: Harald Richter Subject: aus-wx: another OUTLOOK (Thursday) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association) Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 17:38:16 -0600 (CST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL3] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi folks, The AVN certainly has a sense of humor with an LI (< -4) bullseye centred over the Sydney CBD by 06 Z. Why drive hundreds of kilometres when you can work in your office until 5pm, and then walk over the window? Good mid-level flow is progged S of a line from Cobar to Sydney overspreading decent low-level moisture predominantly residing in E NSW. Orographic forcing along the NSW coastal ranges might be the prime initiator today. ATM it is too early in the day to nail any other type of low-level forcing mechanism. If convection gets going, S NSW has the better chance of a big storm. There's also an interesting moisture intrusion into C WA good for some rain in the middle of nowhere. The top end (N WA and N NT) looks good again for tropical convection. There's a sharp dryline associated with a cyclonic shear zone just S of Broome (WA). I wonder whether this could spark some extra activity today. Cheers, Harald -- ------------------------------------------- Harald Richter NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A. ph.: (405) 366-0430 fax: (405) 579-0808 email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter ------------------------------------------- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [155.144.17.252] From: "Simon" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Anyone else watching Sydney get hammered? Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 11:09:08 +1100 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 30 Nov 2000 00:09:08.0977 (UTC) FILETIME=[C29CFE10:01C05A61] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Looking at the lightning tracker on weatherzone - it looks like NSW is copping quite a show of lights! If you haven't looked at the tracker - I highly recommend you do! _____________________________________________________________________________________ Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 11:20:09 +1100 From: Andrew Miskelly X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather Subject: aus-wx: STORM: NW NSW Last Night? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, Looked at the ABC News Site this morning and was surprised by the following... "Storms wreak havoc across north-west NSW" Severe storms lashed north-western New South Wales last night, damaging some homes and bringing down scores of trees. The storms also resulted in widespread electricity failures. At Gunnedah, two homes were extensively damaged by wind, hail and falling trees. There has also been damage on many farming properties in the area. Thousands of people in the Tamworth district were without electricity for hours and reports of hail damage to home gardens and trees are still being reported. -- Andrew Miskelly Illawarra/Southern Tablelands, NSW amiskelly at ozemail.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: Blair Trewin Subject: aus-wx: High minimum temperatures in November To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather) Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 12:04:29 +1100 (EST) X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL3] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Just a brief note to say that it appears likely that Melbourne, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra will all break their November records for highest mean minimum temperature (by considerable margins in the case of Melbourne and Adelaide). Will update further once I see the final numbers (probably Monday). Blair +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Met support" To: Subject: aus-wx: -8.6 LI forecast for Sydney Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 12:00:17 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2919.6600 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Everyone,
 
The latest Sydney sounding has a LI of -8.6 forecast for today. Here in North Sydney I can see some massive ACCAS to my south and there is already some storms occurring over the S of the state. Looks like being a very interesting afternoon indeed with Sydneys max temp now predicted to be 35C and dew points remaing high.
 
Matthew Piper
 
The Weather Company Pty. Ltd.
Level 2, 7 West Street, North Sydney
http://www.theweather.com.au
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express Macintosh Edition - 4.5 (0410) Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 11:47:07 +1100 Subject: Re: aus-wx: another OUTLOOK (Thursday) From: "twc at theweather.com.au" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Sydney trace this morning has a predicted LI of -8.6 and tot-tot of 51. BoM have also upped the forecast max to 35. Should be an interesting afternoon. _____________________________________________________ Mark Hardy. The Weather Company Pty. Ltd. Level 2, 7 West Street, North Sydney 2060 Ph (02) 8912 6222. Fax (02) 9955 1536. Mobile 0414 642 739 http://www.theweather.com.au _____________________________________________________ ---------- >From: Harald Richter >To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association) >Subject: aus-wx: another OUTLOOK (Thursday) >Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 10:38 > > > Hi folks, > > The AVN certainly has a sense of humor with an LI (< -4) bullseye centred > over the Sydney CBD by 06 Z. Why drive hundreds of kilometres when > you can work in your office until 5pm, and then walk > over the window? > > Good mid-level flow is progged S of a line from Cobar to Sydney > overspreading decent low-level moisture predominantly residing in E NSW. > Orographic forcing along the NSW coastal ranges might be the prime > initiator today. ATM it is too early in the day to nail > any other type of low-level forcing mechanism. > If convection gets going, S NSW has the better chance of a big storm. > > There's also an interesting moisture intrusion into C WA good for > some rain in the middle of nowhere. The top end (N WA and N NT) > looks good again for tropical convection. > There's a sharp dryline associated with a cyclonic shear zone > just S of Broome (WA). I wonder whether this could spark some > extra activity today. > > Cheers, Harald > > -- > ------------------------------------------- > Harald Richter > NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory > 1313 Halley Circle > Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A. > ph.: (405) 366-0430 > fax: (405) 579-0808 > email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov > web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter > ------------------------------------------- > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Zac" To: Subject: aus-wx: Its off Again Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 12:17:19 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi List,
Here We go again
 
 
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 1124 on Thursday the 30th of November 2000

This advice affects people in the following weather districts:

Riverina and South West Slopes north of the line Hay, Wagga Wagga to Yass
Southern Tablelands
Central Tablelands
Central West Slopes and Plains
Upper Western east and south of a line from Wilcannia to Wanaaring to
Walgett
Lower Western east of a line from Hillston to Wilcannia

Thunderstorms are occurring within parts of the advice area and are
expected to become more widespread during the afternoon. Some of these are
expected to be severe bringing large hailstones, damaging winds and very
heavy rainfall.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
CANBERRA METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE
Issued at 1131 on Thursday the 30th of November 2000
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE issued at 1130 hours on THURSDAY 30th November
2000 by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY for people in the Australian Capital
Territory.

Thunderstorms are occurring within parts of the ACT and are expected to
becoming widespread during the afternoon. Some of these are expected to be
severe, with short periods of heavy rainfall, hail and strong wind gusts.

The ACT EMERGENCY SERVICE advises that as storms approach people should put
vehicles under cover and move indoors away from windows:

During and after storms people should:
take extreme care when driving
keep away from creeks and drains as you may be swept away
and beware of fallen trees and power lines.

Do not use the telephone during the storm. If your house is damaged contact
the ACT Emergency Service on 6207-8455 for emergency assistance
 
Max
From: "Godsman, Andrew AG" To: "'aussie-weather at world.std.com'" Subject: RE: aus-wx: Anyone else watching Sydney get hammered? Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 13:35:24 +1100 X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2652.78) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Guys, If anyone is able to save the loops for Sydney local radar, and possibly the lightning tracker, I would be greatly appreciative of them being emailed to me at work. No net access at all here. Looking west from Port Kembla there appears to be a bank of activity over the Picton to Bowral and further south areas of the southern highlands. Nothinh to speak of down in the Illawarra yet. Would appreciate an eyes up from anybody though if something develops before 3:30pm, on 0418 671 851. Thank you to any who help me out here. Regards Andrew Godsman > ---------- > From: Simon[SMTP:borgprocrast at hotmail.com] > Reply To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > Sent: Thursday, 30 November 2000 11:09 > To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > Subject: aus-wx: Anyone else watching Sydney get hammered? > > Looking at the lightning tracker on weatherzone - it looks like NSW is > copping quite a show of lights! If you haven't looked at the tracker - I > highly recommend you do! > > _____________________________________________________________________________________ > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > EOM NOTICE - This message contains information intended only for the use of the addressee named above. It may also be confidential and/or privileged. If you are not the intended recipient of this message you are hereby notified that you must not disseminate, copy or take any action in reliance on it. If you have received this message in error please notify postmaster at bhp.com. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 13:46:20 +1100 From: Andrew Miskelly X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: Aussie Weather Subject: aus-wx: STORM: South of Sydney Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, Most of NSW under STA now. Nopt bad at all! The anvil from the storm between Sydney and Wollongong is now just NW of here (Wollongong) and has some very nice mammatus underneath it. The areas if maximum intensity in the storm are jumping all over the place, but I think it will go to the north of here. Keeping a very keen eye on it! Andrew. -- Andrew Miskelly Illawarra/Southern Tablelands, NSW amiskelly at ozemail.com.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Lindsay Pearce" To: Subject: aus-wx: Outlook: Thanks Harald, we appreciate your contributions! Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 12:48:35 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com G'day all, Just another acknowledgement of Harald's contributions, this stuff is really helpful, especially when it could apply to your own backyard today, read Central Tablelands :-) Bom has possible squally winds and hail forecast for us today. Thanks again Harald.All of us appreciate your time and efforts. Cheers Lindsay Pearce ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harald Richter" To: "Australian Severe Weather Association" Sent: Thursday, November 30, 2000 10:38 AM Subject: aus-wx: another OUTLOOK (Thursday) > > Hi folks, > > The AVN certainly has a sense of humor with an LI (< -4) bullseye centred > over the Sydney CBD by 06 Z. Why drive hundreds of kilometres when > you can work in your office until 5pm, and then walk > over the window? > > Good mid-level flow is progged S of a line from Cobar to Sydney > overspreading decent low-level moisture predominantly residing in E NSW. > Orographic forcing along the NSW coastal ranges might be the prime > initiator today. ATM it is too early in the day to nail > any other type of low-level forcing mechanism. > If convection gets going, S NSW has the better chance of a big storm. > > There's also an interesting moisture intrusion into C WA good for > some rain in the middle of nowhere. The top end (N WA and N NT) > looks good again for tropical convection. > There's a sharp dryline associated with a cyclonic shear zone > just S of Broome (WA). I wonder whether this could spark some > extra activity today. > > Cheers, Harald > > -- > ------------------------------------------- > Harald Richter > NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory > 1313 Halley Circle > Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A. > ph.: (405) 366-0430 > fax: (405) 579-0808 > email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov > web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter > ------------------------------------------- > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "David Findlay" To: Subject: aus-wx: Webcams Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 13:53:46 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook 8.5, Build 4.71.2173.0 Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Anyone think an online database of webcams around Australia would be good? It would allow someone in a location where the weather isn't that exciting to view live shots of somewhere that is? David +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "David Findlay" To: Subject: aus-wx: Just waiting for my turn on the webcam Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 14:03:52 +1000 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook 8.5, Build 4.71.2173.0 Importance: Normal Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Some weather lovers seem to be on this cam: http://www.viewsydney.com/index3.htm They are looking at the storms My turn next! David +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "clyve herbert" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: Morning WX in Melbourne Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 15:09:32 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all. I was returning to Victoria from northern N.S.W. on this morning, these storms were very high base >12000ft , tops about 28to30,000ft even small overshoots, there appears to have been a cold pool above 500hpa over east central and Gippsland areas.Later in the day some parts of the North east high country got some rather big pulse storms with large hail.Also for the second time in two weeks a certain senior forcaster predited early drizzle then fine for Melbourne on the 0658 weather cross on ABC radio! , maybe this was a reason for these unexpected storms.!regards Clyve Herbert. ----- Original Message ----- From: Harald Richter To: Australian Severe Weather Association Sent: Thursday, November 30, 2000 2:30 AM Subject: Re: aus-wx: Morning WX in Melbourne > > > Robert wrote somewhere in N Clayton: > > > In Clayton I awoke at 8:00am to a nice cumulus congestus right out my > > window, with a seemingly disjoint, almost circular anvil above it. There > > was some nice thunder around, with one loud enough to rattle the bathroom > > window whilst I was showering. I was quite surprised (among others I > > talked to here at uni) to have thunderstorms around this morning, which > > brings me to the point of this email. > > > > What kicked them off? > > My guess would lie with the upper levels. The 23 Z MEL sounding shows > some elevated moisture above a sizeable lid around 850 hPa pointing towards > elevated storms. There are some steep lapse rates above the inversion. > Did the storms look higher-based to you? > > Around 21 Z (8 am EDT) an upper-level cold pool moved over the region, along with a stout WNW > flow at mid and upper levels. Udraught intercation with the strong flow aloft > probably kept existing storms alive E of Melbourne well after they initiated. > > The cold pool (and associated lift - a cold pool is just another > positive PV anomaly) kept moving E and was probably also associated with the line > of convection in E VIC around 04Z. The shear profile might have allowed > some supercells from E VIC up into the Hunter Valley and possibly beyond. > > I am sooo jealous, > > Harald > > > -- > ------------------------------------------- > Harald Richter > NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory > 1313 Halley Circle > Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A. > ph.: (405) 366-0430 > fax: (405) 579-0808 > email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov > web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter > ------------------------------------------- > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "clyve herbert" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: WX in Melbourne.. etc. Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 15:23:38 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi David. A week or so ago after the passage of a trough that marked the end of the rather humid spell a line of low based convective cu moved across the Melbourne CBD, motion was from the southeast by 1400 hrs this line looked very promising although there was a warm layer at 500hpa it looked as if they might punch through with a little extra heating, the same senior forecaster predicted fine conditions for the remainder of the day, being an avid weather watcher and on the BOM storm spotter network at 1515hrs there was no doubt that some of these strongly congesting cu were going to punch through the warm layer, I rang the storm spotter number reporting what I had seen and was told by this same senior forecaster there would be no storms in Melbourne today! he rather in my opinion quickly terminated the phone call which left me rather disappointed at his attitude,the storms developed 25min later ....don't these gentlemen look out of the window anymore?.regards Clyve Herbert, ----- Original Message ----- From: David Jones To: Aussie Weather (E-mail) Sent: Wednesday, November 29, 2000 9:41 AM Subject: aus-wx: WX in Melbourne.. etc. > >I'll confess to being a bit intimidated by the high level > >of weather knowledge of other list members. > >Tim > > What can I say Tim.. but don't feel intimidated. This list is for anybody > interested in weather, irrespective of whether they have studied meteorology > or not. > > You also learn pretty quickly with weather than no matter how much you know > the atmosphere can still make you look pretty silly, by doing the > unexpected. A prime example is the thunderstorm which just went through > Melbourne at ~8:10am this morning, which was totally unforecasted! Working > in BOM, I was just a tad concerned driving to the station this morning at > 7:30pm to hear the duty forecaster saying on the radio that we could expect > a fine day, while said thunder cloud was developing before my eyes... > > Anyway, we have now had three thunder days for the month in Box Hill, making > for the most activity since February. It really has been a pretty > interesting month all-up, with very persistent warm humid easterly > conditions, with frequent convective activity. The result of these > persistent patterns has been an extraordinary warming of Port Phillip Bay > through the month to almost "tropical" temperatures (see > http://www.earthsci.unimelb.edu.au/~awatkins/temps.html ), and a rainfall > gradient from greater than 100mm of rain for the month in Melbourne's > northern suburbs to around 20mm in the southern suburbs, where sea breezes > have inhibited convection (for those who don't know, this is a near reversal > of the climatological gradient). > > Cheers, > > David. > > > > Dr David Jones > > Climate Analysis Section > National Climate Centre > Bureau of Meteorology Fax : (+61 3) 9669 4678 > GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861 > Victoria 3001, Australia Ph (home): (+61 3) 9898 4425 > email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: NinnesM at franklins.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: WEATHER: Sydney storms now (1530 AEDT) Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 15:47:40 +1100 X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2650.21) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Strathfield (Western Sydney) - 3:30pm local time. Massive storms firing all over Sydney metro area now, I am surrounded by CG's which are cracking down at the rate of about one every 4-5 seconds. On the sydney local scale radar, most of the metro area is pink,yellow, or green. Our microwave network link here at work is having difficulty with the heavy rainfall in the area and is constantly switching to the backup link. With the STA covering most of the state, and the latest STW covering Sydney and surrounds...all I can say is WOW! About to check the lightning tracker at weatherzone.com.au. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Bathurst Severe Storm Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 15:48:49 +1100 X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.4 |June 8, 2000) at 30/11/2000 03:48:50 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 3.25pm 30/11 Huge storm hit Bathurst about 2.30pm.. Very strong winds, lines down on trees in Sth Bathurst area. CBD Bathurst all off. Still large of Bahturst off with brown outs, feeders down.. Faults all over the area. Storms started in Molong,Yeoval,Cumnock area, which are all still without power.. Its going to be a long day here.. Pls email me for more info.. Dave Bahturst . +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: mbath at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 15:49:14 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath Subject: aus-wx: TDU2K chase update Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, Michael Thompson and Jane ONeill are at Werris Creek SW of Tamworth with large storms to their N and W. There are going to head W as the cell there is more active on lightning tracker and appears quite large on broad scale radar. The other chasers were in Singleton this morning, but not sure where they are now. MB ============================================================= Michael Bath mailto:mbath at ozemail.com.au McLeans Ridges http://australiasevereweather.com/ NE NSW Australia http://www.lightningphotography.com/ ASWA Secretary http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ ============================================================= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: samlynch at mail.one.net.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 16:17:01 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Sam Subject: Re: aus-wx: WEATHER: Sydney storms now (1600 AEDT) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi storm followers, I have been a passive reader of this list for some time but with this massive cell just about to drop it's load on me I thought I should give you an update. I am currently at work in Cremorne (Lower North Shore - a harbour suburb). I have had to come down from the roof (7th storey)due to the amount of lightening around - every 2-3 seconds now. There is what I believe to be mammatus? cloud visible - the rain has not started yet. There is absolutely bugger all light around - cars have to have headlights on or you couldn't see. Earlier (1520) there seemed to be alot of lightening around the edges of the cell over the North Shore and massive updraughts probably located a kilometre or two out to see off the coast of Avalon or the Pennisula. I did see quite alot of (excuse my limited knowledge) very low cloud, i.e. lower than 500m, beginning to swirl into a circle with a radius of maybe 200metres. What would this indicate? Thought you'd like to there is action a plenty here. Sam. p.s. the rain has begun so no more looking out the window. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Sender: mbath at pop.ozemail.com.au X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0 Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 16:20:17 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Michael Bath Subject: aus-wx: BOM web site Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Is anyone else having problems connecting to the BoM website. I cannot connect at all with Ozemail or Optusnet ISPs at the moment (since 4pm to now at 4.20pm) Can someone please save the Sydney radar, local and broad ? regards, Michael ============================================================= Michael Bath mailto:mbath at ozemail.com.au McLeans Ridges http://australiasevereweather.com/ NE NSW Australia http://www.lightningphotography.com/ ASWA Secretary http://www.severeweather.asn.au/ ============================================================= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Paul Lesiow" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: WEATHER: Sydney storms now (1600 AEDT) Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 16:36:29 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com G'Day All, I too have been reading this list for a while now. Here at Gosford now (at 4:30PM), I have just had heavy rain and have seen multiple CG's. A fair bit of scud is about also. I photographed the mammatus of this storm and another earlier in the day that passed well south of me. Paul +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Karratha Weather Observations" To: Subject: aus-wx: Extreme Heat in the Pilbara today - Tropical Low NW of WA becoming better organised! Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 13:41:11 +0800 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all! Well what a scorcher we have had along the Pilbara Coast today! The maximum temperature on our weather station in East Karratha reached a whopping 43.1C at 12:01pm which is the hottest temperature I've recorded since installing our Stevenson Screen back in March! Very hot in Port Hedland also with the 12:30pm WST (0430utc) metar showing 45/M02 !!!!!!!!! PORT HEDLAND (YPPD) TTF METAR YPPD 0430Z 05013KT CAVOK 45/M02 Q1001 RMK RF00.0/000.0 HAZE PORT HEDLAND (YPPD) TTF METAR YPPD 0500Z 04013KT 9999 DUST DEVILS IN THE VICINITY FEW070 44/02 Q1001 RMK RF00.0/000.0 HAZE NOSIG RMK USE TAF FOR ARRIVALS AFTER 0630Z Seabreeze is cooling things down here now with the Temperature currently 39.9C The bird life have learnt to adapt with this kind of heat as you can see..... hehe http://www.wn.com.au/karrathaweather/bird1.jpg Also the Tropical Low NW of WA has become better organised overnight and this morning and there is now a Shipping advice for the possibility of TC Sam forming in 12-24hrs. I said Dec 5th so I'm hoping it holds off for a little while longer :P JTWC's last tropical Advisory for the Tropical Low had a Fair chance of a TC forming in 24hrs. Current Visual sat image of the Tropical Low http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil:7777/tc_thumbs/20001130.0424.gms-5.vis.x.INVEST .90S.jpg Latest BoM warning says it is still travelling East at 6kn, current pressure 1002hPa with no significant strengthening forecast in the next 24hrs. IDW50W18 40:0:1:24:AASBBBE999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0346UTC 30 NOVEMBER 2000 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical low with central pressure 1002 hPa located at 0400UTC Within 30 nautical miles of Latitude ten decimal seven south [10.7S] Longitude one hundred and ten decimal nine east [110.9E] moving east at 6 knots. AREA AFFECTED Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12-24 hours causing rough to very rough seas, moderate swell and 30/45 knot winds within 60 nautical miles of centre. FORECAST At 1600UTC 30 November. 10.7 south 111.5 east 1000hPa At 0400UTC 1 December 10.7 south 112.0 east 1000hPa Next warning issued at 1100 UTC 30 November 2000 WEATHER PERTH Looks like the weekend will be interesting on the tropical front, with the Low up near Darwin moving west :) Regards JJ Karratha WA www.karrathaweather.org cyclone at karrathaweather.org ICQ 6187498 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Coonabarabran and areas around. Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 16:59:55 +1100 X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.4 |June 8, 2000) at 30/11/2000 04:59:56 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 4.55pm 30/11. Major 66kv line fault in Coonabarabran area, Cassislis, Mendorran area from Storms reported..Coolah area also off. Dave Bathurst +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [203.134.157.138] From: "Rune Peitersen" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: SYDNEY tstorm report Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 17:14:50 +1100 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 30 Nov 2000 06:14:50.0496 (UTC) FILETIME=[D8C71800:01C05A94] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi list, Sydney has copped some severe storms today. It started around 130pm with a few strong cells to the sw near camden and more building to the west. By 2pm the storms west were well developed and the lightning bolts becoming frequent, deep rumbles building the atmosphere. Massive cells then formed, the sky went crazy with bolts, at one point at 245 there was 7 different tstorms with bolts at one time, it started closing in here at glenorie. Soon by 315 there were hail showers and close bolts, in all 6 hail showers passed over here. In perspective i can only remember 3 other hail showers in the last 4 years here. At one point there was 9mm in 5 minutes, severe tstorm warnings, couldnt get internet connection through storms to check radar, im sure it would have been impressive. Right now at 510pm the sun is out!, with thunder to the east, today got to 35.5C here by 2pm, but by 3.50pm it had dropped to 22.5C. All up to 5pm 27mm here. On the news, cityrail trains are at 8kph due to track flooding, signal boxes hit by lightning etc. large hail damage reports from parts of sydney (they said northern parts) and central coast. I saw my best ever lightning bolt today, at around 2pm the storm to the west with a large anvil created it. The bolt came out the side at about 2/3rds up the cloud and went horizontally before forking out and striking the ground approx 20km away from it, it was awesome, i also think i saw a lot of cloud rotation today, although i am inexperienced at seeing it, there was cloud circling rapidly on many occasions, bom says storms overnight, have to wait and see on that one, cheers everyone, i am extremely happy with today!!.. Rune _____________________________________________________________________________________ Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: David Jones To: "Aussie Weather (E-mail)" Subject: aus-wx: storms and cams.. Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 17:23:47 +1100 X-Mailer: Internet Mail Service (5.5.2653.19) Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com David wrote.. >Anyone think an online database of webcams around Australia would be good? >It would allow someone in a location where the weather isn't that exciting >to view live shots of somewhere that is? There is kinda one at this site, though it is a long way from exhaustive. An exhaustive data base, if possible would be great. http://salsa.iinet.net.au/~kevinr1/Livecams.html and Harald.. >My guess would lie with the upper levels. The 23 Z MEL sounding shows >some elevated moisture above a sizeable lid around 850 hPa pointing towards >elevated storms. There are some steep lapse rates above the inversion. >Did the storms look higher-based to you? My guess is also in the upper levels. There was quite a bit of low-level St/Sc on Wednesday morning (7:30am)which in Box Hill was moving predominately south to north, in what was clearly a very shallow maritime layer. My guess-estimate was of a St/Sc cloud base of about 1500feet, with evidence of a strong stable layer overlaying. The wind was also very light in the low-levels leading up to the storm, and the humidity remarkably high, considering the main frontal passage/clearance went through Melbourne around 8pm the previous night, marked by some quite spectacular thunderstorms in the eastern suburbs (this was inturn preceded by what appeared to be a pre-frontal trough at 6pm, with a weaker line of thunderstorms). The Cb I saw develop had a base which I would have estimated to be near 4000 feet, though this appeared to lower with the development of rain. There was also quite a bit of rather castellated alto-cumulus suggesting to me that while the surface layers had cooled and stabilised, the mid levels were still rather unstable. Dr David Jones Climate Analysis Section National Climate Centre Bureau of Meteorology Fax : (+61 3) 9669 4678 GPO Box 1289K, Melbourne Ph (work): (+61 3) 9669 4861 Victoria 3001, Australia Ph (home): (+61 3) 9898 4425 email : D.Jones at bom.gov.au +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ X-Originating-IP: [203.35.254.2] From: "David Croan" To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Sydney storm Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 17:27:34 +1100 X-OriginalArrivalTime: 30 Nov 2000 06:27:35.0009 (UTC) FILETIME=[A0768510:01C05A96] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all, After looking at the morning sounding for Sydney I decided on a local storm observation session rather than a chase to meet the other guys in the Hunter. To cut a long story short it seemed as though too many storms were popping up in Sydney during the early afternoon, rather than the one big isolated storm which I envisaged :-) A dominant area of convection did eventually became established though. This severe multicell had a most incredible gustfront and green precip curtain by the time it was around the Pymble area. CG lightning was just continuous. Reports of 15000 homes blacked out, flash flooding, trees down on several major roads and hail damage at Patonga. Probably not as damaging as yesterday's Hunter storms but far more spectacular in terms of lightning and the general very menacing appearance of the gust front, at least from my vantage. regards, David _____________________________________________________________________________________ Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: Forbes, Bogan Gate, outages, storms. Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 17:52:09 +1100 X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.4 |June 8, 2000) at 30/11/2000 05:52:10 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 5.43pm 30/11 Storms in the above areas about 15 min. ago heading to Parkes. Very strong winds causing trees to fall on lines.. lightning hitting poles around this area. Molong still off, back on 8pm.. Coonabarabran update, - trees on 22kv line near Gulgong. Dave Bathurst +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: chris.nitsopoulos at jcu.edu.au To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aus-wx: RE:Tropical Low NW of WA, Can two Lows Collide? Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 17:59:29 +1000 (AEST) User-Agent: IMP/PHP IMAP webmail program 2.2.3 X-Originating-IP: 202.10.206.132 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com HEY JJ And all Can someone inform me as to why there are sometimes quite large discrepencies between JTWC forecasts and Australias' BOM and through history who has been the most accurate. By the way, some models are forecasting a weak low to develop in the Coral Sea on Monday and move South West whilst slowly intensifying. (Could be interesting) An even bigger querie is what would happen if the 2 Lows in the West come too close to each other (would they collide and form a massive system?), I have actually been interested to see what would happen with this scenario for many years, what do you guys predict should happen. CHEERS: Chris Nitsopoulos James Cook Uni Met student > > Also the Tropical Low NW of WA has become better organised overnight > and > this morning and there is now a Shipping advice for the possibility of > TC > Sam forming in 12-24hrs. I said Dec 5th so I'm hoping it holds off for > a > little while longer :P > JTWC's last tropical Advisory for the Tropical Low had a Fair chance of > a TC > forming in 24hrs. > > Current Visual sat image of the Tropical Low > http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil:7777/tc_thumbs/20001130.0424.gms-5.vis.x.INVEST > .90S.jpg > > Latest BoM warning says it is still travelling East at 6kn, current > pressure > 1002hPa with no significant strengthening forecast in the next 24hrs. > > > > IDW50W18 > 40:0:1:24:AASBBBE999:11:00 > SECURITE > > HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE > AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING > CENTRE PERTH AT 0346UTC 30 NOVEMBER 2000 > > GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA > > SITUATION > Tropical low with central pressure 1002 hPa located at 0400UTC > Within 30 nautical miles of > Latitude ten decimal seven south [10.7S] > Longitude one hundred and ten decimal nine east [110.9E] > moving east at 6 knots. > > AREA AFFECTED > Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12-24 hours causing > rough to > very rough seas, moderate swell and 30/45 knot winds within 60 nautical > miles of > centre. > > FORECAST > At 1600UTC 30 November. 10.7 south 111.5 east 1000hPa > At 0400UTC 1 December 10.7 south 112.0 east 1000hPa > > Next warning issued at 1100 UTC 30 November 2000 > > WEATHER PERTH > > Looks like the weekend will be interesting on the tropical front, with > the > Low up near Darwin moving west :) > > Regards > > JJ > Karratha WA > www.karrathaweather.org > cyclone at karrathaweather.org > ICQ 6187498 > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail > to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of > your > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Chris Daley" To: Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 19:09:09 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I know that area pretty well, spend a lot of time out at Lilydale Airport. Sounds like it would have been over the back of Dame Nelly Melba's house. Unfortunately, that area is out of view from where I was standing. Chris ----- Original Message ----- From: "Liam Domanski" To: Sent: Wednesday, November 29, 2000 11:06 PM Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC > Sorry, it was ENE, not ESE. > > I was in this little valley in the middle of a field. The road (West > Coldstream Rd, which is dirt) then heads up a tiny little hill to the Melba > Highway. The funnel was on the opposite side of the highway, and approx 5 > km away, maybe more. It was hard to tell, because there were some small > hills and the way. > > > > >From: "Chris Daley" > >Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com > >To: > >Subject: Re: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC > >Date: Wed, 29 Nov 2000 17:56:28 +1100 > > > >Just out of curiosity, what direction were you looking Liam? > > > >I was up on Manchester road in Chirnside Park up to about 19:00 looking W > >through to NNE and saw a lot of lowering with rotation, but didn't see any > >funnels like that. > > > >Look forward to seeing the photo's > > > >Chris > > > >----- Original Message ----- > >From: "Liam Domanski" > >To: > >Sent: Tuesday, November 28, 2000 11:29 PM > >Subject: aus-wx: Funnel cloud/possible tornado in VIC > > > > > > > Hi all. > > > > > > I've just been out chasing some of these great storms this arvo. > > > > > > A lot of flash flooding around the Eastern suburbs. I was on > >Anderson's > > > Creek Rd in Donvale at about 18:00, and the rain was so heavy, I had to > >stop > > > the car coz I couldn't see! > > > > > > The gutters were overflowing and the road under about 10cm of water in > >about > > > 2 mins!!!!! > > > > > > I then followed the storm out to Coldstream, and I saw a funnel > > > cloud/possible tornado at about 19:10, from West Coldstream Rd. > > > > > > It was fairly large, with highly visible rotation and several multiple > > > vortex areas extending downwards. I have some shots that I took of it, > >but > > > unfortunately missed some of the first few bits as I was mesmerised for > >a > > > minute by the sight, before stumbling for my camera. > > > > > > It lasted approx 4 mins, before it began to retract and lose structure. > > > > > > I could not see the ground where it may have touched down, as it was > >behind > > > a small hill. The funnel extended to almost halfway to the ground at > >one > > > point. > > > > > > > > > I'll post the photos soon! > > > > > > > > > > >___________________________________________________________________________ _ > >_________ > > > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : > >http://explorer.msn.com > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail > >to:majordomo at world.std.com > > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of > >your > > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > > > > > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > > message. > > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ > > ____________________________________________________________________________ _________ > Get more from the Web. FREE MSN Explorer download : http://explorer.msn.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your > message. > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au Subject: aus-wx: Storms - Bathurst (AGAIN) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-Mailer: Lotus Notes Release 5.0.5 September 22, 2000 Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 19:10:59 +1100 X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.4 |June 8, 2000) at 30/11/2000 07:11:00 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 6.47pm 30/11 Another storm has arrived West of Bathurst, more power off, lightning was frequent.. Trees on power lines east of Bathurst.. Coonamble/Quambone had storm also, areas without power. Dave Bathurst +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 19:54:25 +1100 From: Keith Barnett X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.6 [en] (Win95; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" Subject: aus-wx: Sydney storms Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Another line of menacing-looking weather approaching from the southwest although the radar doesn't look all that severe. 25.2mm at Seven Hills this afternoon. Any truth in the report of 125mm in an hour at St Mary's? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: davidkc at advanceenergy.com.au Subject: aus-wx: Nyngan Storms To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-Mailer: Lotus Notes Release 5.0.5 September 22, 2000 Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 20:00:59 +1100 X-MIMETrack: Serialize by Router on Domino/Advance(Release 5.0.4 |June 8, 2000) at 30/11/2000 08:00:59 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 8pm 30/11 Storms in Nyngan /Hermidale/Nevertire areas, power outages. several lightning strikes reported. Storm heading Sth East. Dave +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Dane Newman" To: Subject: aus-wx: Mt Beauty Weather Summary Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 19:47:46 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Here the weather summary for November in Mt Beauty. Ave Max 25.3c (22.5c) Ave Min 12.5c (8.6c ) Highest temp 32.0c (28th) Coolest day 17.6c (11th) Lowest Temp 4.7c (7th) Rain 124.2mm (91.0mm) Days of Thunder 5 (2nd, 17th, 18th, 28th, 29th) Days of Hail 0 Days of Fog 0 These are my own observations, averages and dates in Brackets. Dane Newman (Tawonga Sth-near Mt Beauty) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ From: "Adam Mayo" To: "Australian Severe Weather Mailing List" Subject: aus-wx: Sydney Lightning Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 20:15:21 +1100 X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com If any one is coming over to the Northern Beaches tonight I will be available on the mobile. The number is: 0407 260 836 Judy Mayo +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2000 20:48:13 +1100 From: Susan Puddifer X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.75 (Macintosh; U; PPC) X-Accept-Language: en To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" Subject: aus-wx: Sydney Storms Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com 8.40pm Balmain Significant hail which is unusual for us here - very heavy rain - not much lightning - if we are getting hail and rain like this - the rest of Sydney must be getting a beating Susan +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your message. -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------