Updated: 17 June 2020
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| Tropical Cyclones
[Index] | Tropical Cyclone HENNIE : JTWC Advisories |
| Season 2004-2005 Summaries (Operational Data): [AU] [SIO] [SPAC] [SH] | |
| ---> Tropical Cyclone HENNIE Track Map and Data |
WTXS21 PGTW 20050321 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210851Z MAR 05//
RMKS/
1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 185
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4S6 64.5E5 TO 17.1S9 58.8E1 WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF
NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210530Z1 INDI-
CATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 63.2E1. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4
63.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 63.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 665 NM
NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION AND SURFACE CLOUD LINES ARE
BEGINNING TO ROTATE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS SITUATED UNDERNEATH THE
NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND VERY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
GOOD.
4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
220900Z3.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050321 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210851ZMAR2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z2 --- NEAR 14.1S6 61.7E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 61.7E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z0 --- 14.8S3 60.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 15.5S1 60.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 16.5S2 59.6E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 17.6S4 59.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM
---
REMARKS:
212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.3S8 61.5E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM
NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT TC 24S HAS STRONG DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS. FAVOR-
ABLE OUTFLOW COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE SOUTHERN
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL SUPPORTS POTENTIAL RAPID INTENSIFICATION
IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
211800Z2 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 210851ZMAR2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORM-
ATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 210900). NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3
AND 222100Z7.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050322 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210851ZMAR2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z0 --- NEAR 15.0S6 60.0E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 60.0E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 15.8S4 59.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 16.7S4 58.5E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 17.9S7 58.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 19.3S3 58.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM
---
REMARKS:
220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.2S8 59.7E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
330 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 24S HAS GOOD OUTFLOW BUT
HAS NOT IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 AND 230900Z4.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050322 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z3 --- NEAR 15.8S4 58.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 58.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 16.9S6 57.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 18.4S3 56.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 19.9S9 56.4E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 21.5S8 56.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.1S8 58.3E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROX-
IMATELY 260 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS
TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
CONTINUED FAVORABLE OUTFLOW, AND A SLOW IMPROVEMENT
IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 16 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 AND 232100Z8.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050323 09:00z COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z1 --- NEAR 16.3S0 58.5E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 58.5E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 17.6S4 58.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 18.9S8 57.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 20.3S5 57.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 21.7S0 57.0E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM
---
REMARKS:
230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 58.4E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROX-
IMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS
TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONTINUED FAVORABLE
OUTFLOW, AND A SLOW IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
230600Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 AND
240900Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050323 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z4 --- NEAR 18.6S5 58.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 58.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 20.6S8 58.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 22.4S8 57.7E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 23.7S2 57.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 25.0S7 57.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.1S1 58.5E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM
NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DUAL OUT-
FLOW CHANNELS AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. DEEP
CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER INTO POSSIBLE CDO (CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST). AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
TO THE SOUTHWEST THAT WAS HINDERING DEVELOPMENT IS NOW FILLING TO
ALLOW FASTER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
231800Z4 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 AND 242100Z9.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050324 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z2 --- NEAR 20.3S5 58.9E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 58.9E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 22.0S4 58.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 23.5S0 58.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 24.6S2 58.0E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 25.3S0 58.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.7S9 58.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS SHIFTED DIRECTION AND IS NOW TRACKING
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY REVEALS A DECREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND A WEAKENING OF
DEEP CONVECTION. DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD, TC 24S SHOULD CONTINUE
TRACKING POLEWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT
OF LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
242100Z9 AND 250900Z6.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050324 21:00z COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 07A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z5 --- NEAR 21.8S1 58.8E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 58.8E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 22.9S3 58.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 23.8S3 58.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 24.4S0 58.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 25.0S7 59.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.1S5 58.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
241800Z5 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 250900Z6 AND 252100Z0.
JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED REMARKS.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050325 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z3 --- NEAR 22.6S0 59.2E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 59.2E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 23.4S9 59.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 24.2S8 59.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 24.9S5 59.6E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 25.8S5 60.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.8S2 59.3E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, IS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06
KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. BY TAU 36, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION, AND IT SHOULD BE AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY TAU 48. MAXI-
MUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050325 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z6 --- NEAR 23.1S6 61.0E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 61.0E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 23.6S1 62.5E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 24.3S9 63.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 25.4S1 64.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.2S7 61.4E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
270 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
CYCLONE IS ENTERING AN AREA OF COLD, DRY AIR AND INCREASED
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ELONGATION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS BEGUN
THE INITIAL STAGES OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TC 24S IS
FORECAST TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO A GALE TO STRONG GALE FORCE
CYCLONE WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
251800Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 AND 262100Z1.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050326 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z4 --- NEAR 23.6S1 61.2E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.6S1 61.2E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 24.3S9 62.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 25.0S7 62.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.8S3 61.4E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
300 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE pAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS
BECOMNG DECOUPLED TO THE SOUTHEAST FROM THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. ELONGATION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATES THAT TC 24S CON-
TINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 262100Z1.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050326 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z7 --- NEAR 25.0S7 61.7E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0S7 61.7E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 26.0S8 62.1E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z8 --- 26.8S6 62.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 25.3S0 61.8E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 385
NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY IN-
DICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME FULLY
EXPOSED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION. INCREAS-
ING WESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
FACILITATING THE TRANSITION OF TC 24S INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 270900Z8.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050327 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HENNIE) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z5 --- NEAR 25.7S4 62.1E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 62.1E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z8 --- 26.3S1 62.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.8S5 62.3E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (HENNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
430 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 24S HAS RAPIDLY
DISSIPATED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR PRIOR TO THE COMPLETION OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DISSIPATING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 13 FEET. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.
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Document: tropical_cyclone_hennie_jtwc_advisories.htm
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